NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY (CABLE) 30 DECEMBER 1982

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84T00301R000600010206-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 25, 2010
• Sequence Number: 206
• Publication Date: December 30, 1982
• Content Type: REPORT

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/02/18: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010206-3
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30 December 1982
1 . 402
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 SURINAME: Seeking Economic Aid
Army Commander Bouterse hopes to obtain $30 million in aid
from several countries to replace assistance suspended by the
Netherlands.
In a recent interview in a Brazilian newspaper,
Bouterse said he will look to Cuba and other "socialist"
nations for aid only if the West turns him down. Brazil
and Venezuela head his list of likely sources of funds.
Acting Foreign Minister Naarendorp went to Caracas last
week.
Comment: Bouterse apparently recognizes the suspen-
sion of Dutch aid will have severe economic consequences.
He is trying to demonstrate to the alienated population
The fear of Cuban involvement could prompt the
Brazilians to offer some token financial aid or open a
line of export credit. Financial constraints, however,
Venezuela probably will be more responsive, because
Caracas wants to preempt increased Cuban involvement and
obtain Suriname's support for its border dispute with
Guyana and its bid for membership in the Nonaligned
Movement. While in Caracas, Naarendorp may try to estab-
Bouterse is unlikely to be able to fill the gap
created by the loss of Dutch assistance. As a result
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 Top
Prime Minister Sorsa, exasperated by the intransigence of I
Communist members of the ruling coalition over planned increases in
de ense spending, has announced the resignation of his government.
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The Communist-front People's Democratic League re-
fused to approve purchases of military equipment, al-
though most would come from the USSR and would help
alleviate the Soviet trade deficit with Finland. The
front would not compromise by abstaining in the vote on
Comment: The Communist front, faced with the pros-
pect of substantial losses in the parliamentary elections
scheduled for March, has been under pressure from hard-
liners to try to improve its electoral position by leav-
ing the government and by campaigning against cuts in
social services. Sorsa likely would have preferred not
to have the Communists campaigning openly in opposition
to the government so close to an election but probably
concluded that he had no other choice. The Communists,
because of their stubbornness on the defense issue, ap-
pear certain to be left out of any coalition in the near
The remaining coalition partners--the Social Demo-
crats, the Center Party, and the Swedish People's Party--
still command a narrow majority in parliament and prob-
ably could maintain a government until the elections.
Although Sorsa is most likely to establish an interim
government by filling vacated cabinet seats with members
of his Social Democratic Party and the Center Party, he
may suggest instead that President Koivisto appoint a
caretaker government of civil servants. This solution
would allow Finland's politicians to campaign, leaving
civil servants to bear the responsibility for the unpopular
decisions needed to cope with Finland's deepening re-
 Christian Lebanese Forces militia may be planning a
major attack against its Druze adversaries in the Shuf
and Alayh mountain districts southeast of Beirut. The
militia is drafting young men and sending them to the
town of Brih in preparation for an attack to "liberate"
Comment: //The Christians view the Shuf and Alayh
districts, now predominantly Druze, as their traditional
territory and want to regain control there.
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