NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY FRIDAY 10 DECEMBER 1982

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84T00301R000600010146-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 25, 2010
• Sequence Number: 146
• Publication Date: December 10, 1982
• Content Type: REPORT

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/02/18: CIA-RDP84T00301 R000600010146-0 rOp
M ix - '.\ 1nreernr OT
OCPAS/CIG
CY# 273
National Intelligence Daily
Friday
10 December 1982
CPAS10 De em
December 1982
copy 273
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/02/18: CIA-RDP84T00301 R000600010146-0
 (p Bulgaria-USSR: Strained Relations . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
19 USSR: Jewish EYnigration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Top Secret
10 December 1982
25X1
25X1
 O BULGARIA-USSR: Strained Relations
Growing differences with Bulgaria over economic issues prob-
ably are causing some strains in Moscow's ties with its traditionally
loyal aZZy, but the overall relationship appears solid. u
A Bulgarian official has told a Western diplomat
petroleum supplied by the USSR to Bulgaria had been cut
by 10 percent. The US Embassy reports Bulgaria also is
concerned over some aspects of CEMA integration that
could conflict with domestic economic reforms. It has
noted signs of Soviet pressure on Bulgaria, following the
Warsaw Pact exercise there last fall, to upgrade its
military preparedness.
Bulgarian-Soviet relati
s have reached their
lowest point in recent years
25X1
He
says Moscow's lack of
25X1
support last year tor Bulgaria's 1,300th anniversary
celebration angered party leader Zhivkov. The Soviets
alleged the celebration overemphasized Bulgarian nation-
Comment: A major deterioration in overall bi-
lateral relations remains highly unlikely. As the new
Soviet leadership reviews its East European policy,
Bulgaria will be hoping for assurances it will continue
to occupy a privileged economic position. 0
At the same time Sofia would like to introduce
some economic innovations, expand Western ties, and play
down its image as a mere appendage of Moscow. Although
there is no confirmation of a cut in oil deliveries, con-
flicts over economic issues are likely to intensify be-
cause of Soviet economic difficulties.
 Soviet authorities issued 160 exit visas to Soviet
Jews in November. This brings the total thus far in
1982 to 2,459 as com ared with 8,714 at the same time
last year.
Comment: The number of visas issued this year
almost certainly will be less than 3,000, the lowest
number since 1970. The new leadership is unlikely to
ease Jewish emigration. Late last month Edgar Bronfman,
/
the President of the World Jewish Congress, canceled
a
7
visit to Moscow after USA Institute Director Arbatov
said
he was "sick and tired" of discussing Jewish issues
and
would only discuss East-West relations. In addition,
Foreign Minister Gromyko had declined to see Bronfman
because such a meeting could be viewed as a conciliatory
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/02/18: CIA-RDP84T00301 R000600010146-0
I up ~I V t