NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY MONDAY 8 NOVEMBER 1982

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP84T00301R000600010042-5
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 16, 2010
Sequence Number: 
42
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 8, 1982
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP84T00301R000600010042-5.pdf155.96 KB
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 25X1 Top Seeret- Director of Central Intelligence 25X1 National Intelligence Daily Monday 8 November 1982 Top Seeret CPAS NID 82-261 JX 8 November 1982 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04 :CIA-RDP84T00301 R000600010042-5-SF Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84T00301 R000600010042-5 Top Secret 1 West Germany: Opposition to INF Timetable . . . . . . . . 1 Pakistan-US: Demarche on F-16 Equipment . . . . . . . . . 8 Top Secret 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84T00301 R000600010042-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Top Secret 10 WEST GERMANY: Objections to INF Timetable West German officials want to delay visible deployment of INF equipment in the basing countries until next September. Defense Ministry officials told members of a US briefing team on Wednesday that introducing cruise missile equipment in the UK next June and converting US Pershing I to Pershing II launchers in West Germany between June and September might provide a new focus for anti-INF demonstrators. The West German public has not been told of the deployment timetable, and West German arms control commissioner Ruth said his government had assumed that deployment would not begin before September. The officials in Bonn also emphasized the need to subordinate technical and military considerations to political sensitivities, and they would prefer some read- justment of the deployment timetable in both the UK and West Germany. In addition, they insisted again that the number of Pershing II missiles, launchers, and warheads intended for deployment in West Germany total no more than 108. They said this position is held at "the highest level" of the government. Comment: The West Germans acknowledge the need to begin INF support preparations well in advance if the new missiles are to be operational by December 1983. They fear, however, that the visible movement of INF equipment six months in advance of this date will make it difficult to convince the public that Washington is negotiating The delay does not indicate a change in West Germany's firm commitment to NATO's dual-track decision on INF. It suggests, however, that the West Germans are ready for a slippage in the program to prevent an unraveling of domestic political support for it. Top Secret 1 8 November 1982 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Iq Next 8 Page(s) In Document Denied Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 PAKISTAN-US: Demarche on F-16 Equipment Pakistani doubts about US reliability. credibility of Islamabad's defenses and reinforce protect US weapon technologies--would undermine the Pakistan has threatened not to accept any of the 40 F-16s ordered last year--including the six scheduled for delivery next month--unless the US approves the advanced ALR-69 radar warning receiver for the aircraft. Islamabad says failure by the US to provide the system-- especially after Pakistan has signed an agreement to China will at some point gain access to the new US sys- tems provided to Pakistan, especially if major strains develop in Islamabad's relations with Washington. Comment: Islamabad is unlikely to reject the F-16s, but it is pressing for resolution of the issue before President Zia's visit to the US next month. In the near term, Pakistan probably will honor its pledge to safe- guard new US weapon systems to protect the arms supply relationship. Islamabad has provided Beijing with Western arms in the past, however, and continues to have close military relations with the. Chinese. It is likely that 9F,)(1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Iq Next 6 Page(s) In Document Denied Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5 Top Secret Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/04: CIA-RDP84TOO301 R000600010042-5