CHINA: INTERNATIONAL TRADE, THIRD QUARTER, 1982

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CIA-RDP84S00928R000300070006-8
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April 16, 2009
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6
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March 1, 1983
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 11 Intelligence China: International Trade, Third Quarter, 1982 EA CIT 83-001 March 1983 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928ROO0300070006-8 This publication is prepared for the use of US Government officials, and the format, coverage, and content are designed to meet their specific requirements. US Government officials may obtain additional copies of this document directly or through liaison channels from the Central Intelligence Agency. Requesters outside the US Government may obtain subscriptions to CIA publications similar to this one by addressing inquiries to: Document Expediting (DOCEX) Project Exchange and Gift Division Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Requesters outside the US Government not interested in subscription service may purchase specific publications either in paper copy or microform from: Photoduplication Service Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 (To expedite service call the NTIS Order Desk (703) 487-4650 Comments and queries on this paper may be directed to the DOCEX Project at the above address or by phone (202-287-9527), or the NTIS Office of Customer Services at the above address or by phone (703-487-4660). Publications are not available to the public from the Central Intelligence Agency. Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928ROO0300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Directorate of Intelligence China: International Trade, Third Quarter, 1982 EA CIT 83-001 March 1983 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928ROO0300070006-8 This publication is prepared for the use of US Government officials, and the format, coverage, and content are designed to meet their specific requirements. US Government officials may obtain additional copies of this document directly or through liaison channels from the Central Intelligence Agency. Requesters outside the US Government may obtain subscriptions to CIA publications similar to this one by addressing inquiries to: Document Expediting (DOCEX) Project Exchange and Gift Division Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Requesters outside the US Government not interested in subscription service may purchase specific publications either in paper copy or microform from: Photoduplication Service Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 (To expedite service call the NTIS Order Desk (703) 487-4650 Comments and queries on this paper may be directed to the DOCEX Project at the above address or by phone (202-287-9527), or the NTIS Office of Customer Services at the above address or by phone (703-487-4660). Publications are not available to the public from the Central Intelligence Agency. Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928ROO0300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Directorate of Intelligence China: International Trade, Third Quarter, 1982 Information available as of 1 March 1983 has been used in the preparation of this report. EA CIT 83-001 March 1983 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 China: International Trade, Third Quarter, 1982 The trade statistics in this publication are derived from computerized series of partner country data, which are continuously updated. The methodolo- gies for these programs are described in appendix A of CIA, ER CIT 79-1001, China: International Trade Quarterly Review, First Quarter, 1979 and in the preface to CIA, EA 82-10015, China: International Trade, Annual Statistical Supplement, February 1982. The most recent quarterly estimates are made with about 75 percent of the trade having been reported. Based on analysis of the variance in past trade shares, we expect that when all countries have reported, the total trade figures will differ from our estimates for the current quarter by less than 2 percent for exports and less than 4 percent for imports. Estimates for earlier quarters, for which we have much more complete trade partner data, are expected to change only marginally. Unless otherwise noted, Chinese exports, imports, and trade balances are valued free-on-board (f.o.b.) at the port of origin. For balance-of-payments purposes, this procedure is preferable to valuing imports on a cost- insurance-freight (c.i.f.) basis. Because a large share of the trade is carried on Chinese ships, a c.i.f. value would overstate the foreign exchange costs of imports. Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Figures 1. China: Exports, f.o.b. 2. China: Exports, f.o.b., by Area and Country 3. China: Imports, f.o.b., by Area and Country 4. China: Trade Balances, f.o.b., by Area and Country 6. China: Imports, f.o.b., by Commodity 9. China: Exports to the United States 12. China: Imports From West Germany 13. China: Exports to Hong Kong Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Figure 1 China: Exports, f.o.b. Communist countries I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 1 1977 78 79 80 81 82 Figure 2 China: Imports, f.o.b. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I i 1977 78 79 80 81 82 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Figure 3 China: Trade Balances, f.o.b. -0.6 -0.6 ~~I I I I III IIIIII IIIIIII I~ -0.8 1977 78 79 80 81 82 -0.8 1977 78 79 80 81 82 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 r mQO(OQNOCD 00) QQm0NU)Qco NQ- mmto cr) N1n -+ I rmmNQMQ)fQNN(D - U)NM(Orr0U)QmQU) -7 N M Q In U) m;Q M (0 Q (0 N NNI- Q(DmMOm(DMrMM,- (nr-1NU)mM0)n(Q NNr- NU)O(0~0(DQ ONr~MW - 0)MO W M M O Q m m m m N Nr mU)U)rm-(DM Ln N N M Q U1 . . . . . . . . . . . . D . . . . . . . . . . . 0 N . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 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W 3 7 L .- E w N L N +' a) 0. 3 C W I O C m r- r I M (C L - m >. C a) 3-~Z V)t/1u o CI-S-2n v)l- I-n7G V) OY V)V)O> V) 0 0 O W V) 0 0 3 Ntn V) g W J Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 - - - Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 G N0 NCID0 Uir 717) C')0 N00 NIM 0rIM IT co N- CID Q C'00- ON07 V V (n OONONOO 0 Q) 0 O- (')NQ LC)r 0NQ- T- -0-'- NO co I - I C) I N I, I I I 1 I - V r Q) N LL V. J I C)N0 rtD V -0 N -- ONC) V (D C')Q0-w00 V O r a) L CID ' O)Q tDNN O(D O0)r0)00 (D(') (D (o0-ON V t7 H Z (r to CV (')NQNW 0tn(D(D(D(') to LO 0700 I NL?N c m O Z, - I N it N -- I 1 L It i I +?' +' Q I V C'0 O Q) (DC')LC) - COtntn - r- r- OO to -000')to C)r 0 L++ C I 0 ++ td 7 r W (Y) (')-r r- 00"IN NV V V r Q0 (')t0r C') C C O I 0 r WN' V (D000')NWN 0)N I LO N D L E - .- I 1 (n - I I I I I I I 1 0 (1) 10 I I I U+ CC V R (1 .. r N4- cC- I to OD() CO -Q (DC') W(D 000C') tnG NV to OC)0(D - V)t I . . . . . . . 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N G . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0) W r . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C 0 +' .0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . N 71 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . L U . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . N d U . ^ 0) w ? () . . . . . . . . . . w . . . . . . . .. r cy CY w r c .... >. 3 0 LL d a>r .. .r LO a u L) u c cc z Z COL. . > CY> 0. M < O lt a r O 7 V; Q; >- r r 3 (L) E - a 0 ? r w E O U W 00 L r) - O 0 Cx It LL ++ U) d L L C C Q) Q) U C CO C C I) \ U +' 0 Y < a .^ T N N r d Q) N r I-? Z U 0) r r 0 1 >. O > C EM DE 0) r r X V) CY 0) Ct C E 0) N- O S 0) 7 V) r- 3 r z L L L 7 O) w N C C O O 7 C ` L t-LU H I UZNN L ? l < 0 0 0 ( 0 Z 0 (-QLICL Ix > w 0a )0 01 co I- 0 Ln In 2 U)I4 - L r . DI 0 O d m N < I - L LM Z V) J m7 w 0 r r O D 7 V) U Q 0 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 J 4 I I 0 W W W m LO N (0-mNmU)U) .mm . 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OU w+O'U E-C EL 2 N 0) ?--- E v HOaC-0 00) O0-U)< 0 U E -NMQU)to 0 - MQU)W WWWWWWWW m00) 0m0 ml Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 N C7NmVC7 V CO NODntn U)-V W 0) m ONO -NncOVwmwNON m C')0)con- w - (n m O m V C0 -V NC7-V-V-nV co 0) N Lf) Lf) co C14 00 (') C14 N (7 0 (7 .- (7 m m N N m m N N 0)) 0 m V V r- cli, m - r 00-wNmaDw V m (') C') - (ONNU) V C0 7- C14 N ODV U1 InvV VmU)Inm 0 N00m01nm V co C14 00 w CO - N 00 00 (D - c7 - n N-OO(D O W W-,t 0 co 0 0 - ' n N - m n NmmNm n wnnw - wm -- -C') V N - Nm 00 N (p V U) m N N V m N- N 0 00 0 00 00 C') ID n O ONV Nq T01nLn0 NOU) - 0) -(D (Pb -- 0V MOM -mV mmronsNw N(nO C7(DNaM-mU)oom N N N V CON ODm(0(0c' C') -0 V - N O - CD (7 n co - V mOm ONV C7 NNO N(0 00(D co V N - - - In n OwNn-Nmr,N 01r) V 00 C 1 4 ) (D U)- W-C7-Nn-C7-w 00(')(7 - co w- 0- 00 - m .- .- - - - V V Lnwm ON(7-tnOnN-w (7NO NLnC70--(n V In0 - - n Oon V---m N -00 mnOmcoInNMm W T C14 0) MW N NV ONc(U) V n m v v - m (D m U) C7n(7(')n-m0(n(nO Doaa0 cow VmV co-NLnc') V (0O-V0V (7OmWCV In NC) aU)V NmNnOtb - m m 0) N(n - - - CO Lnw V Nm--(7 O n U) (D V N n w N 0 w M q N w N V O v w n m w w m w V > . .. 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L 4' 0) ? 4' r H 0) m ? m 0) L O U) L U O) m- 0) C m 4' C a a M C N L 0 - (A -Y IW -' E (n 10 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 h OF mmO-(D(OQaD-LnNNMQhN(D-OhNlnIn0. . . . . . -N-mNfDfO(D co -0o co h CD In h(D(0-amen wmh Ln U7 h 0-hh 0m 00 N0Um W. NO-(O M.N 0 0) MQ V (ON V-OO-mh;;W-Mh V (0 NNlnmh-mmWc -MM- +'++ I - O h - - -- 0) - N M N CO N V N + m u >1 L I LO N (14 - +1 ' N - i+ I J 1 U)-ONNmmN(OmM(pOQ(DOmcoLn-LnM(0mQ-mmhQ(p(D0h-QO V) 0) m+' Q 1 O . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0) L X m m 00(D V (O hmh LO oo O hNmN V Q00m w whm - m ODh V hMM 0)QWW 0) U Z I 0) MMM(ONO-NNOO-0GWm(0 -MM -No NCpCN(nO-V Q- Z I (D Q ~ ?- CO N S (0 N N U) ++ D U a l I- C C I V N 0.- c C a a) (n Nm0MNLO -MMNNMWhh V CONNMUNC0h-In 0)-NNNOV M N W U 0) I Om V W V U)OLnLnMU)OQmOONQ(0-h0h V M V 00NNMOO to Nm 0) 0) L 1 m mNN(O-O---(0O(0(D(n00-Q NN MNQ V 0)0)mMMCO - V ++ a0 - h tD - - ?- N 0) - - (0 - ?- - C U U) N N 0)N +' Y 0) >. 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I W Ui m (n 7 )~? - U) 0) +' m 0 +' O m (n L) 0) 3 L 0 ?- -- ++ tT O L L 0 V) U M ++ L O) I - O I U 0) m L 0 ?- L ?O M O L N E C L U: >. O ?O m 7 0 0 7-- 0) O m m m L \ to In ~?. O - 07 LL 0 L L U 0 L 7 Z U U a 0 ) I - 0uj0-a 7aLL 3t X V) V)UtYUOLLL CMC< M I U) V) 07 I m 0 L .C L 0) +' 0 C 4-G I +' L. L) U 0 !- O L ?- N M O I 0 L L C L U I H 4- 0 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 ^fO fOV ^QmmVU)mNMMI~NMmrLn OD N(D l9 co 0DOvvmOm(D to^Oh^Ln OOhmm co (DONN (Din O^O^ON~-(CNNNrv(DO 0n 0V v(DCOUmN^DDO(DOLfcNUU m r- co MM 0)CD CV V NNm^^m^ NNC) V V MM(U) NU)tNW ON NCX)^ I O U) ^ ^ U) U) ^ LO V ^ ^ U) ^ m N ? 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E L - MM In N0 V'0V 0) 0 0 ) NM r- (D Ln-l0 V MtO NMM mm I tn - M(D Ip M-00 N V - In- - (n - V Cl) V M-- - V) 0 I D Q) 0 I 0 M I OOM-r V InrCONMrMr 9lDCOInOMNInO(DCOMMM ONM- ON In 0V w 0MM V 0MMLO (D 0 ) , NNO COM - OD - r M Mr - Cl) V ICN V LO - C V U V) N Q) +' .c it +'~ U E N U 0 C C L +' 4- 0 L r 0 'D O 0) C to ?. Q) 10 fP 3 +' (C (C If) N (D L) D L N 3 N C 211 (n 0)ti E (C 0 L U) + Q) C N M > ?- Q) 3 0 U O U - a) 0 N > N . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . or . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . w + . U) ................ N . . . a . . . . CL -00 -0 . . . . . C E?D (n N 0 0 Q)+' L E C 4 E L 3 0 O O O L N CO L? In ?? C ? 'O N ?- C N ? (n O) Q) ? O U 0) E O 0 + . p) . . N . . C) C - N 0 C - - +' ..- F ? L N (C +' L ? ? ? 3 (C Q) C IC 0 In O O (C N > (C ?) L IC (1) L N +' a) ..- S 0 (1) +' . 0 3 (C r ti. ti ? m 2 D ? LL ? 0 U Q) 0) U m +' ? > 1- U (C +' L ? co O Z 0) m m U> +' L ? U a - N ?D N 0 - 0 U (C Q) +' Qi C +' C L 7 C IC -0 LL Q) N C Y -- - > t0 Q) L +' > 4- oL C IC N U IQ 0 +' . ? IC C. (1) C ?D CC Q)7 U - o D o 0 L - C 0. C L M M L U) O C I- a . ? +' Q) Q) 0 (C - N 0 ) C ?- - IC (n (1) C L 7 O L L U) - a) 3 Q) 0 - 4- E C 16 D eD C- E U L +' +' +' (n C- C +' Q) C (C E 0 0 U a-> N - V) -' U L Q ) > - - +' C ?- 0 C L N Q) - 0 0 ?- L +' U +' E N +' L E L CC > V) - 0 C 0 ' L +' O (C E C> Q) Q) E (Q L 0 L N N (C ti 0 0 0 ?- t U 3 C) 0 \ L Q) L O C. X 0 2 Q ) 0 C L ) M 0 0 35 (OIN.C Q) IC 0) O Q) 0 0) C - > +' ?D e 3 H U Z2 5 I- S C IC C 0 0 L Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 - Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 n ON~Mm M[OCO~ ~-et N000~-In ID ODON~ OIO~n~~ NON tn 0) V COQ U) In W(D N M M(D V V 0Ln V -NO(D O N Cb M OOn ? L O I CD U)M0)-- U) 00 0)'-N U)n -- N -?- V 0 L X I 0)W4- ' I U ? 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L +L V) U U cc Ln m (Z (0 - :3 + G U) N) E O to U (v c IC ?^ (1) > CC) In Ci ?- O - to as N 0)- E IO a) C (0 t0 +'D CGCOO a) (1) C) > 0 a) ^ U) + E L + U) C to I r U) L L U c0 ^- QI (+ CC a) a) 3 Q) C 7 - Z tC CC > CO L c? a+L a)LL< aID U) U C?- ?- 0 L (r. . It a) a r ( L' R V) IL U) + + - It .Y N U 0 M - LL) 0.- ?-'C- U< W V) 00)m0 M U?- -0 L 0) D - 0 0 '0 ti 0. + C 0 C a) O Ca 0 LL N L L U L L 0 0 L E L 0. ' a) 0 I0 (C E I O 4- < to to () CO ti a) co - ^ IO - a + U) to + (V CO A Cb a) L > + - -- (1) a) 0 > I 0) 0 > + L N L 3 N - N a) 0+ (O C C U C 0 0 0 L L (~ + - a) L 3 L U H I X +' Q) + L C - - (Q w Q) U) 0. +' D D L G) U W ?- - a) - 10 + 0) C 0) C I (O U ?0 C > + + U Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 - - Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 M V NtAO~ V (DMNnn V mlOO(0m~00(DCOMaDOmm'On m Om On(DnN OcOn NNV Mnn00w V V V ntDNn Nn 0V N ^ (DOD 0 ~~ ~m V V NNn^^M lD NNUm^NM N Y C 1 O) 0 lD CD N ?- C U) N ^ - v -- a) a0 00 .0 'O 0 - J I O 0Nm,mU)w0 DV n V 00co (DNNNN0( w 0 V 0)-w V nN a) Co < I 00 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?- L . O O I m ON NNONMU) C)NN^(DOOCNNOCDMNM(Dnm^ (D Lo Z I NM M NN '-'C ' UNMNN N NM(DN (DN C t% Z I N ^ 0) M ^ ^? .- ?0 < I (C C cn ^ V C C0 O N O + ?- N C L Y (0 ^NNNNNN00 CO lD^O(DNNNn"(DNNNO(D +-OC CDnCm O) (0 N L 0) n . . . . . . . . . . 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I ti U) 0 .0 O '0 L O CI O N L N^ E a! a) C O7 0 M L N O C v 4- > O L ?? a) 0) m O 0LL1-'020Uaw a)u CJU>2-Saw5Ol-w[Ya3D (0!7 U: N 4? 0 C L tC +' 0 In u +' LL U 2 O L a) (O O 0 C L) U U) 19 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8 Approved For Release 2009/05/06: CIA-RDP84SO0928R000300070006-8