POINT PAPER TO SUPPORT KEYNOTE ADDRESS AT THIRD WORLD INTELLIGENCE SEMINAR

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CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8
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RIPPUB
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S
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13
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December 20, 2016
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18
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MEMO
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Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 DATE TRANSMITTAL SLIP TO: ROOM NO. BUILDING REMARKS: FROM: ROOM NO. BUILDING EXTENSION FORM NO. 241 REPLACES FORM 36-8 (47) t cte cc Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84BO1072R000200100018-8 A memo for the. DCI on the subject- of the- Third . : World Seminar.is attached. The memo.- provides .. background on the seminar, a point paper to-support his :keynote address on the 21st- of October-, a list, of Participants and an agenda. rnou _ _ -- 11c9 0QFVInIic k Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence FROM: Richard J. Kerr Chairman, Intelligence Producers Council SUBJECT: Point Paper to Support Keynote Address at Third World .Intelligence Seminar 1. Action Requested: That you approve the attached draft point paper for use in delivering your Keynote address to the Third World Intelligence Seminar. Your address is scheduled for 0900-0930 on 21 October 1982 at the Department of State in room 1105. 2. Background: The Intelligence Producers Council has organized a seminar on the Third World which will convene at the State Department on 21 and 22 October. Dr. National Intelligence Council, will be Chairman of the seminar. Dr. i open the seminar with his commentary from 0845 to 0900 on the 21st, and he will introduce you to the audience. The audience is certified to be cleared for SECRET. The audience will consist of about 80 individuals from the Departments of State, Commerce, and Defense, the National Security Council, Intelligence Agencies, and academic institutions. Some 40 of these people will be area experts assigned to four geographic panels (Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East-South Asia, and East Asia) each chaired by a National Intelligence Officer. The panels will meet in separate rooms periodically during the seminar to identify Third World areas of paramount importance as intelligence targets. The panels will also identify countries of moderate interest, having the potential to move Into the first subset, and will cite problems, issues, and trends that are exr)ected to affect US security in high interest areas over the next five. to ten years. - - A second seminar session is scheduled for 18 and 19 November. The first d will 25X1 25X1 25X1 convene at State and the second day at the Community Headquarters Building 25X1 Briefings and discussions on 21/22 October and 18 November will be conducted at 'L~DxI the SECRET level On the 19th, the sessions will be SI/TK, and will examine collection and reporting requirements, management of the intelligence production effort, and anticipated shortfalls in production-all based on findings of the first seminar series on 21 and 22 October. Because of the change in orientation between the two sessions, many of the attendees on 21/22 October will not be invited to attend the November sessions in toto, although the briefings on the 18th will be open to essentially the same audience. Results of the seminar will be compiled by the Intelligence Producers Council Staff, coordinated, and forwarded for your consideration. C!. BY Signer P.71.! OADR DERIVED FROM Multiple Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B0l072R000200100018-8 ar:uxr i, SUBJECT: Point Paper to Support Keynote Address at Third World Seminar 3. Staff Position: The draft point paper has been coordinated with the appropriate National Intelligence Officers. ~ 25X1 4. Recommendation: That you approve the attached draft point paper for your keynote address. Attachments: a) Draft Point Paper b List of Participants c) Agenda 16 ) - Director o Cen ral Intelligence 20 Utj ; 25X1 2bX1 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B0l072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B0l072R000200100018-8 SUBJECT: Point Paper to Support Keynote Address at Third World Seminar Dissem: Orig - addressee and return IPC Staff (2F21 Hqs) 1 - DCI 1 - DDCI 1 - ExDir 1-ER 1- DDI 1 - Chairman, IPC 1- Chairman, NIC 2 - IPC Staff Files DDI/IPCSta-ff (6 Oct 82) Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B0l072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Next 2 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 r'% *pl r 1 111V11v(EI% B PARTICIPANTS IN THIRD WORLD INTELLIGENCE SEMINAR Name Natale H. Bellocchi Henry Bienen Marshall D. Brown William J. Casey Thomas C. Dawson Joseph F. Dennin Position/Agency Director, Office of Near East South Asia, CIA Office Director, Bureau of East Asia & Pacific Affairs, Department of State Office of Global Issues, CIA Deputy Assistant Secretary for Assessments & Research, INR Department of State Professor of Political Science Princeton University Defense Intelligence Officer, DIA Deputy Assistant Administrator, 'Bureau for Latin America and the Caribbean, Agency for International Development Director of Central Intelligence Director, Office of African Affairs, Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Africa, Near East, and South Asia, - Department of Commerce Scholar-in-Residence, CIA National Intelligence Officer for Africa, CIA SINIO for Africa, NSA Deputy Assistant Secretary for Developing Nations, Department of the Treasury Deputy Assistant Secretary for Africa, Near East, and South Asia, Department of Commerce Function Middle East/S. Asia Panel Speaker (22 October) East Asia Panel Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Latin America Panel Latin America Panel Keynote Speaker (21 October) Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Speaker (21 October) Chairman Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Speaker (22 October) Middle East-South Asia Panel Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Position/Agency Function Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Latin America Panel . Kathleen Fitzpatrick William J. Foltz Wever Gim Ton Glassman Stefan A. Halper George S. Harris Ann H. Hughes Office- of African and Latin American Analysis, CIA Office of Central Reference, CIA Assistant Secretary for Inter-American Affairs, Department of State National Intelligence Officer for Economics, CIA DDO/CIA Office of Research & Development, CIA Global Issues Staff, Bureau of Intelligence & Research, Department of State Office of Soviet Analysis, CIA Professor of Political Science Yale University Office Director, Bureau-of Intelligence and Research, Department of State Policy Planning Staff, Department of State -National Intelligence Officer for East Asia, CIA Deputy Director, Bureau of Political and Military Affairs Department of State Office Director, Bureau of Intelligence and Research, Department of State Deputy Assistant Secretary for the Western Hemisphere, Department of Commerce Chief of Operations Group G, NSA Discussion Leader, Latin America Panel (21 October) Speaker (21 October) East Asia Panel Speaker (22 October) Speaker (18 November) Speaker (18 November) Discussion Leader Subsaharan Africa Panel (21 October) East Asia Panel Latin America Panel Chairman, East Asia Panel East Asia Panel Middle East South Asia P anel Latin America Panel Speaker (19 November) 2 SECRET Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Name Gen. Paul X. Kelley Geoffrey Kemp William E. Knepper Eugene Lawson William F. Martin Henry Nau Lionel H. Olmer Position/Agency Offi;:e of Current Production and Analytic Support, CIA Office of Global Issues, CIA Assistant Commandant, USMC; and Chief of Staff Staff Member, NSC Office Director, Bureau of Intelligence & Research, Department of State SINIO for East Asia, NSA Defense Intelligence Officer, DIA Deputy Assistant Secretary for East Asia and Pacific, Department of Commerce Deputy Director, Office of Near Eastern and South Asian Analysis, CIA . Chief Far East Division, Estimates, DIA Consultant, CIA Staff Member, NSC Director, Office of East Asian Analysis, CIA _ National Intelligence Officer for Latin America, CIA Director for International Economic Affairs, NSC Assistant Vice Director for Research DIA SINIO for Latin America, NSA Under Secretary for International Trade, Department of Commerce Office of African and Latin American Analysis, CIA 3 SECRET Function Speaker (22 October) Speaker (18 November) Speaker (18 November) Middle East South Asia Panel Latin America Panel East Asia Panel Middle East South Asia Panel East Asia Panel 25X1 Middle East South Asia Panel East Asia Panel Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Speaker (22 October) East Asia Panel Chairman, Latin America Panel Speaker (21 October) Speaker (22 October) Latin America Panel Speaker (21 October) Latin America Panel Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Position/Agency Function SINIO for Middle East, NSA 25X1 Middle East South Asia Panel William B. Quandt Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution Com. Stewart A. Ring Director, East Asia and Pacific Region, Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs, Department of Defense Discussion Leader: Middle-East South Asia Panel (21 October) East Asia Panel Department of Latin American Studies Latin America Panel Johns Hopkins University (21 October only) Office of Global Issues, CIA Speaker (21 October) Chairman, National Intelligence Council Chairman, Seminar CIA Al Sapia-Bosch Staff Member, NSC Latin America Panel Gaston Sigur Staff Member, NSC East Asia Panel Defense Intelligence Officer, DIA Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Nathaniel B. Thayer Department of Asian Studies Discussion Leader. Johns Hopkins University East Asia Panel (21 October) C. Thomas Thorne Office Director, Bureau of Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Intelligence and Research, Department of State Jacqueline Tillman Executive Assistant to the Latin America P anel Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Department of State National Intelligence Officer for Chairman Near East and South Asia Middle East South Asia Panel CIA Francis J. West, Jr. Assistant Secretary for International Speaker (21 October) Security Affairs, Department of Defense Fred L. Wettering Staff Member, NSC Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Director, Policy Planning Staff, Speaker (18 November) Department of State 4 SECRET Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Name Position/Agency Function William Zartman Department of International Politics Sub-Saharan Africa Panel Johns Hopkins University 5 SECRET Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 TENT C AGENDA FOR THE FIRST DAY: 21 October 1982 Intelligence Council 0900-0930 Keynote Address The Honorable William J. Casey Director of Central Intelligence Consumer Perspectives 0945-1015 The Honorable Lionel H. Olmer, Under Secretary for International Trade, International Trade Administration, Department of Commerce 1030-1100 The Honorable Francis J. West, Jr., Assistant Secretary for International Security Affairs, Department of Defense 1115-1145 Dr. Henry Nau, Director for International Economic Affairs, National Security Council 1200-1330 LUNCH Latin America: Room 1406, with the Honorable Thomas O. Enders, Assistant Secretary for Inter-American Affairs, Department of State Sub Saharan Africa: Room 1408, with Professor William J. Foltz, Chairman of Council on African Studies, Yale University Middle East-South Asia, Room 1207, with William B. Quandt, Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution East Asia, Room 1205; with Nathaniel B. Thayer, Director of Asian Studies, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University 1445-1515 "Internal Conflict & State Integration, Residence 1530-1615 "Impact of Reduced Availability of Foreign Lending," National Intelligence Officer for Economics "Boundary Disputes,' Office of Global Issues 1715 ADJOURN 1730-1930 Reception, Department of State, 8th Floor, Jefferson Room SECRET Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 c- r.- n r-r Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8 AGENDA FOR THE SECOND DAY: 22 OCTOBER 1982 0845 Comments from the Chairman 0900-0930 "Energy" William F. Martin National Security Council Staff 0945-1015 "Systematic Analysis of Political Change" opment and Intelligence Directorate 1030-1100 nce Requirements" Assistant Vice Director of Research Defense Intelligence Agency Office of Global Issues 1330-1400 "Economic Factors & Trends-Political Implications" Thomas C. Dawson Deputy Assistant Secretary for, Developing Nations Department of the Treasury _ rrr- nrr Approved For Release 2007/07/17: CIA-RDP84B01072R000200100018-8