LETTER TO ADMIRAL B. R. INMAN FROM(Sanitized)
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP84B00890R000800020026-2
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
K
Document Page Count:
6
Document Creation Date:
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date:
June 11, 2003
Sequence Number:
26
Case Number:
Publication Date:
June 18, 1981
Content Type:
LETTER
File:
Attachment | Size |
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CIA-RDP84B00890R000800020026-2.pdf | 218.39 KB |
Body:
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Information and interrogation are the eyes of
intelligence; estimation and evaluation are
its ears. The third "e" is elucidation which
is the sum of the individual parts and greater
than the whole.
Enlightenment comes only after the intelligence
analyst has labored long in the vineyard prac-
ticing research crafts and mastering analytical
skills. Only then is the intelligence analyst
ready to turn professional and devise new tech-
niques to see around and through a problem,
explore unknown territory and try a new and
different approach.
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O 1.
Admiral B. R. Inman
Deputy Director
Central Intelligence Agency
Washington, D. C. 20505
Dear Admiral Inman,
As a Texas Ex and a former NSA analyst, I
was delighted to hear of your promotion, both
in rank and position. Congratulations and best
wishes to the best man for the job of Deputy
Director of Central Intelligence.
In this technological age of mass produced
intelligence data, the policy maker more than
ever needs meaningful interpretation. As an old
pro, I can prove a very present help in the monu-
mental task of upgrading analysis.
I propose "The Third E" Seminar to advance
thinking on the command level, develop foreknow-
ledge and raise analysis from a craft to an art.
The seminar would be geared for experienced ana-
lysts within the intelligence community , GS-12
and above. It would challenge and encourage them
to stick their necks out and tell what it means
in plain simple English.
Enclosed is a suggested course outline which
describes briefly the ten analytical tools I de-
signed for the President and his National Security
Adviser, the Secretaries of State and Defense, and
the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Please select those
which you think would prove most beneficial.
May I call upon your Director of Training to
discuss a possible fall seminar on "The Third "E"?
Please let me know if a meeting at CIA Hqs on 9
July 1981, 1100 hours is convenient.
Thank you, kind sir.
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STAT
STAT
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Ten analytical tools have been fashioned to meet the chal-
lenge and need for specialized research techniques in this
technological age of mass intelligence. Some have been
borrowed from traffic and cryptanalysis; others from data
processing and information retrieval. But all have been
combined and applied in unique and creative ways.
Each how-to paper describes the adapted tool and tests the
custom design in a real live intelligence problem.
The "C" PARALLELOGRAM: A Vietnam Cover Story
Completed Feb 1973; published in Dragon Seeds,
June 1973. COMINT and collateral lined up side
by side to pinpoint the info gaps and show where
to search for the unknown. A sophisticated tool
for joint research on elusive targets.
The 3,T-GRAM: Geopolitical Tic/Tac7Toe in the
Indian Ocean
Completed Sept 1973; revised May 1974; published
in Dragon Seeds, Aug 1974, Final Edition. A com-
bination game played on a mapboard to depict
political, military and economic moves on the top,
middle and bottom levels. A deceptively simple
visual aid to discern and anticipate tactical
strategy or strategy tactics.
SUPERPOWER TIC/TAC,TOE: Kibitzing the Triple Threat
Completed Aug 1973; revised Dec 1973. A companion
article for advanced game players to follow the
China-USSR-USA triangular balance of power game.
The PARACELS ANAGRAM: A Scalper in Disguise
Completed March 1974. An experiment with trans-
position and juxtaposition of people, places and
events to discover the hidden meaning. A tool to
develop perception, imagination and intuition and
raise intelligence from a craft to an art.
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The HINDU DENDROGRAM: Under the Spreading Nuclear Tree
Completed Sept 1974. A puzzle tree used to forecast
who will be next to go nuclear. A tool of cluster
analysis to ascertain the invisible target labeled
intentions.
The IRAN ISOGRAM: Plotting Nuclear Compulsion
Completed April 1975. A nuclear followup using carto-
graphic techniques to answer where do we go from here
to non-proliferation and how do we get there. A direc-
tional aid for policy guidance and orientation.
The SALT TETRAGRAM: A Four-in-Hand Tie
Completed June 1975. Solving a compound-complex problem
with four successive analytical tools aided and abetted
by computer programming.
The CYPRUS HEXAGRAM: 3 versus 2 x 2 versus 3
Completed Jan 1976. Multidimensional scaling techniques
cut through the gordian knot of interlocking hostilities.
An efficient and effective instrument for dealing with
sticky stubborn problems.
The ABC of GEO#POL#TIK: Exercises in Crypto-Topography
Completed Aug 1976; revised Dec 1979. The world series
playoff in Angola as viewed from the hidden "geo" side,
Contrasts playing styles and gameboards of US, USSR,
China and Cuba, pointing up the need for a consolidated,
updated world mapboard.
The GE(O) HOLOGRAM: A Strategy for Design
Completed March 1977; revised Nov 1977, The definitive
new Ge(O)-Strategic design which integrates C3I systems
into a holographic global structure, A beautiful and
versatile imagery tool for instantaneous understanding
of conflicting interrelationships.
The VELA FLASHGRAM: Whodunit in the South Atlantic
Completed Oct 1980. Fictional detectivesartfully inter-
weave deductive and inductive analysis to apprehend
circumstantial truth. A neat way to resolve an open and
shut case and avoid probate.
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