SOVIET PENETRATION OF THE THIRD WORLD

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 15, 2007
Sequence Number: 
14
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 31, 1981
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7.pdf431.73 KB
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Approved For Release 2007/03119 :CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY .JATIONAL FOP.EIGN ASSESSaENT ~. ENTER SLnC~.~?d The So:riet Union employs a aophisticGted miw of tactics in its eff orta to penetrate This~d Nand areas ar.~ i,.ftuence events and o_~ganizations in ways that benefit So::et political purposes. ~!oscoc~'s most dramatic gains 1~.ave core ~ ra^~ its support of raduat, non-Cor.mcnzst elements that ultt.^~atel~ became anti- Nestern r^.~3ir:g groups in such crn.~ntries as Algeria, So:~th Yemen, and A~aota. }, .. Nrere the USSR has no fozr.;al relations With t%~e established goverr.~-er.;?s being challenged by such gro;~ps, its s:cp; ort for t3:e radicals tends to be open and large-scale, enkarc:rq its creden- tiaZs,as arevolutionary power. Iri othe~? c.~~eas, :'.'os~ous att~rpts to protect its relations with tar;atek aoverrm;er.?a by dism~zsing and ch;rneling its assistance to the subversive a?Daps tHxough third p?rties. ;`. .. , . ~ 1!oscc~ ~s most erdu2?ing Third Nortd policies, 3~awever, have been' ir. its relations with Z,~f+.ist,, anti-US regi.::+rs rahi.ch tit . frequertty props up Urith rri.titc~y a.:sistarce. ? :^nesa regimes undertaye a variety of aotions, sometiTes encour~~ ed by 1!oseow cou',sor:eti.:,es rot, that tend to serve So~~iet poliMa interests. ~ ?'he ~So:;iets occasionally have coc;e to the open rrititaru suppc+rt of some government8, such as l~asir's EgyYt, or fa^:Zitated Zarge- sctixle r yti ~i-y ventures by others, such as t::e Et%:iopians and This r:e::oraraum was preparec~by of t~:e Office of Potitica~l5x1 Anatusis at :re request of the Director of Central Ir.:eZZigenee. Cv+~ments and questions siould be add d to the Chief, USSR-ic Di,visior., Office of Political Analysis, Approved For Release 2007/03119: CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 r, 1?loacov's eubet~~:tiat raortd??~ ::deg interacts cause it constantly to t~ei;l1: itn e~,~iti~s and shift. rte ~,oZieies betr.~een co:~:trieo ;.ri.th t~hiel: it Manta tor.~+ttair: gor` ,re~.atwns and their often subversive- mindcd neig::~ Wis. _~: these a: ~ other iratar:res, tl:e Soviets rr ZZ frequentt~ trr,! to :~;a Zocat assets, inc?ud?ing Cor:~rurtist panics, to affect evcras in tl:a favored dirsation. The Soviets have extended billicns of dollars of military -- assistance and sent thousands of military advisors to the Third ~~orld in an attempt to foster dependence on them by the local regiMes. Trey also have been willing to provide assistance to their clients directly, engaging in airlifts in times of crisis and even participating directly in military engagements. Some of the most dramatic provisions of military -- Egypt and Syria during the war with Israel in 1973. -- Ethiopia is 1978-79. --. Angola in 1975-76. ? = ~r Vietnam during the Vietnam tsar and tha Sino- Vietnamese conflict of 1979-80. Soviet personnel have been in combat in: -- Laos on behalf of neutrals and leftists in 1960-62. -- North_Yemen in support of the republican government;. Pilots as well as air-dfense combat personnel were active in Egypt during the "war of attrition" with Israel in 1970, and air-defense personnel were active in Vietnam in 1965-66. Soviet transport aircraft and crews have been helping ferry men and material in Cambodia since 1980. roved For Release 2007/03119: CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 Approved For Release 2007/03119: CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 The most direct and dramatic Soviet military intervention, of course, was t:ze invasion of Afghanistan in December 1979. This o~:eration was designf~d to ensure the Communist, pro- Soviet orientation of this border nation. Since the invasion, the Soviets have maintained their forces in Afghanist~-n, usfngL?heir own airborne and ground personnel to prop up the Use of Surrogates not necessarily approved such actions in advance, they`have invLatin America falls-into this category as do the Libyan Soviet prompting. Much of the Cuban support for militants j%Soviet clients frequently act on their own without severs challenges--for example] paying for Cuban military also encouraged cla.ents to help bolster regimes faced with .-l ~.. efforts to overthrow Sudanese President Numayri. They have charging-the status uc~o; they have backed Vietnam's efforts Tho Soviets have supported clients and allies bent on Non-Communist militants gave the Soviets access to radical, strongly anti-US regimes. ` The nature and extent of Soviet assistance to s>>ch ~, forces has varied greatly. Open, large-.`.Cale support has gone only to groups that have Lroad regional support and in situations where the USSR had virtually no relationship with the existing government. The Palestine Liberation. Organization (PLO) , South-t~Test African Peoples Organf zation (5taAP0) , the African National Congress (ANG), and Zimbabwe African People's Union (ZAI'U) fal]. into this category. Although `~mflitary Rupplies have been funnelled through their regional pL?otectors, 2?ioscow has openly proclaimed its support, believing this enhances its credibility. as a revolutionary power. ~_. y ``movements in Algeria, South Yemen, Angola, acid Mozambique Communist parties, their potential is greater because their roots aro indigenous. They are attractive to the Soviets 'because their orientation is generally anti-trtestern. ?~ Assistance--even though meager--to ultimatel successful~T supporting radical, non-Communist elements. While such ~forccs are not as susceptible to Soviet.Control-as are The Soviets have made their most dramatic gains by Approved For Release 2007/03119: CIA-RDP84B00'049R001102650014-7 Often, however, Moscow seeks to disguise its involvement with radical militants in order to protect its formal relations with the target government and avoid stirring regional or international antagonism. Soviet assistance to E1 Salvadoran insurgents, for example, has been delivered clandestinely through surrogates; aid to t:ie National Democratic Front , (NDF)--a group targeted against North Yemen--is channelled through South Yemen. The Soviets provide some support to the Somali Salvation Front (SSF) through Ethiopia and are apparently considering support of the Shaba (Katangan) rebels through Angola . ':: The Soviets also maintain contacts with many ethnic nationality groups, mostly along their southern border. They have links to Al 2ulfikar, the Pakistani anti-Zia terrorist group based ix: Afghanistan, as well as with Kurdish, Armenian, Baluch, Azeri and other such elements in Iran and Turkey. The extent of their actual assistance is not clear, but they have probably provided limited aid to some of them fzvm time` to time. The purpose of these contacts ranges from the gathering of in~ormation and development of assets?ta the pressuring of neighboring governments and enuring future access to potentially successful radical movements. ? Communist Parties Moscow has consistently backed pro-Soviet Communis t parties in the Third World. MGSCOW often sees this support as an importWnt element in its claims to leadership in the world Communist movement and its competition with China rather than as a viable tool for gaining political influence. . In some-cases, however, links to local Communist parties .,,give :?Ioscow a degree of leve_age over the ruling regime and ~ . provide access to the litical s stem po y . .~` ' ~~Soviet guidance to local Communist parties depends~on the nature of the USSR's relationship with the ruling regime and the party's chances of success. In South American countries where the USSR is seeking economic ties to existing . 'governments, the parties are told to maintain low-key po~itical activity. In Central America, however, where the Soviets have few bilateral equities and where they see a chance of success, they are urging the Communist parties to shift from political activity to participation in armed struggle. Soviet-backed Communist parties in the Third World have had little success gaining power internally since the Chinese Communist takeover in 1949. A major exception was the Communist coup in Afghanistan in April 1978; although the extent of Moscow's knowledge of the coup remains unclear, its subsequent commitment to defend the regime has proven substantial. In Cuba, an originally broad ?eftist grouping -4- SECRET Approved For Release 2007/03119: CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 Approved For Release 2007/03119: CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 developed into a pro-Soviet Communist party,after it gained power, but this casE :gas proved to be the exception in ? spite of Soviet ofsorts elsewhere to encourage rational- istic leftist regir..es to adopt ~ammunist ideology and structure., Yiorl.d states such as Aiauritius. The~? also engage in large- scale cultivation of members of student, labor and professional organizations, hoping that their contacts will eventually ` The Soviets support individual pro-Soviet goverr~ment- mr.mbers as well as lzgal opposition parties in some Third cultivate and recruit key government members, Political Contacts Moscow's most effective policy in the Third t~'orld has been the straightfo:~ard developMent of L,ilateral relations with existing leftist, anti-L'S regimes. Combining political support with their ability to supaly large quantities of arms on favorable terns, the Soviets have developed close relations with such important and diverse states as India, Ethiopia, Syria, Libya, Iraq, and the Congo. Some of their favorite tactics include cn^peration agreey^~ents in areas such as party-to-party relations, intelligence, and security. The Soviets then seek to exploit these relationships to gain positions of power and prove sympathetic to sovaet support fox the Iraqi Communist P~~tty over the years has created severe strains in their rq}.ations with the ruling .Iraqi Baath Party. Generally, ho-~rever, this flexibility .gives the Soviets considerable leeway in their persistent and patient probing for opportunities and in selecting the ;,The willingness of the Soviets to employ bath overt aand covert tactics and even to pursue seemingly cant-adictary policies gives their Considerable flexibility in Third ~orld~ .states. Zt also creates dileiaxaas; their natural inclina:.ion to support the Polisario guerrilla mo?.reiiz~nt in tiie fs7estern Sahara, for example, is temFere3 b~}their desire tea protect their economic relationship with r~i ;recce. Si:^~ilarly, their most promising targets and courses of action. j~ This entire memorandu-n is classified SECRET. Approved For Release 2007/03119: CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 Approved For Release 2007/03119 :CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 Approved For Release 2007/03119 :CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 Approved For Release 2007/03119: CIA-RDP84B00049R001102650014-7 i - OCO :;oreign Liaison Staff SUBJECT: Soviet Penetration of the Thir3 t;orld Original. - DCI 1 - DDCI 1 - L`/DCI-DDCI/ES ? 1 -- D/NFAC -' 1 -- DD/NFAC 1 - NIO/USSR 1 - PDB Staff 1 - D/OPA 1 - OPA/PS .l - NIC ~ - PPG C/UPA/USSR-EE 1"= DC/OPA/USSR-EE 1 - OPA/EAP 1 - OPA/LA 1_-~uPA/USSR-EE Chrono l - OPA/USSR-EE%SRE Chrono 1 - OPA/NESA ~ ~ -, Appro~red For Re#~ase 2007/03119: CIA-