NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES (1981)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84B00049R000902320005-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 21, 2007
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: February 2, 1982
• Content Type: REPORT

2 February 1982
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES (1981)
The Senior Review Panel
was asked to compare National Intelligence
Estimates during the first three quarters of 1981 with those during 1979 and
1980 in relevance, tempo and quality. They reported that in 1979-80 there
was substantially less use of the Community and a dearth of interagency
estimates directly pointed to critical policy issues in the manner followed
since the late spring 1981 under revised NIC procedures. Timeliness of intel-
ligence advice and rapidity of response time was much improved in 1981. Design
of analysis/estimates--in content shaped more closely to specific policy problems
and in forms more useful to policymakers--has also been significantly enhanced.
Finally, in 1979-80, there was substantial evidence of capacity for
pertinent anticipatory analysis going unused because of insufficient linkage
between the policy and the intelligence communities. Some of these cases
later developed into major policy issues involving instability in Eastern
Europe, the Middle East, and Central America. Our impression is that, in
1981, performance in converting perceptive basic studies in NFAC into effective
inputs for policymakers has been materially improved.
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