ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Sequence Number: 2
• Content Type: REPORT

tE, Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
Economic & Energy
Indicators
18 February 1983
DI EEI 83-004
18 February 1983
Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart) 11
The EEI provides up-to-date information on changes in economic and energy
activities of major countries. It is updated from press ticker and embassy
reporting whenever possible.
Sources are revised periodically. The most recent date of publication for the
source notes is 11 December 1980. Comments and queries are welcome.
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
Percent Change From Previous Period
(Seasonally Adjusted at an Annual Rate)
Percent Change From Previous Period
(Constant Market Prices; Seasonally Adjusted at an Annual Rate)
Japan
5.2
4.2
4.5
3.5
-1.1
1.5
8.0
2.5
West Germany
4.0
1.8
-0.2
2.8
0.6
-1.5
-1.3
-5.0
France
3.3
1.1
0.2
0.8
3.8
-0.4
3.8
United Kingdom
1.0
-1.4
-2.2
-5.4
7.1
3.5
0.2
-1.9
Italy
4.9
3.9
-0.2
-6.6
10.6
5.1
-5.9
-11.5
Canada
2.9
0.5
3.1
-4.3
-3.5
-8.5
-7.6
-3.9
Percent Change From Previous Period
(Seasonally Adjusted at an Annual Rate)
West Germany
4.1
5.5
6.0
5.3
2.9
4.0
2.4
2.9
2.2
France
10.6
13.5
13.3
12.0
7.6
6.4
11.6
11.0
United Kingdom
13.4
18.0
11.9
8.6
2.7
5.3
4.4
-0.9
1.1
Italy
15.7
21.2
19.2
16.4
19.8
24.1
17.5
10.3
17.8
Canada
9.1
10.2
12.5
10.8
6.4
7.3
7.6
1.7
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
Percent Change From Previous Period
(Based on Amounts in National Currency Units; Seasonally Adjusted at an Annual Rate)
United States
7.7
6.3
7.0
6.6
13.8
15.5
14.4
11.2
10.2
Japan
9.9
0.8
3.7
6.8
12.6
-3.8
-29.4
West Germany
7.5
2.4
1.1
3.6
9.0
-4.6
15.2
21.6
France
12.3
8.5
12.7
48.9
-27.0
United Kingdom
12.3
4.5
NA
19.0
41.1
-1.6
12.2
Italy
23.5
15.8
11.2
14.4
Canada
6.9
6.3
4.1
2.0
11.0
-8.2
-0.9
Percent
(Seasonally adjusted)
United States
7.2
7.6
9.6
10.5
10.3
10.6
10.7
10.2
Japan
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.4
2.5
2.4
2.4
West Germany
3.9
5.6
7.7
8.5
8.0
8.5
9.1
9.7
France
6.2
7.5
8.4
8.5
8.5
8.5
8.6
8.7
United Kingdom
6.5
10.2
12.0
12.6
12.4
12.5
12.7
12.8
Italy
7.6
8.4
9.1
9.2
a Unemployment rates for France are estimated. For comparison
with the US rate, the rates for France and the United Kingdom
should be increased by 5 percent and 15 percent respectively. Italian
rates should be decreased by 50 percent; the rates for Japan,
Canada, and West Germany are comparable to US rates.
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
Billion US $, f.o.b.
(Seasonally Adjusted)
United Statesa
Exports
181.6
220.7
233.5
212.6
48.7
16.7
15.7
16.3
Imports
218.9
257.1
261.0
244.1
58.9
21.1
18.9
18.9
Balance
-37.2
-36.4
-27.5
-31.6
-10.2
-4.4
-3.2
-2.5
Japan
Exports
101.1
126.3
149.2
137.5
33.3
11.0
10.3
12.0
Imports
99.6
124.7
129.3
119.4
28.4
9.1
9.7
9.6
Balance
1.5
1.6
19.9
18.0
4.9
1.9
0.6
2.4
West Germany
Exports
171.9
193.1
175.6
176.2
44.2
14.3
14.5
15.4
Imports b
159.7
188.2
163.5
155.3
38.2
12.5
12.6
13.0
Balance
12.2
4.9
12.1
21.0
6.1
1.8
1.9
2.4
France
Exports
100.6
116.0
106.6
96.5
24.0
7.9
8.0
8.1
Imports
103.3
130.2
116.3
110.5
26.7
8.8
9.0
9.0
Balance
-2.7
-14.2
-9.8
-14.0
-2.7
-0.9
-1.0
-0.9
United Kingdom
Exports
86.5
110.2
102.6
96.6
24.1
8.0
8.1
8.1
Imports
93.9
107.3
96.0
93.0
21.9
7.5
7.3
7.1
Balance
-7.4
2.9
6.6
3.7
2.2
0.4
0.8
1.0
Italy
Exports
72.0
78.3
75.2
73.5
18.0
5.6
6.4
6.0
Imports
77.0
100.5
91.1
86.3
20.5
6.3
7.1
7.0
Balance
-5.0
-22.1
-15.9
-12.8
-2.5
-0.8
-0.7
-1.0
Canada
Exports
55.7
65.6
70.3
68.3
16.4
5.3
5.3
5.8
Imports
52.2
58.4
64.1
53.9
12.3
4.0
4.0
4.3
Balance
3.5
7.3
6.1
14.4
4.1
1.3
1.3
1.5
a Imports are customs values.
b Imports are c.i.f.
United States
1.4
3.7
4.5
-4.2 b
Japan
-8.8
-10.7
4.7
-6.8
2.8
1.4
-0.8
1.7
West Germany
-6.2
-16.5
-7.2
2.0
-2.1
0.3
1.9
2.2
France
1.2
-7.8
-5.5
-3.5
Italy
5.5
-9.7
-8.7
Canada
-4.2
-1.7
-4.4
0.8
a Converted to US dollars at current market rates of exchange.
b Seasonally adjusted.
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
Export Prices in US $
United States
16.1
10.6
9.2
1.5
3.1
-1.6
-3.5
-1.3
-2.7
-2.9
3.4
Japan
4.6
7.6
5.7
-5.6
-12.3
-6.9
-16.3
-7.1
-48.9
86.8
67.8
United Kingdom
22.5
22.5
NA
-7.0
-1.8
-13.1
-7.4
-11.0
-7.0
-28.9
1.0
Italy
20.2
17.4
-7.8
-9.8
-10.7
-5.5
-9_7
Canada
17.8
17.4
3.9
2.0
-26.8
8.2
27.2
16.2
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr.
4th Qtr
Oct
Nov
Dec
United States
17.3
27.3
5.3
-2.0
0.8
-4.3
-0.3
-0.1
12.2
-8.7
-5.3
Japan
23.6
36.9
3.4
-7.9
-12.0
-14.9
0.7_
6.5
-16.3
131.2
-4.6
West Germany
22.3
15.6
-8.3
-5.4
-20.9
-7.8
-9.8
5.8
5_8
10.3
_61.0
France
16.9
19.4
-7.8
-12.7
-17.8
-6.8
-13.5
6.3
United Kingdom
22.2
24.2
NA
-5.6
-7.6
-12.3
-5.5
6.0
5_5
_-24.1- -15.6
Italy
21.2
26.1
1.1
-17.7
-21.0
2.2
___-35.2______
Canada
11.3
16.8
8.4
5.4
-18.7
13.3
-31.2 28.8
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898ROO0100070002-7
West Germany
3.9
0.2
-2.1
3.8 9.2 6.3
France
0
0.5
-5.1
-12.0 7.2 9.2
United Kingdom
5.6
9.8
2.5
4.8 14.1 -28.6
Italy
-4.3
-4.1
-9.2
-1.2 -7.3 -10.9
Canada
-3.4
-0.1
0.3
14.4 11.5 7.1
Japan
-4.1
-3.5
2.7
-12.8
-1.1
-21.2 -49.1 31.0 64.0 38.2
West Germany
8.7
0.8
-24.6
-7.2
-3.1
-12.6 -16.0 -8.5 47.2 15.4
France
5.7
0.7
-28.7
-20.8
-7.5
-29.3 -16.5 -8.9 45.5 15.0
United Kingdom
10.5
9.6
-13.2
-13.4
-16.7
-9.3 -11.4 -36.4 -11.0 -25.2
Italy
2.1
-3.1
-32.8
-18.8
-12.6
-19.4 -29.3 -25.8 44.4 19.9
Canada
-2.7
0.2
-2.5
-2.9
5.3
9.5 1.4 5.6 -11.7 9.2
3d Qtr
4th Qtr
Oct
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
13.63
13.29
16.24
13.24
11.73
9.99
9.99
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
6.29
8.32
7.79
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
9.68
9.66
12.19
9.25
8.81
7.87
7.87
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
12.91
12.39
15.47
15.08
14.48
13.81
13.81
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
16.88
16.72
13.85
12.75
11.37
10.38
10.38
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
16.97
17.71
20.13
20.32
19.46
18.63
18.63
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
11.88
12.93
18.46
15.02
Eurodollars
11.97
14.23
16.87
13.96
12.64
10.66
10.66
3-month deposits
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b., US Ports)
131.5
125.9
113.5
108.7
112.5
112.5
NA
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
101.1
104.3
100.0
101.4
92.9
92.6
NA
Cocoa
(0 per pound)
144.3
113.5
89.8
74.3
68.4
69.7
77.6
Coffee
($ per pound)
1.72
1.54
1.28
1.40
1.38
1.34
1.29
Corn
(Central Illinois No. 2 yellow,
$ per bushel)
2.66
3.01
3.14
2.42
2.16
2.27
2.34
Cotton
(Memphis middling
11/16 inch, $ per pound)
0.6328
0.8219
0.7243
0.6073
0.5906
0.5995
0.6067
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
653.84
583.08
570.67
445
364
376
NA
Rice
(New Orleans
No. 2, milled f.o.b.,
$ per metric ton)
381
496
565
367
368
397
NA
Soybeans
(Central Illinois No. I yellow,
$ per bushel)
7.07
6.95
6.98
5.86
5.37
5.53
5.61
Soybean Oil
($ per pound)
0.2768
0.2375
0.2129
0.1837
0.1716
0.1663
0.1640
Sugar
(World raw London,
bulk Q per pound)
9.57
28.63
16.88
8.42
6.25
6.37
6.02
Wheat
(Kansas City No. 2 hard
winter, $ per bushel)
3.97
4.33
4.36
4.00
3.80
3.95
3.99
Food Index a
188
232
203
167
157
161
162
(1975= loo)
a The food index is compiled by The Economist for 16 food
commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
major US producer 60.1 71.6 77.3
LME cash 72.7 80.8 57.4
Chrome Ore 56.0 55.0 53.0
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
Copper a 89.8 98.7 79.0
(bar, t per pound)
Gold
($ per troy ounce)
Lead a 54.3 41.1 32.9
(t per pound)
Manganese Ore 67.2 78.5 82.1
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
major producer 351.5 439.5 475.0
Metals week, 445.0 677.0 446.0
New York dealers' price
Synthetic b 41.1 40.6 47.5
Natural a 64.6 73.8 56.8
Silver 11.05 20.7 10.53
(S per troy ounce)
Steel Scrap d 99.4 91.2 92.0
(S per long ton)
Tina 698.8 761.3 641.4
(t per pound)
Tungsten Ore 17,504 18,219 18,097
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
US Steel
(composite,
$ per long ton)
Zinc a
(t per pound)
Lumber Index a 188 167 159
(1975 = 100)
Industrial 171 184 166
Materials Index f
(1975 =100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these metals
are actually traded on the LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
76.0 76.0 76.0 76.0
44.9 43.8 44.5 47.8
50.9 50.0 50.0 50.0
45.7 44.2 44.9 NA
45.4 42.2 42.0 44.2
7.9 9.8 10.4 12.3
e This index is compiled by using the average of 11 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
f The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for 19
raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
World
60,131
62,581
59,469
55,818
52,591
Non-Communist
Countries
46,450
48,647
45,244
41,593
38,318
Developed countries
12,196
12,774
12,859
12,886
13,120
United States
8,707
8,550
8,597
8,572
8,656
8,657
8,638
Canada
1,313
1,496
1,424
1,285
1,177
United Kingdom
1,082
1,568
1,619
1,811
2,034
2,226
2,232
Norway
356
403
528
501
534
424
596
Other
738
757
691
717
719
Non-OPEC LDCs
4,447
4,945
5,444
6,027
6,456
Mexico
1,209
1,461
1,937
2,312
2,615
2,900
2,950
Egypt
485
525
595
598
634
Other
2,753
2,959
2,912
3,117
3,207
OPEC
29,807
30,928
26,941
22,680
18,740
19,430
19,415
19,009
Algeria
1,161
1,154
1,020
803
661
800
800
800
Ecuador
202
214
204
211
204
220
220
220
Gabon
209
203
175
151
145
140
140
140
Indonesia
1,635
1,591
1,576
1,604
1,355
1,372
1,400
1,400
Iran
5,242
3,168
1,662
1,381
1,823
2,700
2,700
2,800
Iraq
2,562
3,477
2,514
993
1,148
800
800
800
Kuwait b
1,894
2,213
1,389
947
624
700
700
700
Libya
1,983
2,092
1,830
1,137
786
1,700
1,700
1,800
Neutral Zone c
473
568
544
370
290
318
433
300
Nigeria
1,897
2,302
2,058
1,445
1,323
1,482
1,355
1,214
Qatar
487
508
471
405
340
381
310
328
Saudi Arabia b
8,066
9,251
9,631
9,625
7,074
5,500
5,400
5,100
UAE
1,830
1,831
1,702
1,500
1,290
1,157
1,157
1,157
Abu Dhabi
1,446
1,463
1,343
1,131
919
800
800
800
Dubai
362
354
349
359
364
350
350
350
Sharjah
22
14
10
10
7
7
7
7
Venezuela
2,166
2,356
2,165
2,108
1,677
2,160
2,300
2,250
Communist countries
13,681
13,934
14,225
14,225
14,275
14,435
14,435
14,435
USSR
11,150
11,400
11,700
11,790
11,840
12,000
12,000
12,000
China
2,082
2,112
2,118
2,024
2,025
2,025
2,025
2,025
Other
449
422
407
411
410
410
410
410
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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United States a
18,513
17,006
16,058
15,175
15,797
15,275
14,820
14,785
14,819
United Kingdom
1,690
1,422
1,325
1,511
1,277
1,321
Italy b
1,620
1,602
1,705
1,801
1,530
1,554
1,652
Canada
1,765
1,730
1,617
1,580
1,366
1,313
1,472
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only.
United States
6,519
5,220
4,406
4,033
3,303
3,603
3,636
3,556
3,099
Japan
4,846
4,373
3,919
3,335
3,247
3,403
4,083
West Germany
2,147
1,953
1,591
1,550
1,529
1,438
_
France
2,520
2,182
1,804
1,473
1,413
1,285
1,358
United Kingdom
1,157
893
736
565
547
506
Italy
2,292
1,860
1,816
1,602
1,617
Canada
616
557
521
335
281
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 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898ROO0100070002-7
Berri
391 API 1.16% sulfur
13.22
19.33
30.19
34.04
34.68
34.52
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
12.70
17.26
28.67
32.50
34.00
34.00
Medium
311 API 2.40% sulfur
12.32
16.79
28.12
31.84
32.40
32.40
Heavy
27? API 2.85% sulfur
12.02
16.41
27.67
31.13
31.00
31.00
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
12.81
19.45
34.54
36.60
31.05
31.20
Heavy
31 ? API 1.60% sulfur
12.49
18.49
33.60
35.57
29.15
29.30
Iraq c
35? API 1.95% sulfur
12.62
18.56
30.30
36.66
34.86
34.83
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur
14.07
20.86
35.50
38.48
35.64
35.42
UAE
39? API 0.75% sulfur
13.26
19.81
31.57
36.42
34.74
34.56
Kuwait
31 ? API 2.50% sulfur
12.26
18.48
29.84
35.08
32.30
32.30
Libya
40? API 0.22% sulfur
13.89
21.16
36.07
40.08
35.69
35.50
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
12.75
17.22
28.44
32.88
32.88
32.88
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
13.55
18.35
30.55
35.00
34.92
34.53
Algeria
42? API 0.10% sulfur
14.14
19.65
37.59
39.58
35.79
35.50
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
13.19
19.72
31.76
37.12
34.56
34.49
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
12.80
18.20
31.09
34.83
34.00
34.00
Ecuador
28? API 0.93% sulfur
12.33
22.41
34.42
34.50
32.96
33.20
s F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
? Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898ROO0100070002-7
 Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price
3.39
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82
Annual Average
34.84 34.64 34.48
34.06 34.05 33.37 1.57 33.53 33.44
F] F-1 Fi n r-r.-.
1 II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV J F M A M J
1979 1980 1981 1982 1983
STAT
Approved For Release 2008/05/05: CIA-RDP84-00898R000100070002-7