(Sanitized) POLICIES---COMMENTS OF ESTIMATES GROUP

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84-00022R000200030002-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 12, 2000
• Sequence Number: 2
• Content Type: NOTES

Approved For Release 2007/27: CIA-RDP84-00022R09A2Q40.3Q2-8
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^ Policies---Comments of Estimates Group
1. Very general impression, offered as such and nothing more: that reader is
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being told g very little he either doesn't know or could not
infer about
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policy. Perhaps this is inevitable, the having
no iron curtaih; yet, as usual, the Top Secret label
I
Alt
that exotic myster"# and breathless surprises lie beyond.
2. Summary. Seemed to E.G. that model of ORE 1 had been carried too far. In ORE 1
the 1,2.3. order tkmsee had been used to fit a special case where main specific
considerations werenenumerated. In ORE 26,.the process becor-es practically a
numbering of ensuing paragraphs, represented in the summary by one or two sentences
seems
from each. Result is the summary bnommas too long and too diffuse. Would suggest
compressing in style of more recent ORE's.
3. p.4(bottom)to P.5 (top). Toom much in oneparagraph, loosely held together by
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general idea of the Needs to be broken up into component parts.
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When you mention investments in Africa, etc., aren't a lot of
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people going to think right off about - military plans for the area which
have been so well pbblicized? Wouldn't they expect full discussion about plans
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gress of plans for making this area substitute for
either h
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4. p.6. _ Believe this might be halved. Far as one can see, all it says
is that they're tied to our tail; know it, and will remain tied until they can
shake loose.
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5/. P.7. "Moreover, the .etc." Considering that there are still
-- ----~ .,. -_ ilA "r,.Lj!jO U, suggest the inference might
be taken here , little as you intended it, that under tempting enough circum-
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stances the might destint us. If this is true, it should be stated clearly
and without qualification. If it is inetneeivable las implied previously in
paper) no hints should be left that would arouse easily..aroused slas suspicions.
6. Same page. A similar mail
might be engendered by the discussion of
the Satellites. Here there might seem to be some most un-characteristic wishful
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thinking in How can the simultaneously
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adopt a line parallel to ours toward the Soviet complex---which is some-
thing little shor evert warfare---while cultivating nice friendly trade relations
7. pp.10-12. Discussion of the Near East seemed to E.G. definitely inconclusive.
Case could be made that this is the most important area discussed; yet there are
a lot of unanswered questions. For example, in the struggle to keep the Soviets
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out of Azerbaijan many believe that the would fail to back us up if
thoir own oil interests were too deeply imperiled, or that they would exchange
concessiorwith the,Russians if they thought it wise. In short, if it became
a choice of which to lose---the US or Abadan---which w,uldgo? Greece, Turkey,
and Iran get only the most cursory mention; yet US. interests there are considerable
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at present and the views ofoward them correspondingly important. Believe
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the people in- could help a lot to expand this.
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8. Military Section. Seemed fine in general.
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Have feeling there is one thing
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missing: much is made of fact that ^ is experimenting for self and
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Impression gained that ^is among those who expect a push-button war and know
.that 'in any case, they can't compete in sheer manpower and materiel field; hmem
hence great emphasis on zsimammnz science and secret weapons. If any truth
i:h any of this, shouldn't there be full discussion of what is happening on
research and the-rest of it?
Has paper been fully coordinated in ORE. If not, just about every branch
skzx could probably contribute something valuable.
Approved For Release 2001/07/27 : CIA-RDP84-00022R000200030002-8