WARNING METHODOLOGIES

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83M00914R002700100002-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 22, 2007
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: September 13, 1982
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2007/03/03: CIA-RDP83M00914R002700100002-4
SECRET
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
DDI 7365-82
13 September 1982
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
FROM: 1 1, AC/NIC
SUBJECT: Warning Methodologies
While considering various warning methodologies, I ran across this
production done very early in the Lebanese crisis. As noted on it, the
prognosis has proven remarkably accurate over time. Although inherently
risky, perhaps we should consider more productions of this type early on in
an evolving crisis.
Attachment:
Interagency Intelligence Assessment
CL B
DECL
DE ~EPT~B~
Approved For Release 2 107103103_;_CIA-RDP.$3M00914R002700100002-4
 Approved For Release 2007/03/03: CIA-RDP83M00914R002700100002-4
SECRET
DDI 7365-82
13 September 1982
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
SUBJECT: Warning Methodologies
NIC/AC/NICE
13 Sept. 82
Attachment:
Interagency Intelligence Assessment
(Likely Evolution of Lebanon Situaton)
Distribution:
1
- DCI w/att
1
- DDCI w/att
1
- Exec. Dir. w /att
1
- SA/IA w/att
1
- ER w/att
1
- AC/NIC w/att
1
- NIO/NESA w/att
1
- SA/Warning
w/att
1
- DDI Registry w/o aft
25X1