MILITARY LESSONS LEARNED STUDIES

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83M00914R002700070001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 25, 2007
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 20, 1982
• Content Type: MEMO

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National Intelligence Council
SC-8253-82
20 August 1982
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
THROUGH: Chairman, National Intelligence Counci
Vice Chairman, National Intelligence Council
.a Iona n e 11gence Ott 1cer tor
General Purpose Forces
SUBJECT: Military Lessons Learned Studies
1. Durinq your meeting with the NIOs on 23 July 1982, you-,expressed an
interest in current efforts to develop military lessons from the recent
conflicts in the Falklands and Lebanon. Thi dum summarizes projects
known to be under way or recently completed.
2. US Department of Defense
Under the aegis of Dr. Andrew Marshall, DOD is pursuing two projects
aimed at the acquisition and analysis of information concerned with the
Falklands and Lebanon.
Copy/ of /c
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4. Central Intrriligence Agency
DDI (Product Evaluation Staff) has undertaken a review o-l'-Agency
production performance in connection with the Falklands crisis. A copy of the
questions, methodology and possible outside participants who may be asked to
contribute to the effort is attached at Tab G. Tn addition, DDI/PES has
provided substantive information to the Staff of the Senate Select Committee
on Intelligence whi amining indications and warning aspects of the
Falklands affair.
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8. Early Substantive Judgments
Attention during the conflicts and shortly afterwards has focused on
a few special developments. Outstanding among these have been the
effectiveness of anti-ship missiles and naval surface combatant
vulnerabilities in the Falklands war, and air defense suppression and
electronic countermeasures (ECM) and counter-countermeasures (ECCM) in
Lebanon. Unfortunately, the "fog of war" has pervaded much of the reporting
surrounding these matters so that only the most general and tentative
conclusions may be drawn regarding any of them at this time. The
interpretation or extrapolation of such conclusions for US or Allied
circumstances is even more hazardous. Most useful analyses will come only
after the principal research work is complete and we have in hand the most
reliable information there is to be had. This memorandum is not intended to
prejudge any of the study findings.
9. I plan to stay in touch with persons working on the studies as they
progress. If you wish for me to keep you abreast of developments, I shall do
so.
lip de C 1s , o n
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a. I desire further reports G15 d 7^ 3o_W- SL
b. Further reporting not necessary
(U)
Attachments:
Tabs A thru I
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SUBJECT: Military Lessons Learned Studies
DCI/NIC/GPF
Distribution:
Copy 1 - DCI
2 - DDCI
3 - C/NIC
4 - VC/NIC
5 - DDI
6 - DDI/PESI
7 - DDI/EURA/EI
8 - SRP
9 - FLS
10 - NI0/WE
11 - NI0/NESA
12 - NI0/GPF Subj
13 - NI0/GPF Chrono (w/o atts)
14 - NI0/GP
15 - Executive Registry
16 - DDI Registry (w/o atts)
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ICRET
STEERING COMMITTEE
(Formerly Steering Group)
Chairman: Mr. Marshall
ASD(MRA&L) ASD(ISA)
DPA&E OJCS(J-5)
ASD(ISP) PDUSD(R&E)
(meets on call)
SOUTH ATLANTIC LESSONS LEARNED SUBCOMMITTEE
Chairman: Mr. Marshall
reps of committee members
Service representatives.
Defense Agency representatives
(meets on call)
TASK FORCE
LGEN. Phil Shutler (Ret)
DoD Analysts
-some full time
some part time
IDA Analysts
full time
WORKING GROUP
Chairman: (NA)
0-5 and 0- Action Officers
from*all participants
(meets weekly)
LEBANON LESSONS LEARNED SUBCOMMITTEE
Chairman: Mr. Marshall
(Evolving)
COMBAT ASSESSMENT GROUP
(DIA)
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STAG PARTY QUESTIONS
Air Warfare Study Group
a.
b.
Air-to-Ground Activities
Air-to-Air Activities
98
c.
Drones/RPV's
34
d.
Air Launched Missiles art Ordnance
55
e.
Support Aircraft
23
f.
Cruise Missiles
3
a.
Logistics Operations
116
+ 52
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Proposed Topic: Falklands Crisis
Questions: Crisis Warning performance?
How timely was the intelligence info?
How quickly and well did we get organized?
How smoothly did the relationship between CPAS
and production offices work?
Did the working group get good and timely support
from other offices?
How "forward leaning" (predictive) throughout?
How good were our predictions?
Did we appropriately balance our attention to
political, military and economic dimensions?
How well served do the cnctnmarc feal?
What was the effect of the shortage of military
analysts in ALA and EURA--both on the Falklands
work and on other work derailed?
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Methodology:
We will review all forms of product for comprehensiveness,
consistency, accuracy, etc. We will also review the CPAS overnight
logs, compare drafts with final copy and look at DDI's work[---.
The extent of our contact with customers
wi epen on t He results of our internal studies.
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Possible Outside Participant(s): Retired Ambassador I 5X1
(ALA Independent Contractor - definite)
Retired US Army Col 2 1
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