MONTHLY WARNING MEETING - NOVEMBER 1981

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83B01027R000300050013-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 18, 2007
• Sequence Number: 13
• Publication Date: November 23, 1981
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2007/04/19: CIA-RDP83BO1027R000300050013-9
NFAC 7594-81
23 November 1981
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
VIA: National Intelligence Officer for Warning
FROM: Charles E. Waterman
National Intelligence Officer for MESA
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
Monthly Warning Meeting - November 1981
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2. Bright Star. No conventional or unconventional threat Bright
Star activities now in nroaress has bP_P_n detPrtPd_
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Although no specific threat has been dete ,
Community representatives continue to view the relatively small non-combatant
component in Berbera as the most exposed US force participating in Bright Star.
While indications exist that the Ethiopians are planning an undefined move
against United States interests, this may the form of a downgrading of
the current state of diplomatic relations. I I 25X1
 Approved For Release 2007/04/19: CIA-RDP83B01027R000300050013-9
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3. Libya - Chad. As of 19 November, Qadhafi had withdrawn 4,000 of
his 8,000 troops from Chad. His intentions regarding a continued Libyan
troop presence in the Northwest of the country are currently unknown, but
will presumably include a substantial number of the 4,000 now remaining.
Community representatives are in accord that the Libyans would continue to
support Chadian elements supportive of a Libyan resence, and that renewed
violence between various factions could ensue. I 25X1
4. Soviets - Libya. Note was taken by representatives that Soviet
access to Libyan ports and airfields is recurring with greater frequency.
vie do n nowwIT tnese deployments are part o an agreed upon
point plan, but note the current tense atmosphere between Libya and the US
would be conducive to formulating such a plan. I I 25X1
6. Western Sahara-Morocco-Algeria. The tentative identification of
an SA-6 radar inside of Morocco proper raises the obvious possibility of
Polisario attacks in the gene~rea, possibly associated with the 25
November Arab Summit in Fez. 25X1
 Approved For Release 2007/04/19: CIA-RDP83B01027R000300050013-9
Approved For Release 2007/04/19: CIA-RDP83B01027R000300050013-9