ANTIGOVERNMENT RESISTANCE IN VIETNAM

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP83B00551R000100050007-7
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
4
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 11, 2007
Sequence Number: 
7
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 24, 1981
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP83B00551R000100050007-7.pdf192.19 KB
Body: 
pproved Fc Release 2007/04/12 : CIA-RDP83B00551 R TO: ROOM /N O. BUILDING FORM NO. 241 REPLACES FORM 36-8 1 FES 55 WHICH MAY BE USED. pproved For Release 2007/04/12: CIA-RDP83B00551 RO Approved For Release 2007i&.ICIA-RDP83B00551 R000100050007-7 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY NATIONAL FOREIGN ASSESSMENT CENTER Vietnam is not exempt from the sort of armed, antigovern- ment resistance activities that bedevil remote rural areas in every Southeast Asian nation except the city-state of Singapore. In Vietnam, sporadic acts of violence--assassinations of official personnel, ambushes of vehicles on upcountry roads, and bombings of government outposts--are concentrated in the Central Highlands and the Mekong River Delta. Scattered and uncoordinated, these resistance operations necessitate increased security measures, but have little impact upon the stability of the Communist regime. In fact, passive resistance is by far the greater problem for Hanoi. 25X1 We lack reliable information on resistance craani7at-_ir Important questions concerning the scope of their activities, numbers ns 25X1 25X1 of partisans, and recruiting base remain unanswered. 25X1 Ethnic Animosity Armed resistance is rooted primarily in the longstanding racial animosity between Montagnard hilltribes and the dominant lowland Vietnamese. The Montagnards, who constitute about 4.4 million of a nation of perhaps 54 million, want autonomy from any government under ethnic Vietnamese control. Non- Communist collaborators with US forces during the Indochina war, the Montards remain politically naive and organizationally fragmented. II 25X1 This rnemorandwn was prepare by the OJ`fie(~ of East Asian Analysis in response to a request by Representative Donald Bailey. Comments and queries may be addressed to Chien Southeast Asia Division, Office of East Asian Analysis, on to SECRET 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/H3 IA-RDP83B00551 R000100050007-7 The best known of the Montagnard resistance groups is the Front for the Liberation of the Central Highlands (DEGA), earlier known as the United Front for the Liberation of Oppressed Races (FULRO). Founded in 1958 in opposition to the Diem regime, the organization was pacified by later Republic of Vietnam policies, emerging again after 1975 to mount the most active resistance to the Communist government. Today DEGA claims to have several thousand personnel operating in small guerr units in the highland provinces of Dac Lac and Lam Dong. 2X1 Other groups existing outside the mainstream of Vietnamese society--such as the lioa Hao and Cao Dai religious sects--also claim active resistance to the regime, as do some Catholics and disgruntled anti-Communists from the previous government. In addition, extensive emigre organizations proselytize among expatriates and lobby foreign governments for political and material support, but have no discernible impact upon events inside Vietnam. 25X1 External Support DEGA and other groups receive a small amount of Chinese material aid--mostly small arms and ammunition--under Beijing's policy of supporting any and all resistance to Hanoi. Chinese- supplied weapons are hand-carried from depots inside Thailand across northern Kampuchea by resistance representatives escorted by Pol Pot's Democratic Kampuchean (DK) forces. The logistics problems presented by this tortuous route are monumental, but there is no other feasible way to reach the highlands. The Chinese have tried to foster closer cooperation of DK and DEGA forces, as well as other nascent resistance movements, but anti-Vietnamese unity has proved elusive. In addition, China may be trying to stir up resist it among hilltribes i solated in northern Vietnam. 25X1 k1 Passive Resistance Passive resistance is of far greater concern to the govern- ment. Noncooperation has thwarted programs aimed at creating a socialist economy, and. rampant black market trading has had a widespread corruptive influence among government and party cadre. Desertions from military service--particularly among southern draftees--have hampered operations in Kampuchea. 25 1 - 2- SECRET Approved For Release 2007/04/12 : CIA-RDP83B00551 R000100050007-7 Approved For Release 2007/04/12 : CIA-RDP83B00551 R000100050007-7 SECRET Dissatisfaction with the regime's policies does not generally translate into political action because there is no forum for effective dissent. A large number of Vietnamese continue, how- ever, to "vote with their feet" by leaving the country. This refugee exodus not only is a source of embarrassment for the government internationally, it deprives the regime of skilled administrators, technicians, and craftsmen. Essential services in northern Vietnam, for example, have suffered immeasurably by the flight of ethnic Chinese who had dominated c ping and worked the docks in Haiphong harbor. 25X1 Prospects for the Resistance Armed resistance within Vietnam is unlikely to become more than a thorn in Hanoi's side. The active resistance organizations of the Montagnards are critically hampered by logistic problems, geographic and cultural isolation from the bulk of the population, and their own disunity. Other groups are small and have a limited appeal. We see no immediate prospect of any force galvanizing the resistance into a movement that could cause serious problems for the government. 25X1 -3- SECRET d For Release 2007/04/12 : CIA-RDP83B00551 R000100050007-7