THE BURMESE COMMUNIST PARTY: A POWER IN THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7
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RIPPUB
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S
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12
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December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 23, 2007
Sequence Number: 
5
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Publication Date: 
June 1, 1982
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 rectorate of Secret The Burmese Communist Party: A Power in the Golden Triangle Secret EA 82-10075 June 1982 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Directorate of Intelligence The Burmese Communist Party: A Power in the Golden Triangle Information available as of 1 June 1982 has been used in the preparation of this report. Council. This paper has been prepared b Office of East Asian Analysis. Comments and queries are welcome and may be addressed to the Chief Southeast Asia Division, OEA, This paper has been coordinated with the Directorate of Operations and the National Intelligence Secret EA 82-10075 June 1982 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Secret The Burmese Communist Party: A Power in the Golden Triangle Summary Today's Burmese Communist Party is unique among Southeast Asian Communist insurgencies.` It was formed entirely by the Chinese after then President Ne Win began to destroy the original Communist Party in central Burma. A large part of its early membership was Chinese-either army troops or ethnic groups living inside China. Since the reduction of Chinese support in the mid-1970s, it has depended almost entirely on illicit drug trade to finance its operations. Despite likely challenges from rival "liberation" groups and potential strains from within over the huge amounts of revenue generated by the sale of opium, we believe the party will continue its steady expansion. More- over, the party's size, strength, and the remote location of its base of operations will present nearly insurmountable problems for the US- supported antinarcotics programs in the region. Secret EA 82-10075 June 1982 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Figure 1 Golden Triangle: Opium Producing Areas and Burmese Communist Party (BCP) Deployment Less intense poppy cultivation Area of BCP bases Area of heavy BCP activity ~'* Recent penetrations 0 150 Kilometers Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 S erpt The Burmese Communist Party: A Power in the Golden Triangle area and several hundred Chinese troops Rebirth of the Party While the bulk of the original Burmese Communist Party was being destroyed by the Burmese Army in the early 1970s, a newly formed party command was beginning to expand along the Chinese border. Established by the Chinese after the break in Burmese-Chinese relations in 1967, the new command consisted primarily of minority groups living in the border 2 With Chinese 2 assistance, the party leadership organized the command into a six-brigade conventional military force and established administrative control over much of the remote territory in northeastern Burma. It also established a presence in central Shan State, and small groups set up shop in Kachin State and in western Burma. By 1975 the party had grown large enough to allow the Chinese troops to withdraw.) We believe the party's military arm now consists of 12,000 to 14,000 troops-still drawn largely from minority groups-and has the potential for substantial further growth. Party leaders acknowledge that they have been unable to attract support from the ethnic Burmans, who make up about three-fourths of the country's population. Nevertheless, the 8 million minority inhabitants of Burma, who resent ethnic Burman control of the government, constitute a sizable recruiting base for the Communists. some who support the Communists are seeking autonomy; others simply want the arms, food, and other goods the Communists willingly provide.) variety of sources jade smuggli g and increased tax collections from hill tribes are two examples-but the most important source of funds has been opium. By the mid-to-late 1970s, the party had started to encourage-and The Move Into As the Chinese began to cut back their aid to Southeast Asian insurgencies Narcotics in the mid-1970s, the Burmese Communist Party was forced to look for ad- ditional means of support. That support 2 has come from a 2 in some cases demand-poppy cultivation in areas under its domination. Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 The party also established links to other Burmese liberation and trafficking organizations. lit has provided arms to ethnic groups such as the Pa-o Shan State Nationalities Liberation Group and the Kachin Independence Army in exchange for agreements to conduct joint operations-operations that have helped the party expand control over its opium-producing regions. The Shan United Army (SUA), the Golden Triangle's largest drug trafficking organization, purchases the bulk of the party's opium, processes it in refineries along the Thai-Burmese border, and sells it on the international market. Today, through production in its own base area, purchases from allied groups, and regulation of opium caravans, the party exercises control over more than two-thirds of the opium flowing through the Golden Triangle. Burma," is located on Chinese territory. revenues by taxing the shipment and sale of opium, and it controls the trade by establishing and managing cooperative stores. In an attempt both to increase the poppyfields under its control and to curry favor among opium farmers, the party also provides protection-for a price-against Rangoon's attempts at opium eradication. he party collects The Burmese Communists still receive most of their arms and ammunition from the Chinese, and trade in foodstuffs and consumer goods across the border is heavy. Ithe party is conscripting villagers to construct a new cross-border road to ease the delivery of military supplies. In additionj the Chinese provide sanctuary and training for the party's troops in Mina, and the party's radio station, the "Voice of the People of The Chinese also benefit from the relationship I Iseveral hundred Burmese Commu- nists operate in Laos in support of Chinese-backed resistance groups; the operations help pay for Chinese aid.F- _J the Burmese Communists purchase consum- er goods and industrial diamonds in Thailand and trade them to the Chinese for arms and ammunition. Increased Military The party has been slowly expanding its territorial control through Activity guerrilla operations and occasional large, set-piece battles against the Burmese Army. the 1981-82 dry season brought Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Secret Figure 2 Figure 3 Burmese Communist Party Control Southeast Asia's Role in World Opium Over Opium Flow Production and Distribution Provides seed, protection to opium farmers opium Revenues Directs caravans to Thai border,, Burmese Communis Party trafficking groups and private merchants Stores opium at warehouses, marketing points World Heroin Reaching Golden Triangle Raw United States in 1980 Opium Production 1981 4 Metric Tons a 650 Metric Tons a Approximate ratio of raw opium to heroin 10.1. bProduction in Burmese Communist Party secure areas. Does not include amount produced in other areas that is funneled through the BCP. Purchases crop from farmers some major successes for the Burmese Communist Party. Late last year the party set up a regional command in Kayah State with an eye toward establishing a new smuggling route to the Thai border. More important, it has moved troops into the Pegu mountain range in central Burma. This lat- est move is a double threat to the government-a Communist presence there threatens communication between Rangoon and northern Burma and, because it is the first Communist movement into the Pegus since the elimination of the White Fla s in 1975, it will be a major propaganda victory for the party. and dampened Army morale. 2 2 25X Major government counterinsurgency campaigns in the past have checked Communist advances, but operations this year have been ineffective. the insurgents have ample 2 warning of government operations because of the Army's poor communica- tions security; the Army frequently is unable to engage the Communists at all. Moreover, the government's weapons are inferior to those of the Communists, and logistics in the border area are poor. 2 the use over the past few years of plastic antipersonnel 2 landmines by insurgent groups has greatly increased government casualties Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Potential Challenges The move into the narcotics business has not been without problems, some to the Party of which may affect party discipline. 25 party officials are allowed to sell narcotics for personal 25 profit as long as they pay the required taxes. But the potential for enormous personal gain may eventually undermine the party's unity and its long-term goal of overthrowing the government in Rangoon. 25X 25X125 25XI Rivalry amon insurgent groups will grow as the party ex ands. the party wants to increase its involvement in trafficking-now handled primarily by the SUA. Attempts to take over some of the SUA's operations will not only result in military clashes but may lead to the defection of party officials- such as the deputy commander-with SUA ties. We expect to see strains within the organization when the party's aging po- litical leadership is replaced. Although we believe the bulk of the party and its leadership remain firmly pro-Chinese, the defection in 1980 of a Central Committee member over the party's China policy indicates that some differences exist. Implications of In our view, the party should be able to contend with defections from its Continued Growth ranks and clashes with rival groups because of its strong military organiza- of the Party tion, its control over Burma's most productive poppyfields, and the weaknesses of the Burmese Army. As the party continues to grow, it will be a serious problem for the government. Rangoon will be forced to commit even greater resources to combat the insurgency-resources that are badly needed for economic development. Moreover, economic projects designed to wean the hill tribes away from opium production offer substantially lower profits for farmers and thus are unlikely to produce results. the government has allocated funds for the purchase of new weapons, but this will have little impact on the counterinsurgency campaign as long as there are no fundamental improve- ments in the Burmese Army's intelligence, communications security, and logistic systems. 25 25 ,25 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Secret Even though we believe the party cannot now overthrow the government, growing casualties and a seemingly endless campaign are already causing strains within the Army and the leadership. compromises necessary to achieve a truce. solution. But, as during the last two attempts at negotiations, we believe Burmese Party Chairman Ne Win, who despite his retirement from the presidency, still makes all major policy decisions, is unlikely to make the some officers are complaining that their troops are reluctant to fight and that there is growing sentiment for a negotiated Party's inability to absorb increased aid even if China provided it. Thai officials also express concern about the party's growth. Although the Thai have mounted a successful campaign against Thailand's Communist Party, these officials are worried that the two parties might cooperate in funneling Chinese aid to Thai insurgents. The movement of the Burmese Communists toward the Thai border and the occasional contacts between the two parties will heighten Bangkok's concern. We believe that coopera- tion between the two parties is a real possibility, but its impact over the short term will be negligible because of the weakened Thai Communist trade. The US-supported antinarcotics programs in the region will be hindered as the party increases its control over opium production and attempts to develop its own trafficking apparatus. Over time, Washington probably will be asked by the Burmese for additional support in the form of aircraft, communication equipment, and perhaps weapons, as well as increased funds for poppy eradication and substitution programs. But the party's remote location, its powerful military arm, and its continuing close ties to China will make it virtually impossible to eliminate it from the narcotics Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 Secret Appendix Communist Party Chronology of the Burmese 0 1939 Founded in Rangoon. Joins the Anti-Fascist People's Freedom League, a nationalist coalition first resisting Japanese occupation, then seeking independence from Great Britain. 1946 Splits into two factions, the Red Flags and the White Flags. Both groups are expelled from the AFPFL. Burma achieves independence from Great Britain. The overseas branch of the party is formed in Beijing. Burmese President Ne Win calls for negotiations with all insurgent groups, including the party, but talks break down after four months. Burma and China withdraw their ambassadors following anti-Chinese riots in Rangoon. The Burmese Army overruns the headquarters of the White Flags in central Burma. China forms the party's Northeast Command along its border with Burma. 1970 The Red Flags, located in western Burma, are eliminated by the Burmese Army. 1970-73 The Northeast Command expands its area of control to encompass much of the northeastern portion of Shan State east of the Salween River. 1971 Burma and China renew full diplomatic relations. The "Voice of the People of Burma," the party's radio station, is established in China. 1975 The remnants of the White Flags are destroyed by the Burmese Army. Ne Win travels to China to discuss Chinese support to the party. He agrees to negotiate with the insurgents. Negotiations between the government and the party break down after four months. Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100250005-7 ~ec~iet Secret 2 7 }3/05x: CJA-RDP83800227R000100250005-7