THE COMMUNIST PARTY OF THE PHILIPPINES: ORGANIZING FOR REVOLUTION

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CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3
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RIPPUB
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S
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16
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December 19, 2016
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February 14, 2007
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4
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January 1, 1982
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2007/02/16 CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Directorate of Secret Intelligenc_e______ The Communist Party of the Philippines: Organizing for Revolution Secret EA 82-10012 January 1982 306 App. o , dEor. Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Directorate of I Secret Intelligence The Communist Party of the Philippines: Organizing for Revolution A Research Paper Researchfor this report was completed on 30 December 1981. This paper was prepared byl Malaysia/Singapore/Islands Branch, Office of East Asian Analysis. It was coordinated with the Directorate of Operations and the National Intelligence Officer for East Asia. Comments and queries are welcome and may be directed to the Chief, Southeast Asia Division, Office of East Asian Analysis Secret EA 82-10012 January 1982 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Secret The Communist Party of the Philippines: Organizing for Revolution 0 Overview The 8,000-strong Communist Party of the Philippines (CPP/ML) has transformed itself during the past decade from a minor nuisance into a potentially serious security threat to the Marcos government. It has recovered from the disarray of the early 1970s, and its military arm is now active in 43 of the country's 72 provinces. The party leadership believes- with some justification-that the CPP/ML will be able to challenge the government by 1984.1 Basic organizational changes and recent insurgent activity suggest that Mindanao may be the party's major target during the early 1980s. During the next few years, the party will concentrate on organizing a broad national front aimed at consolidating Marcos's opponents behind party efforts. US and other foreign business interests will be subjected to propaganda, and US companies in Mindanao could be especially vulner- able to any concentrated Communist drive. Major problems may still prevent the party from realizing these ambitious goals: ? Decentralization to ensure survivability has led to a weak central leadership unable to control regional committees and coordinate any national program. ? Incipient friction between the party leadership from northern Luzon and groups from the south, where the party's major expansion is occurring. ? Lack of any external funding, which could constrain the party's expan- sion and recruitment efforts. The party could resolve these problems unless the Marcos government makes a concentrated effort to counter party attempts to attract the long- neglected rural population. Secret EA 82-10012 January 1982 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Figure 1 Regional Party Committees of the Communist Party of the Philippines (CPP/ML) Area of most intensive party activity (does not denote party control) . ?0 / U L--_\ Salabac Strait PQ Malaysia Batan Islands 00 SW Basilan Island SW ~~ Jot Pala 200 Kilometers ql' Philippines J O Brand de U.R aalgta indo'he"sia i I s,r J rte' Australia ",,j Pulau Miangas (Indonesia) Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Secret The Communist Party of the Philippines: Organizing for Revolution Sison and his followers finally bolted from the PKP, CPP/ML in both numbers and geographical distribu- This core of students was joined in the late 1960s by the bulk of the declining PKP's military arm, the Hukbalahap (Huks).2 Led by Bernabe Buscayno (Commander Dante), the Huks were attracted by Sison's more activist program. The CPP/ML formed its own military arm-the New People's Army (NPA)-around Dante's Huks in 1969. a generational division, as Sison and other younger The Current Leadership adherents were unable to advance in the party. Accus- When Sison was captured in 1977, most of the ing the PKP of losing its dedication to revolution original party leaders were already either dead or in because of excessive legalism and rampant nepotism, prison. Sison's successors have rapidly expanded the Party Origins The CPP/ML was spawned in the 1960s by a doctri- nal split within the old-line, pro-Soviet Philippine Communist Party (PKP). The CPP/ML's founder, Jose Maria Sison, contended that the PKP was too willing to cooperate with the entrenched Filipino political elite and overemphasized organizing the ur- ban workers. This quarrel was further exacerbated by forming the CPP/ML in December 1968.11 tion. Party membership, for example, has grown from The CPP/ML membership today largely reflects Sison's initial following in the country's leading col- leges and universities. In 1964, inspired by the exam- ple of Mao's Cultural Revolution, Sison created the Nationalist Youth (Kabataang Makabayan), a radi- cal-left student organization that was in the forefront of the violent anti-Marcos and anti-US demonstra- tions that rocked Manila in the late 1960s. The Nationalist Youth had cadre on campuses throughout the country, although its center was in elite Manila universities such as the University of the Philippines and Ateneo de Manila-schools where the party continues to find sympathy and new recruits. Most of the party's present leaders acquired their experience with the Nationalist Youth or its several allied organi- zations. ' The PKP was severely hurt by the split, which resulted in the loss of almost all its military arm, and by the 1972 imposition of martial law. By the mid-1970s, the PKP had accepted an amnesty from the government and now has a semilegal status. Confined mostly to the Manila area, the PKP has a limited following and its members around 2,000 in 1970 to 8,000 in 1980. Moreover, since early 1980, the leadership has displayed a marked aggressiveness and willingness to challenge government military forces. CCP/ML activities, al- though uncoordinated to some extent, have become so worrisome to the Marcos government that troops have been transferred from the Muslim areas of Mindanao, where they have fought a decade-long war against Muslim separatists, to Samar and eastern Mindanao, where recent party/NPA inroads have been the most spectacular. In theory, the party is run by a 15- to 17-man Central Committee, which sends its directives to the 13 regional party committees for implementation. 25 Philippine tradition of armed peasant protest. The cry for land reform had attracted many poor farmers to its ranks in the late 1940s, and both Dante and his closest lieutenants were of peasant origin. Sison's emphasis on the primacy of rural areas in promoting the revolution thus filled a familiar niche and accounts for the party's apparent ease in developing rural support during the 1970s. Combined with student activists, the peasant guerrillas give the Marxist revolution a Filipino face. Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 The Central Committee is a young group. Almost all committee members are in their early or mid-30s, and none are over 50. Barring arrest or death, its members should be active for at least two decades and provide the continuity of policy and direction the party needs to "seize state power." A decade-long existence un- derground has also created a leadership that is both ruthless and pragmatic. Moreover, because of its isolation from potential foreign supporters the cur- rent leadership is extremely self-reliant. Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Secret Most of the Central Committee members have first- inner circle, the five-man Politburo, and the Central hand military experience. Some, like NPA chief Committee. All are from the central Luzon area and Juanito Rivera, have assassinated government offi- personify the Ta alo Ilocano dominance of the party cials. This has blurred distinctions between civil and leadership. military roles among party leaders and facilitated party control of the insurgency The party is directed by a triumvirate-Central Com- mittee Chairman Rodolfo Salas, Military Commis- sion head Juanito Rivera, and Secretary General ereas a tree are apparently 25 competent, t e ac of a single unchallengeable leader probably has hurt efforts by the leadership to its control over the regional party committees. 25 Rafael Baylosis. All are members of both the party's 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 The Provincial Base The party believes the path to power is through a rural-based insurgency, and it has concentrated its efforts in the provinces for more than a decade. The CPP/ML is now active in 43 of the country's 72 provinces, and in August 1980 it called for establish- ing more rural guerrilla bases. Urban organizing in the form of urban branches for each regional party committee occurs but is a low priority in party strategy Besides dogma, the major impetus for the move to the provinces was the 1972 declaration of martial law. Before, the party was based mainly in Manila and to the north in an area of central Luzon traditionally controled by the Huks. Government counterinsur- gency measures following martial law forced the party leadership to abandon these areas. Since then, the party has expanded basically east and south. Manila and central Luzon have been relegated to the back- ground, although they are the key to political success in the Philippines The move to the provinces has strengthened the regional committees at the expense of the Central Committee. The constant turnover caused by numer- ous arrests of key cadre members in the early 1970s and disruptions forced by repeated movement to avoid capture broke down already tenuous intraparty links. As a result, the regional party committees-the pivot- al units in the party structure linking local members with the party leadership-became virtually inde- pendent by the mid-1970s The party's national leadership is trying unsuccessful- ly to minimize regional autonomy. It has little to offer regional party committees, which are financially and organizationally self-sufficient. An attempt in 1978 to use force failed. In that year the Central Committee launched a party rectification campaign after a seri- ous internal dispute with the Manila-Rizal regional party committee. The Manila group, led by Central Committee member Filemon Lagman, challenged the party's anti-Soviet posture and its emphasis on a rural-based revolution. In turn, the party leadership charged Lagman and his associates with "rightist opportunism," demoted and later murdered him, and dissolved the regional committee. The leadership was unable, however, to expand the impact of the rectifi- cation campaign beyond Manila-Rizal. No other re- gional leaders were challenged and the campaign ceased Another outgrowth of the party's rural expansion is the change in the membership structure. With the party's shift toward the rural southern areas of the country, more non-Tagalog/Ilocano speakers are be- ing recruited. This trend may eventually end the Tagalog/Ilocano domination of the party and produce a stronger grassroots structure. The party has also become more sophisticated about recruiting at the local level after a disastrous expe- rience in the mid-1970s in the Bicol-the long penin- sula southeast of Manila. The Tagalog/Ilocano orga- nizers sent by the party apparently were too arrogant for the local population and the mobilization effort 25 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Secret suited in a serious defeat, with survivors fleeing to the failed. Possessing only limited popular support, few local recruits, and even fewer weapons, the Bicol organizing committee then tried to stand against a major government military sweep in 1975. This re- nearby island of Samar Learning from its mistakes in the Bicol, the party has doubled to 13. Party resurgence is best demonstrated The number of regional party committees has almost succeeded in greatly expanding its provincial base. by its performance on Samar. From less than a dozen shocking the Marcos government in mid-1977 by controls as many as 1,500 guerrillas. It succeeded in members in 1972, the Samar regional party now temporarily seizing two towns in the roadless north- The party has nonetheless paid for its move to the provinces. The virtual autonomy of the regional party committees makes a coordinated nationwide effort very difficult. The national leadership must devote too much time and effort strengthening its position vis-a- vis the regional committees. Thus, although decen- tralization has allowed the party to take advantage of local opportunities to expand, it has also prevented the party from realizing its potential as a political force with national appeal and impact. Financing the Revolution domestic sources] Reliance on domestic financing, while ensuring na- tional party independence, has its drawbacks. Because funds are generated locally and most of the money 25 remains at the regional level, the national party leadership is resource short. Financially independent regional party committees can, therefore, safely ig- nore any national leadership directive they dislike without fear of serious reprisals. Party funds are-by their method of collection-tied to control of specific areas. If government operations force the local party to relinquish that control, the loss will have a definite impact. Furthermore, regional committee reliance on locally generated funding makes any nationwide campaign difficult to imple- ized at the national level, the CPP/ML will find it difficult to unite its regional enclaves Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 The party wisely appears to be seeking supplemental funding that is not tied to control of specific areas. One new source appears to be the national front movement, which party cadres are now trying to infiltrate and control. If successful, the front would give the party money collected from a variety of national rather than regional groups. Moreover, be- cause the Central Committee directly controls the party's efforts to create a Communist-dominated na- tional front, this source of funds would be held by the national leadership and thus provide some leverage with recalcitrant regional party committees Taking the Nationalist Line Party interest in developing a broad anti-Marcos national front is longstanding. The second party ple- num in September 1970 recognized the need to establish a mass base of support by linking with nonparty groups also opposed to the Marcos govern- ment. By late 1971, a preparatory commission was established under Central Committee auspices to initiate the program. Party cadre members were In the current period of increasing domestic political instructed to contact sympathizers among Christian polarization, the party views the Natdems as its best activists, Muslim secessionists, students, and even vehicle for capturing the anti-Marcos movement. anti-Marcos rightwing nationalist groups. Martial law More moderate political figures are either courted or, disrupted these efforts, which had achieved limited if unresponsive, attacked. For example, the leading progress only among Christian activists. Senior party Marcos opponent-exiled former senator Benigno officials involved in front work were arrested and the Aquino-has been characterized in Natdem publica- party, under constant pressure from the authorities, tions as a "reconciliationist" and "collaborator" under was unable to pursue the front idea. Instead of "US imperialist" influence.' Some non-Communist becoming the driving force behind the anti-Marcos groups that do not belong to the front are dismissed in movement, the party was reduced to trying to attach Natdem publications as CIA creations. Moreover, the itself to the more popular non-Communist groups= government has inadvertently played into the party's Sison, dissatisfied with the progress of the armed struggle, resurrected the national front program in May 1977. Despite Sison's arrest later in the year, the preparatory commission remained active, taking ad- vantage of the somewhat relaxed climate surrounding the April 1978 parliamentary elections. Since then, the national front has occupied an increasingly impor- tant place in party planning. hands. Its continuing refusal to treat the moderate opposition with anything less than contempt only undermines the moderates and further assists the The party is also using the Natdems to play on nationalism, a powerful theme in 20th century Philip- pine history. Often translated into anti-American and/or anti-Japanese sentiment, nationalism allows those dissatisfied with Marcos to believe that the Philippines can blame foreigners for its problems. Where Filipinos might not respond to a Communist 25X 25X 25X Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Secret appeal, nationalism could prove to be a more effective lure. Thus the party, through the Natdems, seeks to lead a united front against the US-Marcos dictator- ship rather than call for revolution. The country's worsening economy and the policy reforms that the World Bank and the IMF want Manila to introduce fan nationalist fires, especially in the economically depressed southern part of the countr where the party is most active. The party's nationalist line is its channel to the younger generation of political leaders. Although the party leadership, especially under Sison, dealt with the country's old-line political leaders, it realizes the best prospects for influencing nonparty groups lie in the long term. Indeed several moderate opposition politicians have stated that they are becoming irrele- vant as their younger colleagues are attracted to more radical solutions. Natdem acceptability among anti- Marcos opponents rose appreciably in June 1981, when the moderates joined the Front in boycotting the presidential election[ The Front provides the party with new recruits. The party has been able to recruit promising students, for example, by monitoring their performance and com- mitment as members of the League of Filipino Stu- dents and the Youth for Nationalism and Democracy. Similar front groups exist in the labor movement and among Christian activists. In more strongly CPP/ML influenced rural areas, party front groups have been able to organize substantial portions of the peasantry, but have been unable to attract more than a handful of Muslim adherents. Despite increased emphasis on the national front strategy, Natdem-sponsored dem- onstrations remain relatively small by Philippine standards; only 1,500 persons were involved in a demonstration in Manila last Octobe 1 500 full-time guerrillas, is now _____________________ lanywhere from 5,000 to 10,000 25 regu ars. Because so many of the regional party members command NPA units, party control is virtually total. At the national level, NPA activities come under the loose direction of the Central Committee, which oversees the r ommission headed by Rivera. A similar organizational structure exists at the re- gional party committee level and lower. Guerrilla fronts are subordinate to the regional party commit- tees and none appear to be organized across regional committee boundaries. While troops may be moved from area to area, major commanders apparently are not. There is no evidence of any multifront operation involving more than one regional authority. As a result, the insurgency has a brushfire character Aside from the opportunities presented by the Nat- dems, the NPA offers the best field for party recruit- ment. From the party's perspective, control of the insurgency is paramount to party success and requires 25 placing and maintaining officials in responsible posi- tions. The relatively rapid growth of the insurgency since 1977-in terms of both personnel and geograph- ic extent-combined with the greater number of The Military Arm Over the past decade, the New People's Army has evolved into a respectable military force that in recent months has hesitated little in initiating combat with government forces. Armed strength, originally around ' This paper does not directly address the military aspects of the NPA insurgency. A forthcoming paper from the Office of East Asian Analysis will examine recent developments in both the for dealing with them. Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 clashes with the Philippine military, places heavy demands on the party's still limited manpower pool. By screening possible recruits through the NPA, the party can fill the need for competent, dedicated personnel and maintain its hold on the military arm of the revolution. At the same time, the growing number of insurgent leaders drawn from the southern provinces probably will weaken the impact and influence of the old Huk core, who basically represent the Tagalog/Ilocano dominance of the party. As these Huks are eclipsed in number by newer recruits, the NPA will move away from its central Luzon heritage and more accurately reflect the Philippines' regional diversity. The party could then become even more regionalized. Converse- ly, continued introduction of non-Tagalog/Ilocano speakers could give the party a more national image, and allow the party to better present itself as a legitimate protector of rural Filipinos from an Ilo- cano-dominated military and political regime. Despite its recent growth, the NPA is still achieving only limited success. It has been unable to create a liberated zone, although it has come close in Samar and may succeed there sometime in the next several years. With the party leadership entirely in the country, it needs the secure base a liberated zone would provide to better coordinate party activities. A liberated zone would also enhance the party's claim to be an effective alternative to the Marcos government. The most serious obstacle to creating a zone is the government's growing commitment against the insur- gency. Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 An expansion of the party may trigger several incip- ient problems. As the party incorporates more mem- bers from its remote rural areas, the dominance of urbanized, middle class, ex-students may come under increasing challenge. Peasant-student divisions among the leadership have been present since the outset, and while a severe intraparty rift appears to have been avoided, continued rural ex an i create more pressure in this area. Another potential problem is financing. The party's forced reliance on domestic sources for fundin and weapons may undercut the nace of exnansior own internal shortcomings lthough it has major internal problems, functioned and grown without meeting any serious obstacles. Failure to resolve these problems will at the worst delay the 1984 target for challenging the government. Any delay could give the Marcos government the time needed to recoup lost ground, specifically the opportu- nities squandered in the 1970s, to neutralize the party when it was weak. However, if the government contin- ues to offer only ill-managed and ineffective social programs, or increases its reliance on a military approach, the party may have time to overcome its Targeting Mindanao Mindanao appears to be the most likely area for success of the Program. The rising number ofNPA incidents over the last year further underscores this impression. Next to the cen- tral Luzon plains, resource-rich Mindanao is probably the most attractive area for party operations. Govern- ment presence is minimal in what is still a frontier. The domination of most of the island's economic and political institutions by immigrants from the central Visayan islands, where many areas are already under party influence, gives the party a net of family and other ties that in r e the nrosnec "t successful penetration The presence in southwest Mindanao of a well-armed Muslim guerrilla force is also attractive to the party, although the Muslim insurgent leaders have refused to coordinate their efforts in any substantial way with Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 the NPA. Some low-level cooperation has been re- ported. If a working alliance with the Muslims could be forged, it would open the possibility of an external supply route (via Sabah, Malaysia) for the first time in the party's existence. The chance to coordinate mili- tary operations against government forces too small and too overextended to deal with both insurgencies at once offers greater possibilities. This has been the fear of government security officials for years and the party may be better able to pursue such a develop- mentL5. Secret 10 Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3 Secret Secret Approved For Release 2007/02/16: CIA-RDP83B00227R000100020004-3