VALIDITY STUDY OF NIE 54-2-58 THE OUTLOOK FOR POLITICAL STABILITY IN CEYLON PUBLISHED 9 DECEMBER 1958

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020034-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 6, 2006
• Sequence Number: 34
• Publication Date: July 15, 1959
• Content Type: NOTES

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Approved For Reese 2006/01/17 : CIA-RDP82M00097ROQp600020034-7
USIB-D-16.2/16
16 July 1959
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
Validity Study of NIE 54-2-58
The Outlook for Political Stability in Ceylon
Published 9 December 1958
The attached validity study of NIE 54-2-58 was noted by the
Intelligence Board on 14 July (VSIB-M-48, item 7 b).
h;xecutive secretary
Approved For Release 2006/01/17 : CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020034-7
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 SECRET
Approved For Rei a 2006/01/17 : CIA-RDP82M00097RO 00020034-7
USIB -D- 16. 2 /16
15 July 19 59
Validity Study of NIE 54-2-58
The Outlook for Political Stability in Ceylon
Published 9 December 1998
The conclusions of NIE 54-2-58 remain valid. Political
instability has indeed increased. Although the Bandaranaike.
government is still in power, the estimate that there was an
even chance it would not last its full term until 1961 is more
than supported by current evidence. The resignation of Gunawardena
was not forecast in 54-2-58, but it was in keeping with the estimate
of paraliamentary and governmental disunity. As was estimated in
54-2-58, we still believe that the communists groups are unlikely
to achieve sufficient power or unity to overthrow a non-communist
government in the foreseeable future.
Approved For Release 2006/01/17 : CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020034-7
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