FOIA
VALIDITY STUDY OF NIE 41-58 PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN JAPAN'S INTERNATIONAL ORIENTATION PUBLISHED 23 DECEMBER 1958
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020024-8
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
2
Document Creation Date:
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date:
January 6, 2006
Sequence Number:
24
Case Number:
Publication Date:
February 11, 1960
Content Type:
MEMO
File:
| Attachment | Size |
|---|---|
 CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020024-8.pdf | 56.51 KB |
Body:
Approved For Release 2006/01/17E~?-~ P82M00097R000600020024-8
~v.,rv
USIB-D-16. 2/26
11 February 1960
UNITED STATES INTE:LLh'GENCE BOARD
Validity Study of NIE 41-58
Probable Developments in Japan's International Orientation
Pul4i.ahed-,Z3 Dee"cember 1958
The attached validity study of NIE 41-58 was noted by the
Intelligence Board on 9 February 1960 (USIB -M-80, 10. c. ).
Executive Secretary
Attachment
Approved For Release 2006/01g? P82M00097R000600020024-8
SECRET
Approved For Relea?eA006/01/17 : CIA-RDP82M00097R0006QW20024-8
tJSIB-D?16. 2/26
11 February 1960
Validity Study of NIE 41-58
Probable, Developments in Japan's International Orientation
Published 23 December 1958
1. Overall, NIE 41-58 has held up well, and, with two exceptions,
we believe the judgments expressed in this estimate remain valid
today.
2. The statement in conclusion 5 that "there will probably be
some improvement in the current strained relations with Communist
China, and trade with China will probably be resumed within the next
year or so" has proved to be incorrect. In fact, Communist China
has continued its outspoken hostility to the Kishi government and
Sino-Japanese relations have not improved.
3. Another development of particular interest and importance,
which the estimate did not foresee was the recent split in the Japan
Socialist Party. Paragraph 5 of the Annex indicated that there were
serious internal differences in the party but concluded that the
Socialists would probably "hold together" and concentrate on strengthen-
ing party unity.
Approved For Release 2006/01/17 : CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020024-8
SECRET
Printer-friendly version