JPRS ID: 10348 JAPAN REPORT
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~ ru?c ~rri~~A~ u~~, urvLY
JPRS L/10348
Z3 FEBRUARY I9H2
Ja crn Re ort
p p
(FOUO 13/82)
FB~$ FOREIGN SROAUCAST INFORIt/IATION SERVICE
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JPRS L/10348
23 February 1982
JAPAN REFORT
(FOUO 13/82)
~ CONTENTS
POLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAI,
Suzuki Government at Poli;;ical, Diplomatic Turning Point
" (YOMIURI SHI~'IBUN, 4 Jan 82) 1
Pz~ospect~, Power of Tanaka Faction Analyzed
_ (NIHON K~IZAI SHIMBUN, 11~, 15 Jan 82) Lt
Remarks by Rokosuke Tanaka
Sources of F'action's Power
Factional Disputes Within i~DP B.anks Described
(SANKEI, 8, 9 Dec 81) 9
[Jnrest Within Suzuki Faction -
Focus on LDP Vice-Presidency
Ear7.y Start of General Election Campaign Noted
(NIHON KEIZAI SH~IBUI1, 19 Jan 82, YOMIURI ShIMBUN, I~ Jan 82) 13
Qpposition Partiesf Preparations
- LDP Preparing f'or Elections
MILITARY
Pro~ltiction o[' U.S. 203-MM Howitzer Parts
~ (JIJI, 9 I~eb 82) 16
1:srael Use~ Japanese-Made Patrol Craft
(THE DPILY YOMIURI, 7 Feb 82) 17
BriPfs
Arms Sales to U.S. 18
Nuclear Technology Exports 18
- a - [III - ASIA - 111 FOUO]
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FOR nFFI('IAI, 1!til? ONl.ti'
ECONOMIC
Nation's PPr Capita GNP to Top U.S. in 2000
(JAPAN 'r',CONOMIC JOURNAL, 26 Jan 82) 19
To,yota Motor, Sales Arms Will Nlerged in July
(JAPAN ECO~JO.KIC JOURIAL, 2 F'eb 82 ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Bricfs
li.S. Tariffs 2~
� SCI IIVCE AN D TECHNOLOGY
Government To Run Short of F,~ergy D2velopment Flznds
(S~igeru Komago; JAPAN ECODIOMIC JOURNAL, 26 Jan 82)..... 21~
, Laser Beam Cutter Using Optical I'iber Creat~d
(JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURAIAL, 2 Teb 82) ~b
JITA To I'ush Patent Sales Overseas
(JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 2 Feb 82) 27
'ASAHI' iJrge~ Nation's Efforts for ELntarctic Order
(Editorial; ASAHI EVENIi~IG NEWS, 3 Feb 82) ~g
F'acilities Compl~ted for Inter�feran Production
(JAPAN ECOAOMIC JOURNAL, 2 Feb E32) 30
Facsimile Equipment Expected To Climb 25 Percent
(JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAI,, 2 Feb 82) ~l
Research, Development Expenditures Grow 1~~.5 Percent
(JAPAN ECOPIOM~C JOURPIAL, 26 Jan 82) 32
Mitsui, Gentronics Tie Up for Biocomputer 7'or.Ylnolom.y
_ (JAPAN ~CUNOMIC JOURNAL, 26 Jan 82) 33
MITT Project To Develop Supercomputer Starts in January
~ (NIHON i~0,~Y0 SF:IMBUN, 3 Jan 82 } . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3~
Brief's
USSR Orders Lathes 36
World's Largest Robot Mill 36
l~.K Static RAM ~ s 36
Com~uter Exports Increase 37
Interfer~n Production Boost 37
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rc~R c~i~f~ic�t.~~. t~~i~: c~~i.~~
POLITICAL r~ND SOCIOLOGI~AL
SUZUKI GOVERNMENT AT POLITICAL, DIPLOMATIC TURi3ING POINT
Tokyo YOMIURI S~iIMBUN in Japanese 4 Jan 82 p 2
[Text) The year 1982, wh3.cn we enter with a large reduction in weJ_fare expenses
and a big increase in defense expenses, seems to be a major turning point in both
the domestic political and diplomatic aspects of the ,structure of postwar Japan.
Ii. view of the intention oF all oppositic+n parties, including middle-of-road
forces, to request smenlment of the budget draft, the current focus of attention
is on how Prime Min.ister Suzuki, who wants to pass the budget draft without amend-
ment, can ride out the Diet session. However, the large increase in defense spend-
ing and setback for welfare do not mean merely a quantiL-ative chauge in the amount
of mot�y in the budget or the rate of increase. It has become more likeZy that the
brakes on defense spendi.ng will be eliminated. The new budget draft also indicates
a qualitative ~~ange in that the policy premises which have supported the postwar
structure have collapsed. In the midst of a tense international situation, new
ideas will be questioned in debates at the Diet and other cpportunities.
A Year of Many Difficulties
Prime I~fin ister Suzuki said that "This is going to be a year of many diff iculties
both domestica'~.a and diplomatically" at his New Year's press conference. The
New Year began with the Polish situation in a hair-trigger situation. In the
Piiddle F;ast the conf:-~ntation between Israel and the Arab states has b~come tense
- again because of Israel's annexation of the Golan Heights. Depending on ~ne situa-
tion in these areas, military tension may suddenly heighten throughout the world.
There is a strong fear that Japan may have to face new diff iculties--beginning with
our Soviet policy, "the third oil crisis," and so forth.
As for the Japan-U.S. relationship, the Japanese Government worked out a 7.754 per-
= cent increase in the defense budget, and the U.S. Government appraised it as wel-
come in statements issued by Secretary of State Haig and Secretary of Def ense
Weinburger. For this reason the Japanese Government expects "a state of calm" in
the bilateral relationship for a while.
However, Senate and House heari~igs on U.S.-Japanese problems are scheduled to begin
in Frebruary. With the trade frictions symbolized by an increase in the bilateral
- trade deficit vis-a-vis Japan in the background, it is likely tliat U.S. dissat:is-
faction toward Japan will be brought up again. To eliminate nontariff barraers,
the prime min ister intends to complete draft revisions of related laws by the end
of January and thereby demonstrate "Japan's effort to open its market."
1
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t~c~u c~1~H'i~~i;~t. i~~s~: c~!~t.~
However, concerned domestic industries are expected to ~odge strong protests.
~foreover, even if t~iie Japanese Governn2nt elimiriates all nontariff barri.ers, an
� instant increase in imports from the United States cannot be expected. "The key
Co the U.S.-Japan relationstiip is how convincingly the Jap~ese Gc~vernment can. ~er-
suiade the U.S. Congress that Japan is exertin~ efforts to o~en its r~arket" (a
_ government source).
- Political Life
In tne midst c,f a severe international environment, Pr.ime Minister Suzuki will
carry out "a real admin istrative reform" in accordanc~.- with the basic report
scheduled for presentatic~l by the Second Special Administrative Investigation
Council next June and will make preparations for reelecti~n in the fall. This is
the pri,-ne min ister`s strategy. However, the basic report is expected to call for
"a bloody administrative reform" that involves revision of the management system
of the three public corporations and f ive gov~rnment enterprises, which include
Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Piiblic Corporation, Japan National Railways, and
Japan rtonopnly Corporationy and the integration or abotition of several ministries
and agencies. Any ocie of these changes is quite a difficult problem.
"[ditliout considerable leadership, it is impossible to realize ~:hem" (an LDP source).
The problem is not just the challenge posed by the basic report. The prime min ister
could not liold down an increase in government employee salaries ~nd in defense
expenditure this year, and thF.refore could not even maintain tlie basic principle
of the r.eport of the First Special Adm inistrative Investigation Council. IY~rther-
more, he has been cornered into issuing more government bor.gs to finance the defi-
cit. His public promise of "financial reconstruction" seems difficult to keep.
- In particular, the administration is planning to eliminate the issuance of govern-
ment bonds to cover deficits by FY-84. To actiieve this goal, the tar~et amount
~ for reduction of the deficit in FY-82 is ~.83 trillion yen. Of that, the govern-
ment bond portion ~tops at ].5 trillion yen. Even within the cabinet, there is
some question whether "the target can really be acha.eved."
Chief Cabinet Secretary Miqazawa emphasizes the administration's intention to hold
tigtit to the final Larget of reduction of deficits finac~ced by government bonds:
"Depending on economic trends, we can expect an uccel.eration in the natural in-
crease of taxes." If tax revenues decrease in FY-82 as they did last year, the
administration has to either incre?se governmen,t bond issues agaii~, postpone the
date for achievement of the target reduction, or adopt new taxes such as a general
consumption tax.
Adopticn of any of these three alternatives means that the f inancial reconstruction
and administrative reform oil which Prime Minister Suzuki is wagering his political
life will have collapsed. Then, th~~ pri.me minister will be cornered in a difficult
po s it ion .
t1 tidavering Principle
The most outstanding characteristics of the 1982 budget draft, which contains an
abundance of problems, are an extreme cut in social welfare spending and a large
- increase in defense expenditures. The rate of increase for social welfare spending
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is 2 percent, which is the lowest since the end of the war. It l:as put an end to
the welfare priority line, which every administration has adopted since the end of
the war. Priority has clearly shifted from "butter rather than guns" or "both
butter and guns" to "guns rather than butter."
ror years there have been multiple brakes on defense spending: 1) the rate of in -
crease must he held lower than that of social welfare spending; 2) defense spending
as a percentage of all general account spending (percentage of the wteole) must be
kep tlower than the percentage of th~ previous year; 3j defense spending must be
kept within 1 percent of the GNP.
Among these brakes, the rates of increase for defense 1nd welfare spending reversed
by a narrow marg uz f~r the f irst time last year. The margin has been enlarged by
_ far this year. This year's percentage of the whole, 5.21 nercent, also exceeded
that of the previou.s year, 5.13 percent, for the f irst time in 26 years. The ratio
of defense spending relative to GNP this year is 0.933 percent, which is tt~e same
high level as 15 years ago. Moreover, the defense spending provided in the govern-
~ent `s l~udget draft has exceeded the maximum guideline (the cei~L~ng) in the outline
for budget requESts. This is an abnormal state,
Except for "within 1 p:~~rcent of the GNP," all the brakes have failed. Moreover,
it is said t}~at "the last line" of within 1 percent of the GNP "will surely be
br~ken within a few years" (a Defense Agency source).
The opposition parties are focusing on the "abnormal protrusion" of defense ex-
- penditures as a target for attack. They are preparing to request amendments,
includi.ng a recompilation. of the budget draft at the general session of the Diet
~ahich will reopen late in January. Because of this, the Diet session may be, for
the f irst time in a long while, the place of "total confrontation between the
government and th~ oppositi~n parties."
- COPYRIGHT: Yomiuir Shimbunsha 1982
9896
cso: 4105/46
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H'OR OFF7('IA1. Util�: t)hl.l'
POLITICAL AND SOCIQLOGICAL
PROSPECTS, POWER Or TANAKA FACTION ANALYZED
R.emarks by Rokosuke Tanaka
Tokyo NIHON ICEIZAI SHIMBUN in Japanpse 14 Jan 82 p 2
[Text] "It appears very likely that Mr Tanaka (the former prime minister) is
innocent, but if he is convicted, I think the Tanaka faction on the contrary will
be more strongly united." On the afternoon of 13 January, Liberal Democratic Party
I'olicy Aftairs Research Council Chairnian Rokusuke Tanaka's bold statement ran through
l;he political world in which the festive mood of the New Year still lingered. It
was a straightforward analysis in a public place of a party leader's prospects in
= the I.oclcheed trial, which is expected to influence greatly the ~~nsuring political
- situar_ion and treiids within the Tanaka ~action. I~'or this reason, Tanaka's comment
spread very quickly. No less th~n 30 minutes after his comment a leadin~ member
, of the Tanaka faction whispered to an acquaintance: "Mr Roku (chairman of the LDP
Policy Affairs Research Council) reportedly has said something."
Later Chairman Tanaka explained to reporters the true intention of his remark and
made the following correction: "Since it (the Lockheed incident) has been en.trusted
to t!le jurlicial authorities, I cannot comment on it. Even if Tanaka is not innocent,
as some people say, the Tanaka faction will be strongly united and will not be
dissolvecl. Moreover, it seems that I mistoolc the meaning of the question and
gave the wrong answer."
At noon on 13 January LDP Policy Affair.s Research Council Chairman Tanaka gave a
lecr_ure at ttie annual New Year's meeting of the Kisaragikai sponsored by the KYODU
~~ire service. His lecture was primarily concerned with economic issues. After his
~ speer_h, one participant asked him: "If Tanaka is convicted and given an actual
prison term in the Lockheed trial, what will happen in the political arena? Is it
- likely l:liat the political situation will become unstable and the Diet will be dissolved?"
Ttie chairman anscaered these questions frankly: "Since I know the relationship between
_ Mr Ohira [the late prime minister, Rok.usuke Tanaka's political mentor] and Mr Tanaka,
I truly hope that Mr Tanaka will be found not guilty. However, it seems very unlikely."
"When Mr Tanaka is in such position (being a defendant), people will flock (to the
Tanaka faction). This is, I think, because Mr Tanaka's gifted political sense and
_ policies attract like-minded fellows and they knock on Tanaka's doer." "As to whether
this unit}� will collapse or not, people say that when a house is poor, a dutiful
- child is born.
. ~
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People say tliat the Tanaka faction will disintegrate, but I think that on ttie contrary
- it will be more strongly united." "Even if he is convicted in the first instance,
if 1?e appeals to a court of intermediate appeal, he will continue his political
activities."
Hor ~l?e time being, people in the political arena are anticipating former Prime
hiiniste~~ Tanaka's conviction, and how the Tanaka faction will act in such a case is
a f.ocus of attention in forecasting the political situation thereafter. Several
views have been put forward--d view that the Tanaka faction will split into a
Nikaido (the LDP secretary general) group, a Takeshita (deputy secretary general)
group, and a Shin Kanemaru group; a view that a split in the Tanaka faction will
_ trigger reorganization of factions within the LDP and that a wave of generation
change will then surge over the LDP; or, on the contrary, hecause there is well-
grounded evidence of Tanaka's innocence, Prime Minister Suzuki apgointed Mr Nikaido
oE the Tannka facticm the pr.~cr. J Huw many more?
[Tanakaj There are five or six individu:_1~ who are no~a in the process of regis~ratioil.
By tha encl of this year the total. membership iaill probably be 1LS. After the next
election, the total number will be approximately 130. There are 34 or 35 who are
planning to run for the first time in the next election. I can name them if you want
me to.
[Reporter] What is the secret of managing a factien?
' [Tanaka] In a very real sense, we have a basic policy of ~oluntary management. We
cann~t acco:nplish anything if we do not tell our members everything we know. Things
move quickly today. I teach them all knowhow. Our economy has become an open economy.
COPYRIGHT: Nition I:eizai Shimbunsha 1982
9896
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't A 1, l 15I~: O;~ I.Y
y POLITICAL AND SOCIALOGICAL
= FACTIONAL DISPUTES WITHIN LDP RANKS DESCRIBED
Unrest Within Suzuki Faction
Tokyo SANKEI in Japanese 8 Dec 81 p 2
[Text] The Kochi-kai, the faction of Prime Minister and LDP President Zenko Suzuki,
is being wracked by dissatisfaction over the recent cabinet reshuf.fle. This anger
is msinly over the fact that Rokusuke Tanaka was appointed chairman of the Policy
Affairs Research~Council and that not a single new face was brought into the cabinet;
that fac*_ional elders and leaders who were not chosen this time to join the cabinet
share in this anger gives it its distinctive feature.
At one point, Kuniki Saito, the faction's executive secretary who served as Prime
Minister Suzuki's chief adviser, was even forced to submit to an angry cross-examina-
tion. Some Diet members now go so far as to predict a"riot" at the faction's year-
end party, which is scheduled for the 1Qth. By a"lightning" personnel shuffle, which
he carried out under the slogan, "everybody gets to play ball," the prime minister
_ has strengthened his prospects for reelection. At this rate, however, his first task
apparently will be to put out the fire under his own feet.
The skill exhibited by the pr.ime minister in this recent reshuffle drama ;�~as truly
marvelous, and it brought the house down with.cries of: "He's truly Mr Personnel!"
and "he's even more skillful than former Prime Minister Sato!"
While his chief adviser, Saito, was strengthening relations with the Tanaka faction,
Suzuki had Chief Cabinet Secretary Kij.chi Miyazawa act as liaison with f.ormer Prime
Minister Takeo Ftikuda. The Fukuda faction took a hard line on the questic~n of Mutsuki
Kato joining the cabinet, and ehwn its intention of having Executive Council Chairman
- Ryuo Tanaka withdraw from the cabinet-forming headquarters was revealed, the prime
minister himself telephoned Chairman Tanaka and obtained his promise of cooperation.
In addition, some ot Suzuki's actions seemed to show that he was trying to drive a
wedge between Fukuda and MITI Minister Shintaro Abe, the crown prince of the F~kuda
faction~ Great skill was exhibited not only in the selection of the cabinet, but
also in moving ahead on the simultaneous selection of parliamentary vice ministers
- and party division chairmen as well.
. Tliis speedy way of doing things, however, created dissatisfaction among the elders
- uf the Suzuki faction. Not only did the cabinet not include any new person from the
faction, but the number of posts allocated to the Lower House was reduced by one.
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Added to tlieir bitter feeling about tris, the elders !iad thought, according to a
factiona7. leader, that Rokusuke Tanaka "should get no more than the chai_rmanship
- of the D:Let Policy Committee," but their surprise turned to ang~r because "when the
- lid was opened, he had jumped three levels to chainnan of the Policy Affairs Research
Counci~."
One faction e1d�~r said that "the prime minister's personnel plan should not have
be=n that different from the picture I had dra~. Without doubt, it was Saito who
sketclzed ';analca in as chairman of the policy affairs research council, since he was
_ not there initl.ally." This view quickl.y spread and appeared as belief in the
"maneuvering of the Saito-Tanaka line." The elders and leaders of rhe Suzuki faction
argued that "this was rhe arbitrary action of Saito, who spoke not a single word about
it with us." Osanori Koyama and Iwazo Kaneko visited the prime minister at his private
residence the day after the cabinet shuffle, 1 December, to speak with him dire;.tly.
Following this, on the 2d, the factional i_eaders grilled Saito at the Suzuki faction
off ice, and at the general meeting of the faction on the 3d, they obtained the
- promise that, "in the future, decisions wi11 be made in consultation with the fac-
t1.on's leaders, with Koyama acting as the supreme adviser."
The effecL-s of this were quickly felt tn the selecCion of tl~c vice chairman of
the Po11_tical AfL-airs Research Council. Former Minister of Agriculture, Forestry,
_ and Fishin~ Kabun Muto, a follower of Finance Minlster Michio Watanabe, put his name
at the top of the list of candidates for vice chairman by going so iar as to cut his
ties with the Nakasone faction. No sooner had he done tris than the name of Takeo
Nishiokay who is close to the chairman, Rokusuke Tanaka, was being mentioned as Muto's
rival. And so it went, around and around. Ultimately, however, Saito gave in to the
strong wishes of the ICochi-kai elders and settled on Haruo Kino, a leader of the Suzuki
faction. This is generally viewed as a rebuff of Chairman Tanaka by the elders.
One Suzuki factian leader coolly said that "it will be difficu:lt for Tanaka to use
someone of a different hue such as Kino. In the end, Tanaka probably will have to
run around by himself handling such matters as drawi_ng up the bridget."
Tt~ose who were involved in this Suzuki faction unrest hold, as one elder put it,
that "Saito is the right man for factional affairs, so we have no objection to his
app~intment as the senior leader." However, the anger directed against Policy Af-
fairs Research Council Chairman Tanaka is such that it cannot be easily softened.
Ttie same elde.r ~aid that "we gained by creating a disturbenace." Some say tha.t
"Miyazawa must surely resent the fact that the result of his loyal service to the
prime m.i.nister was to see Tanaka move out in front of h~m." Other worrisome state-
:~~^nts are malcing the rour~ds, with some even saying that "this time, for sure,
Miyazawa wiil bPgin his count~rmeasures against Tanaka in earnest, and no matter
whettier Tanaka's 'brawn' or Miyazawa's 'brains' wins, nothing can be done about the
Kochi-kai breaking apart." In the midst of all this, Saito visited the prime mi.nister's
fficial residence on the afternoon of the 7th to confer with the prime minister
on remedial measures. Contrary to the prime minister's plans, the recent cabinet
shuffle seems to have further intensified the "Tanaka-Miyazawa War."
Focus o.i LDP Vice-Presidency
Tokyo SANKIsI in Japanese 9 Dec 81 p 2
[Text] Now that the cabinet shuffle is over, the Nikaido administration in the
' LDP has been inaugurated, and the division chairmen of the Policy Affairs Research
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I~UR OFFI('1;11, 1151~: ONI.Y
Council have been ctiosen, the question of whether to appoint a vice president in
the LDP has surfaced as a new focus of attention~. The Fukuda faction's deep-
seated dissatisfaction with the recent persanneZ changes, which are said to "favor
ti~e Tanaka Faction," seems to be at work behind this issue of the vice president.
The Tanaka faction, though, is not interested ~n pursuing this matter, so it seems
that there will be a number of twists and turns before a decision is reached.
The question of a vice president arose with the prime minister's statement at a
press conference the day after the cabinet shuffle, in which he said that "we
are co*~sidering whether to appoint a vice president. Lde want to make the decision
before the party conference (in January)." The selection of a vice president is
a matter for the party conference, sQ it is natural that such a decision would be
made before the cnnference. However, because the que~tion of appointing a vice
president had not.been discussed within the party, some people took th:Cs statement
by the prime minister to be "a hi.nt that a vice president would be appointed."
_ The quickest reaction to this statement came from the ~kuda faction. Immediately
following the prime minister's press conference, former prime minister Takeo
Fukuda said: "When I mentioned it to Prime Minister Suzuki (in their meeting on
30 November), he said he would give it serious thought." Thus, Fukuda expressed
approval of the idea of appointing a vice president. Moreover, the leaciership of
the Fukuda faction had been checked by the Tanaka faction-dominated pa�rty manage-
- ment, including LDP Secretary-General Susumu Nikaido and A~sistant S~cretary
General Noboru Takestiita, which claimed that "the concentration of power could not
be eliminated."
The ~act that the leadership of the Fukuda faction took this kind of posture meant
that it was cancerned with the administration of the party being dominated by the
_ Tanaka faction. Should a vice president come from the Fuk~ida faction, the three
top par.ty off ices would then be filled by one person from e4ch of the Tanaka,
_ Suzuku, and Fukuda factions, and the chairman of the party's Assembly of Members
of the House of Councilors would be the Fukuda faction's Kingo Machimura. With
tY~is kind of. lir~eup, one would have to say that, on the contrary, there was "a
concentration of power in the F`ukuda �action." One Fukuda faction leader said
that "Tadao Kuraishi weuld be a good choice for the Fukuda faction." The faction
seems to be "holding its breath."
Then, however, the name of Nadao Hirokichi appeared. With a reputation for being
a fair r+an of tiigh character and, moreover, with no factional affiliation within
the LDP, he was perfect for the post of vice president. Also, Nadao is on such
fiood terms with the Fukuda faction that, during the "40-day struggle" in 1979,
forn~er Prime Mi.nister Fukuda at one point proposed that he serve as a"temporary
prime minister." The feeling, as expressed by one party leader, is that "Nadao
is perfect for the post of vice president. No, I should say that, if a vice
_ president is to be appointed, then by process of elimination, only Nadao would
he right for the job."
Seeing that discussion of this question was growing more active, on the Sth a
majority of those in the House of Councilors' steering committee supported tlie
view tnat "if the House of Representatives was to provide a vice president, one
should come also from the House o� Councilors." Th.is action resulted from the fact
11
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that when the party's rules were revised last year, the rule which stated that
"one person. can be appQinted vice president" ti~as changed at the wish of Upper Elouse
members wtio wanted it possible for a vice president to come from the Youse of
Councilors as weil. The revised rule stated that "vice president(s) may bs ap-
pointed," and it left room for a vice pr?sident from the Lipper House. Even here,
talk has escalated to the point where councilors say that "if the vice president
is to come from the House of Councilors, Upper House President Ken Yasui is the
~nly suitable person." Yasui, however, is from the Fukuda faction and so would
pose the same problems as Kuraishi.
In this intraparty debate, the Tanaka faction is clearly against the whole idea,
and as one of its leaders put it, the faction holds that "there is no need to have
a vice president wi.th the pr.esent party admin istration." Because, in terms of
"status," a vice presidznt would be above the secretary general, the Tanaka fac-
- tion would "not agree to having a`heavyweight' placed above Secretary Ceneral
Nik~~ido. "
Nikaido, therefcrt, was also cool to the idea, saying: "I heard the prime min ister
say that 'because such a question will come up at the press conference, I will
state that a decision will be made by the time of the party conference.' However,
he tias not consulted wit:~ me (on the question of a vice president)." The secre-
tary general intends to learn from the prime minister his true intentions concern-
- ing this matter. The prime minister, however, as in the case of the strategy he
used in the recent cabinet shuffle, seems to be waiting to see what will happen
- in the intraparty debate between the Tanaka and I'ukuda factions.
COPXRIGHT: Sangyo Keizai Shimbun 1981
9844
CSO: 4105/34
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~
POLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL
EARLY STEIRT OF GENERAL ELEC~ION CAMPAIGN NOTED
Opposition Parties' Preparations
Tokyo NIHON KEISAI SHIMBUN in Japanese 19 Jan 82 p 2
[Text] Jud~ing that dissolution of the House of Representative~ is possible within
Lh~ year, every opposition party is hastily trying to prepare for a general election.
'fhe Komei Party has already begun to make specific preparations for a general election
_ on ttie assumption of Lower House dissolution within the year. The Soci.alist Party
will start serious preparations after the party convention in rebruary.
At first, the opposition parties adopted the slogan "Decis:~ve Political Battle in
'83," anticipating that, in addition to unified local elections and the House of
_ Councilors election, a general election might be held next year. However, starting
late last year rumors of dissolution within 1982 have been spreading within the LDP.
Then some of the leading members of the opposition parties started shouting the s.logan
"Decisive Political Battle in '82." On the dissolution within a year view, the
opposition parties strongly supported the observation that "the LDP's Tanaka faction
started the fire and the Komei Party has been fanning ic" (a leading member of the
Dem~cratic-Socialist Party). The story has spread that Chief Secretary Yano of the
_ Komei Party, who had been back home (the Fourth District of Osaka Prefecture) since
the end of last year, returned to Tokyo much earlier than his original plan because
oE preparations for a general election. This story has spurred all the opposition
par.ties to prepare for a general election.
ln relation to the Diet disso.lution within a year view, the observation that a verdict
on Former Prime rlinister Tanaka would be handed down this year has found strong initial
support among the opposition parties. However, they are now revising their observa-
tion on the timing of the verdict from this year to next year. Their analysis is
- ~.is follows: "(If Tanaka is convicted,) the LDP would be in a disadvantageous position,
should the general election be held after the verdict. Then, the LDP cannot dissolve
the Diet for a while. If dissolution is to occur in the near future, it must be this
year before the judgment in the Lockheed trfal. It will be either before or after
the LDP's pr~~sidential election in November" (a leading member of the Socialist
Party).
The reasons For spectilation are not limited to the Lockheed trial. One leading
member of the New Liberal Club made the following observation: "The revenue defect
of the FY-81 general account budget will eventually be made clear and it will become
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r~tzu c>rt~ic'i~i. t~tit~ c�i ~
ubvious tlt,~t ttic. reat l'.COIlOI~11C ~;r~~tatti rate of 5.2 pcrcenL pre.clicCed by ttie administration
Eur I~~-82 wi:11 be difficult to actiieve." t~e concludes thlt the Suzul:i administration
will. b~~ driven into a tight corner economir_ally us we11. There is also tl?e view that
Lconomir I'lai~~~iiig Agency Director Komoto is very 1.ilce].y to resign liis cabinet pust
dur.iii~; ttiis Diet sessian. This may trigger tlie rise Co the surface of L')Y factional
_ str;s~;gles, riicreby disturbing the politi~al ~ituati.on. In order to retain power the
Su~uki administration may have to dissolve the Di.et. Some hold such views.
_ Tlze Kc~mei Party, which has been working sirce last year. on selection of official party
candid;ites, started to accelerate the pace of this korlc after the turn of the year.
Oii tlie other tiand, tne SocialisL Party will start serious preparations after the
party convention sctieduled for 4-6 February. It is hoped that the party's Central_
Lxeciltive Committee ~aill request each prefecture's main party branch to select official
candidates s~on and conduct the first screening of nominations Lor official candidacy
by April aC ttie latest. Other parties are al_1 trying to hasten the selection of
official candidates too. Both the DemocraLic-Socialist Part;~ and the New Liberal
Club intend to start preparations, including electoral cooperation among middle-ol-
Lhe-ro~id for.ccs.
Hc~wcvcr, amon~; the oppositi~n partics tliere ar.e alsv ~h~se who question the ~;roun~ls
foi- U~ et d i:ssol ution wi thin tlic ye~ii-, Some observe ;is f~l l i>ws : "'1'hc possibi l.ity
I lli.~~ t clissolution witll~n the vear is one out o f. ten ~ hous~~nd . We hear. f rom tli~
LllP'ti I~~lkucJ.~ laction that 'We taill not 1_et the administr.rition clissolve tlic lliet.
lJe wil.l. for.cc them into a change ot administration.' ~ change of aclmini.sCratiou is
more 1i_icel.y than dissolution" (a leading member of. the Democratic-Socialist ParCy).
'.l'l~i~ oppr,sition parties were defeaL-ed in the unexpected doubl~ e]ectiuns th~ year
before last and fell into a condition of polilical asphyxiation. T'he bitler expcri-
ence oF the double el.ections seems to live on icl tli~ prej~aratiuns for the next
genc;_~al ele~tion.
COP`IhIGHT: Nihon Keirai Shimbunsha 1982
LDP Preparing for Electi.ons
'I'okyo YOMTURI SHIi~iBUN in Japanese 4 Jan 82 p 2
[1'ext] Erom the beginning of this year thE~ LDP alrea~ly began to prepare for the
elecl.ions that 1rt being focused upon as the "Decisive Political f3attle in '83," tiie
unified ].oca1 electiuns in the spring and the 1louse oL- Councilor.~ election :in tl~e
summer. Tor the LDP, "which does not burn unLil. Lhe last minute" (ttie parLy campaign
hec~dquarters), this is an unusually early action. The baclcground for it is the
pol.itic:il ,iucigment that: 1) it cannot complelely deny the possibility oL a doub:l~
c:lec~ion f.ur both llouses recurring; 2) it must be rea~y tor the reslricted-nam~]_:ist-
type proportional representation system which will be applied to r.ationwide elect~~ral
districts in Upper House elections at some time in i.he future; and 3) it should
establ.ish the leadership of Party Secretary General Nikaido, who manages the party.
'lhi.s "headstart" by the I,DP, which is aiming at acquiring an absolute majority in the
Diel, seems to have stirred up the opposition parties.
The Tanaka faction became the mainscay of the LDP when Nikaido and Takeshita were
appointed secretary general and deputy secretary general in the party personnel change
oF last 30 November. Since then, the movement toward preparation for two major elections
. 11-i
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~ ~
in 1983 has suddenly become obvious. Among other things, lleputy Secretary Cencral
Takeshita is, as admitted by both himself and others, the LDP member best informed
about elections. "If an election campaign led by the Nikaido-Takeshita line suffers
defeat, the leadership of Secretary General Nikiado would be damaged" (a leading
member of the Tanaka faction). This is the reason for the early start to preparaticme.
At the same time, based on "a lesson" from the great victory of the 1980 double
election in which the LDP obtained absolute majorities oi 287 seats in the House
oi Representatives and 135 seats in the House of Councilors, some LDP members still
strougly hold the opinion that the Lower House election should be hcld simultaneously
with the upper House election in 1983. Moreotier, one outlook also holds that "voices
amung the people are certain to ask that 'Prime Minister Suzuki call for a vote of
coiiLidence' in 1983" (a middle-levPl member of the Nakasone faction) if he is
reelected this fall.
On tiie ottier hand, what has emerged in the forefront as a factor accelerating
preparation f.or eiections is the restricted-namelist-type proportional representation
~ system .ipplied to the nationwide districts in the Upper House election. Pri.me
Miiiister Suzuki has showed a strong intention to adopt the system for the Upper
kiou5e electiun of 1983. Therefore, the LDP campaign headquarters is Lorced to "uea].
witli unCamili> . 0.9 i.3 ~.e e.. io.e ia.v 69.T
~ 1985, acCOrdin to a recent OtherS(�~~.. .~s e.o ~.o v.o io.o is.a
g Total 81.7 10).8 179 6 176.~ 215.8 257.9 25.0
foreeast by the Communiea- ;ncludes Minifaz; ('21 sucn as 1or 9overnmental otfices and
~10I1 II7f~UStI'1QS Assoeiation mass media, mostly by utilixiny closetl circuitz.
of Japan. The estimated
figure for 1985 is roughly billion, the association x 15 centimeters).
three times larger than the predicts. As soon as NTT start-
actual production in fiScal Especially amazing in ed the Minifax service
lggp. growth rate is the low-speed last September at a rela-
Among various kinds of type requiring 6 minutes to tively cheap leasing charge,
equipment, the high-speed send a sheet, which is expect- orders rushed into NTT. The
type, capable of sending a ed to soar by 69.2 per cent an- public corporation has a
sheet of A4 size (29 x 2i centi- nually to ~ t2.9 billion in huge back log of orders at
meters~ of paper within fiscal 1985. This is because the moment. Total orders
1 minute, will increase the association included the for Minifax in the first half-
at an average annual "Minifax" equipment of the year period of its marketing
growth rate of 27 per cent Nippon Telegraph & Tele- are expected to surpass
during the five-year period, phone Public Corp. in the 20,000 sets.
and will reach ~E 148 billion category of the low-speed The low-speed type earlier
in fiscal 1985, while the ~YPe. had started to la5e momen-
medium-speed type (3 b9iniFax can send in 1~;1 tum with the introduction of
minutes) will grow by 19.8 minutes a sheet of paper, new, high-speed types of
per cent per annum to ~85 though in smaller A5 size t21 facsimile equipment.
COPYRIGHT: 1982, the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc.
CSO: 412U/147
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SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
RF.SEARCH, DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURES GROW 14.5 PERCENT
1'okyo JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in F.nglish Vol 20 No 990, ?_6 Jan 82 p 16
~'I'ex t J
Jupan's research and de- ~oups.
- ;relopment expendi!ures in The fisc:a1,1980 survey showed
fiscal 1960 increased 14.5 per that expenditures by businesses
cent from fiscal 1979 to ~ 5,246.2 accounted for 59.9 per cent of
billion, according to the Statis- the total, or '-f 3,142.3 billion, up
tics Bureau of the Prime 17.9 per cent from fiscal 1979,
Minister's Office. R& D ex- reflecting active R& D invest-
penditures in the field of na- ment. The increase was the
tural sciences accounted fur largest since fiscal 1975. Re-
89.3 p?r cent of the total, or search institutes spent ~763.9
Y 4,683.8 billion, up 15.3 per biliion (a 14.6 per cent share),
cent from the previous year. up 15.7 per cent, and universi-
As a percentage of GNP, ties and others '41,340.1 billion
total R& D outlays reached 125.5 per cent), up 6.5 per cent.
2.19 per cent, up 0.12 percen- By item, personnet expenses
tage point. ' marked ~ 2,592.7 billior, ac~
In fiscal 1979, the latest year counting for 49.4 per cent of the
for which international com- total, the first time if dropped
parisons are possible, Japan below 50 per cent since [iscal
ranked second after the U.S. in 1974. Spending for raw mate-
R& ll expenditures. With Ja- rials was ~f 738.6 billion (a 14.1
pan as 100, the U.S. registered per cent share>, and for tangi-
lAt, West Germany 87, France ble fixed assets 934 billion
52 and $ritain 35. (17.8 per cent).
- The survey, conducted an- The ratio of R& U spending
nually since 1953, covered to tota] sales of enterprises was
about t3,000 business corpora- 1.54 per cent, almost the same
- tions, 1,300 research institutes, as 1.55 per cent in the previous
and 1,900 universities and other year.
COPYItl~;H'l': 1982, the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc.
~;SO: 4120/] 47
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ti~iENCE ANll TECHNOLOGY
_ PiITSUI, GENTRONICS TIE UP FOR BIOCOMPUTER TECHNOLOGY
Tokyo JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in English Vol 20 No 990, 26 Jan 82 p 16
[Text ] Mi~ui & Co. has become an sioning research projects by
agenl for Gentronics Inc. of Japanese clients, and helping
Rockville, Maryland to help the Japanese companies invest in
- American company a.:ll its bio- the U.S. firm.
computer technology in Japan. If realized, biocomputers that
- Launched in Uctober, 1981, could incorporate elements
Gentronics is best known for its whose efiiciency is 10,000 times
~ long-range project to develop a as good as the best element
biocomputer by combining available today (the 64 kilobit
electronics and biotechnology. random access memories) will
It is investigating nerve cell make the present computers
physiology in an attempt to look cru~ic.
develop a biocomputer with far Semiconductor makers in
better capability than mechani- Japan are not enthusiast~c
cal computers. about the new computers yet.
The application of biotech- Their activities are confined to
nology to electronics is des- follow-up tests to confirm
. cribed as super high tech- reportec~ data. But bright re-
" nology, with only about 10 searchers will perhaps rush to
scholars and researchers nerve cell physiology research
engaged in basic studies world- because of its potential.
wide. Gentronics, noting Biocomputer development
Japan's advanced know-how in will depend in large measure
applying electronics, plans to on discovering proteins that
strengthen its connection with serve as molecular switches in
- Jap:in through technological the human brains (the best
sales in Japan. computers). ~witches in me-
Thc: Tokyo-based trading chanical computers are made
house agreed to undertake of semic,,nductors.
three major jobs: marketing Discovery of such proteins
drugs and chemicals required will hopefully lead to their
for the ~~rid of research and mass production by genetic
development as the Maryland engineering so that they can
[irm is working on, commis- replace semiconductors.
COPYRICHT: 1982, the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc.
CSO: 4120/147
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SClENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
rIITI PROJ~CT TO DEVELOP SUPERCOMPUTER STARTS IN JANUARY
Tokyo NIHON KOGYO SHIMBUN in Japanese 3 Jan 82 p 1
[Article: "Science and Technology High-Speed Electronic Computer Project Started
in Earnest; Entrusted by the Agency of Industrial Science and Technology, Six
Private Firms Form an Association"]
- [Text] R&D of a high-speed computer system, or the so-called supercomputer, for
sc:ience and technology started in earnest in January. This research project is
being undertaken by the Agency of Industrial Science and Technology (AIST) under
MITI witt~ the cooperation of the Electronic Technology Consolidated Research
_ Center (':TCRG) and private computer makers. A"Technological Research Association
for the Development of a High-Speed Computer System for Science and Technology,"
whicii i~ a"saucer" on the private side, was established late last year. The
- AiST is to sign an agreement with this association in early January concerning the
researcli contract.
The 1981 budget (quarteriy) for R&D of a supercomputer was 30 million yen. This
budget consisted of two funds of equal amounts: t~he R&D budget for ETCRC and the
researc.ti fund for the private.association. The 1982 government budget includes
tt~e si~m of 813 million yen earmarked for this project (117 million yen for ETCRC
and 69b million yen for the private association), and the two are to continue their
1981 research through 1982.
'fhe ab,jectives of the present R&D activities include development of basic
technology related to new elements and new processing formats. The ETCRC is
responsible for R&D of: 1) niobium group Jusenolin [phonetic] junction (JJ)
element, 2) gallium-arsenic group field effect transistor (GaAsFET), and 3) multi-
instrucrion single data (MISD) format. The pXivate association is charged with
RSD of: 1) lead group JJ element, 2) intergration of GaAsFET, 3) high electron
movement transistor (HEMT), and 4) multi-instruction mu].tidata (MIMD) and single
instruction multidata (SIP'ID) which are considered to be diff.icult even with an
app.licati~n of paral.lel processing format.
On the other hand, a technical research association (managing director, Takuma
Yamamoto, president of Fujitsu Ltd) consisting of six private firms--including
Fujitsu, Hitachi, Nippon Electric, Toshiba, Mitsubishi Electric, and Oki
Electric--which is to participate in this supercomputer R&D project, was
established at Toranomon, Tokyo recently. As soon as the contract is signed with
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tlie ~IST, eac}i firm will undertake a portion of R&D activity in the Cield of its
speci~~lty. According to the agency authority, the research work will be carried
out at each individual's place of work, for the time being. Depending on the
bud get situation and actual progress of work, a central research laboratory shared
= by the six firms may be established, as was done during the R&D of the super L9I.
The objective of this supercomputer R&D project, which was started in 1981 and is
to last 8 years with a total investment of approximately 31 bil.lion yen, is to
develop a prototype of a super-high-speed computer system for science and
- technology with a processing speed of 10 billion FLOPS (number of floating point
operations per second), which is m~re than 1,000 times faster than the processing
speed (10 million FLOPS) of the general purpose large-scale computers today. There
are many computations for which the fastest computers today are not fast enough,
including, for example, processing of image information transmitted back from
artificial satellites, plasma simulation of nuclear fusion, meteorological data
analysis, and aerodynamic computation for aircraft. Therefore, a number of
commercial supercomputers have been developed in the United States, such as the
CRAY-1 (processing speed greater than 150 million FLOPS) and CYBER 203 (100 million
FLOPS~. The supercomputer which is being developed by the AIST is aimed at a
much higher performance.
However, in order to be able to achieve tMd goal, a general system consisting of
tha fol.lowing components must be developed first: 1) high-speed logic elements 1nd
high-speed memory elements to replace the silicon elements used today; 2) paralle.l
processing format for operating a large number of basic processors simultaneously;
and 3) parallel proc2ssing device for high-speed computation, large-capacity
high-speed memory device, and parallel processing device for distributed
proces,ing.
The supercomputer research, which was started in January, must first of all
decide. which parallel processing format is to be adopted, and then carry out
resear~h activir_ies related to it.
The performances of the elements to be developed by this project are as follows.
- Logir element: packing density of better than 3,000 gates/chip, delay time of
lcs~ rhan 1.U picoseconds/gate for low-temperature element and less than 3Q
picoseconds/gate for normal temperature element. Memory element: packing density
of hetter than 16 kbites/chip and access time of :ess than 10 nanoseconds.
Thes~~ c~lements are said to he used in rhe prototype ot- MITI's "fifth generation
c~mputers" also.
7't~e ~;o~l tiet for the parallel processing device to be used ln t.he hi~h-speed
~~mpiir~tion includes a speed of 10 billion i'LOPS or more, a memory capacity of
mor.e thun 1 billion bites, a transfer rate of 1.5 billion bites per second or
more, and a maximum processing speed of more than 100 million FLOPS for the
par~llel processing device used for the purpose of distributed processing.
COP1'RTGHT: Nihon Kogyo Shimbunsha Toky~ Honsha 1982
- 911.3
CSO: 4.106/ 34
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SCTENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
BRIEFS
11SSR ORDERS LATHES--Dainichi Knozoku Kogyo Co of Osaka has won a Soviet order
to supply ~730 million worth of l.athes for delivery by February, 1983. Tlie
Russian order breaks down into 21 large uni-purpose lathes and 2 largc numer-
ically controlled latYies, worth ~�350 million, with shipments starting in July,
tllis year, and ~�380 million worth of uni-purpose lathes for automaking, with
_ shipments beginning in November, the same year. In addition, the Osaka com-
pany has r.eceived an inquiry from the 5oviet Union f.or ~�2,500 million worth of
- l.athes for. machinery and equipment to be installed at the Yakutia natural gas
plant. [TextJ [Tokyo JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in English Vol 20 No 990,
26 .Jan 82 p 6] [COPYRIGHT: 1982, the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc.]
WORLI)'S LARGEST ROBOT ~IILL--Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd., a top-rated maker
of industrial robots will build a f actory in an industrial zone at Tarumi,
KoUe City, Hyogo Prefecture to mass produce industrial robots. The robot fac-
tory project, divided into three stages, will cost an estimated ~�17 billi~n.
llnder the first-stage program, the company will begin constructing a plant this
Eall to start it up in January, 1984. The projected plant will become the
world's bi.ggest as a specialized robot-making factory, a Kawasaki HI spokesman
said. Kawasaki HI t}~us hopes to boost its sales of robots to ~20 billion in
f.iscal 1984, treble ttle ~�7 billion in fiscal 1981 ending next March. Second
and tliird plants ~.~ill be constructed in accordance with demand growth. Japan's
sales of industrial robots are expected to swell to ~600 billion in fiscal 1990
from tl~e ~78 billion scored in fiscal 1980. Kawasaki HI apparently aims at
assuring itself of r.etaining the No 1 spot in the field of high-efficiency
robots in Japan. [Text] [Tokyo JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in English Vol 20 No 990,
26 Jan 82 p 6] [COPYRIGHT: 1982, the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc.]
4h ST~'['IC RAM'S--Hitachi, Ltd announced that it would start sample marketing of
six ty~es oC 4-kil.obit complimentary-MOS static random access memory chips from
FeUr.uary 1. The 4K RAMs consume only about one-fourth the power of a high-speed
4K NMOS static RAMs while attaining a comparable maximum address-access time of
35 nanoseconds, the Tokyo company said. The high-speed address-access time and
low power consumption of the new RAMs were realized through the adoption of a
double polysilicon structure and 2.5 micron processing technology in combination
with Hi-CMOS design technology. The combined techniques enabled Hitachi to
make the memory cells by the NMOS process and the peripheral circuits by the
CMOS process, it explained. Hitachi has already started mass producing the
- HMb].47H series at its Musashi Works in western Tokyo at a monthly rate of
36
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N'OR i)Fh'I('Ir11. l!til~: ONl.l'
- sevcral thousand units. It plans to boost theproduction capaclty to the 1.OO,OUO
~.init level in May. Nearly half of the production is expected to be sold in t1~~
U,5. C~r the~lse in such areas as cache memories, buffer memories, program
memories and ter.minals for medium and small computers, according to Hitc~clii~
Pric�c~ti fc~r sampl: marketing will be between ~1,500 and ~2,500 per unil. ['I'ext]
['Coky~ .JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in Englis}i Vol 20 No 990, 26 Jan 82 p 8]
[CU1'YI~ICItT: i 982, the Nihon ke_izai $himbun, Inc.
COMFUTGR EYPORTS INCREASE--Fujitsu Limited, Japan's largest computer builder,
pl.cins to step up computer exports to nearly 30 per cent of its computer divi-
sic~n's total sales f rom the present 10 per cent by the end o1 fiscal 1985. The
com~;iny }~as ~ilready set up footholds for penetrating the world marlcet under.
lic~cnsing agreements with Amdahl Corp. of. the U.S., Siemens A.G. of West Ger-
- mr~ny, and ICL of Britair,. These partners are to sell Fuji.tsu's large-size com-
~uters under their own brands and buy semi-finished products from the Japane,e
comp~~ny. rujitsu's exports of large-size computers are likely to surpass do-
mestic shi~~ments in fiscal 1985. Fujitsu is also readying itself for promotion
of terminal equip~ent exports. In 1980, it set up TRW-Fujitsu Co., in a joint
venture with TRW Co of the U.S., to handl.e sales of terminal systems for finan-
cial institutions and retail shops. F.xports of tern;ina:i equipment in fiscal
1982 are expected to reach 47,000 units, thre e times lar~;er than the estimated
Ciscal 1981 performance. Fujitsu's total sales in the computer division in
fi~cal 1.981 are expected to reach ~�445 billion, up 16 percent from the pr.evious
_ year, with exports accounting for 13 per cent or ~58 billion. For fiscal 1982,
_ tlie company predicts a 50 percent rise in exports. [Text] [Tokyo JAPAN ~CONO-
rtlC .T(11IIZN~I, in En~lish Vol. 20 No 990, 26 Jan 82 p 8] [COPYRZGHT: ].982, the
Nih~~n Keizai. Shimhun, Inc.
iNTERF~RON PRODUCTION BOOST--Hayashibara Biochemical Laboratories, Inc, has
_ startecl expanding its interferon production capacity at Olcayama City. ilpon
compl.etion of the ~2.2 billion project in December, 1982, the company will be
caj~able of producing 600 billion units of interf.eron a year. The plan to duu-
hle t}ie interferon capacity follows completion in .January, 1981, of a 300-billion-
unit-a-ye