JPRS ID: 10332 JAPAN REPORT

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8
Release Decision: 
RIF
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
32
Document Creation Date: 
November 1, 2016
Sequence Number: 
41
Case Number: 
Content Type: 
REPORTS
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8.pdf1.92 MB
Body: 
APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 FOR OFTICIAL USE ONLY JPR~ L/ 10332 18 February 1982 Ja an Re or~ p p CFOUO 1 i /82) FBiS FOREIGN BROADCAST I~I~rORMATION SERVICE - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 ~ NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and books, but also from news agency - transmissions ar~d broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources are transcribed or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets _ are supplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the - last line of a brief, indicate how the original information was processed. Where no prccessing indicator is given, the infor- mation was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phonetically or transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear. in the original but have been supplied as appropriate in context. , Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the body of an item originate with the source. Times within items ar2 as given by s~urce. _ The contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Government. COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULA.TIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF THIS PUBLICATIOi1 BE RESTRICTED FOR OFrICLAL USE ONI.Y. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY JPRS L/10332 18 February 1982 i ~ ~ JAPAN REPORT ~ _ cFOUO il/82) CONTENTS POLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL Formation of New Suzuki Government Probed (YOMIURI SHIMBUN, various dates) 1 SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Recent Japan-Ccmmunist Bloc Business Deals Reported , (NIKKEI SANGYO SHIMBUN, 5 Dec 81)..... 11 Soviet Robot Trade Fair FMS Export to Bulgaria U.S., Japanese Semiconductor Industries Compared (Hiroshi Semi; DENSHI GIJUTSU, Nov 81) 14 Ajinomoto's Biotechnological R&D Activities Described {Kazuaki Taya; SHUKAN BIRION, 6 Nov 81) 23 - a - [III - ASIA - 111 FOUO] F(1R (1FFTf T e i f fCF ~1NT V APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY POLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL FORMATION OF NEW SUZUKI GOVERNMENT Y?OBID Tokyo YOMIURI SHIMBUN in Japanese 2, 3, 4, 6, 8 Dec 81 ~ ~A~ticle: "Examination of 1981 Cabinet Reshuffle"] [2 Dec 81 p 2] . [Text] Will Prime Minister Suzuki be reelected or will there be a new president of the party? The reorganizacion of the cabinet and appointment of party officials point toward the "Liberal Democratic Party's Showdown in 1982" which will take - place 1 year hence. The reorganization and appointments give the impression of a victory for the Tanaka forces symbolized by the advent of Mr Nikaido as secretary general of the party. However, even in the�case of these personnel assignments, which give the impression of a revival of the "Kakuei government," the outcome of ' the moves is lef*, to be seen later on. The verdict on the All Japan Airlines connection in the Lockheed incident is scheduled for the beginning of the new year. ' The critical stage has arrived for administrative and fiscal reforms. Moves will be made by Nakasone (director general of the Administrative Management Agency), Komoto (director general of the Economic Planning Agency) and new leaders. It is safe to assume that, as Fukuda (the former prime ministEer.) points out, there are "signs of general turmoil" in the political situation. We shall try to trace and examine the reorganization of the cabinet and the appointments to party posts which contain the seeds of future developments. "There.were those who said to stand firm and there were telephone calls whicli c~lled me a fool or said I was tainted. I regard both as incentives for which I am grateful...." These worc~,s of Mr Nikaido, who had put in 5 years of loyal service since being branded as a suspect official in the Tockheed incident in the Diet in November 1976. What emotions might have been in his heart as he went into the first press confer- ence.given by the newly appointed top officials oF the Liberal Democratic Party just after 1230 on 30 November at Liberal Democratic Party headquarters, there was no way of knowing, at least not from his face, ~fi ich showed no concern and suppressed - all emotion. Kakuei Tanaka (the former prime minister) grzeted the day in very fine spirit5. 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R040500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL US~: ONLY "The newspapers say that Mr. Suzuki (the prime minister) is craftier than Ohira (the previous prime minister) was and this is completely right." _ "Mr Suzuki and Mr Nikaido are identical. Whichever is pryme minister, it would be the same. (With Nikaido as secretary general) the rails are laid for Suzuki's re- election, and therefore this government will last a long time." Tanaka. reportedly fired o�f one comment after another in his characterist~c gravelly voice to a group of vi_~itin~; Diet members, which included (former minister of inter- national trade and industry) Masumi Esaki who had been a candidate for the post of foreign minister. At just~about t~~ same time that Nikaido was bathing in the camera lights at the much publicized press conference, another "suspect official," (f ormer vice chairman of the Policy Affairs Research Council) Mutsuki Kato, before being persuaded of Mr Fukuda's wishes by (Hikari Fukita) (former private secretary to Nobusuke Kishi), ' had, in a nearby office of the Fukuda faction been on the point of drowning himself in tears of remorse in despair of getting a cabinet position. This is'a contrast between "light" and "dark" demonstrated by Nikaido and Kato. It may.,be possible to say that this contrast has given us a glimpse of~the real nature of the Suzuki government as a system of balancing devices. ~ ~ The backing of strength is with Tanaka, who is supported by a force of 106 persons;� this is not to say that Fukuda's strength compares unfavorably. Nevertheless, ~ although there is talk of a balance between Fukuda and Tanaka, this is probably no more than a typical pr.etext by Suzuki, who is trying to maintain harmony in the party and also to secure the ruling power. 'Che statement (by an executive in the Suzuki faction) that "of course the strength and number of the Tanaka faction would be important if we were looking toward re- election" serves as evidence,. There was also a self-confident statement of feeling (from an executive of the ' Tanaka faction) who said: "What did Mr Fukuda do at the time of the 40-day dispute or when the motion of nonconfidence in the cabinet was passed last year? From Mr Suzuki's standpoint the difference between Tanaka and Fukuda is self-evident." /1t 9:30 that morning, Fukuda had a final session on the Kato question with Suzuki, who had come to pay a courtesy call at Fukuda's private residnece at Nozawa in - Tokyo. Cukuda said: "What happened to Mr Kato's recc~ving a post in the cabinet? There was, I believe a request made earlier." Suzuki answered: "I want to put that off this time as far as the cabinet is con- cerned., I will ~ive him a party post." = Fukud.a replied: "As far as the question of being suspect ~s concerned, I am un- convinced by the idea that tr~e post of secretary general of the party is open but a position in the cabinet is not." ~ J . 2 ~ ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE '~NLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 MUR OFFICIAL USI~: ONLY Suzuki said: "The party and the cabinet are different." There is pressure built up in connection with the handling of Nikaido and Kato. Furthermore, the way Suzuki has acted in regard to the handling of suspect officials, where public opinion is severely critical, can be described, as even Tanaka says, - in the single word, "crafty." By cutting off only Kato, Suzuki has emphasized the issue. Looking only at the superficial phenomena, it might seem as though "there are cracks � in the Suzuki-Tanaka-Fukuda arrangeme~~t" and that "Fukuda has dropped out of the mainstream." However, Fukuda is a man of great experience who led his awn govern- ment and, as Tanaka's rival, kept the Liberal Democratic Party internally divided in two for many years. He knows very well where the heart of the three factions making up the power called the Suzuki system is to be found. One day in late September, Fukuda expressed the following views to a close associate who visited his private residence. "With his eye on reelection, Mr Suzuki will probably increase his old leaning toward Tanaka. It is safe to assume that he will also prepare his forces for the coming storm (judgment in the Lockheed case, etc) and ask for Nikaido as secretary general - of the party. Nikaido is a straightforward person and it will not matter that he a becomes secretary general. 'Balance' will be the problem." Mr Nikaido becomes secretary general by a quick, clean decision with no particular opposition within the z?arty,while a heartbroken Nr Fukuda has been made to play a profitless role, that of seeming to have argued for inclusion of Kato in the cabinet while preaching political reform. Later that day, fa: from the whirlwind blowing around the prime minister's residence and the uproar in the Diet, Mr Fukuda was riding through the middle of town in the gathering dusk. He assumed the pose, arms folded and eyes closed, which he always assumes when thinking ahout things, and began to listen. Reportedly, what he heard was the following radio news commentary discussing the reorganization. "Prime Minister Suzuki's personnel actions whi~h put Mr Nikaido of the Tanaka fac- tion into a vital party post are unconvincing to former Prime Minister Fukuda, who had made a scene over inclusion of Mr Kato in the cabinet. It can probably be said that everything in the reorganization went Mr ~'anaka's way." [3 Dec 81 p 2] [Text] In the final analysis, Nikaido's assumption of office as secretary general of the Liberal Democratic Party, to which (former P,rime Minister) Fukuda acquiesed, had been (former Prime Minister) Tanaka's objective from the start. When did the prime minister resolve to play this dangerous card and through what process did Fukuda and Tanaka come to a tacit understanding regarding Nikaido? ' On the morning of 17 October, during the (Shichikendo) festival which was held at the former residence of Shigeru Yoshida at Oiso in Kanagawa, Tanaka, who apparently had arrived early and had to wait for Suzuki who came latE, disappeared with Suzuki into one of the rooms of the Yoshida residence. 3 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 FOR OFFICIAL US~: ONLY `I'he two men are~said to have sat beside ene another on a sofa and to have eaten candy while they talked. The conversation las*ed about 10 min~ites. Tanaka said; "T am willing to cooperate with you on your reele;ction." Suzuki saici: "I would ~e much indebted to you." Tanaka saici: "However, I would like you to do something appropriate for Nikaido." Suzuki answered: "That is no cause for concern. Please, leave it to me." Tanaka was in good spirits. That evening he spoke to the leadino people of his faction who had come t6 his home at Mejiro in Tokyo. "It i~:~`d~~ided that Nikaido ~ will be secretary general. Next year. with Nikaido, we wsll be prepared for the . election. Then, the yeax after next, there will be t:~e double election for both houses of the Diet." The first one to catch on to the "plot" in this talk between~Suzuki and Tanaka was "sharp-eared Rokusan"--(Chairman) Rokusuke Tanaka (of the Liberal Democratic Party's Polich Affairs Research Council) who belonga to the Suzuki factions. At the time, Rokusuke Tanaka observed: "It seems to have been a very important consultation. Even Kakuei Tanaka spoke fre~:i.y." The Tanaka faction, having made it definite that "Nikaido would be secretary general," turned around and began a diversionary tactic by spreading the false report that "it would be fine for Nikaido to remain in the position of chairman of the Executive Council; the question is one of having four new people in the cabinet." ~ The decision on the All Japan~Airlines connection in the Lockheed incident was coming up. Then, the verdict on Tar_aka would be given around November of next ~ year. Finally, the prized post of secretary general had been captured to protect the party and the faction from a whirlwind of confusion. Even with great reserve, onP could probably say this was very much to be expected. Tanaka is said to have first talked about "Secretary General Nikaido" on the evening of 11 Novernber at a meet~ng with (former Director General of the Defense Agency) Shin Kanem;3ru, (former Minister of Finance) Niboru Takeshita and (former Minister of Health and Welfare) Tatsuo Ozawa. - rukuda tended early toward the thinking: "If the secretary general is to come from the Tanaka faction, Kanemaru would he best, but if that is not possihle it will have to be Nikaido; we will not fight." However, Fukuda tried to avoid expressing this attitude in public. - This was probably because Fukuda had the faint expectation that "Suzuki might act- ually intend to favor Tanaka, who is saddled with the Lockheed affair, and might play the Nikaido card" (sources close to Fukuda). Fukuda repeatedly held talks about political reform and elimination of the concentration of power. Possibly because of misreadings of Fukuda's mind~, false rumors circulated within the Liberal Democratic Party to the effect that "Fukuda seems opposed to Nikaido" and "Fukuda wants Abe or !:anemar~i" for Minister of International Trade and Industry. 4 FOR OF'FICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USI: ONLY ~ On 25 November, after (llirector Ceneral uf the A~ministrr~tive Mcin~bement A~eiicy) ' Nakasone, (Director General of the Economic Planning Agency) Komoto, (Director . - General of the Science and Technology Agency) Nakagawa aad others in the party had been convinced to accept Nikaido, a messenger came from Fukuda to the camp of Kanemaru, who was both friendly and a leading official in the Tanaka faction. "Mr Fukuda considers that Mr Kanemaru wnuld be ideal as secretary generali but.he is not opposed to Mr Nikaido for that post." It seems that, from the start, Fukuda did not have Abe in mind. Kanemaru declined politely as follows: '�Thank you very much for your attitude. However, there is a question of seniority involved in the matter. The stability of the faction will be upset if Mr Nikaido is not chosen." The messenger then reported Fukuda's wishes to Nika~do. It will have to be Nikaido; we will not opp~se Tanaka again. This�"harmonious" reaction on Fukuda's part at this time is not necessarily complete acceptanc:e of the status quo. Looking at the undercurrent of "great confusion on the earth," of which Mr Fukuda speaks, one has a lingering sense of the fact that he alone has not stained his hands in any way in the playing of the Nikaido trump card, which could have good or bad consequences. It is not without reason that the Tanaka Side is wary. They say: "In the future Fukuda must be watched." [3 Dec 81 p 2] ~Text] There are two keys to understanding the secrets in the heart of (former � Prime Minister) Takeo Fukuda which eluded those who had expected the old f.ight be- tween Fukuda and Tanaka to f lare up again. One is the idea of "dealing with all internal and external situations with the whole party as one entity" which Mr Fukuda never tires of repeating. The other is the long-cherished desire for a"restora- tion" of Fukuda which is still at work deep inside the political world. (Director General) Ichiro Nakagawa (of the Science and Technology Agency) analyzes, as follows, Fukuda's attitude in accepting Nikaido as secretary general of the Liberal Democratic Party: "He is tired of fighting. In the 40-day contest the year before last and at the time of (then) Prime Minister Ohira's death, Fukuda provoked the fight. Mr Fukuda is probably tired." Mr Nakagawa himself seems to have had a secret blueprint in the early stages of the drama of this reorganization. According to people connected with him, the blue- print was this: "If the Tanaka faction proposes Nikaido as secretary general, the Fukuda faction will push Shintaro Abe for Minister of International Trade and Industry as a rival candidate. The two will cancel one another out and (former Director General of the Defense Agency) Kanemaru, who is a leading official in the Tanaka faction, will rise quickly to the surface. 5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 FOR OFFIC'IAL USE ONLY Nakagawa appruached Fukuda and Kanemaru, the person selected, with this concept. However, Kanemaru, having learned from experience in friction with (former Prime Minister) Kakuei Tanaka, did not go along ~rith the idea, and Fukuda reportedly only laughed. ' Last year at the time of the elections to both upper and lower houses of the Diet which were complicated by the passage of the ~resolution of nonconfidence in the cabinet and the sudden death of Prime Minister Ohira, there was a conspiracy among Fukuda, ~(former Prime Minister) Takeo Miki, (Director General of the Economic Planning Agency) Toshio Komoto, Nakagawa and Abe. It is said that with the idea of a new party organization this conspiracy had gone as far as primately deciding on a lineup which would have had "Komoto as president, Abe as vice president, and Nakagawa as secretary general." Fukuda and Miki had been expected to hold posts as advisers. However, this plan, too, which went to the very last moment, was utterly destroyed by a word from cautious Mr Fu.kuda. Fukuda said at one point: "It would be awkward to fight. Please wait until Mr Ohira has been dead for 49 days." It is safe to say that in these words there was already an original image of Mr Fukuda's psychology in not opposing Nikaido to the point of engaging the Tanaka forces in a fight. Despite repeated disavowals by Fukuda, the argument for his restoratian is deep rooted and does not go away. The more Suzuki and (former Foreign Minister) Sunao Sonoda commit blunders i.n foreign affairs, the sharper the jabs from sympathizers (former Prime Minister) Nobusuke Kishi and Fukuda. "We will have a post-Suzuki transition from Tanaka to Fukuda." "Suzuki seems to intend to keep going. He will have to learn his place." (Kishi) (Chairman Rokusuke) Tanaka (of the Policy Affairs Research Council), who is a member of the Suzuki faction but is also close to Kishi, has given warning signals about these symptoms and has urged Suzuki to be careful. He has told Suzuki: "(Mr Fukuda) is very interested). He will be dangerous next year." While Kanemaru is a Yeading member of the Tanaka faction, he is a person whose sympathies are m~re with Fukuda than with Suzuki. He certainly senses this whirl- wind of speculation which surrounds Fukuda and, on ] November, finding himself sharing a seat with P'ukuda on the Bullet Train, he pressed for information. Kanemaru said: "There is someone who came to me and said that Suzuki is bad for Japanese-American and Japanese-Kor?an re.lations and that you would be the best in . - the~? areas. What this person says...." Fukuda said: "Japanese-American and Japanese-Korean relations are worrisome and this cannot be helped. However, at this time the whole party should work as one rather than create a commotion." Kanemaru's decision at this point in time was" "That is not what he wants." How- ever, there is a year left before the party president's term expires next November. But what if the political situation were to be convulsed by difficult problems in foreign affairs and the verdict in the Lockheed affair, Suzuki were to falter and, b ~OR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY on top of that, moves by Komoto and (Director General) Yasuhiro Nakasone (of the Administrative Management Agency), who are aiming at a post-Suzuki government= were suddenly to be compounded? Tr~re would be no basis for nipping a restoration of Fuktida in the bud . What would the largest force in the party do then about its obligation(?) to Fukuda, who quietly allowed Nikaido to become secretary general? The choice which Fukuda make in these personnel assignments contains many possibilities. Miki, once Fukuda's staunch friend, is now thinking very hard: "So, Fukuda maiie no move. Then there is something fishy." [6 Dec 81 p 2] - [Text] Did (Prime Minister) Suzuki's heart ever waiver after he had settled with (former Prime Minister) Tanaka on lb Octobe~r~ (at the Suzuki-Tanaka talk at (Shichikendo) that Nikaido was to be secretary general of the Liberal Democratic Party? It is probably correct to think that Suzuki did waiver. This would have been during the period following the shocking testimony of Enomoto's former wife (26 October~ regarding the Lockheed affair and the Osano verdict, which - left a premonition of a conviction in Tanaka's first trial. "That is distressing," said (former Minister of Health and Welfare) Kunikichi Saito, a leading member of the Suzuki faction. If Saito was nervous about what (former Prime Minister) Fukuda's side would do, the fact ~as substantiated when speculation circulated from those around the chief cabinet secretary, Miyazawa, who said: "The prime minister is worried about psblic opinion," and "now Nikaido is finished." Fortunately for Suzuki, Fukuda was in Beijing just at the time Enomoto's former wife appeared in court as a witness. The situation was right for blocking Nikaido but, besides being absent, Fukuda had no means of breaking through the common front presented by Suzuki and Tanaka. Suzuki, who sensed thai, public opinion aside, the spirit of opposition to Nikaido inside the party was extremely weak, suddenly became bullish. In mid-November, he had the following conversation with an old friend who had come to visit at his home in Tokyo. The friend: "There are too many prohlems involved in using Nikaido. The judgment on the All Japan ~~rlines connection with the Lockheed affair and the verdict on Tanaka will probabl}~ take place next year. Can you get through that difficult situation with Nikajdo at the forefront of the party? Suzuki, facing '~o the side, said nothing. The friend: "Would you, as prime minister looking for reelection, not be hurt, too?" 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Suzuki: "It is all right. Nikaido has suffered as he has (because of the ques- tion of being suspect in the Lockheed affair). Is that not enough?" Suzuki's firm resolve was in time communicated to Fukuda, of course, as well as those such as (former Prime Minister) Miki and (Director General of the Science and Technology Agency) Nakagawa who are inclined toward rebellion. For Suzuki, then, was the selection of Nikaido a matter of accepting, without recourse, an order thrust upon him by Tanaka? On the evening of 21 November a leading member of the Suzuki faction talked about the situation in this regard. "From the prime minister's point of view, the big problem is the existence ~~f the Fukuda-Tanaka situation. Moreover, Fukuda wants very much to return to power. On th~ other hand, the Tanaka faction has its hands full with the Lockheed affair. In such a case, was the best policy not to aim at reelection by promoting Nikaido for the secretary general's position? Nakasone and Komoto are not considerations." This is not the only thing in the picture. In Nikaido, Suzuki will have a powerful weapon who is close to (Chairman of the Komeito) Yoshikatsu Takeiri and (Chairman of the Democratic Socialist Party) Ryosaku Sasaki and who can talk frankly with them about a political reorganization which would include the Liberal Democratic Party and political centrists. The roots of plans of this kind of Liberal Democrats and centrists go deep. (Former Prime Minister) Ohira and Suzuki both participated in this plan with Nikaido in the past. Bearing in mind the difficulties of the past, the 40-day struggle and the passage of the resolution and nonconf idence in the cabinet, might Suzuki not have confidently played the trump card of making Nilcaido secr.etary general, with the idea of getting sufficiently in step with Tanaka and then also drawing the political center into his cam~ to stabilize the political situation? If this were accomplished, the chances for Fukuda's coming back would be dead, and even on the brink of a breakdown in the party, danger could be avoided. Nikaido does not try to say a lot about contacts with the political center; he merely says: "We live in the same Japanese economy, so...." On 27 November, (former Prime Minister) Nobusuke Kichi, who is close to Fukuda, erupted in criticism of Suzuki, who had moved ahead with a bold strategy for reelec- tion with Nikaido as his trump card in the post of secretary general. "Why make personnel changes? I do not understand the reasons. It is fine to re- place (previous Foreign Minister) Sonoda because his thinking is not in agreement with Suzuki`s or if there is some other purpose, but...." "So Suzuki is still at it. Next year he will have been in office 2 and 1/2 years. - That has to be considered unexpected good luck." It may be that Suzuki, who has looked not on:.y within his party but also among the political centrists, is the one who clearly sees into the mysteries of the current era. 8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/02109: CIA-RDP82-00854R000500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY [8Dec81p2] [Text] It was 1 pm on the afternoon of 29 November, the day before the reorsaniza- tion of th~: cabinet. (Chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party's Policy Affairs Research Council) Rokusuke Tanaka was watching the television program Amateur Singers on the Air, when his telephone rang. "Is that you, Rokusan? I want to ask you to be chairman of the Policy Affairs Research Council this time." Then, on the other end of the ~ine, Prime Minister Suzuki explained the schedule of the Liberal Democratic Party's Executive Council which would decide upon the three new people for the party's top posts. Rokusuke Tanaka, however, coul.d not hold back a flood of tears and was in no condition to hear any more of what Suzuki was saying. "I will remain in my post (as Minister of International Trade and Industry) or I will take the post of chairman of the Policy Affairs Research Council or, at worst, chief cabinet secretary. Just watch!" "I, too, am a politician. Whether at Shiroyama ar at Tawarasaka, when the time co~res to act, (like Saigo Takamori) I will act." Tanaka had not stopped ;naking public statements, but it is safe to say that he had had a series of uneasy days filled with equal parts of confidence and anxiety while - his rivals in the Suzuki faction, Chief Cabinet Secretary (Kiicki) Miyazawa and his uncle (Minister of Education Heiji) Ogawa, even tried to hold him in check by say- ing" "Rokusuke will neither remain in his post nor get one of the three top party positions. The most he will get is chairmanship of the Diet Policy Committee." Disorder in the Suzuki faction, both in terms of "disarray" and in terms of the ~ rivalry among Miyazawa, Ogawa and Tanaka, had been the laughing stock of th~ other faction. It had been so serious that there had been such speculation as the remark: "Rokusukie has been ~ragging that Ohira was a threat to (Maeo) and Suzuki was a ~ threat to Ohira; this is a tradition (of the Suzuki faction)." Suzuki was crafty enough to r.ead the undercurrents within the party and successfully nts in which 'ust as:he intended, he boxed in the new r el assi nme sonn ~ carr off e g J Y P leaders, not to mention Nakasone and Komoto, by pushing through the appointment of Nikaido as secretary general of the party. The confusion on his own doorstep, which is in contrast to his success, can only be called strange. However, for Tanaka, "a new leader who started late" (a senior without a faction), this was a critical juncture. If he were at this point to be left without a post, he could be forced to dissdlve the "New Generation Re:~earch Society" which he had formed by drawing together middle level and younger memders since he attained the - rank of Minister of International Trade and Industry. On 25 November, he went by himself to Suzuki to plead. , g FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 FOR OFFIC.'IAt. I.1S1? ONI..ti' (Rokusuke) Tanaka: "Today I have come on my own behalf. You have never seemed more distant than at this time. I have never said about Mr Miyazawa or Mr Ogawa that they should have no posts at all. Is i.t not abusive for them to be saying this?" Suzuki: "I understand, Rokusan. I will not do anything bad." They talked about shared memories of the days of the Ohira cabinet and about topics which had been current ~ahen the Suzuki government was formed; according to people close to the two men: "It was a conversation in which they shared the joys and sorrows of life." Was this direct appeal by Tanaka effective or was Suzuki overwhelmed by the strength of the "Rokusulce faction" (Ogawa's term) which was ready to bolt from his fold if ignored? Whatever may be the correct answer, on the evening of 25 November, Suzuki held a 1 and 1/2 hour telephone consultation with his chief lieutenant, (former Minister of Health and Welfare) Kunikichi Saito, and in the classic sense of the tail wagging the dog, the selection of Tanaka as one of the three top party officials was made (as Saito said) "for the sake of peace and solidarity in the faction and for the purpose of being the party president's faction once again." It can probaUly be said that Tanaka's ability to act and his sense of anticipation on the battlefield bore fruit; Suzuki's choices f or the post of chairman of the Poli.cy Affairs Research Council were.reportedly Miyazawa first and Ogawa second. � The aftershocks continue even after the reorganization of the cabinet. On the _ afternoon of 2 December, senior members of the faction, Iwazo Kaneko, (Naganori) Koyama and Ippei Kaneko gathered in the Suzuki faction's office and joined together in censuring Saito. They said: "Assigning personnel along the Saito-Rokusuke line is no good." "At this rate, the Suzuki faction will end up being taken over by the Tanaka faction." (Note: Saito and (Rokusuke) Tanaka are close to former - Prime Minister Tanaka.) - 'rhus went the "30-day struggle" (former Prime Minister Fukuda's term) over personnel - selections which befell the Suzuki faction. There is no proof that the situation will be settled later on when the faction approaches the moment of truth in the issue of Suzuki's reelection. This, in a sense, is a posture symbolic of the Liberal Democratic Party, shaken by the emergence of new leaders. COPYRIGIiT: Yomiuri Shimbunsha 1981 9111 CSO: 4105/37 10 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 ' FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY : SCILNCE AND TECHNOLOGY RECENT JAPAN-COMMiJNIST BLOC BUSINESS DEALS REPORTED ~ Soviet Robot Trade Fair Tokyo NIKKEI SANGYO SHIMBUN in Japanese 5 Dec 81 p 6 [Text] The Soviet governmeitt has recently determined to hold an "International Industrial. Robot Fair" this coming October in Leningrad, and has strongly urged attendance upon various Japanese industrial robot makers. Originally, it planned to hold a"Japanese Industrial Robot Fair" in Moscow, but this idea was modified and changed to a fair with participation from countries all over the world. This will be the largest scale robot exhibition ever held in the communist sphere. Japan's robot makers see the prospects of concluding large scale deals as excel- lent, and are ready to accept the invitation with enthusiasm. - The planned Soviet robot fair will be held for 10 days, from 18-27 October 1981. Exhibits are expected to include manipulators and higher level robots, FMS (flex- ible manufacturing system) and CAD (computer aided design) systems which use robots, and related components and jigs and tools. Varieties of robots comprise the whole range from welding and painting robots to transpor*_ing, assembly, and inspecting robots. Additionally, displays of "specialty robots" for the mining, civil engineering and construetion, agriculture, and transportation industries are also requested. There is a particularly great interest in intelligent robots. Japan's robot makers were previously informed by the Soviets through the Japan Industrial Robot Manufacturers Association (Yoshio Ando, president) that the Soviets are going to sponsor the "Japanese Industrial Robot Fair" and they wish as many Japanese companies as possible will attend. Now, the Soviets have con- siderably expanded this undertaking beyond the original proposal,~and formally - requested the association to participate. The Soviets have invited participation by 36 Japanese robot makers, including Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Yasukawa Elec- tric Manufacturing Company, Hitachi, Ltd, and Fujitsu Fanuc, and have appended a list of items they would like displayed. The Japan Industrial Robot Manufacturers Association is polling its members as to whether they plan to attend. As it is expected that the number of participating firms will be large, the association will ask the Japan External Trade Organiza- tion (JETRO) to be a pcint of contact and take necessary procedures for the ex- hibits. The association is planning to ascertain by the end of this year as to how many firms will attend the fair and to inform the Soviet government of this next spring. 11 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL US~ ONLY Japan is, literally, the "robot kingdom," possessing about 70 percent of the world's robots. Consequently, the Soviet government has taken note of this robot technology, and has proposed technological exchanges �~aith Mitsubishi Heavy Indus- tries. However, so far a.s the export of robots is concerned, only Kawasaki Heavy Industries has once delivered a large number of robots for automobile factories. After that there are only isolated examples of the export of a small number of robots. The probability seems high to the Japanese firms that, since this is an untouched market, the fair to be held in Leningrad next fall will be an oppor- tunity to inaugurate export deals with the USSR with one effort. COPYRIGHT: Nihon Keizai Shimbunsha 1981 FMS Export to Bulgaria Tokyo NIKKEI SANGYO SHIMBUN in Japanese 5 Dec 81 p 1 [Text] The first large export deal for an FMS (flexihle manufacturing system), which might be called the manufacturing system of the future, has come to Japan from Bulgaria. According to industry sources, the Bulgarian Ministry of Elec- tronic Machine Manufacturing has made a purchase inquiry with Hitachi Seiki Com- pany, Ltd, a major maker of manufacturing machinery, about a large scale FMS cen- tered on 30 MC (manufacturing center), a compound manufacturing machine, and in- cluding autoriatic conveyors, computer systems, and so on. Hitachi Seiki's aim is to win the contract for the first large scale FMS plant transaction by relying on the cooperation of Fujitsu Fanuc, Ltd, in the field of automatic conveyors, centered on NC (numerically controlled) devices and industrial robots. The Bulgarian Ministry of Electrical Machine Manufacturing intends to install this FMS in a computer component factory ir. Sofia. Hitachi Seiki is sending a technical report, including a blue print and a system layout, concurrent with negotiations involving a visit to Bulgaria by company president Idegawa Kinroku. They are going to work out the details of the price and conditions of payment in future, but when the contract is made it is expected that the value of the order will be around 3 billion yen. According to machine tool industry sources, there have been several deals for small scale T'MS centered on two or three MC, but this is the first large scale system of this sort. The distinctive feature of the FMS is that once in- formation concerning 1 day's manufacturing processes is entered in the computer, instructions are issued for each product with the mere push of a button and 24 hour production completely without workers is possible. FMS systems have gained popularity in Japan after the completion in January of this year by Fujitsu Fanuc of its Fuji plant (Yamanashi Prefecture), the pioneer - in all the world of mass production of robots, and Japan leads the world in the FMS field. The Bulgarian government intends to construct a model FMS factory, hoping to up- grade production through rationalization of and increase of energy-saving measures at factories, and has come to make an inquiry with Hitachi Seiki, which exported �ive MC to Bulgaria in the past. 12 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500430041-8 F01? OFFICIAL USE ONLY . However, Hitashi Seiki does not have an automatic conveyor system, nor a computer system which has industrial robots as its essential system. In contrast, Fujitsu Fanuc is strong in computer technology, which is at the heart of NC, and robot technology and, moreover, in the autumn of last year established in Sofia in equal partnership with the Bulgarian government "Fanuc-machinex" and established systems for servicing of NC devices already in place. Because of this Hitachi Seiki is determined to obtain the full backing of Fujitsu ~ Fanuc and, president Idegawa Kinroku will soon begin top level talks with presi- dent Inaba Seiuemon aimed at a structure for a joint order. FMS: A production system for automatic production on one line of small quantities of varied items, combining industrial robots based on computers and NC production machines. COPYRIGHT: Nihon Keizai Shimbunsha 1981 9898 CSO: 4106/33 13 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 r~ec urr~LiAt, u5~: UNLY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY U.S., JAPANESE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES COMPARED Tokyo DENSHI GIJUTSU in Japanese Vol 23 Nos 12 and 13, Nov 81 [Article by Hiroshi Semi] [No 12 pp 78-80] [Text] Recently, the strength of the Japanese electronics industry has become embarrassingly evident. For example, y~u can see it in the report recently issued by the Mclntosh Company (Table 1). According to the report, in the world trade market dealing with electronic products in the eighties, only the United States and Japan are on the plus side, that is, have an excess of exports, while the European nations and other free world coun- _ tries are on the minus side, that is, have an excess of imports. Another point that draws attention is that the balance of the United States, which is on the plu~ side, is showing a downward trend. That implies that the margin of favorable trade balance is yearly being shaved off. That probably le~ves only Japan to continue to enjoy the "spring of life" and to be merry in the world market. Japan alone is predicted to continue to have excess exports in the coming 10 years as far as international trade in electronic products is concerned. On the international market, only the made-in-Japan electronic products are on top, far above others in the spotlight. The results of this solo performance are plain- ly foreseeable. Various international disputes involving preeminent Japan are likely to be invited. The disputes are expected to be highly visible, especially between Japan and the United States, the two countries with a favorable international trade balance. It is a matter of course that a strong Japan should be taxed for its success. That shows not only how the United States but all other countries in the world appre- ciate the operation of Japanese industries and have great expectations of us. On the other hand, tne myth of Japanese operations that support a strong Japan particularly attracts the interest of Europe and America. Giving a clear defini- tion from a very limited field of vision, what attracts them is the secret of our industrial productivity which spews out a mass of good, reliable products exactly as planned and scheduled. Is it also the mystery of the actual production lines which makes the renowned productivity possible that interests them? 14 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE UNLY ~ ~ u , . ~ �,a n .r F r~~ 'y ~ ' ~ � ;;c ,~'r.~: ~~j:F''~ . iI' 70 �,,:~Jt~'~�(;a :�2~*:r%' ' �s?'i'!t% ~ . '.~P : ~k ~~,:~.i ;:t.~ . 1 / ~;i~ti .~i ~ ? 1 ' ~ - %4== A1 91 !1 !I 1~' I 11 ~~~~91 11 91 r;~4~:yAl::;' I ' ~ 5� 1 ' ` -a~ a,: r~. s 9 _o.., .:M~p~: �.�.n.�.�.�.� 4~.. (4) .;:e:.:..~ I : :.n.. ~:~::15 . .m. ~b. ~ x :f~ ~ ( 6 ) u x�:~,~v~,.~k Figure 1. Trade Balance of Electronics Products (1981-1991)--1980 U.S. dollars Key: 1. 1 billion dollars 4. West European nations 2. United States 5. Other free world countries 3. Japan 6. Source: Mclntosh . Businessmen, engineers and even working operators frequently visit Japanese corpo- rations with irresistible fascination and keen interest to elucidate the secret and mystery of Japan. What they learn or hear,at the host companies is no more than a total quality control system (TQC) and QC circle activities thriving at the working level. These systems are not particularly new to the visitors, and when you think o.f it, they originated in Europe and America. Initially, we imported the idea. When they understand these basics, they feel relieved for the time be- ing. Japan does not have any undisclosed mystery or secret. It does only what it is expected to do to bring forth "high quality" products. Thus, the visitors analyze to convince themselves. However, when they go back to their own countries, they are suddenly at a loss. It is not that difficult to restore and implement the various systems practiced in Japan in their own companies. But they notice that an important point has been - overlooked when they actually try to implement the systems. They discover that they failed to understand the root of the success of the total participation sys- tem extensively practiced in Japan. It appears that the Japanese side is partial- ly responsible for this. That is, we do not teach them the spiritual aspect of the matter that supports the success of various participation systems in Japan. To be more accurate, there are few people who can handle the teaching to that ex- tent. 15 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY , APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 rvK urr~~~w~ u~~ UNLY . Giving another example, here is a story that illustrates these problems. Some 250 Japanese companies have already advanced into the United States and employ almost 50,000 Americans. If the Japanese business operations ure as great as has been said, at least the majority of the Japanese companies thy~ fia~e advanced into the United States should be making products equal to the level of products pro- duced in the mother country and be operating with a comfortable profit. However, as far as I know, the majority of the Japanese companies there have, on the con- trary, encountered problems and are busy trying to straighten them out. Probably, the foundations or climates that supFort the business operations in the United Sta~_es and in Japan are different at many points. That is the question being raysed in thP minds of the people who visitEd Japanese corporations and re- turned to their own countries. If it is true that there is a large difference, an absolute difference, in foundations between Japan and ths United States, then it is appropriate to think that this difference s~:.counts for the higl: quality and reliability of the Japanese products. It is impossible to give an all-round profound analysis and solution in this limited space relating to the reasons why Japanese electronic products have reach- ed a level of excellence far above all others in the world. That must be left to another opporeunity for discussion. At this time, :ZOwever, the discussion wili be focused on a comparative analysis of Japan and the United States in the seriiconductor industries which support the electronics industry in association with the above described sense of problems. - In order to facilitate the und~erstanding of the readers, the discussion was divided into 11 points of view for convenience (Table 1). - Status As is well known, the American semiconductor business dominates over 65 percent of the world market today. That figure was estimated to have been over 80 percent 10 years ago. In contrast, the Japanese camp holds about 22 to 24 percent of the market share. The European business hold is less than 10 percent, and the rest is claimed by the semiconductor business of each nation spread out over the free world. However, these enterprises in one way or another have introduced technology from American, Japanese or European businesses. It is unquestionable that the United States ac- tually presides over the world market. Incidentally, the size of the world market today is approximately 3.5 trillion yen in terms of annual average, slightly over the sales realized by Japan's Toyota Motor Company alone. Industrial Structure There is a great difference between Japanese and American semiconductor industrial structures. This stems from the difference in the developmental process in which the semiconductor industry in each country was created and raised. In a word, it - ~s the threefold structure of America versus the onefold-plus structure of Japan. 16 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ The threefold structure of the U:~ited States can be observed by looking at a'"" vertical section of the U.S. semiconductor industry. The onefold plus structure of Jap~n is also conceived on the sa:ne basis. A comparative analysis can be made disregarding the impact on the activities and structures of foreign affiliates residing in each country. ~ The threefold structure of the United States is supported by a strong base. It is a strong system house, i.e., a group of makers independently manufacture goods, - as represented by IBM and Western Electric. These corporations are called inhouse - makers. The power of inhouse makers has been steadily organized in recent years. This is because the major electric makers which were compelled to retreat from�the semiconductor indnstry in the past have returned again. The means of reentry can be the purchase of an existing s'emiconductor business or capital participation. GE and Westinghouse are typical examples. French oil capital, Schlumberger, and the greatest of the American military industries, Unit- ed Technology, accomplished their entry into the semiconductor industry by pur- chase. The companies they bought out were competent semiconductor corporations such as Fairchild and Mostech [phonetic]. It looks like "bring semiconductor development and production ability to the com- pany" will become the password of the world's big corporations. Table 1. Comparison of Japan-U.S. Semiconductor Industries United States Japan 1. Status almost 65% in excess of 20% 2. Industrial structure threefold onefold-plus 3. Business operation profit oriented market oriented (cost reduction) (market share) 4. Main constituents primarily specialty general electric machinery makers and communication machinery (venture business) makers (consistent system house) 5. Technology pride of originator sense of new establishment (IHA idea) 6. Production design/technology perfection of fabrication innovation technology (stressing mass (stressing vield) production) 7. Quality principle of passing perfectionisi.t inspection 8. Competition offensive to defensive defensive to offensive 9. Product strong in microcomputers strong in memories and IC for military industry for civilian usz - 10. Business strategy one step ahead in multi- heading for multinationali- nationalization zation 11. Role of government frequent bolstering protection and nurturing 17 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 - ruK urri~iA~ u~H: c)NL.Y [No 13 pp 73-75] [Text] The second layer of the industrial structure (continu~d) is the companies which deal with outside sa_;.es, generically :.alled merchant makers. Th~y are head- ' ed by Texas Instruments (TI) and include National Semiconducz~r, Intel and Ad- vanced Microdevice which all have a main office in Silicon Valley, and Motorola which maintains major production activities in Arizona, otherwise known as Silicon Desert. In the past several months, the merchant makers have been kept busy review'ng the'' long- and medium-term growth strategies of their own companies. In 1981, the shipped commodities of the American semiconductor business was minus 5-10 percent, compared to the previous year (in terms of money). This is due to the unexpectedly long-lasting slump. However, this is expected to get on the track of mili' recovery in 1982, leading to a big growth in 1983 and 1984.... , Up until the beginning of autumn last year, it was predicted that 1982 would be the year of a demand boom (see December 1980 issue--American Semiconductor Indus- try in Recession). As the American business condition hits a second bottom, the prevailing opinion now predicts that th~ next demand peak will arrive later in 1983. What gives a headache to the top management of the semiconductor business is how to tackle the promised market growth. The factors that cause the headache can be boiled down to two items. One is the procurement problem to meet plant and equipment expansion. In order to procure sufficient funds, it is necessary to earn profits that make the pro- curemen~ feasible. From this aspect, it must cut off unprofitable sectors that pull down some industry groups and products that do not grow as expected in the near future. Then, it must concentrate on the product groups considered real win- ners and continue to invest in plant and equipment at the proper time. Another problem is the shortage of engineers, which is becoming more serious every year. Even if management can cope with this problem, the product battlefront must be organized and the resource of engineers in one's own company must be effective- ly utilized, when it is self-evident that the business has expanded out of con- trol. Funds, manpower and profit ratio and growth of products in the near future must be balanced. As a result, once in a while decisions that surprise the industry are made and announced by the leaders of the semiconductor business. A good exam- ple is the recent retreat of TI and National Semiconductor from the magnetic bub- ble memory business. This decision was made as a result of reallocating opera- tional resources preponderantly in order to pursue the promising silicon tech- , nology. The third layer is composed of venture business groups characteristic of the American semiconductor industry. Today's Intel and National Semiconductor also started originally as venture businesses. Venture businesses flirting with ven- ture capitalists are pushed up into a full fledged business in no time. 18 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ' Such a busines~ climate or foundation is never found in the semiconductor indus- try of Japan. Many Japanese versions of venture business compdnies have been raised in the software field of the computer industry. However, the people and ' institutions that serve the function of the American venture capitalists are ab- sent. This absence is deeply felt wnen one appreciates the role plaqed'by the'' venture capitalists who are very active in Silicon Valley. ~ ' . Concerning the role of the capitalists who continue their activities with tHe valley as their base of action, several characteristics can be pointed out."-~The most important characteristic is that almost all of them have had experience in operating a high technology business with their own hands at one time or another in the past. Also, they participate as one of the managers in the business for = which they have raised the funds. Capitalists with these qualifications can hardly be found in Japan. A"onefold- plus structure" pattern characteristic of Japan is quite a contrast to the pattern of the United States. The Japanese semiconductor business is predominantly run by companies which are characterized as general electric machinery and communica- tions machinery makers or as general home electric businesses. Part of the semi- conductor products are always consumed in the company itself. They may be regard- ed as a group of businesses which combine the corporations in the first and second layers of the American semiconductor business structure. Furthermore, many of them are "big businesses." The "plus pattern" comes from the fact that a very limited number of semiconduct~~r specialty makers are part of a circle dependent on these big corporations. In recent years, the number of so-called inhouse makers has increased, but the scale is not as large as the traditional American inhouse makers such as IBM and GE. Business Operation There has existed a basic ideal or strategic difference hetween Japanese and Amer- - ican business operations. American business has primarily been profit oriented, - while our business has been market share oriented. In the American market, free and fair competition has been unfolded under the banner of reduction of cost. In contrast, the origin of our business has been the improvement of the market share. These differences in strategy or basic attitude are closely related to the back- grounds from which the semiconductor industries emerged and the form of the progress in both Japan and the United States. In the United States, which was the revolutionist of the world's semiconductor industry, the military market was enormous at first, but the dependence on it was greatly reduced, for example, in the seventies as far as IC is concerned. In the United States, where the market was developed for military use with the backup of the Pentagon (Department of Defense), a tremendous number of corpora- tions entered into the business with the expansion of the civilian market. This phenomenon of participation was given further impetus by the basic climate of the American business operation favoring freedom of occupation and traits that en- courage.a free and independent spirit (pioneer spirit that challenged the fron- tier). 19 FOR OFF[C[AL USC ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500430041-8 ruic ~rri~.~At, U~~ UIVLY Naeurally, the competition became more ruthless with the increase in the number of companies entering the industry. "Price" was unquestionably the bottom line for acquiring the position of ruler in the market where the competition was intense. On the other hand, a habit of stressing "profit" for every quarter term, charac- teristic of American business, stubbornly remained. The outcome is obvious. Feverish pressure was applied to reduce the cost. Cost reduction was pursued in relation to the "product quality" demanded by the cus- - tomers. Maybe because of this, the basic theme of quality control was strictly - narrowed down to the principle of passing inspec.tion. Severe price competition required creation and expansion of the market. As a re- sult of the drastic reduction in the IC price in a short period, new markets were opened. Also, the markets expanded at an unexpected speed. Meanwhile, the com- petition cost many victims in the early 1970's, which meant a retreat of many large corporations from semiconductor production. Japanese business operations, starting late, ar~ different in many ways from the phenomena seen in the.American market. Unlike the United States, where nearly 200 semiconductor companies fought for a marke~ shar~a, the big corporations took the lead from the start in Japan. No one rushed int~~ the semiconductor industry dream- ing of a bonanza. Centered around competition with a sidelong glance at other companie~s, the competi- , tion was unfolded primarily stressing product quality to catch up with others. Various inventions and efforts were constantly being made to lose no time in catch- ing up to the level of the forerunner, the United States. Greatly helpful was the attitude of American business, which generously disclosed technologies to a consid- erable extent as long as patent fees and knowho~a fees were paid. - What the Japanese corporations, which were the late starter, aimed at was perfect product quality. In the beginning, the cost was high, but this was absorbed by the demand from within the company. Through efforts to eliminate the immense putent fees, note~~orthy patents of one's own company were originated. A vehement price battle has developed in the course of time. The battle is waged on two fronts, one against American corporations and the other against domestic _ corporations. Setting aside the IC's consumed within the company, a seemingly contradictory de- mand for "inexpensive and good products" had to be accommodated in the Japanese market structure, where the civilian market ratio was comparatively high. The solution to satisfy these two demands came down very roughly to two points. One was the insatiable automation of the manufacturing process, and the other was the catch-up attitude with everyone taking part, the pursuit of TQC (total quality con- trol) in today's terminology. . The essence of operating with a sidelong glance is the principle of not being de- feated by other companies in equipment investment and technology development. The greatest parameter to judge ~he result of the competition is the fluctuation of the so-called market share. The complete industrial statistics of Japan relate the cruel fact of the market share of one's own company. 20 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Main Constituents The following main constituents played different roles in the stage of industrial development in the United States. The main constituents that created the semi- conductor industry were the world's predominant research institute,~.Be11,.L~bozato~y and the Western Electric group. �-~=�~a The credit for the mass production of the technology developed can be given to' semiconductor specialty makers which started from venture businesses. Several - technological developments were required before the semiconductor business'c'o'iiTd be shaped into an industry and get into smooth running order. Aside from Bell ax~d the Western group, technological development in the initial period was explored by~ large corporations such as GE and RCA. Except for the period of foundation consolidation, venture businesses with TI and Fairchild in the center served as the driving force to promote technical innovation. Espe- cially noteworthy were the Kirby patent of TI and the Planer patent of Fairchild. The main actors in the Japanese industry were general electric machinery and co~ munication machinery makers from the very beginning. It was these corporations that promoted research and development and started mass production. A specialized developmental pattern as seen in the United States is totally absent. It cannot be denied that the tailing type Japanese business operation benefited in various ways from the difference in the main constituents as describad above. Technology The idea that penetrates most into the American semiconductor industry is ~.te acute sense of being the original manufacturer, the pride that the invention was made there. That sometimes rebounds as an unexpectedly arrogant attitude toward customers. It is because of this phenomenon that we hear complaints that an American business, trained well in the home of marketing, sometimes acts too ag- gressively in trying to impose the products of its own company and forgets that "all customers are kings" when it attempts to sell its products to Japanese users. In comparison, Japan's sense of new establishment had solidified. Although we felt small in face of the originatar at the beginning, we started to become con- fident about certain products as we caught up in the technology and further es- tablished mass production technology. In the past couple of y~ars, Americans have begun to make some remarkable state- ments regarding the reliability, quality and stability of Japanese IC memories in particular. Some American business managers have come forward to warn the American corporations which indulge contentedly in the pride of being the orig- inal manufacturer. These managers have the e~erience of having worked as a high class administrator in Japanese business or have often visited Japan. Or they have Japanese friends who are outstanding businessmen, although they them- selves haven't visited Japan too often. The number of managers who organize quality control groups within the company and strive for the improvement of quality has increased also in American business. 21 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R040500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . There are definite signs that the day is approaching when the American cerpora- tions with persevering strength and extensive resources will cast off their pride at being the originator. COPYRIGHT: Electronic Engineering 1981 8940 CSO: 8129/0488 22 _ FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 i ~ NOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY AJINOMOTO'S BIOTECHNOLOGICAL R&D ACTIVITIES DESCRIBED Tokyo SHUKAN BIRION in Japanese 6 Nov 81 pp 72-75 [Article by Kazuaki Taya] [Text] Among the Japanese food enterprises are high-profit firms saich as Sun- tory and Kirin Brewery. However, Suntory is a whisky manufacturer, and Kirin Brewery is literally a beer manufacturer. Thus, as a"general" food enterprise, there is no business enterprise that surpasses Ajinomoto. In the third term of 1981, the scale of Ajinomoto ~ales was 374.3 billion yen. The makeup of sales is led by processed foods, followed by seasonings, fats and oils, amino acids, etc. The sales in 1965 amounted to 54.4 billion yen, less than one-seventh of the 1980 fig~ire. It was a seasoning manufacturer, and the makeup of sales also was centered on seasoning products, namely the large-scale production of Ajinomoto [MSG], which a~counted for over 50 percent af the total sales. ~ Today, 15 years later, it has achieved a great transformation in its posture as a general food manufacturer. President K. Utada, who took office in June this year, emphasizes a five-column operation--that is, a comprehensive balanced operation of seasonings, fats and oils, processed foods, amtno acids, a~nd overseas business. However, as we view objectively the direction in which Ajinomoto is advancing in the 1980's, we may say that growth in the amino acids and overseas categories hold the key. In other words, life sciences and multinational development are the directions in which Ajinomoto is advancing. On a worldwide base of multilateral development in amino acid technology, Ajinomoto life science is enlarging its prospect for growth with pharmaceuti- cals. Erental [phonetic], an enteric nutrient marketed after being adopted by the health care program in September, is the~first pharmaceutical for Ajinomoto. Erental is a nutrient which is directly in~ected into the patient's intestine through a tube beiore or after surgery. It is the first pharmaceutical of this type. It is estimated that it will grow eventually into a product with a monthly business of 200-300 million yen. 23 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ ~1~#i;;~. ~~=1~#3~~~i - ~lv~y), 4~i~, i~~t~rdt (2) ~11~~=:iZt~r ' l\-( . - : --------I~fvr'l,. Cook ootat (3) 7 C25 f~~iXll ~9(.3) 2696' _-1:~~~ ~~'i~'r~~~~~~at' ~4~ ' : 5~r~ (5z96> ~~t~ , 3743t~P3 - ~102~ o ' ' 35(3) ~ ~~~8~ (~~~~0~55~#~~rt~~J.r.~) 23C17) rfl~~ ((~p~~) 111(6390) T # r~a~~u~~~ ~ t~c~~~~ - -(JZ9J1'�~-f_-- 2(~1~??.40) (5) ( 2i~(~s~) /,41. ~7~~--J #5~~ � f~7~?-- ? ~ {J(839o) 2I1~159ci) A}. ~ ; ri ~ i- t- - adr iu~~5t'i 31i1($9o) (71~,1) ;'�"i'6H~V~Itti.lf,~. I E~II.IdUillF!).'1~~ `1-~~~J ~{!l~%19O . ~ ~.y ~i Figure 1. Growth in 1980's Expected in Amino Acid Category Key: (1) Amino acids, 9(3): lysine, algin Z, etc, for transfusion, feeds. (2) Others, 7(25): starch, se.asoned liquids, synthetic products, etc. (3) Seasonings, 26 percent (52 percent): Ajinomoto, Hi-Me, Hondashi [broth], Cook Do, etc. (4) Fats and oils, 23 (17): cooking oi1, soybean protein products, etc. (5) ~'rocessed foods, 35 (3): soups, mayonnaise, margarine, frozen foods, coffee, etc. (6) FY-1980 gross sales: 374.3 billion yen ~ (7) (Note): Figures represent percentage makeup; insia~ parentheses are the 1965 figures. (8) (1980 estimated market share for major products) Monosodium glutamate (Ajinomoto) lst place (63 percent) Fla~~or enhancer lst place (52 percent) - Instant coffee 2d place (22 percent) Mayonnaise 2d place (19 percent) Powdered/cubed soup lst place (83 percent) Cooking oil 2d place (15 percent) Frozen foods 3d place (8 percent) Margarine 2d place (21 percent) 24 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Following behind it are the immunologic anticancer agent Rentinan [phonetic], the chemotherapeutic (directly attacks cancer) anticancer agent CAM, and the antibiotic AC-1370. Rentinan [phonetic] was submitted to the Ministry of Health and Welfare for approval last spring, and there is a prospect for obtaining approval in 1982. CAM is about to begin the second-stage clinical testing. - Rentinan is an injectable drug, while CAM is being developed as an oral prepara- tion. When both products are marketed, methods for combining the two are anti- cipated, which will probably become an important factor for increasing sales. Sales of Erental will be handled by the subsidiary Morishita Seiyaku, while a� - sales agreement has been arranged with Yamanouchi Pharmaceutical for Rentinan marketing. CAM is a product developed jointly with Chugai Pharmaceutical. We can see Ajinomoto's strategy of expanding agreements with leading pharn~aceutical firms using its technological strength as the weapon. ' AC-1370 is a new antibiotic of the so-called third-generation antibiotics. It is currently in the animal experiment stage. However, as clinical tests begin, it is fully expected that collaborative studies with major antibiotic manufac- turers may be undertaken. R&D Structure of "High Tech-High Touch" Anticancer agents and antibiotics have large pharmaceutical markets. As Renti- nan, CAM, and AC-1370 join the front, the foundation for Ajinomoto'~s pharmaceuti- cals will ~e strengthened rapidly: Such a posture will probably be seen clearly in some 4-5 years. The pace of R&D directed at life science at Ajinomoto has increasingly hastened of late. The objective of some 600 personnel at the central research laboratory is to find seeds for life science to grow in the areas of food, pharmaceuticals, or inter- mediate medicinal foods. The number of staff at the central research laboratory at the highest point - reached about 1,100 in the period 1965-~974. The fact that the number is now less than 60 percent of that is one of the byproducts brought about by empha- sis on efficiency of the R&D effort. In the midst of this, the pharmaceutical developments which were undertaken earnestly for some 7-10 years are about to blossom now in the form of Erental, Rentinan, etc. - In July of this year, the Department of Basic Research, with a staff of 30-40, was newly established in the central laboratory. The objective is to advance broad basic research cross-sectionallq with a long-term view. Furthermore, Ajinomoto has become more forward-looking about mergers in Japan and about technical exchanges with Kellogg (cornflakes), CPC International ~ (soup, mayonnaise), General Foods (coffee), Jerube-Dannon [phonetic] (fresh ~ cheese), etc. In October, it invited Vice President Grant, who isin charge of R&D at the CPC head office, and initiated a"technical exchang~ meeting" of 25 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 FOR OFFIClAL USE ONLY three firms, including the top executives of Knoll Foods (merged with CPC). Its plan is to aim for cross-sectional expansion of technological developments in the future by holding broad-based technical exchange meetings which include the ~ above-mentioned collaborators and merger firms. Last year, jointly with General Foods, which is a partner financier of AGF (Ajinomoto-General Foods), it established a separate new company for the devel- opment of protein foods. In the midst of rising interest in the f ields of physiology, nutrition science, and immunology, the life science research at Ajinomoto is expected to show fur- ther expansion. _ The skillful advance in R&D management such as efficiency, directi~n, etc, is also a very important point. ln this respect, Vice President T. Kakuta, who is in charge of R&D, is emphasizing "high tech-high touch" by quoting from a book by H. Hironaka--that is, a strong human factor in addition to Y,~.igh technology. A Forerunner in Genetic Engineering Related to Amino Acids Among life science-oriented areas, the one likely to bring technological innova- tions is genetic engineering. In particular, regarding genetic engin~ering in the area of amino acids, Ajino- moto's posture is aimed at being the f orerunner not only in Japan, but in the world. It is also to save face as the world's amino acid enterprise. Unlike others, Ajinomoto is still in the very initial stage in genetic engineering. However, in the fall of last year, it succeeded in the technical achievement of doubling the production efficiency for threonine, one of the essential amino acids, by using a new strain of E. coli in genetic engineering. Incidentally, between 1971 and 1980 it acquired four prepublication patents which are believed to be related to genetic engineering. This number is the second highest among Japanes~ f irms, after the seven held by Mitsubishi Chemical. In addition, for 2-3 years it has been sending young researchers, believed to number almost 10, mainly to the United States for genetic engineering related work. Ajinomoto's achievements in the life sciences area has gradually begun to pene- trate overseas. For example, the amino acid sweetener Asparteem is one result. Asparteem [phonetic] is characterized by a sweetness approximately 200 times greater than sugar and yet has fewer calories. It expects to obtain approval of the U.S. rDA (Food and Dr~sg Aclministration) and begin exporting the product to the United States by next spring. Asparteem is a U.S.-Japan joint merchandise effort, for which the U.S. G. D. Searle has the application patent and Ajinomoto, the manufacturing patent. Other than in the United States, it is being sold in I'rance, Belgium, and Luxembourg. Approval has been obtained in five more coun- tries including Mexico, and approval is being obtained in Canada as well. 26 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000540030041-8 Nox oHF�~cin~, usH: UNLv . Regarding the above-mentioned anticancer agent, Rentinan, it is a noteworthy point for the future that Ajinomoto has already received more than 10 overseas collaborative offers. Regarding amino acids for medical use, which have been exported until now, a plant is expected to be completed in the United States by the end of the year to switch to local production. This is a trend that con- tributes to overseas business development, which will be discussed next. In the March'1980 term, Ajinomoto received income totalling 4.4 billion yen (2.9 billion yen for FY-79 in royalties, loan interests and dividends from overseas subsidiaries. Based on the overseas investment and ~loan balance for the same term of approximately 26 billion yen, the investment efficiency ~s _ 17 percent. Also, based on the fact that the profit contribution of the five overseas subsi- diaries is estimated to be approximately 25 percent of the 1980 consolidated profit, it may be concluded that Ajinomoto's overseas firms are developing their business smoothly on the whole. As of June 1981, Ajinomoto's local plants overseas numbered 12. The local pro- duction consists mainly of seasonings, which are produced by six plants, includ- ing Thai Ajinomoto. Others include Euro-Lysine (France), a feed lysine; and the manufacturing of instant noodles in four countries, including the United States and Brazil, through collaboration with Nisshin Foods. Also, at~the end of this year, a plant for the above-mentioned amino acids for medical use will be com- pleted in the state of North Carolina in the United States as a plant for Ajino- moto USA (sales firm). Among the overseas f irms, the consolidated firms number five, including Thai Ajinomoto, and the total sales of the five firms is approximately 30 billion . yen. Total overseas sales, including the sales of other local firms and ex- ports from Japan, were on the scale of approximately 60 billion yen in 1980. As a result of the considerable expansion made in seasoning plants in the last - 1-2 years, the production of monosodium glutamate overseas surpassed that of domestic output during this fiscal year. The average growth rate is also higher overseas than the domestic rate. A new plant for instant noodles was also completed recently in Brazil. In addition, in preparation for future expansion in sales regions, Ajinomoto they opened resident staff offices this year in Karachi in May, and in Cairo in July, thus placing strategic cornerstones. Ajinomoto's future production overseas is expected to diversify gradually to processed foods, with seasonings as the base. Also, as found in the case of the local production of amino acids for medical use in the United States, a trend toward an increase in the local production of pharmaceuticals is also expected, mainly in advanced countries. In such an environment, Ajinomoto's multinational development is likely to show expansion, and the depth will also be increased by product diversification. Depending on circumstances, it is conceivahle that the company will move toward buying up business locally. 27 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R040500030041-8 NoH oNF�ic~n~, u~~~: oNt.v The history of Ajinomoto's overseas ventures goes back to export pioneering in 1914. Soon after that, it opened a resident staff office in New York. Local production began in the iatter half of the 1950's. Major bases in South- east Asia, Thai Ajinomoto and Malaysian Ajinomoto, were founded in 1960 and 1961 respectively. Thus, they alrea.dy have a 20-year history. Malaysian Ajinomoto has already been listed on local stock exchanges, a.~d Thai Ajinomoto is also heading toward listing. Furthermore, a trend toward independent fund procure- ment by overseas subsidiaries is being emphasized, as in the case of Malaysian Ajinomoto, which is planning to issue stock. However, this is not to say that Ajinomoto has had no failures in its overseas ventures. Only one such case has occurred, in Italy, where the local factory had to withdraw due to changes in the raw material situation and labor instabil- ity (a special loss of 2.6 bil~.ion yen was added to the March 1978 term). As multinational development is in,tensified in the future, how to avoid high-risk countries will hold greater i:aportance than before for Ajinomoto. The same can be said for pharmaceuticals development. These days, the develop- ment of a large-scale pharmaceutical is said to cost "3 billion yen and 10 years." Investment risk in R&D for pharmaceuticals is much greater than food when it fails. However, if it succeeds, the reward is that much greater in fact. Interview [with Ajinomoto President Utada] Question: What changes do you envision for Ajinomoto in 10 years? Utada: People say various things about us, bothrothing has changed in that we are basically a food manufacturer. My concept is to expand the business as a whole on the basis of a five-column structure of seasonings, oils and fats, pro- cessed foods, amino acids, and overseas venture. A business called Ajinomoto [element of flavor] need not plan such drastic multilateral operations. I would like to make progress with a way of life so that business branches out little by little from the trunk. Question: Among the five columns, it appears that the importance of amino acids and overseas categories will increase. Utada: If I am asked specifically which category, I suppose you are right. Amino a~ids have many more areas to explore yet, and we believe that they will grow into a bright limeligt~t in the next 10 years. Since people's interest in health and nutrition will steadily increase, it is very important to grasp what is new firmly in this regard. As for overseas business, it currently accounts for approximately 20 percent of the consolidated sales. Aside from the figures, _ there is no doubt that the importance of the overseas category will greatly in- crease in the next 10 years. Question: Among multinational developments, buying up businesses is also con- ceivable, is it not? 28 FOR OFFf~'i.~eL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040500034041-8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Utada: Depending on circumstances, we ~;illnaturally consider buying up busi- nesses. Although we are not now practicing this, looking at the years ahead, that need will probably become stronger in Japan also. Question: Your views on the price of shares? Utada: I consider that as a top firm in the business, a 4-digit figure-- 1,000 yen--is not out of line. COPYRIGHT: Billion [Shukan Birion) 1981 7722 CSO: 4106/27 END 29 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030041-8