JPRS ID: 10188 NEAR EAST/NORTH AFRICA REPORT

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 N'UR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JPRS L/ 10188 15 December 1981 Ne~r East Nort~ Africa Re ort p CFOUO 46/S 1) FBIS FOREIGN BROADCAST INFORMATION SERVICE FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000440080042-3 NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and books, but also from news agency transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources a.re transcribed or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial re~orts, and material enclosed in bracke~s are supplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the last line of a brief, indicate how the original information was processed. Where no processing indica*_or is given, the infor- mation was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phonetically or transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the origin4l but have been supplied as appropriate in context. Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the bod;~ of an item originate with the source. Times wiChin items are as given by source. The contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Government. COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULATIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF THIS PUBLICATION BE RESTRICTE3~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JPRS L/10188 15 December 1981 NEAR EAST/NORTH AFRICA REPORT (FOUO 46/81) CONTENTS EGYPT Interview With 'Umar a1-Talmaseni ('Umar al-Talmasani Interview; AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, 25 Sep-1 Oct 81) 1 Former Nasirist Official in Exile Ca11s for Reconciliation (AL-WATAN AL- 'ARABI, 23-29 Oct 81) 5 Task of Getting Nation To Renounce Israeli Link Reviewed (AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, 30 Oct-5 Nov 81) 8 Prominent Dissident Analyzes Domestic, Arab Causes of Rif`t (AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, 30 Oct-5 Nov 81) 13 Status of Prominent Female Detainee Reviewed (Salma Fakhri; AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, 30 Oct-5 Nov 81) 18 , IRA6~ Foreign Minister Interviewed on Conditions for Peace (Sa'dun Hammadi Interview; AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, 2~ Sep 81) 20 Oil Minister lliscussed Policy, OPEC (Tayih 'Abd-al Karim Interview; AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, ~-10 Sep 81) . 26 - - a _ [III - NE & A - 121 FOUO] FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400084042-3 FOR OFFICtAL USE Ol~'LY _ EGYPT INTERVIEW WITH 'UMAR AL-TAIMASANI Paris AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI in Arabic No 241 25 Sep-1 Oct 81 pp 35-37 [Interview with 'Umar al-Talmasani by AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI: " Violence Will Not Scare Us and Leniency Will Not Deceive Us;" date and place not specified] [Text] When ~adat's policy was about to clash with the Muslim Erotherhood in Cgypt, we went for a press interview with 'Umar al-Talmasani, the leader of the Egyptian Muslim Brothe:hood and the chief editor of the magazine AL-DAWAT which was confiscated. Today, the clash has taken place and al-Talmasani and his comrades are in prison as are thousands of political detainees and leaders of religious movements. The talk we had with him a few days before his imprisonment forms the first line of defense at the new Muslim Brotherhood's tr.ial. This interview is also the third most important 3ournalistic coup recorded with impor- tant Egyptian detainees and fugitives since Ahmed Parghali and Lutfi al-Khwali. [Question] Let us start by defining the Muslim Brotherhood's position as a"force" among the opposition forces in Egypt. On what basis does this group build its , opposition to President Sadat and his policies? [Answer] Y es, we are in the opposition. Our opposition primarily focuses on the fact that the existing system had neglected to apply in this Muslim country God's laws "may he be glorified." For this reason our opposition is basically aimed at the system itself and not toward obtaining power by changing Chose who are in the government, or by replacing them. The Muslim Brotherhood do not aspire for governing per se, and do not care who is in power. But what simply and solely concerns them is the principles of governing. In our opposition, we adhere to the righteous and pure Islamic system, without defamation or accusa- tion...without slander oY seizing of opportunities...without abuse or suspicions. We are objective and we do not concern ourselves with individuals. Despite that, we know that this philosophy does not please the suthorities and does not even - please their opposition. But when did we take into consideration either one of them? We strive to please only God. We hope we are right. What we really want, and that answers the second par~t of the question, is the Korun as the source of legislation. We are requesting that the constitution and the political parties be abolished. We are requesttng the boycott of ideas that come to us from the West and from the communists, and which are alien to our 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000400080042-3 FOR OF'FICIAL USE ONLY reti~;ion. We are asking to resist and fight imperialism in every place. We are xequesting holy war ".Jihad" against Zionism. That is a11 we want and these are our requests. Camp David is a True Evil [question] Every one of your points is radically different from Sadat's policies. I:ach point needs more clarification...what do you say about that? [Answer] As for applying God's laws, "the Sharia" had talked about it. With regard to our stand concerning the p arties in Egypt, we re~ect theia because their piatforms are situational. Each party has a platform that changes according to circumstances. In addition, these parties, in their struggle to get to uower, aim for their own interests and for propagating their ideologies. They also restrict their activities to only worldly matters. Our stand against imperialism and Zionism is also very clear. It is enough that we opposed the peace ~reaty with Israel from the outset and we think it is a pure evil fram ev~ry angle. [Question] Then, you wholly agree that the Arab countries were right in boycotting the Egyptian system? [Answer] Indeed they were right in their boycott. But I have to say that some Islamic countries erred in what was supposed to be done in handling the dan~ers of that treaty. After that step it was necessary for those countries to unite. If Egypt was thinking about obtaining stability through this treaty, Israel did not have this in mind. What she had in mind was the breaking of Muslim unity. Israel succeeded, and some of those countries helped her succeed. The Muslim countries ai Q responsible for Israe?.` s success. Should we help her too? If the Islamic, countries reconcile, unite and agree among themselves, that will undoubtedly ha]t Israel and help Egypt to free itself from that treaty that helped Israel in hurting Muslims and in continuing its antagonisms. [Question) How? [Ar.swer] Israel challenges us with uninhibited bo?dness. Look what Begin had said! He said that bombing the Iraqi nuclear plant was only the first step in order to strike at any development in any Islamic country. This means that he is - not satisfied with protecting the "security of Israel" inside her borders, but he is boasting that he wants to sLrik,e at the he art of the Islamic countries... What did we do when we were faced with that impertinent bragging? Is it enough to be satisfied by the Security Council condemnation of Israel....Should a decision like that satisfy us? The Syri an-Soviet Maneuvers [Question] Then, how do you see the Arab situation now? [AnswerJ I will talk to you about tangible and precise matters to explain this situation. A couple of days ago, the newspaper published that an Arab country - a military delegation to the Soviet Union to conclude an arm~ transaction. What is the size of the arnry of that country, and what is their fighting capa- bility? Who, in reality, is in charge of their technical military command? 2 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R004400080042-3 FOR OF~ICIAL USE ONLY What is the confrontation capability of the~e purchased arms, and what is their useiulness? Does communi~m sympathize with believers and as a result give them the best of what it has or is it a way to circulate wealth "the billions" in the East once and th~n in the West at another tim~? Is it not to prevent their evil? But it wi11 not be prevented. Is it not to get their approval? But that will not be gained. At the same time Russia derides Hafiz al-Asad by holding ma.jor maneuvers near Latakiya. Lo you know why these maneuvers took place? Were they to scare Israel? I wish they were. The reason for these maneuver.s is to fri~hten the Syrian people. Motto of the System [QuestionJ Let us talk again about the Muslim Brotherhood...and about what is going on in Egypt. What exactly happened to your magazine AIrDAWAT? Do you think that it will be published again? [Answer] What happened is that, on 29 July, people from the Bureau of Investi- _ gation burst into the n~agazine office and confiscated papers. They also ordered some workers to leave and take with them their clothes so that they could go home. Then they closed the doors for about 6 hours and confiscated several copies ~~f. the last issue of August because they considered its contents offensive to President Sadat and his policies. In reality, we are surprised by what took place. Isn't that an abuse of the laws, freedom and constitution? Why was the National Egyptian press silent about this aggression? They are pr~ising the system for what is committed against the dignity and freedotn of the citizen. The vice- squad sees and hears what is shown on television and does ncthing about it, even though what is shown is corrupting the morals of the youths... But the Ministry of Interior trembles at an article that is beneficial and does not corrupt or harm. AL-AHR~1~I had the temerity to publish a cartoon that is heretical and an assault on the constitution, and r.~body in the goverrnnent did anything about it. All people know who is behind that heresy. If goverrnnent officials give it as much attention as they give in pursuing the Muslim Brotherhood by various means of spying and wiretapping, they would have spared this country the dangerous consequences that are steadily approaching. But it seems to me that the motto of the government toward tt~e Muslim Brotherhood is "any danger cotnpared to the Muslim Broth~rhood is no danger." tde Will Not Resort to Court [Question] What will be your reaction toward governmental actions? Will you resort to court? [AnswerJ The Muslim Brotherhood exists with or without the magazine. Our call will continue to get to people by every mean. Will we resort to court? This will never happen...because God ~udges rightly between them and us. We will not blame anyone, because we do not have the right to place blame. We are sure that some of our officials demand a blind obedience...we refuse them what they want. 1.et everyone know that we are not the kind of people who become soft under entice- ment, and we do not fear violence that frightens others...we believe what happened to us had to happen, and what missed us could not happen to us. God values everything. Thus what happened to us was a trial by God of us. Some used to be suspicious concerning our stand toward the present system as an opposition, to the 3 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~point that some parties said that we support the present aystem by our opposition, and that betwe~n the system and us there was a gentleman's agreement. God, may he be glorified, meant to refute their suspicions. Religious Incidents are False [QuestionJ You are accused by the govermnent of being responsible for the recent religious incidents. Wha[ is your opinion? [Answer] That is a lie because we were the pacifying factor during the incidents. During various religious incidents, the goverrnnent used to resort to us...and we used to carry out our duty not for the govertmnent's sake, but because our religion recommends us to do so.... I tell you that the convention of Islamic groups was - the most important factor, with the help of God "may he be glorified," in ending the incidents of "A1-Zawiyah A1-Hamra'." All people know that. Peaple felt it even though officials denied it.... As for threats one day from here and one day from there, nobody will feel their weight but those who are thr~atening. Because not the weight of an atam can escape the Fye of God, the most high, whether on ~ earth or i~n Heavan. [Question] There are diverse Islamic organizations which do not follow you. How do you look at them when they call everyone who does not belong to them a "sinner?" Is there any coord ination among all of you? [A.iswer] Whoever confesses the two creeds, follows them, and performs his religious duties is not a sinner, whether he belongs to an Islamic organization or not. At any rate, we regularly meet with their officials to make onc work plan until our goal is achieved. To Whom It May Concern [Question] If you are asked to say a word to anyone who is interested, what would ~ you say? [Answer] I say chat every official in this country knows we?.1 that we are the last people to conspire, plot, destroy, be sold, agitate, and provoke. In spite ~ of this, the investigation and intelligence bureaus concentrate on the Muslim Brotherhood. Whoever believes we are not aware of it should correct his under- standing.... We do not deceive anybody, at the same time no method did or will ever deceive us no matter how gentle or compassionate it might appear to us. I wish events would come to a head and close, confiscate, accuse, restrict and try us. I wish that would take place. This is the melting of pure gold in order to rid it of every impurity. We do not look forward to trouble...we ask God, may he be glorified, for well-being. But if that is inevitable, people :;hould know , that for those whom Qadhayi and Assad could not alienate from th~ir religion and ' struggle, neither a hurricane nor the rage of storms, nor darkness wi_1 prevent Y them from spreading their doctrine. ~"God hath purchased of the belie:�rers, their persons and theix goods; For theirs (in return) Is the gaxden (of Paradise).i' Surah a1-Taubah; ! Section xiv: liT COPYRIGHT: AL-WATAN AI.-'ARABI 1981 9786 CSO: 4504/23 . ~ FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY EGYPT FORMER NASIRIST OFFICIAL IN EXILE CAI.LS FOR REGONCILIATION Paris AL-WATAN AL-~ARABI in Arabic 2~-29 Oct 81 p 49 /Article: "An Egyptian Opposition Voice Calls for Dialogue: 'Abd-al-Majid Farid: - Let Us Give Mubarak a Few Months"/ /Text/ 'Abd-a1~Majid Farid, a leader of the Egyptian oppoaition abroad, who is currently devoting himself full time to administering the Center for Arab Studies in London, has an opinion on the latesz new developments in Egypt. In summary, it is that the new Egyptian president must prepare to carry o~st a damestic recon- ciliation witlhin Egypt. Howevar, the time for such a reconciliation has perhaps not come. We asked the man who worked ~or a long time alor.dsile Jamal 'Abd-al-Nasir and still is faithful tr~ his principles: "Through your icnowledge of the symbols of Egypcian politics, do you believe that Husni MubaraY. will continue with the political plat- form al-Sadat followed?" He replied, "In principle, there is +~o one in the world who wholly resembles or approximates another person. If wc accept thie supposition, th~ answer to the question will be that Mubarak wi?1 not necessarily proceed with the same platform and style that al-Sadat relied on in his overall treatment of damestic and foreign political matters. It is tru~~ that Mubarak announced, right af~ar al-Sadat's death, that hP would contint~e with thie policy and platfosm, but, in sgite of that, I believe that it is still very early for the new Egyptian president to be putting his notions for*.:~ and cryatallizing them in a specific direction, as far as foreign or domestic s~fairs are concerned." /,~uestion/ How is the opposition supposed to act while awaiting this crystalliza- - tion? /Answer/ My persona? opinion is that we must wait awhile. Waiting will give the nek* president the ~~pportunity to work quietly, because he will be ~udged by numer- ous foreign and dc;mestic factors. Not a long time will pass before everything be- comes clear. After that, it will be possible for all the detachments of the Egyptian oppositton to determine their position on Mubarak's policies and practices on t'1e drnnestic and foreign levels. However, I stress that there are basic points which will be the determining ones in this area, first among them Egypt's return 5 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004400080042-3 HnR OMFI('IAL USE ONI.Y ' to Arab ranks. Mubarak musC find the way for such a return, because Egypt, by re- turning to the Arab nation! will find the appropriate solutions to its political and econamic problems in a better and more honorable maiuier for itself and its history, instead of workin~ apart fram its Arab brothers. Will It Allow It Or Not? /Question/ But do you believe that the United States will allow a change in the - course of Egyptian policy, especially since all evidence indicates the presence of a concentrated, influential American presence in Egypt following al-Sadat's de- parture? /Answer/ Whether or not it will al.low it will be one of the basic challenges facing Mubarak in the first period of hir; presidency, and he must find a solution to it in the light of Egypt's interests, which are linked to Arab interests generally. I know very well that the Americ,ans consider Egypt one of the basic pillars for protecting their interests in t"r~e Middle East, principally the oil of the Gulf. All the American research a.:~ studies we have in the Center for Arab Studies show that American strategy in the Middle East up to al-Sadat's death was based on two foundations: The strategic alliance wiCh Israel. A direct or indirect presence, with political and military weight in some countries in the area, in the farm of military bases or joint facilities and maneuvers, specifically in Eg~?pt, the Sudan and ~rkey. The Americana' alliance with al-Sadat was essential to their strategy, as was their alliance w~ith the late Shah of Iran as far as their interests in the Gulf went. Continuing with his analysis of American strategy in the Middle East, he added, "Perhaps that explains the state of real panic that occ:urred in American political and military circles directly after al-Sadat's death, ~~specially since the n~w American strategic plan in the region was in its f~.r~r,? stages, after ttie period of review of its broad outlines had passed. If Lgypt in the new era continues to pursue its forn~er line, that will greatly ease things for the Americans. This ex- plains their extreme emphasis on the new regime in Egypt these days. I wonder if Che Americans will continue to rely on Egypt as in the previous period, now that it has became clear to them that the opposition in Egypt, with all its detachmanta, has teeth and fangs and has demonstrated its effective influence on the course of events." In the course of the response he ssid, "It is necessary to spend a limited period of time which might not be more than a few months for these aspects to be fully clear." The Killing Itself /Question/ On the subject of the apposition, which detachment in it killed al- Sadat? 6 FOR OF'FICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 FOR OF'FICIAL USE ONLY /Ans ~ In the first place it was al-Sadat who killed himself. I would almo~t say that coaanitted suicide. It is a saying that violence breeda violence. A1-Sadat, when he confronted the apposition with all its detachments, without distinguishing between right and left, Moslems and Copta, when he shut down all the newspapere aad ma,;azines that expressed differing opinions, detaining or transferring journalists anc+ university professors from their places of work--when he did all this aad much e1F besides, he was thus creating conditions and circumstauces by himself fram which what occurred lately in Egypt hed to result, and because of which it occurred. That is, a:.anfrontation of violence by violence, violence which reached the point of assassination. So he is totally r~sponsible for killing himself. /suestion/ Personally are you in agreement with what has happeaed, that is, the assassination and liquidation of al-Sadat in the manner in which it h~ppened? /Answer/ In principle, I am not in agreement with the idea of assaseination. Assassination in itself does not end anythiag. That is a style which violates the nature of the Egyptian people and it is a platform in 8gypt which ia new, except for some limited stages in Egyptian hietory. If we review all the acts of political assassination in Egypt, we will see that they occurred aa ~3 result of reaching a stage of "total repression of the expression of divergent opinions." Therefore I warn that continuing this style in the modern era will result in continued blowups and major incidents in Egypt. On this subject, I hope that the new regime will take this historic truth seriously, try to make a national reconciliation with the op- position, and pur all Egypt's interests abave all interests or connections. This is the only proper way to start a new stage in Egypt's history. /Question/ Are you optimistic that there ia a likelihood thst the new regime will proceed to take such a step? /Answer/ In any event, this type of step cannot be carried out in 24 hours. Let us take our time and wait. COPY RI GHT : 19 81 AL-WATAN AL-' ARAB I 11887 CSO: 4504/71 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY EGYPT TASK OF GETTING NATION TO RENOiUNCB ISRAELI LINK REVIgWED Paris AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI~'in Arabic 30 Oct-5 Nov 81 pp 18, 19 /Article: "The 'Sinai Grace Period' Is the Problem--8gypt and the Arabs, between Subjective and Objective Factore!'/ /Text/ Since al-Sadat's assassination a few weeks ago, the question hae arisen: will Egype return to the Arab nation? The anewers eo far have been numeroue, as have the bets. However, no Arab official has contacted the new Bgyptian preaident to propose auch a return, and the Bgyptian preeident himeelf ie waiting for the Arabs to come back to Egypt and not vice versa, because it is they who ~roke off relati.ons with it. In this letter from Cairo, an attempt is ma~de to interprez this "waiting" and its subjective and objective reaeona. IndepemdeAt judgment haa it that the Fez sumnit will repeat the Baghdad confexence's invitation tu Husni Mubarak to put him ~eriously in contact with Arab solidarity. After his return from the Egyptian president's funeral, Claude Cheysson, the French foreign minister, surprised public opinian with a statement that set off a diplo- matic bomb when he said "Now that al-Sadat ia gone, a major obatacle that had been ~ obstructing the restoration of Bgyptian-Arab relationa has been eliminated." In spite of the violet criticiame that this atatement met i:1 America and Weatern Europe, as it was considered a diplomatically inelegant statement in these circles, Cheysson held to his position and continued to interpret it an~d justify it in ac- cordance with his conviction that there would be no gocdin any efforts made for the sake of peace as long as Egypt was isolated from the Arab situation. Cheysson's statement is correct, but it is seriously deficient because he has taken into consideration only the subjective factor, embodied in the peraon of al-Sadat, who until the moment before hia assassination wae continuing to bet on Iarael against the Arabs, Palestine snd Sgypt's Arabhood, burning all bridges between his regime and the Arab nationaliet position. At a time when he was praisi:.e "Begin~s honesty and nobility," he was describing all the Arab rulera in the vileet terme principally imbecility. At the end, as an Arab prime minister esid, he apared no one except Preaident Numayri, President Siad Barre and Sultan Qabus. Ther.efore, the continued rule or doaninance of the stage by al-Sadat's personality ruled out from the beginning any attempts, however covert, to'repair the bridgea between Egypt and the rest of the Arab nation. � 8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400404080042-3 FUR OFFICIAI. I1SE ONLY In this context, Claude Cheysson's first reading was correct, as wae his second reading on the impossibility of arriving at peace by isolating 8gypt. The two readings are correct, but when one pauses before these two points their inner meaning collapses, and here Cheysson cames to appear as a person who is given as an example in the Arab aituation of breaking up the facts by reading the verse of the holy Koran that says "Do not draw near to prayer," then stopping on purpose _ before the end of it--"while you are drunk." The Objective Side Cheysson, in his reading, neglected the Camp David agreement, which is the objective side of the issue and is more important than the sub~ective one. In building Egyptian-Arab bxidges, the Egyptian regime, which al-Sadat hae departed from and which he left to his vice president, Husni Mubarak, i,asically cames up against the obstacle of Camp David. This obstacle has been aggravated by the detention of figures and leaders of the Egyptian nationalist movement, which is agaiast the peace and normalization, becauee, while the issue of the detentions has an internal side, no one ahould ignore that it has an Arab nationalist eide: no one can con- siuer that Egyptian bridges could extend to the Arabs over the bodiae and the free- doms of the domestic national movement. From the moment al-Sadat vanished, the refrain of Egypt's return to Arab ranks has been repeated. That is a refrain that characterized by a concealment of and de- liberate refusal to see Camp David. The American end European press has written that circles in the Arab league are atudying the possibility of inviting Egypt to take part in the Fez suamit to be held toward the end of November, and that the new Egyptian officials have agreed to take part in the confE:rence on condition that it be poatponed till next year. However, the aecretariat general of the league hastened to deny the American and Buropean press' notion anri declared that no one had raised the idea of inviting the Bgyptian regime to take part or of postponing the date for holding the conference. Here the same refrain shifts to Rabat, in a new musical context. The American and European press has reiterated that King Hassan the Second is seriously worki.:g as a mediator to bring Egypt back ko the league after a long absence, and that to thae end he sent his premier Matti Bouabid to Cairo to be his representative at al- _ Sadat's funeral and to broach the plan with Husni Mubarak. However, the fact that Bousbid did not appear in the funeral procession cancelled this refrain as well. Finally, the refrain in the American and European press ahifted to Riyadh and took the form of a Saudi formulation on the multifaceted efforts that are covertly be- ing made to restore Egyptian-Saudi relatione to the atate they were in before Camp David, as if nothing had happened: However, an official Saudi apokeaman hastened to deny that any contact of that kind had been made. Then came the role of Husni Mubarak, who, after he had asaumed the presidency, announced that none of the "Arab frienda" (note the use of the word "friends" in- stead of "br4thers") had got in touch with him on reauming relations, and that he personally considexed that the resimo~ption of relationa had to come sbout through the Arabs' initiative because they were the ones who had broken t~:air relations 9 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40854R040400080042-3 . F'UR OFFIC'IAL IISE ONLY with Egypt, as a result of their opposition to the Camp David policy. Mubarak also announced that he was loyal to this policy wh{ch the former president had drawn up and paid for with his 1ife. He added that the restoration of relations with tihe Arab "friends" was in nu event to be a aubstitute for peace and friendship with Israel. Thus the objective fact governing the poeition in the region has became clearly crystallized: this is that the Camp David policy is what severed the relations bE~ tween Egypt and the Arabs, is what prompted the Egyptian army to assasainate al- Sadat (one of the threa engineers of Camp David), and lastly is what is standing as a stumbling block to the restoration of Egyptian-Arab relatione to their natural course even though the subjective element in the rift has been eliminated. The Regime and the People However, this fact, simple and central as it is, interacts, following al-Sadat's assassination, with a fact of extreme complexity. When the Arabe declared the rift with Egypt and suspension of Egypt's memberahip in the Arab League, following al-Sadat's rejection of the Baghdad conference offer, they were careful to make a distincCion between the regime and the Arab people in Egypt. It is to be observed that this concern and distinction were most intense following the 35-second opera- tion that ended al-Sada~'s life, and the slogan "Glory to Arab Egypt and death to traitors" was raised. This concern assumed an intense aspecC, to the point where some Arab parties re- corded a sort of despair over Egyptian popular movement against the regime and _ belittled the weight of the nationalist oppoaition with all its parties. These _ nationalist forces today are returning to the ranks of the Arab forces which have continued to be careful to distinguish between the regime and the people and to have confidence in the powers and the genuine nature of the people. It appears, in following the course of events, that the new Egyptian pre,3ident is basing himself on a policy of two contradictory linea--first, his declaration that he would continue with the policy of Camp David, the peacz and the normalization of relations with Eoypt, and second, a suspension of al-Sadat's attacks on the Arabs, some aspects of which were obscene, and the opening of a dialogue with so?.~e forces in the domestic opposition, in lieu of dealing with them through the agencies of repression and the well-known Law on Impropriety. Is the Opposition Plural? Same observers nate that the positions of the domestic opposition over the new president are starting to differ. The Socialist Labor Party, represented by its head, Ibrahim Shukri, declared conditional support for Husni Mubarak in the course ~f the referendum on the presidency, and after that a meeting between him and Hueni Mubarak occurred. After this meeting Shukri declared, "The current circumstances in Egypt are delicate and sensitive," and said that he still opposed the Camp David agreements but supported President Hueni Mubarak in confrontin.g Ist~ael, ending the policy of erunity toward the Arabs, and promising release of dptai:~ed persons. He was eager to define some of the points on which he supported the new preaident's orientation. 10 FOR OFFiCIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400080042-3 FOR OFFICIA,L USE ONLY Wholly to the contrary, the National Progreesive Unionist Grouping, after its emergency meeting chaired by Khalid Muhyi-al-Dia, its secretary general, declared that Husni Mubarak's decision to proceed with the Camp David policy had coca~elled ~ the grouping to vote "no" on his election ae pres~dent. However, the party aecre- tary went on, "Mubarak's press and television sta~ements following the referendum on his steps, which were aimed at etopping attacks on the Arabs, rapidly ending the investigation into the det~inees and relea3ing everyone whose guilt is not proved, are statements which contain a poeition that deserves au~port." Nonetheless, the new Egyptian president did not invite Khalid Muhyi-al-Din to meet him, and this indicates a cl