JPRS ID: 9907 KOREAN AFFAIRS REPORT

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CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3
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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY JPRS L/9907 12 August 1~81 - Korean Aff ai rs Re ort p (FOUO 2/81) ~B~$ FOREIGN BROADCAST INFOR~'VrATION SERVICE - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and books, but also from news agency transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources are transcribed or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. = Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets - are supplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] - or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the last line of a brief, indicate how the original information was = processed. Where no processing indicator is given, the infor- a mation was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phonetically or transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the original but have been supplied as appropriate in context. - Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the body of an - item originate with the source. Times within items are as given by source. TEie contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Government. ~ COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULATIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF THIS PUBLICATION BE REST~ICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE OiVLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40850R000400440019-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JPRS L/9907 12 August 1981 KOREAN AFFAIRS REPORT (FOUO 2/sl~ CONT~NTS SOUTH KOREA ~ ECONOMY Status of Elite Business Groups Examined (Maeda Yasuhiro; ECONOMIST4, 10 Jun 81) 1 Prospect for Second Pohang Steelmill Examined (NIKKEI SANGYO SHIl~UN, 9 Jun 81) 10 - a - [III - ASIA - 109 FOUO) APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 S.KOREA/ECONOMY STATUS OF ELITE BUSINESS GROUPS EXAMINED Tokyo ECONOMISTO in Japanese 10 Jun 81 pp 48-53 [Article by Maeda Yasuhiro: "The Group of Korean Businessmen That Sustain the Chon Tu-hwan Regime"] [Text] The Fifth Republic regime of the ROK was fully launched ~ahen the Min~ong Party, or Democratic Justice Party, which was foLmded by President~Chon Tu-hwan, obtained tiie ma~ority vote in the general elections held last March. The Chon regime, which is regarded as a military regime in substance, has been attempting to stabilize the political situation by means of such measures as the reopening of the vational Assembly in April, the carrying out of a large-scale shift in top-ranking government circles, and the reorganization of the circle of m3.li- tary leaders. Hawever, the most difficult problem, that of "rebuilding th~ ~ ROK economy," which has been completely stagnant, is still left unsolved. The zaibatsu and industrial circles uf the coun-ry, which had been outside the range of the sweeping cleansing and purging staged during the past year, are now facing a sudden storm of changes. Plunging into an unprecedented adverse environment--increases in deficits in foreign trade and in the stdte budget, rapid increase in unemployment, wild inflation, and depression in rural villages-- ~ economic circles, including large and small businesses, are naw being forced to improve the organizational quality of their own businesses and to reorganize the entire business system. '~he factors emanating from "the pressure from outside," including the Chon Tu- hwan regime's policy of compulsorily merging major business enterprises and the reexamination of the excessive protectionist policy of the government that had been implemented for some time, must not be overlooked, of course. However, it may be said that these represent an essential proce~s necessary for the rebirth of "a medium-developed industrial state." Let us review the new setups being developed in government business enterprises, in the zaib atsu, and in industrial - circles, centered around the new economic policies of the Chon regime. The man who seized the position of number one economist in the Chon Tu-hwan regime is Pak T'ae-chun, chairman of the board of directors of the P'ohang Iron Works. He was born in 1928 in Pusan, South Yyongsa~,g Province, so he is 53 years old. He was a student in the Engineering De~partment at Wase3a University when World War II ended. After liberation, he returned to the ROK and entered the military academy. He was in the same class as former Prime Minister Kim - G'hong-p'il. He was one of "the Floral Eighth Class Students." When (then) 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R000440040019-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Major General Pak Cong-hui staged a military coup d'etat in 1961, he became the director of the secretariat under Pak Chong-hui, chairman of the Supreme Council for National Reconstruction. From *_hen on he was very much trusted by President Pak. He er.tered the economic circles and founded the P'ohang Iron Works, a government business enterprise. And he developed it as a model business enter- prise of the ROK according to his very conservatively wholesome r~iethod of manage- ment. The iron works completed the construction of the fourth high furnace in February ~ 1981, thereby establi~hing a system capable of producing 8.5 million tons of pig iron annually. It is nc~r the world's llth largest iron works ~~ith a system of continuous operation of pig iron and steel making. rir Pak T'ae-chun emerged as a new leader both in name and in iact Iast February when he became the first chairman of "the ROK-Japan Association for Economic Cooperation" established by the ROK side. He took this post because President Chon asked him to "leave the post of president of the P'ohang works and take the lead in economic circles." T'he association is an organization that serves as the center of economic relation~ with Japan. Affiliated in it are: the Greater ROK Chamber of Commerce (chairman, Chong Su-ch'ang), the National Associ.ation of Economists (chairman, Chong Chu- yong), the Trade Association (chairwan, Yu Ch'ang-sun), and the Cooperative - rlssociation of riedium and Small Business Enterprises (chairman, Yu Ki-sun). Its inaugural convention was attended by approximately 150 managers of major business enterprises, and it turned out to be an occasion for the announcement of the splendid debut of Pak T'ae-chun. Pak T`ae-chun, Chong Su-ch'ang, and Yu Ki-sun are members of the Legislative Council for National Defense; they may be called the economic representatives of ~he Chor~ regime. The association is expected to take over the functions of the former ROK-Japan Fconomic Cooperation Committee and to promote the economic diplomacy toward Japan on a civilian level. It is indicative of the great importance t1i~ Chon regime attaches to the relationship with Japan. Chairuian Pak obtained a seat in the National Assembly in the general ele~tion last March, where he was ranked in 17th plac~ by the Democratic Justice Party, the government party, as a designated assembJ.yman under the proportional repre- ser~tation system. Thus he assumed a strong position of influence in both political and business circles. "Making the treic to Mr Pak" by personages of Japanese political and business circles has become evident. President Chon Tu'hwan is planning to build a second P'ohang Iron Works with Japan's cooperation during his 7-year term; Mr Pak T'ae-chun has thus become indispensable to him. In connection with the sudden rise of Mr Pak, attention is being drawn to the presen.ce of Chairman Chong Chu-yong (65), the leader of "the Hyondae Group," _ numUer one zaibatsu in the country. At one time it war speculated that he might withdraw from a position of leadership in economic circles after being swamped by the big waves of depression in the chemical heavy industry, the stagnation � in exports, and the surge in the price of crude oil, but he sti11 ~aintains an influential position. 2 / APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40850R000400440019-3 "The Hyondae Group," which encompasses 60 businesa enterprisPS, is under the management of Mr Chong Chu-yong, the leader, his four brothers, and his sons. Last April, when [Chong] In-yong (60), former president of the Hyondae Yanghaeng, was arrested on charges of embezzlement and misappropriations in the conduct of business, etc, it was gossiped that even "the Chong Kingdom" was getting ready for a downfall. Tn-yong is a brother o~ Chong Chu-yong. (Chong] Chu-yong (chairman of Hyondae Construction and Hyondae Heavy Industry); second brother Sun-yong (president of Hyondae Cement); third brother Se-yong (president of Hyondae Automobile); fifth brother Sang-yong (president of Kumgang Slate); former son-in-law Hui-yong (president of the Hyondae Comprehensive Firm); second son Mong-ku (president of Hyondae Steel Pipe, Hyondae Automobile Service, and Hyondae Precision Industry); and third son Mong-kun (pres~dent of l:umgang Development Industry)~-the whole family is thus tightly united in business. Only In-yong once rebelled against the fainily and established Hyon3ae Yanghaeng independent from the group, but he returned to the gxoup later. His Hyondae Yanghaeng went into a slump and he abandoned it, after which its name was changed to Han'guk Heavy Industry and it became a monopoly producer of electric generating - equipment; thus the company made a f=esh start and Kim Yong-chun became its president. However, "the Hyondae Group" itself did not budge at all. It is holding fast to its unique capital nationalism, which allows no merger with foreign business enterprises except for the introduction of technology. The family rule system has no*_ ch anged either. However, the group recently employed Yang Pong-ung, executive director of Hyondae Construction, as the president of Han'guk Pavement Construction Company--a case in which the group has now let a management specialist, who had been brought in at an early age, take over th~ management of a business enterprise under its ;jurisdiction; and there have been a number of similar caaes. Thus, in the future there will be two ma~or business pillars in the group: one, Hyondae Heavy Industry (shipbuilding; president, Yi Ch'un-nim); and the other, Hyondae Construction, which earns dollars in construction projects in the Middle East. And the automobile, cement, and slate businesses will become more and more independent. Meanwhile, In-yong has been released and has gone ~o Papua, - New Guinea. Last April, :~tyondae Heavy Industry wais successful in getting the order for plat- forms (turretsj in the international tender for procurement of equipment needed for the project of developing natural gas off the coast of Tokiwa, Japan, beating out the Japanese forces of Shin. Nittetsu and Nihon Kokan. This was a great ' shock to Japan's industrial circles. Han'guk Heavy Industry, w~hich was separated from the Hyondae Group, at one time had four departments: pawer generating equipment, iron manufacturing equipment, petrochemistry, ~id heavy equipment (construction machines). It has naw aban- _ doned petrochemistry in an attempt to normalize its busin,ess management. The ROK is planning to build one or two atomic power plants over a 10-year period from now. It is expected that Han'guk Heavy Industry will achieve a high growth as a producer of comprehensive power generating equipment. 3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404040019-3 I~'OR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Government's Aim The major zaibatsu, including "the Hyondae Group," of this country have now embarked upon the work of reorganizing the systematized business enterprises "on their own initiative," thanks to the enforcement of the Monopoly Contrcl Law and the Fair Trade Law enacted by the Chon regime. The zaibatsu, which spread out their management nets over all industries like an octopus, were criticized on the grounds th3t they had launched an acute price contest and thu~ had r~glected to nurture the essential strength to be gained from launching international competition. Thus, government policies are aimed at aligning the major enterprises of the zaibatsu through the competition of qt~:~lity con,trol. Hawever, on the part of the zaibatsu, there may arise a situa- tion in which some business enterprises wiZ1 have to be contracted to achieve a balance or be abandoned because of the phenomenal restrictions on the absorption _ of other enterprises an3 the new establishment of enterprises. "The Taeu Group," under the leadership of ~;im U-chung, who is only 46 years old, is trying to tide itself over the current transitional period with the organiza- tional setup centered around the founding comrades in the group and the alumni of the group chairman's alma mater (Kyonggi hi~her school). The four major trunks of the group are the following: Taeu Business, Taeu Ship- building, Taeu Development (construction), and Taeu Heavy Industry. The year before last, when U-chung took over the management of Taeu Development in order - to prop up the field of urban development and strengthened the business of the firm in order to maintain the title of number 1 exporter, he concurrently took the post of president of Taeu Business for the secorld time and transferred Yi Sok-hui, who had been president of the company, to Saehan Automobile. Taeu Heavy Industry has been placed under Yun Yong-sok (44), executive director of Taeu Business, and Taeu Shipbuilding under Hong In-ki (44~--t~oth young men. Tlie Taeu Croup grew up by ~eans of dealings in typical export goods of Korea, such as textile products and miscellaneous goods; it is a"mixture" of inedium and small scale business enterprises, and therefore neither a monopoly nor an oligopoly system would work for it. Its inherent weakness has always been its - dependence on overseas trends. Thus it is of more and more importance for streng- _ thening the management basis of the Taeu Group that the automobile industry--an oligopolical domestic consumption industry--and heavy industry fields be developed f urth er. . The rharacteristic~ of the Taeu Group are the "enticing" of employees from other companies by offering higher pay and thorough implementation of responsible management in each department of the business. Although the group of founding comrades occupy the top ranks, the Taeu is surpassing other zaibatsu in opening its offices to talent from outside. The number of holders of Ph.D. degrees-- "the brains" of the management camp--are as follows: the Taeu, 16; Lucky Group, 10; Samsong Group, 7; and Hyondae Group, 5. Thus the Taeu is proud of its "Taeu of Personnel." However, last September, when the Ch`oe Kyu-ha regime was suddenly replaced by the Chon Tu-hwan regime, the Taeu Group was faced with a delicate situation. 4 , APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 Chairman Kim U-chung was forced to "give back" 20 billic~n won worth of his personal property, except for his home, unconditionally to the societ,. Furthermore, in compliance with the strong policy of unify:~ng *_he automobile and pawer generating plant businesses into one, it was ordered that the Hyondae Group would be respons- ible for passenger car production and the Taeu would be responsible for power generation; and it happened that Mr Kim U-chung was forced to take over the manage- ment of the above-mentioned Hyondae Yanghaeng, which went into a slump. Furthermore, the capital participation of the Taeu Group was re~ected; and the name of the business was changed to Han'guk Heavy Industry, which became a govern- meiit-awned company operated by government investment. Then the company was fur- ther downgraded to a company associated with Han'guk Electric Power, and Kim Yong-chun became its president--a bizar~e and weird transformation drama. Saehan Automobile under the 3urisdiction of the Taeu Group--which will be described later --was almost merged with Hyondae Automobile. However, GM of the United States, which held a SO~percent investment there, "sat upright" and so the original status was restored after a disagreeable fuss. This myste~ious policy of con- solidation was taken as the beginning of "zaibatsu crushing" by the Chon Tu-hwan regime; and industrial circles shuddered in horror. Car Production Dualized The Hyonclae and the Taeu are launching a severe contest under the new policy of dualizing the production of automobiles. In view of the fact that the Pak regime's policy of nurturing the chemical heavy industry reached an impasse, last August the Chon regime set forth a bold policy of unifying the automobile industry into one; and all the zaibatsu were shocked by that. After much ado, it was decided that among the three passenger car makers, Kia lndustry, which had a tie-up with Toyo Industry of Japan, would be- come the exclusive producer of trucks, while, starting last February, Hyondae Automobile and Saehan Automobile would become the exclusive makers of passenger automboiles. The main Hyondae cars are the "Colt," built with a body designed by Italian designer Jujiaro [phonetic] and with Mitsubishi's "Lancer" [phonetic] engine installed on it. Saehan Automobile took the lead in developing diesel engines, competing by producing "Geminis" and "Re~~ords." The Hyondae has the capacity to ~ produce 116,000 cars a year, but last year it produced only 39,700 cars, 16,000 of which were exported to underdeveloped countries. And its operation rate has dropped to less than 30 percent. Once it had in storage over 100,000 cars, in- cluding buses. Starting this year, both Hyondae and Saehan have swung into full operation because of ths increase in domestic demand. In March this year, during a 1-month period, they sold 3,800 cars (passenger cars). The Chon regime is planning to have the annual car output reach the 1-million car level by 1985. It is not going too far to say that the future of the ROK's econoiuy depends on whether the automoblle industry becomes the cardinal pillar of these two zaibatsu. While Hyondae Automobile is a purely national type, Saehan is much different, in that the American GM invested 50 percent of Saehan's asset. The du~alized production setup is also a result of the tremendous resistance put up by GM against Hyondae's proposed absorption of Saehan. GM has decided to produce 1,000 cc class world cars (annual output, 300,000 to 500,000) at Saehan; implementation of this plan will start in thE second tlalf of 1983. 5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404040019-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Hawever,�the government's patronage over Hyondae's national system is so great that some observers suspect that Saehan may dwindle away into nothing eventually. In any case, it is now emerging as such a force that Japan's car makers cannot afford to ignore it. h'ithin the Taeu Group, it seems that Taeu Shipbuilding will make rapid progress. ROK shipbuilding ranked second, next to Japan, in the amount of shipbuilding - orders received last year. Based on its past business showing, the ROK naw ranks fourth among shipbuilding countries of the world, with Brazil and the United States ranking second and third. As of the end of March this year, the balanc~ of the amount of orders receive@ was 3,009,000 tons; breaking this down among the enterprises, Taeu Shipbuilding's growth is highest, followed by Samsong Sti~pbuilding and Taehan Shipbuilding. The Taeu is hurrying to install a large type crane of the world's largest class at the Okp'o Shipyard; it will soon be completed. In the field of shipbuilding, too, Hyondae Heavy Industry, which has the highest business showing in ship- building in the ROK, may compete with the Taeu in every project th at comes up there. However, competition to get orders in shipbuilding circles is said to lead invariably to sacrificing exports, so there may be mutual destruction if the below-cost business run continues as it is now while technology continues to go high~r. Shipbuilding in the ROK, however, is limited to the construction of ship ~odies; as for shipboard high-class precision equipment, the ROK's dependence on Japan will increase more than ever. Such circumstances, it is said in some quarters, will stabilize the Japan-ROK perpendicular division of labor system. Another self-made business group similar to the Hyondae and the Taeu is "the Samsong Group," whose chairman is Yi Pyong-ch'ol (73). This group is said to be a typical zaibatsu. However, it is different from the Hyondae and Taeu in that, except for the top-ranking managers, the fa~mily rule system is not a predominant feature of this group. For more than 20 years now, it has held on to the policy of employment based on open employment tests, which are called "kongch'ae." The management as a whole is the responsib ility of each business enterprise (39 busi- ness enterprises); it is not necessarily in the hands of blood relatives. At one time the second son, Ch'ang-hui, and the third son, Kon-hui (42), were competing with each other to succeed Mr Yi Pyong-ch'ol; but last year, when Kon-hui took the post of vice chairman, the competition ended. Yi Su-pin (42), a university classmate of Kon-hui, was hired through the 1965 "kongch'ae," and heads the management of Cheil Sugar Manufacturing and Cheil Woolen Textile--the second and third ranking companies of this group.. Yi Pyong-ch'ol's on~e-man system is now being shifted to a system of the era of second-generation group management. The central business enterprise of the Samsong Group is Samsong Products, which is making a good showing in foreign trade without objection; president Kyong Chu-hy~n (42) belongs to the 1964 "kongch'ae" group. The Samsong Group is trying to become the most modernized enterprise; it has in it former high-ranking mili- tary personnel, capable former government officials who were employed through influence exerted from above, and those who were brought in at a young age and promoted gradually. 6 , , APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 ~,lso Aimed at Most Advanced Technology The most rapidly growing among the enterprises of the Samsong Group is Samsong Electronics (president, Kang Chin-ku), which is en3oying popularity because of its production of color television sets. In the ROK, Samsong Electronics, Kumsong Company (president, Ho Chin-ku; the Lucky Group), and Taehan Electric Wire (pres~!- dent, Ch'oe Hyong-kyu) are called the three home electric companies, and they are competing fiercely with one another. Since the end of last year, when color television broadcasting wds started, the sale of color television sets has in- creased rapidly, and so these three companies have been in full operation. Color television sets are naw among the strong export goods. However, there has been no increase in their export, because the United States, the largest market, has limited its quota for the ROK to an annual total of 505,000 sets. Therefore, the Kumsong Company decided in March this year to take the initiative and set up an assembly plant in the state of Alabama. Samsong Electornics, too, decided to b uild plants in the United States, Spain, Portugal, Brazil, and Denmark; and Taehan Electric Wire is considering beating a path to Los Angeles in the United States. Thus they are all burnit~g with a desire to "beat Japan." The three home electric companies, it seems, are monopolizing the profits resulting from the buying boom in home consumer goods, including televisi~n sets, electric fans, refrigerators, washing macY~ines, and air conditioners, as the national income increases. They represent rapidly growing industries, reminding us of the 1960's and 1970's in Japan. These electronics companies, which are growing on the basis of the production of television sets, will surely develop into the ~ ultramodern technical industry of semiconductors and computers. The field of electronics is said to be the one to which the government is ren- dering the greatest support, while the tendency to form capital is shifting from government to private initiative. Along with shipbuilding, electronics is draw- ing attention as a field standing in the way of Japan. "The Lucky Group," a strong zaibatsu ruled by a single family, has a history as long as that of the Samsong. Under the leadership of Ku Cha-kyong (64), eldest son of the founder, [K}s] Cha-hak (50), brother [of G'ha-kyong]--former president of the Kukche Newspaper Company--is in charge of the group's main enterprise, th e Lucky (synthetic resins). And [Ku] Cha-tu (49), second brother [of Ku Cha-kyong]--former president of the _ Pando business---is president of Sinyong Electric. Ho Chin-ku, president of the Kumsong Company, and some members of the Ho family are rel~lted to Mr Ku by mar- riage and occupy a corner of the management camp. One of the group's character- istics is its policy of employing only personnel of Kyongsang Province origin; it is displaying a color of zaibatsu that stands in contrast to that of the Samsong. It may be said that the 53 business enterprises in the group have been taken over by second-generation descendants of the founder of the group. The closed attitude and the advanced age [management] of this group stand out in comparison with the characteristics of other zaibatsu groups. 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Furthermore, "the Kukche Group" (chairman, Yang Chang-mo), "the Tusan Group" - (chairman, Pak Yong-kon), "the Tonga Group" (chairman, Ch'oe Won-sok), "the Ssangnyong Group" (chairman, Kim Sok-won), "the Hyosong Group" (chairman, Cho _ Sok-nae), and "the Hanjin Group" (chair.man, Cho Chung-hun) are trying to expand their business--both old and new. In particular, the movement of "the Son'gyong Group" (chairman, Ch'oe Chong-hyon) iG drawing attention: it was a newly emerging bus iness group in the 1960's, when it grew through exporting textile gooda; in the 1970's, it made inroads into the fields of electronics, machines, and petro- chemistry. The Son'gyong purchas~.d Taehan Petroleum Company from the government at the end of last year. When Gulf Oil Company, a major American company, withdrew from the ROK, the Chon Tu-hwan regime directly chose this group for a zaibatsu which wc~uld buy the shares; thus this group suddenly became a top class zaibatsu and made a stir. Chairman Ch'oe Chong-hyon of the Son'gyong Group at the same time , became president of the [Taehan Petroleum] company and is now going to have the group do its best to promote the company. In fact, the group has control over the textile industry, which is the ~ain industry of the ROK, and the group's capability to raise domestic capital has been recognized. The government also granted the group the right to obtain foreign loans (cash) from Europe. And there are indication~ that the group is becoming a very large one. Control over Zaibatsu The Chon regime has strongly requested that these zaibatsu replace their family rule system with a modern business enterprise system by means of offering shares of stock for public subscription and taking busine,s consolidation measures; it intEnds to wield the "governmental control power" of the military government and thereby reor~anize the zaibatsu during the next year or two. It is a common characteristic of the zaib atsu of the ROK that their capability to raise their own funds is very limited because of the fact that the banks in the urban areas are all run by the government. As for the business enterprises in the field of major chemical heavy industry, their debts are very heavy and the rate of their owned capital is only 10 to 12 percent (as announced by the government in April). For example, in the case of Samsong Heavy Industry, its owned capital is 3.6 billion won (aplroximately 1 billion yen) and its borrowed capital is 70.4 billion won; thus the rate of its owned capital is only 4.9 percent. In the case of Hyondae Automobile, 11 percent; H~osong Heavy Industry, 7.3 nercent; and Taeu Heavy Industry, 18.7 percent. Thus they are sti11 far from reaching the standard rate (30 percent) needed to engage in international competition. The Chon regime has announced that the Hanil Bank, one of the four urban banks, will be run privately starting in the month of June and thereby the economy will be turned over to the management of civilian control. However, it is still not ~ likely that the present system of ruling banks will be abolished; and this is because the systematization of cert~.in zaibatsu have to be prevented. In other words, it is likely that the monetary field wi11 be used as a decisive ~eans of "controlling" the zaibatsu. Thus the toughest task confronting the zaibatsu of the ROK will be to find how to excel over others by accumulating owned capital in these circumstances. 8 . , APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 How will the new maaagement camp akillfully deal, without rausing damage to the enterprises in question, with the task of consolidating or merging 166 companies among the 631 companies assigned to the 26 zaibat~u? The competence of the new management camp depends on how it solves this problem. And mc~st of the economic policies continuously set forth by the government have been the result of impulsive--due to the military way of thinking--and "lack-of- principle" action. Economic circles in the ROK are facing peculiar circumstances in which they cannot afford to move without caution, because it is sti11 hard to predict the future of the long-term stability of the Chon regime. But if the government hurriedly launches reforn~s, this may result in "the remedy being worse than the evil." Still, once any strict order is issued, it must be implemented thoroughly. Whether this regime succeeds in controlling the zaibatsu is a matter of life or death to the regime. As for economic relations with Japan, the ROK-Japan Association for Economic Cooperation has begun launching its activities with Chairman Pak T'ae-chun as its axis. It is expected that a link with Japan will be formulated with the help of the follawing three senior members of business circles: Yi Pyong-ch'ol, chairman of the Samsong Group; Kim Yong-wan, honorary chairman of the National Association of Economists; and Kim Yong-son, forroer chairman of the Taehan Chamber of Commerce (former ambassador to Japan). And 10 vice chairmen of the association have been appointed, including Kim U- chung, chairman of the Taeu Group; U Yong-hae, president ~f the Ssangnyong Com- pany (former minister to Japan); Chong Se-yong, president of Hyondae Automobile Company; and Cho Chung-hun, president of the Korean Airlines Company. Meanwhile, the "ROK-Japan Civilian Joint Economic Co~ni.ttee" will hold a 3-day meeting in Seoul starting on 10 June which will serve as the initial act-in-line step of the personages of ROK economic circles, the first since the inauguration of the Chon Tu-hwan system. A group of more than 60 leaders of Japanese bt:siness circles, whict~. will be headed by Hidaka Teru, chairman of the Japan-ROK Economic Association (adviser to the Yamaich i Choken), is scheduled to attend the meeting. Interest is beir~g aroused around haw Korean economic personages will deal with the Japanese leaders in order to establish Japanese economic cooperation with the ROK. COPYRIGHT: Mainichi Shimbunsha 1981. 79 89 CSO: 4105/19 3 9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400044419-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY S. KOREA/ECONOMY PROSPECT FOR SECOND POHANG STEELMTLL EXAMTNED Tokyo NIKKEI SAP;GYO SHTMBUN in Japanese 9 Jun 81 p 3 (Article by Staff Reporter Onda: "The Second Pohang Plan in Standstill"] [Textl When South Korea starts work on the second comprehensive iron manu- facturing construction project, the so called "Second Pohang," is a matter of great concern for Japan's steel and plant industries; but now opposing views within the government have surfaced---such as the Economic Planning Board proposing to the Ministry of Commerce and Industry a substantial postponement - of the construction schedule, giving the problem of financial resources as _ the reason. It is forecast that noYa the plan will take time to solidify. Concerning the Second Pohang Construction, Korea made the proposal, "When the construction plan is concrete, please give us both your financial and technological cooperation" to Yoshihiro Inayama, chairman of Keidanren (Fed- eration of Economic Organizations) who attended the lighting ceremony of the number four blast furnace at the Pohand Steelmill in February of this year. As might be expected from such a large scale construction of making an iron mill from start to finxsh with a total capacity of 12 million tons, which in the orig.i:nal plan would cost 1.8 billion dollars and for which construc- tion would start in February 1982 and continue until 1991 and four 3 million ton blast furnaces would be built, major business f~rms and plant manufactur- ers were starting to move toward information gathering in order to sell _ equipment starting this spring, thinking "it is f~nally definite." Meanwhile, since the Korean steel industry is already strong and is becoming a"threat" to Japan, the comment, "There is the worry of a boomerang effect. We should be more cautious about cooperation," is being heard among steel company lead- ers. There has been no formal request for cooperation, and the plan prepara- tions are being studied wi.th a complex �rame of mind, and subtle differences of opinion are beginning to appear, depending on the manufacturer. With regard to the construction sites, at present the original proposed sites were narrowed down to two locattons, Asan Bay and South Cholla Province, and a French manufacturer commissioned by the government is in the midst of investi- gating those sites. W~.th the ~nvestigation co~~ng to a conclus~on ~.n July, 10 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3 ~ FOR QFFICIAL USG ONLY it seezns cert~in thaC th~ Kpre~n ~ovexnlqent wi~,1, ~,ncprpor~te the Second Pohang Plan as a pill.ar of the about-to-be~decided fi.~tfi economic and social develop- ment five year plan (.1982.-19$6), and the opinion was widespxead that a descrip- tion and a request fur ~ooperation on construction wi11 be forthcoming from Korea at the Japan-Korean non--governmental ~o~nt economic committee con~erence to be held tc Seoul as early as the lOtii. Expressly, Pohang's "first iron manufacturing," equipped for an 8.5 million ton set-up, will be in full operation this August, and it seems that a boom- erang effect is about t~ appear in concrete form, That is why the steel in- dustry's nerves were on edge at the movement toward coneretizing the Second Pohang Plan. But lately it is said that because of financial problems the Economic Planning Board proposed to the Min~stry of Commerce and Tndustry, "what about starting construction after 19�7." What is being considered at present is to increase the present capacity of Pohang from 8.5 million tons to ~.6 million tons, not build the second iron mill next year, and see how events turn ov.t. Regarding this, the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, as well as those close- ly connected to Pohang, who ar.e the nucleus of the enterprise, are insisting construction start in 1982 as originally planned, stating: 1. the balance of suppl.y and demand will collapse if construction is delayed, and the influence on the total industry will be great; and 2. Pohang's production cost is 300 dollars per ton, but if there is a delay, the construction cost will be higher and an i;~ternational competitive power cannot be held onto. However, it seems that the f inancial problems are rather serious, and it seems that a compromise ~or postponement until 1984 or 1985, not 1987, is being examined. COPYRIGHT: Nihon Keizai Shimbunsha 1981 9400 CSO: 4105/194 ENli - 11 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400040019-3