JPRS ID: 9871 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA REPORT

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY JPRS L/9871 28 July 1981 Sub-Saharan Africa Re ort p FOUO No. 732 FB~$ FOREIGN BROADCAST INFORMATION SERVICE FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R040400030052-7 NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and books, but also from news agency transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources are transcribed or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets are supplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the - last line of a brief, indicate how the original information was processed. Where no processing indicator is given, the infor- mation was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phonetically or transliterated are enclosed in pareztheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enc~losed in parentheses were not clear in the original but have been supplied as appropriate in context. Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the body of an item originate with the source. Times within items are as given by source . The contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Government. COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULA.TIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF - MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION _ OF THIS PUBLICATIr~N BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - JPRS L/9871 28 July 1981 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA REPORT FOUO No. 732 CONTENTS ANGOLA French TV Reportage on UNITA Forces Derided (AFRIQiJE-ASIE, 6-19 Jul 81) 1 Reportage Decried, by Augusta Conchiglia Ango3.-an Ambassador's Protest Briefs More on French Ambassa3or 4 More Oil Contracts 4 CAPE VERDE Briefs Relations With Portugal, Guinea-Bissau , 5 Defense Protocol 5 Naguicave Survival in Doubt 5 FRG Cash Donation 6 CHAD Acyl Ahmat Discusses French-Chadian Relations (Acyl Ahmat Interview; MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS, 19 Jun 81) 7 EQUATORIAL GUINEA President Has 'Difficult Task' in Improving Regime's Image ~AFRICA, May 81) 10 GABON Figures Provided on Exploitation of Mineral Resources - (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS, 12 Jun 81) 12 Commeuts on Census Figures Discrepancy (Francois Soudan; JEUNE AFRIQUE, 8 Jul 81) 14 - a - [III - NE & A - 120 FOUO] FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Briefs Immigration Restrictions Requested 15 Iron Ore Mining Viewed 15 _ GHANA Briefs Black Star Recovery 16 - Possible French Investment 16 'Favorable' Oil Investment Climate 16 Higher Cacao Price 16 IVORY COAST Problems, Differences Affect Cocoa Price Agreement (AFRICA, LE CONTINENT, various dates) 17 Ivorian Refusal : Ivorian Intransigence, by Lionel Zinsou MOZAMBIQUE South African Raid Seen Contributing to Leftist Slide (AFRICA, Apr 81) 19 Details on Cahora Bassa Operations, Future Expansion (MARCHFS TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS, 19 Jun 81) 21 - Briefs French Topographic Contract 23 - b - FOR OFFICIAL iJSE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000400030052-7 F'OR OFFICIAI. USH; ONLY ANGOLA FRENCH TV REPORTAGE ON UNITA Fvn~E$ DERIDED _ Reportage Decried Paris AFRIQUE-ASIE in French No 243~ 6-19 Jul 81 pp 29-30 [Article by Augusta Conchiglia: "In the Bush of French Television..."J - [Excerpts] Nothing could be more favorable to the U.S. strategy of destabilization , in Angola than the documentary shown on French television on 18 June. The public of this cotmtry had vainly hoped that the information professionals, irrevocably faithful to yesterday's Giscardian power, would introduce into the powerful media they still control more objective criteria and that they would investi~;ate more seriously before pronouncing ~udgement. Incorrigibly, they ignore the most elementary notions of professic~al deontology. Unconcerned about induci~g the public in error, the director of the televised magazine of the first network, Jean-Marie Cavada, presented a documentary on the "Guerrillas in Angola," affirming - that Jonas 5avimbi's UNITA controlled a territory as large~as France. According to him, the traitor in Pretoria's pay is supposedlp conducting one of these "new anti-colonial wars" whose importance is still largely neglected. He riaturally specified that these "free world" fighters were struggling against the Soviet-Cuban occupation and kept in check the Luanda forces they support. For c--er a month and many a kilometer, two reporters, Michel Badaire and Jean Lugo, reportedly lived in the "liberated zones" of UNITA. From this long and _ e~chilarating experience, they claim, they brought back slightly repetitive images of an UNITA "base" in Angola where life goes on in an idyllic way. To the sound of traditional welcoming songs in Umbundu, some tens of "regular soldiers" parade with a martial air. About the same number of civilians,well organized--and even better fed and clothed--warmly support them. "Brigadier General" N'Zau Puna goes through the military arsEnal, notably numerous trucks and other military vehicles right out in the open, adding in French that thPSe arA weapons capturea from the enemy, "our sole source of supply." Savimbi's right arm insists that UNITA controls, if you please, the provinces of Cuando-Cubango, Cunene, Bie, Huambo, Beneguela and MoXico. And if everything is like in this base--as it is stressed--it would indeed be paradise: we are shown schools for children and adults, physicians and nurses and even a field hospital where the slightest case of appendicitis is treated; without forgetting, of course, musica.l interludes and a soccer game played according to the rules. In sum, an envia::le situatic-in... 1 FOR OFFICIAL IJSE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Moreover, since UNITA says it controls three-fuurths of the territory, precautions are minimal, almost symbolic. Of course, the newsmen do not specify the name of the regian or the border they had to cross to get there... Their film is remarkable for the absence of all ~eographic reference that could prove that this is indeed Angola. Nevertheless, any traveler going ;.hrough hundreds of miles of Angolan territory must cross rivers, get a glimpse of a mountain or come across a railroad line. No trace of any "enemy," and still less of the population, but only a look - at two unfortunate Soviet prisoneLs, ~ivilian pilots for Aeroflot, whose plane had been downed near the Namibian border... Finally, for all those like me, who had been able to ~ze the miserable condition of the people who had had the misfortune to follow UNITA in the forests of the central and s~uthern parts of the country while most of Savimbi's forces recruited on a tribal basis were departing in the baggage of the South African invaders down to Namibia, Badaire's reportage is hard to swallow. In successive waves, these isolated peasants, victims of hunger and poverty, returned to their villages and asked for the protection of the Angolan authorities. The year 1978 saw a mass return of many thousands of starving peasants, sick, practi- cally naked and above ai~ ~lse, frustrated because they had been cheated by UNITA, which had promised them a"happy life." Thus, wherever they can still operate, in the border zones, UNITA bands are inten- sifying their reprisals against the villages that "betrayed" them. Here is a terrorist escalation: if the people detach themselves from us, they say, so much the worse for them. With the dismantling of clandestine networks by the Angola authorities and the guerrillas reduced to impotance for lack of popular support, UNITA can only continue its war from the South African bases in Namibia. The few pockets of resistance still existing within Angola have been re-supplied with weapons and field radios. South African places sometimes attempt tn make drops of arms, foodstuffs and medicines. This will continue as lono as the war in Namibia and the South African occupation will last, until the FAPLA, with the support of the people's militia--ever more prepared and ready to finish with this war--take them by surprise. This is almost what happened to Savimbi himself--remarkabley absent from the rzportage--when in November 1978, enci.*_-cled by the FAPLA, he was saved in extremis by South African _ helicopters who came to his assistance during the night. It is this same N'Zau Puna who had prepared and signed the radio message found by the Angolan forces who captured some of the rebels. In the S.O.S., he had said he could hold out no longer and that a helicopter should be dispatched to bring back Savimbi and a "French friend" to a more secure area. The Angolans had suspected the latter of being a French secret agent. However, one must acknowledge that he, at least, had wanted to see reality for himself. His compatriots and colleagues of today seem, for their part, to have been a lot more prudent... COPYRIGHT: Afrique-Asie 1981 2 FOR 0~'FIC(AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400430052-7 F'OR OFFICIrV. USE ONLY Angolan Ambassador's Protest Paris AFRIQUE-ASIE in French No 243~6-19 Jul 81 p 30 [Excerpt] On 18 Juue last, the TF 1 network of the French televis~on presented a film titled "In the Angolan Bush." If the producer of this film, Jean-Marie Cavada is to be believed, this film constitutes a challenge to Soviet power in Africa. 'fhe ambassador of the Peopl~'s Republic of An~ola, Luis de Almeida, regrets that a taste for sensationalism and the appalling naivete of Messrs Badaire and Lugo have induced to French people in error by presenting to them a film por- traying the so-called "UNITA guerrillas." The ambassador also deplores the large publicity that preceded this repQrtage, notably in the LE MONDE newspaper, a pub- lication known for its seriousness, but whose "specialist" in African affairs, Jean-Claude Pomonti, loses no opportunity to tarnish Angola's reputation and its people's efforts to build a more humane and ~ust society. COPYR.IGHT: Afrique-Asie 1981 CSO: 4719/140 3 FOR OFFICIAL tJSE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400430052-7 "~R ~FFICIAI. USE ONLY ~ ANGOLA ~ BRIEFS MORE ON FRENCH AMBASSADOR--This was the reaction of French Ambassador Jacques Posier in Luanda to the election of Francois Mitterrand in front of many Western diplomats: "What I can say is that Francois Mitterrand will c?nly remain in the Elysee for a few months. He will plunge the country in a catastrophic ~ituation ? and the French people will revolt against him..." What is the Quai d'Orsay waiting for, then, is the ques*_ion often asked around Luanda, to recall tliis perso~age whose disdain for Angola and for his own government is vying with the hostility he shows towards both? [Text] [Paris AFRIQUE-ASIE in French No 243, 6-19 Jul 81 p 33] [COPYRIGHT: Airique-Asie 1981] ' . ~ MORE OIL CONTRACTS--As we go to gress, Angola is near to signing contracts cover- ing ten offshore drilling blocks which span the Angolan coast from its present oilfields in the north down the border with Nami:ta. Local soundings have indica- ted that the area of coast of Kwanza Sul in the centre of the country is particu- larly rich in oil deposits. Marathon Oil is one big US concern favoured to carry = some of the plum jobs. Drilling is expected to start in Y~83 says SONANGOL, the = Angolan state oil set-up. [Text] [London AFRICA in English No 116 Apr 81 p 99] COPYRIGHT: 1981 Africa Journal Ltd ~ - CSO: 4700/166 4 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40854R040400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY CAP~; VERDE BRIEFS RELATIONS WITH PORTUGAL, GUINEA-BISSAU--On 5 June, Aristides Pereira, president of the Republic of Cape Verde, labeled the 5-day visit he made to Portugal as "very positive." Pereira said that his visit was mainly of a"political nature." "The results were very positive and exceeded the objectives we had initial~y set," he said. Pereira added that no military cooperation agreement was signed during his visit, but he did not exclude the possibility that in the future, Portuguese sol- diers might help with the reorganization of his co~intry's armed forces. "All prob- - lems concerning possible bilateral cooperation agreements in different fields will be studied at a coming meeting ~f the Portuguese-Cape Verdian joint commission," he stated. On 4 June, Col Silvino da Luz, Cape Verdian minister of foreign affairs, joined with his Portuguese counterpart, Andre Goncalves Pereira, in signing an agreement providing that half of the repair and expansion work on the port of Fraia will be financed by the former mother country. When questioned about the future of relations between Cape Verde and Guinea-Bissau, broken off following the November 1980 coup d'etat that ousted President Luis Cabral in Bissau, Pereira said: "It is up to history to say who is responsible for the break. Nevertheless, we believe that it will be possible in the future to establish cooperation between the two nations." Pereira called the statements made by Maj Nino Vieira, president of the Council of the Revolution of Guinea-Bissau, at the recent summit r_onference ~f ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States) in Freetown as "very positive." [Text] [Faris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1857, 12 Jun $1 p 1592] ~COFYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981_7 11,461~ DEFENSE PROTOCOL--In a statement made before his 12 June departure for the OAU ministerial meeting in Nairobi, Silvino Da Luz, minister of foreign affairs of Cape Verde, said that his country wauld support a proposed defense protocol within the Organization of African TJnity. Da Luz added that Cape Verde would give its backing to such a proposal because it is in keeping with the aspirations of African peoples to freedom and because it could constitute support for countries bordering on South Africa. [Text] [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1858, 19 Jun 81 p 1650] LCOPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paxis 1981_7 11,464 NAGUICAVE SURVIVAL IN DOUBT--NAGUICAVE, a joint shippin~ company owned by Guinea- ' , Bissau and Cape Verde, may not survive.the deterioration in political relations be- tween the two countries following the 14 November coup d'etat in Bissau. Meeting in a general assembly on 16 June in Mindelo (Cape Verde) to examine the company's future, the Guinean and Cape Verdian delegations decided to call a special general assembly meeting in 45 days for the sole purpose of discussing the dissolution and manner of liquidating NAGUICAVE. NAGUICAVE had a capital of 25 million escudos 5 FOR OFFICIAL USE CNLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40854R040400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY (Cape Verdian currency worth 11 French centimes). The Guinean and Cape Verdian governments both hold 48 percent and the rest is held bq private parties in Gape Verde. The co~pany operated two vessels costing 165 million Cape Verdian escudos. [Text] [Paris MARCHES TROPZCAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1858, 19 Jun 81 p 1650] ~IPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981J 11,1~64 FRG CASH DONATION--On 10 June, the Federal Republic of Germa.izy made a gift of 39 million German mazks to Cape Verde to finance a 2-year cooperation program ainly involving rural development projects, road construction and ship repair. Ten million marks will be used to buy a ship to go back and forth betweEn the islands. [Text] [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS French No 1858, 19 Jun 81 p 1650] ~OPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981.~ J1,1~6L~ CSO: 4719/73 ~ 6 FO;i OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40854R040400030052-7 ct~an ACYL Ak~fAT DISCUSSES FRENCH-CHADIAN RELATIC~NS Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French 19 Jun 81 pp 1635-1636 [Report on interview with Acyl Ahmat, minister of foreign affairs of Chad, by correspondent Jacques Tremoliere: "Acyl Ahmat in Paris"; date of interview not given] [Text] He is about 35 years old. He has an open face. Despite hi~ innate elegance, he has a silhouette Uetter adapted to the cavalcades on the steppes of the Sahel area than to quiet - discussions in a salon of a Paris hotel. This is how Acyl Ahmat appears, or more properly said, Acyl Ouled Ahmat, of the Djatne tribe of Bedouins and minister of foreign affairs of the GUNT (Transitional Government of National Union) in Chad. The warmth of his greeting reflects his attachment to the values of his country, which some know but others do not. In his eyes it is naturally preferable to be on the right side. A French administrator once noted his intelligence--a period in - the past, as they say in Arabic stories--and pushed him forward in his studies. He likes to recall it. He has not forgotten. Whenever he can, he telephones this spiritual teacher. Through him it is also to a certain France dominated by the shadow of General De Gaulle that he says he remains faithfu~. This is a France, we must agree, which is a little elitist and resolutely anti-Philistine, which would surprise many French. Socialism does not appear to have any particular attraction for hi.m, although he is pleased to introduce frequent references to "the Chad revolution" in socialist terms. If he has come to Paris, , he tells us that it is simply because Giscard disappointed the Chadians. He therefore hopes that Mitterrand will understand them better, which would make it possible to establish normal relations between France and Chad. [Question) Rightly or wrongly, Minister, umong the cabinet rainisters in Chad you are considered the most convinced stipporter of Libya. [Answer] I am not unaware of that reputation, but I would certainly not lower myself to deny it before President Mitterrand or Jean-Pierre Cot. France is badly FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400430052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY informed about Chad. It no longer has any representative in N'~jamena and is livi:lg on the issuance of old information, military in origin, reflecting the "pro-Habre" ' inclin~tions of those who spre~d it about. It has been more than 25 years since a nazara has followed the daine . Since that time there has been no one down th~re - who has understood anything about our affairs. What I know best about Libya is its pris~ns, where I have spent time on several occasions. Li~e all the Arabs of the Batha I only joined the revolution rather - late. We are supportPrs of law and order. We cannot live without order. I was a government official loyal to Tombalbaye, who sent m~ to the UN, where I prepared _ the first resolution of protest against the occupation of the Aou2ou strip by T.ibya. W3~n't this on the recommendation o~ Qadhdhafi? I was lat~r contracted by the MRA , which war.Led to have done with Tombalbaye, because he ha,3 shown himself incapable of resolving the Claustre affair. Mallo~ did not succeed ~n resolving it, either. That is how I joined the side of Goukouni and of Hisse~n Habre, who were together ~t first, then separated from each other, then joined together again. In the Batha area i recruited a small army of 500 soldiers, because I thought that it was not healthy to ]eave a monopoly of t~e fighting t~~ the people of the north. Today these soldiers only number 80. The liberation of Faya and of Ati is due to them. My real objective was to unifq the various political tendencj.es. At one time ther.e were no more than 10 in N'Djamena. I sought to unify the various tendencies and keep Chad united. When Hissein Habre and Goukouni marched on the south in the spring of 1978, I went to Kamougue to push them back. In the Pala affair, at Mayo-Kebbi, my troops played the principal role--one could say the only one. At the time your press said that i.t was Libyans and Cubans on tihe side of Kamougue. We were the Cubans. [Question] You say that you are for union in all its forms. Why did you think it was impossible later on to have any understanding with Hissein Habre? Acyl looked at me with irony. [Answer] Hissein knows how to fight and is a good organizer, but such an under- _ standing is impossible. Against everyone's will, for more Chan 2 years he badly treated one of your women. You are free to consider that that is of no importance. That is your affair. However, as he committed comparable or worse actions, tn the detriment of our Chadian brothers, we consider him as an outlaw, as outside our law. In our country, you do not come back under the law after you have become an outlaw. /I thought that you knew that./ [in italics] At the end of 1979 Hissein Habre really had our backs to the wall. Why hide that fact? If no one would help us, we were lost. We first of a11 addressed ourselves to France, which had largely equipped our enemies, in order to obtain arms and ammunition. France didn't even want to hear our request. Sudan, Egypt, and Algeria also dodged ~s. I was in Iraq to ask for help from Saddam Hussein, when war with Iran broke out. Saddam Hussein ;:nen evi~lently had other concerns than Chad. The only recourse was Qadhdhafi. He promised to act, and he did so. Perhaps for you he is the devil, but that devil brought us peace which we had been waiting for since ~ 1964. That is why, although we don't want Libyan troops to stay a long time in our country, we will not order them to leave. You should know Chat also. 8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 [Questiort] The presence of the Libyans in Chad has been a matter of concern to many African states which are our allies. If we re-establish normal relations with the GUNT, whose period of authority, moreover, has expired, wP would lose their considera- tion. [Answer] That argument is only valid outside of Africa. Those countries are all capable of resolving their differences with Qadhdhafi themselves. Some of them have - a common frontier with him. Why would it be necessary to have ttiis difference resolved in Chad? They have only adopted this attitude because France inspired them to do so. They would never have thought of it without France. However, that is not the real question. Qadhdhafi, the devil? I could ask you just what he has done, apart from having had your embassy in Tripoli burned--just a matter of a few bricks--to justify that opinion of him. Moreover, you had this opinion oi him already before the affair of your embassy. Tunisia, Egypt, yes, - I understand their attitude, but you? Remember that he is a devil with whom you know how to come to terms on occasion, as the matter of the aircraft and the racing cars and Libyan air space demonstrate. - However, I accept your conclusion. When you have a friend engaged in a fight with the devil, you can let him deal with it himself, but he is then in a rightful posi- tion to doubt your friendship. You can also show him this friendship in a positive way. If Mitterrand chooses the first solution, as Giscard did, everything will be clear, and we will know what we are dealing with. If, as we hope, it is the second _ course which is to be followed, it will be for you to eacplain the reasons yourselves to your ~lfrican allies, and even to encourage them to send ambassadors to us. Note, moreover, that several of them, like Nigeria and the Central African Republic, never withdrew their ambassadors. [Question] Ambassadors to be sent to a government which has no legal existence? Is this the time? [Answer] Let us be serious. Everyone wants a real government in Chad, resulting from the clearly expressed will of the Chadians. President Goukouni wants it like evervone else. However, if you simply mail a letter to Abeche in N'Djamena, the ]eCte~-c will never arrive, because there are no more mailboxes, stamps, personnel to transport it, or a mailman to deliver it. You do not organize an election in a countrv which has reached this degree of disorganization. The people no longer even kaow in what district they live. The Amcricans, after the liberation of France, expressed ttie same idea as you have, and you know what General De Gaulle said to them. The provisional must remain until the permanent solution can really be established. However, you often find that what is good for others is bad for you. For us, the essential matter is peace regained, peace maintained, and peace con- structed. Peace only, aafia beus [Hassaniya Arabic translation of "peace only"]. Couldn't France hel~ us? FOOTNOTES l. Christian, in a Moslem country. By extension a European. 2. Pastoral people on the march. 3. French Administration Reorganization Mission in Chad. We naturally leave to Acy1 Ahmat the responsibility for making this statement. COPYRIGAT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981. 5170 CS~: 4719/81 9 F~R f1FFT~TeT. iTCF. (1Nf.Y APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004400030052-7 ~ EQUATORIAL GUINEA PRESIDENT HAS tDIFFICULT TASK' IN IMPROVING REGIME'S IMAGE - London AFRICA in English No 117, May 81 pp 26, 27 [Text] N EARLY two years after the mili- rest of the Cabinet played various roles tary take-over in the West under Nguema's tyrann;cal regime. African state of Equatorial Guinea, Itis,Perhaps,~artoftheSMC'sstra- the scars of the 11 years of the dic- tegy to tmprove ~ts public relations that tatorial regime of the late President President Mbasogo took the first step Macias Nguema on the economy and to fulfilling his promise to reduce the life of the people are still visible as role of the milatary in his Government ever. Even in Malabo, the capital, b~ the appointment of the first many houses and snops belonging to civilian member of the Cabinet in late fore~Rn nationals - Spaniards, March. Emiliano Buale, an agricul- 1Vigerians and Cameroonians - who tural engineer, was made Minister of were forced to flee the country, re- Agriculture. A month before the main empty. Very few shops have appointment President Mbasogo toid been reopened. ~ Guineans that his Government was drafting a constitution and intended to Influential politicians and business- diminish the role of the armed forces. men who successfully escaped the long gradually. arm of Nguema's securiry forces and One of the measures to that end was went into exile have still not returned, a decree, ~ublished in early March, while many who came back have which obl~ges military men holding quietly slipped out of the country. Government posts to declare ~~hether However, the rulingSupremeMilitary they preferto return tostrictlymilitary Council~SMC) headed by Lt. Col. duties or retain their jobs in the admi- ~Teodor guema Mbasogo has placed nistration. In the lattercase, according no restriction on anyone. There have to one journalist, they must accept an been no political arrests, nor has extended leave of absence from the anyone been detained without trial, armed forces. and no one has gone `missing'. To many Guineans, however, the But despite the many efforts of the S;~IC's reforms are simply cosmetic. SMC ro return the country to normality For instance, although the many Guineans still see the present Government has announced its regime as new wine in an old bottle, intention to broaden the leadership and the so-called military coup of 3 base away from the milita~~, President August 1979 as merely a Cabinet re- Mbasogo has extraordinary powers. - shuffle in which the pnncipal corrupt He is the cle (ac~o Minister of actor was removed. Apart from Capt. Defence, as well as the Minister of Riquesson Ela Eulogio, second Vice- Information and Culture although the President of the SMC who was impri- portfolios are held by his aides. He also soned under Nguema, virtually the has the final say on foreign affairs and finance. 10 ' FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40854R040400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - Meanwhile the Spaniards. Equa- quantities, a priority issue for the turial Guinea's former colonial mas- Government would be to mend fences ters are back in business although with its neighbours and work out per- they were expeUed in large numbers by manent borders on land and sea. Macias Nguema. One of the President Already there have been indications Mbasogo's first acts when he came to from Malabo that it is genu~nely power was to issue urgent appeals for anxious to repair its tarnished image. aid from Spain. There ar~ currentl}~ Guinean delegations are now frequen- about 120 Spanish advisers in the tly seen at African and other interna- country. ostensibly hetping the tional focums; and Mabasogo also Government to 'organ~ze' the made official visits to the Federal administration. Republic of Germany, France and It is an indication of the trust and Spain. Ambassadors of western and confidence the President has in his eastern countries are being accredited - fellow Guineans that there are over to the country. ~00 Moroccan troops in the country The President Mbasogo has a diffi- who form the inner core of hispersonal cult task ahead in his `house cleaning' guard. While his predecessor made exercise; for this to succeed his regime use of Russians and Cubans and to a must convince Equatorial Guineans in certain extent the Chinese, President exile in more positive ways that his MbasoQO is using Moroccans and it is administration is a`ne~v wine in a new general~ly held in Malabo that their bottle', that the ghost of th~ late Presi- presence ~s crucial if the new regime is dent Nguema has been exorcised, and to continue in power under him. SMC that there is a place for them in the has abrogated the fishing treaty with the Government's efforts to rebuild the Russians and reduced the diplomatic country. Also the momentum of aid personnel in their mission in Malabo. flow must continue under the 'open 7 In the past, Equatorial Guinea has door policy' as this would be a catalyst been isolated and has neither been a in mot~vating the foreign investors member of ECOWAS or UDEAC to into further investment and participa- which its French-speaking neigh- tion in the riation's development � bours belong. Recently, however, there have been suggestions in Yaoun- de by the first Vice-President, Floren- - cio Ela, of his country trying to seek entry into the UDEAC which may perhaps improve the rate of the Ekuele which was devalued by ~0 per cent not long ago. ~ Ec~uatorial Guinea's relationship with ~ts neighbours, all of them oil pro- ducers, will be of importance. Both Elf and Hispaniol are likel}' to continue their prospecting on the borders of Gabon. If o~l is found in commercial COPYRIGHT: 1981 Africa Journal Ltd . CSO: 4700/174 11 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 1 GABON ~ FIGURES PROVIDED ON EXPLOITATION OF MINERAL RESOURCES Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1857, 12 Jun 81.p 1601 [Excerpts] Gabon's mining production includes oil, manganese, uranium and secon- darily, gold and diamonds. In 1980, the search for oil was very active. A total of 26 companies participated in exploration in Gabon. There were 20 exploratory drillings representing 37,453 meters and three yielded commercial discoveries. In addition, there were 24 devel- , opment drillings compared with 16 in 1979. Hawever, oil production is down 9 per- cent campared with the previous year, with 8,895,000 tons. The two refineries in Port-Gentil, SOGAxA [Gabonese Refining Company] and COGER [presumably General Refining Company], processed 1,292,193 tons of crude oil com- bined. Crude oil exports amounted to 7,687,118 tons, 9.2 percent less than in 1979. The main customers were France, the United States, Brazil, Chile, the Federal Republic of Germany and Spain. In 1980, manganese ore exports reached a relatively high level compared with the average for recent years: 2,136,452 tons, but they were down compared with 1979, which had a record with 2,308,077 tons. The year's production was 2,163,380 tons compared with 2,300,094 in 1979. The average price per ton FOB was, in current francs, about 10 percent higher than the~:previous year. At the end of 1980, the still delicate situation of the world iron and steel in- dustry pointed to serious difficulties in selling m?tal ore during the first half of 1981 and COMILOG (Ogooue Mining Company) announced a rather sharp reduction in production for 1981. Production of uranium concentrate amounted to 1,381 tons, containing 1,033 tons of uranium metal, for 1980. It was slightly lower than in 1979, when the figure was 1,i0~J tons of uranium metal. The Franceville Uranium Mining Company (COMUF), the only uranium producer in Gabon, will be able to produce 1,500 tons of uranium metal a year starting in 1982. However, the slump in the market that began at the end of 1979 grew worse in 1980 and one can already predict a rather substantial dr.op in sales in 1981. 12 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007142/09: CIA-RDP82-40854R040400030052-7 FOR OFFIC'IAL USE ONLY Gold production was negligible.in 1980 with 17.2 kilograms of fine gold. Diamond production was 556.95 carats with exports of 696.25 carats worth 14.7 million CFA francs. In 1980, mining research involved uranium, lead, zinc, copper, molybdenum, barytes, talc, gold and diamonds. ' COPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie. Paris 1981 11,464 CSO: 4719/73 13 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAI. USE ONLY GABON COPS~~NTS ON CENSUS FIGURES DISCREPANCY Paris JEUNE AFRIQUE in French No 1070y 8 Jul 81 p 39 [Article by Francois Soudan: "Gabonese Surplus"] [Text] Just how many are they, from Bitam to Mayumba? It is impossible to know, and it is, doubtlessly, one of the subjects that are taboo in Gabon--which has a few others as well: between the official numbers published in Libreville and those estimated by the international financial institutions and organizations, there is a veritable gap of at least 500,000 "makaya," (middle-class Gabonese). They really and truly exist, according to Gabonese authorities, who claim a total population of 1,300,000. No doubt they have been confused with the trees, the World Bank and the UN seem to retort: they only acknowledge, respectively, 645,000 and 800,000 Gabonese (preliminary results of the 1980 census). Moreover, it was a funny kind of census. Conducted by a group of UN experts assisted by 60 Gabonese, it was held in August 1980 and the results w~re submitted to the Ministry of Planning in December. The census takers had counted 800,000 inhabitants, or 150,000 more than the last estimates of the World Bank, but half a million less than the figures presented by the government. That caused a polite but firm expression of regret from Minister of Planning Pascal Nze: "You made a mistake," he told the experts. "We are more numerous; you must count again." And he insisted on the "inefficiency" of censuses in Gabon, which neglect certain populations scattered in the bush. The UN team then left Gabon in a fury... How can this discrepancy be explained? It is quite simple, if one is to believe ~dorld Bank analysts: if Gabonese indeed number 600 to 800,000, this gives Gabon an annual per r_apita income of $3,280, which puts Gabon in second place in Africa after Libya. It is indeed a flattering sum. However, Libreville would find it difficult, in this case, to ask for priority aid and preferential loans granted to less well-endowed countr_�ies. To b~ sure, the government is contesting this explanation. In its estimation, the "makaya" are 1,300,000, and nothing less... COPYRIGHT: Jeune Afrique GRUPJIA 1981 CSO: 4719/141 14 � FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400430052-7 - FOR OFF(CIAI. USE ONLY GABON BRIEFS IMMIGRATION RESTRICTIONS REQUESTED--Meeting on 10 June in Libreville with Pre:ident Bongo, secretary general and founder of the PDG (Gabonese Democratic Party), the - Political Bureau of the party examined a situation characterized by "vexatious - attitudes with regard to nationals or reprehensible forms of conduct such as armed robberies, murders, and so on." According to the communique issued fol- lowing the meeting, "in the face of this situation, the Political Bureau, while welcoming the decision recently made by the president of the republic to set up a Mir~istry of Public Security, has asked the government to: "do everything possible so that that ministry will very rapidly become operational; exert more control over immigration which, as everyone knows, may, when it exceeds a certain limit, create conflicts between nationals and non-nationals. Furthermore, the Political Bureau calls on members of the party and all the people to demonstrate more vigi- lance, civic spirit and patriotism by systematically reporting to security forces any suspicious presence on national soil and any subversive acLivities. In this action that is demanded of each one of us, we must not lose sight of our wi11 and that of our leader to live in harmony and perfect understanding with all countries enamored of peace in general and in particular, with the countries of Central Africa." [Excerpt] [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1858, 19 Jun 81 p 1660] ~GFYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paxis 1981J 11,461~ IRON ORE MINING VIEWED--Presided over by Gabonese Mini:~~ter of Mining ri'Bouy Boutzit, the board of directors of the Mekambo Iron Mining Company (SOMIFER), which halted all activities 3 years ago, has just decided to restructure its capital in order to permit the launching of a study program aimed at developing the major Belinga iron deposit in Gabon. The company recalls that this project already has proven reserves of over 500 million tons of ore with 65 percent iron, 300 of which contain under .1 percent phosphorus and 200 between .1 and .2 percent. At the board of directors meeting in Libreville, Gabonese Mining Director ~P~ba presented the regional program to search for additional reserves in a radius of 100 kilometers around Belinga in Gabon and the Congo. The Gabonese mining minister, who is president of SOMIFER, also reviewed the construction of the Trans-Gabonese Railroad, which is now 200 kilometers long and which could in the future carry the ore to world markets. (Text] [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1858, 19 Jun 81 p 1660] ~COPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paxis 1981~ 11,1~64 CSO: 4719/72 15 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 GHANA BRIEFS BLACK STAR RECOVERY--Ghana's state-owned Black Star Shipping Line is to have its debts paid off by the Government and it can now look forward to the modernization ef its fleet of inerchant ships. Minister of Transport, Harry Sawyer, said that - the move to erase the Black Star's 150 million cedis debts would end the line's immediate problems and enable it to get back into full operation. The Black Star has put six of its ships up for sale, four of which have already been bid for by a Greek line. The refurbishing of the fleet with modern, multi-purpose vessels is taking place in view of changes in the shipping industry. The latest 'combi' vessels need less back-up facilities when they arrive in ports. The Black Star's new ships are built by Hyundai of South Korea which supplied Nigeria's shipping line with several ships. It is not known for certain when Ghana's new ships will be delivered as the Korean company has a three-year list of orders to meet. One interesting disclosure made by Sawyer was that betweer.. July 1970 and February 1981 the Black Star Line earned a total of 106 million ced:~s. [Text] [London AFRICA in English No 117, May 81 p 81] [COPYRIGHT: 1981 Afric.z .Tournal Ltd] POSSIBLE FRENCH INVESTMENT--The French are among the first to respond to the Ghanaian plea for more outside investment in its gold industry. The re~ent seminar held in Accra, which attracted 50 experts and some 100 representatives from international mining and financial institutions from the US, Canada and Europe, underlined the untapped rich deposits in the country. It is understood that the French are to send a team of experts to inspect investment prospects in Ghana. [Text] [London AFRICA in English No 117, May 81 p 84] [COPYRIGHT: 1981 Africa Journal Ltd] 'FAVORABLE' OIL INVESTMENT CLIMATE--As part of its new programme to extend a more welcoming hand to outside oil companies, Ghana has announced that its Keta Basin l~goon is to be surveyed later this year by Texaco. It is part of the plan also to extend exploration work to onshore areas for which Ghana will offer "a fair a~d favourable climate." [Text] [London AFRICA in English No 116 Apr 81 p 99J L,~OFYI~.IGHT: 1981 Africa Jornal Ltd7 HIGHER CACAO PRICE--On 5 June, the Ghana National Farmers Union sent a petition to the government asking it to raise the purchase price of cacao paid to the producer from the current 120 cedis per load to 500 cedis. The petition, signed by Kusi Ampofo, secretary general of the union, also opposes the proposed creation of the Na*_io~al Farmers Council, which would replace the union in its activities of dis- tributing agricultural products. [Text] [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1858, 19 Jun 81 p 1655] ~OPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981_7 11,1~61~ CSO: 4719/72 FOR OFFICIAL6USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004400030052-7 ~ IVORY COAST PROBLEMS, DIFFERENCES AFFECT COCOA PRICE AGREEMENT Ivorian Re f us al London AFRICA in Engli.sh No 117, May 81 pp 81-82 [Text ] HERE have been fresh hopes that agreement broke down in March Tthe Ivory Coast would afterall join the producers unsuccessfuliy tried the new International Cocoa Agree- to go ~t alone. In June the Ivory Coast ment which was negotiated in Geneva was forced to sell its 100,000 tonne last November. At a meeting of the stockpile at well below the minimum International Cocoa Council in $1.20 per pound which the producers London, which ended on 4 March, the were seek~ng. With a cocoa surplus of Ivory Coast requested that a committee over 100,000 tonnes being predicted be established to review the price this year prices might remain below range of the cocoa pact. This has been the $1.00 mark for some time yet. interpreted by some observers to This may well be the reason for the mean that the Ivorians have had a apparent shift in attitude of the Ivory chanee of heart about not joining the Coast which has not shared the view of agreement. other producers that it is better to The Ivory Coast has said all along settle for a new agreement which that it wa3 not prepared to join a cocoa would guarantee a minimum price of pact where the minimum price has ~1.lOperpound.Byasystemofexport been set at $1.10 per pound, arguing levies producers in the previous agree- that this was too low. The United ment have built up a$230 million States, on the otherhand; is refi~~~ng to buffer stock fund. Ivory Coast's share joir,, regarding the minimum price ~s of this fund comes to $50 million - a too high. sizeable chunk which other producers Although it was possible to envision Would sorely miss were they to attempt a cocoa pact functioning without the to operate a new agreement without US, which was not a member of the the Ivory Coast. previous pact, many believe that It is still not yet clear whether this _ wrthout the Ivory Coast, which money can be transferred to a new pact exports 22~10 of the world's cocoa, if the Ivory Coast insists that the fund there would be little chance of a new be liquidated and its share returned. ~ agreementworkin~effectively.Hence The feeling among other members is the imporiance being attached to thar. that should the Ivory Coast decide not _ country's request at the London to join there would be little point in , ' meeting. ~ attempting to get a new pact off the Since November Ivory Coast has ground. Despite the Cocoa attempted to improve cocea prices by Agreement being opened for. building up stocks. When the cocoa signature since 1, January, not many members among those who negotiated - FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY it have signed it. For the first time since Nove~nber, however, the Ivory Coast has begun to indicate that it may be ready to sign an agreement which would, at least, guarantee a minimum price for its - cocoa, even though the price may be lower than is desirable. � COPYRIGHT: 1981 Africa Journal Ltd Ivorian Intransigence Paris LE CONTINENT in French 29 Jun 81 p 8 [Article by Lionel Zinsou: "TEze Ivorian Logic"] [Text] The cocoa futures market is becoming crazy. Prices, which have been at their most depressed level for 5 years, jumped up last week just on the strength of the news that the German Federal Republic would adhere to the principle of an _ international agreement. However, there is no prospect in sight that this German initiative will affect the nega*_ive will of the two main actors: the Ivory Coast - and the United States. On the contrary, what can one expect of the market within the next few weeks? There are three basic factors: consumption is sluggish as a result of the finan- cial crisis in the consumer countries. Speculators are removing capital from the cocoa market to obtain no-risk profits of up to 20 percent on the financial - markets. No producing country can agree to unilaterally suspend deliveries and to carry alone the burden of regulating the market. Therefore, p rice can only diP. iFnder such circumstances, there is general amaze- ment at the intransigence of the Ivory Coast, which refuses an agreement that would guarantee it 110 cents for 1 pound of cocoa at a time when it sells it for 75 cents . Ivorian fir~ess, however, follows a logic that consumers pretend to ignore. This country has the financial means to wait it out and its goal is to achieve a truly regulatory agreement taking into account production prices, instead of signing an agreement that would only mirror the market's catastrophic state. Thus, it intends to prove to all these partners, and mainly to fhe EEC, the irrationality of futures markets. Ruino us for Western industrialists 4 years ago, when prices were triple those today, cocoa transactions are ruinous today for the peasant masses of Africa and Latin America. Therefore, the Ivory Coast.is making an excellent political bet by letting the market itself prove that it constitutes an obstacle for all involved. CSO: 4700/171 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400430052-7 MOZAMBIQUE SOUTH AF'RICAN RAID SEEN CONTRIBUTING TO LEFTIST SI,IDE London ~'~FRICA in English No 116, Apr 81 pp 38-39 [Excerpts] The South African commando attack on Maputo has provoked Mozambique into a new and very hard line against the South African Government. For the first time, President Samora Machel has declared explicitly that 'the Boers are the enemy'. He threw his support firmly behind the ANC (African National Congress) (see page 35) and called on the Soviet Union for support. The militancy surprised some diplomats in Pretoria and Maputo. But Mozambique believes the commando raid is not an isolated event and that S~uth Africa has - raised the level of the conflict and further attacks zre inevitable. So Mozam- bique is now preparing for war. Newspaper headlines and banners declare 'We are not afraid of w~r' and 'Let them come--no one will leave alive'. Security is be- ing tightened at the airport and other key installations. But ~he stxess is being put on popular mobilization. - The reason for the stress on popular mobilization is not that the Government really believes that Mozambicans can beat South African arms with picks and hoes. Ra- ther, the experience of the Rhodesian war suggests that the biggest threat, in the ne~r future, is sabotage. A higher degree of popular mobilization is the only effective way to combat sabo- tage. Nevertheless, the Government also believes that further attacks are inevi- table, and that air attacks on Maputo are possible. Confrontation i~n important aspect of this confrontation, and one which has clearly pushed Mo- zamb~que into its harder position, is that South Africa has taken up the support _ of the National Resistance Movement. This group of anti-Frelimo Mozambicans was created, trained, armed and supplied by Ian Smith's Special Branch. After Lancas- ter House South Africa took up their support and training. Important as the South African commando raid and Pretoria's involvement in Mozam- bique may have been, the ke; element which even provoked Mozambique's militant reaction, appears to be Frelimo's view of the changing situation inside South - Africa and internationally. The Frelimo Government had always shown a curious fai~h in White liberals and the White opposition inside South Afrfca. Mozambique continued to stress that some Whites opposed the Government in Pretoria and so it FOR OFFICIA9L USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY wanted good relations with its southern neighbour even though it abhors its apar- theid policies. But the unanimous White support for the commando attack on the ANC even by the supposedly liberal RAND DAILY MAIL, brought a quick end to that attitude. For the first time, Ma.chel in his speech singled out the White minority _ as the enemy. Whereas M~zambique used to sCress that South Africa was a sovereign state, now it repeatedly refers to it as the 'Nazi, fascist, illegal regime'. Solidarity These changes are linked to a much more public and outspoken support for the ANC. Finally, the international situation plays a part. Mozambique sees the western countries increasingly siding with South Africa. Mozambique had expected a stronger reaction from the West to the commando attack. For example, shortly af- ter the attacks, at a Mozambican Heroes Day ceremony, the President saw the US ambassador and called him over to ask 'Have you told your President about the at- tack?' Thus what the Maputo raid by South African terrorist squad achieved is that it has pushed Mozambique further toward the socialist b1oc. In his speech, Ma.chel said that the commando raid was also 'an attack on the socialist camp of which we are a part.' The Soviet Union responded. Within a week of the speech Russian warships sailed into Maputo and Beira harbours. In an unusual press conference, the Soviet Ambassador, Valentin Petrovich Vdovin, said the visit was under the terms of the y77 Friendship Treaty. So the battle lines have been drawn, much more firmly and quicker than most peo- ple expected. Anci as President Machel spelled out: 'we will not allow our coun- try to be transformed into a firing range. .We do not permit our territory to be a transit corridor for every mob of murders. We do not permit them to transfer their internal contradictions into our country.' COPYRIGHT: 1981 Africa Journal Ltd CSO: 4700/166 20 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40854R040400030052-7 MOZAMBIQUE DETAILS ON CAHORA BASSA OPERATIONS, FUTURE EXPANSION Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1858, 19 Jun 81 p 1671 [Text] The largest dam in Africa, the Cahora Bassa in Mozambique, has not supplied - South Africa with electricity for two and one-half months, following the April at- tack by guerrilla soldiers from the National Resistance Movement (MNR) opposed to the Maputo regime. AFP,has just devoted a short study to the subject. It indicates that the halting of the turbines of the enormous project built on the Zambeze in the band of Mozambican territory enclosed by Malawi, Zambia and Zimbabwe is the result of sabotage on the high-tension line that carries current for over 1,000 kilometers to South Africa. Four 18-meter pylons were blown up in the Espungabera region in Manica Province, near the ~order with Zimbabwe. The pylons have still not been repaired. According to Mozambican leaders, repair work is made difficult by the rugged terrain and by security problems. Very moun- tainous and wooded, sparsely populated, the Espungabera region is the MRN "sanc- tuary," The 200-kilometer section of the line crossing that sanctuary is practi.- cally impossible to watch. Although deprived of power from Cahora Bassa, Pretoria continues to supply e~lec- tricity to Maputo and its region, located near the border. Paradoxically enough, the power for the Mozambicar capital and its vicinity comes from South Africa. , The five turbines buried in the caverns of the Zambeze gorge at Cahora Bassa pro- duce 11,000 gigawatt-hours a year (1 gigawatt = 1 million kilowatts), almost en- tirely consumed by South Africa alone. At the present time, Mozambique's total electricity consumption is only equal to one-third of the production of one of the turbines because of the embryonic nature of the country's industry. _ Wi_thin the framework of the "decade of development," the government has launched a program to set up industries using large amounts of electrical power, but the country's needs will long remain under Cahora Bassa's production. The hydraulic power, Mozambique's asset, must therefore be exported. In the name of commerce, Maputo pragmatically forgets its insurmountable ideological differ- encPs with Pretoria and even anticipates increasing its deliveries of cheap elec- tricity to its neighbor, its only customer for the time being. 21 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - Consequently, construction of Cahora Bassa II is already being envisaged. A Mozambican leader says that it would be a project with a capacity of 8,000 to 10,000 gigawatt-hours for Zimbabwe but especially South Africa. Maputo has already Cold South Africa of the project semi-officially but no response has yet come from Pretoria. The new project will be bvilt along the same lines as the present Cahora Bassa Dam: Tunnels dug into the wall opposite that of Cahora Bassa in the Zambeze gorge will take in water from the river, which will turn the turbines in the planned powerplant. At the present time, South Africa pays abc~ut $66 million a~~ear for electricity from Cahora Bassa to an organization controlled by Portuguese and Mozambican interests. Mozambique's participation does not exceed 18 percent and the government recovers only 2 percent of the revenue, the rest being devoted to reimbursement of the dam's construction costs, the fourth largest in the world. South Africa enjoys a preferen.tial rate in keeping with the terms of the contract signed between Portugal and South Africa before riozambiq~e's independence 6 years ago. Since that time, Maputo has strictly respected the obligations of ~his leonine contract it did not sign. The South Africans agreed to a slight increase in rates after 1975, the year of Mozambique's independence, but the inflation of the escudo, the currency in which payments are made, has canceled out the measure. Consequently, energy fron - Cahora Bassa is sold to Pretoria at a quarter of the price of electricity produced in South Africa. Power from Cahora Bass II will obviously be offered to South Africans at a higher pri~e. And yet, it would still be advantageous to Pretoria, in the opinion of one high official who eludes the paradox of commercial relations between MozambiQue and Soutt~ Africa by recalling a phrase of President Samor4 Machel: "You can choose your friends, but you can never choose your neighboxs." COPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie., Paris, 1981 11,464 CSO: 47.19/72 22 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407142/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R000440030052-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY MOZAMBIQUE BRIEFS FRENCH TOPOGRAPHIC CONTRACT--A French firm will carry out a topographic survey of one-sixth of the Mozambican territory within the framework of the country's agri- cultural development. The Societe Francaise Stereotopographique has just signed two contracts with the Mozambican COTOP [expansion unknown] and DINAGECA [National Directorate for Geography and Survey] firms amounting to 15 million French francs, to prepare maps and hydrographic surveys through aerial pictures. The first contract with the COTOP concerns surveys of the Tete, Niassa and Gaza provinces for the establishment of rice growing projects. The second agreement with DINAGECA - entails photogr.aphy of one-sixth of the territory with a view to the creation of 38 large agricultural projects. These two contracts will be financed within the framework of the credit agreement amounting to 200 million French francs signed between Mozambique and French banks. A third Franco-Mozambican agreement is under study for the topographic survey of the entire territory by satellite. Teams of French technicians are expected to arrive in Maputo during the summer. [Text] [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1860, 3 Jul 81 p 1786] [COPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981] CSO: 4719/140 END 23 FOR OFFICiAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400030052-7