JPRS ID: 9548 NEAR EAST/NORTH AFRICA REPORT

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6
Release Decision: 
RIF
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
37
Document Creation Date: 
November 1, 2016
Sequence Number: 
31
Case Number: 
Content Type: 
REPORTS
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6.pdf2.16 MB
Body: 
APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - JPRS L/9548 13 February 1981 Near East (~orth Africa Re ort p (FOUO 6/81) ~B~$ FOREICN BROADCAST INFORMATION SERVICE FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 ~ NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and books, but also from news agency transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources - are transcribed or reprinted, with the original phr~sing and other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets - are supplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] , or [Excerpt] in the fir,t line of each item, or following the J last line of a brief, indicate how the origiral information was processed. Where no processing inciicator is given, the infor- mation was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phcnetically or transliterated are enclosed in par~ntheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- ' tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the o-riginal but have been supplied as appropriate in context. Other unattribt~ted parenthetical notes within the body of an item originate wir_h the source. Times within items are as given b}� sour. ce . The contents of tl~is pubi.ica_tion ~n no way represent the poli- cies, views or ai:t~ti~cies of the U.S. Government. COPYRIJ[-IT' LC1G;S A;~rU KEGL~lTIONS GOVERNING OW~]ERSI-IIP OF MATEtZIt~LS REP~.OD~CED 1?ER.EI:: KEQUIRf: TEIAT DISSEMINATION OF T'tIIS PUBLICt~"iL~.~ BE tVSTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL ~JSE ONLY ~ JPRS L/9548 _ - 13 February 1981 , ~ NEAR EAST/NORTH AFRICA REPORT (FOUO 6/81) - CONTENTS INTER-ARAB AFFAIRS 5addam Husayn Compared to N~sir, Extolled ~ (AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, 26 ilec 80-1 Jan 81) 1 - ~ ISLAMIC AFFAIRS Muhammad Haykal Discusses At-Ta'If Summit _ (Muhammad Haykal; THE SUNDAY TIMES, 1 Feb 81) 10 IRAN Bani-Sadr Attacks Opponents _ (James Dalgleish; RE'UTER, 1 Feb 8I)........... 12 Country Reportedly Obtaining Arms Secretly ' (Peter Deeley, Peter Ilurisch; THE OBSER4'ER, 25 Jan 81)......... 14 Oil Contracts With USSR, Spain, India Sigtied (Terry Povey; FINANCIAL TIMES, 13 Jan 81) 16 Briefs ~teza Sends Message to Women 17 MAURITANIA Economy Minister Discusses Economic Policy Decision (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS, 21 Nov 80).......o....... 18 IDA Grants Loan for Gorgol Irrigation Project (M~~RCHES TROPICAV~ ET MEDITERR.ANEENS, 21 Nov 80) 19 - Briefs Irrigation Loans 20 - Customs Tariffs 20 Hodh Echargui Economic Development 20 Application of Islamic Law 2a - a- r III - NE & A - 12I. ~'OUO] - FOR OFFI~CIAL U5E ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Sonimex Price Incr~ases 20 MOROCCO Article Analyzes Pluralism Tolerated Under Monarchy (Hamid Baxrada; JEUNE AFRIQUE, 31 Dec 80)..~ 22 R WESTERN SAHARA Paris Magazine Interviews PULISARIO Chief (Mohamed Abdelaziz Interview; AFRIQUE-ASIE, 22 Dec 80-4 Jan 81). 28 L~.bya Possibly Behin~ P~LISARIO Ship Boarding (Abdela~ziz Dahmani; JEUNE AFRIQUE, 17 Dec SO) 31 Briefs Diplomatic Relations W::.th Costa Rica 33 - b - - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY _ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY � IrTI'F,It AFtAB ~'~'F'AIRS SADDAM HUS~YN OON~ARID TO N11SIR, F'X~(C~T.T~ ' Paris AL-V~,TAN AIr'ARA3I in Arabic 26 Dec 80-1 Jan 81 pp 16-1� /Article: "With the Fall ot ~he 'Arab Solic7arity' Slogan, the Dilamia of the ~ eighti.es: The Arabs Need Ar~thPx Nasir'~ /'r~xt~ There is a phex~n in I~rab politica.l life which inspires amazement. In the midst cf the ~ension rhe Arab nation is going thr~ugh, in the depths of the disputes fragmenting the Arabs, ar~d in view ~i the narY'c~ariess of the popular base nn which imst regimes starr3, w~e ought to I~av~e aFraken0d day after day tA Crnmuniqwe No One declaring a militan~ ooup in one capital aftex arr~ther. This has not happened. In fact, it has not happened for s re].ativPly long time. The Arabs today are venturing onto the eighties m~stiy with regimes which began ' life by the sevpnties and mana.ged to exist 10 years or more, an spite of all the � disturbances wizich have characterized t3zis period in Arab relati.ons an3 in the context of relations betwgen the regimes and their citizens. , Perhaps the iniarobability of chanc~e in Arab capitals may be ascribed to a group o� psychological and political reasons. Tatay there is an alm~~t ge*~xal a~~?-sion bo m~imting an adv~nt~e t,~ reach pawer. The spirit of blooc~y violen~ advent~e v~ich maz'ked o~ political life in the fifties arxl sixties has quieted c~a?m or disap~eared. Mnre precisely, it has fled behind the fear of even thinkir~g about adventure or ~3rking on it, on the one hand; on the other, a deep feeling has grown a~an9 apP~sition foroes, _ be they civilian or military, that rule in this ooanplicated, distwcbed world is rn _ ]Anger a matter of pann or circ:~m~tar~ce but is a burden, a lieavy burden by which the people sitting in the seats of power today are op~essed, and c3oes mt mPxit an adventure which will not ass~ attairanent c~f it. This psychological reason which impedes the spirit of adventure is si~ori-~ed Yyy ~e dani~r~e of a state of relative aontentment amor~g foraes, groups or _ classes which possess the capabiLity t~o itake char.ge. _ For example, the militaiy class has been encased in privilec~es of salary, rank and benefits and has been dr'awned i.n the ~omfart of civilian life, with eveYy- thinq which psychological ar~d social stability requixes in the v~ray of early m~riages, cars, ccmfortable Y~cames, ar~fi sane aoquisition cf luxuries which the broad public of th~e citizenry c,anrnt qet its hands on. ~ ~ This is as far as the psychological oor~ditions which helped regimes in th~ seventies ryeutralize the foroes ocx?~etent tA consti-ttibe a real danger to 1 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE UNLY _ t~n are oor~rned. As for the political reasons, the ~liscussion of those is ~ - a l~err~`u~ly one. ' r ~ All the regimes born on the ~:hreshold of the sev~enties, ~.~xcept for a few - most pranir~entl~ th~se of Iraq ar~d Sauth Yemeni were military in origin. Th~y transferred their intense infatua~an with discipline, their e~ceptional oonoern for their security and their ze~al. to surrourr3 thenselv~es with all means of pre- vention ar~d early and distant ~rarning fran the barrac,ks tA the palaoe of govps'r.- ment. Col al-Qadhdhafi disnantled ev~erything in his jamahiriyah exoept for his security ager~ies. Field Marshal Ja' far Nit~d Nunayri sheltered a s~porting military strike far~oe ~ich was able t~o save his regime arr3 rid him personally of bondage tA the hatchexs of coups who or~ce thax~ht that they had beoare part and parcel . of the regime, if not closer. 4~fiat happened in Syria was sanething exi~eding all imagining. A change oocurred = i.n the organic f~undation of the arn~ed foroes through reliance on a specific factional fahric whose canoerous oells extem~ed to all service an;~s, in ti~e form of officers described as offioers who be.lon~}ed t~o a religiaus sect that har- ~ bared feELings of persecutian vis-~a-vis ather sects ar~d went back to dark periods in the histoiy of the religiws quarrels of Islam. In or3er to negate t~e possibilities of any change in the regime, and out of a c~cern to maintain the do~nir~ance of religious factionalism, even if changes occurred in persoru~el, a religious militia by na~ne of the Defense Cc~anies was established within the arnied forces. These ca~anies have their ber~efits, powers, _ security agencies and independent leaders and have trained the scions of the sect in urb~an oanbat, not just to strike aut at ariy military plot but also t~o deter any civilian muti.ny ar pc~pular mavenent. - This organic change in the stn~cture of th~e army explains why the religious regime has ranained in pawer, supported by militazy p~w~x. This armed religious organ- ization, s~rour~ding the capital ar~d main tc~n~s like an arniband under the ~ ~nnand of the brother of the head of the regime, explains ~y President Hafiz , al-Asad has ranained at the head of his regi.me for 10 years although he "enjays the support of only 2 or 3 pera:nt of the citizens, " in the wr~rds of Presic~ent al-Sadat - quatirag a statcsnent President al~sad made in a v~rann m.~rn~?t of frank talk between the tw~ in the past. Lilcewise, tllese regimes ~ept for those of Iraq and South Yanen share ariother characteristic: they are the property of a military offioer or leader who holds all authority and power in his har~ds and on whose faoe are focused all the lights of inedia propaganda. He is the "leadex of the cavalcade" in Syria, ~ the "devout president" in Egypt, and "our larother the colonel u~-io set off this great revolution" in Li.bya. � A Personal I,eadership with Limited Aspirations These personal loaders, by virtue of their scant papular support, have res- tricted their ambitions ~ mornpolizing power within the limii,s of the country 2 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY they rule and aontrol; as a conseq~enoe, the~, axe ].ocal regional leac7~xs w~~o do not have national aspirations goir~g b~yr~d ttae barders, ar~d refiy~ ~ l,~t any winds b]Aw across the barders bringir~g in nationalist or unificationist in- rluenoes. PresiciErit Nim~ayri, at the funeral pY~ocession for Jaanal 'Abd-al-Nasir, cried as n~ grief-stricken man ever cried. Nonetheless, the Suclane,s~ leader rejected all Nasir's unificationist ideas when h,e was offered manbership in the federa- tion of the republics of F.gypt, Syria arr3 Libya, in spite of his delight. ~resident al-Sadat relinquished a broad mass legacy which Nasir had bequeathed to him throughout the ler~gth and breadth of the Arab nation and foroed himself into Egyptian irYtroversion, ~gnor~ng the fact that Egypt, even befare its Arabi- zation ar Islamlization, reached the peak of its power and the apex of its brilliance by extending its influence andeffectiveness to the envirornnent around it and that it lost even its national indeper~dex~ce when it drew back and iso- lated itself in its shell. It is strange that the Albanian policeman Muha~nnad 'Ali ~eal.~.zec1 the value of Egypt' s opening to the Arabs; one day he alir~ost brought c3~yran the Ottan~n Empire and di.srupted the international balanoe. The Upper Egyptian Nasir of - the Bani Murr also absorbe~i this, and he gcyv~e.rned Arab emtians and gnbodied their aspirations for J 8 years . This fact has been lost on al-Sac]at; during his ternzre, Egypt has lost its Arab influenoe ar~d effectiveryess, handing its independent national will over to the American-Israeli a~lianoe and its thought and culture over to old peaple, thinkers frcm the thirties and farties like TawFiq al-Hakim, Louis 'Awad and al-Fiusayn F~wzi, in order to strike out at the Arab sp~rit within itself and to glorify the "civilized relationship� ~ between Egyptian ;~nan and Zionist man. The strar~gest thi~ is that after all this al-S~-uiat was anxious to n~)ce Egypt the leader of the Arabs by virtue ~~f nunerical majority, out of his belief and many F,gyptians are the prisoners of this illusary belief as well-- that Nasir's Arab leadership was based on the law of quantity Fyypt's ntm~erical quai~tity, Yes, quantity was an effective elerent in the Arabs' acoeptRr~ce of Nasir's leadership. Haaevpx, this accounting majority became ~~mlus margir~al and zero when al-Sadat severed Ec~ypt's loadership from the a�nbitions, interests and t~es � of the Arabs; al-Sadat today feels the cold shivers of isolatian, althaugh he puts a total of 40 million Egyptians in his poGket. - Perhaps on~e might say that our brather Mu-~r's military affiLiation and the - indi.vidual nat~e of his rule have mt prevented him fran havir,g unificationist ambitions which he has in practice P rressed through t~e atte~ts he made with al-Sadat's Egypt, Bourguiba's Tiu~isia, Nu~nayri's Sudan and al-Asad's S~ria. That might be tr~~e tA a]~rge ex`~ent. The man c~Oes have his unificationist ambitions. F'awever, these ambitions are intensely inteswaren with his cloudy ' or obscure systen of thinking, have becrn~ lost in his intense fluctuating - psycl~l.ogical moods, and have been uprooted tl~raugh the pxoliferation of h:i.s 3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY objectives, which sanetim~es swim rnrth with the current of the sea anr3 at other times drift south with the sands of the Sahara. That has all hastened the oollapse of the ruler5' and reqime's trust for the Libyan presiderit . There then oc~red "the third theoxy" which he formulated, with the d~vious ideas of a p~il in pru?~y school, to entioe Arab puUlic apinion, to reviw the sc�~mdness of his political, idological and intellec~ual - dechictions and to offer himself as a moc3el off the shallo~wness of thinking and _ vision at the apex of Arab political leac~ership. al-Qadl~fi's unificationist ex~ximents have 1~cane m~re of a threat t~o . the ].c~fty national goal of unity than the seoessionism, regionalisn and dares~i.c orientation of the r~on-unificationist, anti Arabtx~od leaders. Unity i.s a holy national ho~e, franwhose content ~che revential quality of sanctity which sur- rourids it may rbt be abs+~-nt, by subjecting it tx~ capricious exFeriments which are based on personal interests and poli.tical a~oes that bring ~sezy on the Arab masses after a few weeks or months. The repetition of the misfortur~e of the expe.riment and the meloc~'am-~ of the wretched spectacle of secession which follc~rs the heat of the entree arxl the beqinninq abn~tly and withaut prel�?naries tisn the serious unif.icationist scenario into a ca~dy enticinJ the ma.sses looking on fran the C~.ilf to the Atlantic to jeer whenever they wat~ch a unificationi,t soene. Haa oould that be if the writer of. the soenario is President al~hafi himself? The masses of the union in 1958 carried Nasir's aut~rabile froa?1 Shu}~i al-4uwwati' s house to ~Y~e g�,est mansion where he stayed when he came to DaQnascus to inaugurate the union state. Nowaclays the c7~oar's of Daanascus are flung wic3~e open to al-Q~a,dhdhafi to visit wher~ever he likes. But where is tl~e P:~1thusiasn of the masses? Where is the passionate desire to bear the leaders' retinues on heads and shoulders? Affiliation with Arabhood is rx~t just a symt~olic quality contain~ed in the body of the name of a regional state, a senantic r~petition in press and radio oc~r- ~ ments and statarients by leaders and ministers, an applicatioa~ to join the Arab Leagwe or an official acknowledgement which is entered da~nz like the p'resen- tation of a re~primznd in the h~rt of ]:edgers. Affiliation with .Arabhc~od is an absolute faith in the existence of a single nation, not nurero~ peaples. This faith plainly and of neaessity ne~gates affiliation t~o a countzy, state or entity whose borders were drawn up in the past by oolonial fingers and irYterests. This deep faith in affiliation with the greatPx nation and the broaden c~meland - is what organically and spontarieotuly gra~ted half the Lebanese t~o ally them- selves with their Palestinian h~others in the Leb~ar~ese war. While this war cost the Lebanese and the Palestinians more than 100, 000 victi.ms, it baptised the Arabhood of I~ebanon by blood. - This deep belief in Arak~hood is what has preverited a single Le~ianese natiorial leader fran standing up and rebukirg the Az'abs for the fact that liLtle L~n, 4 _ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY wh,ase popul.ation cbes mt e~aceed 3 miJ.lion, paid this high grioe in blood and lives wer 3 yea~s, while al-Sadat does rbt let an opportunity pass before the micraphone with~ut reI~uking the Aza."~s for the fact that F~t, which nut~be,rs 40 r.u.llion, has paid 100, 000 victims ~ver 30 years in oo~froriting the Zionist ~nY � _ Rsasons far tt~e Weak Feeling of Natio~al. Affiliation in Egynt The weak f~ling of national affiliation is what pmnpts al-Sadat to boast un- abashedl.y to the Arabs and ci~astise then ov~er w~at Egypt has dor~e for their sake, as if the Egyptian azmy o~nsist~ed of ineroenaty troaps who fought by proxy and deputization for the Arabs, nat for the defense of the AraUhood of Egypt and Palestir~e . Out of fairness to al-Sadat, he c~oes not bear the whole responsibility for the weak feeling of national affiliation amr.~a~g the Egy~tians. The Lorr~ withdraQaal, by virtue of the circunstances of bac~;:wardness arr3 declir~e, during 'cne era of the Mamelukes, the Ottanans and Western oclonialisn, kept Ec~rt estranged fran its consciousness of its affiliation with its motherlarr3 ur~til Nasir came and awal;en~ed this consciousr~ess, though he was mt given the oppartunity ti deepen it, implant it and validate it by education. Sharing in this responsibiLity uras a broad ger~ration of nationalist intellectuals and thinkers ~o did rx~t take the apportunity of Nasir's rule to irnrade the Egyptian universities arid oenters of thought with their nationalist thinking. Thus it was very sim~le for al-Sadat to h~ing F.gypt out of the front line trench under the slogan of holding the Arabs to bl~ae far damagirg it. It was easy for him to make a reoor~iliation with Israel and naYtnalize relations with it withazt fearing a savacJe damestic wrath. In fact, this all t~oak place within t'rie framE.'work of alienating F~ypt fran the Arabs, setting it apart fran them and raising it above thesn. In any event al-Sadat's regime is not the only regime inti~e seventies whic~ was overwhelmed by narraw r~ional local spirit and was ultimately brought to striking out at the man most entrusted with the strategy of "Arab solidarity" on which the Arab T~eague was famc3ed in 1945 as a feeble, pale ~.xpression of the unity of national interests. There are regures which have been forced i.nto vacillation by circ~unstances on the right and the left, making it inq~ossible for them to adhere ev+en t~o this frail thread of Arab solidarity. President IVtmiayri, who began as a Nasirit~e leftist in 1969, and ended up, as a result of ooup att,at~ts against him, as a regional rightist, could n,~t put the Sudan in a position of solidarity, if c~nly of a surface nat~e, with the Arabs against the Cai~ David pea~e with Israel because he was prey to di f f icult dcmestic circumstar~es which made him the prisioner of his Western relations. The rejection of the principle of "Arab solidarity" by the regime in South Yaren is founded on the fact that it has gone bc-y~xi the Arab pranises on which the national front, firm].y linked tA the Arab nationalist~' mavement, was based to its aoquired Marxist k~liefs. 5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY The success th,e Marxist regizne there has obtai~ed in gnphasizing th+e centralisn of the state has rrt broadened into a wide pc~pular base on which the regime could move. The blatant failure t~o establish such a base has oanpelled it to agree to rally under thP LanbreZla of Soviet p~ot~ectio~, with all i ts ex~r- bitant ta:;es fran the acoeptance of its influenoe, its experts, and it5 naval and air bases, to acceptance of its sch~nes to strenght~en its hegem~ny wpx the autlets and entranoes to Arab water arx3 Arab shipping and oil routes . Perhaps British policy makers naw realize the extent of their sttzpidity and ~ ' - shortsightedn~ss in handing the keys t~o pawer in South Y~ren o~v~ex t~o the National Front taaard the erxi of the sixties, in order ~ offerx3 Ja~l. 'Abd al-Nasix, whose forces c7~cminated North Yanen. They handed South Yemen out the winc~ow of Nasirisn so that it would fall through the wir~daw of an enany who was greater and more ciangerous to the West. _ Search for an Alternative The narraw dcmestic popular k~ase of the regi.mP.s of the seventies has caused then to seek a foreign alternative on which to rely ar~d t,hraigh which t~o e~ercise their Arab role, instead of choosing the alternative of their Arab affiliati.on and extendi.ng bridges t~ tsansform the fragile forniat of "Arab solidarity" to an advanced fonn of practical coo~ination or unity. Syria's alliance with the Saviet Union, exPressed by the treaty of friendship and ooo~peration which al-Asad signed with Brezhr~ev last October, may increase Syria's defense capability, but it in fact and reality is an alte.rnative foreign outlet and a safety valve far th~ danestic isolatioaz the regiure is e~erier~cing. The lack of parity in the circunst~nces of the trao cont.racting garties makes tY~e independenoe of S~ria which was always the crux of the delicate Arab political balance a gawn to the calculations and interests of a major ootmtry like the Soviet Union in its stru,~gle with the United States ar~d the West in the Middle East and the Arab region, just as al-Sadat's alliance with Washingtpn has made F,yypt the pawn of the calcv.~ations arx3 int~erests of a major cauntYy like the United Sta~es in it~ st~g:~le with the Soviet Union to preserve its doani.nance over the Rrab re~ion . The Amnan su~nit conference oonsecrated, or a].m~st consecrated, the collapse of the slogan of "Arab solidarity" which has been the basis of official deaLings arcbng Arab countries up to naw. This relationship of solidarity did mt satisfy - Arab nati~naLsts yearning for former relationships of unity, but the ooll.apse of the slogan in this paor stage of modern Arab history has signalled the degree of deterioration in urxlerstanding tn which Arab relations have declined ancl has c~ened the way for Arab aotmtries to ciiserigage t~elves fran a mirLUman of national relations in order that they may be distributed between the t~ao inter- national camps oanpeting in the region. ?hus al-Sadat's aligTarent with the American ca~, and the rallying of S~ria, South Yem~n and perhaps Libya urrler Saviet hegerr~ny, has far the first time in their modern history faced tl~:e Arab countsies with the danger of a Yr~t or arnied oon- frontation with one another. 6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY This statement is not a fonn of exaggeration, or prvwcation of panic in Arat, gublic opinion. Rather, it is an actual fact, enhodied in the mobilization of 50,000 Syrian troops and 1,200 tanks alo~ Jordan's borders d~ing the Arab sumnit confereryce with DaQrtiascus boy~cotted aryd embodied in the return of tsension - to the Egyptian-Libyan borders, the autbreak of skismishes and m~bilizatiai on the Libyan-Tunisi.an barders, Libya's intervention in Chad, the Iraqi- Iranian war, a~d the continued I~ebanese dilsmtia, as forms of heated indirect confrontations amor~q Arabs. Thus the o~partunity renains fully present for the sheclding of Arab blood in an - Arab-Arab war at any n~nt. If the calculations of Syria or Jordanian field oo~rnandQxs who stand facing one ar~x on both sides of the b~rder go wror~g, they may perhaps open another bleeding woau-~d in the Arab heart. The Arab region is rapidly turning into a map of the international gartitions which the oorxiitons of the Swiet-~nerican struggle br~aght t~ the fore after World War Two. Just as there are tzao Koreas, tca~ Chinas, two Gesm-~nys and two Eurc~s, we are rx~w e~riericing the first signs of th+e energenace of American Arab countires and Swiet Arab countries . Perhaps there r~o longer is any urgency prce~tirig the Uriited States t~o unleash the Israeli rrr~nster to snap at th~ Arab body or discipLine one reg~me ar another - fran time to time. Fiot or cold Arab stn~ggles will guarantee that the Arabs are diverted fram their direct eneny. Li.kewise, there is no urgerycy prampting the Sovie ~.s to e.ngage in the risk of setting of f the f ire of a third w~orld war of uncertain results by directly approa~hi~ the Hrater and oil of the (~ilf; it is emugh for Nbsaow to move its Arab pawris t~ fiexy a~cts wher~evex it wants a local war or disturbar~ces in the area. - It is the Arab reg~me.s of the seventies who bear the responsibility for this unfartunate situation before histary they who by virtue of theis d~anestic circ~unstances agreed to internationalize Arab di.sputes, dissension and struggles on a broad scale . We are now preparing to enter a stage of tbtal Arab rif t which it will n~t be possible t~o mend by the traditional methods of reoon-- ciliatian and laxity which for exar~le Saudi diplomacy has pursued. Nasir arr.i the Arab Sunnit Form~i: In the light of the tragic ciscimstanoes which the Arab nation is g~ing through, the Arabs have lost Ja~nal 'Abd-al-Nasir and the distinctive national role he played. Nasir ~s not abave the level of Arab disput~es - rather, he became en- mored in them, ar~ perhaps tried tA ir~crease their intensity. In addition, he . was defeated in three wars. Hawever, in view of what he represented as the presider.t of F~t, the biggest Arab country, the direct influenoe and effect - he had on the Arab state as a result of his papl.lar magic and his mass relations, and the penetrating pawer of personality he possessed, ?~e was always able ~ get the Arabs united during the times of da~er. Nasir ovem~re his personal anc~ political price and h~rorrhaging wounds in Yemen and Syria t~o call for the first Arab sL~trmit meeting in 1965. This high- level format for joint Arab acti~n prwed its great suocess in eLiminating many disputes and lessening many difficulties and obstacles. Indeed, it managed t~o establish, after his departure, a minimum Arab politiGal ar~d military solidarity 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY and mutual agreenent on the Y,asic cause, the cause of Palestine and the con- frontation with Israel. It is enough, for 'Abd-al-Nasir to be held in estean in the eyes of the Arabs, that he breathed his last at the peak of the s~erb effort he e~aerted at the _ Arab sLmnit level t~ stop the Jordaniar~Palestinian war in 1970. V~IlZere, however, is the regime and the political leadership that may be qualified to perf~m Nasir's role? A review of c~rent Arab circ~anst~arzces does not inspire aptimisn abaut the possi- bi.lity of producing a rapid alternative to Nasir. ~ President al-Sadat, by squanc7es'ing Nasir's mass legacy, by relirx~uishir~g his ~~i~na~ path and I~, maki.ng peace with Israel withwt autharization or agree- ment fran the Arabs, has permanerztly forfeited his credP_ntials to perfornn this role, and has snatched F,yypt away frcm the possibility of bringing a leader~._hip _ - to the fore which is able to bear this national burden. Saudi leadership, by virtue of its traditional political status and its alternating Arab position and Islamic position, does rr~t ~,~rant t~ transcend the frai~rk of the role it had drawn up far itself as an imrediate, practical intern~cliary for r~olvirx~ sudden Arab ca~lic;atAns without getting cban7 into their roots or , getting lost in their labyr'inths. - President al-QadhcIl~afi has renaved himself, by force, determination and design, fran the framework of the Arab cor~eption of a pe.rsonality which is able to play Nasir's role. This cabsexvation also applies tA his "i.mificationist" partner, President Hafic al~sad, who made an enao~'aging start with the seventies, reached his peak in the October war, then gradually dr~a back and regressed, t~o beccme the prisoryer of his regime with all its oonQlexes, weight, burdens and ttm~ors . - This rapid review also makes it neoessary that we pause before the Iraqi regime, not because AL-Tn~T~1N AL-'~1RABI syrnpathizes with it but by virtve of the potential it actually possesses for playing Egypt's Nasirit,e role. This statenent may r~ot please those perr~ons who are tangli.ng with this regime on tltie p,rab stage and who, out of jealc~usy or vexation with it, hasten t~o reject its w~tY~iness and fitr~ess t~o perfonn this role. Hvwever, this immediate object-ion does rnt corioeal the deductions of an unbiased observer who has been follaaing the curr'ent Iraqi reg~me sir~e it caQC~e tA pawer in 1968. Perhaps the first and most cor~spicuaus of these 8edu~ctions is that the Iraqi regime has in practice prwed its national oatmitrrent by affirmi.ng the irr3epenr~ent nature of its political path and its an~.ety not to fall int~o the pits of align- ment wi`.h international c~, at a turie w~~en p~apl~e makinq Political decisions in other regimes are surrendering their wi.ll, one after the other, to the major _ interna`.ional powers and are mortgaging their independe.nt ic3er?tities t~o Washingt~on or Nbscx~w. 8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ = Whatever may be tY~e objections of those apposed to and making mischi.ef rnrer the Iraqi regime's style of dealinq with events, they canmt deny its achievements, ~arting with the liberation of its oil and the rescue of the S~ra.an fmnt fzom real catastrophe in the October war. ar~d ~r~ding with the raassertion of a mini- mun ALrab will to resist the Camp David glatfarm. For the first time in the modern histozy of ~raq, a yr~ur~g man has made his ~ray to pa~r~r through the ranks of his p~arty in ord~er to give his snall cz~untxy a strong fism leadership, political stability, and eoor~nic and c7~veJ_c~mental prosperity, to c~ualify it to stand on the east~esn wing of the grea.t nation and = defend the Arabhood of the G~.ilf which is being threatened by th~e T_~ersian peo~les who are once agaan clressec3 in the garb of religion. Of the regures born on the threshh~olr3 of the seventies, the Iraqi regime today se~ns the mQSt stable, the most self oonfident, and the most qt~alifie~ t~o play a unifying national role. The pe.rsonaLity of its gresident be~ars mach resan- blance tio and oongruence with Nasir's personality; nonetheless, it is r~eoessary to ackrr~wledge that the challeryges facing this regime are greater and taugher than tYx~se facing the other Arab r~imes because it has pla~~ed itself in the position of full national responsibility. _ Perhaps this is Saddam Husayn's fate. His suocess in facing these challenges s will in the practical sense pre~re him in the eyes r~f his nation to assune a role similar to that of Nasir in the fifties and sixt.ies. = The rcmantic rr>stalgia which will drive the Arabs in the eighties bo seek an alternative leader in the form of the d~3rted oa~mnander shows the extent of the - error on which are based the oonvictior~s as~d ar~alyses of "re~wlutionaries" and "progressives" who considered Nasir an intern~ciiate, tentative stage bet3aeen retention af the old and revolution against it, which must be foll~wed by a more progressive, revolutionary stage. 4~fiat has actually happeryed is that the stage which follc7wed Nasir was "more tentative ancl black," contr-~sy tx~ every "scientific int~erpretation" which says that history is proceeding along a political line progrnssing t~oward the better. There is rw dou'r~t that the "revolutionaries" wh~ see ~at al-Sadat and others are dr~ing on the Arab stage have oane to regret their vexation with Nasir aryd their constant expression that he vTa.s a transitional or internoediatiy stage which would inevitably be follaaed by the sta.ge of total revolution. The hoped-for radical revolution has rr~t happened, 3rr1 it is p~obable that it will not happen at all in the b]~ody scenario which was sketch~d out by theories whic~ give histAry a"scientific" int~spretation. Today, 10 years after Nasir's departure, the Arabs are yearing far lsaders in his image artid not in the image of L,enin, Castro or Guevara. COPYRIGHT: 1980 AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI 11887 CSO: 4802 9 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 + FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ISLAMIC AFFAIRS MUHAI~fAD HAYiCAL DISCUSSES AT-TA'IF SUI~IIT LD021431 London THE SUNDAY TIMES in English 1 Feb 81 p 10 [Article by Muhammad Haykal: "Finesse and Forcefulness Stamp Saudi Simmmit"] [Text] The most expensive s~it meeting in history came to its glittering _ end last week in At-Ta'if, Saudi Arabia, with the leaders of 42 Islamic countries reaching some agreement on how best they might face the future. Among the decisions taken was the one to put the question of Arab Jerusalem at th e top of the Middle East agenda. It was also decided that nothing could be done about the Gulf War betwee;~ Iraq and Iran, and that requests for cash from various groups of Afghan rebels should be scrutinised with care if not scepticism. The very sacredness of At-Ta'if--it is close to Mecca--was of enormous importance to Saudi Arabia, whose considerable prestige and resources were thrown into the affair. The Saudis were at pains to demonstrate to all Muslims that the holy places, especially Mecca, wilich had been attacked and occupied 18 months ago, were safe in its custody. And they wanted to ~ prove to others, particularly the Reagan administration, Saudi Arabia's ~ importance as Islam's representative. 1 ~ Saudi Arabia was also seeking to reassure itself ab out its friendships = throughout the world and its influence, not because it was a nation of rich j resources and rich men but because of its capacity to inspire. ~ Such a role carries problems, however. Once you inspire clear-cut decision5 . on, say, Palestine and Jerusalem, it means you cannot accept even the . semblance of a compr~mise. (It is no coincidence that the summit was named "Conference on Jerusalem and Palestine"). And that, in turn, means running the risk of difficulties with some traditional friends: that is, the Ilnited States. The nightmarish aspect of the summit was most apparent in its security - arrange~?ents. After all, some of the 42 delegations were under vows to _ liquidate each other. Another task was to prevent the accidental confronta~ion of enemies without causing offence. The Saudis achieved this with an i~ppressive mixture of ~ finesse and forcefulness. 10 FQR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY The summit security system, including equipment, cost $150 million. This concentration on the hardware of law and order was in marked contrast with - S audi Arabia's attempt to redefine "jihad"--an important word and issue in Is1am. Jihad, or holy war, means total mobilisation against the enemy to th e extent that, during jihad, no man is allowed to sleep. Many people f eel that, in atte~mpting to give the word a more symbolic meaning, the Saudis may simply be compensating for lack of action. Whether this is valid criticism or not, the Saudis' interpretation has a direct bearing on the future of Arab Jerus alem. Efforts to negotiate an end to the Gulf War stumbled badly. The Iraqi leader, Saddam Husayn, rejected the idea that Algeria should play a role in this. In his view, no Arab could be neutral. He was somewhat more sympathetic to the notion of the Palestine Liberation Organisations' taking a hand in the mediation process. Some of the poorer Islamic nations' hopes for financial assistance were not met. Before the summit opened, there had been talk about a total sum which was put as high as $20,000 million. The sum actually approved was $3,000 million, An indication of this new mood of caution emerged from the discussion of Afghanistan. Pakistan's General Ziaul Haq spoke frequently on what should be done about the Afghan xesistance movements. He felt th e resistance fighters talked more than they fought and he contended that if help were to be given to Afghan refugees, it should be channelled through the Pakistan Government. The summit leaders agreed, though the Gulf states are setting up a special fund for anti-communist movements. _ There were other important developments at the summit. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab ~irates and Oman formed a new block i~ which - action on such matters as internal security, purchase of armaments, border disputes and differences arising from the nationality of different tribes will be co-ordinated. = To avoid the war-imperilled Hormuz Straits, the Gulf states are now thinking of constructing an additional oil outlet through Oman to the Indian Ocean. As for the Arab League, it has gone into limbo. Now that the emphasis has moved to the Islamic arena, where inter-Arab conflicts can be handled on a different level, league members are una~~le to agree even on a date for their next meeting. COPYRIGHT: Times Newspapers Limited, 1981 CSO: 4820 11 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY I APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY _ IRAN BANI-SADR ATTACKS OPPONENTS ~ JN011230 London REUTER in English 1212 GMT 1 Feb 81 _ [Report by James Dalgleish] [Text] Tehran, 1 Feb (REUTER)--President Abolhasan Bani-Sadr has launched what seems to be a thinly-veiled attac:k on his political opponents in a speech reported today by the official PARS News Agency. In an apparent reference to his hardline fundamentalist opponents, who are led by members of the Islamic Republican Party, Mr Bani-Sadr has quoted as calling , on Iranians to resist "bullies and tyrants" with all their power and unity. "If you want to have an independent and free country, if you do not want to be ruled by those who want to bring back the dark days of the past through lies, trickery, calumny, 1?.bel, prison and torture, then do not fear anything," the - president told his audience in the southeastern town of Jiroft yesterday. Speaking on the eve of the second anniversary of the return from exile of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeyni, Mr Bani-Sadr also said: "I will resist tendencies towards oppression, towards [words indistinct) towards prison and towards [words indistinct]. Last November he alleged that torture was being used in Iran but he did not specify by whom. His charge led to the appointment of a commission of investigation but no report has yet been published. PARS issued its account of Mr Bani-Sadr's speech in English and it was reported in the English-language TEHRAN TIMES. But, except for a brief story in one moderate paper, the address was not quoted in any Persian-language daily. State radio last night quoted President Bani-Sadr as saying at Jiroft that Iran knew, when it opposed Iraq in the Gulf war, that it would not get U.S. arms which it had already paid for. T'his was a reference to recent remarks by U.S. Secretary of State Alexander Haig on the subject. But the radio did not make any mention of the president's speech as reported by PARS. The agency quoted him as saying: "Iran is not the former country which could _ be kept in an atmosphere of suspicion." 12 ' FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE QNLY Ae said most Iranians opposed oppression and the soluti~n of problems by force. "What could frighten people who did not fear the shah's regime?" he asked. PARS also reported Mr Bani-Sadr as saying he woul~ not submit to "internal enemies of the revolution." "If we give the oppressors any more chances, they will intensify their pressure and cruelties and we will be involved in greater problems before the war ende," _ the president said. - COPYRIGHT: REUTER, 1981 CSO: 4920 , 13 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY IRAN COUNTRY REPORTEDLY OBTAINING ARMS SECRETLY LD261647 London THE OBSERVER in English 25 Jan 81 p 5 (Pe ter Deeley and Peter Durisch "exclusive" report: "Iran Spends Millions In Secret Arms Deals" ] (Excerpt] Iran, desperate for arms in its war with Iraq, is trying to obtain sup plies secretly by using friendly countries as a conduit. 'Itao weeks ago, a North African country approached Sam C~mings, the world's largest private arms dealer, with a request to L~uy spares for British and American military equipment. Mr Cummings said last week at his Manchester warehouse: "They told us that the spares were for Iran but we told them we could not supply them. The North Africans offered to provide the paperwork to make it appear the hardware was going to them." Sou rces in the arms industry tell us that Iran has agreed deals for $100 million (41.5 million pounds) worth of arms in the past fortnight. - Taiwan is said to be a big supplier. The same informant told us that the Iranians had already obtained American made spares manufactured under licence in Italy. - Hamburg, he said, was being used as a trans-shipment point. Other sources in the industry indicate that Iran has also got military supplies from North Korea, Algeria and Austria. Iraq, it is being said, is obtaining its equipment through middlemen in Berne, Switzerland. . We saw a telex message last week asking for one million rounds of 20mm ammunition for Iran's F4 Phantom jets and a similar quantity for its FS Tiger aircraft. Few countries would presently grant an export licence for arms to go to either side in the conflict. Consequently, current deals being done in the West will probably involve a bogus destination for the arms in order to obtain an export licence. South Africa is also getting large supplies of military hardware from politically "hostile" countries where governments are prepared to turn a blind eye to inter- national sanctions. For commercial expediency, these nations are using third _ countries--sometimes without their knowledge or agreemeqt--as fronts for the trade. 14 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Portugal carries on a flourishing trade with South Africa, selling huge amounts of - ammunition to the military, although these deals do not show up in any government- produced statistics. The Portuguese Government's figures of arms exports for 1979, for instance, shosa _ sales worth 2,300,$00 pounds to Gabon; but the African government has denied it received anything. In the first half of 1980, Portugal claimed it had sold 900 tonnes of ammunition to Thailand, but Thailand, too, has denied all knowledge of s uch purchases . Over the same period, the Portuguese Government's statistics show that more than 1,250,000 pounds worth of arms went to Pakistan. The Pakistan Embassy in Lisbon says no arms were p ur~hased, pointing out that the Pakistan armaments industry produces every type of weapon Portugal could offer. It has come to light that the aiQnunition allegedly destined for Thailand was loa3ed onto ships of a Danish line. The same shipping line has been linked in Copenhagen with the shipr~ent of 12,600 unarmed grenades from Montreal to Durban. A shipbroker who chartered the vessel has been con~icted in Denmark of violating the United Nations embargo on arms exports to South Africa. He is appealing against the court findings. Danish police have complet~d an investigation into thE movements of vessels belonging to four shipowners suspected of carryfng arms or ammunition to South - Africa in the past 3 years. In two cases, ships have been identified where a bogus dE~stination was used in port, but en route the ship changed course. ~ Where South Africa has been the true recipient, the Danish national flag has b een taken down and South African military ships have come out to escort them into - harbour. During our investigations into misuse of documents essential to the arms export trade, a Portuguese arms dealer told us of an instance where his government ha d issued an end-user certificate--which details who the arms are going to--for military supplies. The hardware was delivered to a Portuguese airfield. "One night, planes came in and took away everything to South Africa," the dealer sa id. In Spain, at least two cases are known where prominent arms manufacturers were used as intermediaries in deals when tanks from India and Howitzer shells from Canada were sent to South Africa. In West Germany an armaments manufacturer is under investigation for having allegedly supplied war materials to Saudi Arabia, South Africa and Argentina, all banned by Bonn from receiving arms exports because they are "areas of tension." The company claims all exports were carried out with government approval. The arms found their way to their real destinations by circuitous routes: 1,000 machine guns for Saudi Arabia went via ltaly; arms for South Africa went through Paraguay; and Argentina got its supplies through Spain. COPYRIGHT: The Observer Ltd [1981] CSO: 4920 15 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FdR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . IRAN OIL CONTRACTS WITH USSR, SPAIN, INDIA SIGNED LD131315 London FINANCIAL TIMES in English 13 Jan 81 p 4 [Terry Povey dispatch: '�Iran Signs Several Ma~or Oil Contracts"] [Text] Tehran--Iran has signed a number of major new oil contracts--including one with the Scviet Union--in the clearest indication yet that the country is returning to the world oil market. The contract with the Soviet Union is for. 40,OQ0 barrels a day. It represents payments for hard currency debts built up since Iran stopped gas supplies to the Soviet Union early last year after a disagreement over prices. _ The other ma~or contracts include 150,000 b/d with Petronor of Spain and the renewal of India's 100,000 b/d contract for thie year. Since the start of the Gulf war 15 weeks ago no official figures for Iran's oil _ exports have been available, alt?~ough oil industry specialists in Tehran yesterday. estimated current exports of crude to be 700,000 b/d. They are sceptical of reports from Washington that exports had already surpassed the Iranian target of 900,000 b/d for the first quarter of this year. Iran has yet to announce its contract price for Uhe current quarter, although this is expected to be made public later this week. A rise of 10 percent is expected, taking Iranian light crude up to $38.91 and heavy to $37.81. Iran is selling oil on the spot market at these prices at the Lavan Island terminal - in the lower end of the Gulf. A surcharge of 86 cents per barrel to cover trans- port costs from Kharg Island to Lavan is added to this. Iran is using its small tankers to ferry oil to the safety of Lavan. However, as VLCCs can only load at Kharg, a number of coumtries have taken the decision that a single VLCC road is less of a risk than several trips using smaller tankers, and are therefore loading at I~arg. Iran could have sold more oil but several customers did not seek to renew 9 month contracts due to renewal just before the war. Brazil and Sweden are two examples of this. - COPYRIGHT: The Observer Ltd [1981] CSO: 4920 16 FOjt OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY IRAN BRI EF'S REZA SENDS MESSAGE TO WOMEN--Cairo, 7 Jan (REUTER)--The 20-year-old self-proclaimed 9hah Reza of Iran today sought the aid of Iranian women in overthrowing the Islamic government of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeyni. In a message to Iran, his first since coming of age last October, the son of the late Shah Mohammed Pahlavi contrasted "the chains of slavery imposed on women by fanatical reactionaries with the equality guaranteed by his father's constitution. The shah's secretariat in Cairo's al-Qubbah Palace re~eased the message on the anniversary ~f Iranian Women's Emancipat'.on Day. The message urged the women of Iran to "shake off their yo~es, unmask the diabolical plots (of the reactionaries) and set an example of resistance to those people." The shah's family has been living in seclusion here since March last year. President Anwar al-Sadat has offered them permanent sanctuary. [Tex~] (JN080925 London REUTER in English 0918 GMT 8 Jan 81] C~PYRIGHT: REUTER; 1981 CSO: 4920 17 ' FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY MAURITANIA ECONOM': MINISTEit DISCUSSES ECON~MIC POLICY DECISION Paris MARCHES TROPICAUR ET MEDITERRANE~NS in French 21 Nov $0 p 3088 [Text] Mauritanian Minister of Economy and Finance Ahmed Ould Zein recently indi- cated that "the economic policy decided upon by the CMSN [Militarp Co~ittee for National Salvation] and the government will follo~r two main lines: a line of austerity and a line of revival by index. "This new revival is underway for we currently have an investment volume, either - in the execution stage or on the point of it, of nearly 2 billion ouguiya. Here I am speaking of foreign resources allocated to the atate. Thus I am not apeak- ing of the investments made by tbe national companies, of which the most impor- tant (Guelb pro~ect, Gorgol proj ect) are lanawa and which will begin in the verq near future. But as regards investment by the state or from accounts assigned to the state, the amount is on the order of these 2 billion ouguiya. These in- vestments are at the takeoff po int. You will certainly learn of it, but for us ' it is a particularly important takeoff in the revival of econc~mic activity. "I will add that the year 1981 will see the effect2ve start of oil and sugar _ refineries for which start-up conditions are linked. As concerns the other pro~ects, the perspective is reassuring and in fishing the current si~aation will soon be profoundly modified in a direction allowing much more activity in the coming months. "Thus," the minister said in conclusion, '~e have here steps allowing greater ` economic activity but also on a more soli~i basis, as it will not entail monetary financing or an increase in the public debt." COPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie., Paris, 1980 8860 CSO: 4400 18 ~OR OFFICIAL USE ONL~' APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 N FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY MAIIRITANIA IDA GRANTS LOAN FOR GORGOL IRRIGATION PROJECT Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French 21 Nov 80 p 3088 [Text] The International Development Association (IDA), a World Bank affiliate which grants funds on liberal terms, on 8 November announced a grant of 11.4 mil- lion SDR credit ($15 million, about 660 million ouguiya) to the Islamic E~epublic of Mauritania for financing an irrigation pro~ect at Gorgol. This pro~ect, cosCing about $93.2 million, is aimed at creating a focus of devel- opment in southeast Mauritania. Included are construction of a concrete dam at Foum E1 Gleita, a canal to carry water to the irrigation and r~rainage network., - access roade, buildings, as well as technical assistance service, creation of pro- ` duction factors and agricultural equipment, and the building of 15 villages. Project financing will also come from the Abu Dhabi Fund, the Sa~adi Fund, the _ Islamic Development Bank, the International Fund for Agricultural Development (FIDA), and the Redevelopment Bank (R.~J) [Rreditanstalt fur Wiederaufbau]. In addition, it will benefit from gifts from Libya, the European Developmen.t Fund (FED) and the Fund �or Aid and Cooperation (FAC). Production from the pro~ect is expected to reach 26,800 tons of cereals, which will permit the estiablishment of 4,640 families (28,000 persons) there aad the creation of some 14,000 jobs. - The IDA credit is repayable in 50 years, with a 10-year deferment. During the meeting of the Council of Ministers on 7 November, the Mauritanian minister of rural development presented a communication relative to the prepara- tion and initialization of the Black Gorgol pro~ect. The council noted with satisfaction that project financing arrangements have been totally completed and took the measures necessary to initiate the pro~ect with the least delay. - COPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie., Paris, 1980 8860 = CSO: 4400 19 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLx APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY MAURITANIA = BRIEFS - IRRIGATION LOANS--The World Bank on 6 November approved an AID credit of 11.4 million SDR ($15 million) in order to finance an irrigation pro~ ect in the south- east. The International Fund for Agricultural Development (FIDA) has ~ust grant- - ed Mauritania a loan of $10 million for the first irrigation network in the co+.uz- try. This pro~ect will allow close to 5,000 families to return to their homes in the Gorgol valley. These pro~ ects are part of an overall agricultural devel- opment plan that will decrease the country's dependence on importa. The author- ities hope to reach an annual cereal yield of 26,000 tons. [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French 7 Nov 80 p 2960] 8860 CUSTOMS TARIFFS--On 16 October the Council of Ministers of Mauritania a~proved a proposed statute to modify the schedule of duties and import and export taxes now in effect at customs. The statute aims at establishing a simpler fiscal policy and will be a first step toward harmonizing customs tariffs among CEAO [West African Economic Community~ members. [Paris MARC~S TROPICAUX ET MEDITER- RANEENS in French 7 Nov 80 p 296d] 8860 . HODH ECHARGUI ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT--On 15 October at Nema, the economic develop- menC program for the Hodh Echargui region was set at 16 million ouguiya, of which the Mauriranian Government will contribute 13 million to rural development. The projects set up in the framework of this program ~rtll aim at preserving the live- stock and at sugmenting food production. [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITER- ^ RANEENS in French 7 Nov 80 p 2960] 8860 APPLICATION OF ISLAMIC LAW--The application of Sharia (Islamic law) to the Mauri- tanian judicial system last month was "a first step toward the application of the precepts of Islam to all areas," Lt Col Mohamed Khouna Ould Haidalla declared recently. Last month, for the f irst time in a considerable period, a man was executed and three others were f logged and had a hand cut off by virtue of the Sharia. In a speech broadcast for the Muslim festival of Id al-Kabir, the head of the Mauritanian state invited "all vital forces of the country to work side by side with the Military Cou~.ttee for National Welfare to combat the perversions which have infiltrated our values during these past 2 decades and to return to _ - our original customs and values.�' [Paris MARCHES TROPICAUR ET MEDITERRANEENS in French 14 Nov 8a p 3025] 8860 SONIMEX PRICE INCREASES--On 31 October the Coimcil of Ministers authorized the National Import-Export Company [SONI2~C] to increase prices on some of its prod- ucts. Thus, loaf sugar has gone from 45 to 50 UM [M~uritanian ouguiya] per kilo, 20 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 F~R OFrICIAL USE ONLY lump sugar from 35 to 40 UM per kilo; the price of cracked rice from 12 to 15 UM per kilo, whole rice up to 30 UM per kilo; all varieties of tea increased to lOG UM per kilo. For the past year, explained Minister of Commerce, Industry and Mines Cissoko Mamadou, SONIMEX had been forced to sel7. at prices substantially below cost. Thus rice, which during January cost SONIl~R 18 UM per kilo, con- tinued to be sold at 12 UM per kilo; loaf sugar sold at 45 UM per kilo, but cosC 74.60 per kilo; lump sugar costing 64.70 per kilo was offered at only 35 UM per kilo. Only the sale of tea was producing a slight profit margin, but this amount was far from covering the deficit of hundreds of millions of ouguiya engendered ar_ SONIMEX by selling other goods at a loss. [Paris MARG'HES TROPICAU% ET MEDITER- RANEENS in French 14 Nov 80 p 3025] 8860 CSO: 4~n00 21 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLy APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY MOROCCO ARTICLE ANALYZES PLURALISM TOLERATED UNDER MUNARCHY Paris JEUNE AFRIQUE in French 31 Dec 1980 pp 194-199 - [Article by Hamid Barrada: "The Monarchy, the Left and the Rotation"; passages enclosed in slantlines printed in italics] [Text] Morocco--Rare are the countries where the plural party system resists the rigors of postindependence regimes. Morocco is one of them. But what does not pluralism lead to a real change of team? /"Far from me is the ideu of claiming that the system was perfect. But when une speaks of Austria, I think one should emphasize the idea of a state in constant evolution, where nothing was fixed or once and for all defined, Where were w e going? No one knew. But I who in my youth *~as a passionate adversary ~f the empire, now know that we destroyed sdmething that could have become a shining example." Manes Sperber./ In Morocco, why do the political "openings" to the left made by the government~always come to a sudden end, and f inally lead to nothing? Why do they come to seem like - false windows and deceptive facadea, if not boobytraps? According to a broad spectrum cf opinion, at home as well as abroad, the answer is simple, One word: trickery. Hassan II fools his world; he makes an art of confusing his opponents and they are wrong in having anything to do w~th it. The problem with = that explanation is that it presupposes that the Moroccan lef*_ is the stupidest in _ - the world, something which remains to be proved. The repeated failure of the _ "openings" poses a problem that concerns not only Moroccans. Since what is involved = is in fact the viability and the credibility of democracy in a Third World countr;~. If inen who challenge the government are hopelessly condemned to stagnate in the opposition, as in the prisons, and if as a result the political process stands revealed as a game of deception. Morocco would not r_onstitute an originai experiment ~ worthy of interest, as far as institutions are concerned. The plural party system - ~ would remain "formal", mere colorful folklore, and in the end Morocco has nothing - to envy, in the tieighboring tyrannies. We would be dealing with a single party, _ - /in fact/, camouflaged and underhanded, And there would even be reasons to credit the classic single party system with certain virtues--the same virtues a gangster has ` = compared with a swindler: with a gangster at least you know whnre you stand. - 22 d FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 rOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY A Lost Opportunity A legitim~te suspicion will continue at all events to hover over the Moroccan experiment as long as the /politi~cal/ motives of the left for not participating in Che government remain undisclosed, when it can boast of representing forces at least - as large as those of the governing parties. In other terms, should the failure of the "openings"--and hence the absence of any rotation--be imputed to the Cherifian monarchy /or to surmountable historical and political factors?/ Let us examine first the most recent "opening", during the summer of 1980, which went practically unnaticed. Hassan II announced the rehiring of some 3,000 national education and health officials who had been dismissed for over a year because of a strike. The persons concerned belong to the CDT (Democratic Confederation of Labor) close to the USFP (Socialist Union of Popular Forces). Earlier, it had been suggested to them that they appeal for the king's c1E.nency. They refused, considering that the sovereign, guardian of the constitution which recognizes the rfght to strike, has the grounds to intervene "spontaneously". 'vihich he did. That is not all. Soon the greater parL* of the prisoners who were USFP members were pardoned. Then, came 20 August (commemoration of the exile of Mohamed V), when all political exiles (except two) were authorized to return to the country. In the speech he gave that day Hassan II announced two measures: rents for persons of modest means were lowered by one-third. (In parliament the opposition ~xid sought without success, a rent freeze.) Informal Talks Second decision: representatives of the two political factions were invited to Ifrane to a colloquium on teaching problems. The "selection" system of the Education Ministry had provoked deep ~iscontent, and the opening of the university session was likely to be stormy. At Ifrane, Professor Abderahim Bouabid finds he is asked to chair the committee charged with inquiring into the circumstances of the opening of the university season. The USFP leader declines: "I can only defend the positions � of my party, which are contrary to those of the government." TEiat need not matter; all the ministry's decisions, particul.arly the limitation of registrations in the faculties, were purely and simply cancelled. "Just imagine," Mr Guedira, king's counselor, said to us, "Giscard taking over the programs of Marchais or Mitterand." At the end of the colloquium Hassan II explicitly declared that the same steps could be taken in other domains. On the fringe of the Ifrane colloquium Mr Driss Basri, the youn~ minister of interior, and then Mr Guedira opened discussions with - the leader of the left. These talks were kept "inf ormal, exploratory." They could ~ be taken up again tomorrow. But once again we have probably seen a missed opportunity. ? * Six persons to be exact, according to the USFP headquarters, were not freed. - They were soon to be freed, depending on whether their cases were more serious than the others. Moreover, there remain, according to their comrades, 114 "Marxist- Leninist" political prisoners in Moroccan prisons. . 23 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY I APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY In government circles there are men (not all, far from ic), looking especially for reforms in the fields of health and the ecc~nomy, who would approve the USFP's entry into the government, and regret that the party did not rQ~~ nd suitably to the palace gestures. Did not AL MOHARRIR, USFP daily, devote the major part of its "page one" to...the arrest of its cartoonist, Lemhadi, the very day the clemency measures were made public? The journalist had been questioned following a cartoon which seemed to be an offensive illustration of the royal speech. It was a mere coincidence since the offending material had been produced several days before. Mareover, the cartoonist was released. The oniy result of the "Lemandi affair" was that AL MOHARRIR's readers found the artist's talent suddenly dried up. Rigid Attitude The Ifrane decisions were also presented by the USEP ~:-.~er with impolitic re~oicing. According to the left, it has "imposed" its views on the colloqium. That is not quite true, and at all events would only make the author of the initiative dig in his heels. For themselves, the USFP explained that their reaction to the clemency measures had - to be restrained: had not the government merely announced them in an official news agency dispatch, giving the list of about 15 exiles "among others"? One still wonders if the other royal decisions were not "timed to insure a peaceful resumption _ of trade union and university activities?" And it can be added that, at all events, the "reopening" quickly turned into a "closing". The way parliament resolved the question of the entry into effect of a referendum adopted last May prolonging the legislature by 2 years is illustrative. Since the text did not say so, no one knew if it applied to the current chamber or would not be implemented until after the chamber's renewal, which, earlier, was to take place in 1981. The second possibility should have been accepted, in order to show consideration for the opposition (USFP and PPS) which had opposed the referendum and condemned the vote rigging. However, a propos of the duration of the president of the chamber's mandate (3 years inst2ad of 1), also provided for by the May constitutional amendment, the parliament decided on the immediate application of the terms of the referendum. Logically, the same interpretation should apply for the legislature. It turned out that the deputies of the majority urged, with the opposition, the later application of the referendum. Mr Ali Yata, leader of t:~e PPS (Party for Progress and Socialism--communist), with good sense suggested recourse to the Supreme Court. An expeditious solution was preferred, and this was termed a"brutal act" by the opposition in the height of outrage. The USFP deputies do not hide the fact that they will leave parliament at the end of the "normal" term of their mandate (June 1981). Al1 this does not help develop a compromise between the left and the palace. To tell the truth, the king could always restore calm to people's minds if he really cared about collaboration with the left. It is signficant that he did not directly inte nrene in the parliamentary moves: he always had the option of dissovling the chamber and bringing about early and relatively fair elections. 24 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Stopgap Solutions The fact remains that we are again far from the "opening" attempted in the summer. Obviously, psychological reasons are invelved in this failure. The wounds of the sometimes bloodly recent confrontations have not completely healed. Adversaries ~ who become partners have the sensitivities of people flayed alive. Mutual and lasting suspicion transforms the simplest good will gesture into a doubtful act of trickery, if not disguised hostility. In our opinion, something more than psychology is involved. _ If suspicions are not abandoned it is because each side has not completely accepted the rules of democratic interaction. Everything happens as if democracy were consider~ed a stopgap, a lesser evil or a necessary evil, at all events not as /the only form of government/. So much so that rotation, although the cornerstone of the democratic system, is not considered a normal ob~ective. More precisely, it is not considered at all. When it is discussed either with the men in the government or with opposition leaders there is unfailingly a mocking, scoff ing skepticism in the one group and a sad and resigned skepticism in the other. The multiparty system has entered into the habits of the kingdom, and happily it is part of the political panorama, but rotation, which is an inseparable part of the multiparty system, consubstantial as the philosophers would say, i~ seen as an incongruity, a naive, in fact unthinkable hypothesis. The Opposition's Suspicions It does not help matters that what both the opposition and the government agree on most is clearly the rejection or discouragement of rotation, TY:~re are precise causes for this situation, and while taboo, they are nonetheless pertinent and, we hope, stimulating and progressi~~e. At all events, there is reason to believe that as long as the causes are not defined, clarified, and discussed, Moroccan democracy will remain wobbly, fragile, and uncertain, As far as the opposition is concerned, in this case tne USFP, it obviously is not completely converted to the idea of rotation. Posif~g as an alternative to the regime, having tried a little and dreamed a great deal about replacing it, Mehdi Ben Barka's party very naturally neglected to take the place due it in the monarchy. Wanting to be everything, it will come to nothing. Too much concerned about being the alternate, the USFP could not play the rotation role. It is true that it could plead extenuating-- and exhausting--circumstances. The campaigns of repression, if not extermination, of which it was the victim almost since its birth 20 years ago, were not of the kind to inspire modestly democratic concerns among its active members. Until 1975 (the date it became the USFP) a rather large part of the UNFP was convinced that any political change could not be carried out without violent acts, and some of its members sometimes acted accordingly. The continued failure of this tendency, the isolation of its incorrigible inspirer, Mr Mohamed Basri, ended by persuading the entire movement to give up this simplistic and costly strategy. Uncompleted Reconversion - The congress of January 1975 officially marked the turning of Professor Abderrahim Bouabid's party to legality. But it is noted that although this reconversion is reflected in the statues, it is not yet anchored in the minds. This is shown by what happened at the 1978 congress: at the opening of the session on Friday 8 December, the first secretary made a courageous and clear speech in defense and explanation 25 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY of social democracy in Morocco and at once it silence.d the few young militants bringing in "revolutionary" slogans. But a little phrase in the political resolution intended as a condemnation of the "Makhzenian Monarchy," read in a stentorian voice aC the congress closing, 3 days later was enough suddenly to wildly galvanize the minds. Members of the congress who had been dozing rose up to bring down the house with applause, chanting /"Mehdi and Omar; (Ben Barka and Ben Jelloun, the party's two marryrs) /victory is inevitable!"/ It was Sunday night fever! An intellectual bitterly noted: /"One step forward, 20 years ~ackward. Here we are back to the political climate of the 1960's and to the irresponsable and demogogic positions which have done such harm to the ieft."/ In reality the USFP has not finished its transformation and if it delays its resolute - and systematic struggle for rotation it is because social democracy is practiced in _ the party as a strategy to be ashamed of. Perhaps no one dreams any more of a Great Night but it is difficult to accept the slow, prosaic work of social democracy. The immense majority of the USFP have learned through harsh experience that reformism is the only possible revolutionary program, but they submit without response to the intellectual terrorism of their adversaries. Because of this attitude, which is the very opposite of political courage, and although Mohamed Basri's partisans can today be counted on the fingers of one hand, "Basrism" continues to wreak its havoc. And the result is that the formation of a leftist government (or a government with the left) seems a compromise bordering on betrayal more than an encouraging or at the very least normal prospect. Presidental Regime? So much for the opposition. But what prevents rotation on the government s~de? It goes without saying that when what for convenience is ca~led the reign of Oufkir holds sway, there is no question of it. The left was the enemy to strike d~wn. And if in such and such an action one was gentle with it or "kept in contact" with it, it was less to deal fairly with it then to discredit it or even to provide an escape - hatch in case the effort to liquidate it went wrong and produced the opposite effect. It was a time of cruelty and deception. The problem of rotation has only been (potentially) on the agenda since the monarchy, learning from its suicidal isolation after the putsch attempts in 1971 and 1972, opted for political liberalism or resigned itself to it. However, the obstacles that can - be more or less easily identified (the ways of the Lord are inscrutable...) are such that the obvious democratization policy stops midway, and does not follow the dema- cratic logic to its conclusion, which is rotation. There is sometimes the feeling that Hassan II is mistaken about the regime. Constitutional and parliamentary mon- - archy above the crowd and parties, sometimes assumes the air of an absolute presidential regime. An Unorgan~zed Right One sees this clearly when the monarch descends into the arena and hi.mself takes the initiative of having a referendum such as last May, The vote at the base could not help being distorted. Since, things being what they ar~ it is politically inconceiv- able that the voting results could be anything other tllan positive, How does one say no to a question posea by the cocmmander to his believers, when his person, in the 26 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY terms of the constitution, is "inviolable and sacred"? And if it happened that the barriers were overrun despite everything, how could one make public the results of such a vote? In fact, people found themselves facing an impossible situation after the second referendum of May (on the extension of the legislature). According to numerous, credible witnesses, a large majority apparently boycotted the polls or voted against the second constitutional revision (this was not the case for the first, bearing on the organization of the royal succession). And the minister of interior could not report it "without endangering the regime." Whence the famous 99.94 percent of the votes, serving as a reminder of Morocco's not so glorious member- ship in the Third World! The presidential aspects of the manarchy distort the democratic function and practically institutionalize vote rigging. A second equally grave cause of rigging can be noted. After all, referendums are not held every day. It seems to us that the fundamental cause of electoral manipulations is the absence of an organized, independent right, able to depend on its own forces. The Short-Lived "Parties of the Kiag" Let us be very clear: there are political parties situated to the right by virtue of their conservative responses--admitted or not--but their political audience remains limited and abave all, as shown by all the kingdom's electoral experiments since independence, they cannot win against the left ~rithout the administration's massive and decisive assistance. It is no accident if on the eve of the elections one can see movements come forward, introducing themselves as the "king's party," which last only as long as roses, and parliaments, last in the kingdom. Such was the case of the FDIC in 1963, such will probably be the future--judging by the friction it is now experiencing--of the RNI [National Rally of Independentsj. In Morocco the true party of the right is the Interior Ministry, regardless of the personality and the views of the incumbent. This anomally, if it is to be explained, even ~ustifie~i, by the vague subversive impulses of the left, has no further excuse. It is a disservice even to the regime. The monarchy has no interest in identifying itself with retrograde or parasitic social groups--who moreover, even if profiting shamelessly from the regi.me, are disloyal to it and are ready to drop it (as they did in 1971 and 1972) at the first alarm. It remains true that it is the existence of the "king's parties," transitory and always the same, which constitutes the principal obstacle to rotation. Careful reading of royal declarations in recent times give us the impression that things could change in that regard. We had the opportunity in mid-October to interview Mr Ahmed Reda Guedira, counselor to the king, on the views of Hassan II on rotation. He replied to us in precise tenns, authorizing us (once does not mean always) to cite him. "His Ma~esty expects to be kind of all Moroccans, without exception. He does not wish to be the prisoner of any political party, he does not prefer Mahjoubi Ahardane (chief of the Popular Movement) to Ali Yata (co~nunist) nor M'Hamed Boucetta (Istiqlal) to Abderrahim Bouabib (USFP). In order to govern, he is quite free to have recourse to all." COPYRIGHT: Jeune Afrique GRUPJIA 1980 9772 CSO: 4400 27 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY WESTERN SAHARA PARIS MAGAZINE INTERVIEWS POLISARIO CHIEF L D061027 Paris AFRIQUE-ASIE in French 22 Dec 80-4 Jan 81 pp 10-12 � [InCerview with Polisario Front Secretary General Mohamed Abdelaziz by Kamel Dj aider: "We Are Determined..."--date and place not given] ~Excerpt] [Question] What do you thir.k of the pledge by the king of :~Iorocco to make 1980 the year of peace? [Answer] The king of Morocco rejects peace. It is rather the year of Ouarkziz, Akka, Ras al-Khanfra and other operations in which Hassan II sent thousands of Moroccan soldiers to a.terrible and useless death in a lost war of aggression. The king of Morocco wished to delude his army and his people, who are growing - impatient and refusing to die in this war, the burdens and sacrifices of which they bear. If you remember, each time the Moroccan Army found itself totally unable to confront our Alps the king of Morocco and his military command tried by all means, ~ including declarations of intention, to make believe that the end of the war was imminent. In the face of pressure from those of his allies most convinced of _ his defeat and from chose members of the international community nressing him to p ut an end to his war of aggression, and also in view of ;,he reverses suffered by his army on the battlefield and the economic and social disaster into which his country has been plunged, Hassan II's aim has always been to gain time and - put off the day of reckoning. For example, soldiers taken prisoner by our forces ~ - who were officers in the Moroccan Army told us that at the end of 1978 the king and his military commanders spread the information in the army that the year 1979 would be the year of peace, and you know well what happened: the operations of Bir Enzahan, Smara, Lebouirate, Tan Tan and so forth during which the Moroccan Army suffered one setback after another and lost thousands of soldiers killed, wounded or taken prisoner. At the end of 1978 and at the beginning of 1980, the economic, military, diplomatic and social situation for Morocco was such that Hassan II felt obliged to make peace in 1980. Much importance must not therefore be attached to such declarations when one knows that each opportunity to make peace offered to the king of Morocco by international or~anizations was simply rejected by him. Who is preventing h im from starting negotiations as called for by the linited Nations General Assembly? It is clear that this peace of which he speaks is only a maneuver aimed at _ 28 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY obstructing the decisions of international or~anizations and the aspirations of _ the Moroccan people and the army, who wish to benefit from the mumentum which resulted from the Mauritanian-Saharan accord. (Queation] At one time there was talk of secret negotiations between the Polisario and Morocco? What is the position now? [Answer] Since our objective is to live in peace with our neighbors, we did not hesitate for a moment when it came to replying positively to an invitation from his excellency President Mousa Traore of Mali to meet a Moroccan delegation to Bamako under his auspices. [Question] What was the composition of this Moroccan delegation and why did the meeting not achieve anything? [Answer] Under the auspices of President Traore, who personally exerted much effort within the OAU ad hoc coimnittee aimed at the Mauritanian-Saharan negotiations reaching a successf ul conclusion, our delegations met a Moroccan delegation composed mainly of advisers to the king of Morocco, Guedira, Bensouda and Dlimi, and if this meeting failed, it was because Morocco showed itself to be intransigent and devoid of any political desire to f ind a solution. (QuestionJ Is the Polisario Front today preparing any particular strategy within _ the perspective of eventual negotiations with Morocco? In other words, is there a possibility of a settlement which will "save the king?" [AnswerJ We are ready to negotiate with Morocco to find a peaceful solution to the conflict between the two countries. We are also ready to negotiate with Morocco in order that the two peoples, Moroccan and Saharan, might r~obilize their efforts for the national construction of their respective countries, and not for war. The defense of the sovereignty of our country and the territorial integrity of the SDAR remain our basic aims, and if we do not achieve this by negotiation because of Moroccan intransigence we shall impose it by other means. As for the second part of your question, I would remind you that our struggle is one for liberation which we waged for 7 years against the Spanish colonizers. Its objective is the liberation of our country; it aims neither to topple regimes nor to save them. If the regime of Ould Daddah fell, it was because he opposed the interests of the Mauritanian people and the legitimate aspirations of the Saharan people, who were obliged to defend them themselves, and if the king of Morocco wished to alienate his army after the attemnted coups in 1971 and 1972 by launching it.on a war of aggression against our country in order to save h~;s - throne, wl~ich was threatened internally, our people, who are defending themselves legitimately, are in no way responsible for the situation in which that king finds himself today. Having said that, the possibility of a settlement does exist. This involves a return to the legality defined by the internationdl organizations; I would therefore remind you that the route has been marked out and requires that Morocco withdraw from our country and that the Polisario Front _ and Morocco begin negotiations. _ 29 FQR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY The Situation in Morocco Can Only be Saved From Collapse By and End to This War [QuestionJ What is the meaning of the announcement that Hassan II is to visit Europe? [Answer] It is not by traveling abroad, on whatever pretext, that Hassan will find the means of extricating his country from a disastrous situation at the military, economic and social levels. He does not nov need arms or money for a lost war, but peace, for as you know Morocco is on its last legg. All the most ' important development projects have been abandoned because of the war; its foreign debts continue to increase; numerous firnzs and public concems are bankrupt; unemployment is rife ard the state cannot even pay the civil servants. COPYRIGHT: 1981 AFRIQUE-ASIE CSO: 4400 30 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 I M'UK UN'hll.tA~, u~~ Viv~.Y WESTERN SAHARA LIBYA POSSIBLY BEHIND POLISARIO SHIP BOARDING Paris J~.'UNE AFRIQDE in Freach 17 Dec 80 p 43 . [Asticle by Abdelaziz Dahmani] ~ (Text~ Once upon a time in Ms~uritania there Was a retired policeman, Sid At?med duld ' Aida, a scion of the emiral family of Adrar; one fiae day he left his aative Adrar for Nouadhibou, the Mauritanian fishing port. He bought a boat,"vhich he called the "Touagad" from the name of a famous pslm grove ia Adrar. He also hired 20-odd ~ sailora. Z~elve of them (six Senegalese, four Mauritaaians aad ts+o Spamiards) were ~ aboard the Toungad in ~,id-~October 1980 when it was attacked at eea by a Zodiac j Nask V inflated raft armed irith a uaachinegua aad lighter veapona. - Fuany Story I The crev Were takesn prieoner and the boat to~ed to a beach where, once it was ~ ashore~ it Was riddled with bullets While the motor was takm out and toeead into - the water. The guerrill8 Warriore of th~ POLISARIO Froat who have been attacking ~ Watercraft along the Saharaa Coaste since 1976 lzave never attacked with euch anger. , _ They have furtherm~re been selective attacka. No Soviet boat or any boat carrying ; the flag of one of the Bastern Europeaa couat~ries has been bothered aay more than i Japaaese fiahermen hava been. The principal victiss up to naw havn bem the ~ Yortuguese and the Spaniards. In this hvatiag eceae. only one South ROreaa boat for which the POLISARIO, in an uaique e:aaple, asks a Luge ramsan. I Mnet of these incidents have made sone nofse in the preae aad have provoked some official reactions. Nothing of all of that, at least se far as we kaaW, for the "Touagad" of Sid Ahmed Ould Aida. It is true that the affair seems to mix polit- ~ ical atrateggr and tribal relations. An old quarrel betwe~n Reguibete of the north ~ and the family of the Ould Aida of Adrar--Sid Ahmed had evea criticized the Algiere ( agreement of 5 Auguet 1979 eo vell that he then spent several days in prison. ~ ~ - For the disabling of hie boat in mid-0ctober, our policesnn who became a fisherman j addressed himeelf to tbe authorities of poua.dhibou, asking for Nouakchott to take I eteps to free hia cr~. Reply: he was ~+rong to accuse the POLISARIO Front. ~ ; It is true that at that moment no one Was absolutely sure and that the em~ty pack- ~ ages of Algerian cigarettes foimd along the aide of th~ wreck looked more like a provocatioa than a proof. Aad behold: 20 days later ~he aailors Were eet fsee. , 31 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 ' FOR OFFiCIAL USE ONLY right in Zouerate. They declare and affirm that theq w~re held by the POLISARIO Front ia the northern part of Ksuritania. Sid Ahmed Ould Aida has made hia accusation again aad he hae met members of the government: he vants aa inde~?ity. Once agaia~ without auccese. They evea allow it ta be understood that hie boat waa fishiag illegally in Saharaa Watere. Which he givea the lie to with hia last ouace of energy. - But thie funny etory s~as not finished. Iiaay Mauritaaian cadrea have atated out loud: "There we were working in our owa country...." There were also some eddies inside the DMSN [Militarq Co~ittee for National Salvation] where Captain Ahmed Ould Aida, cousin of Sid Ah~sed and inspector of the National Guard, represmta the population of Adrar....After many discuesions~ it vsa decided that expenses would be reimbursed by the SMAR [Nauritanian Compaay for Insurance and Reineurance]. Not Discouraged Hawev~r, Sid Ahmed Ould Aida was advised not to go back to fishing again off - No~sadhibou....The affair has not hvwever diacouraged other Mauritaniana from pro- ceediag to that eector. A Mauritaaiaa-Libyan Compaaq has just been created...in Las Falmas, dependent on a Hispano-Libysn ~other Compaay. With this nuaace it has almost received the blessing of the POLISARIO F~ront and it ~?-ill not only engage in fishiag, but also in transport betweea the Canariee aad Nouadhibou. A new line of resupply independent...of Algeria. COPYRIGHT: Jeuae Afrique GRIIPJU 1980 12~116 CSO: 5200 32 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02148: CIA-RDP82-44850R000300084431-6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY WESTERN SAAARE~ BRIEFS - DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS WITH COSTA RICA--The governmen~t of Costa Rica has decided to recognize the Republic of Sa~~ara and to open diplomatic relations. In a docu- ment signed by the two parties on 30 October, tfle two governmeats agreed to ex- change ambassadors, it was aanovaced in an official release, which weat on to say that accreditation of the representatives would be effected after the two partiea reached a mutual accord. [Paris MARCF'~S TROPICAII% ET I~DITERRANEENS in French 14 Nov 80 p 3018] 8860 CSO: 4400 END 33 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP82-00850R000300080031-6