ESTIMATES OF SOVIET IRON AND STEEL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 44
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 24, 2003
• Sequence Number: 8
• Publication Date: January 25, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY REPORT NO.
SWUM. INFORMATION
tiNFORM.A ION REPOR' CD NO.
COu
0V.$.31..1BJECT
avid Cotr3unptlym
25X1
PLACE
ACQL7RED
DATE OF
INFO.
(t.C?Cri-
08-4
oisfk 25 Jan 1952
iSCO Ur PACES
NO OF ENCLS.
(UWE? BELOW)
SUPPLEMENT TO
25X1 REPORT NO
25X1
25X1
'MPArriaat'
?'"?
pof ?
IS DOOR MUT CON TAW* 41,01'04AM:a ArercrulaTrtz OATiOnAl. ORKT*1
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O.% C.. 3i AIII3 SA, a Arir.40ED, ITS TRASISOT331133OtIP RRYELIITIO4
OP ITS C031ERTA i ART IOREit TO AO OLIAUTmoinvim PERSON * PRO,
RIMED fri LAT/ qt PROEM MOO or TOTS POEM IS tneorourrso
SDURCE
4
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7,1?Va.`04,6.7:*
25X1
Table of Contents
THIS IS UNEVALUATED INFORMATION.
--
The i.)resent 6oviet iron end- i.Aeel balance
iron anu steel recuirements for the vehicle industry
, iron and steel recuiret.:en.:-.5 for the c:onstruction of
machines, Uyi..aratus . and bo:'Ij.ers
Iron ani steel rec,uirernents for email:eat L,roduc tion
Iron and s tee 1 recuirernent s fo.7' other ? tre tai-v,ork
in dus trie
Iron and steel reCuirernents to buildine industry
Iron and steel reptlirertien,s fo the maintenance of
mining. and iiublic t11ity inst:illetions and the
maintenance of industry and tr,?iffic installation ,
.1.ren./ce
Thi5 revort i inly a s.l.udy cn the iron and steel
consura.,tion in ti.e ;ioviet Unjor os t of it is based
on roud1 eF4tirpkites us no definil,e infor,;-r.ation was
kiv I :table Part A is a coltilk..ttion, rtB throur:t G
contain individual data:.
Thesc investications ,;AII be oo:Itinued end LI upplemented
in the future givinf...; the individual i.:roduction brunches
and ou.ndr ie s The rer.inInL; ti:ObS of the i.azAern 1.s1oc
also be covered.
[v[ XEiw
,erN
CLASSIFICATION SEG/ET
ix NSRB t' DiSTRI3-1101,1
Ix 1.84 "f f' I
"
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05 SEP 197
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
The iresent Soviet Iron and Stee. Dalance
The iron. and steel balance tidroducLion, consution and
stc';iiles) consists of the Lvafilable stocks of usable
flu workable iron and 1:-teel int:terLAls on one sides and
of the requirements for the tr1-.-inte1kince of elent
installations nd fulfilment of investment and 1-;rodu,c-
tion i.rograrns
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE .AGENCT
eee
a, Useble end workable iron end steel teriels
are- only such materials blrdy eienufactured
into finel eroducts by the ironeviorkinc industries
inoused dr trceted as such witnout further treet-
reent in the iron-and steel ?.roclucing industries:,
These meterials therefore are Semi-finished ero-
ducts? rolled eroducts? eressings end fork:.inees
brieht.faeterials 8110 castincs,
Such uaterials cep. be divided into two) lurge (:7rou..es
of .rolled ebterials comerised of all above-mentioned
items exceet cestings, and castings
et.e On the credit side are mostly the current new
eroduction and the storeee of suepiles in these two
grOues, on the debit cide the cenSuceetion of materials
by the USG or further treatment in the various- branches
of the iron-working industries, tie well as .the necessity
. for further stock eilee,
Amost no figures ere availuble on the storage et
sueelics or their stocici.fling? They cell -elle ire, oxn-
i.,uted from the ha 7. enee.: 'fterefore., such f.udicetions
-at?ftret ill heve- to be left out cf consideration,
individuel data on the use ari(.. prOeessint: of iron and
steel (iron end eteel eonsumetion es well as iron end
steel re(uirements) are ineiceted in tl-e sections
? that,follOw,z
a? The .following three lerge groues must be distinguishede
(1) Finished iron (iron and steel eaterials used as
erimery :materials for intermediate and final .eroducts
of the individuel eroduction schedules of the iron
-
-working industries ? including .accessor ie s sure ea rts
as well as the develop:merit, an stockpiling .of such
pr ?due ts )
(2) Iron for investmeet eurposes ron and steel
materials _needed for the cors truct on of projected. new
industrial public utLLitY? nousing and treffic installa-
tions)
(3) Iron for lizintenence eureoses (iron irei steel
meterials needed for the raintenbnce of existing iretalla-
tions, eseecielly for reelacements ane reeairs in the
izocuction and traffic induetries
b, seecified list of the estie:eted conswe tion and
receei:eee-ierIts is shown in the erineee,
14-., The- 15,43. eroduction comeuted at '1E,, 7 million
tons- The correeeondingi9O luJtIfii.eure is 11,8
million tons..
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
-4-
T-e annual production col cuti;., r esti:litec ut
about 3 million tons. :..oever, tLi 1 i?ull be
increased at discretion bv liLJer zcrr duitions
(broken castings),
b, in computine the foundry iron anounts it
assumed that for the ra,i steel output 8 90 vercent
share of pig iron would be nee(ed for Thomas steel,
a 70 1.ercent share for open-heerth stcel and'a per-
cent share for electric steel- 1:-(p cver9 the open-
hearth steel production can be stretched to tie
extreme limit of 50 percent sc:ap addition, and the
electric steel production even up to 90 percent scrap
additions If a hither percentace scraipincs for
the steel production is aisumed (i.c 40 ,ercent for
open-hearth steel ,roduction and C5 rcent for
electric steel production) the 191.P foundry iron
share would increase to 3 5 million tons an _he 1950
share to 3,7 million tons,
(1 ti ubstantial sera ,,ditons t,hoproiixtion
of castinT.s could easily be increased to r?: million tons_
c, The 194B iron and st(el recuirenents therefore could
be covered froz the current ,roductIon without diffi-
culty altUouch they fall consiLerably short of the 1950
scheduled rekuirelxnts
(1) Tie consuAetion of the rollinc ,roduction (rolled
materials, rorcing ane shaked ,Jeces) is sham in the
follovinc list of larce consumers in cuantitative
secuencet (in million tons)
Iron. and steel construction (LI, 1-)
,rmanent production (U)
Construction of machines, apparatus
and boilers (0)
building industry'(F)
::otor vehiciC industry B,3 E)
Iron, steel and sheet metal products
(Elpe,30)
Requirenients for maintenance (G)
,L1i,buildinF7 industry (E5)
Taectrotechnical, ,recision
mechanical, oi,tical and metal 'i:are
315
2,?.2
2.0
1.69
1.31
1 34
0,39
0 18
3-, 62 '
3,- 012-
2,4
2-49
1.37
2 08
0,,52
0,21
20-09
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CENTRAL INTFILIGENCE AGCY
.-5-
Vd0Uld :ae an a erodection sure ius of z.ibout
L,8 million tons of roLled yeteriels for I,;et8 which
may have -been used .Jainly for stockeeiling, ho
exaggerated planeine: tercets for 1948 are knceen nor
thercany indications of iron and steel st_orte e
in the attainment of erevious production tarrets, ?
!lowever?.it- is questionable whether difficulties ed.:y
'lave arisen in the procurement of 'special kinds Fuel.:
is ?hard acid proof and other alloy steels hiteLegrade
etructural steels, high-seeed steels, medium and lirht
eheets and deep-drawn or plated materiels, Juch
eomelice tions can he asurred for at least part of the
ermament, veLicle ?end machine. production e re,7rkiMS ,
b) Loy:ever, the 1950 S ci.eau 10 al rolled- eroduction is about
2? mill Jot' tons below the scheduled reenir erre nts of
be erocessinc industries,: the iron -eonsuminF industrial
branches as well as treffic ?and buildine industries,:
The requirements of relied eroducts would exceed the
output :only by about 1:.2 million tons if the tank
eroduction.is actually not Liner than in 19148 (see note.
c) It may be concluded from these figures that the 1,ro-
duction rate of individuel manufacturing indus tries will
be more intensified for technical reasons than that of'
.the iron producing industries while relyine on suhetentiel
1.ron and steel stock piles to fill the temeorery eaes?
or that the plenninc.tereets,:. eSeecially of the iron-
eorking industries,, were intentionally exat-eeereted to
rigorously spur production of the se Inc, us trie s
(.d) The latter eossibilite is likely, et least fotiron
and steel conetruction, for the construction of eaChineS,
ilkiparatUS and boilers ane for the eiotor vehicle incuetry,
The -1950 production schedule of these industries ineieetes
an increase ef 0eercent or more ogainet the'19e8 pro-
duction figures which can hardly be reeeled in two years
even if the elanned exeaneion of technical instellations
as conSieered, -specially tilf:11 are tne scheduled pro-
duction figures of locomotives and railroad cars, trucks,,
tractors and machine tools; Only these kroductions will
be affected by the considerable bottleneck of . the elentiorm d
special steel sorts, Also,the practical caeacity of the
tank industry can hardly be fully utilized if the I.:laming.
targets of the mentioned industries veill have to be retched, _
Considering the?Soriet Army stocks Of tenks and self-eroeelled
CUnS it can be assumed that this c.;uote or rollea nroaucts
is allocated to those industrial branches which -were
LC oessarlly neglected in wartime
(e) Ilovever, there is no doubt that the realization of-the
1950 program of the iron-eorkinc industries e..111 by no
cleans be imeaired by a shortage of iron and steel rater-leis-
7even if no new euee, lies were stored durinc the current
ear. subetantial stoe-gae reserves mil he v u as,
cons iclenAOle amounts could have b. en d u r t;i.
i,ast year.
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CENTRAL INTJaaarndxE AGENCY
-6-
(f ) It JE, biso 1..osibi.e to favor the Lenti oneu , ro-
cletion branches by cuttirx a 1 17)(:1, ti ons to the buila
tnd co hs r FooC., s inC.,ustries. It cdn even be ex,eeeted
v:ith certainty that ?roducti on quotas in the se 1.7u us trie s
1, ill be r k;c,uced Alen shortages cf LL1 tends arise
te cause, the social ,L.rot-,-re.4.m ranks behind ;-..111 other
ecuir accents:.
(2) The consu:31,ti on of castini; -is shown in the follovinF
list ( in miLion tons)
q48
iocn
Ir.? tor vehicle industry
,93
1?t4
Construction of machines,,
aaratusi, and boilers
0-95
1-28
Irmame nt jroduction
o78
1: 09
iron and steel. construction
, and ?ive tal vz,areE.
Ehii;building
T.leetrotechnica ,procucts
o_
o 13
o,
O.02
5-43
(a) rio deficit will occur in the. 1..,rOuuCtion o otis if
the mentioned poasibilitics of increasine, the or irinsilly
estiTa ted: i;roduction figu :?e are considered.
( b) As there are no sk.ecified data on the i:roduc tion and
cr.sacity of the indiv idual crrey iron, ial1ebb16 Iron and
teel fo un drie ? it is nt 1-10-:n whether the necessary -amounts
cf th inwa lied s. c1a1 c ti nc s ? anu e -7r d e
vd11 be availatle , 'tartiou Laxly for the con-
Etruc ti on of trla ci,.in es am enejines_,
Iron _and Steel ileuirenents for Vehicle roduction
The fo noting revireini:nts for th e different branches of
the vehicle indus ry c_in be calcula tee flora the estiiated
Jov let-,,roduc ti on and fr on key figures of iron end steel
,needs
Locomotive an rL1jirou car construction
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
-7.
.ted1,,ro duc ti. on figures3teta locomot Ives
esel Und electric loco:actives
Goa che s
eight cars
1c4S.
1:500 700.
. :500 5?0
1,500 roo
RD,000 vt,000
Ty,es takonTInto ac-&ourTt 4;,ecuired
, amount of
iron and
steel*
er cent
-"Rbiled
texi als
cinrs
and
,./1" Ei Ci. :11/11
Ca s ti r8
,Exi,)ress tr;lin - loComotives) )
13.4. tons, 127 tons b rid ) )
8L tons ) )
) 218 )
I assent,er trail. loco:cotiv es ) )
133 tons, ;.2 tons and- ) )
85 torts ) )
)
74
14
1,2
Lie sal loco :do tiv es 72 tons ) )
and 45 tons . - ) )
) 86 )
11ectric 1 pcomot ive s . J tons)
and 34 . ;4 n. s . )
ress train rails' ?ad cars )
43 tons c-.Da cite s 2f,' tons 69 . )
)
Boxcars" 28 tons ,- tank i.-.;rs ) )
67
1.,0
25
2,4. tons,
,-.rmor eci -cars 20 tons ? covered ) 30,5)
cars 22 tons . ) )
:- .atfor :a cars 1C tons ) ' )
* lnclud irg Skare .parts accessories, rek;air rateriai indmai riti7niric?:
Iria tells] s
4* The oesentiOn "tons" for ral lroad cars in cates tk.e iron t
s 6o to 7',0 ercent of tlie totil
These figures show folluv.lw iron and steel r e(luireyents
( in 1,000 tons)
'.'
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CENTRAL 1NTELI1IGENCE AGENCY
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a? For locomotives
Roiled tye teri els 323 ,493
ibortri1n8s tnQ reiris 61 92
cvstihes r2:2_ So
436 665
ior railroad cars 1241,,
honed materials
Forcings and rressinre
s ti ngs
2,057
194 3o8
M_
1 934 3 08(1
c, According to the anninc. fi gur es the fo loyinE
rolled materials di re needed or superstructures'
1948 l,? 7illion tons
19501 1,51,, million tons
Tr e c tor co nstructi on
ted jrodiction fiEures 60 , 000 units for 19.8
11 2 ? 000 units for 1950
Tsvve s taken i to
ec co tint
Oie,nt of 1.zequir ed
finished amount of ;
1...roCuct iron and i
steel *I
(in tons)
I
80 catervillar
Die sel .6?5)
)
64 Li- cateri.illar )
cse1 )
57 2i 11
) a er& e
ATS-Na ti catEril
ler gene ra tor )
)
c a tcr, 11- 4 2)
La r 0 to ?cn One )
)
CtiTS e8teviiilt;Ir Li. e )
sel. 4,3) 4,4 t
"r
ed pDrL 11;:.,s stinE7s
iaa ter la 1s1, and
z.;EChT
for 6n(l. ne s
for frames and
bodies
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CENTRAL INTEUXGENCE AGENCY
.
Tyjz tt.ken into
scccunt
"..eic,iit of
nisLed
oe u t
Required
:.ariount of Rolled ? Forings Castincs
Iron and materials and
steel preins
( in tons)*.
ere ento,re f iruros
K 12 cuter illar
Eer.ertitor 4 5 )
)-
KD 5.5 et?-ter. lia r )
?831 3,6 )
? ea tor,, :,..1.1ar 0 to- )
(31). n 3 )
)
Univ or si1 Jeel Ctto- )
eine ? 22
12
)
12 "ilk ee 1 0 t to - en ei )
6 )
* Inc lue,ine spare . pa rts0 reserve engines, accessories and ;Ai ir
meter talri ,
Total iron and steel r euirement s ( in 10000 torts);
12.0 L259.
Rolled -a ter 1&1s 227 4PL
Arrinesiend jessi nes ,36
Castings
output of motor veil icie s
tad pr oduc tion figures
uc ka
aseneer cars
6w:es
67
259. 484
522 97!-
4118
30J,000
425,000
5a,C0o
? 65,000
4,000
.500
354,00o. 500 ?DO? ?
L,EGRv-T/
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? CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
lo
The, following esti?,-, kites . ere iade .uiri comka-
cative figures of other countries 11.-.1.,ortant mo to r
i cle 1.roduc tion und by cons dd ering urose iu norri-,a1
-3aia.,..osit1on of the raot or vel icle stoblc:
Truck truilers
bus fro ilers.
,...otorcycles
100,000
000
65,000
....emy..11*?????????????
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ta
accouat
into
-,eieht of':
fir.iened
product
Rec_uirect,
amount
iron and
steel
I croon ter-e fi ,ur es
=led Foreings
teritas and
ezsinrs
GUS tinCS
( in tons )*
DiG Sea. truck
5-ton Diesel truck
4-ton truck
3,-,,-ton truck
7?)7 )
)
7. )
)
-5 )
3,8 1
5,5
)
ton Die, sel truck 4 )
)
3-ton truck with )
gt,s .j;roducer 25))
))
)
)
)
)
50. 5-seater or )
23 hi' p s r mid go t
car 0,9 )
2t-ton truck
2
1 -ton track
1,3-
1.14.011, .atytaeir
1,8
250 cubic centi-
meter motorcycle
200 cubic cen ti-
me ter motorcycle
125 cialliciLenti -
me ter motorcycle
8-ton trt:i le r
5-ton trailer
3-ton trailer
Bus
Bus-t:78iler
0-17 )
)
)
0 15 )
)
)
35
2.8
LL 9
9
29 3. 2
F
0, 25
? 4.5
8 47
for f rume s boo' ie s structuressuper-
jnc trailers
15 26
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SL:ORLT/
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
11
ncluding reserve encines, sere darts and accessories,
.rea.ir materials and maintenance materials.
b, According to these ?estimates the motor vehidle
industry has the follming total iron and teel require-
ments (in 3-000 tons)
1248
Trucks
1 650.
2,354
.;.,-assaa-cer cars
129
163
Busses
39
59
Liotorcycles
13
16
Cur trailers
1C4
25o
Bus trailers
9
13
20004
2 855
Spccif cation of requirements
(in 1,000 tons).
ii1+8
1950
Rolled. materials
1,122
1.589
Forgings and 1;resEings
221
314
? Castings
661
92
2?004
2855
4- The iron and steel
(locomotive and rai
railroad superstruc
are thcrefore
6096 million tons in 1948
8 925 million tons in 1950,,
needs for the vehicle production
lroad car construction, material for
tures, tractors end motor veLicles)
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. CENTRAL INTF3J.1GLIICE AGENCY
Iron and and Eiteel Resu1re7rients for tt:e .Construction
chinespratus and iJoilers,
1. Tie encineering industry, in its widest sense, is one GI'
the most imiJortent iron and steel consumers ever,
reliable esticiates are available only for a few produc-
tion branches? Other calculations iid to be based on
roughe stii.-ates
ars The QBrining figures of ti.c 1946 to 1950 Five Year
Ilan a no. the 1947 production se _cdule as well as the
continued output of forl.er serial products indicate these
varticu1ars on the follow ing 1,roduction branches:
.3.1.41M22
Lachine tools
Unit of 1948 1950
me6sure
1,000 units 33 36 3
Stationery engines for
ironworks and rolling
mills 1,000 tons 65 103
over 100 kws or 135 111-. 1,000 units 8 9
below 100 kws or 135 i3/' 1,000 units 550 6214
Steam turbines 1,000 H1) 3200, 3 950
;a ter turbines 1,000 icws 850 1-,022
Itzeumatic machines and
lamps 1,000 tons 108 174
Aga' cu 1 tux ti m a C hines 1 ? 000 tons 317 f,'36
of which
tractor 1,1ows 1,000 units 72 110
cultivators 1?000 units 58,5 82? 3
sawing machines 1?000 units 62. 83, 3
ootabined thresLing
km eh ine s 1?000 units 12 183
Textile machines
Looms
6ECh ..T
100O units 10.00 1,400
1O00 units 20 2 5
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CENTRAL INTULIGENCE AGENCY
2., Ti7,6 I ol ne, roccti onr u re s are ezti t,c(2- for -
the reT;.airinE CIA TIC C OTIC trile tion brtixcics
? oodLorkin.r.. s,
TI.-s 1550 schedule ,rovit. icjr z. oti rodu eV. on
of 74,00: r,le taly,orkin7 and v:ooduorkinr mnc1in es
tools and i..recidi on in struentr, .%bout 2 000 unit s
of this total may be wood wor kinc c t:in es - This
? ?roxini tes t'A? Gernan _production ri cures for 1928
and 1538 ?About 220O0 v,o od'Ao rkin;- c ine s 'nay heve
been t,r oduced in 19.,8
b ? Iouriry if. CS 4- in inst la t, ions
The ;production ratio of ronv.orks and rollinr: 11111
ins till tions to foundry achi n es is about EJ., in
all hih1y industrialized c,-.1untries?.. Ti.erefo re?,
about 11-,00C tons can be ssumed for 1948 anti about
17 ?DOC tons for 1550,,
( The man. outkAtt, 000 tons in 1538 and 20 000
tons in 1948.)
? :I. is ton enL;ines,
The ooviet ,,revar k,roduction of ?iston eneines was
about ti. ree-cuar tars of ti e Ger ran outut ,
reached. about 10)000 tens in 1936. This outk,ut
cohsiderably increased in t,,e ,,ostwar live
Year in and can Lc Lti:liated t least at 9,000
for 1948 arid iC0C0 tons for 1550
d, Dressing and _buil dinE !,-ti chine 23,
No details are vsiabl. It is oni known thz,A
before the war this macLine construction br anc b. ? 'Lad
develoi,eC to hicer decree in tLe soviet Union than
in Crer.:,any, The Gerzaan 1928 :,-)r oduc ti on was 2:!8,000
tons, the 1933 i,roduction 2,33000 tons, Me estimated
19248 soviet.1; roducti on as 25U000 tons and may be
300,000 tons in 1950.
e ,and instal1itJoris for the food and
luxury and the cf-Fmical indus trie s,
The Soviet- xe war .pro clue tion of' tne food. and luxury
industry ;,:as about 50, 14Eller than the Gernan
i,roducti on while the outl ut of the .)ovi et chemical
industry INUS about tv.o?thirds of the GOrnrin 1/rod action
va lue . Since no fur ther in forrlati. on. is available- i.t
can only be assumed that the ;ov et 1943 output of
food and luxury, anu chemical 'machines 1rohab1y
ecjaaled the Ger:;:n 1928 output ( about 100000 tons)
-v,hile a roducti on increL,se of at least .,70 l.ercerit
Liay be .ex,,ected for 190 (120,000 tons).
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CE:NTRAL 711TET-T,IGLACE AGE=
-114-
. s ina init.1ations , convey inr:
i.lichinE.z.y ;and liftingaliincos
( 1) The 1928 German ,rodt.c tion 2.42,000 tons.
213.000 tons in 1938 ni 126O00?tons in 1941.4 T1,e
sci,eduled 1943 .eroeuction of iiizonia listed continfrent
weic,ht of 250,000 tons, The significance of this
idroduction v,as be or the exclusive first i.riority
of the mining industry anti on the necessity of exten-
sive re,.a irs, rei cement* and modernization of con-
veying; in stal la ti ons
(2) Tile ilrceen oovie t outeut c.in be sti
at 280 il1ir tons in 1942 and 340 million tons in
.;,ccording to Ger::Aan coarative ficures the
19148 steel reeilirements for this industrial brunch in
the Soviet Union can be assumed at 730,000 tons, ;3nd
the 1950 ,..,rokliuction tit 270?000 tons:.
E., Railroad safety ai...pliances, fire extinc:,uis1iin5,T
ir strm-ents etc.,
The. railroad net alone does not offer sufficient informa-
tion on Si.47nal11ng and safety equi. ment, tecause- in the
Soviet Union the nu-I:be,' of tracksi...!-.e intervals beteen
block stations:, 'and saratiy &trines do. , ex) rresi.ond to
those of -,the dense 'German raiiroad ,systert. V.e best
basis for an estimate is the oration and traffic .i;er-
- for nlanc e The - ratio in r ti on to the Pei n.an 1.,or formanc e
was about 13 1 in prel?ar Gon.iderine.te
Ger-.-;an. 1938. ,,,,roducti. on c?1 000 tons the oviet outLut
can be(;,-SItited at 71 ,OCO tons in 1918!. and to a:?,.proxi-
cate 80,000 tons In 1950-,
-h, .Antifriction bearing,s, gears? gear wheels and Criving
6ears,
o inoications are avii1ab_c. iva such an ini.ortant
itexa es antifriction bearinEs is rasntionec.1 at no ,,lace
in the 1,1ans0 :,..xtroordinary efforts are knom to have
been ::aue since 1946 to intensify this eroduction
.Licb es insufficient even before the war,, however:, it
is coubtful v:1-2 tier the German ,ere...ar outi,ut? second
only to the USA,, has been reac!,ed, The Gerf,,an maximum
out,ut in 1928 W8 S 1319000 tons 1:.1-1110 from 1939 it) the
end of the war the annual ,roduction vas teadily i-lain-
tained at bdteen 90,000 to 100,000 tons. The Liov let
194.8 estinated i.roeue ti on was about 80 ?OW tons , and
about 100,000 tons f dy e roauced in 195'0
1, 1rd us trial fur no cee?,
The output .of special furnaces? es,pecially of electric
and. -other ftetallurg.idal furnaces (as 77 )1" as these furnaces
are not recorded as ironworks installations) - is relatively
insiTnificant compared to the otimr ?construction bran ohes?,
Yror.fi 1928 to 1944 the Cerf.lan :.rcducticn raed between
-
13,,OOOiIUi 21,OCO tens r.uximuni soviet outi, ut of
15-1-000 and 2.0 .,0:)0 tons can be i; ss limed for 1..1.8 and 1950,
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Hereplith aro regcs 15-.41 and pagos
1. and 2 of Annex
These pages were witted in
original distribution.
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SE CR]
CENTRAL INTELLIG2,-:NCE AOKI GI
-13-7
j. Gonstrneti n of boilers and anparatus
No records are available. The German production was
186,Cr0 tons 5n 1936. A contingenY weight of 124,000
tons -ss provided for the 1948 production of Di sonis
(this allocation also considered reconstruction work,
increased renairs and necossnry replacements of anti-
quated installations). The Soviet requirements, under
similnr circumstances at leaLt to twice the present
needs of Dizonin, can be estimated at 200000 tons for
1948 and at 240,000 tons .for 1950.
k. Fittings.
; .
The German production of fittings reached 5 15,000 tons'
in. 1938 and 53,000 -tons An 1944. ffhe Soviet p;:ptuCtion
may be at least one-third or onehalf more than these -
figures. Estimated 194r, production 160,004:tons.
Estimated 1950 production: 190,000 tons,
1. Other engineering construction.
It especially comprises office mac1 ines5:AU*Iatip machines,
scales,. safes, rolls and roller enuaving machines, testing
maci 1neS0, transmi scions and other itens . In Germany this
production tae s about 5 rercent.
!eight of engineering construction, in the USA almost 10
percent, The total Soviet output may roughly be estimated
at 75,000tp 100,000 tons. -
;110'
3. The we ght ,the needed iron and -Oteel amounts (wi:dght
? cif. 0194 rterIa1 and cas#nats)- ,..744 1,6 .
II-eight of the finished product in gtkl---eftinegi'ine -45014,44Ao
struction branches. The average distrfr.ution is abolt
65 percent . for: roiled materials nercentS!,1, forg1n0
and shaped rie3cc. ericl 2E percegi. for crstingb. The
individual branches were com-Oed .according to a03i01
' ey figures.
,
a. -The following list of the total iron and steel
requirenentt (in 1,000 tons) and t1:-,;v,pciriDeponding key
figures is based on these -reduction eitimatcs:
Metalworking machines and tools V; 301
Uooduorking ilacLines
332
-y? '48 54
Ironworks and rolling mill- -J
installations 94 149
Foundry installations . 16 25
a
Stationary engines
)rt
. _
Bir'ori T
06
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
1948
1950
Piston engines
14
16
Steam turbines
48
58
Water turbines
37
46
Pneumatic machines and pumps
166
268
Dressing and building machines
395
474
Mining machines, conveying installs-
tions and lifting appliances
310
365
Agricultural machines
469
792
Machines and installations for the
food and luxury and the chemical
industry
130
156
Machines for the textile, leather
and paper industry
375
442
Railroad safety installations, fire-
extinguishing instruments etc.
64
72
Antifriction bearings, gears, gear
wheels, driving gears
196
245
Construction of apparatus, boilers,
central heating and ventilating
systems
290
348
Fittings
202
239
Other engineering construction
102
136
.11.0?????????...1.111
3,342
4,313
b. The following rolled materials, forgings and shaped
pieces as well as castings are needed for this total
production (in 1,000 tons):
1948
1950
Rolled materials
20170
2,735
Forgings and
shaped pieces
226
303
Castings
946
1,275
3,342
4,313
SECRET)
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SECRETS
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGE7CY??
German iron and steel requirements for engineering
construction (by way of comparison):
1936: 3.76 million tons
1938: 4.29 million tons
1940: 4.08 million tons
1944: 2.69 million tons
in Bi-
zonia 1948: 1.03 million tons
ID
Iron and Steel Requirements of the Armament IndlipIm
1. The iron and steel consumption of the armament industry
of the Western Allies and Germany averaged one-third
of the total steel consumption in the last years of the
war. The corresponding Soviet average is estimated at
almost 60 percent for this period. The demand of the
armament industry is a very important factor even today.
However, extraordinarily few records are available on
the present volume of the Soviet armament production,
The subsequent calculations of the postwar production
could be based on reliable estimates only as to air-
planes and tanks; otherwise rough comparative figures,
representing vartime estimates of the 1943 Soviet pro-
duction, had to be used, Although the 1944 production
was higher in many fields it is preferable to refer to
the 1943 production figures as the production of
ammunition, consuming especially large amounts of iron
and steel, and the production of guns and small arms
had declined in 1944.
a. Airplanes:
Four-engine bombers 150
Twin-engine bombers and reconnaissance 3,115
planes
Single-engine low-attack and ground 7,970
attack planes
Single-engine fighter planes 10,420
630
Transport planes
Trainers
(about 429000 in 1944)
SECRET/
3,600
?????????11P
25,885
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
nored v ehi ;
.,.;ry?or Qd re connai ssance ears
c er s ? rmor ed ,rim movers ?
j000
300
riedi um end
and self -1,roi.,elled
Leavy tanks
puns
000
300
Guns
Licht e,uns
)
50 1.)
heavy A: guns
6
000
AT guns
10
500
Light field guns
heavy field guns
13,,
0:)0
10)0
ediuri artillery
350
!
d, L.brtars and rocket launchers 30J.:100
? Au.ta.,1.c wea,:ons and small arms
i tie . guns
Sub nit,- eh inc guns
Rifles and ea rb Ines
Revolvers and i)is to ls
ArmunitiOn
2t-:;000
170,000
1,860,000
r:.00,000
Lobs and ot, er ti on
drovped Vro-7, aircraft 180,000 tone
Liat a munition 95 millicn iounds
? am ti on 7 mil 1 1, or rounds
co 10 t. :!c.unds.
eld artillery a-::fLun1tif.)11 35 JO 4. tj't1
.,:edium aril Ile ry a runit j; nd s
tot1,1 gun aarlunition 19 I Ion rounds
.7D rt ar a 1.riunj-ti on
t " aun tion
90 millicfl :.??ounts
3 Pc 0 rounds
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
-19,-
Lsti.r.-iated airi,lane out ut
1248
Four7eni3ine
bombers
480
540
naissa'ace
boTburs, recon-
nd tranE.ort
4,800
,500
1.1aneF:,
rround attack 3600
1., hale:
Turbire and jet 1anes
Ottr fighter ,,lanes
Tnliners
4,800 8,po
9E00 n,
,d3oo 6600
T58 -158b` 39
b? Ti,e follminc rourb estii:aates of th_l tbnk krottuc-
ti,)n are available
...iedium and heavy tanks and self
gurts
1.2.0
26,500 13200
(If diatost comelete utilization or caeacity is asstmed
..ccording to various rei,orts received :Ifter this
st..xsay ;,,as conk.letod it can be assu:qed that the 1950
tank cutut vll Lardlv exct.,ed the l9 lume.)
Ai to n.,xxeci reconnaLl,sance, ears _1(.; carriers,. arriored?
,,rime movers, .,..ersonnel carriers and liPit tankss)
much loier pro auction fir!ures must be assuned for 1950
than for 1943? A cautious cE:t1:1?1te would st_ow? the
follov ing
.",rtaored reconnaissance cars
1948 19 r0
000 600
LIG-Carriers and armored i)rime
movers 000 3000
i-ersonnel carriers and lir,ht
tanks 1,500 .000
.-T,
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Ch L
ruNTRLL INTELLIGENCE AGENCI
-20-
c Tie remaininr: orma-lent i,rorram can only be conjectured
It is 'merely known that tie production of attack weapons
pieuominates, suci_ as airplanes tnnks,
ctns9 mortars,mine throwers, and fully automatic sl:!all
.J.cms Ihich Lave virtually replaced the ordinary rifle
;.1) Tic output of liFht and heavy Guns may be limited
to the minimum required for the defense of the ',estern
:.21ea5, The output of AT runs Las also doubtlessly
declined considerably bc.cause of the suerior military
pesition of the L)oviets in iurope, There may be an
aC'equate production of field guns, hoi,ever, accordnF to
the last ',vartim cAperience friedium awtillery v.111 retain
a certain Arnificance only as Cortress artillery
() Alto6ether it can hardly be ex,,ected tiat cun pro-
duction will rise more than about tercent above war-
time fiLares. The follming pro6uction fi.,!:ures are
tiitSQ
Lght AA guns,
iieavy Ai guns
gums
L*Eht field guns
Boavy field guns
dium artillery
248 la"S
?000 4,000
1,400
2,000 - 2,000
500 2,5o9
300 300
50
60
10,050 10,260
(?)?Lowever,the mortar production will probably laintain
at least its wartime volume and may- aiiproximate folloving
figures
-ortars and mine throwers
1,245 lin
30,000
3) The wartime production of automatic weapons was con-
tidered insulficient Considerable wartime gaps in the
equipment vith machine cuns and submacLine guns were
bridged by lend-lease deliveries. A substantia) increase
of .croduction CeR therefore be exkected, lhe production
of rifles, carbines and IALtols uL11 probably, at bent,
reach a proportionate amount as rocuired for the ec_ujiy,
Nent of the respective new age-class ftstite, Cine age-
lass numbrs almost t-.,o million ,en They arc ccluipped
with tiree quarters of tic existiAg armament, one c'uarter
.as to be :..anulactured)
r.1:1
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.T/
CENTRAL INTELLIGLNCE AGENU
-21-
This calculation would
duction figures:
lead to the folio-
vr 0-
10
.Jachine guns
000
120?000
Submac Line guns
250.000
300,.000
lit.fles and, carbines
200 00000000
Levolvers and ,istols
300 ,OCO
300 c,000
(1) 1.?_s- out,ut of ;x-inunition, com,riL:inc Lilf_ost flair
of th or a rlJa nt stcz comiump A OA , rlay hiVe
it mu_t be ccnsic?ered tnt:t,
six'etl e tLe %.ar 611., Lre alrekdy
stock--; iled for four years anu ti at -.11t1cal ten-
cencie s doubtlek,sly discource ,_Iny military ventures
before ttio end of th current Five Year
(a) The folloine ,irouuction can threfo re be
esti .:ated for Se,CUring u Ilore than sufficient dr-Imunit ion
stock?ile ti first izost -dr iv e -ear Lan
10 1, lq 50
Lombs and ot Ler a.::71un 5 t ion 40 , 000 tons 45, 000 tons
drol.,ed from aircraft J, mil rounds 4 !nil rounds
if
Licht ammunition
1,eavy Afl d munition 0,3 million 05.3 million
rounds
rounds
,T aunit ion 0 - 5 million 0. 5 million
a m
rounds M uno s
Field artillery arun Aion? _ 5 alillion0 r-,
.., , milL':..on
rounus
rounds
?-s-mium artillery ammunitioN.
0 C()Nil11on 0-1million
.or tar alimuni t ion 1 9 ) rcunds '-' 1 rounds
.-inf 611 t ry a:unitiOri
. .400 million 450 million
rounds ? rounds
(b) The for mor ant& g esent output of mines, hand
Er enades, Udzookas etc, is not known, .stima ted figures
must be usett for any caluulati on of steel consur;lition,
5) Tho Samd to the iroduction of 7-weapons
which in 1943 was ixobably below the figures indicated
in , dr 3 f, This ;roduction res only a sal-111
amount of iteel_
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
-22-
( 6 ) (a) Larctly any indications 8re available on the '
buildIng roect of the naval yards exce?t th.tit tt
least one , at best three, Lledi um aircraft carriers and
some Leavy battle ship or battle cruiser units, in
additi on to some tipri.,edo boats t.nd a gr eat nu-iber of
submarines outi-,ost patrol bon ts and mine sweepers,
were said to ?xhve be en laid on keel or have been
launched , it must be considered
that the build in projects were ?resuriab ly subject to
certain cl na es in the course of tl.e recetiations on
the delivery of the Soviet share of the Italian fleet,
(b) Only the submarine construction figure of about
50 boats annually can be Ind icated as a concrete
estimate,,
(e) The total output of the naval shipyards is probably
not much hi, her tLan in artime despite considerable
efforts and rlay have an annual flaximum ..roduction rate
of 150 ,C00 to 200 000 -,Toss register tons of finished
warshis
The iron and steel rc-uirenents for tre mentioned -pro-
duction figures were culcul:ted from the following
key figures of the finished steel .u:eight ( structural ,
weight of the iron and steel :',I.are) or the
average t mounts of needed iron and steel
a., ,%1.rLnes
ll 1.iod el s of the current production are considered)
?
ed steel heeded Lolling C.;astincs
weight ( in tons )i amo?lnt* material
of iron
steel? ?
( in tons)
Fo'ir -engine bombr r a
Mtn-engine bombers 2,63;4 )
)
Tv:in-engine transport )
vilnes
)
n-encine fighter )
planes lone-rance
-1
fighter ;Lanes and 4 )
reconnaL.-,sanee planes )
Single-engine ground
attack 1)lanes i, l-
,
11
6
3,,2
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ercen tape
;A:inislied. steel i?leeded iio11inr Caz,tings
1;:eif_r_ht(in tons ) ano..int*
engine fighter
planes
Jet Labile s
? 3
4
of' iron
arid steel.
(in tonsL
4
reconnaissance elanes ' 0-9-1.-1 2
trainers
3
The heeded /amounts of *II= dm': steel refer only to the nev rod,Ac-
tion (including aircraft ,,Irpianent); excluded rtl r.aount s needed
for stock,Aline, develoi,Lient, :lccessories, s, arr. :,3L,rts etc,
6) ,,ercent ircrease of tl,e total iron e S Is reouired 6ue
to the xeavy -v,mir on engines Lreserve enrines) :ind the necet-,sary
extensive storave of suvIdlies
Arnored veLicles
(All models of tLe current ero due t ion are considered)
.......w, reant".4610.,..ii3.4.411.0,4270/{????01X
l'eaCe
- . finished steel 11:eeded
;weight (i'n tons) amcylnt* 'tolling . Castings
; of iron material. ? .
( : and steel : .Forgings ?
, t
(in tons). . il..in( .;ressint*.sf
_ .
AroreC reconnaissanCe
CaIS
carriers and armored
La0YerS
lersonnel carriers
(aria 03! eC)
Licht tanks
tanks
kleavy tanks
itrL self-proiJe-,
guns
he Jvy self-prolled
guas
4,9
10.,4
32 ?
30-33 )
7,7
52
sE0ii7:T/
67 l3 20
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CENTRAL INTUJIGENCE AGYNCE
-24-
* Including stock- nes accessories. S,1-1Te parts -
end arr:laMent
" including en f!ine s
c , Guns
lercenta e
Finished tel
we 10.it (in tons)
rceded
Lint
01 ir on
%no steel ?
( in tons)
- Roll in .Cat1rFs
t er ia 1
Light AA guns.. 0, 8 -1; ? 2
i;et.:sry AA guns 9 .: 7-15,5
7 )
32 5 )
AT ? guns 3 -5,1
11,. 2)
i
Licit field '
)
-eSuns. . - .. 1,9-3.8
Heavy field.
)
CLUIS .4,5-12
21., 2 )
90 .
10
e dium.
artillery 18 -50
)
t
. _or t a.:T? s and
)
uiLe ....hroiAers - -8 0-1,.0 kg )
')
)
, )
i?:.e:,,v.:; L:or tars .O..,5-0,8. )
,
1
2., 2 )
)
: :LC ti 1 e ' - )
ro eke- lau no ....ers . ) .
i
.!
The lud ing sto develo,..faen t 6,,a rei;ri.r-tst accessories
(it c ?
d? .Lutomatic weapons and snail arms
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?1-t ma el, inc guns
Leavy inti ch. ine guns
.;,ercontae
inished steel L ,;edeti
ght (in ILOUnt*
11 o'.:?r Jilt6 of iron
,and s tee].
:(in qIlster_ac.AA
;
30 )
19, 24 )' )
)
7 ) ? 92
6
3uhwthine runs
Ri le:3 and c ark) ine
Re,ro lvers and is- tols
epch war Germany c n skim d a lrao 2f twice s
Iir,..411 structural iron as .i:Lostwer Germany, This fact not
only indicates the ?present iron. shor tape but also the
possi biliti es Of -saving iron by -resorting to make& ift
.cc nstruc tion, iron,saving build ing structures and substi-
tutes of steel structures by using new building methods
ar,d ? devic as
b. The liyited use of structural ..ro n in the -building
ind us try is much niore con.icuous 3ov e t Union-
?tructurai. iron has long - beenor rauch less importancF in
the Soviet Union. than in -Ge-rriany, Timber instead of iron
if-J mostly us ed for housing and settlev.ent constructions
in the Sovie t Union. The percent f2::e. iron share of the
Soviet building industry the refor o may at, be , roach
the eresent Bizonian ,percentace-.?
, 1 seems to be more expedient to conpare the proper tionate
f E.;!.n7 es of the building istrIai c onsumrpti on in the Sovi e t
Union and in Germany,
a. rfle 1936/1937 - Sovie t conimpti0ri of basic bui1d1ru
materials ( cement lire? bricks) was only 66 -percent of the
G,?.rhan consumption,: Other materials (gypsum,.
files, rc of inc felt) amonted to Only 59 percent.,, ? Clans
w a8 about. 210 :,,er cent and building timber 285 percent of
- the Ger: an co nsu::pti on ? These c omparisons show the different
yvie t bujidifl 1e th od and technique
b. The ratio of the Gerplan and Soviet buildi !nater la). s
cDnSulipti on with retards to its value _mould be I l9
thout timbe r and 1 0.63, timber included J com.-
ra t ively .much more timber than - t3.7 ble t,ar al. iron IS con-
sumed only Vne first ratio can . be us ed as reference:. Ey
-.reducing the Soviet prewar .consum.i if .tion to rcent of the
Ceiman.0 on pu ti on(i? 4 injiliOn tons) it ould result in .
taste figure which is more adecuate for being. increased
up to 166 percent (r, 2)? This would :aeroxi~ra te 225
[1j...ilia/a- tons This figure comes closer to the iition6d
:iiniuum limit (-.X i8 million. tons
4' If the Soviet estimated 1948 building ter ial outk ut,
resuc...ably corresponding to the building rckit, oriel con-
.3u.tckpt io1.. is compared to the Bizonian figures it would
t;esult in,. a ratio of I 0,26 ,timber excluded. If the
Falcle -ratio is aid:l.ied o structural iron the :30v ie t
rn
S r= .17 e ir C cnt for tIle t 1din i i:)? try wou.ld b e
about 2 -,11.1.1i on tons ir1 1948
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Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
d. .4:the Five-Year ilan offers another ocibility of
calculating the buildinc requirements for tic iieriod
1946 to 1950, it lits the followinE individual
(:..t1t8 on new construction or reconstruction projccts
Indication of the Five-Year flan; Iron' and ,steel coneumi:tion
accordinn. to esijkman experience:
Average amount
of required
iron and steel,
indicated in
tons oer -roject
5,9C0 rod uc ti on plants
18,7-00 movie theaters
90 theaters and MUSeUMS
104,0O kallb houses and libraries
150
hoseltals, recreation
centers and sanatoriums
2 million sqm of finished
buildings
12 million sqm ? Of hones and
settlerents
72_4 million sqm of muniCipal
ous ing saOe
3,4 -Ii.1.1ion sqm of housing in
rural areas
180 -br dee s
1625 railroad- stations, freight,
locomotive, and railroad
car sheds, repairshops and
workshops
':ater systems in 16 towns
Sewage system. in 13 towns).
Fittings already considered in the :,-)era "14;nEineering
-construe tionn take the 1 arEsst steel consumption share, .
100 tons
50 tons
200 tons
5 tons
50 tons
Variation of
needed amounts,
indicated in
tons per pro-
ject
20-800 torts
2 tons(average housiro
50 sqm)
1,5. (normal building 40 srm
of built-up area)
ton on 30 sqm
- 1 ton SU/0.25 ton
1,000 tons 100-309000 tons
25X1
25X1
150 tons vcry creat vari tic'ns
?cannot be indicated*
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
CENTRAL INTELLitia9E AGENCY
re..iults are sl own br e-Tur,ariSon or the
cal,ital invest:, ent .for tl_e. u.i1ir i!Tdustry
t.he eroes 1,rodue tion value s or the buildim: inuus
TLi cc ri son ?..culd rOxi ete tI followine
esti..7;.ate for the 15.1.: to 1950 buil din.: ?rojects
sttOin tie ? tin 1,000 tons)
JJQUJtrii builuincs
?tublic build 1 rL ,,roleets
01.4:; Inc construction
uce coStrUCt1Ofl
bil,robe co: .-tructi on (surface ?con-
structions)
uLJercrourc conl...truc-
tion
about 150
Total: 8492
teel nfeds for 1.?.'.-roverlent and rar ork of
existilz hoildinc.-) have to br-? ,!,idded cor-
risin
bbout ?40 ercent of the. reeliirflnent s P)17 new surface
constructions., Consid erirr thE.; c.i.'are required by
the for crly occui..ied or, dein1E,tated areas the se
bt,ditional Soviet ,stsel needs ne.,.? be ecti -ated at
20 to 25 percent Thus about 1 million tons Live
to dded to the z2entioned amount Jick: "would :.ake-
bcut 10 7.1illion tons::
b, ..,lecording to the relat.i_ve i,ereentaLe fif:.ures for
1914/3 and. 19 th structurn1 Aron raeuirement s
kaaount to 2 million bnd niiiOfl tons , These
ficures confirm the r.ontioned eE.,?timates:,
In these 1nivi.Ui e.alculbtions the iron
and steel -consui..i.,tion, for the buildl, nr. industry (in-
vestment iron) can be estiqated t 2 ill ion tons for
19:18 2,4 million tons or 195O., These
consist exclusivelr of ro.,leCi Frocucts bth.ht
v-.ateriels? ,res4..;inFs,
*Iron-- and Gteel lieeuir s -nen ts-, -ror -a int enanc e of -isijd_'Ll _
_ _ .
-., nd 1 uh1 i c Uti li:Liy_ lpt talla tions anc, the ..l -a nt en ane e
___________ ..:..-_.._-----.____------
of ir(3 us try and Tr bffic
in td la tions
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Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
,
CENDIAL TNTELL1(11..,NCE AGENCY
-36-
..:1111Tte, 8rid ub1ic uti lity in tallati. ons
a The ?ro due ti on and rf,tlinteran.ce ri-lnents
keep Hnd re,-?lacer.ents) for Tinin?, and u1ic utility
in-ta3_1ations are lased on the folio in,- ectiriates?.
:iriinf
? c, CU. ?cJONT16 011 - erne n s OT .
?Ut in rt&iillon tons
1950
Hard coal
159 1.98
Coke( -3m') 0 30
hroin coal 41 52
.1-iricuettes
(34) r
lotassiura
? Ea lt s
7.14
4.5 5.a.
,-Ane ral salts
1.2 1i
Iron or es 35,0 40
1.1(..,AnganE. se
or es
3,2 3,.6
Cl.rome ores 0,12 0,1.5
Co? er or as 0 16
(c(). tent)
(44)
Lead or es
0..19
eol.t eAt )
012
0,18
_Line cies
co_ teat )
0,15
0.2.
GC:Ler ores
0:3
0.35
bauxite
0,54
0,80
ne site
0,,8 ?
1.0
Fluors,ex
and heavy
0, 5
!
ate
n;aintenane e and
re,lacen.ents in
tons er 1000 ton
outi:ut
1 6
erground rAning
0 , 9
,uriaoe mining
0,;,24-0?35
- 1 , 0
0?.6
, 9-1 .14
uditiona1 require
en t nf ir es and
I, oi s tinE cables in
k ir 1.00 ton
outfi_Lut
84-117
5-6
118-164
4.5 -65
14-3-1 70
154=168
Approved For Re1eaa20"4/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R0102002130008-4
25X1
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
25X1 61, ORE, Ti
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
-37-
1 st ,.rla t,ed Uoviet cut- uec,uirerients .67FTI-41 .".:k.(Jtionel rer.'ulre.
? -?
_
1..ut in Nilli on tons --?!:!intenance and re- en ts ',-1-'? ,?lr es and
i;la ce!:.:onts in tons I,-:i :' t i rL:' c,it le c in
1(,48 1(;50 , e r 1_000 tons oat:c..ut .k.r.',.,._,1: 1CO3 ton
1
out-ut
Cruce o 32,5
35
35 -o ? 6
ublic?
utility
talLa tions
rot?ucion -
- over in 58 82 1, 3(ir bill on
. billion kws kws )
Ca s(iri 85
billion cubic
meter 6)..
Liter
11,2 1-.5( in billion
cubic iieters)
( .1,crcrnt. to 20 ??.;er
cent of ti.e a:ounts
required for ,,m,er
nt and res orks)
(.1 IuirerLents for :qaintena.nce ani r TI,ese rou
eti.etes ,do not n:it any sk?eci fi cation ? of
ro _Lied !.6terials .f orgin6s end ressines., The stare of.
CStirjs ic .ne
lrortent sociel product
Lhiquette ant.',. co .c i..ro due ti. on (br iciuette , cokin';-!?
.Lants) :nave already been considered, in the er cc al
f:Leure
(3*
Me entire nonferrous rir, inr7 out.put is estilmted from the
ore content (1948 54 million tons
1950: 5., 45 .rrillion tons)
(1) :-,utarnarized ?esti mate of iron and steel rewuireren ts
r:aterial s, resins fore:ine's and_ slirht amounts
of oasti, s ) for production and raint enance (in full
1 OCC1 tons);
T,
0
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Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
Si!,CR:LT/
CENTRAL INTELLIGaCE AGENCY
Lard-coal :dining
hro vvn- co al taining
otasr frtinine
.,.ineral salt raining
Ion 811(1 roan( arie se ore
mini lit:
Nonfer oun tal ninc
Ct i rig
Crude-oil rod uc ti on
.28
3
42 ? 49
_12
317
36
5
16
8
350 434
ovoar plants 64
(7=d s'v,!orks 13
.aterv:orks 13
90
17
19
126
lie bulk of these rer:uiretr,ents is taken b' coal 71ininp
eower et,nerati on and iron ore fr,in irk: follow Te re-
:.)ining it eras are s:Ral 1 and will not c'-,ance much even
if the re were sizable variutions in the actual i,ro due t ion,
( 2) The folicA.inc cable reruire%,ents are hur1ea on the
basis of tie esti:oateu out,k.ut ( in 1,000 tons).
lard coal 15,9 19,8
coal
otash
i-inera 1 salt
Iron and manE.ane se or e[.',
Otter. ores
0.2 3
o,6 0-7
0.1 0.1
5-7
o,6
6:6
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY,
-39
AlthouL these items are co7%,,aratively sfqa-11 t]: e ir
zihk, re in ti..e r.:av ic t cable ,,roducti on is or c ons it") crab le
i.ort&nce
(3) Total estir.a ted steel needs :rot enanee and
relace!;ents (in 1,000 tons):
ublic iti1itie s 90
463
1(2
Iron eind steel reciuirelLent s for the ,i.aintenance of
industry and traffic installations
a,, .;61 de fro f.J? nd uh1ic utilitie s the r1:-Iinte-
nance nc re, ce-,ent rec,uir oHLen ts e tL r en:La:Ira/107 .
i.,to clue tion i--.us tries aril -3f tilk; traffic ix tali ations
(maintenance iron) take a larre sLaro in the 1 3-:?0 n and
(1) rafts coneution is ,:tai1-,ly Confined to the maintenance
?? i,aar,oses-. of the -follm.inE branches .
lronlocOducfOlc; ane netal ineustries
Iron and nletalworkinc... irdus tries
? Liu' idi n&.; nb.0 s try
? Timbcr iduutry
'tone 6 arth.ber amic and F.lass Inc ist;rI es
elle ;Ad al industry
Traffic instal tions
(2) -(;nly e$eclicible eunounts of iron end steel are required
by all remaining. Inc ustries; They are needed for finished
products air eady considered in :the consum?:, tir)n o tC
nanuf ctur inc eustr le
The 1-,,aintenanc e ane rep ice;e nt equir e nt of the
iron vroducing ,J.nd metal Indus tti es is O 1ercent- of the
-iron and steel oucti,Act The avlot fiEures therefore are
.527,030 tons for i98 and 359 ?OLT tons for 3950 .
c The :i?lainaflaflCC ? -ind reiaceer,t uitemen t s of t
he
iron and retiOrkiflp! irldustties are 5-1. of the
roouCti on The ov1et fiureS .r...,erefore, are 272C30
? torts Joy1%48 and 349 ?COO tons for 1950 -.
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
CENTR1L INTELLIGENCE ACTEMYT
-40-
c.?. The require:.e nt of - .!7.interia.Lee iron for the
.1v-Au.stry are aL.oLit 3,.3 ,perdent qi the 1,rodud tion
feyairerents? Thc.; correslionding bovie t fiE.ures are
C.0 i?000 tons for 198 and 79 ?ciao tons for -1950.,
Er, The Lf_aintenence and replacement require-cents of the
traffic in tallatioxr, such as locks ? bridges. sip3'ards
locomotive and railroad ?car sheds, safety imtallations,
reirsips and t..orkshops ? are approxinately ercent
of the 1,,roduction k:Aquirc:ments, &uperstrud ture
and rolling stock are not included in the ru__It.x.e.mcnt
needs , as they are considered in the rod= tion- es.tiate
of the industries? Thus-, Z-;oViet ,_aintenend e iron
requirenents for truiffic installations cor:ze to 36030
tons for 1948 and ..i6,000 tors for 190?
Ticrieintenande iron retluirer,ents of the Soviet
on enieal if:dus tries can be cps,..puted only by relyinc on
.CorLlen ficures, The Bizonian rf7aintenance
and r ep lace:tent contingents of the chemical ird us tries -
were 25000 tons in the ;est yeir ice the outi.ut
basic cho.!lical products,? such as su.I.Jhuric acid,?,-,oda,
caustic soda, nitrocen con;,,aunes, fertilizer, plestics?
basic dyes and soap 'rases,. of (lain i'rportande the
bovie t ficures are do;-:uted from the ratio of the 1948
bizonisproduction to th 1950 Soviet production .tari.76 s
fl the se .products:,
(1) The Bizonian 19-1.8 chemical production .as 29 percent
of the Soviet 19-50 production schcAule:, The rlaintenance
and .ruplacei:ient rcuireiients of the Soviet chemical
-industry is therefore estimated at 73?000 tons for 1948,.
879.000 tons for 1950.,
The reduir cents of thc, stne and earth Indus tries
(incIAding c:uarrie s) and of the ce-rwaid nc 1a ss industries
are co31..yuted- by the sLur.e :,-..ethod? The ratio . of the .,A_Zoni,an
1948- production to the Soviet 1950 proate tion schedule of
c-?,.,?ent,A.me-, bricks, fireproof stones and class is 0,.31 :
fi5the l'ii_ZOrii;311 1948 maintenance and replacement continents
for stones, erths, :lass and dere:Ads was 3i,000 tons.,
the -Soviet requirements can be estiNated at 86,000. tons for
194 and .3bout 100,000 tons for 1950r..
h In the food industry it is expedient to corniAlre the
'Soviet 1950 pla?-.ninkr. figures for the ?lumber and sawn-tinber
production with the corre-slondinc fipures of tie 1:.izonian
1948 outp'ut as the -sawmills derlend the larEest aribUnt of
!Taint nanee iron,, Thu ratio is 0,14 1, The Bizonian
1948 conti nt is 3000 tons ? The reriuir 'men t fi Eures for
the Soviet wood industry therefore are 20 ,000 tons for 19148
End._ 239000 tons for 1950 ? The needed amount of destines
is n.eeligible and may not be considered.
i., The total estimated requirements, for the liaintenanee and
eiice,eflt in mini nc,, and public uti i ty intsiitiOflS
L,re 880 .000 tons for 14 nd 10h3 ono tons for 1c:30,
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Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
F.
T/
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
The esti' ated iron and steel recuirements -for the
roducti on and maintenance of :-Lining bna ublic
utility installations and the ,aintenance of
industries arid traffic inctallotions ale therefore
343)000 tons for and 1,(-31 ,C)10 tons for 1.950
Annex Iron and steel requirercents listed
accordinr. to constraer rroui,s and
industries (in million tons ),.
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
"
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
CENTRAL WTELLIGENCE AGENCY
IDIL_App Steel Let-.uirekients
teci ccoruinn? to Consumer Grous and
(In %ill! on tons)
1 Finis .:in
rECT.griTi7s
. . nt
indu6 try
194-8
-
r e x (Page 1)
nd us tn. es
l95
Roiled rateni1 Cast.ips Roll.cd rla ter al C!,21ct1ni's
? 0?09
Tank industry L? 76
?a industry 0?
r:nUn1 tion
ini..istry 0,16
ai'shi building 0,21
Otur
ac, Indus try 039
ui lroak. suerstructures-
l.2
Locor.,..o ti7e nd
'railroad ez:tr
colis truot ion
icld and elant
railroad con=
strac tion
1,88
0?05
_lctoi veti leis
d UE try 1,69
con
struction 2 , 19
Cci.structiQfl of
all-. tUS boilers;,
ef,nt ral heating
teams ? yen tl-
ti ng systems
cons tr.. uetiott of
f:ttnEs
0 21
sAli?;;1` 3tiltural iron
'oducts 0.59
uf,actur ing of
? stov:.: 0 22?
0,06
012
0 fl09
0
2:86
0.7,'
003
0.23
0.O3
o,17
0.2i
0,05
0,
0,05
0
02 ?-
., 13
:1.35
0.5
2 ,96
0,8
o.06
0-02
0?93
2 . :49
1 ? ;-
o,67
2.79
94.
0..28
0,25
0, 34
0,02
0:62
0? 02
0 Oq
0 2?
0.09
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25X1
. 25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/08/15 : CIA-RDP82-00457R010200280008-4
( cop t I d of 6.:'fo 1) -
1*.cyc1e in(ins try
Other. Iron, ond
sheet-met,91 WaTe-
inoustries
tal ,ware i.:duLry
E le ctro tech n ()al
1.-;du stry
Fineliectian1c;i1 and
oical in(Als-;ry
2, Ira ustmeivt_
rnents
ur.fee End - under--
- round c6na.zucti on
cJid toe o -nakine
5. ain tena pc e resuir e
me nts
tower cu,,i,17
Iron and 'le -.,a1
jr0 (MO ti on
Iron arc. ne *;a1
'work :.ndus tries
C11(32.01ez-11 i., stry
i.r41.1st,Ty
,:Jtoneerti
lab) an u Liss
indus tr-;03 s
Buildi iliclustry
Trot fie Ln3,tai la-
ti ons
Total , 1-
-
CONFIDENTIAL
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
:;nne x (Page 2)
%Ilterial CestiELE_, Rolled mater al Cas?ILric,a
0,07
0,01
0,08
0?01
0,45 ,
01
O5
0,, 01
02
0 14
0.02
0,02
=
0,02
2,0
2 4
0 33
0,46
009
0.13
036
0.27
035
.0.07
0.09
0 02
0,02
0,09
0 .1
07
0,08
'0,04,
0. 5
it; 86
5 43
,
20,09
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tA,olt
457R010200280008-4
1'.C19
92
25X1
25X1
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