Dr. Langer, Assistant Director for National Estimates and Mr. Morell, Secretary of the Economic Intelligence Committee, 10 August 1951

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00283R000100180014-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 21, 1998
• Sequence Number: 14
• Publication Date: August 10, 1951
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Reba a 1999/09/10: CIA-RDP82-002
3,R000100180014-3
MMRM DUM OF CONVERSATION - Dr. Langer' Assistant Director for National,25X1 A9a
Estimates and 111111WIll! 111~1111111, Secretary of the
Economic Intelligence Committee, 10 August 191
In response to the questions on the terms of reference for NIE.4 0
which were raised in the last meeting of the Economic intelligence Comnittee
(See Minutes EIC 3), Dr. Langer provided the following information:
a. The submission of contributions to NI-40 can be delayed
one month. Dr. Langer will advise the IAC agencies that the new
due date is 17 November 1951..
b. Greece and Turkey are not included in the terms of referenceo
a. In regard to the extrapolation of data to 1953 and 1951.,
Dr. Langer felt that it would not be absolutely necessary to select
specific dates that would apply to all cases although it might be
useful to select certain dates as bench marks. The question really is
how long will it take the Soviets to effectively utilize the econocr
of Western Europe for wow-making purposes. Moreover it would be
useful to know what would be happening to the production of important
items during the transitional period, If Navy is unable to provide
quantitative data, then perhaps a qualitative statement would be
sufficient. He suggests that the Economic Intelligence Canznittee use
its discretion on this.
d. Dr. Langer felt that it is definitely necessary to consider
the Soviet bloc in the preparation of this paper, although ONE did
not intend that a new research effort should be made on this. Rather
it was felt that studies already available could be used. Further, it
was the intention of ONE that sections on the Soviet bloc, would not
be as detailed as those on Western Europe, but vo uld be used more as
a guide to the subjects that should be covered in the study of Western
Europe. He felt that the inclusion of the Soviet bloc is necessary
if we are to determine the value.of Western Europe to the Soviet bloc.
e. In regard to the request for production data for World War II
he judged that it would be useful to know what the Germans accomplished
with the Western European economies during the last war even though
the situation then is obviously not comparable in many ways with the
situation assumed for NIE4Q. Dr. Langer did not feel, ho ever, that
it would be necessary for Navy to supply quantitative data on this.
Again he expressed the view that this is a matter that should be left
to the discretion of the Economic Intelligence Committee. He suggested
that perhaps a qualitative statement from Navy on this topic might be
sufficient,
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Approved For Release 1999~,a- tv.e ?it.-RDP82-00283R000100180014-3