POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS AND WAR PREPAREDNESS IN THE USSR; TITO AND THE COMINFORM

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00039R000100060080-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 32
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 4, 2012
• Sequence Number: 80
• Publication Date: October 4, 1948
• Content Type: REPORT

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STAT
?QLTTICAI, U VKLUPl4~NT8 ANT) WAK PB PAR 'URP88 IN T$E U88;
TITU M I t T1it; uUMINl~'UlcM
Zl, Internal 1o1ittci4 8ttw tton in the USSR
a. The followtn' report ie dated I October 19e8'
Polittoal ltfe to P4QSOOw hoe entered its second phsse, the phaee
of the ?Qcr~l1 ?d iron mlan falotov,
dttLlin hna turned over &) p~rc~nt of hie work to Molotov, who is
outhortsnd to n~.tke his own decisions. Thus far it has been r~ry diffi~
cult to deter'tn~n w1?t Molotov to thtnktn;.
"hditnoy was Molotov'n victim, ~1o1ot av nand Rnnkoviors hcn,)irnn fox'
the purpose. -lie did not die, ns world opintoa b+elteres, but wne liqut-
dated. Obviously, world opinlors must not be 411ovAd to ftnt t* out.
At present 11o1ott,v is the absolute tnreter of ~4oscow. Do not be
surprtnect if you hear eome day tMt 'tnlin has used of the sairae tUnras
as ?,hdenov.
Auer thw death of Zhd:taov, it was believed in Moscow thet there
was only one hand rtron; enough to restore order among, the satellite
states, the hand of Marshal ~'eodorovioh-Kuaaryev (Tito). )'ailing this,
the situation in the satellite states of the pastern bloc is regarded
h.'re ttU critical.
The so-oilled Ttto-Com1nform rift is still fxPotly s reported pre-
viously. It ie n trerae+ndous take. A detailed report on it will be for-
warded after Y hear the results of the conference now beans held at Yrtlts.
Appar~nt1y Ana Pauker will b.' re1Rgatnd to a back acad. It is not
inapoesib1e that the attitude toward Rs-nkovto will be changed, All this
will be known in R few days.
Mosoowrar relations toward Yagoelavia have not changed a bit. Molotov
does not regard Kumaryev as a rfval or an enemy-on the contrary.
At preer+nt the reorganisation of thA divistona is near completion. It
is senera~ly believed to be based upon joint planning.
Reasonable chingcs viii be made in the Yugoslav combat operation plan.
The frontal character of the campaign will be changed to guerrilla war*
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fears. The Army is also being prepared for thte purpoee.
Tha aovtet military r~taston to Yupoalavtn has b.- n removed and
offtcf zn.J o 1o! t? ?xtsts: Aotaltly It t etran(AT thltn ever beforet
b, The fotluarinr report !s dated 1 Oatober 1Q4A,
The conference at Yttata in th#' Crlm~en wits he'id in Stsitn'e vtlia.
3tft1tn, l401r)toy, rand sevsrni other mombers of the Politburo attended it in
porean. My ronroe reports
"& firtq,nd of mini who wao resent ;it th' oonfr~rence told me tha
foll)wtn~l
a. It wits lannoanc+~d to th~- repreaantattves of the satellito
st*tes thl~t G4r lNnkov wr.S the ouocr+awor of Zhtlnnov, PleLN.~P+ not; thRt
Ma1en3cov is still nwrr+ of in extremist than Zhdanov was. He is of thr
~wn0 group r~s Yyshinekiy, Rokossovakt~y, Y,or~ev, Bulgantn, atc.
b. The queatin of I!nrahal ?nodoroviah (Tito) wue disouisnd.
The opointc7n+nt ot Hnlt+nkov to haa4 thn Conk inform rrovoknd ?eoctoroviob' e
opnosittort. she nroolatmed full iolidnrity with Stolin, I:olotov, rind they
Rueetz n people, but refueM to carry out l~atnnkov~ s orders under any
clrcumetr~ncoe, becnuso M1Anlcov elr ima the Ruerinns ire eupnrior to the
Yu ;oe1ave in rn~ntklity, maninrs and custome, historical tradition, n,nd
etandArde of living. Tito aekr t thr4rn to blear this in mind and not ask
hira to (L&mit ituestan superiority, which would be intolerable.
4ottwald exprwased the same opinion. Rnkost 4etnrtndc'A thft
the current prime minister be removed, as hA foro~d Rikosi to oarry out
the dalnanda of the supreme lettt,rshtp. Tina. Paukrr, in the etun spirit,
demanded the removal of hvr own minister president Lpr1me minister??'
. "My friend tells me that this aonf.renae was actually a
quarrel, and that it wts evident to Stalin that there were many rifts
in the bloc. At one time Stalin ehoutcd angrily, 'If yon don't settle your
differences pretty soon, I shall be foroed to take, over your torritorioa
(meaning the noutheastern stater) by force and, restore order'. Molotov
said, 'Stop your insults right away. Put your own houan in order before
you complain about somebody else!-
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"I shish forward further drtai1a late'r, ?sy frt~r d left
this cQAfsrsnoi feeiia extremely pessituistto. Hr said, 'Considering
what I have sears and haard, it is my opirnion that 2A Septernber 194P is
the St to Ind of ~:t3 ? s M __ r? `` - t --
i Tip rni4 Nt~ru4itiOq tp thA
?astarn bloc, I swear that wA ehoulrt ba listanini at this moment to
the' engirnes of AMArioan bombers over our )Rs. I should not wnstn a
dray, not sn hoar, in dolnp so, This !s the first; and maybi the last,
lost br~ttla in the Commttnist union, L
??J Thee sff.rts of the Crtmenn oonferenc? o,rs evident alri?dyThs first result was Molotoves ordsr to 'Doevta to foray at ovs nnae+l
NA ordsred him to
snt it up In P1onte'negro ant to conrtuot a rn,mne-i n agnir~st N'hodorovioh
(Tito). In my opinion, this will lull thn west ngaln, and it will not
succeed in Erasptn ldolotov's intenttons. J[Text does not indicate
wheth,r this paragraph is n oomrnent by the writer of the text or by hie
imrlediate soaraeJ.
This is the moat tmryortant news from the Cri,nenn conference, t shall
send more inter,
C. The following report is dated 1 November 194P,
NAw Cours. of Soviet Policy
Since the Crimenr- conference nt Yeita in September, great and
interesting chnngss have been mncte in the attttude of the ?olitburo.
As already report*d, this meeting ehowM Staitn uneguivocr.~lly
that the lastern bloc wns not only sahakirig but vas erackin, more and more,
Both Stalin and Molotov took some rather hard blows from the eo*called
extremist group, which was heAded by Zhda,nov, who was the president of
the Young Russian organisation, and later by his successor ldnlenkov,
After their return from thin conference, Stalin and Molotov had
a number of diaoussions on the subjict. They knew the exact bitu.ation
within the ~aste+rn bloc and had the latest reports on the world sitnn tion,
as received from abuts in the West.
't'hey both agreed that the idea of foin~ to wrr noaordtng to
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Zhdanov's reCArllndMf4tions was utopian. That wa.e why -drtno? had to dtr,
Ualenkov, who held exactly the rsane opinion as ?,hoanov, mist restrain
himsslf, Tots would not be dttftcuit to arranpe, as Malenkov knows
"wb7 Md how Zhdanov died," It will be deotded later whether to usr
h!t in oun!e other arQn, Te old man (is,ta1tn) acted very wtsely,
rnd Molotov no idea so. Thotr advantaa lies in pushing the yoan
Rusltans, who sire nuw to the minority In the Polttburo, and 4 gtvii an
enttrely new dtrooti?~n to overMf poltoy aiong th.' itnsa of the ussIin
peop1s, 2Jo1shevism, and CoMtaunisra. Thin aay broughly mxpl,atned as followsi
Russia part the Russian rsa?~le+ are territorinl conoepts, They
hsva their own Itfe, their own needs, find their own policy, Their poltoy
is oonduote1 by -1alotov.
8oishevtsm is n aonorpt bniongtni- sxolusively to the Russian
people, Aa such, it her nothing in common with th' neat of the vorld.
Com nurzi sin is the rent heart of l4oi ahevi sm. It Is on Russian
terrttory by aocid.nt, and has nothing in oon on with the policy of the
Russian people, and thernfore with the policy of Molotov, who represents
the policy of the Russian people.
Thus, Communism ila an export of Bolshevism. It has no
offieiril Connections with the Russian people or with Russia as a country.
Actually, this export viii work for the Russians ?- as lone ne Russia
and the Itosrian people
r_eseive polio, ,and do nob ~e
a' aor~ or oonnu!!. This export, which has already flooded
the intellpctunl market of all Asia and most of Furo?e, conducts and will
conttnue to conduot ito own separates poiioyr`
The~tofowing npeoifio examnlee indicate futures tendntnoies
of Russian iiM of Coriiuniat policy:
Connnunism already holds )orept the days of China are ntuabered,
and the Us will never be 3bls to save anything there, Malaya, Indochina,
and Burma are about 70 percent ready. Communism will soon have India,
also. Continental Asia is already about 60 psroent Communist. Communism
will bs:ve little difficulty in moving on to Africa, where the aped mu
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a1r*d7 been sown and the orop wtll be bisrveetad b,fore the US is aware
of it. After that Pereia, Syria, and Tarkey viii otter no problee.
mauve has taken over the role or genes, 'hut Cva~uwtiw fps shown it:
etrendth in lranoe as never before, and the Red Army is now, to all
intente and purpoe s, in the P7reaees. Mo oountry is doing Communiem
greater service Ihaa 1ronoe to doing. Sere Communism has shown, arond
other thtnde, how the Nsrsh*il plan is betn~ kept, as every sent bas
beiu .mk to the nines and not a cent has ,done where it was tnteM.&
Paulus and S4dltte have Aow takan over the 19 role of )iarberd. This
will provide the most etriktn~ example of the alastioity of Co nnmiet
poltoy. The Germans thsaeelves 'iii solve the problem of 3erlin What
will be r&id when the Germans set tp th.tr own ~ovarnment and call the
4eraau people to nit.? Row will the Ger*en peopl. react when that hear
Mho rotoee of their densra1e end politioians from thts jthe ?*steri7 side
of the Abet tot the Germans this will nsan thr~ establishment of order,
vork, profit, and nniaterr*pted uusement. Alter that, will the 0eruns
ark vhelher it was Comamunist or capitalist? Trance date oulture to rope
rnd the world, trance will diva it to Aria. The next best collaborators
with Coamuni sm are the Jews. Thanks to them and the french, C ossuat sM
will be able to carry out all its plans without a single bed Army r-n
killed, without a single Soviet that fired. Officially the USSR will be
an observer, but at the end the 3asrian people will gather their harvest.
Votil them Molotov's problem it to prevent the USSR and the
3ussian people, with all the resoaroes of his well known ability, from
being drawn into war{ and on the other hand, to foster the export of
Communtea, unoffieiall)r but by every mains in his power. It would be
oatastraphio for the UBSI to be drawn into war by 1950.
22. Soviet Political and Military Intentions.
The follovi report is dated 15 Wovember 1948.
Aoviet polio)' and politioal Mttchinatio*s can never be understood. with-
out the realisation that Soviet tdeolop7 bad polio) are based apon and
inspired by Aete do sp ettotra. Unfort*nately, it )ends to the phtlosaph7
or rape supsrlorit7, of the Asiatic or rather of the yellow race. This
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mud be PVevent.d at air coat, or oivilisa.tian will r-,4,e
rar Soviet roItew eotiAthir~g y be ea11ed wh,te today wrd black
o'n~rror, The eno 1a what mattars, the means not at eli.
Thus some time to th. chief objeotive of Soviet polio for 194R49
war !.d'Qpe, as I reportr~d to 70L Nowevdr, beaauae at US errors in Chian,
the Sovir+te, who ara vwroatila, wi1~. a"ploit thc+aa nact u~,~.. ores
o~+nter _ot ~raylt~7 in $is, hlr o~rbainlr doee qot $U% that trope is
no lon,Cer of interest, On the aontrery. Rowavnr, thexeoution of th~r
Antoniye~ pit is enuring its tialal straw, and thi other day ? persoa-
.sily heexd Antoniyev *Ay, 00n 25 sovember I shall be r.ady". (See the
play I have Rent yoa)
Se Soviets tntend, a~ssumtzzp that thei eituation eves not ehenge, to
tq*Qi is Asta eelnit guroue by 1950. T'he yellow peril is now more irar meet
then ever before in the histor~r of eanklad, In China we 8oviete have
stuck a dagger in Uncle Sam's very heart, and we ezpeot Chiang Xa1.Shek
to fail before 1949, The Canton Qroap is now reorgentsing very rapidly
cnnd to b~-ing equipped with tha roost modern area and with the largest
transport end other atrora-ft that the t1SSR has at its disposal. The
banohurian Group, as you know, to advanoing.
Accorrting to the plan, by this time next year the Red Arms will be
inora&aed by several hundreds of yep. t_.4 .v p . 'heir wepona rare
being forged day and uiht. The peasants tearable but cork. he death
of a few million soldiers is no problem for the Soviets, There is no
sentimentality over people from the '7e11,0w reservoir".
In the West they say that the USA'! yes trietorioge in the zest war be?
oI-use df liber?l American aid in respeot to war materie,is, 60 percent of
vhlab the US sgpplie& This ie quite true, bat what is not known is
that of this 60 percent the USSS used only 20 peraent against Oerrnanr, while
the other 110 perceit is
At present z~,ooo 0hrra~, engineers cad teehaiaians and, 48 million worker.
are at work on armaments in various soviet industrial centers. Their live
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io muoh greiter luxury than }{ttler could ever protntsa them, much lows
offer. Do not doubt th8t they have b*en able to produoA, under poltoe
pressure,
The U MR oee not h m the atotnic bomb, but is we11 on the way
toward hriring tt, probably In i coupia o*' zonthe. The U~3R wtil have
a-tomio bombe, anrt in mt ch greater numbers than the US. Amerteans say,
in the press and elsewhere, that the U8 to short of unntur. What a
mtetakel
You ask what th? Rasstan people er~y rind think, ?o you Russia and the
Busstan people arN rverythtng you see on the map 1abe11sd USSR. To sae
this I. Asia, and Ruasta ie merely the saa11 part in your direotton.
This will clarity air answer,
~o livtn: orAature could tell on what Aria and the Asiatics think.
But no one asks or ever viii ask them what they think.
xe for the Russian people proper, to speak .nttrely obJsotivsly, at
least 82 percent of thorn expeot war and desire it with all their hearts,
for in war they see thatr rebirth and reaone from the olub of the police,
Western philosophers cannot discover the secrets of Pastern philosophers.
Too ask whether we have infiltrated into Palestine. As Russta we
have nob1 as the Coimunisl Party we have.
About 220 to 250 airoraft fly to Palestine every day from various
directions at high altitudes= carrytng arms, arateriel, and persor-nel.
Their starting point is Csechoslovakia. They all come from the Comtnfora.
According to offioial fi uree which I saw a few days ago, the aaaeees in
Palestine are estimated as 62 percent Communist. The ftaures for the
Any are similar. In general, the Jere perform unbelievable services for
the URBR and the Co~auatst Partyr all over the world.
The ?leottoA of Trwnsn appeared to surprise 'ou. Not us. We must
choose the lesser of two evils. !organ bas done us exceptional services.
This victory cost ue a good deal-ten dollars per vote, no small a a tter.
Bat we believe th't Aaerioans can be borsht for any purpose.
Y'ranae ie flonnderin$. !ere we bare best proved our strength
ne Gaulle is our pneey No 1. We shall prevent his takin4c over tbe~ govern-
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eiz t it L ;y ocnt. Je ' thin wall in mlq~i,
i r++eT:O t;i~~ ~;tu ie entirely uo uho ntds
t the UdUt,
by a tollowing repurt iu d*tod 17 i)eoe: '
Mbar l9A,
1, The other du;( pp$oinl iuatrnuttonM were
luow,d to t4iIoyen Hof
thA OOt1t11"Art~) to aOtlWk the I41I'1~L11 l'1*u~
In Iotsly ohrau~~s 'rogli,loj.
Togliuttt 1u r~~~dy unit N~-llMur,fled fu,r thi a a1 owu bi an. ~vea oud,yr
he ie ebili reoelrin~ a4r42U ~ntt afflmtUUton from t'turahgl Ti tu, All the
F~
motives end d*fiole>>oiep of Thoree 1r ooa;aeo iu
0 n wl tt the latent hapett-
tle in r.'~noe were well ptudied~ r~ouk fur tttie ai tw~tiua in rely to
ddvelup 4Luit~ (Uff.r%). tly. (Tollt3tti will '#
urk w! bit bombs ',nd in rope
p14ae~4 w1h ega, while fliorbe throw etoae
2, ;tt tei 1aet moot!; of he Ca,aintox~a
, which ~waa Meld at 9inaia
near Bachareat), It was daoided to *ti' ptp trouble Ifl Italy around C.hrlpt?
map Inc! Ne'!"ere. Y hAYe not learned the exact details. thor~e dl;rordere
were to begin in Northern Italy,
3. The ateps taken by the uS !n China hove
oauaed a certain
anoint of ~nppreheneioa hare. Yaktn is the oe
n0er of attentioq. Althoq~rh
it i" believed here that the pree?nt Chlnore
aapire will beoo,n? the Vaion
of Soviet Chinese Ropabl,ide within 3 months, eooh a rapid developaaent of
errenta ie qut deairRd? The area is huge. It is no easy matter to orgenixe
this wildernere. W. shall not be able to 00
pquer evc+rythin~ po aa-eily,
To prevrrnti tho pane thins from baps?ni to
us as happened to Napolaop and
Bitter here is tae#ia, it wan de-oided to di
vent Uncle Saga attention to
a point that would be pa,rtioular~- eoasitltre for
him >I i~nd for the Brltiah.
Theret'or. Martha/ KuturoY was tuetrna ted, to "r
awe the middle )apt',
Aa thia is a serious measure, it is believe Q hire that it 1":uEupotr 'e
aotioa dovelopa into wax, it will not be reutric
ted to that aeotor, the
USSR ip belxey,d to bo abeolate matter of the
+ai$uaCion is the ~siddXa
Marital J *itusor~p arm~- nuarsberQ about a miUioa w ?
ell equipped Oroapp, r
have a1raady forwarded the axaot figures,
In Chia oonnectioA, preaaare will be ut a
p pot Tuarke~r, , which t.r- 11R
imends to annex ,
4+ After he r.taa'aep from Perl,a, Vreh
inejy is to test with Marshal
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Tito or Ujilae.
5. we have expeo ted that one dear the 11 would halt d.liveri.a
to ue. That char ii now hare. Dot the new route for Thee. deliveries
now paeeee through belgrade. This will Nike th. Tito?CoriAfora "dtssp.e-
ment* alearer to you.
6. we hav. * report that O.*.ral de OAuU i is malcin a treats
with h'mi*QL We do not quite und.rstand this current withdrawal of do
4aul1e into the baokdround. The other dear our 'ente sere ordered to find
out about this from both sides and to aeo.r tai a The exact e i tt~atton.
2. The Politburo
&. The following rrport ie dated 1 Jul? 1948.
The Situation in the Politburo
The Politburo I. in an uproar. I was obliged to join Zhdanov's
`soup, to prevent the .awe thins from hnppentn~ to me that happened to
Oros~rko. We know how everytbipid turns out in our cirols M anyone who
does not join Zbdsnov'e drop 1. bound to disappear, and in shat a
fashion! we`re just vattin for something to burst.
Since Zhdanov took the initiattve into his own hands and won
Stalin over, there has been a purge of all those who did not breathe the
breath of Zhdanor. To oarr>r out his plans, he must have people on whom
he can depead. Often I am unable to understand these ontbursts and do
not see whys they' occurred. Our failure is certain. Here are a few ex
upleei
within ten ds s 132 civil servants, all of the rank of
dtreotors, wire dismissed from positions of leadotship.
The new decree on the appointment of aew Commanders vu to
r( ,)
have been signed *rMear, but, altho*jh everything is ready, this still
has pot taken place, for fhdanov had its finder in the pie.
I had oocasion to talk with Y shinekiy on foreign policy. Be did
not see how the new course of foreign p01107 would agree with -4olotov~s
action in the post.
1Uuring the last eesnion dtn-lin spoke with incredibleahuuiaea in
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favor of Zhdanov'e poltoy. Ne to b.Qoainj aorw tnt?rested in tt all
Mere a'?ni us Lis the tYs9R a good mrny are oonvtnoe-d that the 1 S
has becane dtsoouragM and is trying to make i deal with Molotov, end
that ptgl has been peshed forwsrd for the purpose of offering some propo?
eition. In my optntoa, you In the Weet don't know what you wnnt, bat
don't forget hat ZMauov known very veil what he waste.
b. Thi totiowing report is doted 1 Au~at 1948
The Narrower possibly innerJ Coaunail , iot ldentifie of the
Politburo ooaststs of 13 aembera, Stelin, Xt anovtc, Zbdinov, Molotov,
IL. Atnrgev, Mtkoyen, Y $ilys', Bi1geuin, Katrsov, Narlov, l4 ~1Mnkov, and
two others.
- to ..
the t 5O1
ua that oac~seion ?Menov sitU, le*ong other thtns a, that if rverybody
supported the work he had begun, hs wee sure that by x November 194P,
the deedltne for everything to be to reedtnesa for ua offensive, sU the
aeoess*ry preparattoas provtdsd by the plan world be oompleted. Me setd
that there propar~attons would mbeolately wtrentee svooess. Ms satd that
his talk wee to "oala" trenoe and Italy, whore, he said, a su prlss was in
shore for the U9. As for f'rn-noe 4 nd itnly, he ssabastied th*t the
CoaauAtst Party there Is now reorgantwiru* for oooparwtton With persahotiets
(as provided by thr Antonyev plan). These parties here been esstgned to
prepare the crowd in the predetermined looelttles es well es arses for
perechnte landings by the above doe-dline, by providing food and hiding
urns and aaumunitton, which is already being sent to small gtusntttt$M
(tie. hundreds of tons). Ph. infiltrstioa of arms end .mrnmtttons is
handled chiefly through Tito, and also to some extent by soviet foret,
trade. Comrtmeroial trensportetion attendants turn over the proper packages
to trustworthy workers In the various stations ur ports who have been
assigned to that partionlar task. Minister of Trade Andreyev reported.
that he has sueoeeded in iuftltrattng 1are gaantitiee in this manner.
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?be fexlowiM report is dated 1~ Sepl.sber i$~
ft. Conflict Jstwoen the Cosinfora atM Yugoslavia.
The ooi that doe. nab iavolre !tb., or dovtet Marshal Ivan feodoro.
vioh'Rwnar7+v, Which is hts renears, but rather the Yv~oslav ohnt vtntoto
Rankovio, DJilas, dAtj, and others.
"' The coztlict aro#e over ao~nper, The USSR doer not hate enough copper
to batld eleotrtoal egyipment In Itursk f!rkut,)clJ, so ooppsr waa iaporled
from Ya.goslavla on a barter basis, Rawerrer, the UIU c~oald rot meet !tie
oblignttons and pay for the !sported ooppor, as the kxivoi Rog and Donau
baoino vere produetni below thslr novas as s result of sabotage. Copper
worth seierni tsar of million* of dollars way rsoeived from Yagoslnvia, and
the UIwas supposed to 'p* for it by sending heavy error to Tu osl&vin,
but this ryas done only to a ]tented extent.
Consequently, the chanriniste exerted pressure on Tito to halt the shipi
sent to the USSR of aoprer, thalliua, r-uud other materials for the Soviet
electrical industry,
It rhouid be obvtoue to you that thts gneetion should not have
been tossed into the field of int.rnationa-1 diploraor, but it ve-s laid
before the Coeinfore. The taek of bringing up the queetion,7 wens aeeigned
to Ann packer, While Tito had to plat the role of the persecuted vtctia,
which he to doing very well.
The hoar is not tir off when the poppet Josip Rroo~Ttto Will be
buried and the Yudo.lav Cosmnnist chauvinist. put in his place by the
international fighters and. the dottnt "teehnical espArte". ?Manor and
Xwiar~r~v do not keep internation~l bripadee in Yi poslavin~ for nothing. You
viii be able to oonfirm thie soon,
Although Reria weeps for Rankovte, whom he regards as an excellent
organiser and Whom he woube v~rr glad to hive *s a coileage in the
UTD, Rhdnrov to inexorable. Re viii soon liquidate Rnnkovic, to avenge
himself on nil Serbs, sham he regards as the greste~!jhanvinists, stubborn
and baughtr reactionaries, and eaemi es
The other R&;ikan dissident is otargiy Dinitrov, !iq personal isipres?
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sion is that he is wiser thraa "hdanov, at. he kdeps qutat, uses omutioae
taoioi-, rid does not attack Tito.
Oottwald and Rakosi are also iu di sfmvor with Zhdanov, buthey
will not be so ror ton, It will r:ot kelp them now to onil on Tito. Pnver
Hoxha is not in the least interesting. H. is a pup st, just as l'ito h*e
been thus tar. Re obediently arrrierr out the orders of Soviet Adiiral
y7odorovtch, whose het'udqunrt"rs are at iudva.
):vents in the Ralknns will bra !ranch t,lrarer to yon when you heir that
Mhrshal Iran'r+odororiGh.Kumaryev (know as Ti toy has hrd two maat! n,'s a! th
Sttiltn rind six with owr~eral Antoniyev since Yugoslnvta ws sxoealed from
the Contforaa. H. met Oenerai Antoniyev on certain isl~nde in uflmati*.
I hnvn bNnrn ruble to asoertain that umnryev and Antoniyev rtincussed a nla
n
of oprrttiona, about whtoh I ixpaot to by able to supply more details later
.
My impression is that Tito will return to hin old job in the USSR
soon, under hio real name, Marsha] of the Soviet Union Ivan Feodororiob.
Kumaryev.
Mteoellnneoua Notes
a). Increaaiq~ly strong mtunifestatioris of national ohauvjnjsri are being
felt in the countries of the Eastern bloc. This is worrying the Politburo.
The situation is difuioult, A radios]. pure is being planned for all the
countries, as you will soon be able to confirm, The only one who now
enjoys the oonfid.aae of the Cominform is Ana Pauker.
The Politburo oonsidere that it should first "restore order" in the
states of the pastern bloc and etren~then its position there. Molotov will
have to find a new "sufficient reason" for them for his speeches, Perhaps
it will be poeaibir. even to relax a little, so that the shaken situation
in the 3alkans and Central Europe may improve,
:t7 b. The 1oviet garrisons abroad, except in Derma and Austria, are to
be increased within a few days, solely for reasons of oaution and increased
seouri ty.
c. The political center of gravity may be expeoted to shift to
the Neer and. &r Just. Meanwhile oautious attempts Will be made to settle
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matters in Europe. At preeant the ahief probl.enn iN Ttto-Rakosi'Cottwatd.
d. The only point of whiah I ami certain is kutasov's sphere of E otion.
All the rest ti un4e0tO(t,
,I ?. E'soontly t1,n a raatest nttentton han boon dRvr~ted to the TJ .. t9 Hnti-
'iraruft 41 fI-nae, Proteattvn w~kpona are bpin n~rfAated. Air defense
maneuvers are takinf pl.aoe irl thr? vicinity of Gorki. Thsreutest problem
tur '3ovtet cle$i,!nrra- tie the aeil.ifV, present-~lny soviet fi htArs c*nnat
fly ut altitudes abve 12,CFO metors.
. ) f. I n ~'rf~nce the ~I tuntt on t ~ wr than to I tuiy, Th. re are Miu y
Rursiaas in'rancn, who, accrdtn to the tnrtrwOtion$ tMny hrhve`eoatv!ed,
will try to prev+nt any ktntl of coopE-rt tton or gw resment with the Anelo"
ANnrtoans. 'rhoren to not the only one' can our (t. the sovietJ side$ ao
are canny of blum'e faottcn, ~xnd m himself to lennin ; our Mere ['in
the us7 aviet success in 'note and the defeat of thc+ Vatican croup and
of the (aiUlliet$ are repardAd as anrtnin.
Clerrrlont-?errand is handing over a lot of armn nn1 ncamanttiou, and
Qerpignnn hne a lot of cliffs. Ti to ' s threesome, ?ilLrkovic, Sic, and
Rucnicev, know exactly what is in those cliffs nrtd where, anti they Mri1l very
wtoply 1 tv(l it to Torrs and hie mc?n who ;ever they need it.
:/) g, Officially thorn are P10,000 Carman prisoners of war in the USSR.
Since 194 the nnmber of Soviet citizens who npdnk Oerml n, not
oountin Volga Germans, has rieen to 2,25O,O O. This ie the best evidence
ae to who frameo- Soviet preparattons intellectually and. tvchnicai17.
Rutxow,
h7 h. The headquarters of a new Sovic+t nrrnored avmy is located at
30 kilometers south of Rostik. The array h~.a eix divisions of the most
modern type. Not tall tb. amts are at full strength, but they will be noon.
24, The NICYD.
c n.
1~The following report is dated 1~ Ju1y 1948.
Spsoial NKVD detachments have been formed by the NKVD Command, for iranoe
l ta1y, Benelux, the Rohr, and Austria.
The following report ig dated 15 Aupuat 1948
b.) The NXVD School in Sn-ratov.
The well-known scKool for NKVD meats in 8aratov, whioh is offtoialiy
Maori in the USSR es the Faculty of Jurisprudence, completed a course for
-13
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UDIA ins$rucbors ti few days ego,
exec1a
Zhdisnov and Berta personal ty attendad the com,encera
AntYAtethe
school, both of them oo,Ak:ended tts oiaes and cl~l earlier classes of UAA
a?:ents wl,o raduated t'o-n this school, potntin~! out that the;, have shown
exoeptiornal merit both in school and in their work,
At bh. rxercises B~r't particularly pruiee1 the UDb ohtet, Aleksandn-r
J t&nkovia, ne "v+'ry c'ab1&, rind ce in ooune respects $upertor to himself.
25, War Industry
a, The situation in industrial Centers
On 31 July 194P a report was r,rrsont++d to th.b Politburo on the
industrial putnntte1ttiee of various basins end tndustrla1 i-reas, It
repreesnted the situntion ae followst MnP,nito orek-Chelyabinsk, 102 percent
- -.1,.
of the pl,nn fulfiilAd; posovilirs)c, 101 percent; Itursk, 67 peroent Xrlvoi
f
off, g6 peroent; Donets, P2 percent; Stalin rad, 71 peroent; KasKkhst.n101 percent; Moscow, 103 prrar,nt; Lenin~rn,d, 9P percent; Kokand Basin (Pamir)
1()r) percent, Production was broken down aor,ordin to branoh.+e of industry
b1$ to11ows~ Iron industry, 97 peroent of the plan fulfilled; petroleum,
6P percent; precision machinery and instruments, 74 peroent= textiles, 61
percent; glass, 100 peroent; ahernical industry, 90 percent= electrical
technology, 100 percent; armaeents industry, 99 percent; airore-ft production,
100 percent; tank production, 92 percent; tractor production, 34 percent;
agricultural machinery, 4P percent; railroads andrig7 transportation,
78 per; foodstuffs, 102 percent,
After the report was read, members of the Politburo began to express
doubts as to its accuracy, Actually, they had suspected for some time that
the monthly reports were not realistic and that the adminietratlons had a
tendency to ascribe high percentages to all their enterprises, On this
ocoaeion Genera, Antoniye, charged that the reports had been padded. He
quoted a report to the effect that 8,~-00 rocket aircraft had been built,
a figure he considered absolutely falee and impossible, Consequently he
had undertaken an inquiry on his own account and diecov.red that about
4,no rocket aircraft had been built thus far, xn closing he deolared that
. 14 .r
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`,4,.'tri,.,i,.
he believed oat' those reports to be aoouvate which rsfaz to, factories
ftnd the pr?1otio4 yf amrnu~ttion. Re said herd were p1.nty of thaw
fit is not ciear wh~the+r anteoedant ii reports or faa torie .
As reaul t of thAse do% bts, the Poii tburo issued nn order assigf?
tnt; experts to go to the spot to ttnd out the real eituation.
ixperts have .xamtned the induetrtf i centers of Magnttogorik,
Novostbtrsk, Krasnoyarsk, Abalcnnsk, and the Urals. They have established
thft beoause of shorte ;es of teohntoai equipml.'nt and unsatisfactory Bondi'.
tians, indivtdu*1 branohos of induotry are ff behind the plannsd goals,
that the monthly reports of the various ndministratione wore unrealistic,
snd thst in some of them the sttuatton w-is rsprrwentRd as 10, 15. or 20
peroent better thar- It rn& 11y was.
As it result of this inquiry, nine b' to directors r.nd. 29 engineers
and officials were 4ismissed and arrested for sabotage. In addition, eight
epeoialtsts in the plutonium bomb laboratory in Novosibirsk Teri arrested
for Sabo tr~ge.
The above report is dated 15 Sr?ptembr~r 1948.
b. 'ht fol] owing report is dated 1~ Janaary 1949.
Thy threshing maohin~ r-nd tractor factory in )harkov Ins ?,0n0
'.rorkera who work on three shifts. It has a monthly oapeoity of 120 Stalinats
tractors with 120-horsepower Pnp;ines. The "9 Oktyabr" faotorY, also nt
Khserkov, is much larger than the other. It manuf*Cture$ heavy tractors
and other agrioultural machinery. It rmployr 10,000 workers. Its director
is tt Jew, Captain Amsiger.
c, The following report is dated 1 Deoenber 1947 L;17.
,
Factory in the Urals maktn, secret "superptsere".
This factory consists of two parts, one in the otty of Ural,
rtght at the foot of the+ Ural Mountotne, the other a 2.da7 automobile ride
northeast of the cttr of Oask in the direction of Stbireka Taiga.
Part of the complex of fnctorter and workshops is built underground
and the remainder is camouf1eed with forest. four German engineers,
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Lettaer (born at Lindau), 8$he (born t Rnmburg?9u4ati) , and two others
vhose names are unknown, are iq ohnrge of the work there,
9peoifioation, of the superpansort weight f32 tone; matevi4 , chrome
steel 28; anuirnum speed, 5 kllometere per hour, octlibar of the main cun,
17 oentimeteri; armors. body, rninforoed concrete, ohrome stesl 28, which
thus tar has stwoesaf'ut~y resisted any airoratt bomb (has been testsd at
Debrec?n and l'udapast) t armam,nt of the revolving turret, A,8oentila~eter
"8kod&i.pak" fnuiub~r not indlpate 7t tank crew, eight; 2 sendi snd reouiv
ins: radios; aY)eotal armament. St1elin flame thrower vith A range of up to
70 meters; vulnerable point of thn tank, on th. rtpht front of the r~volri
cupole-, r&t the point where all the welded seams join,
The auv~rpnnsere are made aocordin,pc to plrtna diaeover.d while
Hitler wr~e stilt in rower in the Styr tank factory known nu the Nibs/ en
Werke, Apparently they rosulted from the weal-known experimnnte of 9*7newioe
who worked tot the Germans designing German banks of this typs, The Soviets
found these p1an? when they entu!red the Steyr factory, the underground
seotione of which are oirailur to those of the factory in 7udenburg, The
plane have been revised, and the superpansers are now being manufactured
acoording to new priuoiples.
The eo'-called "Walswerke" (rolling; mills) for armor plate are located
in the Clruls, and the assembly seotionsare nt Taiga. About six million
i iil prisoners and German prisoners of war work there
, in addition to
r~-gninr workers,
26, Transportation
The following report is dated 1 November 1948,
The Baku.Moseov }tighw*y
This highways, now under construction, hAS two lanes, eaoh 8. meters
wide. It is being built on the' basis of expertenoe acquired by German
engineers and construction workers while building German highwbye,
Aooordinc to the plan, this highway is to be completed by Ootober
1949.
The highway was designed and is being built by German engineers,
~16w
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. p.oisllats on thlu type of road, who were prison.rA of war
or
were in the 8ovtet none of aexmany. The labor force consist. to h
t e main
of Q~rman priuonere of war ir~d 3;usstan oiviltans seftenaed to Earned labor.
27? Nisaell~n.oue
1, ' hA fof lowlne report ii dated 1 1'abruary 194$,
Stalin' Illness
Professor Dr, Berv~n, ti 3wedi.h canaar epeoialist, was Called a
nd
token to P4ouaow by special pine.fter a long int.rval of stie
nom i t
was reported that the )~ttAnt was a Soviet general frum 3ta11njrn4, Actual
1Y +
Dr, Berven cid o to thn Kr.nilin, but not for taiin or nn e
y ~ n~rral, Re
wee oa! lsd to attend .3tr*itnls Chi.f aounoellor, the h1onpo1 t hi Ten?Ch
u,
who i0 sufrsrtrp from oancer at the stomach. I have sent c~u r~
yaorta oon-
cernln~7 hira in thA past.
The chief personi~lities who should be regarded ns dir.eti arid,
ler~ding the Comintern L1il ,Lnd the US3R are ti
of 1onj;o1i,i-n extraction.
Thoroughly roltable evidence! shove that the tone arid thA
prinoipxR to?tures
of Comintern policy ure i' ~r,merl by crafty Asiattoe. A European can scarcely
understand this policy. It is a polioy of outwittia, intprwo
" ven with
er ltoiouu e-r-d saraastie trickery. The same sources, which area
worthy at
fu11 attention, report that Stalin ie an ordinary puppet in
the hands of a
bunch of crafty and treaoberous Asiatic., who actually rule mill
i0 ns of
Russians and all the members of the world Communist parties from behind the
$c.nes, Aceordinc to their plan, Stalin is to be pushed and pa ulertR
A ed,
first as the leader of the Russian people (which ham already been aohieyeda,
next as the leader of all RuropA and Asia, and finally as the leader of
the whole world, The inspiration of this group of Asiatic. is drawn from
the shadowy medieval figure of Cenghl,r I(han,
Shi Ten-Cha is a Mongolian from Turkestan, actually of Chinese dea
scum. He ire a very iritelligent and cultivated person, and holds three
dootor~r degrees. Re studied in universities, in To o aerl
~' ~ in, and Paris,
Apparently Shi Ten-Chu is known personally to only o very few.
Aooording to available information, the British Intelligence S
ervioe is the
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L' uaeproetroy were opaned and put into perattorn.
2, 't'he tofowinf~ report ie 4ata4 X l4arah 194f.
't`he 7ntAat aovtet Ordnra Irttcattnlj a Char1C; of Attitu4i.
Aaaordtn1; to the ln;tast news toll me by my oolle ues, the U' Sit
only one that has ynt hid Ern o ~ ort~rtty to eee and beoome acqutintad wtdh
hia~. Thta happennd to 1934, when t)e great 1wm and mleotricul lnntallattona
he-e divan up ito plan to rrtve+ the' ~-r~w'ricr ne nut of w'ope by a 1n 1i blow
from iti etronmwtf~riaed Wild shock dtvietc~na, mhia ohtnge rnsu1t.1 .from
the disaovnry of tJtta rlnn by tho US zutct thra tritmAdit~te preveittvme-?,suree
to k.n= i.e, the eetnb1tohrar+nt of n net of r..tr baann for t.tomtn wnrfurn.
'she U; t ire nwnres of h" rxtutsria+' j4 US plnn fQr the ao..ertUed hermotic
e~n1tn~; of tho er{nt.'wpnt tnn rind ruttinoff of nil co!nr1wticnttone on
thts 1inQ. An rattnck on thr? U;3 nnth r such eon~titione would neon disaster
for the USYI.
Connequnntly, thrt 1J3 R hna given up ito origiwil intr+ntinne and
has tauu++d orders for prnpnrntionn for wrging wnr on American ootl, by the
bombrurdmr!nt and deatruction of Amertann attics with the Sovte!t Atomio bomb.
The mnt ter of rtroppin, ntomtc bombs on ltmeriaan not 1 preaentn no
problem for the USSR. The 3ovtnts hove n11 jth. neoesgaryf V-weapon
installations se well ae Cernw.n teohnioiane-
The ntoaiio bomb is att11 caunin them great trouble. Thug fa.r the
Soviets do not have nny, and they ere tar behind the US in reeearoh. Work
on the atomic bomb is being done in five placer in the USSEt near I4osoow,
where sort of the work is being done by German scientists; near Lenin ;rad;
In the Urals; in the Crimea; and at skin. At Palctn, expertments are
being made toward smashing atoms by meane of cosmto rays. Thus fns three
tests have beers made with an atomto bomb. Two of the tests produced purely
negative results, while the third vie po?itive to some extAnt. Ph positive
results was obtained by a faatorr where research is betncarried on aooord*
it to plans drawn up in Auerioa Lot rneoeseari1y the u7. This poaltive
result indloates that the nea?saary equipment for the manufacture of the
ntomta bomb should be ooaaplet.d very soon. On the basis of pent progress,
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th. U 5R shoald have tts own .tomio bomb next yAar,
f3ovt.t arena ere not entirely enttsfactory- Ths U98 fought t)e
last war with weaporns 70 paroer~ t of which were Amnrt oan. Conan4u~n t1y,
very great rwtivity to rioted to ru11 lnboratortr$ of the' war industry. In
nanny 1r+`bort~tories rreaLtxoh on nrmoarrntr hoe been cue nndad nnd work is now
concentrated 101N17 on biolotoa1 wrfl!~ra,
The Soviets urs sl.dplessly tolXowtnevents in th? U9, whwra
ettentton is oonoentratAd for the roost part on the eleotton of thn aew
President Thte mr+ans that the USA wtU: love the rest oi' thr+ year LLt its
dtrposnl, aa it is constda+rcd nxtrsmely unltkely thr+t the U3 will t-~ka ry
nc ti on this ye. nr.
l'hra trek of the Cominforin, according to the plan, to to destroy
A,~-rythine in the WAet*rn ooantrlfl that would faoilttnte their r~-covery.
one of the most ntgntftcnnt points 14 the Ruhr, r-n tnduetrtna center Of
treat tmportrtnce for n11 thw nnighborini indaatrial oountridie. if produotton
is prevented in the Ruhr, opV+rr-tione nrerutot~aattonliy pra-vc-nta-d in the
tnetuetriee of the net~hbortn ; ootuntrt 's, Consenu -~atly the Coitnform bas
conoentrated its best forces thsre. By prev~mttnp the recovery of tdeetern
rurope, the sf tw~tton L. in tex, 7 wtil be ext~-nd.ed to rranc.- arid. Ztrtly with
the purpose of preventing the o*rrytng out of the Harehn1i plan.
The following report is dated 15 Aprtl 19L.
The politioal attack by the Sovie-te in Berlin durtn~r thn last few
days as wet1 as the "xaatdentgl" ehootin; down of a 13rittsh n.iroraft were
tntenbed to camouflage the aotuaL preparations hastily beini; mt de by the
USSR at entirely dtfferent potnte.
While world atterntian was drawn to the Beriiri inctderate, the
Soviets were moving troops and oona?ntrattn theta in southeastern uu'ope
between the Dobruduha din BulgAria) and the Ttasw River (in Hun a17) , Ftaee
xaoveraents of Soviet troops took place in this large area, but it way not
possible to lr~ern their strength or nraarnent, the numbers of high,r head'
tuuurters, the direction of their movement, or the neaembiy area,
Aooord1ng to the p1?ne of the Poittburo, inoidente like that of
March in Berlin wtll be renewed tn. the very near futire. The following
?~ 19 .
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3?
 In 'frinst.~ the next moat likely plnne for an it~atdent to lake
plane, ~Ci to as reoeired orders riot to be too
c-gpresaiva on the guaation
of Trieste,
Ilarkos, Greece, and the I~rrdnnelZejt this is mentioned as the
third mawt likely point .tnci the point on wbi
cb the SovietS may ys expecE,+d
to be most r~rrogunt, ',Ch, plan ci~lle s'ar r sn
ddea attack on Piarthern Greece
and a drive to the, ?tardapellea, 't'his action would not be carried an
offioislly by the U35h but by its satellites
final prRparations for
oarryin. out aach . Plan are now boir~ rushed,
e mission will be carried
out by the headquartRr$ of the iaternntional fora.. with the help of inter-
national d1viriut19 nd bri, adee.
The fallowing inPnrcaation is srailwble an this lnternatiional, aroyt
Commander, General Vaaily 1(aranoy, the we11~kna
wn terrorist
from Moeonw~ lie has the rank of marshal bnt h
~ he it not listed anywhere
on the ofr'1oi~A1 roster of the Red Army.
pouts for thAso nov politiaal and mtltta att
~ aake a-xe ~1entionedt
Ix* Italyt in case the Com,nuniwlr lose the e1e
ctiunr, dlsordera
are to brask out rimul EsneouSiy Qhro has
~ t Italy end aisaa to develop Into
a putaoh QA the aaine daY, beginntrn At Milan. Th.
aQm.s~tiste bare already
boon +rrn~ed,, aAd a.ll othat prApatrationa rexe
oomFlvied between 1 and 20
Marah, inaludlr ; the shipment of 2O R'o~ntime
te r raorlRre from ZadNr to
I tr4ly,
fortrows.
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The headquarters of this army are at Cuetenthl
in a oatle or
This army is known to consist of four Intsrnati
onal dirisiane
aiade up of ltalians, Hungarians, Yugoslare, 'rent
hmen, and OermanS, one
division Consists solely of persona of Mo olio
n descent.
2eeides thsse dirlrions, the army' has several bri$ader and email
unity, data for which are not available.
Husaian.
The total Strength of the army is about l04p
~ 00. z t. arms are
The army ie conoentrated opposite the northern
Greek border
in the fra.ntier soneir of Yugoslavia and Huigar
ia, This sane varies in
w
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depth between 30 and 70 ktlomstera.
Qno nt vi ~t ari headQraartare i a +~t S trw0l oA and tnoth.r rtt Oebar.
Jxii dastfnntiuga end loaattona i,re not known for the oth.rs
e
(1enerax Colonel FaJ o D poerla is stationed in BitolJ. Me 2s
m~nttoned ?4r it oorU't,r,nder and Batson otftoar to the 4arkor aoveraa~ent
f ,
but his rea-1 rota had not been axtalnin.~d,`roaa .411 indtoatlonr
It. Appease
that rU theta titles dust Ue only mask, cud that h. i, ranf th
der of th. South Yu,;orla, Front.
O?fanirntton of thr tntarnntional unitsr the ofttcers up to
the rank of oolon.+l corn" from Ynriour countries o thc+r then Germany. OArmftns
Are riot permitted to rtr. above the rank of First i-tRutAn t, All tho
aolonRlr ara+ }uoaic n, ~'hR m,diea.l personnel ere a~ainl 0ermane.
Y
One of th' oolonrls is r~ Yu-orlav g*nerAi by the n..~me of
euturtc or Cuturilic, who used to be a ohnuffeur.
Ae of 15 March 1948 the strer th of Sor-iet troops in 8u1aarts was
172,000 men and 1,400 ltpht and medium tanks.
A feH months ago at a ntrht meeting of Stalin, Molotov, c+nd Y ehi
Y n
akiy it was deoided to set they dry to for the r4ttaak on western Europe for
Novn(nbr~r 1948, The necssssry order, are said to have been ivrrn to
the
Oeneral Staff. This decision was made on the basis of reports from
NKYD
agents in the USA, Oroa ko, M?rshal Sokolovskiy, and lturasor.
Soviet intellsctunls And scientists tee disaster for the USSR in
thtr step. Kagsnovich himself said on 7 Maroh 1948 "Our fats will be
much
worse than Eitler' r."
1n Connection with this dot?ision, orders were issued to the Caminfo
rm
for the r'eorganizftion of the eo-cslled Aotlon Cone' in i11 the Q
ountriee
'.of Western Europe. Large?.soale espionage has been undertaken in a
onneCtion
n4?'--t}r c
with the reorgaalsation of the Aotion Coa 4 .s., of the Coadnfora
A large group of young women and girls of Oermnn and Austrian deso
eat ,
who were trained ins special course to Belgrad., has r,rrived in Austria.
This group is controlled by the Comintorm. A report stster that about 20
of them srritred in lfnnshrack and the French zone of Austria. They live as
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proatttutee, waitrsasee, sleet '1#, M the ltke, !coat of th.ao are
vt.nnea~.
C1eariy, wax may break out very qut r. The 1.10 is known to have
prepur.dd the tv11 owiii~ j)1icn in pare of wars to ho] d the ao-oal led 1RM Line
of radioaattvt ty 124 ktl.om.t. re wtdi, from the Baltic to the B1aok 4a.
Aeoordin to oa1culfttona, tt should tt~kt+ three dn~ys to win this line,
'1'hrss atomic bombs era to b' dropp.d south of the pad htne, followed by
ordinary bombs, so that the people in bs this erect would have to etr~rt
ft htine, and they would b,' aided by t1;, rounc% troops t-nd air and naval
landings.
North of thy- Rod Lin, the "oupt+rdieeraion atornto bombe" , which
dev.'+lop 8,300 cbpr'.es CenttpradA sect which burn up evarythtr within a circle
i kilot trio in dinrneter ,and AO netera deep, will be us.d. These results
w'rn shown by tests held in Mexico in F'ebrutAry.
Thf~ Soviet border zone in Oermany hne been extended to a depth of
b kilometore. All eohool, and public buildings within Chia cone -tre b.inp
made ready to house romething, I do not know what, ThP former tnhrtbitants
of thta zone are rillow.ci to enter only for the purpose of cultivattnr; the
soil,
4, The f olt owin~- report in datsd 1 May 194
1'5 L.A, $oviRt rooket torpedo base is being built on the Adriatic
ialand of Gaeeno (Strait of Otranto). There rare no Yuposlavs or Italians
on the island, but only Russians,
The oommandin officer is Brankov, a 3ulariun who has become
a Soviet oitisen. He is the ertptain of a warship.
The following units toad installations ore on the island: Soviet
command headquarters, the mine command, a naval assault battalton, n base
for launching rooket torpedo.., and sp,reral ships ,sad submarines on which
detailed information is not avetiable.
p- c A report states that the large airfields in Valona and Durres
(in Albania) mr. also at the di .pose/ of the Soviet oom~nanrl on yaeeno.
D, According to . report, Marshal Zhukov is in 14eo*lenburg province
(north of Berlin), p. will remain thi-r, until 6 Maur, when he will leave
w 22 ..
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for hts new asutKrw ent in Korea,
-
C, 'L'hr Til vi t. types armored oar for ttu*7 wAii-ha tons. its armor
is ohrome~ntaksl steel R ceattm~ters thick. Its walls can withstand
~'tlL1Rrfttust attaak.
I!. .ioviet Y-wsapone.
The Cft,vteta here buts t a type of V?.weapon with n radius of cation
of ~,OOO ktlornet,rsf
The ~rrenttde torpsdons are ft fl eri with di seemtnati ni rMi oao ttve
ThA Instttutn for the study find Manufn,oture of i+ndioaativo Duet
in Tashkent *rut Chelyabtnsk has reoeived orders to set up V?war pon factories
in Qorkt r.~nri oroahilov and to rielivpr 5 tone of rruitonative dust by the
end of Bunn 1948.
Hattoaotive duat ie the name rapplted to a compound of thoriusi,
bnttnr duet of this kind,
of rn4tonative duet oec~see eaftr+r 3 months. The U9 is known to have a much
know what these unite are, but a chnrntst aan explain them). The nativity
is known to produco rather rtron; action, designated as 12 unite (I do not
uranium, rind KirsauAr f,proprtbly the garbled name of aci7. mia dust
g. The followinreport is dated 1 .ruly 1948.
A. The Politburo is coniiderinp; whether to incorporate fumnnia,
time for putting it into effeot.
decided upon this prooedure and is only waiting for a politically suitable
18th, and 14th Soviet R~rpublia reepAottveiyl. The Politburo has already
Csv-choslorakia, anti Hungary into the USSR this year (1948) as the 17th,
,~.The best evidence that the Politburo regards this question na
these new republics are required to supply the followings
settled it the quotas set for these new republics. Acoordin~ to the plan,
Rumania, 650,000 soldiers and 1,200,000 workers{
Czechoslovakia, 40,000 soldiers and 800,000 workers;
Hungary, 3.50,000 soldtere rind 1,100,000 workers
B. Public Opinion to tim USSR
A certain American weekly ma?asine costa 200 rub1ea on the
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0 black +mrket. How~v.r, it le bought annywi*y. Hardly anyone can
xiad , but they louk Ctt the pt~turea of the nousea 0! worker.' famlUes
in the U9, aoznpare pricee in the US, rtrsd make oorn'nte anct oomparieone in
private.
TM. underground i e fsir1 r mo tive in the 1158.
C. Work of Soiertttsts and iperto to the U$S7
Sotenttetr r%rrct experts work tirela+as1y, 1'he Oerm~tna turned
over to the Soviet. by the out as war ortminrxls ere onrttoulerly dt1ipnnt.
The Soviet esptonte uerviae in the US functtorue very a.1i Fund
produces exoetl.nt r.'sul t.. Stalin iA particularly ul ~-r-se4. On. croup is
sspeo lea ly out$tanc1ing. It opAxatee through RNxteo, r nd hie two rode nrn(fle.,
"Lepa Ana," (Pretty Ann&), which indioat,s plans, m+~terlaa e, tormulns, .to,
-~nl "Profesoor Mnntein", which hits no conaieotin with t) Profnesor, but
in the oovar nr.me for plutoniusa, I have not been able to find out what
individualo ri.re involved, I did /tiara, however, that ar a rr.ult of recent
tntelligc,nce from thin group the ao?oalled Graphite Battery in Irkutsk
(Siberia) b~?grcn operationo on 16 tiny 1948. Large ghneratora hav. br-en
taken thAro, raiaing the oapaoi ty of thn rower ph nt to 30('),OOO kilowatt..
D. Aid to Israel
I-agi novioh is ehr mptonirt the interests of ?ar el.
Marshal Xu aryev (Tito) is oppoepd to aid to Ierne1 and regards
it as very dangerous, Tito had oomr,leted all preps rations for Bending aid
to Israel (troops wore ready and ships loaded with arms and ammunition),
but at the last moment he stopped them. Apparently ~umarrev was the first
to see through the US plan to stir up a reseion against the USSR through
the conflict in Palestine,
Othorwise Soviet aid to Israel is very alight.
b. The following r.port is dated 15 July 1948,
A. Togliatti and Future /vents in Italy
he chief bu.inesa at the meeting of T'ogliat ti and Zhcb nov in
Praguc on 19 Vitae 194 was a diwousrion of a plan for future political
nd rnilitarv aottvity by the Communiats in Italy.
24
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At preoent Togliatti has about 900,OfO armed Coruuunl.t troop.
in I tsly, 3Oiaa 01' rier aro fully trained in hnndl in heavy Sovtet wespone.
These troop. ara disposed hronghout Italy, aonoer~tratAd moat denasly in
the vioini ty of I i1en, Turin, Bari, ttr i iirindiei,
In Yugoslavia about 6,Qor tons or hesv equipment (tunic,,
armor~d vehicl.., etc) and 5O,(QQ tans oI' rutunition are ready tore U.,,
Bases for this wir matpriol hmwo ben establtshed on tslund.
rand in other uttnb~e 'n1aoee is Unlmatta. Phr-ir delivary onn be iuaranteed
in 24 hours,
The I talir~n a eney for this t terie1 is located on the islrtnds
of La.tova, Zosinj, and Cres,
The Partisan organifation, now underground, in Italy has been
estab1iahed on the baste of all expertence in puerrtlln warfare to dAte.
Brigade., corps, divisionns, ~.nc! arrntaa have been orgrtni,ed, (Notst these
Communist units arM not to be oonfus~lti with rRgular army units, Only the
n?~me$ of the latter hv',+ been token over, and they have only a propaganda
and paycholopicral signifionnoe), A brigade consists of 1400 to 6An ccrsbatant.,
The other units (corps, divisions, and armies) vary aooordtng to the terrain
of the operational area and according to political considerations,
An international army aoneistinj of 10 brigades and totalling
26,000 persons is ooncentrated in Slovenia, Thar army is 'roliattir. nre~
serve", cand at the proper time will be seed in support of the partieanr in
Italy,
Togliatti~s entire caropnign is to be so oonducted as to fore.
stall charges of interference by either the USSR or Yugoalavia.
Marltos+s aampntgn in Greece is to remain passive until the
Togliatti?Thores action begtns,
8. Thoree's Pmisssry Ducloa and i'uture vents in J"ranee
As is already known, Thores's representative to the meeting in
Prague was Duolos, Th, following details of hie coaversationa with Zhdanov
and Togliatti have been learnedi
Thores was given ordars to undermine the areh?sf plan at any
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eo~t, ateopt that of poem ttln? ?uepteton to fall upon th* USSR; and at
the ease time to eadeavor, posstbly even in concert with C. earth, to
overthrow the prasent I'renah government,
Jar those purposes, the Comt nt orrn plao+d Ail extra oredi t of
$1,Ao,ooo ana 71) sneotally-tr.,trod "n;ttatton instructors" at Thorax's
til spoa,s1.
On this oco+ssion a report was sr~bmitte+d to the Comtnform to the
?fteet that 856 "cotton conn-itteea" were oranieed in 7r*aoe at he mots nt,
Their centrr wrs the O&vennes dtstrict. (Motet I do not know whether this
t
is the Cevennes district or whsthrr he name was taken from the mount~'in by
the sane name in southern France).
Xaoh action aomni ttee consists of 4OA to 1,(V')O combatants, 12
percent of whom are furnished with light arms. Ten action eomrtttees form
a large body headed by & Sovtet "adviser".
The pion of action in France .haws no oonsistent system. On the
contrary, it is very elastic and per,nits Thorer wiae tactical discretion.
The point ,aost strongly enphasii t is that in no case mist the impression
be given or interference by the US33, cud espeotally there must oe no
poasibility of a diploiaatio dhm*rche.
Ports of weapons are betng removr+d tiiegally from th+ Schniider*
Creusot factory and later nssetsblfd into 'larger parts. ' rr'ry two action
comrntttee members have two parts, which they keep hidden separately so that
in ease of nerd they can be put together quickly,
C. Txpedttion to 4strov Vrangelya ,
An expedition consisting of six aircraft and 24 Crew members
has left Ostrow Yranpelya. It was assigned to Arctic exploration,
Its last reported position was 120 48' 122M Z by 720 58' 21" N,
on 18 May 1948. Nothing has been beard from the expedition since, and it
is believed to have failed,
Two other expeditions were to have been sent out, one to Creenw
land and the other to bafftn Island in the Csnndian Arctic. Neither of theeis
expeditions materialised, for unknown reasons, although all their preparaw
tions had been completed.
.. 26 .
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Aooordtn to the latest report, thrA. aircraft with ln4udibl,e
enin?e vere Sent out from th' ricint$y of Murmansk with instrnotions
to
lend is Ceatral Oreenlnd in the rtoinity of oah~Wegeaer, pet
s-ils Are
exp?otnd soon.
An estimated 3 million 3ovtet soldiers and officers who were
Yeterane of 'orld Wnr II are believed to }rnr. been sent to dtbsria or
Mongolts sinoe th~tr return iron Western Europe, b*onnse of unr.l!abi 1 t tr,
7. The foliowir ; ronort is dated 1 Auqust 1948,
A, Th? Yugoslav ovrnment h s oromieed to submit month/ rn",or
Y t
on the $tatu$ of nattone1 prepnrednemn to the Politburo, xhn rAport of
1 Jane 1948 tnoludee the foliowtt
1. The preparation of V.wenpon latuaohin4r platformo on AuYsn sko
Polj. and in the btlncas.xrebin,e district have been oom 1Mted. 'he
platforms
rare nquippect r~tth ten linnohers.
2? Industrirai oapaoitr
Kranj,Taa manufactures 850 rifles, 200 maohinr nno, rind
180 mortars per month.
Zer~ioa produces 4 antitank guns per month,
neln Crkra, Mttroviaa, Belgrade, and Irai,jevo build 14 airs
craft per month.
Paraain manufactures 5,000 metre of cloth for militfry
uniforms and 2 tons of leather per month.
5 3, War reserres
As of 1 Jane 1948 there were 250,000 tons of food and 1,200,..
000 tone of fodder in the mobile j7 military depots,
4, Transportation
Rolling stocks 560 locomotives and 8,900 railroad oars.
Truokst ,2.000. Yu os1avia,produces 6 motor vehicles
Ltruckeil per month,
5. Military strength
Soldiers, 1,Q 0,000; technical personnel, 32,Onp; transports.
Lion personnel, 230,00o; n& ,al personnel, 120,000; combat vehicles, 1 2010
t
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s of v~-rtous caliber, 6,200; pack horses, 26,OOO; other pack Antmals,
17,000; cattle, 196,OOO, small ttvestock, about 340,OOO,
Note1
It. A~aordirn to my tnformatton, the I V.wsapon Corps conAtets
of 1,300 parsons. Its organieatton is not known in detail.
b. 'the axao t i ocattori of the platforms desortbed above is not
known.
c. Aooordtr1 to my informattun, the politburo does not reArd
the xu,oslav monthly rex)orte as wholly realistta,
9? plan for Capturtnthe bardenelles
mho p1atn and the neeessery preparnttone for eapturtng thn
Dardanelles were completed by 1 May 1948. Nothing could be learned about
this plan except that the operational plan is based upon the principles of
the German OenerRl Clausewits. General 5eyd1its's stopover in Bulgaria,
durtr htc tour of that Bulgarian-Turkigh front at the bsptnntng of 194A, was
conrnrto ted with this plan.
C. Tito and the Cominform
Aecordinp to my 1&test inforrrtlon, thn wholTito.Cominform
affair mty be regarded as a well-planned bluff, the political and military
purposes of which are not yet completely clear. My sources report the
following:
Y~
a. The goelav Minister of 7oreirn Affairs, Gtmic, attended
the foreign ministers' conference in Waren w. Djilae's presenoe in 'arsaw
at the time has not been made public.
At that time, all the necessary preparations were made between
D,ilas on the one hand and 2hdanov and Malenkov on the other for the Comin..
form attack on Yugoslavia and Kumaryev (Tito).
b, In a group of intimate friends, after the Ttto'.Cominform
clash, Stalin said, "Zhdanov h&s thought up a brilliant farce and,Weodoro.
vioh (Tito) is playing it splendidly. The necessity for it will be evident
in a couple of weeks. Feodorovich is our granite pillar and the beet
guerrilla in the whole world".
During the sexae conversatton Stalin also said, "llankovic io in
-28..
y1 I...J .... M7t
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Sinaia (the presaat headciuartera of the Cominrorm) as 'a-odorariah- a reprerln?
tativa, not as tr,a i'NpreoAntatlve of Yu;oalavia, as everything is not seouure
thora. 'Lo make th~- ounfiiat more oonvtnatn; to the' world, ws aust under-
take A7.1 the necessary preparations. Wry ne+ri~1 dollars and machines.
'Obviously we could not choose Area Ptiucnr, Oottaald,
ToR;ltatti, or l~irattrov for hla jub. ("autbwald is muintainad in power by
40~ of b'eodorovioh's UD~A men i Ad 2p4 of Zhdn.nov's W'A. Othwrwtsa hr
would h}tV, frj,llen ion, ago. Pvnuker to mnlntntnoCt in power by 57O of ?hdr+nov~s
NKVD men ?lad 20 of Kui'ryav's UDAA. Thd~tnov $ur~I)orts Dim! trov with 700 ~1KVDs,"
Alb,.nia will have to rr+bp1. "mhe outbreak of war is not
far awLy. Wn ctire nompeliM to undrrtrtke svAry n1ru Burr in our power to kin it".
C. Certain mrmbe'ra of the Politbro we're' informed, of the
attack on Togliatti lO days b.'for. they attack took plaoe~ This may be
interred from ~tulin~s comrnAr,t clurirv' a conv.rsntion on a different subject
after a mnetinof the Politburo, when he said, "It will be surprising if
Togliatti survives." On the basis of this, cnrtain members of the Politburo
consider it eertuin that the r ttoak is the premmditatr!d work of the Comm-
tern CatcJ.
d, Cotnmente are otferod In tie' Politburo on Kurnnryev's
being permitted to arrange everything; necessary to convince the Western
Powers of thr 1sinoerityN of tho Cotainform acousation nnt the split between
Kuroaryev and the Cotainform.
C. The Cominform attack on Kunaryev is merely a trick.
Djilas, Bebler, Kardelj, and V~-lebit rr~- trusted. If all the plane are
carried out, thr~ West wilt be thorou~h1~r deceived.
f. Aocordin~: to my tnformation, the Cominforra to divided
into two groups, the defenaive, led by Zhdnnov, tnd the offenaive, lad by
i'eodorovioh Kumaryev (Tito). The nruue Tito is made up of the initials of
Tajna Iriternaoionrilna Perorietxok Orgnninaai ja (egret International Terro-
rist Organisation).
Since Tito wne selected, the attack ahould begin in Italy,
ira,noe, and the Meet, with the result th'~t Tito will be isolated. from all
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of these, If Kwn yev ruuoreds in oaxrytng everytht ; out sacordtng to
plan, hw wtll cies.rve the credit for ac~nquerinr thn est for the Comtnteri
5tgJ.
8. The tollowin reoort is dated 1 ?Au ust l9kR.
A. New Instructions from the }'olttburo to MQrshal Kumaryev (Tito)
Zh4r~4oY has island R now order to the Cv itnfore to tntttnte
tricreused tc+rroris z and ssabotsgs. Zr thin cone coon, Vito hasp recetwed
the followtn instructions
41 To tncr.Rse the number rind scceaer`te the trntnthr of
his terrort s t and sabotage units, n nd
b. Thnt h." is to have *rt ~rnttre-ly frnn hr-nd find, is to
hv^ t1 tncilittrn gat his disposnt for nnlertaktnp what stops he mny
consider PiPCi~ssar,v to convincer thr Wert of the "brea?.kH between Moscow and
Be1gr ide. PropuP;andn wi1? do its kart, Rnd Tito tr to prepare assassins,
saboteurs, itnci divr+rsionary p;ronps,
3. 'rhe Truth About the Bomb xploston in Cairo.
The world press ins rr~ported that a bomb exploded a few days
ago in Cairo. The boob wte SUPPoIPd to have been dropped from a Jewish air-
craft, Thin report in not correct.
The+ bomb in qunstion t.i~s a soviet V rocket projectile lnunohed
from thn V-base in the vioinity of 5husoha (Arrerbaijan), about 300 kilo-
iaetnra southwest of Baku.
According to ty inforlnistion, this wKe the first experth tt with
one of the latest V.bontba. The results were satisfactory. The chief defect
is that when tho projectile in launohed at the base it produce vi Dv bxt;ht
light. Consequently, after this oxpertmant the baee wrte moved. Thn exact
looatton has not been ascertained,
q. The following report is dated 1 December 1948.
The prose mentions someone other than Antoniyev as Chief of Staff
of the UaSR. Thia is correct, sus Antontrev to Chief of Staff of the Polit-
buro r~n(t not of the USSR.
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My friend has gtven asa the foilowin anaw.rs to ny questionsi
"id`rrom thA acts aC sabotaga taking place in Yugo slavla
c,,nn frora the whole body of Cominlorm propa;Isnda, it looks as though the
U88E h*e o utnged its nttttulle toward Yugoelnvia. This is not the acre.
Basically Tugos1avia still is and wt11 xo atn the pride and Joy of our
ovtet policy. Some day Maur frti nd in tome Lot tdhntlfte,7 will explain
to you everything that has been don+ by the Cominrorm And by the old man
Ltaita7. You will bn interrestrd to h,tr that Tito is negotiating about a
Concordat, about setting Stspinnc free, rind about religious freedom, although
Moscow is pur euing a dlreotli opnositn oourse.
"Dhe troops we Sovieta have lined up along the Yugoslav border
t'rom Austria to 8trumicn are not directed apalnet Tugoslavia. u~e Soviets
have no reason to burden thr Tugoslav people with our presence on their
soil, Actually our troops a-re ther! for their protection, as well as for
carrying out Pe,n-Slavic policy,
NO the basin of what we have learned from Wrench activist
cirolee about US aggreesivi intRnttons, we have soured our borders with
strong contingents of Sovint troops, My previous report on the diepoeition
of armies and divisions still stands, a1though Thores and his comradee insist
that the West knows exactly where they are.
"You ark whether we shall support the Yugoslav aspirations in
Carinthia any further. This is definitei we shall not give an inch,
"As I have said before, Yugoslavia is our entrance gate; Yugo-
slavia is our ally, in which we have 1O9'
eonfidence. What we need is 4tne
and ret,,eioxe
"Mikoyan has been pushed into the baekdround by xhdanov, and the
fulfillment of the whop! FiveuTear Plan has been thrown into confusion,
1ver7 resource was thrown into maucimum production of arms and war materiel,
to be completed by a date that is now past (October 1948). Upon its disap-
pearance the whole torrent is turning back into its normal rut.
Uncle Sai should not be angry about 3erlint John Bull should
not be upset about Germany and. the Bahr, but about Bong bong, Singapore,
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/04/04 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100060080-7
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/04/04 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100060080-7
s
Nsakin~. They are their Aohtllee heel, there ie their etnndmTd of 1tvt ,
thc+tr Hatt-Communi/m, their fiery .xteteo,oa. If we utete these plecrs,
of nourse without lruest`n troopm, without us1EW the nnma of the U33R, we
shuf have defeated the UN, the atomto bomb, An4 eaerythln A1ee.j ;1
Thartnj en hes been r,tnfosoed behtnrt the iron ourt*tn with
four more tank citrtsloas and one pnruchut* d.iviston~
32
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/04/04 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100060080-7