SPECIAL FOCUS - CUBA (PART I: ASSESSMENT OF REPORTING)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP81B00401R000200010017-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 14, 2005
• Sequence Number: 17
• Publication Date: February 23, 1977
• Content Type: MF

Appr"LFrAe
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE,
WASHINGTON, D. C. 20103
National Intelligence Officers
23 February 1977
MEMORANDUM FOR: Chairman, SIGINT Committee
Chairman, HUMINT Committee
;Chairman, COMIRE$ Committee
SUBJECT: Special FOCUS - Cuba (Part S:
llpaassoant of Repor>tift)
Introduction
1. At the request of Mr. E. H. Knoche, then
Central Intelligence, the Acting National Intelligence Office tforoLatin
America has assessed all-source reporting on Cuba,.. adapting the FOCUS
procedure for the purpose. This is a "special" FOCUS exercise not only
because it goes beyond human source collection to en
collection as well, but because it concerns a denied eras t e
United States has no official representation. It is designed we
collection managers of the Intelligence Coswunit 's to a their
product, and to Y evaluation of Weir
provide guidance for future collection in keeping with
US policy considerations. It will be used,, together with the attacbsd
"Prioritized National Intelligence Requirements on Cuba,"
three DCI collection committees, SIGINT, 1 Q1PT, and by each of the
COMIRM MINIM
resource ramifications and to prepare strategies and
' to guid the
collection managers of their respective disci l aneo ft of
collection committees will constitute the collection ~ The ,fit of the
Strategy Report on KIQ 12 cone porttio of the this
assessment related to human colleectiionnwill obe set tohselectedous
bassjes where the c1ilection of intelligence on, Cuba. to acQo~iimyyIN-
2. To accomplish thin asses
s
c
-1-9 Cs VZO for alled a meeting of poliaymaksrs
an
al
.
C
s
aee vi
,
a
yst
and
aatleoNsa c
Intelligence on Cuba. The Matins was held on 9 Oaaa^b. 1936. lit
attended by 43 representstivea at tka.
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Department of State
Department of Treasury
Department of Defense
Federal Bureau of Investigation
National Security Agency
Central Intelligence Agency,
There was a follow-up meeting of analysts from CIA, DU, and State, to
review shortfalls in intelligence on 13 December 1976.
3. Prior to the meeting, participants had been asked to review all-
source reporting on selected topics, Identifying-those reports which had
been' particularly helpful in predicting significant de elopmeoto, is judg-
ing the impact of these developments, and in determining action to be
taken by the US. They were asked to pinpoint important developments
which caught them by surprise because they had no or insufficient report-
ing on the subject. They were apprised of intelligence gaps which had
been perceived by some policymakers and analysts, and asked to review a
list of proposed intelligence requirements derived from these gaps, and
to arrange them in order of importance. The eo~rpto mode at the fetal
FOCUS meeting were the basis for an Interagency Intelligence I oraedr
(IIM) entitled "Prioritized National Intelligence Raquiroments for Cuba"
(NI IIM 77-004) which is being presented to the National ?Foreign Intelli-
gence Board for approval. When approved, these requirements will altar
the priority of some intelligence requirements on Cuba listed Is DCID 1/2,
and thereby assist collection managers in assigning funds and resources
for fan-roved i
t
1
?' --
n
o
ge
Future Intsllieenee Collection s.lees to S A Toi zd
4. Pending receipt of more specifies, 98 policy toward Crba assrmnu
the eventual normalisation of relations between the US and Cuba. Ool3 u.
Lion of intelligence during FT 77 should be gassed to tafesm policym
and analysts of Cuban, plans or actions which Gomm help of Amps"
oM
aorasliastion process.
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Lviev of Iatrllisened Gees
S. A rspiM, of istelligesae gaps on, Cubs resale !~ f
tw~ratt
experienced by analysts sad poliagasi who an emus" mi* %M
lam of Cuba. Thsss are 'polled out in the hops rhel will assist a
tioe rnagers is aloft" the gape. They cgs dividhd fate
gaps test" sad our a Ua CA.k.
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Topics for Assessment }
8. The assessment of reporting covers the period from 1 January
1975 to 1 December 1976. To keep the assessment within sanageable
limits, reporting was assessed against six major topics of isportance
to the United States:
Cuban steps toward improvement of relations with the US.
Cuban oi7.itary intervention in AaSola.
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institutionalisation of Cuba as a communist state.
Increased Cuban iaflurnce in the Caribbean.
Cuba's role in Afric., and the Middle East.
Cuban-Soviet relations.
The assessment which follows is that of the Acting *I0 for Latin 1o erica
based upon comments by, participants in the TOCUS seminar.,
kl 1, 11
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