COMMUNIST VIOLATIONS OF THE VIETNAM AND LAOS SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT AND RELATED DEVELOPMENTS
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP80T01719R000100180003-2
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
14
Document Creation Date:
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date:
April 7, 2004
Sequence Number:
3
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 17, 1973
Content Type:
PERRPT
File:
Attachment | Size |
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CIA-RDP80T01719R000100180003-2.pdf | 428.64 KB |
Body:
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Secret
IT - -- b {.
sr.,,s o.
Thirty-Fourth Report
COMMUNIST VIOLATIONS OF THE VIETNAM AND LAOS
SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT AND RELATED DEVELOPMENTS
(This report covers the period from
10 October through 16 October 1973)
This memorandum has been prepared jointly by the
Central Intelligence Agency and the Department of Defense.
OS.D REVIEW COMPLETED
Secret
26 25X1
17 October 1973
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Thirty-Fourth Report
COMMUNIST VIOLATIONS OF THE VIETNAM AND LAOS
SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT AND RELATED DEVELOPMENTS*
(This report covers the week from
10 October through 16 October 1973)
The Key Points
Communist logistic activity remained at low
levels in North and South Vietnam as heavy rains
and high winds from seasonal typhoons have caused
extensive disruptions. In Laos, road repair
and construction continues.
The large number of Communist storage areas in
MR 1 constructed since the January ceasefire .
could serve both military and economic/political
functions.
Combat activity remained at low levels in both
South Vietnam and Laos last week.
* This report has been prepared jointly by the
Central Intelligence Agency and the Department
of Defense.
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The Details
NOTE: This is the thirty-fourth in a series of memo-
randa summarizing evidence received during the report-
ing period of (I) Communist efforts to infiltrate new
manpower and military materiel toward and into South
Vietnam, (II) Communist-initiated combat activity in
violation of the Vietnam and Laos settlement agree-
ments, and (III) other developments affecting Commu-
nist military capabilities in Indochina.
Infiltration and Redeployments of North Viet-
namese Personnel and Military Supplies
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B. Movement of Military Equipment and Supplies
North Vietnam
4. Logistic activity was light last week as
heavy rains and high winds from seasonal typhoons
swept into the North Vietnamese Panhandle.
5. Communist units in the Laos Panhandle are
still focusing primarily on road repair and construc-
tion. Only light vehicle activity was detected and
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Names and boundary representation
are not necessarily authoritative
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South Vietnam
and
North Vietnam Panhandle
------ Province boundary
Military region
of Control and Supervision
region boundary
Road
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was probably related to localized activity. Although
Rear Service units should be capable of moving a high
volume of supplies through this area within a few
weeks, there have been no indications that such an
upsurge is imminent.
South Vietnam
6. The impact of the typhoons apparently was
even more severe in northern South Vietnam than in
North Vietnam. In this area, truck traffic was at a
virtual standstill, communications were disrupted,
many roads and bridges were washed out, and cargo in
storage was damaged by water. In the near future Rear
Service units in Quang Tri and Thua Thien Provinces
probably will be concentrating on repairing recent
flood damage and countering the effects of the ex-
pected new typhoon on the logistic system.
II. Communist-Initiated Combat Activity in South
Vietnam and Laos
A. South Vietnam
7. In South Vietnam, the total number of Com-
munist-initiated ceasefire violations reported by
the South Vietnamese Armed Forces since 27 January,
15 June, and for the last week (10-16 Oct) are shown
below:
Military
Region
Total Since 27
January Ceasefire
Total Since 15 Last Week
June Ceasefire (10-16 Oct)
Major
Minor
Major
Minor
Major
Minor
MR 1
1,377
4,794
352
1,435
34
103
MR 2
548
3,720
284
1,866
15
117
MR 3
562 4
,045
160
1,469
10
92
MR 4
1,105 9
,903
427
3,737
24
245
Totals
3,592 22
,462
1,223
8,507
83(80)
557(417)1/
1/ Denotes totals of previous week.
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8. Some of these violations may have been in-
itiated by GVN forces rather than Communist forces,
and it is impossible in all cases to determine the
actual instigator. The table above and the charts on
the following pages, however, do show fairly accurately
the trend in the amount of combat that has occurred in
South Vietnam since the ceasefire. The fact that a
combat incident occurred at a particular time and
place is generally reported accurately by the South
Vietnamese, even though the question of who started
it may not always be treated in objective fashion.
9. The most significant combat incident of the
week occurred on 13 October when Communist forces
overran the South Vietnamese mountaintop outpost at
Dach Ma, southeast of Hue. ARVN forces may try to
retake the position, but resistance would be expected
since the Communists are now in an excellent position
to observe and report any government activities in
the coastal lowlands and along Route 1 that will
threaten their forces in the hills and mountains to
the west.
10. There was no significant military activity
in Laos last week.
III. Other Developments Affecting Communist Ca a-
bilities in Indochina
11. Since the January ceasefire, the North
Vietnamese have constructed over 3,000 buildings,
including 1,800 for general storage, along the high-
lands supply corridor, on Route 9 between Dong Ha
and Khe Sanh, and in the Ba Long Valley. Some 240
buildings identified as suitable for ammunition and
explosives storage can accommodate an estimated 70,000
short tons. The 1,800 general cargo storage buildings
could house many times that amount. Obviously,
many of the buildings could be used for purposes
other than storage--such as vehicle and weapons
repair and light industrial production activities.
Such activities serve the North Vietnamese within
the context of both their military and economic/
political options.
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(See Reverse Side of Page)
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VIETNAM AS REPORTED BY RVNAF
(28 JANUARY THROUGH 31 JULY 1913)
JAN-FEB 200
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
"NEW"
CEASE-FIRE
JUL
VF 101%010
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T 1) INS
0 1 S
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CEASE-FIRE VIOLATIONS IN SOUTH
VIETNAM AS REPORTED BY RVNAF
(1 AUGUST 1973 TO THE PRESENT)
AUG 10?
SEP 100
O C T 100
0
NOV 100
DEC 100
JAN 00
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