HOLDERS OF(CLASSIFIED) ESTIMATE OF THE CHINESE COMMUNIST AIR THREAT TO INDIA,' DATED 17 JANUARY 1963

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80S01499R000100040025-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 30, 1998
• Sequence Number: 25
• Publication Date: April 13, 1964
• Content Type: MF

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C E N T R A L I N T E L L I G E N C E A G E N C Y
13 April 1964
MEMORAJE M FOR: Holders of - Estimate of the 25X1 X7
Chinese Communist Air Threat to
India," dated 17 January 1963
1. Attached are revisions of the appendices to the above
estimate designed to provide up-to-date information on Chinese
Communist air order of battle.
25X1X7
2. The conclusions of the estimate (paragraphs 33-38)
remain basically valid. LThe entire matter of the Chinese
Communist threat to India is currently under review, including
the papers Estimate of the Chinese Communist Ground
Threat to India from Tibet and Sinkiang" and _ Estimate 25X1X7
of Chinese Communist Capabilities for Attacking India Through
Burmese Territory," both dated 14 August 1963?
GROUP 1
Excluded from automatic
downgrading and
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APPENDIX A
CCAF/CCNAF AIR ORDER OF PATTLE*
CCAF
a/
17 Jan 1963
a/
15 April 1964
TYPE OF AIRCRAFT
RILE No.
Total
No
Total
.
Fagot (MIG.15)
Fresco (MIG.17)
Fresco D (MIG. 17D)
Farmer (MIG.19)
Jet Ftr (Day)
Jet Ftr Day),,/
Jet Ftr LAW)=1
Jet Frt (Day)
690
785
145
60
1,680
565b/
780
115
&a/ 1,570
Beast (IL.10)
Piston Ftr
Grnd Atk
40
40
6o.
Fagot (MIG.15)
Jet Grnd Atk
f
30.x/
Bat (TU. 2 )
Piston Lt Bmr
100
Beagle (IL.28)
Jet Lt Em
175
1601
Bull (TU.4)
Piston Med Bmr
15
15
Badger (TU.16)
Jet Med Bmr
--
2i/
267
c46/c47
Transport
30
30
Cab
Transport
35
35
Coach
Transport
35
30
Colt
Transport
25
95j
95
Coot
Transport
2
2
Crate
Transport
45
47
Viscount
Transport
172
7
240
Helicopter
/
20 1
20
2,1
2,1
Fagot
Jet Ftr Day
170
200(
Fresco
Jet Ftr Day)
70
55
Fresco D
Jet Ftr LAW )2 /
30
270
30
285
* This Appendix supersedes old Appendix A.
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dwilm
Bat
Piston Lt R:nr
5
5 ,
Beagle
Jet Lt Bmr
150
155
130J
135
Cab
Transport
15
15
Colt
Transport
5
30`=I
Crate
Transport
5
25
5
50
Madge
Reconnaissance
10
10
59
5
x
TOTAL
Tro
+75
COMBINED CCAF/CCNAF TOTAL 2,672! 2,662
25X1X7
Figures rounded to nearest five except for the BADGERS, COOTS,
CRATES and the Viscount.
b/ Reduction due to attrition; also some may have been transferred
to to the CCNAF.
J Limited all weather fighter.
V We do not believe that there has been an increase In FARMERS
during the past year. Rather, we believe that our earlier
estimate of 6o should have been 80.
e/ We believe that BEAST strength was underestimated by 20 in
January 1963.
Reference to 30 MIG.15 (FACCTS), as being specially trained in
ground attack, was carried in a footnote to Appendix A in the
111111111111111111111111study dated 17 January 1963 and was not included in the
total.
J A unit of 30 MIG.15 (FAGOTS) continues to be specially trained
in ground attack, All FAGOT/FRESCO aircraft, however, are
adaptable to ground attack operations.
Reduction due to attrition.
i1 Although these BADGERS may participate in training activity, we
do not believe they are capable of conducting combat operations.
Increase due to domestic production.
k We believe that one of the Viscounts purchased from the UK has
been assigned to the CCAF.
J Although HOUNDS probably have been produced within China for
several years, our first confirmed evidence of utilization within
the CCAF has come within the past year.
m/ Earlier strength underestimated; it is also possible that some
of these aircraft have been transferred from the CCAF.
`/ Increase due to domestic production.
v_/ This total adjusted to include the 30 ground attack FAGOTS.
See Footnote 'If" above.
9- - 1 11 "low
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REVISIONS TO APPENDIX B
AIRCRAFT PERFORMANCE REVISIONS
25X1X7
The following information reflects the more important changes in estimated
aircraft erformance characteristics from those provided in Appendiz .b
to the aircraft
Air Three. Study dated 17 January 1963.
1. Change FRESCO A and B maximum knots at sea level (intercept mission
and ground attack) from 570 to,605. Change FRESCO C maximum knots at sea
level (intercept mission and ground attack) from 570 to 620. Change FRESCO
D maximum knots at seal level (intercept mission) from 570 to 620.
2. Change FARMER A, C, and D maximum knots at sea level (ground
attack) from 570 to 650.
3.
Change BEAGLE information as follows:
Bomb Wt. lbs. All-up Wt, lbs.
Ma
ximM Kts
Combat Radius N
M
,
.
.
6,600
51,000
O1cI
425
- New
- 480
Old -
600 -
New
550
4, 400
48Y800
4301
- 480
610 -
560
2,200
46,600
435
- 485
620 -
570
2,200
40,500
445
- 490
400 -
310
4. Change BADGER information as follows (assuming a 10,000 lb. bomb
load):
Fuel Wt. lbs. All-UP lbs. Max. Kts. Cruise Kts. Radius NM
Old - New Old - New Old - New Old -- New Old - New
75,500-71,400 170,000-167,000 490 - 540 465 - 445 1,7OO-1,450
Also, delete the statement that the BADGER can carry a maximum bomb
load of 22,000 lbs. with a reduced radius of 1,300 r-m.
5. Change CRATE information as follows:
FUEL Wt. lbs. Freight lbs. Range N.M.
Old - New Old - New Old - New
V500 - 5,550 4750 - 4, 750 1;70 - loo
1,600 - 2,300 8,500 - 8,100 400 - 500
These changes revise certain portions of old A appendix B.
4
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6. Change COOT information as follows:
Fuel Wt. lbs. Freight lbs. Range N.M.
.- New Old - New
Old - New O---
40.1200
- No change 22,-000 - 23,000 2,500 - 2, 600
31P200 - 30.1200 31, 000 - 33,000 1, 600 - 2y 100
7. Change COLT information as follows:
Freight lbs. All-up Wt. lbs. Range N.M.
Old - New Old - New Old - New
2,7000 - 3,000 11,500 - 12,700 485 - 855
Delete second line item on the COLT in its entirety.
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The following is a revised summary of airfields in China which are most
likenly to be used for operations against India.
390311-H 75?58'E KASHGAR/?ANG KARAVUL 4,000 feet, packed
gravel. (4,000 feet
a.m.s.1.) serviceable.
38?25'N 77?17'E SOCHE (YARKAND) 3,800 feet, natural
surfacing. (4,400
feet a.m.-s-1.)
serviceable.
37009'y 790521E ROTIEN (KHOT1 i )
30?30'N 91006'E LHASA (TANG-IIUNG)
31?33'N g1044tE NAGCHEU DZONG
5,000 feet, packed
gravel. (3,000 feet
a.m.s.1.) serviceable.
13 000 feet, macadam.
(1,177 feet a.m.s.l. )
serviceable.
12,000 feet (est.)
claybound crushed rock.
(15,000 feet a.m.s.l.)
temporarily unserviceable.
36045'N 95035`E K&-ERH-MU (GOLMO) 12,000 feet, macadam.
(9,000 feet a.m.s.l.)
serviceable.
32?53'N 96?1+-7'E YUSHU 11,200 feet, claybound
crushed rock. (12,525
feet a.m.s.l.i serviceable.
31?37'N 100002'E ICAMTZU 11,000 feet, claybound
crushed rock. (11,500
feet a.m.s.l.) serviceable.
3001011 103?57' E CHENGTU/WENCHIAN 7,500 feet, concrete.
(1,700 feet a.m.a.1.)
serviceable.
This Appendix supersedes old A appendix D in its entirety.
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APPENDIX D
25027'N loo044'E
PEITUN
7,800 feet, concrete.
(6,500 feet a.m..s.l. )
serviceable
250001N 10205'' a
KITNMING
9,800 feet, concrete.
(6,220 feet a.m.s.1.)
serviceable.
23023+'N 103019'E
MENGTZU WEST
7 900 feet, concrete.
(f,700 feet a.m.s.1.)
serviceable.
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DI
v
01
x III
96,
72, B;=
tiHI
,~? ? KASHGAR/ZAN Q_K-AR, VUL
? CITIES
? AIRFIELDS
EM RADAR COYER: LIME Of SIGHT 40,000 FT.
- POSSIBLE EM LINE
International Boundaries are not
necessarily authoritative.
~/
-V SOCHE
N
stern Area
(unl firmed as ADD)
2 JET MID BM",
15 PISTON MED 111111115
50 PI5TON LT BMBRS
30 TRANSPORTS
NAGCHHU DZONG~
roved
INDIA
AK?
Fdr
lea
CHENGTU/?
WENCHIANG
110-310
C IA-RQF 8
600 JET;,- "
d0 JH
20 PISTON
.D1Pf
83,
215tl'E' EJ
1 , FIT T R, F,
320 JET FTRS
20 JET LT 0111,
10 TRANSI'IHLT8
C TON
45#E
Y0 n TIT BMBRS
5 9 OM LT BfT
40 , YS`FT!`IEnu ~;
R00010004QA2 A
eT
IV,
SOUTH',
KOREA
IPPINES
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HINESE
9
COMMUNIST AIR ORDER OF BATTLE
U S S R
D
KASHGAR/ZAN
rr ..rte
( \
f
I
? MON.G0L,IA
CHENGTU/O
WENCHIANG
Southwest AD
,.\
65 JE F RS
A i,
INDIA
9d ~
1
~1
320 AT FTRS
20 JET LT BMJIRS,
10 TRANSPOkT
?
?
CITIES
AIRFIELDS
` w'$
MENCTZFl
CANTON
EW RADAR COVER:
LINE Of SIGHT 40,000 FT.
GCI COYER: LINE OF SIGHT 40,000 FT.
POSSIBLE EW LINE
International Boundaries are not
necessarily authoritative.
2 1ET MED BMBRS
15 PISTON MED BMBRS
50 PISTON LT BIRD AS
30 TRANSPORTS
Approved F
15r
2*5 #E1t FT~ ?
150' T?IT
#. RtCOI A ,T
600 LET ? ,
B0 JET
20 PJST$,t
B5 TRH`~5P kTS',
SOLTH`,
KOREA-"'*
i6# UT tl#
40 i#f T BMBRS ~NAI
,P OY k,.RL ,
B~Iea&, &!D
" DE,T:fIRS
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