PRIORITY INTELLIGENCE TARGETS

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80R01731R003600060071-3
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RIPPUB
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S
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6
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 28, 2003
Sequence Number: 
71
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Publication Date: 
March 25, 1946
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MEMO
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Approved For Release 2003/05/05: CIA-RDP80ROl 731 R003 0 hR 25 March 1946 MEMORARDUMs SSUBJSCTs Priority Iatelligenae Targets TO I Chief, SI 10 An estimate of the prevailing world situation leads inevitably to the conclusion that the primary object of national concern in the foreign sphere arises today and in the foreseeable future from the activities of the Soviet Union, and of other governments and political organ izations which tend to assist in the fulfillment of its purposes. No other threat to our national security and interests, or to the international legal order which we are committed to uphold, approaches in dimension or in iaminenoe that which is latent in the policies and actions of the USSR and its assorted allies, The obvious corollary is that the intelligence-procurement resources of this agency should be directed with unequivocal emphasis towards uncover. ing the intentions proclivities, capabilities and activities of (a) the Soviet government,, and (b) of all other governments and organisations whose actions would have strategic importance either in support of,, or in opposition top Soviet policies and Soviet foreign adventures. 20 The large design of Soviet policies would be illuminated if we could fix with certainty the basic motivations of the creators. For want of clinching evidence, speculation in regard to motivation has ranged from that of Marxist-Leninist ideology, to the inner compulsions of dictatorship, to a Russian-national fear.. or power-cosaplex, No one of these elsmants should be excluded from a realistic appraisal of the dynamics of Soviet policy. (a) The sense of a need, derived from Mars, to carry out the course of historic evolutionary destiny, ooupled with the fanatical revolu- tionary and crusading seal of Lenin, continues to animate the high prophite and possibly the rulers of the Soviets, The goal is the establishment of the supremacy of Communist dictatorships and the elimination of the power of bourgeois capitalist democracies, with the ultimate professed intention of preparing the way for the emergence of a world-wide classless communist society., The followers of this faith and mission look upon Soviet Russia as the spearhead of revolution and social progress? and regard the Soviet Union as the "Model League of Co7mnunist Nations",,, into which other Communist.. governed states may be admitted progressively, until the entire world is ripe for "the state to wither away' before the evolution of cooperative society, in so far as this view or faith prevails, several consequences highly signi.y ficant for the American national interest (and an American Intelligence Ser- vice) follows Approved For Release 2003/05/05 CIA-RDP80R01731R003600060071-3 Approved For Release 2003/05/05 : CIA-RDP80R01731R003600060071-3 (1) all states and societies (including the United States) which are not comomunist-governed must be considered by the Soviet Union as enemies, with whom peaceful relations are only a temporary expedients (2) the torch-bearers of oouanunism in every country of the world must hold a loyalty to the Soviet Union above that of any nation. al patriotism; and (3) since, in the communist view the supreme goal justifies any means, every form of open and concealed warfare, trickery, deception and propaganda may be expected from Communist- controlled governments and organizations* (b) The present rulers of the USSR are a small, more-or.-loss tightly.4mit band of politicians and soldiers whose motivation to remain in office consists of - depending upon the point of view - the compulsions pf their historic mission, the ever-present fear of being "purged", or an intoxi. cating sense of power and the glory of privileged positions Given either interpretation, they can continue to control a mass of people within a regime devoted to a fifteen-year program of strengthening the industrial sinews of military power, only by (1) providing satisfactory evidence that this aonoon.- tration on production rather than oonsumers' goods is absolutely essential; or (2) by devising "circuses", or? perhaps, "crusades", to distract attention from personal wants. The "evidence" consists of "capitalist warmongers",, bent on the destruction of the Soviet Union, who may conveniently be goaded into vociferous outbursts by some militant act or utterance which the Soviet rulers can readily provide? The "crusades" or "circuses" can be engineered anywhere from the Adriatic to the Pacific, (3) Despite ideologies, the Russians remain Russian, and as such, reflect the social inheritance of the people and the political inheritance of former rulerse To some extent, therefore,, the pattern of Soviet policies must be viewed within the framework of Russia's strategic position, of the historic Russian outlook upon the outside worlds, and of the traditions of Russian expansionist dreams. The great territorial mass of Russia is fringed, for the most part, with small, weak and industrially.. tn-advanced tammunities. Whether from a fear of the occupation of these areas by a hostile foreign power, or from the desire for aggrasdissomt, the Russian propulsion eastward, southward and westward was well mtkid long before the Soviets same to power, and has not shown any signs of diminishing momentum since,, (o) "Security" and "expansionist" motives may very readily be out from the same cloth, or, at least, may depend upon which side of the cloth you are looking at. In a very real sense,, security-d rends resulting from deeply-rooted fear might only be satisfied with the establishment of world dominion - of course, by one's own states The Russian who has lived for centuries under tome form of despotisms and frequently of foreign invaders, has never known freedom from fears Suspicion of the foreigner tAless a Coimaunist), so assiduously stimulated by Communist propagandists, blends easily with fear of lyrants and invaders, and with a native provincialism of the mesas which the Soviet rulers have not wished to disturbs Security and expansionist and ves have intermingled in the traditional drive of Russia he to obtain control of outlets to the sea - the Pacific,, the Yellow Sa t Ulf Baltid~pptlefeit~~D0~d~15/p~~~-RO~RI~I! r Approved For Release 2003/05/05: CIA-RDP80R01731 R0036 1111 14w ikwo?WET $,o All of the above motivations may be detected in the form and substance of Soviet action. It matters little in what proportion the ingre- dients are compounded, for a curious logic of events has decreed their blend- ing into a perfect working harmony Assuming for the argument that Soviet rulers are no longer Communists;: it is nevertheless necessary for them to adopt the pretension in order to avail themselves of an indispensable ally in the form of hundreds of thousands of the "faithful" the world over - W& far more numerous, better disciplined, and hence more powerful than?any Masi Fifth Columno In addition, the moral appeal of communism aids in the reten- tion of public support, and the orusading purpose assists in the furtherance of national expansionist policies abroad, especially where down-trodden peoples must be "rescued" from capitalist tyrants. Or, on the other band,, if the Soviet governing oligne still fervently believes in the Comasunist mission, they have fertile national soil at home in which to sow the seeds of ineluctable hostility to, and by, capitalist-bourgeois states, and there- upon may reap a harvest of supp rt for any action designed to strengthen the security of Russia by rearmament, by "strategic" annexations, or by promot. ing friendly revolutions in neighboring states, 4,, The above considerations have been presented in order to delineate briefly the complex character of the phenomena which American Secret Intelli- gence must seek to understand in all its romifioationsd The broad sweep of essential intelligence targets has been adumbrated, and may now be indi- oated more precisely under the categories below. It is to be borne firmly in mind that the province of SI is that portion of intelligence on the subw jeots below which can only be obtained by clandestine means. (a) First and inmost, the Soviet Unions its intentions, capabilities and activities in their bearing on its external relations; (b) Comunist-controlled, or Soviet-oriented,, governments: their intentions, capabilities and activities; (o) Communist political parties and Conmtunist-influenced orgsa isations abroad; (d) Other foreign countries and governments whose dispositions pro or con would have an important bearing on Soviet decisions and actions in the foreign field, or which are territorially adjacent to the Soviet Union, or its satel- lites, or which are possible objects of Soviet designs, The Soviet Uision (a) Soviet intentions in fore,, relations and milit oli 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/05/06: tlA-RDP80R01731 R0036O( ( 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/05/05 : CIA-RDP80R01731R003600060071-3 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/05/05 : CIA-RDP80R01731R003600060071-3 25X1 Approv 106 This a raisal of priority intelligence targets has been devel- oped within the I I office without consultation with the major customer and action agencies o e government whioh SSU is bound to serves It is Impracticable at the present time to obtain the benefit of a considered statement of their intelligence requirements, or their estimate of the rela- tive strategic importance of various countries and areas. Obviously, such advioe is not only highly desirable, but is a condition of an effectively* functioning SSU, It is moreover necessary that the specific secret inteili? genoe targets within a given area be formulated in the light of knowledge of the total intelligence-procurement potentialities of other agencies of government abroad, Otherwise, duplication and wasted effort is inevitable. It is impossible to lay down a hard and fast delineation (applicable to all countries) of the field of oliadestine intelligence, in view of the widely- varying conditions under which orthodox information agenoies must operate,, It need hardly be added that this paper has been developed on the plane of the ideal objectives, without reference to the degree of Approved For Release 2003/05/05: CIA-RDP80R01731R003600060071-3 00 9 - Flfll~ Approved For Release 2003/05/05: CIA-RDP80RO1731IZ5 operational difficulties which might be involved in the fulfillment of any of its parts. 11, It should also be clear from the context that no effort was made to develop a hard-end-fast sequence of priorities. or to define precisely the primary intelligence targets in any given area. The pur- pose was rather to lay out a systematic pattern of subjects, intelligence about which is essential to the national interest, and to indicate the countries wherein the pattern prominently manifests itself. More specific intelligence directives, and a more exact arrangement of area priorities,, would serve no useful purpose at this stage of ideal plarnninge It is evident that any evaluation of important targets projected od'er a period of several years into the future can only be re- garded as provisional? Unpredictable shifts in the balance of political forces, factors and opinions in a number of countries may modify the focus of American national concern. It will, therefore, be necessary periodically to reassess the current situation and to develop new projections into the future. Como equently, planning should remain imaginative and flexible, and operations must perforce retain a oegaaoity for sympathetic responsiveness. 12? The findings of this paper may be sunned up in a very simple formula: The most important tasks for a clandestine intelligence agency in the next fewysars are: (a) the penetration of the Soviet Union and its border satellites, and (b) the penetration of. Communist parties in other important countries. additional and ancillary objectives exist and have been indicated, but they represent a less provocative challenge to Secret Intelligences Compelling reasons can be adduced to show that an effective assault on these targets would most certainly benefit from a coordination, and perhaps an integration, of SI and X-2 energies. 25X1 Chief, "P" Branch Approved For Release 2003/05105 -CIA-RDP80R01731R003600fW1 -, " `ir