REPORT ON THE STATUS OF THE FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE PROGRAM AS OF 30 JUNE 1953

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CIA-RDP80R01731R003500100007-0
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RIPPUB
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T
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21
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December 22, 2016
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May 11, 2009
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7
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August 3, 1953
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MF
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DOE Review Completed. Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY IVEYORANDUIT FOR: WASHINGTON 25, D. C. NSC Review Complete as OFFICE OF THE DIRECTOR Redacted. Executive Secretary National Security Council 3 August 195'3 SUBJECT: Report on the Status of the foreign Intelliance Program as of 30 June 1953 1. In accordance with your request of 29 Maen1953, I submit to the President, with the concurrence of the Intelligence: Advisory Committee, the attached report on the status of thf Foreign Intelligence Program as of 30 June ,1953.' 2. In concurring in this report, the IAC agencies fist, to point out that the effects of recent budget cuts on intellitence activities cannot be assessed at this time, and are therefore not reflected in bh's renort. 3. Inasmuch ae intelligence programs by their very nature - are not subject to rapid change, I propose, withethe con- currence of the IAC, that hereafter a complete ravisianeef this status report be prepered only on an annual basis (as of 30; June or such other date-a the National Securityouncil nal- desire), and that semi-annually there be submitted-a brief supplementary statement,ef the most significant changes AeiCh have occurred since the last annual report. 4. I recormene that paragraph 5 of Section= be made available only to the President, the Secretary of State andithe Secretary of Defense. 5. In lieu of a iinancial statement, not included in tee attached report, I :ee71. make an cral report to the Natienal Security Council] on CTAls exnenditures. This oral report will pertain only to CIA data and will not include expenditures cn intelligence male by the other members of the intelligence community. State Dept. review completed ALLIN VI. DULLS Oirector Attachment Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 ILLEGIB 25X1 25X1 ILLEGIB Approved For Release 2009/05/11.. 6IA:liDP8.0R01731R003500100007-0 **bra Adviseiry *rads* Istaill4enas cuti,v? tocretasy ssitles 1 &rest ity tAlei *nett 25X1 ILLEGIB iort se the -obit** )f trits114enLe Protosex ea 4.1 Jun* ,. ? 'wt ii ur request. y I at* with the saissus first* 44U Cis *Mahe* repgrt ** tits sitats? vot,rert e iI 3f ;tint 53 Z, In cierworrint thy.s revort, th LOC *omits t out that the *Elect. 1 rasknat Ltailiot *Rau deI attattit 4 aaareaeci at tide tivrroe, *ad eta there-it.tki risfieetsd in this retort. 3. Inaisa14ch * Sr. *et Salaject ta rapid chausisp tws? of the, L. thst ii?sioafteg a cauapia report b* prarSt only it an anneal or mask other dile 4te Naitt?nal Seltitsity C?laufil may lc and that smaii.ssureally ;hero 14* inut,raiitbed. ? brief *agile se, an, statement et ths trailtOt slipdfisaia change. *Welt Save *ere ri Enc. the last arsuai es ors. 4. 1 teem who, that loakssexapik $ L 4Ctht X-11 be Stte0"4 available only is the Lttst, di? Siscrstar) 0140.? ai1 the ineretary of lioiehell? Attachment (3) Distribution: IC) D' roe to t TOP SECRET 2 ? Addressee - tnit?T 11, ALSO* ? When Det Treat a .hed :14it E103iv IL Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 25X1 25X1 2bAl 25X1 LEGIB ? Approved For Release 2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 ,-------- %rod SIGNATURE RECORD AND COVER SHEET DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION SOURCE OIG-rewritten DD/I-s/ DOC. NO. none DOC. DATE 3 Aug 53 COPY NO. NUMBER OF PAGES 1 NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS .ONTR DATE DOCL LOGGED IA - T PEE -ILLEGIB ILLEGIB ILLEGIB i_ ATTENTION: This form will be attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intelligence Ag,er,cy or cizt ified I eret within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until. such time as it is downgraded, destroyed ,i or transi itted 'eof CIA. Access to Top Secret material is limited to those individur Is whose official duties relate to the material. Each .erna sit- ant Top Secret Control Officer who receives and/or releases the attached Top Secret material will sign this fcrin and ; -dicat r;i. d of custody in the left-hand columns provided. The name of each individual who has see a the Top Secret document anc the di 'aan- dling should be indicated in the right-hand columns. REFERRED TO RECEIVED RELEASED OFFICE SIGNATURE DATE TIME DATE TIME ti NAME AND OFFICE SYMBOL DD/I 0.31. /.1 25X1 25X1 ILLtL,Its NOTICE OF DETACHMENT: When this form is detached from Top Secret material it shall be completed in the aOpropriatt ,pace sod transmitted to Central Top Secret Control for iecord. THE TOP SECRET MATERIAL DETACHED FROM THIS FORM WAS: BY (Signature) DOWNGRADED 0 DESTROYED 0 DISPATCHED (OUTSIDE CIA) TO atiE11211111 .11111,11r,9111631.V...11MIMISV Far NO2 3 8-1 3 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 *DOE REVIEW COMPLETED* Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Nue -1111151012111111111aL Now- s110111111111100EYSIMIIIIMON NO. 9 ? THE FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE PROGRAM (Prepared by the Central Intelligence Agency and concurred in by the Intelligence Advisory Committee) CONTENTS Page Back of Objective divider I. Coordination 1 II. National Estimates 1 III. Political, Social, and Cultural Intelligence 2 IV. Armed Forces Intelligence 3 V. Economic Intelligence 4 VI. Scientific and Technical Intelligence 5 VII. Psychological Intelligence 7 VIII. Geographic Intelligence 7 IX. Basic Intelligence 8 X. Warning of Attack 8 XI. Collection 9 XII. Support and Collation Facilities 12 49411111111.11111111111111111, MORI/CDF Pages 4-12, 14-21. Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 ILLEGIB Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 CONFTTWNTT A T. OBJECTIVE For the purpose of coordinating the intelligence activities of the several Government departments and agencies in the interest of national secu- rity, it shall be the duty of CIA, under the direction of the National Security Council ? (1) to advise the NSC in matters concerning such intelligence activi- ties of departments and agencies as relate to the national security; (2) to make recommendations to the NSC for the coordination of such intelligence activities of the departments and agencies as relate to the national security; (3) to correlate and evaluate intelligence relating to the national security, and provide for the appropriate dissemination of such intel- ligence within the Government using where appropriate existing agencies and facilities: provided, that CIA shall have no police, sub- poena, law enforcement powers, or internal security functions: pro- vided further, that the departments and other agencies shall continue to eollect, evaluate, correlate, and disseminate departmental intelli- gence: and provided further, that the Director of Central Intelligence shall be responsible for protecting intelligence sources and methods from unauthorized disclosure; (4) to perform, for the benefit of the existing intelligence agencies, such additional services of common concern as the NSC determines can be more efficiently accomplished centrally; (5) to perform such other functions and duties related to intelli- gence affecting the national security as the NSC may from time to time direct. ? National Security Act of 1947, as Amended CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 +OW TOP SECRET 3, Close coordination between planners and policy-makers on tee one hand and the intelligence community on the other is continually being pressed in an effort to make the intelligence produced both useful' -aid timely. The IAC mechanism is most useful when the NSC is furnished with a coordinated intelligence view in advance of the time when the policy is fixed. This is being done with increasing frequency and directress of application to the policy issues. 4. Special efforts are being made to get greater clarity in estimates generally. As a particular case, progress was made in NIE-65, "Soviet Bloc Capabilities (16 June 1953), over NIEe64, "Soviet Bloc Capabilities (12 November 1952): precision ard considerable through 1957", through Mid-1954!', a. Greater analytical precision in the section on political wa fare capabilities, which concentrates upon the critical areas of the world, and which distinguishes between the capability to overt tiro governments and the capability to influence governments and peoples, b. Greater emphasis on scientific and technical factors, wtich occupy about a quarter of the discussion in NIE-65. c. Greater clarity in the military strengths and capabilities sections, with fewer figures, more emphasis on military progrems, and a more specific analysis of Bloc air defenses and of Soviet capabilities to deliver atomic weapons in/the U.S. III. P0LITICAL,1 SOCIAL AM CULTURAL INTELLIGENCE 1. The status of political, social and cultural intelligence has been very good, due allowance being made for the paucity of informetion on the Soviet Orbit and the difficulties of collecting it. Facilities for the production of such intelligence, however, have been adequate only for the needs of the NSC and the most urgent needs of the IAC agencies. Less pressing demands have been met only partially and in- adequately. 2. The principal deficiency in this field, which varies from slight to serious, has been in the resources devoted to the exhaustive coverage and research on which sound estimates and analyses depend. Coverage of the USSR, the Eastern European Satellite comple4, and China, has been most nearly adequate. Relatively lower priority has been given to research on other areas, with and Southeast Asia at the upper end of the scale, graduating downward to Latin Amer- ica and Africa. The inadequacy of resources has been reflected chiefly in an inability to prosecute sustained research programs at all desired points. Nonetheless, there has remained sufficient flexibility to pro- duce individual studies of considerable depth on selected major preblems. NSC lg, No. 9-2 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP80R01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 TOP SEC P1' World Communism, outside the Soviet Orbit, has been satisfactorily .7a)vered with respect to party strength, political maneuverings and reationahips to the Moscow propaganda lines. Research into matters of organization, financial support and infiltration into political and social organiaations has been less satisfactory. IV. ARMED FORCFS INTELLIGENCE 1. Operational Intelligence Intelligence covering the combat zone area for the support cf current military operations in Korea is generally adequete. Mere still remains a serious deficiency in our ability to obtain timely identifica- tion of or information on the movements or locations of Chinese forces in all areas behind the immediate front line armies in Korea back thraugh Manchuria into China. Information on installations and on developTents in Manchuria, such as types and extent of training, reorganization ani resupply of the Chinese Communist Forces and North Korean units north of the Yalu River is inadequate. This deficiency remains substantially an- changed. Reliable information of the enemy's long-range plans and in:en- tions is practically non-existent. The extent of our information on Chinese Communist ae;ivIt in South China is inadequate. / The present level of informa- tion would be inadequate for support of operations by U.S. forces, however; inherent in any commitment of U.S. forces would be the rapid 'development of combat and operational intelligence efforts. A possible early augmentation of U.S. intelligence personnel in Indochina should improve present U.S. coverage in that area. Eowever, the picture for the major target area in Asia, I.e., Communist Chine_ is very dark. The achievement of any major improvement must depend on the in- crease in scope and efficiency of clandestine operations against military targets. 2. Order of Battle and Equipment .Order of battle and equipment information on the USSR, Communtst China and -- to a lesser degree -- the European Elatllites is partial and inadequate, primarily because of the extreme difficulty of collection. NSC 161 No. 9-3 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP80R01731R003500100007-0 Tut, SEC - "%err Intelligence on Communist Bloc units and equipment in most areas wit n which the United States or notions friendly to the United States are in eontact is more nearly complete and reliable 25X1 Coverage on order of battle intelligence and equipment 13 generally adequate in respect of nations outside of the Iron Curtain, except in the case of some neutral nations whose national policy restricts our access to such information. 3. Targeting The assembly and analysis of encyclopedic target data on economic and industrial vulnerabilities is well along for the Soviet Orbit and is in intermediate research stages for the Far Eaat; in- creasing research emphasis continues on military targets. Current target systems studies are reasonably adequate to support joint operational planning but more vigorous data collection efforts will be required eo maintain these studies on a current basis and to support extended evatems analysis to meet detailed service requirements. Initial production of dossiers for priority combat targets es almost complete for the USSR but coverage varies considerably for tee satellite and approach areas. Extensive tactical target coverage ees been completed on areas adjoining Korean theater but on other areas es In various stages of completion. 4. Support for the North Atlantic Treaty Ouanization (NATO) NATO requests have been filled with the best available inteeligence consistent with the National Disclosure Policy. Intelligence studies and Intelligence to assist in the establishment of basic intelligence files are provided, to the NATO Standing Group and NATO major commanas. Reeeas. able current studies and reports pertinent to the area and the mission of the NATO major commands are continuously provided. V-, ECONOMIC INTELLIGEME 1. Foreign economic intelligence on the free world presents fey serious problems, mainly those that arise from the wealth of material of variable ualit and from the multi licit of sources. 25X6 25X1 25X1 NSC 161 No. 9-4 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 TOP SEGEET Aire. 3. The target analysis and production activities outlined in Sectipn IV, Armed Forces Intelligence, continue to involve the large-scal:! pr.)cess- ing of foreigneconomic and technological dnta. 4. The heavy research requirements in the economic field maKe it imperative that duplicate efforts be kept at an absolute minimum. Closer integration of research programming among the various agencies coacerned with economic research for intelligence is being developed througa the Economic Intelligence Committee. VI. SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL INTELLIGENCE 1. Scientific and technical intelligence regarding the USSF an Satellities continued to make some progress during the first half of 1953. However, in the last analysis, production of realistic estimatel is still dependent upon securing information on Soviet objectives and progress. There continues to be improvement in the analysis and evaluf-.- tion of available information; however, the flow of information Cf a scientific and technical nature from conventional sources is becoming increasingly inadequate. As n consequence, there is an urgent need frr the further development and utilization of new and improved methcds ena techniques for the collection of scientific and technical intelligencL information. Efforts along these lines have progressed slowly Ir thE past six months, notwithstanding present potential in the fields of/ photographic reconnaissance. rsc 161 /To. 9-5 TOP six RET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Tut, SECFE91 vow 2. A review of the effects- afDCID 3/4 (which allocated rriMeTy production responsibilities between CIA and the departments of thE DE- partment of Defense and established the Scientific Estimates CommittEe (SEC)) was scheduled for the first half of 1953. In order to Irovido more time for an appraisal of the effects of this directive, the reviev hs been postponed until August 1953. NSC 161 No. 9-6 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved ForRelease2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 ui onunCT 5. Industrial Information Specialized data to meet departmental needs are maintaineA by the Defense Agencies. CIA collates all other types of foreign indastriel information, including research establishments doing industrial researct7 and development work. The material is maintained by individual estab- lishment and is controlled by a tabulating card indexing system. Ref- erences to industrial end-products are being indexed by tabulating machine methods to speed the analysis of data being supplied to all IAC agencies. 6. Photographs and Motion Picture Films The several Defense agencies and CIA each maintain photographee and related documentary libraries, including motion picture films, con- sistent with their requirements and responsibilities. Except for post- war coverage of Soviet and Satellite Areas, the photographic suppert is nearly adequate for present needs. 7. Map Procurement and Reference Service Procurement of foreign-published maps and information on magpini abroad is coordinated by serving an interagency map committee. Results during the past three years have proved the erfectiva- ness of overt collection of maps and related information through the Foreign Service Geographic Attache program. Increased emphasis is beitg placed on the collection of maps and engineering drawings from domestic sources. Service Attache channels are also being used. The currently published foreign maps required for intelligence activities are received on a continuing basis through exchange arrangements between the Eepart- ment of State and many foreign official mapping agencies. These exchanges are in addition to those of an operational character maintained ty the Military Service. Excellent map reference cerviee in support of inte1.1- gence requirements are maintained by close working arrangements letween the map libraries. 8. Foreign Language Publications Approval of NSCID 16 has given new impetus to cooperatiee 'ate activity in this field, and definite progress is being made towaed im- plementation of the directive. An interagency advisory committei= and its subcommittees are working on methos of improving the coordttation of procurement and exploitation of foreign language publications for intelligence purposes. CIA is taking action to centralize its librar reference, and indexing services for foreign language books and perieAeals, and to facilitate the use of such services by other agencies. Erforts are being made to coordinate operations, apportion the workload, and NSC 161 No. 9-14 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP80R01731R003500100007-0 ? %. Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 reduce duplication between the following activities; overseas aostraet7eng by US missions to satisfy the local and departmental needs; exploitatim by various agencies of technical and other publications to fulfil spefic requirements; and exploitation by CIA of foreign language publications fer information of interest to more than one intelligence agency. A cent. a:.. index of translations, maintained by CIA, prevents duplication botweon the translating activities carried on by each agency, and Makes the trans- lated product accessible to other intelligence consumers. Good coverage of foreign publications needed for the intelligence effort is now being obtained, although further intensive collecteon act:J:n should be undertaken with regard to Soviet Bloc and Communist Chenese publications. 9. External Research Flans for developing further coordination of external and con- tractual research in the social sciences (i.e., non-governmental of in rest to intelligence suffered modification when the Department of State fele obli ed o cut b I ? A- xternal Research staff. will permit continua- don o he existing program, but by no means full realization of the scale of operation which seemed to be in sight before the current budgetary allocations were determined. For the foreseeable future, thereftre, there will continue to be imperfections in the efforts to minimize duplication in external research, to insure community benefit from such reseerch ant. to facilitate the rational letting of external research contracte. Positive recommendations for a better balanced and intepratet program of research in the fields of psychological and unconventional warfare within the Department of Defense have been made by an advison group to the B. Action on the report has been deferred pendirw re- organization of the research end development program of the Deferse Department. The Economic Intelligence Committee plans to compile a report of all government sponsored economic external research on the Soviet Elcc classified through Secret. The report would include completed research, research in progress, and contemplated research. NSC 161 No. 9-15 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 ECKP / CIA 3631 tit (Fir al) 25 J?ugusl 1453 Copy No _II INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE NSC STATUS REPORT ON THE FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE PROGRAM 1. Attached for the information of the IAC agencier; is a copy of subject report as reproduced by the National Security Council Secretariat. 2. In view of the fact that this final issue is the same as IAC-D-55/4 (Revised), it is only being issued to members of the IAC in the form of a single copy for the record. RICHARD D. DRAIN Secretary IAC -D- /4 (Final) TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved ForRelease2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 COPY TOP SEC RT August 4, 1953 No. 9 - THE FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE PROGRAM (In concurring in this report, the IAC agencies wish to point out tnat the effects of recent budget cuts on intelligence activities canret te assessed at this time, and are therefore not reflected in this report.) I. COORDINATION 1. Coordination among the intelligence agencies, so eseentiae to, producing adequete intelligence for national security purposes and le reducing cost by avoiding duplication, is improving. There is ste.1 some duplication of effort which adds to the cost of intelligence, but steps are being taken continually to reduce this to a minimum. 2. On March 7, at the recommendation of the Director of Cent:ae Intelligence, with the concurrence of the members of the Intelligence Advisory Committee, the NSC issued NSCTD No. 16, directing tie DC1 to ensure coordination of procurement and processing of foreign language publications. No other recommendations for coordination have been made to the NSC during the past six months; however, several improvements in Intelligence coordination have been accomplished by mutual agreehe; among the intelligence agencies and others. There are at present, -01 addition to the Intelligence Advisory Committee established by WICID No. 1, nine interdepartmental committees to coordinate important intelligence programs in atomic energy, domestic exploitation, defection, waten .j.feo- cedures, economic intelligence, economic warfare intelligence, seieltific Intelligence, clandestine intelligence priorities and foreign laneuaee publications. II. NATIONAL ESTIMATES 1. The organization and procedures established since October 1950 for the production of national intelligence estimates contirue to operate satisfactorily. The totality of resources of the entire intelligence com- munity is drawn upon to produce national intelligence estimates, and they can be improved only as we strengthen these resources. These estimates derive authority,from the manner of their preparation and from thE, active participation of all the responsible intelligence agency heeds in their final review and adoption. Agency dissents are recorded where estimates would be watered down by further efforts to secure agreement. 2. A production program for national intelligence estimatee is pre- pared annually and reviewed quarterly at which time obligatcry charges are made. This program provides for a re-examination of existing EEti. mates on critical areas or problems as well as the production of nce estimates designed to improve the coverage arimportant topics. Coetinued emphasis is placed on the completion of basic estimates on tae USSR in advance of the review of US budget estimates and NATO plans, NSC 161 No. 9-1 TuP SD Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP80R01731R00350010000710 low 6. Some progress has been made in the exploitation of open selLntific literature and in research in depth on institutions, but knowledge ot basic scientific research and development behind the Iron Curtain rcmaire trade- quate. Information on Soviet long-range scientific development programs is similarly poor. Information on the quantity of Soviet scientifie and engineering manpower is reasonably adequate, but estimates of its itneity remain less satisfactory. In view of the increasing importance o h basic scientific information to the predIction of future Sovi-t a concentrated effort to improve intelligence in this field 13 plinn-t for the coming months. VII. PSYCHOLOGICAL INTELLIGENCE 1. Overt and covert propaganda and psychological warfare pregems have developed to an unprecedented degree in the past two yecrs. intelligence needs of these programs fall largely within the framewcfk of political and sociological intelligence. The orientation and organiza- tion of the material for the psychological warfare user calls for un- accustomed depth and detail both in the field reporting and a anni:Ynis. 2. The Department of State has created a Psychological Intelltgence Research Staff designed to increase coordination of governmental an4 private research in this field. 3. The final report of the Advisory Group on Psychological exu Unconventional Warfare to the Research and Development Board recommended methods by Which research in these fields might be better bulancee and Integrated within the Department of Defense. Because of thc petedirE reorganization of the research and development structure in the DoTert- ment of Defense, the report has not been acted upon. 4. A major deficiency in this field is the lack of in3ormte3ion and of coordinated effort nmong intelligence agencies in deterimeain4 reeist- ante ?Totential, psychological vulnerabilities, and of our propaanna erfectiveness with respect to target audiences behind the Curenin. Encouraging progress has been made individually by intelligence agencies In the development of an intelligence basis for the support of psycnolog- ical warfare activities. The results produced thus far do not meet operational requirements, in part because of the difficulty of defining those needs. VIII. GEOGRAPHIC INTELLIGENCE 1. Geographic research of IAC agencies on foreign areas, unuding evaluations of foreign mapping activities, is providing (a: regional studies, (b) objective and area analyses in support of covert upeeations, and (c) staff studies for policy and operational planning. Coorde.nated NSC 161 No. 9-7 iOP iCRST Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP80R01731R003500-innnn7_n . Approved For Release 2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP80R01731R003500100007-0 sErRT 25X geographic and map intelligence studies are also undertaken in suppert of the National Intelligence Suevey program. 2. Current geographic and mapping information on the Seviet Bice and adjacent aeeas is inadequate. Geographic intelligence research aives particular attention to the regional analysis of those geographic. P.,-ts that are required in support of planning and operational intellicen(( for these areas. Emphasis has been placed on the exploitation and utiliza- tion of available Russian technical literature in filling crtical f;aps. 25X] IX. BASIC INTELLIGENCE 1. The program of National Intelligence Surveys (NIS), whieh Iras begun in 1948 as an interdepartmental cooperative venture, was iateaded to meet with U. S. Government's demands for encyclopedic faceual gence. on a world-wide basis. Since the NIS program Was began 1,72') individual sections have been produced on 66 of the 108 NIS areas, gaich is the equivalent of approximately 26 complete NIS. Of this nutter, 1,224 have been published. For the first time during the history of the program, the rate of production by contributing agencies equivalent to 8 NIS, as established by the JCS, was attained in fiscal year 195q. Based. on this performance, a similar production program has been estab- lished for fiscal year 1954. 2. NIS production is scheduled in accordance with JCSJ3ricr ties and intelligence agency capabilities. Limitations of the lattei Lave pre- cluded production of NIS on all JCS high priority areas and made t neees- sary to undertake partial surveys on some other areas. However, HIE production on the group of 19 areas and 4 ocean areas of hiehest p-iority is approximately 54% complete, whereas the entire program if about complete. NIS on twelve individual areas are over 75% complete, arc five of these are in the JCS high piorivy list. Geographic res-arch aaport for NIS has been excellent. 3. In general the uality of the NIS is good, and can be exoc(ted to improve as the gaps in information are filled and revisions are pab,ished under the Maintenance Program which was started in fiscal year 1.95;!. How- ever, the time lag between production and publication still remnant; a prob- lem. Coordination within and between all IAC and non-IAC agencie3 engaged in the NIS program is excellent and suitable liaison is maintaine3 with the JCS. X. WARNING OF ATTACK 1. Conclusions concerning Soviet and Communist intentions to initiate hostilities et any given time must be tentative generalizations trawn from NSC 161 No. 9-8 TDP SE7RFT Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 * Approved For Release 2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP8OR01731R0035001000,97p70 . 0 s7rRiu inadequate evidence. They must usually be based on estimates of tha mrer- all situation, adjusted to available current factual' informatien... 2. The IAC Watch Committee provides an interagency mechanism fr:,r assuring that new, detailed information is quickly pooled and evaluetel. Maximum use is thus made of partial and inadequate information. In sueeort- ing the work of the committee, the intelligence agencies make carefai eross- checks of information from all sources against an elaborate analysie of possible indicators of Soviet intentions. This method ia not reliei exclusively; other approaches are constantly being tried. 3. In general there has been improvement during the past two and ene half years in the ability of intelligence to provide prompt notice and pre- liminary evaluations of events and developments in the Soviet a3 well as in the neutral and friendly areas. 4. Intelligence cannot assure adequate warning of attack -prior to actual detection of hostile formations.j Each agency maintains its own 24-hour Watch arrangements to handle any information that is received. Nor XI. COLLECTION 1. The Foreign Service In general, the collection activities of the Foreign S,rvi': itve been satisfactory. Intelligence needs have been met most ade(uatell la the political field, less so in certain aspects of the economic fiet-, end least satisfactorily in the scientific, technical and psychological i.ids. These deficiencies have been generally attributable to a lack of spa-Iii- ized personnel in those fields which are not closely related to the 5a31c diplomatic functions of the Foreign Service. Remedial action hs baEn taken by establishing a comprehensive economic reporting program ani e continuing program of providing Foreign Service posts witi more comoi:: and effective guidance on intelligence needs. Additional remedial meas- ures in progress concern; a. the greater use of overseas personnel of certain operational programs in collecting basic intelligence information, pareicularLy in the psychological and sociological fields, and, b. the recognition of the role of the Foreign Service in national intelligence effort through the revision of the Forein NSC 161 No. 9-9 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 TOP SECFET lbws Service Manual to include for the first time specific and detailed intelligence instructions. As a result of a recent study, measures to meet the needs for basic scientific information are being carried out. 2. Service Attache System The Service Attache System furnishes extensive useful militaey information on countries outside the Iron Curtain. Attaches in the Soviet Bloc countries obtain and transmit a considerable volume of valuable infor- mation, although under the restrictions imposed on them by Communist governments, the coverage which they provide cannot be considered adeuate. The Service Attache System has been strengthened since the beginnine ef the Korean conflict through the opening of new offices and the assignment )f additional officers to important posts. Constant efforts are being made to improve the collection capabilities of Service Attaches by the devslop- ment of new collection guides and techniques. 3. Overseas Commands Armed Forces Commands in Europe are acquiring extensive iafoe- mation, While intelligence collection on the Soviet Union itself is partial and made uate it is good in the Eastern Zone of Germany end Austria. Collection of intelligence in the Far East is adeeuate on friendly and neutral areas but is partial and inadequate on Communist China end Eastern Siberia. 4.. Aerial Reconnaissance Because of the overriding considerations of other than in I. - gence nature, the Armed Services have not as yet exploited ful-_y t1 1- overflight capabilities in aerial reconnaissance. Photo reconnaisedeee capabilities have incieased, with a resulting improvement in contrLb... tions in this field. The contributions of radar reconnaissance are -n y fair as compared to photo reconnaissance, but are being improved. Pr;o interpretation capability is generally deficient in the Armed Serv!sn corrective measures are underway. The use of photo intelligence in the analysis of economic and scientific developments in respect of the Soleet Orbit is being strengthened. Research and development effort es beel,r expended on free balloons, piloted and pilotless vehicles ("gu:ded missiles" and satellites) to overcome a lack of special reconnaissane vehicles. Research continues in the improvement of various delectene devices. NBC 161 No. 9-10 TOP EECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 Approved For Release 2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP80R01731R003500100007-0 ? ;FCRT'r- 5. (This paragraph is being given separate limited distrt.butiol for security reasons.) b. Propaganda Analysis Requirements of estimating offices and psycholOgial 4!arfAre activities have resulted in a slight shift in emphasis in the -.Dropaalia NSG 161 No. 9-11 TOP SECIE" Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 2 Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 TOP SEMI] r analysis effort, leading away from the preparation of weekly reviewl of the whole propaganda field and towards the production of more nutrter:Dul specialized propaganda studies on substantive intelligence problems. 8. Foreign Materials and Equipment Collection of Soviet bloc itets from overt sources has ine sed appreciably during the past six months and has provided useful data Ic economic and scientific intelligence and to the provram. While military operations in Korea have not led to the capture of many important military end-items since January, plans are under consideration for more intensive exploitation and analysis of captured explosives, pro- pellants and other material available in the Far Eastern theater. 25X1 25X1 25X1 The Joint Technical Intelligence Subcommil ,! of the JIC has absorbed the functions of the former Joint Materiel It '31.gence Agency in the collection and exploitation of foreign material:- XII. SUPPORT AND COLLATION FACILITIES Availability of Materials With few exceptions, all pertinent foreign positive inteniFence is distributed among all interested IAC agencies. In additior to thE distribution of current material, there is a continuing effort to locate and extract pertinent information from the large volume of intelligerce material that was collected during and after the war, both in the United NSC 161 No. 9-12 TOP SECPEY Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0 5X1 t Approved For Release 2009/05/11 : CIA-RDP80R01731R003500100007-0 lue 3ECRET !:States and overseas. The sheer volume of these materials present difficult problems of storage, analysis, and collation before they can be math readily available for research analysts and current intelligence purpo3es. Th e Use of microfilm and machine techniques is providing assistance in dea1in7-:with these problems. 2. Reference Facilities CIA provides a central reference facility for the IAC agenciee through its collection of basic intelligence documents receive:[ fr-D17. aLl sources. In addition, separate files of specialized intelligeace dnt3_ and materials are maintained to supplement the basic collection of the 1A: agencies. These include biographic data, industrial data, photographs and motion picture films. 3. Library Facilities Library services in the IAC agencies should become inreasinzLy effective as a result of new measures for interlibrary cooperation in publications procurement, indexing and. reference service. 4. Biographic Information Each IAC agency maintains a file of biographic data oi fo-eltra personalities in the categories for which they have been assigned basc responsibility, and makes such data available to the other agencies upon request. Excellent data can be made available on political, m1.1_- tacy, economic, and scientific personalities. The depth of ccrrera varies with the intelligence interest, and with availability of sou. 'Q material. In those Iron Curtain areas where information is not eas,PT obtained, the IAC agencies provide for more comprehensive cove:age -)f the press, radio, and scientific and technical literature. There an extensive programs for the exploitation of displaced persons,return- ing PW's, and defectors, as well as other personnel having a knowle:Lze of personalities in various areas. Every effort is made to include in dossiers that biographic information which is needed by intelligenct researchers, such as political orientation, ability, probable course of action, past career, reltci, marital status, associates, membership in cliques, location, etc. NSC 161 No. 9-13 TOP EECRET Approved For Release 2009/05/11: CIA-RDP8OR01731R003500100007-0