WESTERN PROSPECTS IMPROVE IN IRAQ

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80R01443R000200380007-3
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 7, 1998
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: July 27, 1954
• Content Type: BRIEF

DRAFT "Suffff
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WESTERN PROSPECTS IMPROVE IN IRAQ
I. Strong pro-Western Iraqi government likely soon to replace care-
taker cabinet under Prime Minister Umari.
A. This results from recent accord between two strongest Iraqi
leaders.
1. Nuri.Said ---mow willing to co-operate in forming a
government despite fact his Constitutional Union Party
only won plurality in 9 June elections.
King Faisal.
2. Crown Prince Abdul Ilah -- chief adviser to young/Prince,
who wields influence among parliamentary independents,
made trip to Europe to see Nuri.
B. Coalition government to be set up under Npri or his nominee.
1. Will contain five or six members of Nuri's party, and
three of four independents.
2. Because of Nuri's bitter opposition, Foreign Minister
Jamali, who negotiated US arms aid agreement, will not be
itabinet. May become ambassador to US.
3. Cabinet expected 14 take office after 29 July, when Nuri
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II. Conservative pro-Western coalition
A. Would give strength and stability to Iraqi government. How-
ever, social and economic reforms pushed by Jamali when prime
minister are falling by the wayside.
B. Will prove receptive to Turkish-Lgakistani approaches,
although experienced Nuri will be a hard bargainer and will
not proceed faster than the popular mood permits.
C. Iraqi extremists and Communists will bitterly oppose any
adherence to pact, but government should be able to control
the situation.
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