TALK OF NWC

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 18
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 16, 2001
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 23, 1973
• Content Type: SPEECH

Approves fforelease ?001/05,) CIA-RDP80B01554R003
1) INTEREST YOU AS NEWPORTERS
2) INTEREST - INDICATIVE GOING ON ENTIRE NAVY
WHAT ENDEAVORING DO NWC MIRRORS REQUIREMENT FOR. DEEPER THINKERS.
WORLD OUTSIDE USA IS CHANGED
27 YEARS COLD WAR
SALT CSCE MBFR
WHY A MILITARY?
NEED REAL STRATEGISTS
DIFFICULT - GAME RULES CHANGED
MUCH WORLD INSIDE USA CHANGED
OF YOUTH
LIFE BLOOD r
SMARTER, IDEALISTIC, CONFIDENT
SHIFTING GAS
NOT CHANGING FOR SAKE CHANGE
Navy Declassification/Release Instructions on File
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
INSERT HIS OWN GUESS AS TO THE MISSING QUANTITIES -
IN SHORT IN THE REALM OF TACTICS, MANY SOLUTIONS ARE NOT RIGHT
AND WRONG ANSWERS BUT PROBABILITIES. THERE IS SIMPLY A
GREATER OR LESSER PROBABILITY OF SUCCESS.
HERE TAKING SPECIFIC TACTICAL PROBLEMS.-
LOGIC TREE ILLUSTRATE FACTORS AFFECT HIS
PROBABILITY
NAVY MUST DEVELOP LEADERS WHO ARE THINKERS AND WHO CAN
THINK TERMS UNCERTAINITY BROAD STRATEGY, COMBINATION-PRECISE
ANALYSIS MZjAC;=ENT AND JUDGEMENT ON OBJECTI31 AN --E CUTION
AND THE PROBABILITIES OF TACTICS.
MUST STILL PRODUCE MEN TECHNICALLY COMPETENT
MUST ALSO ACCENT THE THINKING, REASONING AND ANALYTIC
PROCESS IN OUR OFFICER EDUCATION - WHAT ATTEMPTING
TO DO NWC
TQ. DO. "MUST GET REASONABLE SHARE BRIGI-TER YOUNG PEOPLE
VOLUNTEER FORCE
NEED YOUR HELP - BY ENSURING YOUTH GROW UP
UNDERSTANDING PROFESSION HONORABLE F
ON'T GET MEN WHO CAN DO THINKING I'VE DESCRIBED
NATIONAL SECURITY WILL DEPEND MORE THAN EVE/"ON THE
INTELLECTUAL FIBER OF OUR MILITARY LEADERS
WILL DEPEND WHETHER SMART ENOUGH TO STAY ABREASTiiiOF ENEMY
TECHNOLOGY 'ND TACTICS / IF WE NOT WI L NOT DETER/BECAUSE
THE E ='!Y WILL RECOGNIZE US A ; PAPER TIGE . THEREFORE
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
HOW DO WE PRODUCE OFFICERS/WHO ARE CAPABLE HANDLING VASTLY
MORE COMPLEX PROBLEM FROM INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY TO
MOTIVATING MODERN YOUTH? NOT EASY BECAUSE MOST OF A
NAVAL OFFICER'S EDUCATION4, AND PRACTICAL EXPERIENCE
1
INCULCATES IN HIM A VIEW OF A RATIONAL,, NEWTONIAN UNIVERSE
FOR EVERY CAUSE THERE IS AN EFFECT) FOR EVERY QUESTION
A RIGHT OR WRONG ANSWER
IN HIS VOCATIONAL EXPERIENCE:
AUTHORITORIAN CHAIN OF COMMAND -OBLIGATION OF
RESPONSIBILITY IS TO HAVE ANSWERS AND TRAINED
TO MAKE SPECIFIC DECISIONS.
TECHNICAL ENVIRONMENT - WHERE ANSWERS ARE;
RIGHT AND WRONG
IN HIS EDUCATIONAL EXPERIENCE:
ANNAPOLIS -
ENGINEERING ORIENTED.
POST GRADUATE -
LARGELY SCIENCES
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
FLEET TRAINING -
BRIEFINGS
SKILL PRACTICE f ACTIVITIES DO THIS
RIGHT-WRONG PROCEDURES
NO COMPLAINT WITH THIS
WE ARE A TECHNICAL SERVICE
TECHNICAL, PROFESSIONAL COMPETENCE IS FOREMOST
REQUIREMENT.
OUR EDUCATIONAL AND TRAINING ESTABLISHMENT DOES AN
OUTSTANDING JOB.
AS OFFICERS MOVE UP LADDER, HOWEVER, THEY MUST DEAL
INCREASINGLY WITH SITUATIONS LIKE STRATEGY AND
PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT THAT ARE NOT SIMPLE OR
DIRECT--OR SUSCEPTIBLE TO PRECISE RIGHT OR WRONG
ANSWERS
MY JOB IS TO FIND HOW TO EDUCATE PEOPLE TO DEAL WITH
SUCH ISSUES?
HOW TO GET OFFICERS TO RECOGNIZE SUBLETIES,
UNCERTAINTIES, INEXACTNESS MUCH DECISION
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
LET ME GIVE YOU A PRESIDENT'S PROGRESS REPORT ON WHAT
HAS PASSED, WHAT DOING NOW AND WHAT LIES AHEAD -
BEGAN YEAR TRYING TO PREPARE FUTURE STRATEGISTS-
DID THROUGH USE HISTORY
DISSECT DECISIONS OR STRATEGISTS OF PAST
HOW DO?
CASE STUDIES
THUYCIDIDES
SEA POWER vs LAND POWER
OVER EXTENDED
SPANISH-AMERICAN
IMPERIALISM
NOT THAT HISTORY WILL REPEAT
R ANSWERI `G QUESTIONS LIKE THESE?
25 YEARS AGO TWO OF TODAY`S STAUNCHEST
ALLIES WERE PRINCIPAL ENEMIES
WHAT DOES A MULTI--POLAR WORLD MEAN?
WORLD HARDLY EVER BEEN BI-POLAR SINCE
CASE STUDIES 2500 YEARS AGO IN
THUYCIDIDES' GREECE
4
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
CLEARLY QUESTIONS LIKE NO EASY, PRECISE ANSWERS.
THEREFORE MOST WE CAN GIVE MID-CAREER STUDENTS EMERGING
INTO LESS PRECISE WORLD OF SOCIAL RATHER PHYSICAL SCIENCES,
IS EXPERIENCE OF INTENSE THINKING - OF REASONING, LOGIC
AND FAMILIARITY HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE.
THINKING PROCESS 11IQT_.EACTI7AL ABSORPTION
HOW? DIG OUT FOR SELVES
ONLY ON CAMPUS FIVE HOURS
TWO LECTURES - ONE SEMINAR
THREE BOOKS - ESSAY
TWO EXAMS
IDEA - FORCE DIG OUT THE MANY FACETS STRATEGY DECISIONS -
FIND THAT BROAD STRATEGY IS MADE BY USING GOBS OF JUDGMENT
MIDST UNCERTAINTY.
INDICATIONS - SUCCESS - PROFESSORS
MANAGEMENT TRI-MESTER
JUST BEGUN THIS MONTH
TODAY'S OFFICERS ARE MANAGERS MORE THAN EVER BEFORE
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
WHAT KIND ISSUES OFFICER FACE AS MANAGERS?
#1 PERSONNEL
#2 HOW SPEND SHORTAGE DOLLARS GET MOST DIVIDEND.
DLGN'S $200M/COPY
FAR SUPERIOR DE'S
3-4 TIMES AS COSTLY
NEED PERFORMANCE IN SOME SITUATIONS
NOT IN OTHERS
WHAT MIX?
$1B - 5 or 20
2 & 12
6
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
DIFFICULT TEACH AGAIN NO PRECISE RULES
MUST START BY DETERMINE OBJECTIVES
IMPRECISE - LIKE STRATEGY
HAVING DEFINED OBJECTIVES
MUST MAKE CHOICES - 4 DLGN OR 20 DE
IN DOING ANALYSIS
MORE PRECISE
HAVING CHOSEN MUST EXECUTE
MANAGEMENT -- PROBLEMS - MAKING CHOICES -
COMBINES STRUCTURED METHODOLOGY OF TECHNOLOGY WITH
THE IMPRECISE APPROACH OF SOCIAL SCIENCE.
FINALLY, ERA DWINDLING FORCES MUST PAY ATTENTION MORE EVER
GETTING MOST 'FROM WHAT HAVE
THIS THIRD PORTION OF COURSE BEGINS IN EARLY APRIL - TACTICS
TACTICAL INTERACTIONS ARE THEORETICALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE OF MATHEMATICAL.ESTTMATION
OF COURSE, THERE ARE PROBLEMS -
WE DO NOT YET KNOW HOW TO QUANTIFY SOME
OF THE VALUES IN OUR EQUATIONS:
RAIN? .
HUMAN PERFORMANCE?
RADAR ANOMALIES?
ALTHOUGH THOUGHT PROCESS IS SYSTEMATIC.
D7-CI' SIO`v Y= ER MAY HAVE TO
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
WHETHER WE WILL BE FORCED INTO EMPLOYING MILITARY POWE OR
NOT
IS LIKELY TO $E TN LARGE PART A PRODUCT OF THE
INTELLECTUAL CAPABILITY HAT YOUR ARMED FORCES POSSESS.
AS YOU CERTAINLY CAN TELL, I AM EXCITED AT BEING IN TODAY'S
NAVY, AND AT THE NAVAL WAR COLLEGE. / I =' SEE TOMORROW'S
NAVY AND THE NW EVEN MORE CHALLENGING AND REWARDING
WE'RE LEASED AT PROGRESS OF NEW CURRICULUM AND GRATEFUL PROJECTED EXPANSION/CONS 'PION
IS ON TRACK. SPRUANCE ON LINE,/ CONNOLY RtADY
l
LATER THIS YEAR./ACADEMIC II APPROVED LOOK
FORWARD TO A LONG AND PROSPEROUS RELATIONSHIP
WITH NEWPORT
WITH SUPPORT OF CITIZENS LIKE YOU/I AM CONFIDENT
THAT WE WILL FIND WITHIN TODAY'S OFFICERS AT NWC
AND THE YOUTH NOW COMING IN THE NAVY/ THE INTELLECTUAL
LEADERSHIP THAT WILL KEEP OUR NAV AND OUR NATION
STRONG AND SAFE
THANK YOU .
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
TALK OF.NWC
1) INTEREST YOU AS NEWPORTERS
2) INTEREST - INDICATIVE GOING ON ENTIRE NAVY
WHAT ENDEAVORING DO NWC MIRRORS REQUIREMENT FOR DEEPER TJINKERS.
1) WORLD OUTSIDE USA IS CHANGED
27 YEARS COLD WAR
SALT CSCE MBFR
WHY A MILITARY?
NEED REAL STRATEGISTS
DIFFICULT - GAME RULES CHANGED
2) MUCH WORLD INSIDE USA CHANGED
CHANGE OUR SOCIETY IS ATTITUDE AND CAPABILITIES
OF YOUTH
LIFE BLOOD
SMARTER, IDEALISTIC, CONFIDENT
SHIFTING GAS
NOT CHANGING FOR SAKE CHANGE
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
HOW DO WE PRODUCE OFFICERS WHO ARE CAPABLE HANDLING VASTLY
MORE COMPLES PROBLEMS FROM INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY TO
MOTIVATING MODERN YOUTH? NOT EASY BECAUSE MOST OF A
NAVAL OFFICER'S EDUCATIONAL AND PRACTICAL EXPERIENCE
INCULCATES IN HIM A VIEW OF A RATIONAL, NEWTONIAN UNIVERSE.
FOR EVERY CAUSE THERE IS AN EFFECT, FOR EVERY QUESTION
A RIGHT OR WRONG ANSWER.
IN HIS VOCATIONAL EXPERIENCE:
AUTHORITORIAN CHAIN OF COMMAND -OBLIGATION OF
RESPONSIBILITY 7:S TO HAVE ANSWERS AND TRAINED
TO MAKE SPECIFIC: DECISIONS.
TECHNICAL ENVIRC)NMENT - WHERE ANSWERS ARE
RIGHT AND WRONG
IN HIS EDUCATIONAL EXPERIENCE:
ANNAPOLIS -
ENGINEERING ORIENTED.
POST GRADUATE -
LARGELY SCIENCES
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
BRIEFINGS t
SKILL PRACTICE ( ACTIVITIES DO THIS
NO COMPLAINT WITH THIS
WE ARE A TECHNICAL SERVICE
TECHNICAL, PROFESSIONAL COMPETENCE IS FOREMOST
REQUIREMENT.
OUR EDUCATIONAL AND TRAINING ESTABLISHMENT DOES AN
OUTSTANDING JOB.
AS OFFICERS MOVE UP LADDER, HOWEVER, THEY MUST DEAL
INCREASINGLY WITH SITUATIONS LIKE STRATEGY AND
PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT THAT ARE NOT SIMPLE OR
DIRECT--OR SUSCEPTIBLE TO PRECISE RIGHT OR WRONG
ANSWERS
MY JOB IS TO FIND HOW TO EDUCATE PEOPLE TO DEAL WITH
SUCH ISSUES?
HOW TO GET OFFICERS TO RECOGNIZE SUBLETIES,
UNCERTAINTIES, INEXACTNESS MUCH DECISION
PROCESS?
Approved For Release 2001/09705 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
LET ME GIVE YOU A PRESIDENT'S PROGRESS REPORT ON WHAT
HAS PASSED, WHAT DOING NOW AND WHAT LIES AHEAD -
BEGAN YEAR TRYING TO PREPARE FUTURE STRATEGISTS-
DID THROUGH USE HISTORY
DISSECT DECISIONS OR STRATEGISTS OF PAST
HOW DO?
CASE STUDIES
THUYCIDIDES
SEA POWER vs LAND POWER
OVER EXTENDED
SPANISH-AMERICAN
IMPERIALISM
NOT THAT HISTORY WILL REPEAT
BUT TODAY'S NAVAL OFFICER MUST COPE THESE PRINCIPLES
IN ANSWERING QUESTIONS LIKE THESE?
WHO ALLIES WILL BE IN NEXT GENERATION?
25 YEARS AGO TWO OF TODAY'S STAUNCHEST
ALLIES WERE PRINCIPAL ENEMIES
WHAT DOES A MULTI-POLAR WORLD MEAN?
WORLD HARDLY EVER BEEN BI-POLAR SINCE
CASE STUDIES 2500 YEARS AGO IN
THUYCIDIDES' GREECE
Approved For Release 2001/09005 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
CLEARLY QUESTIONS LIKE NO EASY, PRECISE ANSWERS.
THEREFORE MOST WE CAN GIVE MID-CAREER STUDENTS EMERGING
INTO LESS PRECISE WORLD OF SOCIAL RATHER PHYSICAL SCIENCES,
IS EXPERIENCE OF INTENSE THINKING - OF REASONING, LOGIC
AND FAMILIARITY HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE.
THINKING PROCESS NOT FACTUAL ABSORPTION
HOW? DIG OUT FOR SELVES
ONLY ON CAMPUS FIVE HOURS
TWO LECTURES - ONE SEMINAR
THREE BOOKS - ESSAY
TWO EXAMS
IDEA - FORCE DIG OUT THE MANY FACETS STRATEGY DECISIONS -
FIND THAT BROAD STRATEGY IS MADE BY USING GOBS OF JUDGMENT
MIDST UNCERTAINTY.
INDICATIONS - SUCCESS - PROFESSORS
MANAGEMENT TRI-MESTER
JUST BEGUN THIS MONTH
TODAY'S OFFICERS ARE MANAGERS MORE THAN EVER BEFORE
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
WHAT KIND ISSUES OFFICER FACE AS MANAGERS?
#1 PERSONNEL
#2 HOW SPEND SHORTAGE DOLLARS GET MOST DIVIDEND.
DLGN'S $200M/COPY
FAR SUPERIOR DE'S
3-4 TIMES AS COSTLY
NEED PERFORMANCE IN SOME SITUATIONS
NOT IN OTHERS
WHAT MIX?
$1B - 5 or 20
2 & 12
Approved For Release 2001/095 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
DIFFICULT TEACH AGAIN NO PRECISE RULES
MUST START BY DETERMINE OBJECTIVES
IMPRECISE -- LIKE STRATEGY
HAVING DEFINED OBJECTIVES
MUST MAKE CHOICES - 4 DLGN OR 20 DE
IN DOING ANALYSIS
MORE PRECISE
HAVING CHOSEN MUST EXECUTE
MANAGEMENT - PROBLEMS MAKING CHOICES -
COMBINES STRUCTURED METHODOLOGY OF TECHNOLOGY WITH
THE IMPRECISE APPROACH OF SOCIAL SCIENCE.
FINALLY, ERA DWINDLING FORCES MUST PAY ATTENTION MORE EVER
GETTING MOST FROM WHAT HAVE
THIS THIRD PORTION OF COURSE BEGINS IN EARLY APRIL -- TACTICS
TACTICAL INTERACTIONS ARE THEORETICALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE OF MATHEMATICAL ESTIMATION
OF COURSE, THERE ARE PROBLEMS -
1. WE DO NOT YET KNOW HOW TO QUANTIFY SOME
OF THE "VALUES IN OUR EQUATIONS:
RAIN?
HUMAN PERFORMANCE?
RADAR ANOMALIES?
ALTHOUGH THOUGHT PROCESS IS SYSTEMATIC.
DECISION MAKER MAY HAVE TO
7
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
INSERT HIS OWN GUESS AS TO THE MISSING QUANTITIES -
IN SHORT IN THE REALM OF TACTICS, MANY SOLUTIONS ARE NOT RIGHT
AND WRONG ANSWERS BUT PROBABILITIES. THERE IS SIMPLY A
GREATER OR LESSER PROBABILITY OF SUCCESS.
HERE TAKING SPECIFIC TACTICAL PROBLEMS -
LOGIC TREE ILLUSTRATE FACTORS AFFECT HIS
PROBABILITY
NAVY MUST DEVELOP LEADERS WHO ARE THINKERS AND WHO CAN
THINK TERMS UNCERTAINITY BROAD STRATEGY, COMBINATION PRECISE
ANALYSIS MANAGEMENT AND JUDGEMENT ON OBJECTIVES AND EXECUTION
AND THE PROBABILITIES OF TACTICS.
MUST STILL PRODUCE MEN TECHNICALLY COMPETENT
MUST ALSO ACCENT THE THINKING, REASONING AND ANALYTIC
PROCESS IN OUR OFFICER EDUCATION - WHAT ATTEMPTING
TO DO NWC
TO DO MUST GET REASONABLE SHARE BRIGHTER YOUNG PEOPLE
VOLUNTEER FORCE
NEED YOUR HELP - BY ENSURING YOUTH GROW UP
UNDERSTANDING PROFESSION HONORABLE
WON'T GET MEN WHO CAN DO THINKING I'VE DESCRIBED OUR
NATIONAL SECURITY WILL DEPEND MORE THAN EVER ON THE
INTELLECTUAL FIBER OF OUR MILITARY LEADERS.
WILL DEPEND WHETHER SMART ENOUGH TO STAY ABREAST OF ENEMY
TECHNOLOGY AND TACTICS. IF WE NOT WILL NOT DETER BECAUSE
THE ENEMY WILL RECOGNIZE US A A PAPER TIGER. THEREFORE
8
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2
WHETHER WE WILL BE FORCED INTO EMPLOYING MILITARY POWER OR
NOT IS LIKELY TO HE IN LARGE PART A PRODUCT OF THE
INTELLECTUAL CAPABILITY THAT YOUR ARMED FORCES POSSESS.
AS YOU CERTAINLY CAN TELL, I AM EXCITED AT BEING IN TODAY'S
NAVY, AND AT THE NAVAL WAR COLLEGE. I ,SEE TOMORROW'S
NAVY AND THE NWC EVEN MORE CHALLENGING AND REWARDING --
WE'RE PLEASED AT PROGRESS OF NEW CURRICULUM --
AND GRATEFUL PROJECTED EXPANSION/CONSTRUCTION
IS ON TRACK. SPRUANCE ON LINE, CONNOLY READY
LATER THIS YEAR. ACADEMIC II APPROVED -- LOOK
FORWARD TO A LONG AND PROSPEROUS RELATIONSHIP
WITH NEWPORT
WITH SUPPORT OF CITIZENS LIKE YOU I AM CONFIDENT
THAT WE WILL FIND WITHIN TODAY'S OFFICERS AT NWC
AND THE YOUTH NOW COMING IN THE NAVY, THE INTELLECTUAL
LEADERSHIP THAT WILL KEEP OUR NAVY AND OUR NATION
STRONG AND SAFE.
THANK YOU .
Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003500320001-2