INTERNATIONAL STUDIES ASSOCIATION (WASHINGTON CHAPTER) ALUMNI ASSOCIATION OF SAIS
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP80B01554R002900270001-5
Release Decision:
RIFPUB
Original Classification:
K
Document Page Count:
17
Document Creation Date:
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date:
July 16, 2001
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
February 27, 1979
Content Type:
SPEECH
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
![]() | 801.51 KB |
Body:
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
INTERNATIONAL STUDIES ASSOCIATION
(Washington Chapter)
ALUMNI ASSOCIATION OF SAIS
27 February 1979
Thank you very much. Secret Intelligence in a Free Society. I
asked to talk about that because I hear differing opinions in our
country today. There are some people who contend that secret intelli-
gence is still a threat to our society, still out of control. On the
other hand, there are others who contend that the restrictions imposed
upon intelligence activities in our country today have hobbled us
because of the desire to protect our freedoms. And yet I hear another
strain of opinion which says we don't care about either of those, but
we're concerned that the intelligence is not good enough. You didn't
predict the 1973 Arab/Israeli war, you didn't predict the demise of the
Shah, we don't care what it takes, we want to be informed. Well, what
I'd like to look at with you in my remaining 19 minutes--I will run
over--is how the attitudes of our country towards its foreign affairs
today are evolving and what that means in terms of needs for intelligence
and then whether we can meet those needs for secret intelligence while
still protecting our freedoms.
It seems to me today that our country is somewhere in between the
traditional activist/interventionist cold war attitudes and a new defini-
tion of the finite limits that exist on our ability to influence and
control events abroad. Now this raises a problem because when we are
in a transition phase, there is still the instinctive tendency to reach
back for the old interventionist responses on the one hand, and there is
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
an uncertainty on the other as to just which of the new responses are
likely to be applicable to a particular situation. And as a result,
since you cannot turn foreign policy on and off like a faucet, it may
seem to others that we are confused as we turn on a little hot and a
little cold to make it come out tepid. Clearly, friends and allies
around the world today have a sense of unease during this transition
of American attitudes toward their responsibilities abroad. Even some
of those countries that criticized us most for our previous interventions
are today asking has the United States withdrawn from the international
scene. The United States, of course, cannot withdraw.
What then are the limits of our ability and our willingness to play
a role on that world scene? Well I think there are four particular
limits that are exercised today. The first of these is the much greater
visibility today of foreign policies and particularly foreign interventions.
The great revolution of the last several decades in international communi-
cations means that whatever we and our free world allies do on the
international scene, is instantly known around the world. And it also
means that there will be wide spread attention to those things that we do
and with that, either criticism or approbation. Now I don't really know
how to explain it but I do perceive that there is a clear power to
influence by means of such criticism or approbation from the international
community even though that community, for the most part, is composed of
countries that are only second or third rate powers. In effect today
limits or constraints are being forged by the cries of the powers. For
instance, in some endeavors no matter what the major powers or industrial
nations of the world want they cannot move unless the lesser developed
Approved For Release 201/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80B01554R002900270001-5
countries will go along with it. Today there is a Law of the Sea Conference.
Today there are efforts in the United Nations for anti-hijacking, anti-
hostage sanctions. Today there is a World Administrative Radio Conference
that will set the use of radio frequencies for the next two decades.
These types of activities are those in which one country has one vote and
the efforts of other nations to influence those activities by exercising
political or military influence will not likely be successful.
A second form of limitation on our ability to intervene overseas today
derives from the fact that the enemies of monolithic Communism have been
punctured. It is no longer easy to decide to what side we want to be on
in the international arena and to decide where we might want to intervene.
Look at some of the choices this country had in 1978. There was a war
in the Ogaden of Ethiopia and the side that the Soviets were against was
represented by a Marxist dictator who was the aggressor in that war.
Look later in Cambodia where the side that the Soviets were against was
probably the most repressive regime in the world today, that of Pol Pot.
And look even at the recent events in Iran and what choice faced this
country as there stood before us on one hand a trusted, a loyal ally who
had been with us and supported by us for years; and on the other hand,
we could have selected and thrown our lot with some Ayatollah who
might bring together all of the great discontent that was bubbling in
that country. Difficult choices because the white hats and the black
hats are not so easy to distinguish today.
A third limitation on possible intervention is our lesser ability
today to effect change even if we do intervene. We're circumscribed by
several factors. The first is the attitude of fie on both the House
3
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80B01554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
of Romanov and Washington. Yugoslavia, Albania says spy on all three of
us. Iraq is anti-U.S., becoming more and more anti-Communist. And so
if we try to influence by political pressure we may simply find people
thumbing their noses at us. If instead we try to influence by military
pressure, we also find that the state of weaponry in the world today is
such that even minor powers with modestly sophisticated, relatively
inexpensive weapons can do terribly disruptive, defensive things to major
military powers. They are on the swing of the military pendulum towards
the easy defense. Of course I need not remind us with our Vietnam
experience--and today it is ironic those same Vietnamese are facing that
same situation with Pol Pot. In short, the chances for a success if we
intervene overseas today, either militarily or politically, are greatly
lessened.
And finally, another limit on the ability to intervene is that when
national interests are evolving, changing like they are today, it is
more difficult to gain consensus within our country as to what objective
may be worth intervention. After Vietnam it appeared there was a
consensus in this country that no intervention, at least short of the
Warsaw Pact invasion of Western Europe, was worthwhile. After the
1973-74 oil embargo, it seemed to me there was more attention towards
the Middle East. But the recent clamor over Iran has not been to
intervene in that country but rather to presume that if the CIA had
provided us perfect intelligence, somehow the result would have come out
differently. There's been little discussion on what we could have done
to influence events in Iran. In addition, I think this country is much
more aware today than in the past that countries like Indonesia, the
4
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Sudan, Egypt, were all submerged under the red tide of Soviet Communism
only -zo find that in time a new wave brought them back to the surface of
freedom. And so today we question in this country not only our ability
to influence events abroad but the need to do so.
Under these circumstances what is the role of intelligence as our
nation passes through this transition in our outlook on foreign affairs.
Primarily we can provide reliable information as a base for the country
to update its objectives. And if we are less able today, as I believe,
to influence current events abroad, I think this may mean that forecasting
the trends that we see for the future is perhaps a more important role
for us than heretofore. We need to anticipate the requirements of our
policy makers, what should they be prepared for, what can they hedge
against or possible ward off, or what can they shape if they take a
longer term view of the situation. For instance, it may mean less
emphasis on predicting exactly how many missiles the Soviets are going
to have a decade from now and more interest in what are some of the
crunches that the Soviet leadership is going to face when, on the one
hand, they have a sagging economy and, on the other hand, a policy of
constant 3 to 4 percent increase in the growth of their defense budget
and what will the alternatives that leadership faces be. Will it be
practical in talk of reductions in the armaments and defense expenditures
or will it be more likely to talk in terms of the aggressive use of
those arms to cover up the other problems.
If we're going to provide information on such trends and alterna-
tives, we in the Intelligence Community must be able to collect and
analyze a wide variety of topics across the entire globe. Some of this
5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
will be analysis of military intelligence. Here we are very good. This
is our stock in trade. Our technical expertise in the United States
Intelligence Community in the military sphere is without equal. But we
must, of course, to meet these needs for looking at the trends I have
described, shift more of our resources I believe over time into economic
intelligence. And here we are very good also. We have, I believe, in
the Intelligence Community the best international economic analytic
talent in our government and in our country. But economic intelligence
may well be much more important if we are, in fact, looking towards long
term trends. Because if we are going to influence long term trends, this
is the forte of the United States, for the Soviets can compete with us in
the military sphere but not in the economic.
And finally, we clearly must also give way and give more attention
to political intelligence. And here is our most difficult sphere. It is
imprecise, there is less hard data, and it is especially difficult to
predict short term coups, upheavals, aggressions, and assassinations. I
wonder how many of you think that Lenin or Sun Yat Sen or Ayatollah
Khomeini really predicted when and how the revolutions that they sponsored
were going to take place. I understand Sun Yat Sen was in Colorado. If
we're going to predict, however, these political trends, I think we must
concentrate our intelligence more on the undercurrents, the less obvious
activities, the activities of opposition and dissent. And here I need
not explain that there are very real inhibiting factors, particularly
when one deals with an old friend or an ally. It is very difficult
sometimes to explain why one trucks with his opposition.
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
But we must find the right balance between military, economic and
political intelligence and to do so we must consider two factors. First,
what do the policy makers want and need. Now intelligence cannot advocate
policy, one or the other. It must stand in between and distinguish
between pushing for this policy and explaining what the policy alternatives
and what the alternative implications of those policies will be; what
intelligence officers must study in those areas where the policy makers
are making policy, what good would it do to analyze Africa if the policy
makers are working in Asia. And so if we are doing our job, it sometimes
appears as though we are deliberately supporting policy. And well we
should but we should support policy only to the extent that good information
always influences ideas. We must not, cannot, and do not become advocates.
The second factor in the balance between these three forms of
intelligence must be that in addition to responding to the needs of the
policy maker, we must stand back and look at the broad scene and say,
what do the policy makers need to know that they are neglecting, that
they are not looking at, what will come up and bite them tomorrow because
they are too preoccupied today. And so we have a difficult challenge
to stay disengaged from policy formulation, hut to stay closely attached
to the policy makers both in terms of supporting them today and nudging
and guiding them towards their needs tomorrow.
The only time that we engage in support of policy is in what is
known as covert action. And covert action, as unpopular as it is, is a
non-intelligence activity but one that has, since 1947, always been
assigned to the Central Intelligence Agency whenever this country was
7
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
going to undertake it. And here covert action is defined as the effort
to influence events in foreign countries without the source of that
influence being known. But besides that, intelligence officers are not
in the role of supporting or advocating policy.
Let me quickly go back to the three questions I posed at the begin-
ning. Are we too circumscribed, are we hobbled today in the covert
action field? Perhaps yes. Too many notifications, clearances which
promote too many possibilities for leakage when the cost of a leak may be
exceptionally high either in life, limb or diplomacy. In intelligence
collection? No. I don't think so, at least not at this time. There are
dangers, of course, of going overboard in the amount of controls and
regulations that we have. But the controls today that hobble intelligence
are mainly those that interface with the American citizen and here,
sometimes, we are circumscribed in a damaging way. Sometimes we are
collecting information about foreign drug traffickers and in the course
of that there's an interface between the foreigner and an American
citizen and we have no option but to drop the issue and get out.
But on balance, it is my judgment at this time that these restrictions,
while they do inhibit to some extent, are working for two reasons. One,
they give assurance to the American public that we are not out of control.
And secondly, they introduce into the Intelligence Community itself a
sense of accountability and responsibility that has not been strong
enough in years past. So I think we are finding that right balance. And
in answer to the second question, no, our intelligence activities are not
a threat to Americans today. They are not out of control. The oversight
8
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
procedures of the President himself, of his Intelligence Oversight Board,
of the two oversight committees of Congress give ample check that the
guidelines that have been given to us are, in fact, being enforced.
And finally, are we good enough. I'm not the man to ask but my
answer to you would be yes. There have been inevitable reductions of
capability that I have mentioned and others through the proliferation of
leaks of classified information, through the lack of public support for
our necessary activities. But still, on balance, I believe that we can
live with these factors and that we can do the job that needs to be
done. Sometimes there is an oversimplification of the problems and
short term issues are blown up into much bigger ones than they are. But
on balance, I believe we are, can and will provide our policy makers the
kind of support that they require.
In short, we are today in this country emerging into a new generation
of intelligence activities. The world has changed around us. The U.S.
role in that world has changed. And hence, the Intelligence Community
of our country must change also. So with any change as fundamental as
this is today, there is bound to be disquiet, there's bound to be
discontent, there's bound to be concern that we're throwing out the baby
with the bath water. And certainly we must be careful. But I am
convinced the adjustments that we are making, have made, and will make
even further with the important legislative charters that I hope the
Congress will enact this session; these, I believe are continuing to
point us towards the capability to obtain and analyze that information
which is essential as a basis for our foreign policy and yet to do so in
ways that will only strengthen the freedom, the standards, the morals of
our country. Thank you.
9
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
QUESTIONS & ANSWERS
Q: Shouldn't intelligence that you gather, not military intelligence,
that is political and economic intelligence, (tape turned)
A: I think the answer to that is that in the last two years I have tried
very hard to do more of what you are suggesting. We have published
more in an unclassified form in the last two years than ever before:
a major study on the world energy prospects, a major study of the
Soviet economy, the Chinese economy, international terrorism, the
Soviet defense budget, and many others which are available to all of
you through the Library of Congress and the National Technical
Information Service of the Department of Commerce. But some of the
intelligence, even in economics and political arenas, that we produce
comes from extremely sensitive information and therefore if we
publish it, we have lost it for good. So we have to strike a balance.
And what we do is we take any classified report and we ask ourselves,
if we delete from it that which would lose us the source of that
information or that which uniquely gives President Carter an advantage
by having it and it not being known that he has it, is there enough
corpus left to be of value to the American public. And if it will
enlighten the American debate on an important topic like world
energy, we then publish it. It's difficult for us because sometimes
you cannot publish all the rationale that goes with it and it looks
sometimes like somewhat superficial analysis. So we have a difficult
balance to make here but we are trying to come as far as we can in
the direction you suggested.
Q: Admiral, I would like to ask what is the Communist threat as opposed
to the Khomeini government in Iran?
A: What is the Communist threat opposed to the Khomeini government in Iran?
Today, the left in Iran is emerging in a number of guises. There is
the Charik terrorist group, Marxist terrorists who sided with
Khomeini in the course of the revolution against the Shah, who now
are very clearly challenging him, attacking the U.S. Embassy, and so
on. There is the traditional Tudah party becoming more active.
There is a new Maoist communist party in Iran and we're not sure how
many other smaller leftist, communist oriented groups there are.
But what has happened I'm afraid is that those sources of cohesion
that played on the same team in order to achieve a common objective
of the overthrow of the Shah are now playing against each other; and
with the demise, for the time being, of the military, it is very
much imbalanced as to whether Khomeini can gain control over these
better organized, more militant leftist groups.
Q: Admiral, I think the CIA and the Peace Corps are the only two agencies
in the federal government who prohibit the military personnel with
intelligence backgrounds from serving in their agencies. I wonder
if you would discuss the statutes that led you to conclude that
prior military intelligence personnel should not serve with your
Agency.
10
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
A: Having retired from the military two months ago, the lesson here,
ladies and gentlemen, is you just can't believe what you read in the
press. I have never made a ruling against hiring military retirees...
please come over. I hired one yesterday as well as keeping myself
on the payroll when I retired. Now what I have said is that I will
not hire a CIA or a military retiree to come in and do a job which I
find within the Central Intelligence Agency I have the talent to
promote and fulfill the job from inside. I owe it to my younger
people and my greatest emphasis out there is to make room for the
young, brilliant people we have to realize there is a career there
for them and that they can see the opportunity ahead. Because if we
don't, we won't have the Central Intelligence Agency in 1989 and I
feel a responsibility to assure that that's the case.
Q: Sir, you spoke very articulately of the limits on American intelligence
right now. I note a contrast though that the fact that in Soviet
journals and newspapers they attack each of your four categories on
almost precisely the opposite on Soviet capacity. I won't bother
to go through the four areas, but they find precisely the opposite
right now. We're talking about limits, they're talking about
opportunities. You and I were both at the Officers Conference at
IISS in September and I recall a very distinguished intellectual
making the statement that perhaps the United States, or perhaps the
most important problem in the world today was that the United States
was now engaged in a massive overreaction to a overreaction, meaning
an overreaction to the overreaction of the Vietnamese war. In view
of the fact that the President of the United States made a statement
announcing in advance that in several very critical situations the
United States will not intervene, therefore automatically giving
away the last card, and that you have given a speech on the limits
of the United States. How would I, say as a Thai or a Mexican or a
person from any number of critical countries that must be anxious
about American capacities and even more anxious about Soviet capacities,
respond to your address tonight on limits?
A: Why are we emphasizing limits when the Soviets are emphasizing capabil-
ities and how do we explain this approach to international affairs
to other countries? Let me suggest that I do not grade these
four limits as something I thought we should create, establish,
have. I think they are facts of life. I think they are facts that
we are facing, not facts that we have cause to come about by deliberate
intent. Therefore, I think we are facing the realities of life in a
democratic society in this age. And the fact that we are adapting
to them and finding a foreign policy that suits this country in the
face of those limitations and with it an intelligence capability
to support that foreign policy, I think will be a very strong factor
in the long run. It looks difficult today as we thread our way to
an understanding of what policies we can follow in view of these
external limitations.
11
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
I am reassured that, as you just stated earlier, you feel you can
live with the kind of new things such as giving out more information,
living with the restrictions in our work. But I would like to go
back to the first question you were asked. I'm just amazed as a
citizen that we give up so much information--I'm just amazed that
anybody can pick up a paper, including foreign agents, almost to the
point where I say to myself that Russia doesn't need a foreign agent
here; just send the New York Times to Moscow and they can pick up
many, many things. I'm disturbed that we're giving out so much.
A: The gentleman is concerned that we give out so much information and
I am too in many ways. If I weren't prohibited from propagandizing
the American people, the best thing I could do to support our
security would be to publish my own Aviation Week because then I
could clearly confuse them. Seriously, that's a most appropriate
topic, far too much is published today. Far too much of it leaks
out one way or the other and our intelligence capabilities will be
endangered if we cannot show people around the world we can be
trusted and, indeed, we make the problem much easier for the KGB.
Now balanced against that is your and my firm conviction that
freedom of the press, freedom of discussion is absolutely the
fundamental of our way of life and we don't want to endanger that by
creating such levels of secrecy that those secrecy levels can be
abused. So it is a delicate balance and I am wholeheartedly behind
you that we must see the pendulum tick to a more sense of responsi-
bility. The media must deny itself some choice stories that they
acquire by one means or another when they recognize how much the
national interest is at stake.
Q: (inaudible)
A: Does the CIA contemplate asking for restrictions on the Freedom of
Information Act? The answer is yes. Not that we think the Freedom
of Information Act is not a good act. I think it could achieve a
lot for our country and I endorse it. But right now I have 116
people working full-time on the Freedom of Information Act and the
percentage of response we can give is very, very small. But we have
to search and search and search and then justify that these things
should properly remain classified. We are asking only to exempt
certain categories of intelligence; that is, if it was derived in
certain ways the odds of it being releasable are very, very slim and
we are spending your money and mine as taxpayers, in rather futile
searches. We do want to continue searching in those areas where
there is a reasonable probability of satisfying the citizens need.
I also must say that I don't like to get a Freedom of Information
Act request from a communist embassy.
Q: (Inaudible)
A: Can a citizen deal in an informed way with intelligence matters
from what he reads in the press or is that just impossible because
of the necessary levels of secrecy? I think you can but I think you
12
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
have to be very judicious and watch those columnists over a period
of time. Many of them contradict themselves over a period of each of
two days. Seriously, you have to gain some sense of which are the
responsible and which are the sensationalist ones and then you just
have to try to use your good judgment as to what is reasonable and
what is not. But it isn't easy I'm afraid.
Q: (Inaudible)
A: I'm very concerned that I gave the wrong impression. I think our
ability with good intelligence to influence current events is
sharply reduced. But I wouldn't want to foreswear even strong
military intervention today in some situations. I think there are
fewer opportunities when that's likely to be successful or other
forms of intervention. I would like to forecast trends not just to
supinely adjust to the inevitable future, but to help our policy
makers shape that future but to do so without having to intervene in
the same sense that I was trying to describe about current events.
I think if we shape our policies over a longer period of time, we
can't help but conform the world to our standards. But it takes an
understanding of where things are likely to be in the future, so you
start those policies earlier. Semantically I'm tied up in my own
words because I'm talking about long term intervention perhaps
rather than short term intervention. I think we must intervene over
the long term and that is a more subtle, a more measured approach
than waiting until the crisis is on top of you and then trying to
charge off with a fire brigade.
Q: (Inaudible)
A: The question is, roughly what kind of problems are we in if we continue
to fail to utilize the covert action capabilities and the Soviets do.
I can't honestly break out for you the percentage of our effort that
goes into covert action influencing events in other countries, or
just collecting intelligence information. I wish I had a better
feel for that but you have seen, if you've read the papers recently,
the stories about forgeries that the Soviets have been putting on
around the world which is a form of covert action today. There is
no question that they are active in that field. From our point of
view, can we survive without resorting to more covert action than we
have today and we do have some today. I think so because in the two
years I've been in this job there were rather few covert action
activities proposed and turned down that it seemed to me had a very
high probability of influencing something of significance. But I am
firmly persuaded as I gather you may well be that we must not
emasculate our covert action potential because circumstances will
change and what was a reasonable covert action opportunity five
years ago may not be today but it may be again in a different five
years or in a different form in five years. So we must maintain
that residual capability and we are endeavoring to do so.
13
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Q: How likely do you think it is that there'll be Islamic revolution in
Egypt and Turkey and what effect do you think these and the revolution
in Iran will have on the long term security interests of the United
States?
A: How likely is it there will be an Islamic revolution in Egypt and
Turkey and how great an influence or a factor would that be for
the interests of the United States? Both Egypt and Turkey are
Sunni rather than Shi'ite which is some advantage in this case
because there is a less organized hierarchy. Turkey and Egypt, but
Turkey in particular has a better foundation of democracy and habit
of expressing dissent through channels rather than repression that
existed before in Iran. In Turkey, the disorders, the violence
that we've seen over the last four or five years these don't seem to
be pointed at a grievance with the government as much as grievances
with other groups, the left with the right and the right with the
left and so on. But there is no denying the facts that there is an
Islamic resurgence. I would think if you were a member of Islam and
had always thought that Mecca was the center of the world and
suddenly it is much more the center of the world today, at least the
Arabian peninsula is, that it would help resurge your faith. So I
think it's going to be a problem for both Egypt and Turkey and a
problem of can they find the right pace of modernization, the right
pace of relaxation of controls on oppressed people and so on that
they will be able to keep pace with these demands. I think there is
a reasonable probability they will but it's not something one can
just make a quiet observation on.
Q: (Inaudible)
A: What would happen in this country if there was an outbreak of some-
thing similar to the Red Brigades and why has there not been something
such as that since it's an international phenomenon? I happen to hope
and believe that if the people of this country would be so outraged
at something like this that they would provide enough support to law
enforcement agencies that it could not grow. I frankly think there
is some cynicism in Italy as to whether they can support and will get
effective use out of the law enforcement agencies in these circumstances
and that's inhibiting on the whole situation. And I do think it's
that basic attitude towards an ordered society that has very largely
prevented international terrorism from spreading to this country. We
have just been very effective in things like our airport controls and
the public has stayed with us and it apparently has been very worthwhile
and effective.
Q: (Inaudible)
A: It's too early to tell whether the change of government in Iran has
affected our ability to verify the SALT agreement. I really am
unable to honestly give you a good answer to that until we just see
what that government is going to settle down to and what arrangements
will be made on all sorts of previous arrangements between that
country and the United States.
14
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Q: In the event a Mutual and Balanced Force Reduction pact is enacted
or agreed upon, are you confident that we have an ability to monitor
the Warsaw Pact nations independent of any monitoring agreement that
is part of the early monitoring capacity or part of the agreement of
the Mutual Balanced Force Reduction pact?
A: Can we monitor independently of any specific provisions in such a
treaty of a mutual balanced force reductions treaty? Again, I
don't want to hedge your question or dodge your question too much
because I don't know what terms we are going to negotiate and we're
going to have to monitor or verify. But I will say that to the
extent that a limitation in a mutual balanced force reduction is on
numbers of soldiers; it's getting more and more difficult. You can
count tanks, you can count artillery, you can count aircraft and so
on by photographic and other means. There are ways of getting good
estimates on the number of troops. But probably the state of the art
ahead, and we have to keep moving in that direction. It's not going
to be easy but let me only assure you that I'm very much a part of
the negotiations on any of these arms limitation treaties. My job is
not to say what's good or bad for the United States but simply to say
if we negotiate that provision, this will be my confidence of being
able to monitor it for you with the means that are available today,
or I expect to have available tomorrow, or I'll be able to do it if
you'll give me this much money, and the negotiator then must take
that into account. And they are very good about making sure I'm kept
in on the process so that we don't get down to the end of the wire
and I say, "Whoa, I can't do that."
Q: (Inaudible)
A: Could I amplify on the transition I spoke of in international affairs?
Well I'm simply saying it appears to me that we do not want, as a
nation, to rely on the same responses in international affairs which
are primarily intervention with money, intervention with political
influence, and occasionally intervention with military force as we
have traditionally relied on since the end of World War II. And
we're not giving as much foreign aid, as much military aid. We're
not twisting as many arms in the political arena. And clearly
since 1974, we have not intervened militarily. We're not intervening
militarily very much these days. I think we are in a transition to
what are going to be the mechanisms that we do use in the future.
What are the ways, because we have a responsibility in the world and
our interests are at stake in many areas and the transition I am
talking about is finding the new responses.
Q: (Inaudible)
A: Was the CIA once out of control, because I said by inference it is
under control today? Most of the activities that I have examined in
the CIA's past that are considered unwise or reprehensible today fall
into one of several categories. They are today's ethics imposed on
yesterday's situation. They are situations in which the government's
Executive Branch, at one level or another, approved or directed these
15
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80B01554R002900270001-5
activities. Or they are, and this is the smaller group I believe,
activities that were taken unilaterally by the CIA--the drug program
that you have heard about. I don't believe it was sanctioned or
directed by outside agencies. So I think there is a mixture of all
those and to some extent you can say out of control. But I think
when the Executive Branch itself directed things which we in retrospect
and even with yesterday's ethics, moralities, may think were reprehen-
sible. That is not just the Agency being out of control, its the
intelligence function in a sense being out of control. I think we
now have these checks and balances, the oversight within the Executive
Branch, a written Executive Order that really gives us direction, and
the oversight in the Legislative Branch, and eventually the charters
which will be a written directive giving us our controls from that
side. So I think we're there.
Q: What has the impact been of the publication of CIA agents' names?
A: Well the publication of agents' names is very serious. A man like
Agee is hurting his country. (end of tape)
16
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80B01554R002900270001-5
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80B01554R002900270001-5
LANIER MC-60
49ho 491&0
Approved For Release 2001/08/07 : CIA-RDP80B01554R002900270001-5