PROBABLE NORTH VIETNAMESE AND CHINESE COMMUNIST REACTIONS TO CERTAIN US REPRISALS AGAINST NORTH VIETNAM

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T01762A000800050009-7
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 8, 2006
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: August 4, 1964
• Content Type: MF

Approved For Release 2006/11/09: CIA-RDP79TO1762AO00800
4 Augus
$UbjMR probable or
flea tic i to
Vietn*m
VietzLMOIS* end L .nee ei 00mun't'at
rt tin US Papri sals A t wt 801 **h
1.. The primed U8 reprisals
sharp D~W
as we esti. to below, but rre do not
Military r e a c t
consider that such *VOW attic** w tiled represent a deliber*ts
decsisicel to provoke or accept a M%Jor ese*latiC of the yietraa
war. We do not believe that oi or Jpieg fee
under arry pressure mazkedlY to awe the flat
Indeed, they eft cxer tinily emttr*
well for them in present Biro t$nees,
will to resist the Viet Cong'i attrition MAY gib
too long. The 31 JUy attack the U-3-8- *"0* we
going
YiO
rated primarily by COUs .der*tiQns of d f? se
honor, growing out of what ' authoritisa evidence lie
was a U or -epc ox attack a inst North Vtet se for *Ory
The.* or iderativne probably apply as w.U to the es
ee*Md attac1., - August- Also pr.sent,, moaner, ar* p
these motive$* (a) to *'gm" to the US
Approved For Release 2006/11/09: CIA-RDP79T01762A000800050009-7
 Approved For Release 2006/11/09: CIA-RDP79TO1762AO00800050009-7
to snatch (S c stem i tic and la nit about to Accede to a rclier
U3 entreaties to reduce the war effort so&
and (b) to -void s or eaea1ati of the r by trying to aiww
the that w W raising of the ante c Its side 'w'.U i, olv+e
the Ut3 in major ho tilitiees in the axe.
2. In. our v& WI these basic erne*y motiVOS p
limit on the z s ur*s the Wit: might take it sut4e L hit
W reprisals. riot's Pe ers
damn fools anti are not
in a hurr)r to upset a thus- ` protit*b
At the gem time, they will not h'eita to use
force for eeasoftie . y liiit.d purposes,
probably do so quickly, in r