CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T01146A001200150001-3
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RIPPUB
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S
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13
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December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 8, 2001
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1
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Publication Date: 
August 28, 1952
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REPORT
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Approved For Relse 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000150001-3 SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION US OFFICIALS ONLY 28 August 1952 OCI No, 8863 Copy No. 23 5 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY DIA, DOS Declassification/Release Instructions on File This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports re- ceived. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION _`~ Approved For Release 2001/09/06: CIA-RDP79T01146AO012005 01 3O (p I Approved For Rele 2001/09/06: CIA-RDP79T01146A00150001-3 THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS9 TITLE 18, USC, SECS. 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. 1. Pravda says Mao has greatly enriched Marxist theory, The Chinese ommunis arty under Mao has adapted Marxism-Leninism to China "not dogmatically, but creatively... thus greatly en- riching the Marxist theory," according to a Pravda review of the publication of the first volume of Mao's "SeTeeci Works" in the USSR. Pravda stated that the "Soviet people will study Mao Tse- tung's works, which embody the 'firm friend9&&26 the two great peoples, with intense interest." (R FBIS Aug 52) 25X1A Comment: As far as is known, this is the first time that Soviet sources have originated comment, rather than quoting Chinese Communist statements, regarding Mao's "creative" contribution to Marxist theory. 2. Ambassador Kennan analyzes changes in party structure, Am- bass, or Kennan points out that a av a r 2c e 2 AAugust confirms that the establishment of asidium merely formalizes an already existing situation. The article suggests that since the war, control over the party apparatus has rested with the Secretariat. The Ambassador comments that under the arrangement now to be formalized, lesser members of the Politburo, and even Molotov himself, have apparently been excluded from control over per- sonnel, which would also mean control over the delicate question of future succession. This latter function has apparently been delegated to Malenkov and a few people under him, working within the framework of the Secretariat and receiving general guidance from Stalin. SECRET 1 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001200150001-3 Approved For"ease 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146+t (01200150001-3 3. Chou En-lai mission to Moscow overshadowed by Soviet atten- tion to Party Congress: The arrival o ou En-lai in Moscow and his meetings with Vyshinsky and Stalin have been reported with little emphasis by the Soviet press. The press coverage of the Chinese mission is similar in volume and content to the coverage of Mao's visit to Moscow in December 1949. The Party Congress, which was announced two days after the arrival of the Chinese delegation, has completely overshadowed the Sino-Soviet talks. Chou's interview with Stalin on 20 August, which coincided with the announcement of the Congress and the Plan, was reported in one short news item, in contrast to the saturation broadcasting on the Party Congress and the Five-Year Plan. The Satellites have apparently been given no directives as to the correct line to take in regard to the Sino-Soviet talks. The Satellite press reported the Chou mission factually, with no com- ment or speculation; in contrast, there was a ready propaganda re- sponse from all the Satellites in regard to the Party Congress and- the Five-Year Plan. (Factual data from: R FBIS 18, 19, 20, 21 Aug 52; R Vienna 523, 22 Aug; Bucharest 58, 22 Aug; Praha 118, 22 Aug; Warsaw 93, 22 Aug; Budapest 164, 22 Aug; Warsaw 95, 24 Aug 52) 4. Italian sources circulate rumor that Albanian premier is in disfavor: Strong rumors persist in Rome that AlEanian Premier Hoxha is in "gross disfavor" with the Kremlin. A Rome broadcast on 19 August alleged that Radio Moscow had announced Hoxha's re- signation. (S Rome MAR 2480, 26 Aug 52; R FBIS 19 Aug 52) 25X1A Comment: On 20 August Hoxha addressed the Third Congress of the A anian Trade Unions. While there is evidence that conditions in Albania are unstable, there is no confirmation of reports that Hoxha is on the way out. 5. Economic difficulties may be reflected in Bulgarian propagan- on da: According to an editorial published in a otnic esco De lo T-August, Bulgaria's most important economic and political goal during 1952 must be to surpass the production level scheduled for 1953, thereby fulfilling the Five-Year Plan in four years. The article stated that this would demand intense effort, and that constant expansion and intensification of socialistic competition in every branch of the economy were required if the goal was to SECRET 2 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 200150001-3 Approved Forease 2001/09/06: CIA-RDP79T011461200150001-3 ,be reached. (U Summary of World Broadcasts #337, 11 Aug 52) Comment: On 28 May, Premier Vulko Chervenkov stated: "Judging by the level of industrial production, the Five--Year Plan was ful- filled at the beginning of 1952." The Premier added that it was "obvious" that the plan would be fulfilled a year ahead of sched- ule. Although the goal of fulfilling the Five-Year Plan in four years continues to be a primary theme in Bulgarian propaganda, the optimism manifested earlier this year has recently been tempered by considerable restraint. It is possible that this modification of the propaganda line has been occasioned by difficulties or failures in Bulgarian economic planning. 6. Hungary failing to meet coal production target for 1952: The US Lega ion at Budapest calculates on t He basis of pub fished Hungarian data that Hungary is producing only 15 million tons of coal annually, although the Five-Year Plan target is 18.5 million tons for 1952. The Legation also estimates that the output per man shift is probably lower than before the war. The Deputy Chief of the Hungarian Mine Research Institute recently called upon miners to use machinery available in mines in order to raise the coal output per shift and meet the Five-Year Plan target. (R Budapest 181, 26 Aug 52) Comment: The campaign to increase coal production recently has risen to a crescendo, with major stress on use of machinery. The official party organ on 23 August declared that only 6 of 41 combines in 17 mines were in operation. The newspaper termed non-use of machinery "sabotage." Much of Hungary's mine machinery comes.fromthe Soviet Union and not only is unfamiliar to local workers but is unsuited to the damp conditions in Hungarian mines. 7. Polish Government centralizes control over rural supply and purchase cooperatives: In a speech to the first congress o rural supply and purchase cooperatives on 25 August, Deputy Prime Min- ister Gede recommended that the Supreme Cooperative Council should be integrated in the national plan drawn up by the Ministry of In- ternal Trade. Gede added that the Council should be considered a powerful organization controlling almost all exchange between the towns and the countryside. The rural supply and purchase cooper- atives, he said, should face the task of taking over non-quota sur lus goods by contract and non-contract purchases. (R FBIS 26 Aug 52) SECRET 3 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001200150001-3 Approved For ease 2001/09/06: CIA-RDP79T01146*01200150001-3 Comment: In May the Polish Government transferred control over al agricultural machines to state machinery centers. The centralization of rural supply and purchase activities'constitutes a further step towards government control of agriculture, and should strengthen the government's position with regard to future attempts at collectivization. Since Gede also occupies the position of Minister of Foreign Trade, the move possibly may be connected with inter-Orbit economic cooperation. 8. Rumanian Liberation Day celebrated: The eighth anniversary of Rumania's alleged "liberation by the Soviet Army" was celebrated on 23 August. The usual military parade and fly-past were accom- panied by the usual civilian trudge-past and speeches by Minister of the Armed Forces Emil Bodnaras, Vice Premier and Party Secretary Gheorghe Apostol, and Soviet trade union chief V. V. Kuznetsov. Kuznetsov conveyed greetings from the USSR, congratulated the Ru- manians on their progress, and stressed the need for increased vig- ilance both at home and abroad as the advance toward socialism makes the class struggle more bitter. Vituperative references to Tito were limited and there was no mention of overthrow of the Tito regime, in contrast to last year's speeches by Voroshilov. The American Legation in Bucharest noted that the Soviet dele- gation under Kuznetsov seemed rather low level compared with that headed by Voroshilov last year. but that this may be explained by the Chinese talks in Moscow. reported that military participation appeared about the same as last year 25X1A except for the display of some new armored cars, tractor-drawn medium artillery and heavy self-propelled guns recently received from the USSR. In addition, 27 YAK-23 jet fighter planes, which are apparently based at Ianca airfield in eastern Rumania flew past. No Soviet heavy tanks appeared. (R FBIS 25 25X1A and 26 Aug; C Bucharest 59, 22 Aug; 25X1A 9. Yugoslavs comment on Soviet Party Congress: The Yugoslav press on 23 ugus interpreted the timing of the forthcoming Soviet Party Congress as intended to provide an opportunity for the USSR to slander and harass Yugoslavia, and to eclipse the Yugoslav Party Congress, scheduled to convene on 19 October. It is considered that the Congress in Moscow will not produce a new "program of Communism," as predicted by Zhdanov and Malenkov in 1947, but will be merely a monotonous reiteration of old phrases. 4 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 200150001-3 Approved For ease 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T011461200150001-3 The role of Malenkov as principal speaker at the Congress is an indication of his increasing strength. Stalin's silence, on the other hand, is viewed not as a sign that he is fading away, but as a wise decision not to mouth theories that are unheeded in practice. In general, the Congress will concentrate on increasing the existing autocracy, while the possibility of changes in per- sonnel and foreign policy are deemed unimportant. (U Belgrade 230, 23 Aug 52) 5 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001200150001-3 Approved For IKease 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146iAQ61200150001-3 SECRET FAR EAST 10a25X1X North Korean labor mobilization office reportedi a "North Korean Central Urban Trust" was established last April. This organization, subordinate to a military committee of the Ministry of Indus- try, was mobilizing laborers and technicians to construct public works and defense installations. The trust's branch offices throughout North Korea were recruiting, sometimes forcibly, men and women between the ages of 17 and 50 for the rehabilitation program. These recruits included many South Koreans who had retreated with the Communists in September 1950. The wage paid common laborers was scarcely enough to buy a day's ration of rice, and all employees found it difficult to leave their jobs. Comment: Sharply declining morale among North Korean civil antes has reduced both the industrial and agricultural output in North Korea and has probably forced the Communist regime to institute harsher controls on the labor force. This is the first report of such a trust, however, and its existence is unconfirmed. 11. Nine high-ranking Nationalist officers reportedly executed for corrup on: ne high-ranking a ona ist officers report- Ty were executed in August by order of Chiang Kai-shek. They were accused of selling US-made uniform material intended for Nationalist troops and substituting a cheaper Communist-made material. Only three of the nine men were sentenced to death by the military court, but Chiang was so irritated by this obvious case of corruption that he ordered all nine executed. 25X1X is con- vin a exchange or materials was engineered by Chiang Ching-kuo's Political Department to obtain additional funds for operations. Comment: The source's explanation does not appear true. Chiangng-kuo exercises sufficient influence with his father to have saved these men, if he so desired. Numerous reports have credited Chiang Kai-shek with sincerely attempting to decrease corruption among Nationalist officials. Approved For Release 2001/09/06 6CIA-RDP79T01146A001200150U0 A-ug 52 Approved For lease 2001/09/06: CIA-RDP79T01146*01200150001-3 12, Additional details of Chinese rice sale to India repore : The Chinese ommunists reportedly s gne a secret agreement with India last May whereby the Chinese would be permitted to ship unlimited amounts of rice through India to Yatung in Tibet, and India would purchase 100,000 metric tons of rice at Shanghai or Canton for 581 rupees per ton. Comment: The general outlines of the above agreement were announced in May, although it was not known that they were part of the same agreement. The amount of rice which can be shipped to Tibet is limited by the difficult mule trail from Gangtok through Sikkim. The Chinese reportedly plan to ship ten tons of rice a day over this route, using about 2,000 mules, and reportedly have armed guards on the part of the route which is inside Tibet. The reported price of 581 rupees per ton, equivalent to $122, is about 20 percent less than the export price of Thai and Burmese rice in May. If this price is correctly reported, it is evident that India was given highly favor- able terms, probably for political reasons. 25X1X 13o Police chief's intimidation may force Thai Premier resign: 25X1X Premier Phibun may be forced to resign because of a ion by powerful Police Director General Phao, If Phao succeeds Phibun as premier, the source believes that his position will be constantly threatened by Army 25X1A General Sarit and his Bangkok troops, Comment: Numerous reports indicate that Phibun's ability to maintain his position by playing his adversaries off against each other has diminished and that he may actually be forced to resign. Most observers doubt, however, that Phao will become premier without first eliminating Sarito SECRET 7 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 200150001-3 Approved For F9ease 2001/09/06: CIA-RDP79T01146A1200150001-3 Preparation intensified for All-India Peace Congress: The A ,In a Peace Congress wi o its third session from 12 to 14 September in Jullundur, Punjab, according to .a Peiping radio report. Leaders of the peace movement are taking extensive tours to publicize the meetings. The report names the prominent leaders of the group and the areas where they will concentrate their efforts. (R FBIS 25 Aug 52) Comment: The directors of this group are secondary leaders. the Indian Communist Party or its more prominent fellow-travellers, some of whom have recently returned from extended visits in the USSR and China. Both the location of this session and the areas which these leaders will visit have recently been the scene of allegedly Communist-inspired disturbances, Moreover, these areas are either anti-Congress or Communist strongholds where the Communists are increasing their activities against the Congress government. 15. Bey continues to delay reply on French reform proposals: According to a French Residency official, the Bey told Ke- Tunisian Prime Minister that a reply regarding the proposed French reforms might not be ready for a "week, two weeks, a month: why do you bother me?" Residency officials also stated that one of the reasons the Bey cannot reply now is because a disagreement has arisen within the four-member drafting committee. In addition, the Jewish member has left for France, leaving behind him an agitated Jewish community which feels that the Jews are becoming too deeply involved in local politics. (C Tunis 60, 63, 25 Aug 52) Comment: Since other members of the Bey's advisory counc gave made trips to Paris to consult government of- ficials, the departure of the Jewish member does not neces- sarily bear out the French interpretation that a rupture has occurred, The Residency has previously exaggerated racial animosities between the Jewish and native communities. 8 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 200150001-3 Approved For *(ease 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146AQ61200150001-3 Tunisian nationalist suggests modifications of French program: The .eo es.tour represen a ive In Paris has sug geto the American Embassy that French-Tunisian under- standing might bereached-if a "homogeneous" government were established within afixed period. Under such an arrangement, the French could continue to handle foreign affairs and external security; a bilateral agreement could govern the economic relationship. The Tunisians would ac- cept in principle an elective all-Tunisian assembly, with procedures to be determined later, but they stipulated that Tunisian citizenship would be a prerequisite for any indivi- dual of French origin who participated in deliberative bodies. Finally, all repressive measures should be removed and political detainees released, including Bourghiba who might be allowed to reside in France. (C Paris 1219, 26 Aug 52) Comment: These proposals parallel the French program now under - s udy by the Bey's advisory group, at the same time closely adhering to the October 1951 demands of the Chenik cabinet. They may indicate the tenor of the Bey's eventual reply to Prance. The statement with regard to Bourghiba is another indication that rival nationalist leaders are ascendant and would prefer his permanent absence from Tunisia. 9 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001200150001-3 Approved For Rase 2001/09/06: CIA-RDP79T01146A W1200150001-3 17. Reorganization of Soviet Control Commission in East Germany reports imminent: American officials in Germany consider it qui a possible" that "complete reorganization" of the Soviet Control Commission (SCC) in East Germany may be imminent. Un- confirmed reports state that leading personalities of the SCC are to be replaced by new arrivals from the Soviet Union and that "field administration" is to be adjusted to conform with the new district administration of the East German Government. Reports that important functions of the SCC will be trans- ferred to the Central Committee of the Socialist Unity Party and that the SCC will in the future supervise without "direct inter- ference" may, in the opinion of American officials in Germany, presage some kind of Soviet-East German "peace treaty," (S CINCUSAREUR Heidelberg Weeka 34, F-6, 25 Aug 52) Comment: Although it is likely that some Soviet adjustments to the reorganization of the East German Government will ulti- mately be made, these reports of imminent overhauling of the SCC appear somewhat premature and contradictory within themselves. The reportedly planned retention, for example, of local resident officers subordinate to the SCC and to local army commanders ap- pears to run counter to the current centralization of authority within the East German Government under top-level supervision of the SCC. SECRET 10 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 200150001-3 Approved For Rase 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146P 1200150001-3 19. France may seek American concessions for ratification of EDC treaty: France may still attempt to use ratification of treaty as-a lever to force additional American support for French policy. This was suggested by a Foreign Ministry .spokesman's explanation of a reference to "related problems" in Schuman's message to Secretary Acheson on the US Senate's ap- proval of the contractual agreement. Schuman's statement that French ratification of the Bonn and Paris treaties would involve more difficulties was interpreted by the spokesman as referring to stronger American support in Indo china and North Africa'and to additional assurance against German secession from the EDC. Such assurances would involve replace- ment by American or British troops of any divisions withdrawn by the Germans. (C Paris 1196 and 1216, 25 and 26 Aug 52) Morale of Austrian Party reported low: Austrian government officials who follow Communist affairs closely believe that Austrian Communist Party (KPOe) optimism that economic deterioration would provide opportunities for Communist exploi- tation has given way to great pessimism throughout the party hierarchy. They attribute this development to the party's serious financial difficulties, public apathy toward Communist propa- ganda efforts, and lack of Soviet support for the party's activities. These Austrian officials state that the Austrian Communists were particularly dismayed by the absence of a clear-cut Soviet reaction to the initialing of the West German contractual agree- ment and by the failure of West German Communists to organize "strong resistance," Plans of the Austrian Communists to support the "fierce and decisive struggle" were completely cold-shouldered by the Administration of Soviet Enterprises (USIA), which continued to emphasize the necessity for expanded commercial contacts between it and the West. (S Vienna Desp 152, 21 July 52) Comment: The Soviet occupation, after apparently considering increased support for the KPOe, is again contemptuous of the Austrian Communists as instruments of Soviet policy. Soviet economic interests may account in considerable degree for present Soviet satisfaction with the status quo in Austria. 21a Swiss resist new discussions with US on East-West trade controls: High Swiss officials oppose the sending of a special met rican mission to discuss additional Swiss controls on East- 11 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001200150001-3 Approved For Rase 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146AQ@+1200150001-3 West trade, according to the American Minister in Bern. He states that the pressure such a mission would have to exercise on the Swiss during its short visit would be disproportionate to. probable gains, and recommends that the Legation itself undertake such negotiations over a period of time. (S Bern 225,. 26 Aug 52) Comment.: The Swiss have efficiently enforced the East-West trade controls which they agreed upon in June 1951. Early in 1952, Swiss officials in Washington indicated there would be little difficulty in arranging discussions regarding the extension of controls to include items added to the COCOM lists since June 1951. Although the Swiss may be merely trying to drive the best possible bargain, their present attitude may indicate that they wish to relate further controls to other problems between them and the United States. LATIN AMERICA 25X1X 22, Former Soviet Legation funds reportedly being donated t Cuban Communist Party.' (PSP) stated in June that the party would receive 5, a month from the USSR beginning in July. This amount was formerly al- located to the Soviet Legation in Havana for expenses, but because of the "break" in diplomatic relations between Cuba and the USSR, will now go directly to the PSPO The Soviet Embassy in Mexico City will give the money to a third party, who will deliver it to assigned Cuban Communist leaders for monthly transfers to Cuba. 25X1A Comment: The Cuban Communist. Party has reportedly been in financial straits because of a reduction in party membership and the withdrawal of advertisements from Communist publications by large-Cuban firms. This addition to the party?s income should enable it better to carry out its varied activities. 12 28 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2001/09/06 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001200150001-3