CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T01146A001000140001-2
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
19
Document Creation Date:
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date:
May 21, 2012
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
June 2, 1952
Content Type:
REPORT
File:
Attachment | Size |
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CIA-RDP79T01146A001000140001-2.pdf | 973.8 KB |
Body:
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SECRET
25X1
2 June 1952
OCI No. 5192
Copy No. 267
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily
for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does
not represent a complete coverage of all current reports re-
ceived. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office
of Current Intelligence.
RETIMN TO ARCHIVES fs RECORDS CENTER
IMMEDIATELY AFTER USE
jte ._~ g] 1 BOX 1O : ~.
SECRET
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THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL
DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE
ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECS. 793 AND 794, THE
TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN
UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW.
1. Rumors of Soviet plan to establish "Japanese People's
Government." A rumor that the USSR may sponsor a puppet
Japanese vernment in South Sakhalin or the Kuriles was
reported by the Chinese Nationalist Pan Asia News Agency
on 29 May. The report stated in this connection that the
Russians sponsored at least one self-governing Japanese
community in South Sakhalin two years ago which proved so
successful that the ent is beina ex d to other
communities there.
2. Moscow Embassy comments on Soviet treatment of Koje
incidents: Ambassador enn.an expects Soviet propaganda re-
garding alleged US atrocities on Koje to parallel the BW
propaganda campaign. He points out that a mass meeting held
in Moscow on 29 May to protest the "bloody outrages" of
Americans in Korea is obviously only the first of country-
wide meetings which will be designed to inculcate hatred
toward Americans on the Soviet populace.
The vituperation showered upon the United States at the
Moscow meeting, according to the Ambassador, surpassed that
used against the Germans during the height of the last war,
and, by its constant repetition.
effect on. the Soviet People.
3. Tsedenbal named Mongolian Premiere On 27 May Radio
Moscow announced the appointment o Joumja Tsedenbal as
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Premier of the Mongolian People's Republic, Formerly a
deputy premier, Tsedenbal is also secretary zenernl of the
Re
l
i
vo
ut
onary Party
.
Comment: Since July 1942, Tsedenbal, one of Outer
Mongolia's six deputy premiers, has wielded supreme pol-
itical power as Secretary General of the Communist Revo-
lutionary Party, overshadowing the late Choi Bolsan. He
has also been director of the Political Department of the
Mongolian People's Revolutionary (Red) Army. In 1946, he
visited the United States as head of the Mongolian delegation
seeking UN membership.
4. Oblasts formed in Latvia, Estonia and Tartar ASSR: An
8 April edict o the Supreme Soviet o t e USSR divided
Latvia into three oblastso Daugavpils, Riga and Liepaya,.
In May, oblasts stablished rtar ASSR,
Comment: The formation of oblasts in Latvia, Estonia
and tae "Tartar ASSR is part of a continuous Soviet policy
of increasing the number of territorial sub-divisions, par-
ticularly in border areas. The sparsely populated Karelo-
Finnish SSR is now the only Union republic which does not
have oblasts or comparable administrative units between ralon
and republic levels, The Tartar ASSR is the first auton-
omous Republic to be divided into administrative oblastso
In general, territorial-administrative reorganization
is prompted by the need for tighter control of economic and
political activities; a need resulting from economic expansion,
population growth or internal unrest. However, more specific
reasons for the unusual number of recent changes are not yet
known.
-- -- - r-_111__-, ~~ ,,vNnnr i~ictuuer~ 0 me Leputy Chairman
of the organizing committee the All-Union Society
for Cooperation with the Army, Air Force, and Navy, an-
nounced that this summer thousands of young men and women will
tak
t
- par
ID competitions including various flying exercises,
Comment: The emphasis placed on such "sports" activ-
ities y tie Kremlin is another factor attesting to the in-
creasingly pars-military nature of sports in the Soviet
Union, With the approach of summer, agitation for partic-
ipation in "sports" is once again resumed.
2 2 Jun 52
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Other skills promoted by DOSAAF and various sport
societies include shooting, driving of heavy vehicles, and
shooting coupled with driving. The GTO ("Ready for Labor
and Defense") badge requires skill in such "sports" as
shooting, skiing with full military gear and hand grenade
throwing.
EASTERN EUROPE
"Right-wing deviation" of dismissed Rumanian Vice
Premier scored: The Central Commit ee of t e Rumanian
Workers' Party has "established" that former Vice Premier
and Minister of Finance Vasile Luca "tore himself away from
the party and the working class" and "introduced his own
right-wing opportunist line ... provoking great damages to
the State." Luca will be "committed before the Party Control
Commission."
Comment: The "commitment" of Luca before the Party
Control Commission will almost certainly result in his ouster
from the party, and possibly in trial before a national
court.
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7. Japan not bound by surrender agreement in relations with
the U Foreign in ster Okazaki o a Diet committee on
29 May that Japan's relationship with the USSR is no longer
bound by the Potsdam Declaration or the surrender agreement
except for those terms governing repatriation of prisoners of
war. Okazaki maintained that the Soviet Union's participation
at San Francisco indicated its recognition that Japan has
discharged the duties imposed by the two documents. He said that
henceforth relations between the two nations would be based
on armistice, not surrender.
Comment: Prior to the San Francisco treaty, the govern-
ment a etermined that the instrument of surrender would
not be abrogated between Japan and "non-participating" powers.
Okazaki's interpretation would deny the Soviet Union
the right to occupy or take other measures to insure Japan's
compliance with the surrender terms. It seems unlikely that
the USSR would accept this view.
Comment: A seized directive, allegedly issued by Japanese
CommunT-arty headquarters, called for a "follow-up struggle"
to the May Day incident, but did not specifically call for
violence. The absence of large-scale riots may reflect
reported, but still unconfirmed, -criticism within the Commu-
nist Party over the tactics used in Tokyo on May Day.
controlled by the police.
300 demonstrators, mainly Koreans, stormed a police box in
Tokyo. Throughout the rest of Japan, however, the rallies
were poorly attended, generally non-violent, and effectively
Japanese Communist demonstrations on 30 May a failure:
CINCF reports t a ommunist p ens to promote May as a
follow-up to the "May Day victory" failed, as the general
public and party sympathizers refused to respond to the party's
call to action, Three rioters were killed in Tokyo when about
9. Japanese labor leader reaffirms anti-Communist stand:
Minoru a ano , see re ary-g Baer ?z e~iera ounce of
Trade Unions (Sohyo)9 has informed Ambassador Murphy that the
elimination of Communist influence in Japan's labor movement
is imperative because of the unfavorable situation created by
the Communist-inspired May Day riots. Takano also believes
4, 2 Jun 52
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ICFTU where will be
that Sohyo's original objective of joining the
accomplished at its annual convention in June,
major pr which Sohyo was founded will be reaf-
firmed.
Comment: Takano's recent rise to power in Japan's
larger a or federation has been viewed with concern by
American officials because of his extreme leftist policies.
While in the past he has rat been averse to cooperating with
the Communists, the riots may have convinced him that a
original
reaffirmation
essential l
Former South Korean Prime Minister discusses Rhee's
tactics: n a converse on wi sner can arge ig ner, on
29 May, former South Korean Prime Minister Chang Myun stated
that he believes the arrests of the past few days are just
the beginning of a reign of terror. Chang commented that,
behind Rhee's justification for the maintenance of martial
law in Pusan, with its provisions for the trial of accused
persons by military rather than civil courts, lies the element
of haste. The accused opposition Assemblymen under martial
law can, theoretically, be brought to trial, sentenced and
their places fil -elections before the presiden-
tial elections.
Comment: Rhee's desire for re-election, the continuance
of arrests, his patent intention of bringing the arrested
opposition Assemblymen to trial and his assurance that martial
law could be lifted "shortly" suggest that the President intends
to proceed along the lines proposed by Chang.
line for the presidential election is 15 July.
Vice Speaker of the National aio~~les~snnm2~yM~ym ~ppesalveedntnther
Assemblymen, threatened with
and American Embassy officials for asylum.
South Korean Chiefs of Staff dislike Rhee action- The
American Charge reports ETE, at some R o icla s, particularly
among the military, are now not so sure that Rhee will win his
dispute with the National Assembly. The three Chiefs of Staff
are urging the Defense Minister to restore civil authority in
Pusan "to get the Army out of it." Opposition leaders claim
that some of the Assemblymen who support Rhee two weeks ago
have now crossed over to his opponents.
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Comment: While a large part of South. Korea's present
and patel leadership appears to have been disaffected by
President Rhee's high-handed moves, his political machine in
-ver, provincial
aSSemblies
the guise of the speakers 2 of
June press conference. approved his act
12. Western shipping in China trade continues upward: A
total non- ommun s reg s ere mere an s ps, aggre-
gating 245,000 gross tons, traded with Communist China in
February 1952. The comparable figure in January was 204,000
gross tons.
British firms and international Greek cartels operating
from London were the beneficial
trade
inowteernnage in the China of
d shipp g
non-Communist registere
during February. Chinese Communist interests w ere the suspec-
f this tonnage:
quarter o
ted wners of about a
ese Communists intervened in
hi
n
n the C
Comment: Whe 25X1 Korea n 1te 1950, about 700,00a0 gross tons of Western-flag
merchant shipping were engaged in the China trade monthly.
ye1951 ar, brought
endthroughout
ththis en, theutrendwhas
The steady decline
to 188,000 by
been upward.
13. Official itinerary of Burmese study mission to Europe
o t e large Burmese mission
omits Satellites: Ile t.nerary
which s to vi.s t Europe has been officially announced. The
mission plans to spend four weeks in Yugoslavia
and Great Britain.
25X1
land Norwa Sweden,
t Secretary of the Burmese Foreign
Permanen
Comment: The Office recently admitted to an officer of the American Embassy
in Rangoon that the possibility that this missioonnimmightbvisit
Satellite countries had been discussed by the
said press reports that such plans had actually been made were
"premature."
While the mission has been reported as being interested
in studying all conditions in the countries to be visited,
the great majority of the delegates are military personnel.
2 Jun 52
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Possible rift between Philippine Defense Secretary and
Quirino seen: Political observers in--Manila-are reported
to believe that Defense Secretary Magsaysay may be dismissed
during his forthcoming visit to the United States for a
physical checkup,
The USAF Philippine Command observed that a press
release from the Office of the President in Manila announcing
Magsaysay's visit to the United States and possible visit to
Mexico City was made without the knowledge of the Public,
Information office of the Armed Forces, Philippines, and
re dl
Comment: The press release indicated that Magsaysay
might,, if time permitted, address a Lions International Con-
vention in Mexico City. He had previously declined an invi-
tation to do so.
Because of known resentment among administration party
leaders over Magsaysay's efforts to prevent the Armed Forces
from being used for political purposes, his replacement by
President Quirino is a subject of almost constant speculation.
In the past, Quirino has always supported him publicly but on
certain occasions has not done so privately.
from the state.
its earlier decision to withdraw a division of its forces
India fails to reduce troop strength in Kashmir: The
American massy in ew a as eerrne rom n an military
and diplomatic sources that the withdrawal of 18,000 of the
62,000 Indian troops in Kashmir, previously reported to be
"in process," has not yet commenced. In fact, recent troop
transfers may have effected a net increase of three battalions.
Though Pakistan has only 19,000 soldiers in Kashmir, an
Indian External Affairs officer claims that recent bellicose
statements made by Pakistani officials caused India to reverse
Comment: In preparation for the current talks in New
York with Representative Graham, India has emphasized the
concession represented by its voluntary withdrawal of an army
division from Kashmir and the conciliatory attitude illustrated
thereby.
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Since Pakistani officials have issued bellicose state-
ments during every Kashmir crisis in the last four years, it
is doubtful that the Indian excuse is genuine.
Wafdists may try-to force reopening of Egyptian Parlia-
Lh ldeaaI Ya fa as been spreading
ment on June: The
t has decided to revive its antigovernment acti-
rumors tHat
vities. It says that it will have deputies march to Parlia-
menton 3 June, which it.claims is the last day under the
Constitution by which the now-dissolved Parliament must, be
called into session by the king.
The American Embassy in Cairo comments that, the
Egyptian police and army seem capable of handling any Wafdist
challenge to the government's ability to maintain law and
order.
Comment: A new wave of unrest provoked by the Wafd
would aJ rsely affect the Egyptian-Sudanese talks scheduled
to begin 31 May. Sudanese delegates, already hostile to Egypt
and suspicious of Egyptian intentions and political ability,
might become more intransigent in their opposition to Farouk
as King of the Sudan if they became first-hand witnesses of
Egyptian political disturbances.
Sudanese voters favor pro-Egyptian party: The Cairo
press as been repor-iing over w~ie=~ sa j v ctcr: es of pro-
Egyptian candidates in recent Sudanese municipal elections.
Three municipalities have elected 38 pro-Egyptian and three
pro-independence candidates; another municipality, tradi-
tionally a stronghold of the independence party, has elected
a pro-Egyptian party candidate for the first time.
Sudan, as has been requested by the Sudan Agent in Cairo.
The Ambassador observes that while these results are
insufficient to establish a pro-Egyptian trend, they do
suggest that sentiment in favor of the unity of the Nile
Valley may be much stronger, at least in the northern towns
The American Ambassador in Cairo notes that these
results have not been confirmed by British officials in the
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Comment: There have been conflicting reports, but no
conclusive information, on Sudanese public opinion on union
with Egypt.
reform program before the end of Ramadan on 23 June.
The Resident General hopes actually to launch the
the reform program is apparently the same as last March.
French reform program for Tunisia ready for initiation:
According to the renc Res ent Genera , France s re orm
program for Tunisia has been drafted and can be put into
operation within ten days, if both the French and Tunisian
Governments act promptly. American officials comment that
Comment:. The reform program of last March, if not dras-
tically amended by the French Cabinet, probably would be
acceptable to most Tunisians. It provides for some increase
in Tunisian autonomy, with France reserving absolute control
over finances, defense, and foreign affairs.
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19. Trieste Stalinists reportedly to adopt vigorous anti-
fascist policy: n the basis of ears of resurgent ascism,
:scow has reportedly ordered the pro?Cominform Communist party
in Trieste to abandon its defensive policy and adopt an offensive 25X1
one. In preparation for this more positive campaign against the 25X1
neo-fascists, a strong nucleus within the art is to be organized
into action squads along military lines.
Comment: The recent strong electoral showing of the neom
fascists in both Italy and Trieste may have produced this Moscow
reaction. From a tactical standpoint, however, the Communist
position in Italy and Trieste would be strengthened by Christian
Democratic defections to the right-wing parties.
20. Economic countermeasures seen most effective against East
Germany: The High Commissioner's office in Berlin believes that
Genera -Chuikov's protest against the blocking of East German
accounts in American banks testifies to the effectiveness of
such measures. While discounting the efficacy of any local
economic countermeasures by the West, HICOG officials believe
that economic retaliation on a global scale would be most ef-
fective, and, particularly in its financial aspects, could be most
easily enforced.
21. West German Government believes-Allied.-Russian talks un-
likely: Leaders of all factions in the West German coalition
now say that there is little possibility for any four-power talks
at this time. According to one leader, the note is receiving
scant attention because Moscow has killed the subject by repe-
tition.
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SECRET `wo;
f ed German official believes that either the note
rm
No to o
25X1
or recent Soviet moves indicate that a war is imminent.
Comment: Recent statements by coalition leaders, together
with The continued embarrassed silence of the opposition Social
Democrats, are evidence that the Western powers have gained the
initiative in the battle of notes.
22. French press for assurances on military production finances:
Fr enc a ense nister even as to Secretary c eson t at
the National Assembly would open its military debate on 10 June
under "very unfavorable conditions" unless the government can
present some idea of the level of American credits for military
production in France in 1952-53.
Pleven fears that the Assembly might transfer funds to
armament production to the detriment of other parts of the defense
effort such as NATO installations because it is politically "in-
conceivable" that Fran armament plants just as
German plants reopen.
Comment: The total appropriation for the French military
budget as been voted, but the Assembly has yet to decide on its
allocation.
American officials in Paris think that defense production
in France is not only vital to the total NATO potential, but is
also important if France is not to be dependent indefinitely on
the United States.
Comment: This bold action by the French Government was
presaged by such earlier steps as the anti-Communist Press Bill
social reforms as well as economic.
that his program to restore confiden~P nIL u e no
23. French Government initiates new anti-Communist policy:
Premier inay to Secretary Ac eson on 9 May that t h e French
Government had earlier decided to deal with "Communist insolence"
on the "first appropriate occasion" and was now initiating a
policy of "active Communist repression."
Pinay, who considered the widespread demonstrations against
General Ridgway only a part of a "thoroughly organized Communist
program to break up the state?s internal law and order," added
1 d d 14tical and
11 2 Jun 52
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SECRET NOW
of 8 November 1952 and the ban against the 12 February Communist
demonstrations.
Although some sabotage in defense industries and ports may
continue, the present government is farther to the right than any
since World War II, and is using its power to reduce the overall
strength of, the French Communist Party,
24. MRP dissatisfaction with Pinay increasing: The American
Embassy in Paris reports that the recent congress of the Popular
Republican Party (MRP) was marked by "scathing denunciations" of
the "reactionary policies" of the Pinay government. Even the
newly elected party president expressed regret at MRP participation
in the government.
Despite this opposition, however, the conservative majority
of the party voted by a large majority to allow Pinay to continue
his price-lowering experiment.
Comment: This new display of unrest in the Popular Republi-
can Party, reflecting increased dissatisfaction with the party's
exposure to attack from the left, gives added weight to its
demands that Schuman remain in the cabinet as a condition of
continued Popular Republican support of the coalition.
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free" policy.
Minister Un en as to Par lament that weden 1i;-prepared to
withdraw from the Council of Europe rather than agree to or veto
the British proposal to turn the Council into a parent organization
of the European Defense Community, He said that the plan sponsored
by British Foreign Secretary Eden would result in the Council's
discussing military matters, thus violating Sweden?s "alliance-
Sweden opposes British plan for Council of Europe: Foreign
Comment: This is the first official announcement of
SwedeO`
s position, although Unden had previously expressed his
skepticism regarding the plan. The Swedish statement may be
designed primarily to encourage modification of the British
proposal, since Unden remarked earlier that it would not "raise
unsurmountable obstacles for Sweden."
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TOP SECRET
2 June 1952
CIA No. 49677
Copy No. 46
TOP SECRET SUPPLEMENT
TO THE CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST
Not for dissemination outside O/CI and O/NE.
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
This summary of significant reports has been prepared primarily
for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does
not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA
or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the
immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence.
TOP SECRET
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TOP SECRET
2.
South Korean Army move against Rhee suggested. Former South
yuu' o American Ch Lightner
Korean r me Minister Chang
on 29 May that Chief of Staff Lee and many other ROK Army
officers have concluded that President Rhee_ is "a menace."
Chang added that if General Van Fleet would unofficially per-
mit the movement of one Korean division to Pusan, the military
would "put things to right."
Lightner comments that Chang has been isolated in a US
army hospital for several months but adds that former Defense
Minister Yi Kipong is reportedly considering a similar plan,
and his connections with General Lee and other militar leaders 25X1
are far closer than Changes. 25X1
The ROK national police attempted on 31 May to arrest
Chang Myun as the "number one Communist" but were thwarted by
US military police guarding the hospital.
TOP SECRET
2 Jun 52
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7cY
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TAD ee1DCT
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