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CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4
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RIPPUB
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T
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26
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December 22, 2016
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March 29, 2012
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1
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Publication Date: 
November 19, 1951
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REPORT
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET 1.9 November 1951 CIA No. 49431 Copy No. 143 DAILY DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This summary of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. iiUll T1 AAC4VES & MUDS QA1kA ' 11DIATELY Af TER USES JQE 1q T l / # I N K __. 5_?. TOP SECRET C 297Is_, Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET SECTION 1 (SOVIET) 1. USSR. New Soviet Ambassador appointed to Mongolian People's Republic: On 14 November Pravda announced the appointment of G. I. Ivannikov as Soviet Ambassador to the Mongolian People's Republic. Ivannikov, former Deputy of the USSR Supreme Soviet from Turkmen SSR, will re- rlace Y. K. Prikhodov, who was appointed in 1948. gleeful and wideapre even when it hurts. Comments At this time no special significance is attached to the appointment of Ivannikov, who reportedly was last serving as Charge d'Affaires in Ulan Bator. 2. CZECHOSLOVAKIA. Premier Zapotocky scores trade unionss In a recent speech Premier Zapotocky vigorously condemned several trends among workers which the Trade Unions had not tried to correct. He de- nounced a demand on the part of the workers for wage equality and de- clared that wages in Czechoslovakia are to be geared to the nature of the production and used as a lever to get more production from the workers. Zapotocky scolded the trade union personnel for their "unfriendly" attitude toward "shock work" and their neglect of it. He also con- demned abuse of the health insurance system, which he said had led to an increase in absenteeism. In the present production crisis, the Premier said, damage to the workers' health is not so serious as economic damages to production. The US Embassy reported that the speech was the bitterest yet addressed to Czechoslovak workers and that the published version was considerably softened. The public reaction is said to be particularly 3. Commeata Emphasis on the overriding importance of production results from the failure to meet the third quarter plan in mining and industry. The emphasis suggests a more rigorous application of Soviet trade union methods in the future exploitation of the working class. RUMANIA. Pesumption of Yugoslav border evacuations reports a A British Zone Austrian newspaper on 1 November reported that Rumanian authori- ties had resumed wholesale evacuation of the Yugoslav border area. The article indicates that the Rumanian objective is the creation of 1 19 Nov 51 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET 2 19 Nov 51 TOP SECRET a"broad no manes land" along the entire frontier. Attributing the information to reliable sources and eyewitnesses,'?the:account+1 states that the Rumanian authorities have already con4atenced the destruction of evacuated villages and the building of field fortifications. Comment- Although there is no other confirmation of these re- ports, it is probable that the Rumanian Government has resumed evacua- tion of unreliables in this strategic area, although not on the scale indicated by the definitely "alarmist" Austrian newspaper account. In June and July an estimated 20,000 to 30,000 border inhabitants were removed largely to inland farming areas. Since the inhabitants of this area number at'least 600,000, it is not likely that the govern- ment would be satisfied that all undesirables had been weeded out by the earlier evacuation. YUGOSLAVIA. Tito analyses the Korean armistice negotiations-. In a conversation with US Ambassador Allen concerning the Korean negotia- tions, Marshal Tito stated that the Soviets in any negotiations arouse expectations to a point where an agreement seems imminent, then re- fuse to conclude it and attempt to throw the blame on the opposition, for failure. Allen says that Tito regards this tactic as part of the war of nerves, the ultimate aim being to break the opposition through a succession of shock treatments designed to keep world conditions as unsettled as possible Tito observed'-that the oni ' answ6i? to Gu:oh tactics was "to refuse to yield an inch." Comment- While Tito is apparently convinced that no permanent settlement with the USSR is possible, he, as well as the Yugoslav delegates at the UN, has stated recently that the USSR wants a global settlement with the US on the basis of a division of the world in spheres of influence. Although the above views may appear to be contradictory, this phenomenon is probably a reflection of continuing Yugoslav fears that Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET the West might possibly "make a deal" with the USSR which would leave Tito to the "not so tender mercies" of the Kremlin. 5. Yugoslav offers UN ro osals to ease Balkan tensions: The Yugo- slav UN resolution to ease tensions in Bu t the recommends that the governments of the USSR., Hungary, gaalks Czechoslovakia, and Poland: 1, modify their attitude towards Yugoslavia in accordance with the spirit of the UN Charter; 2. normalize their diplomatic relations with Yugoslavia; and 3. settle possible border disputes by means of mixed border- commissions. The US delegation has been advised by the Yugoslavs that they are ready to support a proposal, if made by the US under the Yugoslav complaint, for the establishment of a UN Peace Observation Commission sub-committee for the Balkans which would sit in New York and be ready to provide observation on the request of any Balkan state. To support its general complaints against Soviet pressures, the Yugoslavs charged that its neighbo were maintainin 2 of their 53 divisions on the Yugoslav border. Comment. The Yugoslav indication of willingness to support this type of a POC group is in line with an earlier Yugoslav proposal that the POC should not be identified with Yugoslavia specifically but, serve as a watchdog for all the Near East including the Balkans. Foreign Minister Kardelj's references to 25 divisions on Yugo- slavia's borders is either a gross exaggeration or the introduction of a unique definition of a division. The figure is doubtless de- signed to bolster the Yugoslav complaint. The best US estimate in- dicates the presence of only 13 to 15 divisions on the Yugoslav border out of a total of 39 in Albania, Hungary, Rumania, and Bulgaria. TOP SECRET 3 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 `W SECTION! 2 (EASThaN) 1. GREECE. Greece su, es-!; abolishment of UN B :ik .n Commis aor The GreekUN representatives in Paris have told US delegates that Greece favors the abolition of the UN Balkan Commission without re- placement by a new body and without the continuance of observers in the field. Greece fears that continued UN supervision of its borders implies a weakness and so jeopardizes its position in NATO. Greece., moreover., does not wish its frontier case to reappear on the General Assembly agenda, especially since there is an almost complete absence of significant frontier incidents, D-Qmmgnt. Abandoning its original contention that the Commission should be retained, Greece recently expressed itself as sympathetic to the US view that the Commission should be replaced by a subcommittee of the Peace Observation Committee withoi.it Soviet or Satellite members. More recently, however, Greek spokesmen have been very critical of the Observation Committee and expressed the view that the Committee was worse than no UN supervision at all. 2. Greek u en s eks r oncil ation w Y Pnt~asoso The Queen of Greece, in an interview with opposition leader Field Marshal Papagos, told him that she hoped "'to clear the air by frank admission of things she said against his. candidacy" and that Papagos and the King would "resume their amicable relations of pristine days.' Later, the Queen informed the Embassy that, she hoped new elections would be unnecessary, but if hev had to be held, the country could not afford to let Papagos lose. al-0 The Queens statement is the first clear indication that the Palace is seriously considering supporting Papagosa Liberal-leader Venizelos, the number two man in the EPEK-Liberal coalition, has been optimistic recently over his chances of persuading Papagos to form a Liberal-Greek Rally electoral coalition,- the Queen?s pro-Papagos speech, if sincere, probably indicates the Palace?s realization that new elections are inevitable and that the victory of Papagos would be preferable to that of Plastiras unassisted by the Liberals. TOP SECRET 4 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 25X1 w TOP SECRET t o --- -cent reports concerning longing to the poor v w,tYou n ETHIOPIA- Revolt in Ethiopia becomes more probable. The probability o he overnmen o iopis is gradually in- -? a O insurreo ion a.gains Attache in Addis Ababa, The city's such as ents according to the US Army creasing population has been further alienated by a au,charities?of?dilapidated , houses bem the recent destruction by iotpce or r?ecompenseo an armed o occur a any Mme wi. hin a yearn The Military Attache nece ~ar wea- 5 1 e rev- y &-d Forces the ?oohave ime t points out that the Ethgupi ess arevolutionat thepresen, +r, p Connent. This is the strongest or severe r in Ethiopia* While the few Corcanunist the possibility of an arad, dnnbtedly capitalize on and probably abed any 6. INDIA- Press almost unanimousy ressswaSovle s thaCneeu~S peace plan p uS EI-Mons opinion of the Indian or - ~nVVO.,. recently the Pakistani Government did not allow i its Comment. Until re Several Pakisani nations s o travel in Communist~contralled countries- r the Comnunists and fellow-traveleft rachi on 30 edtobto e er fin Peipingna wre World Peace Councils and two Pakistanis participating in the 1 October celebrations o elerffints in Ethiopia wou an armed revolt would be dire- y disorders accompanying a sudden coupe ossibly with the cooperation of instigated by dissatisfied tribal groups,iet group of Ethiopians* army elementst rather than by any pro-So The US Ambassador i ,Addis Ababa regard ateiss igoingoonaanderiousmably but feels that the Emperor must be aware is taking appropriate steps- ISTANo Medical delegation invited to the USSR. The Soviet Union has P~ anon of six iondt his year-laccordingstodaaKarachi broadcast invited the All-Pa lc'Stan Members to the Soviet Top SECRET 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Ord TOP SECRET offered nothing new and that it was bound to fail because it was based on principles already rejected by the USSR. The press considered the Soviet counter-proposal more attractive to India because it provided that Cam: monist China must be included in all deliberations affecting Asia, .7, INDOCHINA. Vietnamese Premier hails Bao Dai?s "abdication"4 A Saigon newspaper which closely reflects the views of Premier Tran Van Huu has editorially praised the "loftiest love of countr `t which underlay Bao Dai's abdication in 1945, Comment. Neither the French nor the Vietnamese authorities have ever c arified Bao Dai's present relationship to the throne of Vietnam, The question of his abdication in 1915--under some prodding from the Viet Minh--is ordinarily taboo as a matter for public discussion, Its resur- rection at this juncture is Huu's reply to recent criticism of himself by General de Lattre. Huu is taking up the challange posed by De Lattre?s recently-expressed approval of monarchy by appealing to the strong repub- lican sentiment in Vietnam. New clandestine radio attacks French and Viet Minh. Calling itself "The Voice of the National,Resistance Front, a new radio station apparently located in Central Vietnam inaugurated on 12 November a series of vehemently nationalistic broadcasts in the Vietnamese and.Cambodie.n languages. The radio attacks both French "oppression" and the Viet Minh "plan to "sell the country to the Russiansq" and calls upon compatriots to "engage in the ranks of our national army of liberation" and to prevent Vietnam's "falling under the influence of either Russia or America," US Legation Saigon is "almost certain" that these broadcasts emanate from the dissident Cao Dai faction under Colonel Trinh Minh The, but states that French mnnii-nrinoc officials are not entirely convinced that this is the 25X1 case. Comment- Colonel The and 3500. troops under his command defected from the arm= orces of the Cao Dai politico-religious organization in June and stationed themselves on the Cambodia-Vietnam border west of the Cao Dai headquarters at Tay Ninh, Some doubt has remained whether the central Cao Dai authorities, who had recently been given the brush-off by the French, were not accomplices to this "rebellion." In any case, it seems evident that if this radio is indeed under the command of Colonel The, then the colonel must have powerful allies in order so to, expose himself to the enmity of both the French and the Viet Minh, It is perhaps significant that although French colonialism is attacked the French-sponsored Bao Dai government is not, 6 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET 9. INDONESIA. Netherlands' reply on New Guinea issue termed unsatisfactory: The indone sian Government termed unsa is ac ory the 16 November not om the Dutch Government concerning the mention of New Guinea in 'the Dutch con- stitution. Foreign Affairs Minister Subardjo, now in Paris, has been in- structed to request further information from Netherlands Foreign Minister Stikker. The Indonesian Cabinet will make no decision until Subardjo's re- turn to Djakarta some-time next week. Two days before the receipt of the Dutch note, however, Djakarta pol- itical circles were quoted as stating that, in view of the present inter- national political tension,-a "breakdown of diplomatic relations between Indonesia and the Netherlands would be impossible." Comment- The 16 November Dutch note concludes the second round of exchanges between Indonesia and the Netherlands over proposed revisions in the Dutch constitution. The Netherlands note, which vigorously rejects earlier Indonesian protests, states that the revisions do not in any way alter the position of New Guinea as contained in the Dutch-Indonesian agreements of 1949. Although Indonesian press and political circles con- tinue to display hostility over the matter, conversations between Stikker and Subardjo may be successful in reducing the tension currently surround- ing the issue. 10. PHILIPPINES. Quirino undercuts Romulo: President Quirino on 13 November appointed Ambassador lizalde as Acting Secretary of Foreign Affairs during the absence of Romulo, who is in Paris for the UN meeting. Romulo is due .to return to Manila on 22 November and Elizalde may replace him as chief of the UN delegation. Comment: Quirino has, in the past, indicated a complete lack of Con- fidence n Elizalde. He has also at times shown some jealousy of Romulo's international reputation, but as recently as last August Romulo anticiSated that Quirino would appoint him Ambassador to the US, and assume the Foreign Affairs portfolio himself. 25X1 11. CHINA, moor torpedo boats-, activity at Chinese Communist ports: Eleven harbor (near Tientsin) in late October, speed of these ve0sels was about 20 knots. long, icing at Taku The 19Nov51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 V4W TOP SECRET In mid-October, the ship yard at Dairen was building barges and tugs. In South China, little naval activity at Swatow and Haikou, but a few gunboats and naval b a ks were reported orted at Dane's Ieland near Whampoa (the tort for nton). Motor torpedo boats have also been observed at Dairen and Tsingtao. The Dairen shipyards are believed to be constructing these vessels. 12. Department of State seeks British agreement on bunkering vessels in China trades The US Embassy in London has been asked to explore with rj 1s z olc al is the development of an international bunkering policy applicable to ships trading with Communist ports in Asia. The Department proposes that oil companies should not bunker Soviet bloc vessels pro- ceeding to or returning from such ports. Moreover, non-Soviet bloc ves- sels should be refused bunkers by oil companies whose governments so re- queste Such requests would be made if the vessels were carrying, embargoed d violation of embargoes. a n . goods or had nreviously delivered strategic goo s I Comments Difficulties encountered by Polish vessels in securing bun- kers rave -made more difficult their operation in Far East waters. Western' flag vessels operating under Polish charter, however, have found less dif- ficulty in securing bunkers from British oil companies. In many cases, excess bunkers have been purchased by vessels in the China trade and then resold to the Chinese Communists. 13. Communists get three more merchant shipso The Panamanian-flagve ships 9 n 'ontesa Morelia Moeena p1e reportedly been sold to the "China cean ransport'ation Company. new owner may be connected with the recently formed Sino-Polish Ocean. Transportation Company, i t 'Dint-stock com an with offices in Tsientsin and Gdynia. Comments The "China Ocean Transportation Company'' is not identified and may e a newly organized firm acting as a front for the Communists. It is Communist practice to use dummy corporations which act as the nomi- nal purchasers and registered owners of newly-acquired vessels. This use of dummy corporations is an effective method for evading controls designed to prevent the sale of merchant ships to Communist countries. TOP SECRET 8 19Nov51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 . Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET s considering processing crude oil at the g re-exporting the refined products to non-Communist areas. The proposed plan d ?1 a month to Kaohsiung- of Greater use of Formosan refinery considered: Because of a worldwide shortage of refined products, major American and British oil companies are ohsiun refinery in Formosa, and g to deliver up to .300,000 tons of cru e has the capacity to process about f lnery Comments The Kaohsiung re 80,00 tons of crude oil a month, but has been processing only 10,000 tons a month for consumption in Formosa. Although storage facilities in Formosa are limited, this proposed plan is probably feasible if the Western oil companies remove the refined products promptly- The Nationalists badly need additional revenues and will probably welcome this proposal, which will pay them 100,000 to 200,000 dollars a montho the actual port operation ice-p ber port customs, immigration, and police fall in e 41 b Chineseo by ve l ing, communications responsibility, etc-) is Soviet-controlled- The har- bor master is Russian. The main signal tower is completely manned and operated by Russians., and the signals from the tower follow standard Soviet procedure. The administrative phase of the port, however, is wstlat?velnetu- and. y us ire manned and controlled exc Comments in allowing the Chinese control of administration in Dairen, the Russians are following explicitly the provisions of the Sino-Soviet agreement of February 1950. The agreement also safeguards, for the next few years at least, the controlling position of the Russians in port opera- tion. Recording to Article 3 of the pact, "both contracting parties have .agreed that the question of Port Darien must be subjected to examination after the conclusion of the puce .treaty with Japan.". 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 T 25X1 190 Communists seize UN-held islands off northwestern Korean In a 15 November night attack" a. Connunist amphibious force estimated at 800 Chinese Communists and 200 North Koreans,, possibly supported by minesweeper- type craft" captured Tan-do, an island off northwestern Korea held by some 200 UN guerrillasp A report of 8 November states that an enemy force was moving towards another island in this k cale., FECOM observes that enemy action against these islands was initiated as early as 21 September. Since that period the enemy has occupied five or six small islands previously held by the UN and has initiated at least two attacks by air against friendly partisans. FECOM believes that this enemy action is designed to improve their po- errilla and es- u l ize g sition at the cease-fire conference, and to neutra pionage bases. Regarding the f ormera the UN has offeried to evacuate these t concessions. i s sands as a uid pro quo for Commun Comments Of equal significance is the demonstrated enemy capability to con uc a successful amphibious operation in an area where previously UN naval and air superiority would have made such an action hazardous., 206 Chan es in US-ROK tungsten agreement ascribed to South Korean lti ersensitiviit Severe changes in the S ROK wigs en agree men of 6 November have been suggested by the ROK Governments according to the US Embassy in Pusan. Ambassador Muccio states that the changes are "incon- sequential" and interprets the ROK attitude as part present hypersensi- tivity on matters appearing . to derogate their sovereignty." The ROE wants deletion of the word "supervision" wherever it appears; however,, Muocio says they "will acce in practice but dislike writing " this into the agreement. Comment. This is another manifestation of the touchiness of the ROK m=aters which they think impinge on their political independence. The tungsten agreement as envisioned by the Materiel Production Authority of the US Government will expedite and maximize the production of tungsten, which is in short supply in the US. 21 JAPAN. Peace treaty and security pact are ratified by Japans Following fist Upper House passage of the "panes., sacs Treat and the US-Japan m Security Pact on 18 November by votes of 174 to 45 and TOP SECRET ii 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 rrrr' TOP SECRET the ent immediately called an extraordinary ec meofsession fici 1 on the Governor b th documants* Ratifica.t .on b to bath documents b o o Cabinet and ratified Cabinet 19 November when the Emperor affixed d h25 isN fficial seal 19 --- +-n wA.ghinF-ton ific by the US and a ation rat Comment- Following Japan's approvals major ired in order to make o those Far Eastern Commission nations which attended the an Francisco Conference is still r q effective. TOP SECRET 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET SECTION 3 (WESTERN) 1. FRANCE. Foreign Office seeks to tighten administration of ex ort controls: e Frenc Foreign Office has expressed serious concern over a recent "startling" example of maladministration in the Finance and Economic Affairs Ministry, which permitted strategic hydraulic press equipment to be exported on an "obviously fraudulent" export license application and without a destination control check. The US Embassy in Paris has proposed that an official note be sent to the Foreign office expressing US concern over such negligence. Foreign Office officials have privately indicated that such a note would support their efforts to improve the regulation of exports. Comment: Although the French have insisted upon their right to export limited qua of critical commodities to the Orbit in exchange for "vital" imports such as grain and coal, their attitude has been increasingly favorable to US policy and legislation on East-West trade regulation. In view, however, of the developing crisis in French dollar resources, French resistance to tempting offers from Eastern Europe is likely to be lowered. 2. Communist-led strike cripples French economy: The American Embassy in Paris sees no early solution for the serious strike by which French Communists are obstructing the strategic French coal industry. The govern- ment has shown no willingness to back down while such a large-scale strike is under way, and it now seems likely that the walkout will spread to the important Saar and Lorraine basins. Despite the opposition of Socialist union leaders, the Socialist locals have been unable to withstand the pressure from the rank and file and have joined the strikers. By curtailing medical benefits which French miners have enjoyed for over 50 years, the government precipitated the strike and presented the Communists with a perfect situation to exploit economic grievances for political ends. Comment: Premier Pleven has described the 1951 coal shortage as the greatest problem currently facing France. The government has recently declared its intention of curtailing coal imports.from dollar sources. Even with their current imports estimated at over 15 million tons for the year, the French are stall unable to lift steel production over 85 percent of capacity. The loss of as much as one week's production will be a serious blow to.the French economy. In view of the speed with which this strike has mushroomed, the govern- ment'can be expected to offer an early compromise in order to prevent a greater loss to the defense effort. 13 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 v Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 IF TOP SECRET French Communist Party waging ress offensive: The French Communist 3, promotion campaign in party on November inaugura e a one-mont press p an effort to combat the press Bill q Which,, pass by Cuncil of the ~immunitydbeh ndewhich Communist F,epublic, Will eliminate the parliamentary editors have been hidings In a ''major report," the party's Secretary of Propaganda strongly emphasized the financial difficulties of the party press and admitted that these are aggravated by insufficient circulation, The circulation of the official party daily, L'H , for example, has fallen to one-quarter of its peak in- 1946. The party will launch a drive to increase circulation and reduce the l2-million-franc debt, Comment-. This "press offensive" by the French Communist Party reveals party concern over the consequences of the Press Bill, Although whch icstwas passe i the National Assembly by an overwhelming vote. s oriented French newspapers have increasing cost thelabored yandetheaexpense newsprint and new equipment, of tys strength the depended have lshown bility of theaparty party strength p press to slant current news items, Morocc 4. Arab states tentatively offer e to letnetheral Assembly ~avetind Gated The Iraqi an Syrian e ega es o the Morocc that they are not anxious to agree a~oatheFinclusionaoflthesitem on the agendaan situation. If France will for this session, the Arabs will not press for its consideration, The Iraqi d delegate also implied that, if France wousd1assuuree the Ara s of states goomight Arab 25X1 intentions and plans r v c ndi oro let the matter rest, Comment-. Iraq, together with Egypt, has led the attack on France's active ies and policies in Morocco official Iraqi opinion has not, however, been convinced of the merits of discussing the case at this time, Regardless of the Arab position,, France may not be faced with a UN discussion n of Morocco aetheoUN sufficient postponement of presently available to overrule a discussion. Tunisians seek greater governmental responsibilit A formal request for addi ion native p ar icepation in e government o Tunisia is under assembly, office. Demands study French temporarily withclimitedepo ersy creation Tunisian an legislative eme emplo of a wholly Tunisian cabetsTh and replac s eepings arenunlikell toemakench in the Tunisian Government, concessions to native demands. TOP SECRET l1 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET including the prime Minister and Comment; The Tunisian delegation, nis er o Justice, has been in Paris for a eodissmonti with ection- Miwith this petition- The natives geneY and are increasingly effectual French reform program initiated last spring, insistent that natives share in the country's administration- rests in Tunisia, however, strongly oppose even the Vested French interests ressure upon the French Goverment not present reforms, and are exerting p co romise might cause mp to alter the .status uTun Sian Cabinet members and Would set, off anti- the resignation of the French demonstrations and disorders- oval sought for barter agreement with nze stSlov iradeT(CCC OM) o 6. ITALY- AP the coordinating Committee for the exchange Italians are re pressing agreement which provides mainly roval of a barter ecial steels, coal, cell pSe9 for the app against Czechoslovak special now embargoed, of Italian ball bearings ercent of the ball bearings are types and other goods, StY P their deliveries were made prior to the but private contracts covering COMOM embargo. defending barter agreement on the basis that The Italians are h counte art deliveries are raw materials essential to percent of the Czech that such raw materials are in short Supply o--Czech trade may ort of certain VQesto and that a rupture in It delay would compromise thetexp is not aPProvedd Because further the Italian Dover e t s, seasonal Italian produc he re implement, part o osition This situation, in essence, highlights the difficult p result of h- Italians find themselves as a of coal,ewheat,k of natural Comment; in w manganese, resourcese In return for important quantities the Italians feel they the of strae gi btems and other raw cmaterials from ertain minimum must export a probably presented this agreement for COCOMas approval The Italians have onomic aid under the terms of to prevent any possible termination of tattle Bill. This bill req m unless an shipments of strateg uires termination of aidommwhethereor not the B s Products were made under prior i Lists of shipments are to be compiled by d - grante exception is 26 November 1951. olc aims: The n i g ainst Soviet fore ainst 7d Italian NATO De uty warns ag ovieperi ism warns ag Italian Depu Y o NAT in a iscussion o '' 11111111::1 ;;-nd `7 viet proposals for a five- ewer c S o being taken in by anda campaign- a vigorous counterpropag TOP SECRET 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET Comment: Italy has consistently urged a more vigorous counter- propagan a campaign by the West against the Soviet bloc. Last spry the Italians suggested that a five-power meeting be held. Their warning against such a meeting at this time can only be interpreted to mean that they do not think any serious effort will be made by the Soviet Union. to lessen world tension. 8. Long-term joint US-Italian develo ment of Somali.oil resources in -term ' ~ en doubt: For e pas year or so t e Sine a r Oi Corpora ion as ne~ gotiating with Italian authorities over a concession for the exploitation Two of petroleum resources in the Italian Trust Territory of Somaliland. aTwf factors are preventing the conclusion of ano agreement: (1) with the d esire the Italian State Petroleum Agency (AGIP) participate unir the Oil Company on a fifty-fifty basis, and (2) the fact that Italy, UN Trusteeship arrangement, will have authority in Somaliland for only a ten-year period, The Department of State is informing both parties that develop there is no assuraewothat uld beyhonoredlafteragreement trusteeship ends. Somali, oil resources The Ethiopians are interested in these developments r owenand theucon lusion is prospecting along the Ethiopian-,Somali or of Sinclair-Italian agreement to develop Somali oil facilities could also Ethiouia to the sea facie itata the pitain~' of oil from in every practicable phase of the Comment: The Italians are deve op g period their economic Somali ec-onomyso that at the end of the trusteeship p hold on the country will enable them to exert considerable influence on the succeeding government., 9. Christian Democrats face possible isolation in labor field: The Confederation o Labor Unions (CM), whit recen ly he i s na ional congress in Naples, may be confronted with serious organizational diffi- culties because of complaints by democratic Socialists that too few of their representatives were elected to local executive bodies in the pre-congress provincial and category CISL conventions. The Socialist member of the CISL secretariat has stated that his followers will decide asCIoL urtherPastore chief adherence to the CISL after the close of the congress. O to O is planning to increase his organization's directing body members so as to permit larger Socialist representation. f the democratic Socialists from the CISL would Comment: Withdrawal o leave e Christian Democrats as isolated in the labor field as they now are politically and would make more difficult the formation of a united. anti-Communist labor front, TOP SECRET 16 19 Nov ;1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 err` TOP SECRET 10, SPAIN. Additional Cabinet changes ma occur. Persistent rumors circulating in ans po itica clrc es indica e a Franco may be considering further changes in his Cabinet in the near future. The changes made last July were rumored to be only partial and to be followed by removal of those Ministers held over from the previous Cabinet. According to current speculations and reports, the Ministers most likely to be removed are Labor Minister Giron, Interior Minister Perez, and Foreign Minister Martin Artajo. A number of Cabinet Ministers and other important political figures are known to have been endeavoring to undermine Giron and to persuade Franco to fire him. Moreover, Giron's political ambition and his suspected part in fomenting discontent among extremist Falange elements have undoubtedly made Franco suspicious of him. On the other hand, Giron, who has held his post since 1941, is practically the only Cabinet member with any popular labor following,; he is quite likely to be retained for this reason if for no other. Perez and Franco are reported to be antagonistic toward each other, Perez's removal, following the municipal elections in late November and early December, seems possible. Martin Artajovs failure to obtain a Concordat with the Vatican has long annoyed Franco. Relations between Franco 25X6 and the Foreign Minister are currently reported to be poor. Moreover, Martin Artajo is pretty thoroughly discredited with Catholic Action, whose interests he originally represented in the Cabinet. His removal appears the most reasonable .ossihi1h of the three. Not unfriendly to the West, Among those mentioned as is successor is Jose equerica, now ass. or o the United States and a Foreign Minister from 1914 to 19450 A wealthy rightist and one of the first financial backers of the Falange, Lequerica was pro-Nazi during World War II. Although Franco may have certain Cabinet changes under consideration, he may not carry them out, partly because of the difficulty of finding suitable replacements There is no indication that if changes are made''. 25X1 the, will lead to moderation of the regimens political controls, 11. PORTUGAL. Supremacy of Portuguese Atlantic interests reaffirmed:, The zrec or of e pro-government Lis on newspaper D1ario. e No cias, who generally reflects the views of his close friend Premier as azar, as publicly declared in Rio de Janeiro that while Portugal is attentive to developments on the European continent, its real interest lies in the Atlantic, not in Europe, The Portuguese writer and diplomat emphasized, that Portuguese policies in the Azores since the beginning of World War II TOP SECRET 17 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET have been justified by subsequent events and constitute an important chanter in the history of his country's sovereignty. 25X1 Comment.. The Portuguese maintain that now, as in the past., Portugal's continued sovereignty depends on close economic and military ties with the Atlantic powers. This conviction was reflected in the Lisbon government's recently expressed opposition to schemes for a political and military European union excluding Great Britain and the United States. 12. UNITED KINGDOM. British disturbed by course of Korean truce negotiations: The US Embassy in London believes that Foreign Secretary Eden's 19 November parliamentary statement on Korea will be helpful in giving "a-badly needed explanation" to the British public. Their confusion over the issues at stake, and doubt over the source of the obstacles placed in the way of a settlement, is reflected in the press and "extends even into the Foreign Office." Press comment has questioned in particular the competence of the present UN negotiators as well as the accuracy and completeness of the information given out by the UN Commander in Chief. Comment: Left-wing criticism has also focused on the lack of any British or Commonwealth representative on the negotiating committee; and Prime Minister Churchill on 15 November evidently found it necessary to reaffirm publicly the government's confidence in UN. leadership in Korea. 13. NORWAY. Additional Cabinet changes being made: Contrary to the request of Me- now Prime Minister, Tour Ca ine Minis ers have tendered their resignations. Defense Minister Hauge has announced his intention to resign but will remain in office until January in order to participate in scheduled NATO meetings. The Ministers of Fisheries,. Agriculture and Finance have also resigned and their successors have been named. The US Embassy in Oslo comments that the Cabinet changes will produce no changes in Norway's foreign or domestic policies, and that the Defense Minister's resignation in particular will not result in any change in defense policy. Comment: Although no change in defense policy is contemplated,. it is felt that actual implementation of defense plans may proceed more smoothly, since Hauge had dragged his feet on many aspects of defense programs. Haugets resignation is a logical development:, although extremely unpopular in military circles and in disfavor With certain other Cabinet Ministers., he has remained in office through the personal friend- ship of the retiring Prime Minister. The resignation of Finance Minister Meisdalshagen, who did not wholeheartedly favor the increased defense expenditures backed by the rest of the Labor Party government, constitutes the only other change of consequence. 18 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 I 14. COLOMBIA. 'ewl acquired vessel will operate with UN forces:- Colombia Has agreed to take possession o t e US Navy's patrol frigate Bisbee and to man and operate it in the Korean theater for the duration of hostilities, Colombia has had a similar frigate the Almirante Padilla, fighting under the UN command since last May, Comments: Colombia is still the only Latin American country to give active support to the UN action in Korea despite strong representations by the US to secure firm offers from other countries in the hemisphere. 16. GUATFPALA. United Fruit Company suspends discussions with government: Following an exchange of communications concerning a possible oasis for future United Fruit Company operations in Guatemala, company officials have notified the government that the latter's proposals cannot provide the basis for initiating discussions that might lead to mutually satisfactory results. However,, the company indicated that it will be happy to "reopen negotiations" if "after renewed consideration on the part of the government the situation 25X1 may change." Comments; The United Fruit Company (UFCO), engaged in a contract and wage isc' pz e with organized labor, announced in September that any increase in operating costs would force it to withdraw from Guatemala., Its recent request that the government guarantee certain conditions for continued operation in Guatemala was met by a statement that the government would agree to a proposal for renegotiation as recommended by "impartial experts such as technicians of the International Bank." Such renegotiation would, however, require modification of the operation of the UFCO wharves "for the benefit of the nation," revision of tax exemptions "no longer justifiable," revision and reasonable governmental control of contracts between the UFCO and private banana growers, compensation to the govern- ment for the exhaustion of the soil due to intensive exploitation, periodic revision of UFCO contracts, and cooperation in the revision of freight rates in the interests of national economy. 19 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Although the UFCO has rejected the government's counterproposals$ these nevertheless provide a basis upon which negotiations can., and possibly; will, be resumed. There is no convincing evidence that the company intends to withdraw from Guatemala. 20 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 P, 25X1 TOP SECRET 19 November 1951 CIA. No. 49431-A. Copy No. ' 49 TO THE DAILY DIGEST Not for dissemination outside O/CI and O/NE. Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This summary of significant Office of Current Intelligence. primarily does for the internal use of the not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. TOP SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET SECTION 2 (EASTERN) 1. IRAN. Com licate!oliticl z.ntri ue continues; Britfor lcourtbap port ports that the Shah recently discoz~?~~eedn~~~ day,hh?wever, he reportedly in the effort to replace MossadegoThe British Embassy also stated sent word of continued covert support. Prim that the Shah asked Seyyid Zia~e~ anoer of Court Hussein, forethat~lofficeaf t'e latter would support Mines eaof a,nti_Mossadegeopposition. The US Embassy comments that organization 25X1 which cri les an effectiv who has in the thSah ts that , omment: This report also sugges past bitterly opposed Qavam, is stilllllrties? concede that Qrsvaresde ld past Mossadeq. Without^eal political p In the pendent on personal prestige, unstable alliances and court desire to see Qavam replace Mossadeq has present situation, the British further complicated the situation. n A British aide- 'ate CHINA. British rotest Nationali:st attack on hip_Lte attack on memoire has been submitted to the Department of StateucitStar?,hen route to 30 September by a Nationalist -warship on the SS Plym released. Two Shanghai. The merchant ship Ta?~k~nshandabdtthebWaisa.ng~yselzed by the other British vessels i ..4-11 not been released. The Department has been asked to use its good offices v I 25X1 a e f the vessels and to prevent further attacks. 25X1 American the 1-14 t o Comment: The British are w-L 1 withdrawing merchant ships from 1 natrade1 and Hong Kong shipowners find employment of their vessels in this trade highly profitable despite the must risk risks of Nationalist intercptien?d in collusion with sthesNation lists, attacks by pirates, who may be operating crates near Shanghai On 25 October, the merchant ship Hupeh was boarded by p arship h ti . w s but was later rescued by a Bri Chinese Nationalists re are cotee to rove mil;ate General Mao the Taipei 'reports tha N charges ` ai ,. .. _ _ . against Nationalist Air Force General committee. The committee will ready for the proposed Sino-American inquiry Hollington Tong, and probably Li Shih-fang of Yale. be composed of Hu Shih, Charles Edison will serge asaAmericans, representative. the Chinese Government countered in finding two more TOP SECRET 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET hopes that Matthew Woll will consent to participate. The report further states that an effort will be made to keep the suit -- now pending in the US Courts to compel Mao to return the funds and official records w1iI rah he nossesses -- separat? from she terms of reference of the committee. Comment: As a result of his charges that the Chinese Nationalist Government had misappropriated US aid funds, General Mao'Pang-chu, Nationalist Air Force purchasing agent in the US, was dismissed from his post by Chiang Kai-shek in late August 51. Mao was accused of failure to account for funds designated for the purchase of US military equipment, re- fusal to hand over public funds, espousal of the cause Of disloyal staff members, dereliction of duty, and undermining the governmentfs prestige by spreading rumors. A JAPAN Occupation comments on Kyoto students demonstration against Emperor: The anti--Emperor demonstrations of 12 November by about 250 Kyoto students drew from G-2, GHQ, the comment that there is as yet no evidence of Japan Communist Party instigation, although the incident may represent a revival of former JCP policies calling for abolition of the emperor system. The Japanese press asserted on 15 November that the demonstration was Communist-planned. G-2 believes the incident will strengthen the hand of elements in and outside government demanding control of subversive elements. Comment: Three days later, on the eve of the Emperort's visit, Communist anti-Emperor posters were scattered throughout the town of Otsu, near Kyoto. This lends weight to the thought that the JCP is reviving its anti-Emperor campaign, which has proved an extremely unpopular issue with the Japanese people. SECTION 3 (WESTERN) 5. FRANCE. French accede to American proposal on Austrian treaty: The French Foreign office is reported to have substantially modified its attitude with respect to the Austrian treaty and is now prepared to accept the eventual introduction of an abbreviated treaty draft. The French feel, however, that the text proposed by the US is still open to discussion. They also feel that the West should make one more attempt to reach agreement on the old treaty, and sh faith by considering further concessions to the Soviet Union. Comment: Inasmuch as the objections of the French to the proposed shorter treaty reflected fundamental concern that the mechanism of treaty 2 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000500270001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4 TOP SECRET be disrupted, their concession on this point is discussions might thereby a considerable one. US preference for i.nmedi.ate presentation of the abbreviated treaty upon reconvening the treaty deputies, however, has not been shared by the British, French, and Austrian Governments. TOP SECRET 19 Nov 51 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/29: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500270001-4