DAILY DIGEST

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CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8
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RIPPUB
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T
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21
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December 12, 2016
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February 7, 2002
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1
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Publication Date: 
November 5, 1951
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SUMMARY
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Approv or Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP791*146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION 5 November 1951 CIA No. 49416 Copy No. 1 E DAILY DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This summary of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA, or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. State Dept. review completed TOP SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 ApproVP For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79'1146A000500180001-8 SECTION 1 (SOVIET) 1. USSR. d s osition of Soviet Air Force fighter units in Occupied Europe 25X1 C may be under way: re- ports that as of 1 November it was confirmed that one Soviet Air Force jet fighter division (three regiments totaling about 100 MIG-15's) had departed ,eastward out -6 Germdhy 1by, rail. The: 'departure 6f another fighter division fro'm'Germany'by rail had beenreported,'but'hbt'defii nitely confirmed,.and the aircraft of a third division cannot be located. 25X1 25X1A 25X1 one regiment of a fourth fighter division has changed its base wi in erman durin the past week. No new air units have arrived in Germany. Comment: Previous reports indicate that the aircraft of three Soviet Air Force divisions (about 300 MIG-15's, constituting half the jet fighters in East Germany) have been missing from their bases since early October. These recent moves may be part of a Soviet redisposition program within Eastern Europe to improve tactical air capabilities in that area, or may represent the departure of some units to reinforce another area. Less likely explanations are: occupation of new airfields; a re-equip- ment or modification program; or maneuvers. The evidence to date does not support the 'conclusion that a major reduction in Soviet military strength in Occupied Europe is under way. The full extent of the air redisposition is not yet known, there is no evidence of a reduction of ground forces, and the preparation of per- manent military installations in Germany continues. TOP SECRET 1 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 25X1A Approv'For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79V1146A000500180001-8 3. ALBANIA. Cominform radio station reported in Tirana: The Cominform has reportedly decided to set up a powerful radio station in Tirana to broad- cast propaganda aimed at the Middle East, Italy and France. Experimental programs will be broadcast in December with a regular schedule begi in January 1952. Comment: Moscow in March 1951 began the practice of appropriating time on Satellite transmitters for the purpose of relaying its inter- national programs. A press report from Belgrade on 30 July stated that a 50 kilowatt radio station was under construction in Tirana. Radio Tirana on 10 October announced vacancies for announcers in Arabic, German and Spanish. 4. RUMANIA. Decree tightens navigation controls The Rumanian Council of Ministers on 29 September amended the 1950 law on sea and river naviga- tion to extend Rumanian "territorial waters" to 12 maritime miles. The amendment prohibits the following in territorial waters: navigation without a pilot, fishing, measuring water depth or temperature, taking photographs, carrying on "research work of any nature," and the landing of passengers or goods outside of ports. Any vessel, regardless of nationality, which navigates in the territorial sea without a pilot shall be stopped, searched and brought to a Rumanian port. (British- US Rumanian Press Summary, 30 Sep 51) Comment: The USSR similarly claims that its territorial waters extend for 12 maritime miles. 2 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 25X1 Approveor Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET 25X1 SECTION 2 (EASTERN) 25X1X EGYPT. NATO m mb rshi for E t to be pro osed b Ital s Italy, is ready to propose a solution of the Anglo-Egyptian dispute by suggesting that Egypt be admitted to NATO. This action is to be taken with the understanding that Egypt will then make available military bases, including the Suez defenses, under the same conditions as facilities furnished by other NATO members. The proposal would permit British forces in the strength provided for in the 1936 treaty to remain in the Canal Zone until NATO arrangements 25X1A have been finalized. for critical security reasons this report is not to be further transmitted within the United States, or beyond the borders of the United States, without the express permission of the releasing office.) Comments There is no confirmation that Italy is about to sake such proposals. A proposal of membership for Egypt would be unacceptable to most NATO members. If it were seriously considered, the now pending ratifications of the protocol for admitting Greece and Turkey would be imperiled, especially in those NATO countries which already fear over-extending NATO. 3. MA INDIA., Indian official comment on-Nu-Nehru conferences A high official of the Indian Foreign Ministry told the UK High Commissioner in New Delhi that the Thakin Nu-Nehru conference had been confined largely to generalities. He indicated that India ""was alive" to the situation in Burma, but did not take as gloomy a view as did the British. The official also stated that Nu had been "relatively optimistic" in his conversations. The High Commissioner felt that the TOP SECRET 3 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RIDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approv%OFor Release 2002/05/20: CIA-RDP79 1146A000500180001-8. TOP SECRET Indians were not "entirely convinced" by Nuts bright outlook, but under- stood.that they had not been able to make a good case for settling the Karen problem as they appeared to be without any practical suggestions which might conceivably be accepted by the Burmese. (S London 2146, 1 Nov 51) Co~ mmento This report indicates that India, as well as the UK, has failed to adopt a constructive policy towards Burma, despite the growing threat of Communist control over large parts of the country. BURMA. T~1 ; _ t4ryiewgd_ky_., press i C &u ? Before leaving India, Burma's Prime Minister Thakin Nu indicated to a press conference in Calcutta that Asian solidarity, while desirable, would not be possible as He added that long as some countries, such as Indochina,, were not free. it was his opinion that China would like "any plan of Asian solidarity." With regard to Burma, Nu told the newsmen that a Karen state would ldebein established as soon as the Karen insurrection was completely quelled certain areas. He emphatically rejected a suggestion that Burman-Karen differences be mediated. Nu stated that the Communists and other insur- gents were not strong enough seriously to challenge government forces, but admitted more troops were necessary to bring them under control. Inn-conclusion, the Prime Minister stated that Burma had two five-year plans-- one to end the insurgencies and the other to nationalize all land through the payment of compensation. (U New Delhi 1539, 31 Oct; U Calcutta 224, 31 Oct 51) Comment: This press interview is a striking illustration of Thakin Nuts penchant for mixing undue optimism with ill-defined foreign and domestic policy concepts. 5. Ba Swe see working toward premierships The US Embassy in Rangoon reports that there are increasing indications that Ba Swe, the influential leader of the Burma Socialist Party, is maneuvering to become Prime Minister. The Embassy states that this is further indication of a rift between leftist ard..oderate Socialists, and that there is danger Rang goon rapprochement between the former and the pro-Communist BWP o 439, 2 Nov 51) Commen : Ba Swe has been reported by at least one other source to He remained with the Socialists have ambitions to.become Prime Minister. when thp founders of the BWPP broke away-from that party, but his subse- quent speeches have closely followed the., Communist line. Should Ba Swe become Premier, the Burmese Government's drift to the TOP SECRET 4 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 ApproFor Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79 "rff 1146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET right would be abruptly reversed, US-UK influence would be reduced to a minimum, closer relations with Communist China encouraged and the prospects of Communist domination of Burma would be greatly enhanced. 6. War Office acts aaainstforeign contacts. The Burma War Office has directed the graduating class of the Staff College to decline invitations to the annual graduation luncheon given in their honor b'the various military attaches in Rangoon. NN - it is no longer possible to ignore the "bamboo curtain" which has been lowered on all governmental activities, particularly those of the armed forces. (C Rangoon 439, 2 Nov 51) agent. This "bamboo curtain" is a tribute to the effectiveness of leftist criticism of the government, led by the BWPP. The sensitivity of the Burmese Government to this type of criticism prevents it from taking the necessary steps to strengthen itself in the face of the growing Communist threat. 7. Bur g"eftists on way to V iennao The US Embassy in Rangoon has been informed that Thakin Lwin, head of the BVJPP, is en route to the forthcoming World Peace Conference in Vienna from Peiping, where he attended the celebration of the second anniversary of the Chinese Communist Govern- ment. He is said to be traveling by way of Siberia and to be accompanied by the President of the Burma Students Union and an MP. (C Rangoon 439, 2 Nov 51) 8. Leftist ail,,, ance_formed. The Burma Workers and Peasants Party, the Peoples Peace Front under sung Than (the late .,dung San's brother) and Ba Maw's Mahabama Party have announced the formation of a "triple alliance." The US Embassy in Rangoon expects the BWPP, because of its superior Soor)gani- zation, to dominate this leftist coalition. (C Rangoon 439, C mmen . The BWPP', the aboveground Communist Party in Burma, has been making steady progress in gaining political adherents in Burma. Such a group as the above might be joined by the left wing of the Socialist Party in the interest of overthrowing the moderate Socialists who now dominate the government. PP Banakak A serious gh-m 9. THAILAND. Rift opens ~~?g an#~ieCo~munist~ split among the anti-Communist Chinese in Bangkok has reached the surface, according to the US Embassy. The Thai police, on the urging of Chinese Nationalist General Li Mi, are deporting a group of Chinese who have .5 Nov 51 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP791VI146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET been responsible for the publication of the only anti-Communist, pro- Nationalist organs in Thailand. Li, who has close and profitable con- nections with the Thai police chief, is reliably reported to have insti- gated this action because of his belief that the group represented a threat to his position and plans in Burma and Yunnan. The prospective deportees have promised to publish the "full inside story." Li Mi is reported to be deferring a return to his troops-in Burma until the group has been deported. (C Bangkok 999, 1 Nov 51) Comment: This report demonstrates the serious factionalism which 25X1 exists among anti-Communist Chinese in Bangkok. 11. THAILANDA ALAYA. Armsfoor Malaya cap= a: According to an official of the British Embassy in Bangkok, the shipment of a second load of arms to Malaya has been frustrated by the capture in Bangkok of an arms cache and attendant personnel. The US Embassy comments that this is the first intimation by any British official in Bangkok that arms have been smuggled into Malaya from Thailand. (C Bangkok 999, 1 Nov 51) 12. INDONESI. Le,rliament defeats mots ding government's segurit sweep: Parliament defeated by a vote of 91 to 21 on 1 November a motion criticizing the government's conduct of the August-September security sweep. The government has emerged from this test with its prestige apparently strengthened. (R Djakarta 678, 2 Nov 51) Comment: Parliamentary criticism appears to have been based chiefly TOP SECRET 6 5Nov51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approve# For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79t1146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET upon dissatisfaction over the government's arbitrary action without prior consultation with Parliament. in reply to the criticism, .Pr:Lme Minister Sukiman revealed the discovery of a plot to overthrow the govern- ment and assassinate many of its leaders. The discovery of the plot, the development of an "untenable" situation in West Java, and the fact that certain members of Parliament had contributed to the developmenl4of the plot forced the government to take immediate and arbitrary measures. 13. Communist leader in hiding at.Chinese Embass s Alimin, Chair- Cen ral Coma ee, escaped arrest part y. 25X1A man of the In onesian ommun s in the security sweep and has disappeared. He is believed to have taken refuge in the Chinese Communist Embassy in Djakarta. Comments This is the first report on Alimints whereabouts since his disappearance from Djakarta some time after 12 August. The Chinese Embassy is undoubtedly a likely haven for him mm so likely that the idea of his presence there could easily become the source of rumor. It is probable, however, that Alimin is still in Indonesia and very probably still in Djakarta. 25X1A G rnmant issues warning to Chinese schoolss police issued 25X1A Jove special regulatiaris to Chinese schools in ura aya last august with the warning that, if the regulations were not observed, the schools would be closed. The government notices specified that (1) politics should not be taught, (2) propaganda for any political ideology must not be introduced, (3) criticism of the government should not be directly or indirectly en- couraged, (14) posters and slogans, especially those containing propaganda ld not be displayed on h ou detrimental or offensive to a foreign. country, s school premises, and (5) students should not be prohibited from attending exhibitions of American films. 25X1A 0 Comments There is no indication that any serious attempt has been made o en orce the regulations. Similar instructions may have been issued in Djakarta, where police recently confiscated approximately 10000 geography-books at two Chinese secondary schools. The books called for the overthrow of the Indonesian Government by force.: 15. CHINA. UK squelches rumor of Peiping proposal to exchange foreign na 1onalse A British Foreign Office spokesman as assure a Embassy tha there is no truth in the reported Chinese Communist offer to ex- 7 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 ApprovLt 'For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79*"1146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET change Europeans held in China for Chinese imprisoned in Malaya. The spokesmen commented that the UK would be "only too gladtt to accept~sueh an offer. (S London 2119, 31 Oct 51) Comments The Daily Digest of 31 October reported the alleged pro- posal, noting that ft unconfirmed by British sources. 25X1X 16. Impressions of Russians in Manchurian industry given: Russian in- cen. l descr bed 25X1 while he did not speculate on the total number of Soviet technical advisers in Manchuria during his visit, said that a few appeared to be assigned to most plants. There were eight Soviet '!inspectors" at the Anshan iron and steel mills (probably Chinats most important heavy industrial installation) but no Soviets were present at the large sulphuric acid and ammonium sulphate.plant at Dairen or at a number of smaller chemical plants. The authority of Soviet advisers varied from plant to plant, often depending on the pro-or anti-Russian bias of the plant manager, or the competency of the advisers. These advisers appeared to be paid'directly by the Chinese Government rather than by the plant. Although in general 25X1 Russians assigned to Chinese industries exercised con- siderable authority (plant managers were often simply afraid to reject direct Soviet orders), the Russians at the large steel works at Anshan 25X1X did not interfere with the Chinese management, which made no effort to consult with them. was a mos Soviet engineers in Manchuri=a would be considered it -rate even in Russia." Many Chinese technicians and plant managers.expressed their lack of respect for the Russian engineers with whom they were working. One exception was the synthetic rubber plant at Kirin; Chinese engineers 25X1A from this plant claimed the Soviets working there were first-rate engi- neers. Stories of costly mistakes caused by poor Soviet technical ad- were commonly circulated in China (S Ivice 25X1 25X1X 17. Organization of the Chinese Communist Fifth Field Army reported -Phe inese -ommun s s in August organiz,aa The 1 eld T 25X1 X OP SECRET 8 5Nov51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AO00500160001-8 25X1 25X1 Approv WFor Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79 1146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET Army. It comprises four infantry armies and four mechanized corps of the same size as a Soviet mechanized corps. It is equipped with Soviet 25X1 A arms. Comments There have been many previous unconfirmed reports of the formation of a Chinese Communist Fifth Field Army, organized with Soviet 25X1 C assistance and advice. claime that the Fifth Field Army was formed under Soviet guidance in a spring of 1951, its troops being drawn from the North China Military Area Special Army Group, long known as the "5th Field Army." 'Chile subsequent reports have alleged the presence of units of the Fift1.Field Army in Korea under Nieh Jung-ohen, who was and is C,0,of the NCMASAG, no such Soviet-equipped units have been encountered in combat. 25X1 18. KOREA* Food shortage in North Korea not seen as'acute; In reply to Comments It has been generally indicated that the coming winter wil,1workaa~severe hardship on the North Korean civilian population. Fac- tors, in addition to food, contributing to this suffering will be the acute lack of housing and a probable shortage of consumer goods, particularly textiles. No firm conclusions regarding the stability or instability of the North Korean regime can be drawn from current evidence. There are indi- cations, however, pointing to increasing administratibe problems being encountered in the lower levels of government. The disorganization following UN occupation last winter, the considerable' loss of effective administrative personnel by death, defection or conscription, and the previously observed sharp lowering of living standards must all be con- sidered in assessing the degree of success achieved by the North Korean regime in reimposing its previously tight control elystem. TOP SECRET 9 5 Nov 51. Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approve` or Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79t '146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET 19. Ste es taken to alleviate refugee problem in ROKs The ROK Minister of Socialirs issued a statement November 1 concerning the dispersion of 15,000 refugees from North Korea. concentrated in the Seoul region "into warm southern areas." This action is part of a Flwinter prepara- tions" plan which includes the designation of November-as the "month for refugees entry arrangements" and an appeal for "the public to make pre- parations for the approaching winter season." (R FBID Ticker, 1 Nov 51) Comments With 1,500 other refugees arriving in Seoul and its environs each wee rom all Korea and a conservatively estimated four million re- fugees throughout South Korea, the immensity of the task confronting ROK officials is manifest. Nevertheless, it is encouraging to note that definite, even though inadequate, steps are being taken to cope with this critical problem. 20. JAPAN/KOREA. Negotiations deadlocked over Japanese demand for return of ships Japanese-Korean negotiations in Tokyo struck a snag on 2 November over a Japanese demand that Korea return.all the Japanese shipping it had seized, including five "large steamers" presently under Korean flag operation. The Korean Government is expected to spurn the Japanese de- mand, as the five ships currently form the major part of the Korean fleet. (R FBID Ticker, Central News, 2 Nov 51) Comment: The Koreans claim all shipping in Korean ports at the and of the war, regardless of registry, while the Japanese recognize Korean ownership of those ships registered in Korea only.. With several other equally debatable issues to be considered, nego- tiations will move slowly. Both countries may appeal to the US to sup- port their individual views. 21. JAPAN. Soviet officials discuss trade matters with Japanese Diet members: Two Soviet officials in.To yo went to t~i? De onvemtier aInc to unofficially for two hours with some 50 members of parliament about an eventual resumption of commercial exchanges between the USSR and Japan. Representatives of all political parties in Japan, including the Com- .munist Party, took part in this discussion which covered the importing of Soviet raw materials in exchange for machines and manufactured products. (R FBID Ticker, AFP Paris, 2 Nov 51) Comments Japan's trade with the USSR has been historically insignia fican in the postwar period minor trade developed, with Japan receiving coal and wood pulp from Sakhalin and potash from East Germany in exchange for railroad equipment, tug boats, barges and fishing equipment. It is TOP SECRET 10 5Nov51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approel'For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP791146A000500180001-8 TOp SECRET expected, however, that the USSR will continue to dangle before the Japanese the prospects 'of Chinese and Satellite raw materials, if only to create further dissension within Japan over the latterts loss of its traditional source of supply. 11 5Nov51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Appro d For Release 2002/05/20: CIA-RDP79761146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET SECTION 3 (WESTERN) FRANCE. French economic crisis mounts: The EGA Mission in Paris reports that the French Government is showing increasing pessimism in making the basic decisions necessary for its 1952 budget and for NATO's current survey of national capabilities, and is considering a fifty percent reduction in dollar imports for its current fiscal year. The Mission believes that the French economic and financial crisis is now reaching its peak and have "extremely serious consequences" for the economy and rearmament. (S Paris TOECA 1380, 31 Oct 51) Comment: The French had been counting heavily in recent months on large imports of US coal, cotton, oil, and equipment. A sharp curtail- ment of this program would be a blow not on?.y to production but also to the basic French policy of stemming the inflation by increasing imports. France's growing economic difficulties can be expected to jeopardize its present position in Indochina, its willingness to accept a maximum German contribution to European Defense, and its resistance to Soviet Orbit demands for strategic commodities in exchange for vitally needed imports. 2. A "rightist solution" is not imminent in France: The US Embassy in is concludes onthe -eve of the new Assembly session that the disunity among the components of the middle-of-the-road coalition "has at least not worsened and may in fact be less now than when the Assembly recessed in September." While Premier Pleven has neither made nor received commitments envisaging more solid Socialist support of the government, the likelihood of an early deal between the other supporting parties and the Gaullists appears to have lessened. The new Secretary-General of the Gaullist party has indicated that, although the General "realizes he must share the government with others on a coalition basis," he insists onhaving l)firm leadership of such a coalition himself. (C Paris 2573, 31 Comment: This is a further indication that the middle-of-the-road coalition should not be expected to crumble in the near future under the growing weight of the problems facing the Pleven government. TOP SECRET 12 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approvor Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET 3. 40 French Communists suffer setback in key.industry: The "de- communization" of labor in the Paris metallurgical industry is being successfully pursued by the employers' association and the non-Communist unions. Employers have firmly resisted unity-of-action committee demands, and the failure of wage negotiations in the metallurgical industry has given the Socialist-oriented union an excuse to withdraw from the unity- of-action committee. This union now plans a non-Communist association of Paris-region metal industry unions. (S Paris 2534, 30 Oct 51) Comment: The Communists have carefully nursed local unity-of-action committees since last spring in the hope of gaining 'complete control of French labor by working from the bottom up. Failure in the key Paris metal industry is a serious blow to their plans. This may be the turning point leading to an end of dominant Communist influence in critical sectors of French labor, particularly if the French Government successfully promotes a national economic conference excluding the Communist-controlled union. Lurid US journalism plays into Communist hands : The US Embassy in Paris deplores the adverse effects on US interests of articles stressing the horrors of a third world war, such as the recent lurid account in Collier's. Such articles have a "most depressing" effect on informed French opinion and foster doubts as to the stability and intent of US foreign policy. Thus they reveal "a basic misunderstanding of the current psychological climate in Western Europe" and strengthen the position of the neutralists, whose chief appeal is that war is not inevitable if Western Europe remains "independent." The neutralist- oriented Paris Le Monde has played up these articles, with the editorial comment that such terrifying accounts of "the next war" can hardly serve the cause of peace. The Embassy is convinced that these "men from Mars" articles, with pseudo-historical timetables and dramatic destruction, aid the Soviet peace campaign considerably by associating the US with war-mongering. (S Paris 2569, 31 Oct 51; C Paris 2568, 31 Oct 51) Comment: in view of the growing crisis in French opinion concerning rearmament, such articles are particularly ill-timed. A majority of the French concur in Western rearmament only grudgingly, and their support will be further weakened if they are not convinced that the growing military burden is reducing the prospect of war. AUSTRIA. Soviet representatives in Vienna show concern over US strategy: According to Austrian Foreign Minister Gruber, a conversation on 31 October between high Austrian officials and two Soviet political advisers revolved around the theme of Soviet concern for US strategic 13 5Nov51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approf For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79161146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET 25X1 6. 25X1 t otherwise confirmed, Austria defense plans throughout the world. The Soviet representatives said they were, prepared to make concessions to stop this US aggression," powerand remarked that in view of Churchill s return to power,, conference could be held from which favorable results might be expected. Gruber found the Soviet representatives to be "sensitive" and "on the defensive" on the subject of an Austrian state treaty. They attempted on in to connect the treaty iaeSthen rewith fusallofgther~'Yestltorconsent to ane Western zones of Austria, investigating commission, thatwthe stationing of in Trieste. Gruber feels these same objections in a new meeting of the Austrian treaty deputies. (S Vienna 1591, 1 Nov 51) Comment: Soviet officials in Western Europe have recently alleged inisSestrategy. that the USSR would make concessions to obtain aorchange In early 1951 prior to the unsuccessful Deputy Foreign Conference, there was a series German fresimilar armamentepo nsthealasteserieswofld make concessions to stop l1Sovietschargessof Austrian treaty talksln the weeks tthe he repeated recent USSR blocking agreement. remilitarization in west Austria have appeared to be laying the foundation for further objections to an end of the Austrian occupation. - Austro-R, mmnian trade ne assert s, that Austro-Rumanian trade negotiations have been ^broken off. toereAustturn o Viennaators in Bucharest Comment: Although this report is no has heretofore been subjected discussions centered on Satelliteedemandsrs. Difficulties have in previous for Austrian strategic exports., and Austrian insistence on settlement of Satellite debts incurred under previous trade agreements. BELGIUM-NETHERLANDS. Discussions for renewal of trade agreements with The dutch who are currently Poland not proceeding satisfactori . conducting trade discussions adlht Poles the negotiations "are going badly" and no The Netherlands Economic offered strategic materials strategic item. delegation has not been authorized to offer Poland any not The Belgian Government, also negotstrategic wthtPoland,Phas n in "admitted contemplating" the supply of ems TOP SECRET 25X1 C 25X1A 14 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 nations sus ended: Approved*r Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01A6A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET in return for coal. Information to the contrary from a Polish official may be the result of a free-lance promoter's reported attempts to arrange deals involving Polish coal with several Western European countries. (S Brussels 602, 30 Oct 51; S The Hague 431, 1 Nov 51) Comment: Reports of Benelux offers of strategic materials in exchange for Polish coal emanated from the head of the Polish delegation to the current Swedish-Polish trade negotiations. The Netherlands is believed to have sufficient coal reserves to fore- stall any shortages, provided the winter is not too severe. Belgium does not generally import large quantities of coal. b. UNITED KINGDOM. No drastic chap e in British polio toward Spain The new British Government will not ex ected: make any major changes in Spanish policy, according to tentative information given the US Embassy in London by the Foreign Office. British opposition to Spanish membership in NATO or to US military aid to Spain and disapproval of Spanish domestic policies are expected to continue under the. Conservative regime. Although the Foreign Office anticipates the gradual elimination of certain discriminatory practices of the former Labor government, the Conservatives first desire evidence of a more friendly Spanish attitude toward the British. (S London 2145, 1 Nov 51; S Paris 2588, 1 Nov 51) Comment: Speculation that the Conservatives would reverse the Labor government's Spanish policy has not been borne out. The Conservatives had previously objected to US military aid to Spain, fearing that such an agreement might cut the flow of arms to NATO countries. ? TUC led e su ort for new overnrnent: A statement by the Trades' Union Congress (TUC issued on 30 October, following a meeting of its General Council, states: "It is our long standing practice to seek to work amicably with whatever government is in power and through consultation jointly with Ministers and with the other side of industry to find practical solutions to the social and economic problems facing this country. There need be no doubt, therefore, of the attitude of the TUC towards the new government." The Embassy comments that this statement indicates the feeling of public responsibility which characterizes the TUC's General Council. It believes the TUC will endeavor to restrict its influence to the economic and industrial sphere, and that the Churchill government will'be cautious in formulating policies which directly affect the trade union movement. (R London 2123, 1 Nov 51) TOP SECRET 15 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Appr&%od For Release 2002/05/20: CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET t Comment: The TUC has been increasingly influential in fj oinwhich it consultative committees instigatbYtI'he TUG will Labor be especially anxious provided powerful political support. Chanc to maintain the National Coinnittee,sbothCof which ndclude government,of the Exchequer's Economic tives t . a lpresen trade union, and empoyer re 10. Personal domination of Churchill ensured b cabinet f the new British Cabinet emphasizes on o i selections: The composition Conservative government. f th e on o Winston Churchill's dominati t wartime closes Churchill's selection of his the extent to defense ministry ademonstrate fill jobs and his own retention which this personal control will be carried. Although the Cabinet appointments consist mainly fwell-presence Conservative figures, many of them fill unexpected posts. The in the government of six peers who will be unable to answer queries in the House of Corcanoris has evoke~essome umablcriticism hisnchaices1deliberetely However, the Prime Minister has presumably made in order to relieve and CfromeconstanteattendanceminrParliamentlnecessitated responsibilities by the slim majority, as well as to bring the men with special qualifi- cations into suitable assignments. Only two of the,"progressiveiYo ngant n ort Tory group," I.A. Butler and Sir David MaxwelOc Fyfe, w0re,gi0 Oct 51; posts. (Information from: C London 2066, 29 2102 and 2116, 31 Oct 51) 11 Peron ma have made an agreement with high army leaders: 25X1 has stated that there is a strong possibility that .eron as m reement concerning his political future with Minister of Defense Sosa Molina, Army Minister Lucero, and General Angel Solari, Commander in Chief of the Army. According to the agreement, e re the military will guarantee that Peron will continue in office regardless of the outcome of the elections, but only as a figurehead. should not win the electrons as expdthe coming into powert a 25X1 "simulated coup" to prevent the opposition tween Peron and the army is not clear. b e nship relatio Comment: The n between There have been recent indications o of di that Sosa Molina, and questionable epors The a asib undisturbed pp Y the militar~~ may attempt to force Peron out. progress of Peron's program for re-election may mean only that the powerful army generals are adhering to their earlier decision to support him through the elections (see OCI Daily Digest, 28 Sep and I Oct 51). TOP SECRET 16 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approa For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET opposition e consonant with the plans of other armed ? not b Such a decision pelements. A nationalist and a retired forces and political nate Peron. army officer are reportedly implicated in a plot to assassalit think e that The source of this report states "many other Argentines problems. san assassination is the only solution" to Argentina's p Dr. Roberto Urdaneta 12. Drdaneta will be sworn in as Presid nt emporar President COLS IA? the illness of Arbelaez will be sworn in to-day, November 5, as t of Colombia. He will serve CrrBo capacit 0, 1 y 2 Novr51) President Laureano Gomez. (g Government rightist bias of the present Colombian Comment: The Drdaneta since delay in may be strengthened during the incumbency of largely due to the latter's advancing Gomez's rightist program has been ill health. However, the new President is unlikelyoto make any significant change in Colombia s pro-US . sordeers: lead to more serious Montevideo strike situation ma 13. URUGUAY- impasse disorders: -- -'?" Th?e US~mbassy in Montevideo states that the continued strike situation is "creating economic hardship and a sense of desperation among strikers which might lead to more serious disorders and the strikers of now ingr, d The previously weakening attitude of government. worker resentment is shifting from directorate Portland (ANCAP) to the Nacional de Corbustibles, Alcohol, y nthe The Embassy has been informed that pth urpose CIO of was s to contact military toeso Uruguayan Ambassador to the US port. (C Montevideo 197, 1 Nov 5 ) intervention in the Montevideo p Digest., Comment: The growing strike movement (see OCI Daily a show of non-Communist labor strength; and may 22 Oct 51 is apparently osed to lebiscite (the see projected ected constitutional reflect the activities of forces opposed reform bill which will soon face a p efforts to mediate the strike 1 Aug 51), The government's foundering may result from a desire to delay a conclusive settlement until after the constitutional question is settled. TOP SECRET 17 5 Nov 51 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180001-8 Approve or Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79TM46A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION 5 November 1951 CIA No 49416-A. Copy No. 49 S/S CABLE SUPPLEMENT TO THE DAILY DIGEST Not for dissemination outside O/CI and O/NE. Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This summary of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. TOP SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION Approved. For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0005001'80001-8 Approvor Release 2002/05/20: CIA-RDP79146A000500180001-8 TOP SECRET SECTION 2 (EASTERN) 1. TURKEY/IRAN. Turkish-Iranian relations deteriorate: Turkish-Iranian relations have deteriorated as a result of Turkish support of Britain in the Anglo-Iranian oil dispute. Turkey is being denounced as "a stooge of the British and Americans and a traitor to the Moslem world." Commu- nists and fellow-travelers are exploiting the situation in order to hinder the plans for an expanded Middle East Command. (S, S/S Tehran 1641., 2 Nov 51). Comment: Although Iran tends to follow the lead of Turkey in inter- national affairs, traditional suspicion and jealousy of a strong neighbor have made Turkish-Iranian relations difficult. 2. INDOCHINA, De Lattre denounces Vietnamese premier: General de Lattre's charges against Premier Huu, the first rumblings of which were heard a week ago, reached a new peak during a recent interview with US Minister Heath. De Lattre stated, in a way that implied agreement, that his pre- decessor as High Commissioner had told him that Huu belonged with the worst "rabble " of Indochina. The General went on to call Huu a grafter and black-marketeer. Despite his observation that almost anyone in Viet- nam would make a better chief of government De Lattre insisted Huu must remain in office "for a few months" since there is no one capable of re- placing him. If he had any real difficulties with the Huu government, De Lattre stated that he would offer his resignation, (S, S/S Saigon 958, 2 Nov 51). Comment: Early in 1951 De Lattre was largely instrumental in main- taining Huu in power and in effecting the liquidation of Huuts political enemies. His statement that Huu, for all his vices, is currently indis- pensable denotes an unduly low regard for the quality of Vietnamese poli- ticians. So far as politically conscious Vietnamese are concerned, Huu has always been expendable. This is the first time that De Lattre is known to have played with the possibility of resigning. Approved For Release 2002/05/20 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000500180Q0 -% 51