CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DAILY DIGEST

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CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7
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T
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17
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December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 8, 2001
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1
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REPORT
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Approved For Rele 2001/09/04 :CIA-RDP79T01146AOO~b0020001-7 TOP SECRET '~ ~ ~ ~ /~ ?" :. CQPY NO ~ ~ `~~ CENTRAL 3~TELLIGENQE ~.GENCSC OFFICE OF CURIRENT 3NTET,LIGENCE DA,I~,Y DIGEST Datgo ' N07'Ee ~e Th~?a ~t~nm~~ of ignifirt reports ha.~ been prepared pr3ma,ri~r ~~~ tY~~ 3.rater~1 use of the Of'~i~~ of Cux?ren?~ In.t?7LI~,~?n~~ o ?~ dose not represen?~ a oarr~p~ete oc~~~~?~ge ~f ~3.7L c~axrent repax?ts in CIS ar ita the' Qf`1?i~e o.f? C~?x?ent Ira te~~lgen ~~ a Ccam~enta repres?x~t the pr~z~.~miraaay vievpa of th~r O!f~ice e~~ Crent Ta~,e~,7liger~~c~o 3e Ma.r~g3raal letter indiaa?~icrax~ a.re defined ~s foll~~s '~A?p ~ ~.tems ,ir~,~4~.t~g Seviet~Cornm~iat inten~~r#a~ or ~,~lai~itieao aaBau ~ impor`~nt reg3aen~l delognents not ne~~saa,r~. ret~d ~c~ So~riet/ C~mt~;ist :~~n.tent~,c~a~ or ' ~~pahi~.itie~ ~C?~ ?ethe~^ ~sxfc~~griatie i~diting trenel and p??~en?~ial de~~e~~~nenta State Dept. declassification & release instructions on file Approved For Release 2001/09/04 :CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For Rele~ 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146AOOE0020001-7 T4P SECRET SECTION l ~50~'IET) USSRa Incresasdd Prices for `Waste Msterials in Lithuanian. arad Laf~vian SSR~so US embassy Moscow r?ports that since 15 Junes procurement agencies of t~a? USSR Ministry of Light I~du,stry have been offering 'sharply ,ia~creased pricesea to the public for waste materialso Ref?rence is made to a notice published on lb June in Sovetskaya Litva whicha although riot guotigzg the actual prig?s9 lists the following proportionate increas~so defec?~ive cloth increased 6,7 time~g cotton wadding ~. times9 wool rags 305 ti~aes~ felt flaw.-hemp products ~4~ times9 canvas 3 times9 mined wool rags9 ootton waste9 pelts 25 times heavy sacks 1,5 times, A similar but less detailed notice was published in Sovetskaya Latvia on 20 June9 and both artioles remind the publio that ferrous and non ferrous scrap9 bones and old rubber s,re also urgently needed by the State (C Mosoow 2170q .26 June 5l)n Field Commento The Embassy observes that it is as yet unknown whether these increases apply to the USSR as a whole or only to the Baltic areasa It also points out that thes? upward adjustments may actually be minor9 singe state prices prior to 15 Jame BBoould be merely a tokeno~e If true9 this mo~~e would stim~ elate publio interest to sell items to $he State that foam?rly circulated privately, The Embassy recalls that these new prises are the first aclanowledged rise noted in Mosoow since 19~.9a and may evidence growing raw material shortages at least in consumer industries, C?MMENTo Althougru this is the first direct reference to a possible need for waste materials in the~tJSSR? there have been several previous refer?nces to ferr~uus and non? ..ferrous metals shortages as reflected in urgent public appeals to support the scrap metal driven EASTERN EUROPEo BULGARIAo Ntinister of Agriculture Replacedo Radio Sofia has announced that the Bulgarian Minister of Agriculture Titko Chernokolevg has been replaced by Nikola Stoilov, (R FBIDa. 25 June 5l~ o ~E]MN.~I~T o `t'he Communist Government has elevated to ministerial rank a Bulgarians who? so far as is known has held rag`important positions in eith~~? the Party or Governmento Stoilov was listed as a Plovdiv delegate to the National Conm Terence of Cooperative Farmers in .April 1950? The position off' Minister of Agriculture has apparently degenerated into a facade fo~? the recent~Ly created Politics], Administration of the Ministry of .Agriculture ~(~/Ca Daily Digest9 6.June 51~ which has been empowe~?ed with complete control of oo~t? iectiv3zed agrica~I.tureo -The official anna~uncement significantly did nofi~ name the head of the new Political Administration who ms,y be a Soviet official, The or?sted Chernokolev9 a Bulgarian Communist ~.th aao training in the Soviet Union9 but a member of the Bulgarian Politbu~?o sincea ].9d~~g has now apparently outlived his usefulness as a convenient scapegoat for the mass collectivisation in Bulgaria-.during 195Ca TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04 : CAA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For Rele 2001/09/04 :CIA-RDP79T01146A000~0020001-7 TDP SECRET eapaa CZECH?~L()~'AKIAa F'x^ench ~1ow ?pp?sed to Suspension of Czechoslovak f7verfli~ht, In an apparent reversal of positions the French Government has instructed its representative on tYie Civil Aeronautics Bard to renew the Uzechos~avak overflight permit for Julye Cln X49 June the-French Foreign Office advised US Embassy Paris that the French representative on HICOM had bean instx?aacted not to ?ppos? any US prcape~sal to suspend Czechoslovak ovsx?flLight p?rar~ss3.one Unspecified aadiplomatic and commsroialBe reasons ware given for the present m?veo ~S Frankfort 165159 26 June 51~ S Paris 7~~29 20 Jane 51)0 CONa The Mats Bepartableaxt has instructed US authorities in Germaxzy to delay approving the Czechosla~vak application for renewal of the present overflight pexmz.t which empires on ~O Jun?, British authorities are still studying the q`aestion9 although they have already given a pr?].iminaa~y view that th?y favor renewing the perm`~t? (O/CI Daily I7igest9 20 June 51~? aaBaa Rio Lar~emScale Yugoslav Border Evacuations Continu?Q The US Legationb in Buchax^~st reports that large scale evacuations from the Yugoslav border area continue9 with several trainloads per day undex?.military guard. obs?rved passing through Buchan?sto The size of the evacuation has severely tweed Rumanian xvailra~ad facilitiese and several accidents have aeportedly c~c~:urred~ The evacuees are mainly Serbs9 erthex? n?n Rumanian nationalities and aakulaksa~d The Legation comments that9 if this is a general evacuation movemexxt of th? Yugoslav frontier ar?a9 it would logically be only for defexnse ?ar military opex^atioxns~, although poss~.bly on a long term basis a The Yugoslav press alleges that the ?vacaaees users infox?med by the Rumanian militia that tYne evacuation was necessary to save them from impending air attacks from Yugoslavia9 where Anglo~American tx?oops rare massed for attacks ~C Bucharest ?~71a 22 June 519 C Bucharest `77g9 25 June 5l9 1~XTa 26 June 51~ o C4MM~N~'o The-.fact that this border evacuation9 and similax? moves in Hungary and Bulgaria9 have occurred after accelerated military activities isa these areas were already well under way less?ns the probability that such evacu- ations are px?imarily connected with immediate military pregsarationsa It is means likely that such evacuations have been ordered at this t~.,me to cut oft the infiltratian of Yugoslav agents and the escape ~~af defectors9 both of which activities hav? been ceansiderably facilitated by the hostile frontiex? area ps~prxlations esf the Ce~minfcrm countx?iesm aaCaa YUGOSLA~'IAo Application t? European Payments Ural on Awaits Ass4;zrance of Acre. pta~ac~,a US Ambassadcar Allen advises that the Yugoslav G rveaa nment pra~~ bably will apply foxy ~sembership in the Eura~pean Pa~exyt s Union ~E~ ~ 9 pxTovided that the US indicates a willingness to facilitate its me~aber?shipo Allen raote~ that the argument that Europ?an econtamic pra~bl?ms t x?aff~sc?nd national boundaries9 emphasized by the Yugoslav delegate to the Geneva EGE meetingp could be used to approach the Yu$a~slav Goverrrenta know?ver9 as nothing ha,s been heard since March l~'S1 c~ancerning Yugoslav a~emb?rship in E~Ct9 Allen railer the possibility that the pro TrTester~n Yugoslavs were overly optimistic regarding the speed with ~aich Yug?slav leaders could swing they rank :and file around to m?mbership in the Weste~?n Europ?axx or~ani~atiosuo ~S Belgrade 19779 25 June 5lao ~Oa An accel?rat?d pro? Western orientati?~n in Yugoslavia apparently is hind?red by the influence Approved For Release 2001/090$ :P79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For Rele~ 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A0003~0020001-7 TOF SECRET of a number of relatively will-placed Ma,rxis~s who feel that official , ties with Western capitalism constitute a repudiation of Yugoslav sacialismm YUGOSLAVIAo Tita Evidences Fro~American Sentimento In ~, farew?11 converm sation with the Israeli Minister to Yugoslavia who is being transferred9 Tito reportedly refers?d to th? US in the warmest terms stating that the US alone was the champion of liberty for the world, Contrasting US policy with that of the USSR Tito remarked thate while Stalin was absolutely ruthless he was clever enough not to let the USSR-take an avert aggressive roleo Tita felt that Molotov supported Stalin8s views but that, Malenkav heads an aggressive Soviet faction which favors war b~fare the West~~^n world rearmed The greatest danger would arise if the Ntalenkov group wez?e to gain ascendancy, Tita added that-the USSR could never develop sac~alism under present Soviet policy, since successful socialism could only be based on humanisms which he was determined t4 s~hie?m f?x? '~ugosl.s-~$,~a 14~nb8ssador Allen Comments that the increasing Yugoslav friendliness to th? US has been pramoted by the'US policy of rendering prompt and effective assistance to Yugoslavia, Allen notes the special importance of continuing this policy of winning Yugoslav confidences in order to have the new Yugoslav pro US arie~;tatian overcome the remaining apposition in the middle and lower ranks of the Yugoslav Government, Allen is.af the opinion theta although Tito will find it necessary to remove additional officials in this governor r~ent9 his position in the country as a whale has been strengthened by the new orientation, (S Belgrade 19798 25 June ~1), COMMENT a. Tyne current pram US campaign. being carried an in the Yugoslav Ax~iy and Party is probably aimed at overcoming some latent resistance to the Tita Gavernme~;t?s pro- US orientation in the organizations on wYiich Titacs suppor$, restsa 8ther reports within recent months hav? indicated differences of opinion within the .Yugoslav Government and Farty9 and extending even a.nto the Yugoslav Falitbura9 regarding TitoQS growing pro Western orientation. 3 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For Rele 2001/09/04 :CIA-RDP79T01146A00~00020001-7 T4P ~3ECRET SECTIC~Pt ~ (~S'TERN~ ~'A~ INl~IAQ Fati~^teen I'r~da.. - heave For Visit to . USSI~b f7ra 19 J't~ a pmt ~ o. f ndiar~ , soi~n ass ~ and. ~?i . ~sx?s ~ ~ ~ fcx^ I~.kpore { Fa1~..stan~~ Kab~ (Afghanistar~,~~: arnd ~d'os~a~~nr ~~, a fou~~~~%t st~d~ "tour' of the USSR4 Whey' ire: seem off _ Se~~et Chax^ge d II~ff~.iros arad the F~;x^s?~ ~e~retar~ (~! New ~al~a.- 37~I~ ~~ J'~ 51~_ R FBIS Far E~,stQ ~0 Jura ~~.~o, C4I~NTa Oaa 9 ~p~?i.7, ~.951~ ?~e~aty~fo~.r Ihdians x~re ~vited ?~?~ v,~.sit ?~h~ gee 4~I ~Iy ~ige~t~ 9 and 26 Apr 51a) B~ca~.s~; o?rtain ind~..du.~ xBefused the ,.nnv3:tatioa~s and othdrs ~ex^e prever9.ted, bar the C~verxea~t f.~:affi 1~a~aag the oowrat.~y~, the So?~?ts ~aC?e f?i?d~d ~ to appx^?aoh ~ ~eba~? 9f per~~a~ ~ot~ ~s~, the~? origiraa~, 7Listb the group of 1;1~. ,u~.~.oh has fib , is ooi~.po~~ad. primari~.,y a3.1Y dep~?~~d for the USSR of ixsditr3.d~.~.s about ~ho~. Ia~tlle or a~~thg is 1C~&o~, Fx?esuartab3.y~ most aac?e Cosntna~i~ts or fe1,7.~svr `~x?avel.ldrs in ~uho~, the ~ndia~t ~verr~raerat hay 1i~~tle inte~^est mad mho ha~re been. invited bar the So~ets znal?~,y tc~ px?everat the a~zoh~pubI.icized. trip :~?r~~ being a total, failu`~'?e? '~~~ AF'GHANo Soviet~,~$.f? hasp. T'r~td,~ P~,ot ? ~'~,i]L~s in its ~7fil~m,~nto ~ US F~.bas~ s3-' aun. Kab~; x?eparts h~.t of 3~ ~~ g ox~s..6f ga~o a tea. pposed. to be c~.i.sp~;tcYi~d by the U sSR ?~o ;~f'gh.st~, `b~fox?p ~C~ ~~ 1.9;~I d~~? ?~hs t~,a~ ~f the Sdviet,'~iah, farads pact ?f' 195~~ on~,y 8E34~, g~~,,a?~s mere actual de7.ivered by 1 Juste a (~ Kabax3. 125~,~~ 22 J' 51~ s GC311~1V~?; The exohge ~f other? commodities has a~.,so l,aggede It is belies b the cu$?re~at ~gha~S?iv3,st pant dffic~i~;1,~ ex:pix^es9, neither ~ootu~ta~?~ ~. ha.~'fnl.fill.ed its c?~exats under th,e tpx~as of the p~~t~ the So~,ets ps?ssumably~ because of hea,~* a`iiadiger~,cu~ .d Chinese demds for the~,x? ~aso~ Line and the A.f'ghan C~avers~aent beca~ise of the difficulties `~rf a;cqu.3rin,g ~.d. aseeffiblia~g .the a~t?esd o?~odities fear shi _to the USA, Nsither oo.tr~ appeax?s to have maci~ spe~.~ efforts to ~.rBgratiate itself ~t~a tho o?~ner~, " acid s~o attempt to ex~egsd -the life of the p~?~t ~~ t?~ negotiate a hem one .fox? 195152 had `~beeaa absea?vedp Aoo?x?d:bsx resu]:t in e~arnos~c and political.~ora.ez~..t~,ti ~lof ,~ ,stars tasx~x^dotheoUS R sett to have been `anfoundeda I~~d F~aod Su :lies ~?o~`-the ~~st ~bi~ , ~ S'SR repci~^te y made ci ers . -au g ?~he spxng of ~,95~~, faodgraiass tc ease the ~ latter ~~ c pp ~ n ~, ~.th ~ szp to 5C7C9~ toms ~f td a UP press di at~h ant food c~?3:sis~ ?an 22 Jul, a~e^ord sP ~ ~,dia, mod' the USSR sighdd ~. bax?ter ag~e~t ~ .oh .ttie USSR .~, pat?~i~de 10~~0~ toms of ~ ~~?~ ~~hange fer va~rio~ns ~c~ai~"ooc~ties believed to ia:3c].tide teas, tobao~o~ ~~.te ~mt~fact~.x?es~, a~ad shel].~d~ S~at?city of av]:able f,~d~~ ,~;~,,~~a.a ~.a.~. taaas ~ ~U NX" ~Ie~^a~,dl~i~ n2~t ~~~n~S~C ~ e~ C~~3'b ~e ado ~ ags?e~;d, ~,~~ re~ax?diig l~~ ~~cans of meat is b~7~r.~4rp??~`;~~~~..~_ ~? ~A~~et agr?~m.t w~._ ~ _- ~~~. ~,~.~ ~.~ ~~: ~a ay ~n:Q.s ~a~ca the USA d Cka;~.aea h~~e _._ p~?abably thieved the ~ propaganda. effect f~?offi their- r~e~a~ offs aaf food to Indian S~sce passage of the US fmodmto?T.ndi;a bi~..1.g .I;nclia dose riot ~dP SECR~ Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For ReIs a 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A000 00020001-7 reliably reported to have gone so far as to request the Commissioner of the Rangoon Police to arrest several, anti-Communist Chinese on charges of murder and offered to pay the "expenses80 involved. US Embassy Rangoon states that the Burmese press is already calling upon the Government to regulate ac- tivities in the Chinese commun4ty, and believes that further barefaced inter- fer?ence in Burmese affairs by Communist diplomats may restdt in just such action. (S Rangoon 942, 22 Jupe 5l). OMB s Any Burmese effort to place roetraints upon Communist activities among the Chinese will be undertaken only with great caution and vwi h due consideration far Peiping's reaction. "BOO MALAY. Chinese Coman nisi Extortion Rex ;rted r Sia a c r o The Chinese _om press in'l ,ingaapore reports that 5 members of ths local Foochow (Swatow) communityv received extortionate demands from Communist China totalling at least ten million Hong Kong dollars. The demands have been accompanied with threats of reprisals against "near and distant relatives in China and the confiscation of property. .At the same time growing anti-Conumthist sere titnent among the Chinese is evidenced the formation of a P?Singapore Over- Seas Chinese Anti-Communist Res t Russia Comnttteeo" This orgarisaation, the first ove anti4Peipinng group to be formed among the Singapore Chineses intends to support the Government in its anti-Communist struggle and is planning an independent propaganda campaign. The US Consulate General Si ga pore believes that this organization can perf a valuable functiong but doubts that it will become a rallying point fcr large numbers of Chinese, most of whom are unwilling openly to e ibit anti offi et feelinngsd (USARML09 Singapore, 23O21OZ. June 5l) . Cis The extortion technique described in this report appears to be identical to that us ed by Chinese Communist agents in Saigon* (See 0/CI Daily Digest, 25 June 51). Inccreasi,ng., but as yeast ineffectual,, anti-Communist tendencies among overseas Chinese have been noted elsewhere in Southeast .Asia. "Bas ADji_-G2mAWjj& Camuaignn Ma iJn der "w l a, d On 15 June, Director of Operations Sir Harold Briggs broadcast new emergency regulations aimed at starving the Communist bandits by rigidly controlling the movement of food throughout Malaya.. Simultaneously,, an all out military campaign was launched to clear the state of Johore with a maximum air effort and the commitment of every available man from headquarters bases and training centers. tJSARMLO comments that unless satisfactory gains are achieved by these actions in the near future. substantial changes in method and possibly a shakeup of the high command are to be anticipated. (USARMLC Singapore, 23091OZ9 Jesse 5 1.). O NT s British f arose have been registea1,ing steadyf, though unspectacular gains, in terms of casualties inflicted against the Communist bandits during the past few months. but there are no indications that they -are about to crush the Communist uprising.. The British have con- stantly reviewed and wised their tactics in dealing with the Communists and no doubt will coh sue to do so. The prediction of a possible shakeup in command cannot be assessed on the basis of available inf maatiorn, "C" 0NESIAo tr a ~e~atened in Suanatr The Medan branch of SOBSI. Communist-led labor . f ederation9 has instructed affiliated unions in East TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 6 Approved For Rele>Ae 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A06G00020001-7 TOP SECRET Sumatra to demand . month's free pay and a gift of free d.oth from their employers in recognition of a Mohammedan holiday which falls on 5 and 6 July. If employers refuse but are considered financially able to meat the demmands the unions ll strike o gm i ndivi coal basis late in June, ~5X1A $ Cis During the past week,, the Government has been faced with an increasing number of strikes,, some of undoubtedly have been encouraged by the Government?s own statements that the strike ban is undesirable and will soon be changed and by Labor Minister T ? ea a obvious hesitation to enforce it, "Beg zoo Minh Attack SSn French in Tonkin ill' Threatens, Viet Minh forces are continuing to build up in the area opposite the southeast 25X1 C angle of French defenses in Tonkin, di t re c s that these tro will attack in the near future. 25X1A 25X1A COMMENT-0 The French are aware o is threat, and are 9 n ably prepare to -ravwlleq~ i f success u "Ao? CHINAa CCP Jou al Endorses Malik? S h Imes No Comte c ais~o The Chinese Communist Party journals Pe SOS (the Chinese equivalent of avd )9 in the cone of a long-editorial reviewing the Co st version of the Korean conflict and deriding US military capabilities,, states that the "Chinese people fully endorse" Malik?s suggestion that a cease fire be arranged. However,, the editoorial, asserts that., if the US "is willing to stop the wore she should therefore fall in at once with the just and reasonable measures for peaceful s e ttl ement.0 0repeatedly yebposed" by the PeipInng regime (R FBIS9 26 June 53.). CO .- The editorial does not explicitly reaffirm Peiping?s earlier terms for "peace- ful settlement" Go withdrawal of UN forces from Korea,, admission of Communist China to the UN9 and US abandonment of Taiwan0 The references however,, to earlier proposals implies that Peiping?s unacceptable terms will again be brought forward after a cease-fire is achieved,, a pattern made familiar in Communist-NationtUlat relations during the Chinese civil., ware The P6 ping regime appears prepared politic als9 economically and m .,itarily to continnt its commitment in Korea indefinites, "Ctrs o h Commst Ut Conte ted i Ko a the capture of 8 ~- Far East Command reports prisoners from the Chinese Communist 47th Army in the Chorwaa area, Elements of this army,, part of the Fourth Field Army,, were identified in South China as late as January, 1551. Chinese Nationalist Intelligence reported the 47th moved to Manchuria in April, FEC notes that this groom contact tes . to support the w~merous agent and PW reports toga di .tg the commitment of fresh Fourtk yield Army units to replace those ,t13. >of--the awe Field Amy which were returned to China or were wit hdrmw ft mm fbrwaxd areas far rotation or rehabilitation. (S FECOM Telecon 488. 27 June 51). ~ " d S tuet on in N~? i A prisoner of war interrogation team,, in pass g nalong impre ss ion o n conditions in North Korea i ned from TOP SECRET Approved .For Release 2001/09/047CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For Relwse 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A0B600020001-7 recently taken prisoners,, states that the food shortage has become so acute that the Chinese CoMmur, is is stopped requisitioning food supplies about the and of April. Some starvation exists among the civilians near the east central front line area. Farm production is low with less than one-fifth of the fields near the fighting zone under cultivation, although in the rear areas most of the land is plantede Labor and fertilizer shortages are responsible for the reduced yields. The food shortage is being blamed on the Chinese Communist troops and is causing growing animosity between the Chinese troops and the Korean civilians and troopso (S Pusan 10879 25 axe 51). C: NT o This is the first information received that the Chinese forces no longer requisition supplies. Otherwise,,, the agricul- tural outlook gs presented,, is generally borne out by other sources as are the comments on Sino-Korean friction. AmA??~rro~ Eh Creak North Ed reae Radio Pyongyang on both 23 and 25 June made references to smallpox in Kangwon Province on the east coast immediately north of the 38th Parallel. Health workers are credited *ith giving' 1d to more than 300,9000 persons,, advice to more than 809000 and 4,023 patients were cured bf smallpox caused by the Americans." (R FBIS 26 June 51). COKMENT a While the worst outbreak is in Kangwon Province, smallpox is apparently widespread since epidemic teams are also reported in North Pyongan and Kanggye Provinces along the Manchurian border. Reuter reports a broadcast referring to over 40,,0O0 cases in the northeast coast area. ? TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/048 CIA-RDP79TO1146A000300020001-7 Approved For Reuse 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A00020001-7 TOP SECRET SECTION 3 (WESTERN) f'Bt? ITALY, Resurgence of Neo-Fascism. Increasing pressure on the neo Fascist IIta an Mial Movement- N-SI o assume an intransigently anti U'S position is reportedly being exerted by its terroristic para-military organization., the Fasces of Revolutionary Action (FAR). The FAR., composed largely of die-hard ex-militiamen of Mussolini!s Salo Republic, is extremely national- istic, is opposed to both the Christian Democrats and the Communists, and seeks to overthrow democratic institutions in Italy by every possible means, It has connections with'Fascist groups in other countries and maintains- particularly close ties with Franco Spain, Many b5 I leaders are members of.the FAR. The MSI has received financial aid from even right-wing members of the Christian Democratic Party. It is making considerable head- way in gaining popular support and offers a particularly strong a e Italian youth, 25X1A The MSI has been gradually gaining strength since the l918 nation eections--a trend confirmed by the recent local TOP SECRET 9 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For Rel a 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A0p,Q?00020001-7 TOP SECRET elections, Although riot yet considered by `official observers as a force to be reckoned with. (it has so far maiptained a Pro -US position on many international issues), it will undoubtedly continue to attract sup- port from those natior}alist minded groups who are dissatisfied with the present Government's policy and yet oppose Communism. If, as is antici- pated, the Government accelerates its agrarian reform program, influential land-owner elements will tend to give the MSI increasing financial support and, in many instances, to join the party. , r'C" VATICAN. Poe Believes War Inevitable. In reply to, and in implied ap- prove of, e s rung anti-d,omm nis a atements of the newly accredited British Minister., the'. Pope appeared pessimistic regarding possibilities for preserving peace in our time, He indicated that the chasm between East and West was becoming much deeper with jime.and that the establishment of peace seems a forlorn hope. In-.a veiled reference to the breaking up of the Paris conference of deputy Foreign Ministers., he recalled his ef- forts to bring about a true and sound, understanding among nations, but remarked that that objective "seems to recede farther and farther away." (U NY Times, 2) . June 51) COM TNT It is possible that in the face of world- persecution of .e.C urch by Communists and the persistence of strong Communist currents in Western,Europe9 the Pope now believes that war is the only thing that will preserve the Church's strength in Europe and Asia. "Cr' Policy Toward Palestine to Be Revised8 Cardinal Tisserant, who as secretary o Ho y C ongrega ion or e Orient al Church has the greatest responsibility for the Holy See policy in that zone., realizes that the Vatican's Palestinian policy must be revised, High personalities in the Church realize its insistence upon the internationalization of holy places has resulted in the formation of a united front,between Israelites and Arabs on this issue, Cardinal, Tisserant has beer authorized to study the entire problem with a view to early revision holy places in Palestine. y toward COMMENT: The Pope indic at .s 0 25X1A for the internationalization of holy a revision of the Church's Y places in Palestine 'might-be possible.,. -while Monsignor Tardini, acting Secretary of State and a conservative, is believed to have opposed any change in the Vatican's policy? There is no Arab-Israeli "front" on this issue. The general 'impression is that the Arabs have on the whole approved the Vatican's position regarding Palestine in genera1?a ing Rapprochement with the Church, v~r W~ V.Ll Viiu augme ana 4 ile Church,, Martin Artajo.and other prominent Catholics are reported responsible,' The Spanish Church reportedly ordered a cessation of criticism of the government after a conference between Franco and Primate Pia, y!Deniel in TOP SECRET 10 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For ReleWe 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A0c 0020001-7 early June, The reconciliation move was reportedly championed by the B$shbp of Madrid and supported by the Bishop of Malaga (an outs oken critic of the regime). Earlier the Vatican is reported, 25X1C to have held long conversations with a Spanish representative concerning the cancellation of the freedom frcm"eensorship previously enjoyed by the Catholic publication TU. Meanwhile, it appears that the Vatican directive to the Spanish clergy on social conditions did not, as reported earlierostrongly condemn the regimes 25X1A S Madrid Desp. 1375., 18 May 51) ec g- supporters of the regime, No open break between Franco and the Church has occurred and steps are apparently being taken to prevent policy difforenees from leading to a crisis, If the report is true, it would ap- pear that Franco has made some concessions to Church pressures and that the Catholic Action-Monarchist group may be regaining influence in the Government at the expense cif` the Falange, The Vatican, although desirous of improving the welfare of the people, does not want a precipitate change UNITED KINGDOM. British Continue Pre aratinns for Protect on o ` a.h Evacuation of their Nationals rom Iran, oreign acre ary ere or- has been-ordered to the vicinity of Abadan from ' omewhere in the Persian Gulf. London circles reported that the UK Government has decided on the early withdrawal of British personnel under cover of troop protection if necessary, The Cairo press reported that-UK troops are expected soon to leave for Basra, Iraq? (U NY Times 27 June 51) COM ENT: These reports indicate further steps in the implementation of-Bra is pans already. announced, A cruiser has been in the Persian Gulf since March,"to remain for the duration of the emergency. Troops sent from the Canal Zone to Basra, near Shaiba airfield,, would be in accordance with War Office plans (see OCI Daily Digest,, 23 June 51), The British Government is under pressure from Conservative members for firmer action, while Labor members are more fearful of the implications of a show of strength, Although the British are;..fol.lowing a prepared plan in the Iranian crisis, it is evident that each step is taken reluctantly, and only when there appears no alternative, Support far Early German Rearmament Seen,:. The head of the Foreign Office Qs German political dap men . has o served that, as a result of the breakdown of the Deputiesg talks in Paris, 1) the Western powers should press for German rearmament, 2) that the 3ritish Joint Chiefs of Staff are of the same view, and 3), that Foreign Secretary Morrison is "sold" on the need for an early German contribution to Western defenses (S London 6782, 23 June 51) COMMENTS Previous indications had been that responsible British officials f?.~ '~no great urgency in the need for German rearmament, despite the Government's agreement in September 1950 TOP SECRET 1' Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 to ;a German contribution to Western Det'ense, The British counseled caution especially, during thh;many months when consideration of the subject at a possible Foreign Ministers' conference seemed likely. Another retarding factor has been the considerable public opposition to German rearmament, especially in Labor circles. (See OCI Daily Digest, 12 Mar 5~.a) Recently, however, the failure. of any serious foreign policy rift to develop in-'the Labor Party as a consequence of Aneurin Bevan's cabinet resignation, and the'apathetic public reaction to the termination of the Deputies' meetings may have instilled some new confidence into Government leaders.!-,who have regularly been ahead of public opinion on the German question, NICO. Student,,Rot, On. 23 June, students from various schools and the nU i sity off`-Mexico engaged in a five hour street battle which resulted in injuries to 150 participants and damage estimated at US $58,000. An attempt to burn the doors of the Vocational School failed, but great damage was done with rocks to the School of Dentistry and valuable equip- ment was destroyed. Ambulances were attacked, and the police-badly out- numbered--failedrto intervene. The riot.was terminated only after the students of the Military College threatened to take part. At.first,'the battle was reported as arising out of a university initiation; later., however, a press report stated that the police regard the riot as a "pre- med3,tAted act of Communist agitators". (R Mexico City 1657, 25 June 51) COMMENT: The battle illustrates the extent to hich the normal student po en al for riotous behavior may be released on a holiday. It is unlikely that the riot occurred or spread as a, result of "premeditated Communist agitation'.'. However,. it serves',as a reminder that unpremeditated riots may occur in Latiin America which could conceivably affect US interests. TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04: 1A-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For Rise 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146ADQW300020001-7 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY DAILY DIGEST SUPPLEMENT JUN 27 1951 Not for dissemination outside 0/CI and 0/NE. Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CTR- P9 1146A000300020001-7 Approved For ReF to 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146AO 00020001-7 SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DAILY DIGEST OF SIGNIFICANT S/S CABLES 27 !7une 11 SECTION 2 (EASTERN) "B" AN. AIOC t s Position in Iran Deteriorating Rapidly, The "US Embassy In London has been informed by the UK Foreign Office that as a result of the Iranian oil commission1s letter to Abadan Refinery Manager Drake, accusing him of sabotage Drake was flown out of Iran on 25 June. The Foreign Office is perturbed over this news and fears it will have grave repercussions on other Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (AIOC) personnel who will feel if the situation is sufficiently serious to necessitate hi departure, they should leave as well. Over the weekend the British Manager of the small AIOC installation at Kermanshah (western-central Iran) was notified that he was no longer in authority "because of nonce cooperation", (S, S/S London 25 Jun 51. C, S/S Tehran, 25 Jun 51.) CQTT; UK Foreign Secretary Morrison told Parliament on. 26 June that all tankers have been instructed to leave immmediately, if necessary, after unloading any oil they have taken aboard. Meanwhile, he also announced that the British cruiser "Mauritius" had been ordered to proceed immediately to the Abadan area., Although the UK is probably not surprised by the rapid deterioration of AIOCss position,it is now planning on a day-to-day basis. Drake's departure, and the order recalling all tankers are direct results of two Iranian moves: (1) the announcement that the law was diortly to be enacted under which any person accused of sabotaging oil production was liable to trial by a military court and (2) the refusal by tls Iranians to permit any loaded oil tankers to leave without a receipt signed by the ship's master in effect acknowledging Iranian owniershIp of the oil trans- ported. Although Moasadeq has invited the AIOC staff to stay, the condI-- tions under which they would operate, and the general attitude of the Iranians,, make it virtually certain that a mass exodus will take place In the next few days. The result of this will be-. (1) unemployment of approxi- mately aO,OcQ Ira ian ,ci:l, k:ers, (2) a cut of approximately /. in govern- ment revenues formerly derived from oil royalties---these payments were sus- pended on 30 April (3) suspension of virtually all oil exports from Iran due to Iranian lack of tanker shipping and a (4) complete shutdown of the refinery due to Iranian inability to manage and, run such a complex installation,, 13 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 Approved For Rel 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP79T01146A00 60020001-7 "B" Iranian Official Declares Attempt by AIOC Staff to Depart in Group Would Be Tantamount to Sabotage. The US Embassy in Tehran reports that Daftaryq a member of the Provisional Administrative Council, made a public statement on 25 June to the effect that any attempt of the British staff of the Anglo- Iranian Oil Company (AIOC) to depart in a group would be tantamount to sabotage, and that the anti-sabotage law will probably be passed 30 June as a matter of special urgency. Meanwhile, the position of Drake, Abadan refinery manager is still unclear. The decision has been referred. to London as to whether Drake's sudden departure for Iraq should be explained as an official trip, and that he will return,, or whether he should be in- structed to return to Khorramshahr without the issuance of an official statement. (s, S/S Tehran 34.40, 26 Jun 51). CONMENT; D of tart'' s inflarm a.~ tort' statement is in keeping with the current mood of Iranian officials, however, it throws some suspicion on the sincerity of previous official statements that the AIOC personnel were free to leave Iran., though were re- quested not to do so en masse. Drake?s return to Iran in the present circu stances would probably not long encourage willingness among British AIOC personnel to face further incidents arising out of the aritii=sabotage law. "B" ISRAEL/SYRIA Situation Deteriorating in Huleh Dexniiitariz d Zone. After consultations with General Riley, Chief of Staff of the UN 'Truce Supervision Organization (TSO), the US Embassy in Tel Aviv reports that unless effective action is taken promptly in the dispute over the Lake Huleh region serious consequences are likely to result, The Embassy feels that it is clear that no agreement for the continuation of the drainage project on Arab land will be reached because the landowners do not want to subject themselves to Arab displeasure,. Work on the Jewish-owned land will be completed in a few days, and the Embassy believes that Israel will then appeal the case to the Security Council, However, Israel has no intentions of allof4mg the drainage project to be halted; and if a UN decision were delayed., it would take direct action, which would undoubtedly be countered by Syria. Difficul- ties have arisen during the interviewing of the Arabs evacuated from the Huleh region; UN representatives felt the refugees' reactions were condition- ed by fear of Israeli pressure on one side and Arab displeasure on the other. Certain problems will arise in repatriating those 750 who wish to return be- cause many of the villages have been destroyed, The Embassy estimates that Israel by indirect means will attempt to resist their return. The Em- bassy anticipates that Israel will refuse to remove their police, which are in control of virtually the entire area., and return the area to civilian administration, (S, S/S Tel Aviv 906, 22 Jun 51). QM[!.[lt o Until some territorial settlement in this area is arranged, outbreaks of violence are possible at any time. Syria is determined to retain control over at least a portion of the demilitarized zone, while Israel wants control of the en- tire area because it lies within the former Mandate borders, Approved For Release 2001/09/04: C[-RDP79T01146A000300020001-7 UJCk.ASSIFIED when bJ ~r9 g& 'Ek~l ttQ /(1p~/ S rat ~ yI~E .~~l ~l~'d~flj'+~ If1~df or declassi- fied when filled in form is detached from contro le ocument. y i CONTROL AND COVER SHEET FOR TOP SECRET DOCUMENT DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION REGISTRY SOURCE CIA CONTROA NO. G~ C DOC. NO. DATE DOCUMENT RECE VED DOC. DATE COPY NO. LOGGED BY NUMBER OF PAGES NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS ATTENTION: This form will be placed on top of and attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intelligence Agency or classified Top Secret within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until such time as it is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of CIA. 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