INFORMATION ON PETROLEUM PRODUCTS IN CHINA REQUESTED IN REFERENCE TO CASE R-7780

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CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2
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RIPPUB
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S
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13
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November 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 21, 1999
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3
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Publication Date: 
March 5, 1952
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REPORT
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Approved For Re/ease 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A0005001710b0322-/ 2- S.E-C-R.E.T ow. 41.10 M. 400 41111.11. Security Information Information on Petroleum Woduct tequeited fa taterenc-e see March, 1952 mfort Pattern 1930937 - 49/1951: Radily able information on imports of petroleum products into China and Memeheria p *' to 1937 shows a oonsistent pattern. However, what little data ti be cai1e,ted for any post World War I/ year does not exhibit the as cht'actert?tic. It ahould be emphasized that the years following 1937 were year for tions in China and Manchuria, when portions of China were deMinated er of the temporarily successful protagonists. As a consequence, ose years are extremely difficult to use. Import figur rOars1 likewise, mot be taken as indicative of normal require- products in China for a different reason. The period from 1946.1949 wa one of ro,con8truction, when efforts were being made to rehabilitiate a country devastated by years of war. The demand for petroleum proctacts was very e1astc under such circumstances. Temporary shortages of coal, and a wriroked tram portation system which kept the ?eel from industrial boilers forced the consumption of fuel oils above al* historic use patterns. ? Statistics for tho importa of retroleum for 1949, 1950 end 1961 to secure in their entirety. The import statistics for these years hcn in sb1e le below, are for petrolewm. products shipled from Hong Kong to China a nearby Portuguese port from which, it is generally believed, magy or tMao petrole products were re-shipped to Communist China. (See Table 1). From another iouroe, it has been possible to reconstruct a pre.mar pattern by area. This table is, however, only an approximation and can be dependod pon only to give a rough description of the distribution of 1940 (See Mable Entryamd Trn?pOrttt?z *ally, Shanghai and lionz Kong have been the ort s of entry for p.troleum products. The other major port cities, however, ve also served as points of destinaticm. River port citiee along the Yangtze have been key points for the distribution networks established by the American and British oil ommaniesvtioh established and developed the Chinese petroleum market* Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Approved For Refrase 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01.0,49A000500170003-2 16 0 0 1-0 Y0 Cl g ttjF> V...?a a cg, 0 R lij d. IL% g' : .0 51 ist ci ..., co ? To N 5 cdr I in. 0 0,4 %-0 c/. ex, 8, . Ah ? A 0 0' g. I-1 4 co- 8 tt 0 to 1-.6 Ca 0 1-6 OS NO i? 1-b V'00 6t 01,05-9;:t1 * 01 OD .1101. p-1,.-1 0 0 m 1 tu 0 o I-. Cl nCD 1 fiti CC/3 tig M 0 re. 0 I-I e g ... v. 4. c+ 83 PI 'III P 3' i. ir 1. g. 0 1 04 / g,'9' tv .4-11 08. ? -4 u. V 2 1-, *I g 5. 9 ,i?oE:44 ti, g W '3 ?CI I C g %.0 4 5. 0 0c+ 1-'? 0 ? 0 .1 g (+ ? 0 co 0 I-1 g'I_J Ea 1.4.P1 al CD CO c+ *0 fs) fa 0 ?P- 1-? 00 10 4 : i =ft 6'4 0 O I. ? g ..-. 9 it X J. I-4 t-1, 1--; 0 i-. 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I-2 OD CO 4.3 PO NO to tor to to *a to -.3tt) ? 1...) --.1 VI, 40 Z NO VI. --.1 %0 0 0 01.UT flq.onpoaci Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T0+049A000500170003-2 iv ND 4"" W v v 0 NO Vt. CO 0 'St CD V1 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Security Infonaut 021 In South Chtnaa Ron g Kong, Swatow, Amoy and Pomba, were, before and after World War II large ocean terminals for reoeiving petroleum products from tankers* These products were. packed into five gallon tine, pumped into barrels or piped to secondary inland petroleum merchandising stations nearby. Such cities included Canton, Kongmoon, Wocohow, Samehui and Bengchom, Sup olies for intan Province were brought by rail from Indo China before the war and after the oornpletion or the Surma Road, Kunming served as a bulk package redistribution point* ged and barreled goods' moved inland by water, truck, animal and human back. The railroads carried ome petroleum products, but rankmd far below watercraft in volume. Actually, the amounts carried inland have a1way beou insignificant and limited mainly to the product keroaene, 'Which before the war was used to light the proverbial lampa of China, The bulk of eetroIeum products have been oonsumed in the narrow coastal belt that contains the Chinese port cities* In North China, Shanghai, Teingtao and Tientin were the principal 000011 terrnin1B.Yangtze river terminals included Wuhu alinkieng, Pukow, Kiukieng, glingki, Chancsha Icharr, Chungking, Tungchoo, Haiakwan (Nanking), Chagtehe Shasi Wsdhaien, Soochow, !Cashing, Haimen, Niagpo end Wenchow, In huria, Newchang was the chief port of entry for petro1euii produote before 1935, supply prod in Mean tung Leased Territory, INA and is, a major petroleum product Present ports of entry !pliee of petroleUm product rchin China are somewhat spoculativa. It is believed that the majority of these tn re being shipped .n*o Manchuria and China over the Trans.Siberian s of CKth, Manthnria,- and Korea, ?roper by yolnATIF; dr1771f7rsiRaNAncludes the most oomple ities in China, Thoy were derived ham information furniehe4 tho jor oil ovepanies who dominated the prewar and &media rket, Solg-C-R.=E.T Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/27/: CIA-RDP79T01C149A000500170003-2 a.e-ena-ane Security Information railroad and oonneotinc railroad links. Manchurian transloading points are located in the border towns of .aanehouli and Suifenho. However, the actual capacity of the Chinese to transport petroleum products in bulk by railroad tank care is uncertain. Estimates of the number of ta* ears in China vary from 200 to 400 cars with an average loading capacity of 30 metric tons. Considerable volumes of petroleum pro- ducts therefore, could be moved into China in railway taak oars over the China. Nhnchurian coastal railway network. However, the different gauge of Manchurian rAilroads does not allow continuous ahipment of petroleum products in. Russian tank ears. Evidence is accum latin that petroleum products are being pumped into enaii Chinese tankers at Dairen and moved into Shanahai and other northern Chinese port citiea in coastal shipments. This method may be dictated by the shortage of tank cars as well as by consideratione of better speed and of greater volume. Packaged petroleum products would not suffer from these same shippinc difficulties. The movement of Russian oil tankers from the Soviet Far East to North Chinese Ports has been observed and confirmed. (See Section 5). Domestic conmaption, wartime, inmediate postewarlz group and area; An economy like China's that must import practically all of its pntr product d that has been beset by twenty years of political and milittry confeeion, cannot hams a ncrmal consumption pattern in the accepted sense of that term. Under the necessity of unavailability* China progressed far toward the development of liquid fuel substitutes during the last war. Furthermore, this same scaroity has forced the development of the practice of ruthless and rigid fuel allocation systems under the Nationalisto and the Communists. Just how flexible the Chinese economy can be under the dmial of petroleum products, or just how little is needed to run the economy during extreme emergencies, may be determined, in part, from the following table. This material was nested by an. experienced American observer durinc the last mar. It repreaents the official allocation schedule of the Chinese Nationalists. It was in effect to; the time of the oomp/etion of the Burma Road end When the Nationalists, fighting alongside the Chinese Communists, had taken the offensive against the Japanese. It is significant, however, that very few of the major al-consuming centers were then in Chinese hands. This schedule* it Aaould be noted, includes military needs. It should be especially noticed that when military - 6 S-E-0-R-EeT Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Approved For ReTease 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01,049A000500170003-2 S-E- ReEeT Security Information and governmental organization allotments? are subtracted from the total, little was left to be distributed to the Chinese civilian economy. Total civilian consumption, according to this information, rehed only about 6300 metric teas in 1945. (See Table 3 -e Fuel allocation chart)* If Table 3 gives some idea of the lower possible limits of the cor'umption of petroleum produots in China under World War II conditions, Table 4 illustrates the pliability of the upper limits of domestic coneumption, Working backward from material furnished by one American oil company official, a rough pattern of oonsumption by area in post-war China can be derived. It is an estimate and rests on intermetion for the year 1947, The report from which this estimate was worked out was one on the activities of the Chinese Petroleum Corporation& an agency set up by the Chinese Nationalists to share in the marketing of petroleum products. Basing the calculations an the pereentage of import allocations set up by the Chinese government in late 1946, the totals listed in the table were reached. For example, if the CPC were rseorted to be selling 400,000 gallons of rotor gas in the Shanghai area per month, and this quantity represented an allocated 10,5% of the total imported for sale by all companies in this area, the total sold in Shanghai equaled 3,809,524 gallons, or 11,403 metric tons per month, (See Table 4 - 1947 domestic consumption by Military and civilian consumption etiatea 1)51 nd 1952: Total annual military consumption estimates vary in range from 175,000 metric tons to almost 500,000 tons per year. The low figure here given is derived by calculations based upon information from Chinese Cammunist sourceo; the higher figure is furnished by G2. According to the Chinese Communist Press, the refinery at Tumenwas furnishing about 40 per cent of their total military needs in 1951* Present estimates of Yuen refinery production range from 70,000 to 100,000 tons manual production. Taking the Lore conservative lower figure, 70,000 equals 40% of X. X, therefore, equels 175,0u0 metric tons. 02 gives the following estimate, based upon their logistical amputations: Daily Military Requirements for Petroleum Products (in VI) Chinese Air Forc6 SOO Ground Forces 900 Navel Forces 50 IZbO Approved For Release 1999/091iffir gifaDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Approv Rteass 1a99/90/27 CIi r4 CM .0' 41, ? ? ? 0 111 In '4.0 0 P.- mil 79101049A000500170003-2 tC1 r-4 ert CO CO ? ? e ? * CO CV co I I el NO 8 r-4 !NI 4.4 ea a $ " 1.1\ rf ? ? ? ri 0 r4 U 4.1 ?r4 .43 1.ft 0 Cv I A -4. Co rl ? ? nistration ? 0-4 ? Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79101049A000500170003-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 and overnzi left be be according to this (See Table 3 If Table 3 gives organis Beourity Information on llotments are subtracted from the total, ibuted to the Chinese civilian economy. Total civilian consumptton, tion, ached only about 6500 metric tons in 1945* allocation chart)* sone idea of the lower petroleum products in. Ch pliability of the upper material furnished by one Amer by area in poet-war China can be derived* Tt is an esti for the year 1947, The report from which this estimate was worked out was one on the activities of the Chinese Petroleum Corporation, an agency set up by the Chinese Nationalist:" to share in the marketing of petroleum products* easing the caloulations on the percentage of import allocations set up by the Chinese government in late 19460 the totals listed in the table were reached. For example, if the CPC were reported to be selling 400,000 gallons of motor gas in the Shanghai area per month, and this under World War ossible limits of the oonsumption of II conditions, Table 4 illustrates the its of domestic consumption* Working baokward from an oil company official, a rough pattern of oons te and rests on inform tion ion quantity represented an Allocated 10.5% of the total imported for sale by all in this area, the total sold in Shanghai equaled 3,809,524 gaflonc, or 11,403 tons per month* Se Table 4 - 1947 domestiC onsumption by area doi ntptton e8ttt 151 and 952: Total coneum tion estimates vary in range froxn 175,000 metric tons to almost 500,000 tons per years The law figure here given is derived by Calculations based upon taformation from Chinese Communist source: the higher figure i furnihecL by 132* According to the Chinese Communist Press, the refinery at rumen wa rurniBhi11 about 40 per cent of their total military needs in 1951, Present atiiates of Yumen refinery production range from 70,000 to 100,000 tons annual production, Takiiig the more corservative lager figure 70,000 equals 4O7g of X. X:, therefore, equals 175,0e0 metric tons. 02 gives the followine eettmate, based upon their logistical c ons; Daily Military Reuirents for Petroleum Products (in lin) Chinese Air Yore 500 Ground Forces 900 Naval Forces 50 Approved For Release 1999/09/247k4:kriP79T01049A000500170003-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Nanking Rmakow ChiaIgking Tedngtao Tientsin Ci ton TABLE 4. 1947 D S-414-11.44 SECURITY INFORNATZA in csuapt1on of Pet urn Areal Pattern Diesel and 1113110110 Fuel Oil 136,840 112,252 B64,000 23,950 101,017 9,600 17,107 12/ 6,000 10,000 c/ 51000 21 4,880 2/ 17,107 23,950 17,107 246,061 12,000 bJ 230,269 With the except/cm of Chungking caisu*ptlon, the other Army Attache report from Shanghai dated DeceMber 1948.? source reported 1,768,112 metric tons imported in this 12/ Not available* 2/ Arbitrarily allocated. ti This figure derived from Amer ici Ccm sulate 13/ 6,000 60,000 950,480 dnct in China Iambs Oila Total 78 9 12,000 24 1,125,092 il h32,591 12/ 23,107 2 120 2/ 20,000W 1 120 29,227 2 180 30430 2 60 77,167 5 12,504 1,439,314 99 25X1A figures are derived from information given in This is only a rough approximation, however, Lnce the same same year. Thiel leaves 328,71$ metric tone unaccounted fbro of 1948 POL sales in Chungking foS9 phh dated 31 Jiivary 19490 e/ Conversion factor, all products, $03 barrels/ metric ton. Approved For Release 1999/09/A185413p79T01049A000500170003-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T011349A000500170003-2 E-C-R-E-T Security Informetion Thus 456,1250 m?tric tons of petroleum products were needed b the Chinese Communists in 1951 for military accomplishments, and approximately the same noLnt will be needed this year if conditions continue as they are at present. Considered in relation to the evidence given in Table 3 both of these estimates maw be high. Civilian consumption aepend, of couree, upon the degree of restrictive measures taken by the Cammumists since their takeover. ?rioing petroietti products above the ability of Chinese consumers to pay can effectively cut down domestic itonsumption# and strict ratiorinE systems can keep oonsumption low. That the Communists are tighteninE up on consumption is evidenced br the comparison given below. Rationing Schedule of 1btor Fuel in Shandlai lists Private Cars - ?24-60 gals. no. te Lorries-------70.96 gals. me. cyc1es---------.842 gels. me, Taxis-----------------60 gals. month Business lorries------140 gals. month 25X1X One a 25X1X ach to Under Communists 6e20.gals. month 20 gals. month. 11.2. gals. month abolished 20 gals. month eetimate of civilian consumption in 1951 mnd 1952# may be 25X1X taken by using the percente estimates given by 25X1XG for 1947 iYeu i Table 4 is t petroleum products needs* and If the domestic cons tion area pattern as an approximation of Chinese postewar "normal" 25X1X percentage estimates applied to than, the result should be an approximation of petroleum product requirements in China in 1951 and 1952. (See Table 5). Previous estimates by this office have been around 500,003 tons per re- nd they have rested primarily upon the assumption of relatively high levta of civilian productivity. However, the degree to which consumption of petroleum products can be scaled down under extrema necossity? according to the evidence of actual fuel allocation duringWorld War II by the Chinese Nationalists (Table 3), can be very great. State Daprtent Inoruing Telegram #453. Oct. 26, 1949, d from Petroleum Press Service, August, 1948# pi, 180# State Department ee Herz ..!eng* flArrtky ig 1951. "Notes an the Economy of Communist April 1-14, 1951," Approved For Release 1999/09/27-:VIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 8-E-CeReliiwT Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Product Motor G o Diesel Fne in 0i18 Kerosene Lube Oils 25X1X if the crisis cut still more. S-E-C-R-E-T. ????w am. Security Information Table 5 Domestic Consumption Estimates 195171952 Estimate of % of Cutback 504 "or less" 50% diesel, 10-20% fuel oi1..-25% of total of two products used 50% no cutback ic Tons 73,050 237,820 65,135 12,504 3t%?189 demands, these amounts can be Shipments of petroleum products by maritime veuaels, 1950i.195 In 19504 ane Russian Tanker carrying approximately 10,000 tons of POL arrived in a Northern Chinese Poit. There were no other confirmed Asiatic or European Satellite tanker shipments reported for this period. In 1951, the Polish tanker Karpaty" carried 9500 tone of kerosene n ina, and seven Soviet tankers carrying an average load of approxiamately 10,000 tons re reported moving toward Chinese ports. There were no reports of non-Soviet ships sighted in this traffic. The Polish Tanks aca" was reported to have delivered 10,000 tons of kerosene to the Chinese Cwagiunists in January 1952. Presently known totals .51 of petroleum products reaching China in to the Bloc in 1950 1951 and 1952, therefore, were: els belonging /950 ----- 10,000 1951 ----- 80,000 1952 10,000 1tiotbo0 metric tams In addition, tae tanker "Kettleman Rills" is known to have offloaded 11,000 ns of kerosene at Tsingtao early in 1950. ,This tanker made two additional trips tween Black Sea Ports ama Dairen in late 1949 and early 1950. .6./ in quantities and methods. It is the considered opinion of the responsible officers in the Office of Naval Intelligence that, with the exeeptiun of some mall amounts of fuel oil getting into China by the method of excess bunkers, little or no petroleum products are being muggled into Manchuria, North Korea and the rest of China, The area around Hoag Kaig 25X1A S -C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2 Approved For RelAse 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01449A000500170003-2 S-E-C-R-E-T Security Information has been, and still in, a tender spot as far 2,8 snuggling has been concerned, but with the imposition of a local export ban an petroleum product? in July 1950, and with the tightening up on petroleum product leakage by Hong on and Macao port authorities, supplies reaching the Chinese Communists are pow thought to b. negligible. Efferts to quantify the reports currently being received have thus far proved to be of questionable value. According to a sampling of such reports collected and analyzed for the year 1951. some 56,000 metric tons of petroleum products reached China through Hong Kong and Macao Clandestine transhipments, Local autho itiee in Hong Kong sad Macao are continuing to increase their efforts to stop snuggling, and it can be reasoned from accumulating evidence that they are meeting with some success, Methods or smuggling have been variedb and have Changed as local contrels have stiffened, Immediately after the imposition of export controls in Hong Kong, some enterprising ?free...traders" would transfer the contents of their personal gasoline tanks in Communist territory* refillinc them at local filling stations several times each day. In this period, however, the greatest quantities of petroleum products reached Red China in the holds and on the decks of the many junks plying between Hong Kong and the Camnunistnainland, Excess bunkers of small fishing craft* and larger merchant ships have been reported to have been pumped into Communist teaks Few areas in. the Far East have not been reported as being points of origin of this traffic. The attractiveness of the price offered by Communists an the local markets has evidently made smugglers of many honest men. There is little evidence, however* thee historically established oil companies or their employees have been at the center of it. It is impossib/e to estimate the dollar values of this traffic since the vaiuee of the undetermined quantities have varied so greatly under the stimuli of scarcity, risk and looal conditions. 12- S.ZeC-R-FeT Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79T01049A000500170003-2