SELECTED FACTORS AFFECTING RELOCATION OF THE VIETNAMESE REFUGEES OF NORTHEAST THAILAND

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CIA-RDP79T01018A000400130001-6
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August 1, 1963
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Approved For Release 2000/05/ GIA _RDP79T01018A000400130001-6 SECRET Copy No. yD~tj GEOGRAPHIC SUPPORT STUDY SELECTED FACTORS AFFECTING RELOCATION OF THE VIETNAMESE REFUGEES OF NORTHEAST THAILAND CIA/RR GS 63-14 August 1963 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Reports SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM GROUP 1 Excluded from automatic downgrading and declassification Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 WARNING This material contains information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18, USC, Secs. 793 and 794, the trans- mission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T NO FOREIGN DISSEM SELECTED FACTORS AFFECTING RELOCATION OF THE VIETNAMESE REFUGEES OF NORTHEAST THAILAND CIA/RR GS 63-14 August 1963 Office of Research and Reports S-E-C-R-E-T NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T CONTENTS Page I. Introduction and Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 II. Proposed Relocation Areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 A. Basis for Selection of Areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 B. Economic Suitability of the Relocation Areas . . . . . 10 C. Comments on Other Potential Relocation Areas . . . . . 13 1. Pulao Terutao . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2. Ko Samui and Ko Phangan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 3. Southeastern Thailand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 III. Estimated Costs of Relocation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 A. General Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 B. Costs of Resettlement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 1. Transport from Homes to Railroad Stations . . . . . 16 2. Rail Transport from Provincial Railheads to Muang Nakhon Sawan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 3. Transport from Railroad Station at Muang Nakhon Sawan to Area. A . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 4. Costs of Meals and Overnight Accommodations . . . . 20 5. Cost of Relief Fund . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Maps Map 1. Location and Number of Vietnamese Registered for Repatriation, August 1962 . . . . . . . . following page 3 Map 2. Location of Proposed Relocation Areas . A and B . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . inside back cover Map 3. Density of Population by Amphur . . . . . . . . following page 5 Map 4. Population Dot Map of Areas A and B . . . . . . following page 5 Annex (under separate cover) Topographic Map Sheet Coverage of Proposed Relocation Areas A and B Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 SELECTED FACTORS AFFECTING RELOCATION OF THE VIETNAMESE REFUGEES OF NORTHEAST THAILAND 1. Introduction and Background The !+0,000 or more Vietnamese refugees in Northeast Thailand constitute an exploitable cadre for subversion and insurgency in a strategic region of Thailand. This report briefly treats certain geographic and economic factors bearing on a possible relocation operation whereby the refugees would be resettled in less sensitive areas of the country. The report is based on sources available in Washington. Additional sources, such as very large-scale maps with contours at 5-foot and 10-foot intervals, are .needed but lacking. The conclusions contained in the report are tentative and approximate. A field check for reliability of the details presented is therefore strongly recommended. The movement of sizable groups of Vietnamese into Thailand began nearly 150 years ago with the arrival of a group of Buddhist settlers. They were absorbed into the local community,. and their descendents today are concentrated in the Bangkok area. About 120 years ago, groups of Catholic Vietnamese who were oppressed by their rulers migrated to Thailand under, the leadership of French missionaries. Their descendents also are found in the Bangkok area as well as in Chanthaburi Province. Although these Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release' 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Vietnamese are accepted as Thai nationals, they identify themselves as Annamese because of their religion. In the 1920's, another large group of Vietnamese emigrated.to Thailand after an unsuccessful revolt against French rule. They settled in Nakhon Phanom and Sakon Nakhon Provinces and were given Thai nationality. The Vietnamese who constitute a threat to Thailand's internal security, however, are more recent arrivals. In 19+5-46, during the hostilities that ensued when the French attempted to reinstate their influence in Indochina after World .War II, some 50,000 pro-nationalist Vietnamese refugees fled from northern Laos into Northeast Thailand. The over- whelming majority came from the Lao provinces. of Phong Saly or Houa Phan (Sam Neua) and had relatives.in North Vietnam. They spoke the northern dialect of Vietnamese and, although many are Catholics., they proved to be responsive to Communist Viet Minh appeals that were made under the guise of Vietnamese nationalism. With a growing awareness and apprehensiveness of the political activ- itiesof this refugee group, the Thai Government in 19+9 ordered the Vietnamese refugees restricted to 13 border provinces (changwats): Chiengrai, Nan, Uttaradit, Zoei, Buriram, Muang Ubon, Nong Khai, Nakhon Phanom,Sisaket, Surin, Prachin Buri, Chanthaburi, and Trad. The refugees were free to live anywhere within these provinces. A further concentration Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T of the refugees was ordered in 1950 when the five provinces of Nong Khan., Sakon Nakhon, Nakhon Phanom, Udon Thani, and Prachin Buri were set aside as.restricted areas for their settlements, but the implementation of the 1950 order has not been complete, and the refugees apparently are still scattered throughout a much broader area of Northeast Thailand. In 1953, when the Viet Minh forces penetrated deep into Laos, the Thai Government was again deeply concerned and ordered the evacuation of 705 Vietnamese from the border areas adjacent to,Laos to the southern province of Patthalung. In June 1959, the Thai and North Vietnamese Red.Cross Societies signed the Rangoon Agreement under which some 35,000 refugees in Thailand were repatriated to North Vietnam. A new agreement to similarly repatriate all of the remaining refugees was signed on 17 December 1962. The number of refugees who still await repatriation is debatable -- estimates range from 35,000.to 60,000. Figures by province, showing the numbers of Vietnam- ese registered for repatriation, already repatriated, and remaining to be repatriated as of August 1962 are shown in Table 1. The number remaining for repatriation, by province, is also shown on Map 1. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 LOCATION AND NUMBER OF VIETNAMESE REGISTERED FOR REPATRIATION, iIfkS R'nwrF1Wr1gs11t1KistAns~+yA1 ono7gTn~11-W JIa Approvedy????? M 4 0001-6 CONF10E11TIAL 8 Chiengma6 SlAAl i i M A.L'A Y A 3 "Y Burin Province (changwat) boundary ? Region boundary (non-administrative) I. ANG TNOPG 37. 2. AYUTTHAYA 38. 3. BURIRAM 39. 4, OIA0KXNGSAo 40. 5. OtANAT 41. 6. OIAIYAMUM 42. 7. OUNTHABURI 43. 8. 08ANG MAI 44. 9. 08AP1G RAJ 45. 10. 010N BURT 46. I I. 081MPHON 47. 12. KAIASN 48. 13. KAMPHAB4G MET 49. 14. KANOIANABIAa 50. 15. KNON KAEN 51. 16. KRABI 52. 17. LAMPANG 53. 18. LAMPHIN 54. 19. LOB 55. 20. LOP BURT 56. 21. MAE HONG SON 57. 22. MAMA SARAKNAM 58. 23. NAKHON NAYOK 59. 24. NAKICN PATHOM 60. 25. NAKHON M ANOM 61. 26. NAKI ON RATOIASIMA 62. 27. NApgN SAWAN 63. 28. NAKHON SI TNAMMARAT 64. 29. NAN 65. 30 NARATHWAT 66. 31. HONG KHAJ 67. 32. NONTHABURJ 68. 33. PATHIM THAN) 69. 34. PATTAH 70 35. 36. PPMAP . 71. 300/0 9.512 Approved For Release 2000/05/12: 00400 - 1 lMBSiM 0 50 100 150 Kilometers Beundmier we not Aft. ,,iy dwee recognized by tAe U.S. Goweamm". Chumphon GULF 1 OF MET 81181 PIETOIAM)4 PMONT PHTSAP1l1LOK MBTA NAKNON PHRAE PHIKET PRACHN BURT PRAOMAP KIMB KHAN RAYONG RAT BUR! RAYONG R01 ET SAKON NAKHON SAMUT WHOM SAMUT SONGKHRAM SAMUT PRAKAN SARA BURT SATUN SING sum SLSAKET SONGKHIA S1IKHOTIIAI SUPHAN BURT SURAT THAN SURN TAK THON BURT TRANG TRAT IRON UDON THANI UTHAI THANI UTTARADIT YAIA Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Repatriation of Vietnamese June 1960-August 1962 Province Total Number Registered for Repatriation 4 June 1960 Number Repatriated by August 1962 Number Remaining to be Repatriated August 1962 Nong Khai 16,155 7,496 8,659 Nakhon Phanom 22,198 11,400 10,798 Sakon Nakhon 12,533 6,387 6,146 Surat Thani 213 51 162 Ubon 8,779 5,064 3,715 Prachin Buri 1,395 756 639 Patthalung 273 50 223 Udon Thani 8,541 3,563 4,978 (deported) 34 34 Total 70,121 34,801 35,320 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 II. Proposed Relocation Areas A. Basis for Selection of Areas The proposed relocation Areas A and B are located in western Thailand .and occupy parts of four provinces -- Tak, Kamphaeng Phet, Nakhon?Sawan, and Uthai Thani (see Map 2 for a schematic delineation of the areas and thoe 6iX;'_, comprised.of topographic maps, which shows the component parts of the relocation areas). They lie east of the major mountain ranges of western Thailand, which would.serve as a security buffer zone between the relocation site and the Thai-Burmese border. The selection of the areas was based on the following considerations: 1. Sparse Population The population density of this part of Thailand is among the sparsest in the country (see Map 3). Map 4 shows the distribution of population as of 1956, when there were about 119,000 inhabitants in the more than 3,000 square miles of the relocation areas, making a density of only some 40 persons per square mile. It is believed that movement of the refugees to these areas would produce a minimal amount of eco- nomic friction between the present population and the Vietnamese. It also is believed that the religion of Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release E)Fm~T(YIA-kP79R 60AO-Ei 1-EY AMPHURS 1 Tak 2 Kamphoeng Phet 3 Nakon Sawan 4 Uthai Thani Map 3 - CHANGWAD BOUNDARY - AMPHUR BOUNDARY Included when necessary to separate different patterns NOTE - ALL BOUNDARY LINES HAVE BEEN GENERALIZED POPULATION PER SQUARE KILOMETER UNDER 25 25 - 49 50 - 99 100 -249 250 OR MORE OFFICE OF THE NATIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT BOARD CENTRAL STATISTICAL OFFICE Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 SEc I Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01018A00040013000.1-6 (BASED ON 1956 CENSUS) 5,000 2,000 0 1,000 ? 500 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Map 4 POPULATION DOl MAP OF AREAS A AND S Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T the majority of the Vietnamese refugees, Catholicism, would not necessarily be cause for hostility on the part of the residents of the areas since they are aware that both Thai and tribal people in northern Thailand have benefitted from Christian missionary activities. Presumably, the local residents would be responsive to an advance public relations expla- nation of the relocation project. 2. Availability of Unused Land Much of the land in the proposed relocation areas is still forested (see tI )c;Annex D). Most important, however, is the fact that the areas are on or near the Mae Nam Ping downstream from the Bhumipol Dam, the huge multipurpose Yanhee Project dam that is in the final stages of completion (see Map 2). The Thai Royal Irrigation Department estimates that by using the irrigation potential of this dam well over 1,000,000 rai (2-1/2 rai equal 1 acre) in Tak and Kamphaeng Phet Provinces can be irrigated. With irrigation, two crops of rice per year would be possible on much of the land. In addition, the construction of small reservoirs by Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T damming the mountain streams would permit the agricul- tural use of many of the relatively broad, forest-covered slopes that are transitional between the riverine lowlands and the highlands that rise toward the Thai-Burmese border. 3. Transportation Facilities The Tak area (Area A) is served by a main east-west road, which connects the area with the Bangkok-Chiengmai railroad at the town of Phitsanulok, and also a main road that extends southeastward to Bangkok. A number of tracks and trails branch off from the main roads. The Tak Airfield has two runways, 4,100 feet long by 90 feet wide and 3,600 feet long by 130 feet wide, which as of December 1962 had oiled-gravel surfaces. Both runways are capable of handling planes such as the C-47. The Mae Nam Ping, which traverses Area A and joins the Menam Chao Phraya just above Muang Nakhon Sawan, is navigable as far as the town of Tak for vessels of 3-foot draft during high water and for vessels of 2-foot draft during low water. Unlike Area A, Area B lacks good access roads. If a network of tracks were bulldozed into Area B. however, future movement into it could be staged from Area A. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 4. Economic Aspects The Vietnamese in Northeast Thailand are engaged in a wide variety of economic pursuits, including farming, fishing, lumbering, construction and mechan- ical trades, tailoring, and shopkeeping. In addition, there are a limited number of professional people, such as doctors and engineers. Because the refugees are adept as carpenters and mechanics, they reportedly mo- nopolize the skilled labor force in some areas. Their initiative and industriousness is attested.to by many reports such as the following 1958 State Department despatch which stated that in comparison to the Thai settlements "a startling contrast was provided by the settlements of the Vietnamese refugees who are very profitably raising a wide variety of fruits.and vege- tables for sale in Udorn (Udon Thani). Each small farm has its own well, constructed by the Vietnamese farmers themselves, along with a neat irrigation system". Because of their skills.and their contribution to the economy of Northeast Thailand, there has been some apprehension that their removal would cause serious Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T economic consequences in that area. There is little doubt that there would be some deleterious effect, but it would appear that, in view of the small pro- portion of Vietnamese to the total provincial popu- lations (see Table 2), most of the inhabitants must presently receive only minimal economic benefits from the presence of the Vietnamese. Therefore, it is believed that the generally depressed economy of Northeast Thailand would probably feel little lasting impact from the removal of the Vietnamese refugees. Total Population In Five Critical Provinces and Number of Vietnamese Remaining to be Repatriated Number of Vietnamese Remaining Province Population 1960 to be Repatriated August 1962 Nong Khai 256,530 8,659 Nakhon Phanom 1+36,482 10,798 Sakon Nakhon 426,755 6Y146 Ubon 1,130,712 3,715 Udon Thani 744,174 4,978 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T B. Economic Suitability of the Relocation Areas The soils of much of the area along the Mae Nam Ping are classified as Khorat fine sandy loams, one of the soils found most extensively in Thailand but also one of the most infertile. When the Bhumipol Dam was proposed, the American soil expert, Robert Pendleton, advocated the irrigation of these soils, pointing out that when they had been irrigated these soils produced at least modest crops of rice and that they could produce two crops annually. Much of the area of the Kamphang Petch Irrigation Project (see Map 2) is comprised of these same soils, and they also cover a large part of Area A to the north and west of the Kamphang Petch as well as most of Area B. These areas appear irrigable either from the Mae Nam Ping itself or from its tributaries. Until the construction of permanent facilities for additional irrigation along the Mae Nam Ping is completed, river barges with pumps might be used, as was done temporarily on the Mun River in Northeast Thailand. With adequate help in the beginning, the Vietnamese probably would be as competent in the building of small reservoirs and secondary irrigation systems, using water from the tributaries of the Mae Nam Ping, as they were in Northeast Thailand. In addition to rice, major crops of the area are corn, fiber plants (kenaf and jute), and cotton. The Thai Government, in an attempt to Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T increase diversification of agriculture, has encouraged the growing of crops other than rice, and as a result, Thailand's production of corn, for example, increased from 22,000 tons in 1950 to more than 550,000 tons in 1960. The government might be persuaded to encourage the Vietnamese to concentrate on growing crops such as corn for the first year or two at least. Much of the corn in Thailand is grown on newly cleared forest land, and thus the Vietnamese could have a cash crop and, at the same time, would be clearing the land for future irrigation and rice culti- vation. Pa Pae, the thin dwarfish open forest of deciduous hard woods that is characteristically found on the Khorat soils, would apparently be easy to clear by the traditional slash-and-burn method. Based on a judgment made by the Director General of the Thai Depart- ment of Public Welfare in 1958 concerning the amount of land given each family at the pioneer resettlement project at Saraburi, it is thought that each Vietnamese refugee family should be given at least 25 rai (10 acres). Normally, 7-1/2 acres on a Thai farm would be in rice and the remaining 2-1/2 acres in fruit trees or other crops. Assuming that two crops of rice might be raised annually on irrigated land and that the industriousness of the Vietnamese and their use of night soil might increase the average production, it is possible that this estimate of the amount of land required could be reduced somewhat. Assuming, however, Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T that the 40,000 refugees represented 10,000 families and that the entire number would engage in farming, the required land would represent an aggregate of 100,000 acres or 156 square miles. Excluding the moderately well-populated southern half of the part of the Kamphang Fetch Irrigation Project that lies within Area A, the present population density in the remaining 7/8 of Area A is only 17 people per square mile. If all the 40,000 refugees were located in this part of Area A, the density would still be only 33 persons per square mile. If only half of the refugees were placed in this part of Area A the density in Area A would be about 25 persons per square mile; if the other 20,000 refugees were relocated to Area B, the density there would be about 38 persons per square mile. As noted earlier, a substantial number of Vietnamese are engaged in the lumber industry in Northeast Thailand. This capability might be put to good use along the Mae Nam Ping, which traditionally has been a main artery for the movement of teak from northern Thailand to Bangkok. It is entirely possible that a significant number of the refugees could find employment in the teak industry. The expansion of the irrigation and power facilities of the Bhumipol Dam and the consequent growth of the area promise to create a need for the skills of many of the refugees. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T C. Comments on Other Potential Relocation Areas (see Map 2) 1. Pulao Terutao It has been reported that the island of Terutao, in the Strait of Malacca just north of the Malayan boundary, has been considered by various Thai officials.as a possible relocation area for the Vietnamese refugees. Terutao is about 16 miles long, has a maximum width of 6-112 miles, and is sparsely populated. Its major disadvantages are its dense rain forest, which would be expensive to clear, and more important, its proximity to the dissident area along the Thai-Malay border. Conceivably, if the Communist-influenced Vietnamese refugees were settled here, the island could become a Communist stronghold and present to Thailand many of the same problems that the island of Phu Quoc presents to the Govern- ment of South Vietnam. 2. Ko Samui and Ko Phangan Ko Samui, with a population of 31,000 in 1960, is apparently already overpopulated. In.1957 the inhabitants of the island petitioned the Thai Government for permission to settle their surplus population on the surrounding smaller islands. These small islands, including Ko Phangan, however, represent sources of significant revenue to the Thai Government because Chinese businessmen have concessions to gather swallow nests from which a Chinese delicacy is made. Encroachment of more population on the Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E..T islands would eliminate the swallows and thus eliminate the revenue that is now collected by the Thai Government. 3. Southeastern Thailand Although some Vietnamese refugees are now settled in southeastern Thailand and additional numbers might be physically accommodated there, the troubled relationships between Thailand and Cambodia and the con- sequent security considerations rule out this area for the present as a Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 III. Estimated Costs of Relocation A. General Considerations For costing purposes, only Area A of the two areas delineated on Map 2 as possible relocation areas has been considered.in this report. However, estimated cost figures of resettlement for Area A, which is served by a fairly good road, also would be applicable to Area B with the addition of the costs of bulldozing tracks into it. Both areas can be served from the railroad station at Muang Nakhon Sawan. The entire relocation program should be carried out in dry weather to eliminate the possibility of flooded roads and disrupted train service, as well as the need for extensive staging areas that would require the con- struction of covered overnight accommodations. The total cost of resettling the 40,000 refugees* has been esti- mated at about US $700,000** -- excluding all administrative and super- visory expenses, new road construction costs (if any), costs of irri- gation projects at the new locations, and costs to the Thai economy of * For costing purposes, the number of Vietnamese to be relocated was estimated at 40,000 (rather than the 35,320 reported remaining for repatriation as of August 1962), geographically distributed in about the same ratio as the latter figure. X Conversion was made at 21 baht to the US dollar. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T possible disruption in regularly scheduled rail service resulting from the move. Estimated costs were computed as follows: Initial transport from home to rail station 66,000 Rail fare 136,000 Meals and lodging 78,9000 Transport by truck from rail station to Area A 77,000 Relief fund 332,000 TOTAL us $689,ooo Unless housing construction is completed in Area A prior to the arrival of the refugees, considerable additional sums will have to be expended on the construction of temporary staging facilities in Area A to accommodate the Vietnamese until the permanent quarters are completed. B. Costs of Resettlement 1. Transport from Homes to Railroad Stations One of the major problems will be in arranging for transport from the refugees' homes to the province center, the recommended central meet- ing point. A previous Thai study indicates that an average of about 10 baht per person will cover this initial transport cost. The total cost for this initial move -- from the home to the province center -- is estimated at about US $20,000. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Truck transport from the province centers to the nearest railroad stations will be necessary only for the refugees who are located in Nakhon Phanom and Sakon Nakhon"Provinces, where there are no railroads. The other province centers are served by railroads. The road to be used is from Muang Nakhon Phanom via Muang Sakon Nakhon to Udon Thani, a distance of 134 miles. If truck transport costs average 8 baht per mile round trip and each truck hauls 20 people per trip, the total cost for truck transport may be estimated as follows: Transported To Number of From Railroad Distance Total Cost Refugees Province Center Station (in miles) (in US dollars) 7,160 Muang Sakon Udon 80 12,000 Nakhon Thani 12,600 Muang Nakhon Udon 134 32,000 Phanom Thani TOTAL US $44,000 All these refugees from Muang Sakon Nakhon and Muang Nakhon Phanom probably could be hauled to the railroad station at Udon Thani in.30 days by using 42 trucks. Because of the distances involved and the poor con- dition of the roads, each truck probably would need 2 days to make a round trip. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T If trucks were necessary to move the 4,320 refugees in Ubon Province from their homes to the railroad station in Muang Ubon, the estimated average transport cost of 10 baht per person would just about double. Instead of costing an estimated US $2,000, the initial transport cost for trucking the 4,320 refugees into Muang Ubon would rise to US $4,000. These costs are based on an average haulage distance of 40 miles, a load per truck of 20 people, and a round trip cost of 8 baht per mile. 2. Rail Transport from Provincial Railheads to Muang Nakhon Sawan Although separate railroads serve Muang Ubon in the east and Nong Khai and Udon Thani in the north, both railroads meet at Nakhon Ratchasima. Conducting relocation operations in these two areas simultaneously would be troublesome. Costs.and possibilities of misunderstandings probably would greatly increase because special trains would have to be added at Nakhon Ratchasima to handle the increased loads. This would necessitate rescheduling of trains and could cause setbacks in other sectors of the economy. Thailand does not have enough efficient locomotives or passenger cars to handle the increased. loads without some rescheduling. Simultaneous relocation operations also would require the construction of extensive staging facilities at Nakhon Ratchasima in order to handle both housing and.feeding for a period of several days to permit orderly departures by rail. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Although current train schedules should be adhered to as closely as possible, not all of the scheduled trains are suitable. Trains that are scheduled for long layovers should be avoided. Four trains depart from Nong Khai and Udon Thani daily, only two of which are through trains; the others require long layovers at various places along the route. Two trains depart from Muang Ubon daily, but only one is a through train. It will be necessary to add additional passenger cars to the scheduled trains, but such additions. should be kept to a minimum. It would require 30 days -- the same amount of time as allowed for trucking the refugees into the area -- to transport the approximate 36,000 refugees from Nong Khai and Udon Thani on the two recommended through trains on a basis of 10 passenger cars per train loaded with 60 refugees per car transporting 1,200 refugees per day. Reportedly each car has a capacity for trans- porting 72 people. By allowing only 60 refugees per car there will be sufficient space for excess baggage. Transporting the refugees by train from Muang Ubon on the one recommended daily through train, within the 11-day period required to truck them into the station, means transporting about 400 refugees per day by rail. This would require 7 passenger cars. Table 3, following page 21, summarizes available scheduled trains for transporting the Vietnamese refugees to Muang Nakhon Sawan, in the vicinity of Area A, and provides estimates of the amounts needed for train fares. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 U) CQ '- cd 4 cd F- H O UPi O~D rd- U 4) H H w Pi . rn rn W\ :j- LCI\ O\ N- K\ 0 N - ~O rrl ti dl H H H N K\ O cOO OO N O O 0 K\ N- N- LC\ U"\ N N H H 0 rC\j -i O N K\ N U) 0 Is" N H H H H H ~, UI UI vl U] U2 U) Ea co Pi W W P-1 O\ O1 0 O\ O O H O ri ?ri U O U O U O U O U O -P -P W U P4 U W U Pi U a U Pq W PQ Pq PU 0 ? ?r ri cc Cd g 0 H w bO Z 0 0 rd rd Z U\ Lf\ Lf\ 0 0 N co N 0) O H H 0 H o 0 H H O co K-N H 0 rd O Pi 4rH~ cd O 4) Pi +3 O H H (1) 0 cd -P N cd O O O O U2 , (4-1 co 0 cd --t H U O Id a i3 a) O cd a O 4~ V) 0 0 .P 0 Pi cd rd \O U1 FO-1 ?rl v O Pi Q O m cad rH-I o C 0 c U) a) c P1 cd d c r d 40b rCI PiP +:) H Lf\ U O ?rl O?, ?~ rci 0 4-) O U) . H a) CH EQ cHd h0 d O NNE O C U N U) r-i LO 4-) Pi 0 40 t-" 0 H cd .Q O F~ F-~ Cd Q) O rd N r-I Q) m rd Pi O +) O 0 U] H '4D 4 r, H H a) cd -P rO cd U rd Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 A feeding allowance of 5 baht per person per day is considered adequate. At this rate the total feeding allowance has been estimated at US $58,000. In addition to providing feeding facilities at the starting points of Muang Nakhon Phanom, Muang Sakon Nakhon, Udon Thani, Nong Khai, and Muang Ubon, and the terminus at Muang Nakhon Sawan, feeding facilities should also be provided at Ban Phachi where, according to train schedules, the refugees will have a layover of approximately 2 hours. Reportedly, temporary quarters can be constructed at 2 baht per person. Since one night is spent aboard the train, accommodations for only 5 nights need to be accounted for. At the above rate the estimated cost of constructing overnight lodging facilities is about US $20,000. 5. Cost of Relief Fund For costing purposes, each Vietnamese family is estimated to consist of an average of 4.6 people. On this basis, there are roughly 8,700 families to be resettled. A relief fund of 800 baht per family. for building materials, tools, and other needs is deemed sufficient. At this rate an estimated US $332,000 will be needed for relief. Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 THAIL40oved For Release 2000/05/12: CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 I SUMATRA I D 0 N E S I A .uoo n.a .o.; sA, TERRAIN AND TRANSPORTATION LOCATION OF PROPOSED RELOCATION AREAS A AND B - - International boundary - Selected main road ? National capital ----- Selected secondary road S Principal port ---~- Railroad t Principal airfield Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 - Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01018A000400130001-6 SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM SECRET, NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01018A000400130001-6 Approved For Relea000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01018A00030001-6 CENRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Geography Divisionp ORR 10 Subject of Proposed Protect.- Relocation of Vietnamesje Refugees in & aat Th..a.iland@ Project Initiation Memorandum Project Mo.: 61.2171 25 June 2.963 2u Statement of Probleu To prepTre a study of probler.te that iiau .d be ountea ed rX% tae possibl,.e relocation of VIB gin, se kefvgeee now resident in Northeast Thailand to less aensitivve areas of the cot~ strcy0 (See attached mem ?andu of request, which includes guideline trine of reference. ) 3. Requesters Chief FE/DDD/P 54 Cooperation Desired Prow s GO/E 25X1A a0 Other Divisions of G S Supporting yaps to be prepared by fl/CC0 b0 weer P is of Cis R c r~e$ o s enr C) R0 Co~ox t i~~ nation -N ORR and OCL. Possible photo interpretation support from PID/NPIC 0 6. Estimated Man hours in P 0G . 150 7. L Date- 2l July 1963 SENSITIVE 10o Cetu s s a0 P ?eli aina v disco slon: were held irrlth V Dire ions concerning the guideline ter,-as of refsrences on 2 . June 63 b0 G/1RI has been advised of estimated comlilo-tion deft. plus necessary record copies. 80 Form of Final. Pub icationg. CIA/RR (15 90 Recommendations for Distribution of Finished Report-. Requester only, Approved For Release 2000/05/12: CIA-RDP79TO1018A00 Excluded ?e ii automatic down- d n and declassification Approved For Relea,000/05/12: CIA-RDP79TO1018A000 30001-6 . if RZ1[OR NDUI : =PUTT DIX== (INTaLLIG=Cjj) VIA DZPUTY DID (PLANS) $UBJZCT Relocation of Vietnam*** refugees in Northeasthu hailand 1. The assistance of IM/I is requested in conducting research on the attendant problems involved in the possible relocation of approximately 40,000 Vietnamese refugees currently residing in Northeast Thailand to less sensitive areas of the country. 2. BA( [GRODIM. 25X1 A threat the Far last Division are -- and concerned over the security the continued presence in the criticaleAArea of Northeastough Thailand of over 40,000 Vietnamese refugees. reportedly hold allegiance to North Vietnam and Theme refugees are well controlled and indoctrinated by the DIV. constitute an exploitable cadre for They Insurg in the Northeast. The Thai Governmenr subversion number of yearsy s attempted to solve this problem, including token resettlem pt of several Vietnamese villages in Southern Thailand and appeals to SYN to kept the repatriation of these refugees. In 1959, the That Government entered into a repatriation agreement with the DRY, under the auspices-of the Red Cross, through which approximately 35,000 of these refugees repatriated to North Vietnam. A second Thai/DRY atrwere iation agreement went into effect in Parch 1963 under which 600 a mouth viet-gofsthe ?ituationl in ~necighborin are to be repatriated. In increasing subversion in the Northeastt,itais apparent that this prolonged repatriation program permits the threat to continue in being in this critical area for some time to come. 25X1C 3. PRO: 25X1 C In seeking possible solutions to this proble considerati is being given to developing a plan whereby these refugees would be resettled in Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1018A000400130001-6 Approved For Relea 000/05/12: CIA-RDP79TO1018A000 1300 less sensitive areas of Thailand. Tb prepare a realistic and effective plan, a feasibility survey is required touching on the various political, economic and social problems-involved in resettlement. Ia/I's aasistaace is therefore requested in preparing this feasibility study. To assist DD/I, the follow- ing specific questions, which among others that nay occur to ED/I, should be considered-in this study: a. What areas of Thailand would accommodate and su rt ro ? naarese refugees? nce Internal security s one of pr cons era ion~in resettlement, it has been suggested that the =anchanaburi and Tat areas of western Thailand or one of the islands in the Gulf ofaian (Rho laauii or Mw Phan an). offer secure resettlement areas. These areas are removed from sensitive border areas and the islands particularly simplify the security control problem. / (1) would the area snpMt, the refugees economical a a tp of arable an crops can be produced? What natural resources are exploitable? What is the availability of water? what is the present population density of the areal would this-present population have to be resettled also? Are the communications facilities of the area (roads,. railroads, waterways) adequate forr an addition to the population of the sine. envisaged. V (2) What would be the economic impact on the area if the re s were reimUll in the area nn the n e genre ousness o e Vietnamese, what effect would their presence have on the local economy vis-a-vis local inhabitants? ./ (3) .What would be the political Impact on the area if the re were resettled In the area 111116aiden ? c an cultural erences the refugees would impose on the area, religion (the preponderance of the Yietnamesp are Doman Catholics) would. also create areas of 'possible social friction with the local populace. (4) What other considerations should be explored in se ?c ng.a suitable re oca on area? SECHE'r Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01018A000400130001-6 Approved For Relea 2000/05/12: CIA-RDP79T01018A000 0130001-6 b. What extrapolations can be lade as to t"e opulation wrowin o ese 40.000 refugees based c:. current group in arc , it 600 are repatriated per month starting in March 1963? co what would-be the political economic and social impact on those areas o The Northeast where he Yi naanese s~ ~ r r (1) what would be the political impact of resettlement on the local Thai population? Has intermarriage, economic dependence, etc. caused such bonds between the refugees and the local Thai/Laos population as to result in unfavorable. local reaction to the resettlement? (2) That effect would the removal of the refugees have on the economic structure and balance in these areas? Since the refugees represent the bulk of the economic vitality in these areas (farming, shopkeepers, mechanics, tailors, dressmakers, etc.), would their removal create an economic vacuum? d.? - What are some of the attendant problems involved in r ocating- resettling a population ?o this s In Thailand? a phasing should considered in such 4 pan? Ifiat s aging facilities would be required to hove the population from- the Northeast to other areas? What are some of the provisions that should be made for the feeding, housing and care of the refugees before, during and after relocation? I. it possible to arrive at an approximation as to what such a relocation would cost directly? 4. Inquiries regaxding?this request should be directed to Zxtension 6129. 25X1A Richard Helms DDP 3 uat Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01018A000400130001-6 Approved For Release 0/05/12: CIA-RDP79TO1018A00040 0O0.1-6 _jW 0 SELECTED FACTORS AFFECTING RELOCATION OF THE VIETNAMESE REFUGEES-OF NORTHEAST. THAILAND- CIA/RR GS 63-]J. 61.2171 Chief.,. FE/DD/P 25X1A - GG/F SECRET ,NO._FUREIGN D]SSEM , SSENS'INE Requester Ch/G Approved FbrTR(eleaseOeb012~IFlD1~`!9 ~~u0~0130;6;~ * Only two copies of Annex (under separate cover) -- 1 to requester;