WAGE AND PENSION INCREASES: THE SOVIET WAR ON POVERTY

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CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7
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RIPPUB
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C
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18
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December 9, 2016
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February 27, 2001
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1
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April 1, 1965
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BRIEF
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Approved For ReleaseC2~l~~~; LEA=RDP79T01003 Q~~,Z., - ,,, INTELLIGENCE BRIEF WAGE AND PENSION INCREASES: THE SOVIET WAR ON PO VER T Y CIA/RR CB 65-27 April 196 5 Copy No. DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Office of Research and Reports CONFIDENTIAL GROUP 1 Excluded from automatic downgrading and declassification Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 This Document contains information affecting the Na- tional Defense of the United States, within the mean- ing of Title 18, Sections 793 and 794, of the U.S. Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or receipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. The reproduction of this form is prohibited. Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 G-O-N-F'-I-D-E-1V-'1'-I-~-L WAGE AND PENSION INCREASES: TFiE SOVIET WAR ON POVERTY Khrushchev's successors have made haste to identify themselves as. leaders in the Soviet war on poverty The Khrushchev pr. ograrn to increase waged and pensions of low-income groups, which will cost 5 billion rubles annually, has been continued and even speeded up in some instances. The new leadership, however, has avoided reviving some of Khrushchev` s earlier promises that included a shorter workweek as well as an 11- billion-ruble bonanza in general wage increases and tax reductions. The present program will (1) provide wage increases averaging 21 percent for 18 million of the 22 million workers in the service sectors of the economy (trade, restaurant, health, education, housing maintenance, personal. service, government administration, and scientific research - referred to in the t.JSS1Z as the nonproductive sectors); (2) raise the legal minimum wage rate of urban workers by more than one-third and of rural workers by about one-half, (3) boost by more than one-third the minimum pensions of disabled workers and the minimum benefits to survivors, (4) place the 25 million to 30 million collective farmers and their families under a new state-wide social insurance system similar to the existing one for workers and employees, and (5) increase the number of technical workers on collective farms who are eligible for benefits under the social insurance system for workers and employees, Most of the measures in the current welfare program represent ~~. belated a.nd partial. ft~.lfillment of earlier promises. The increase in wages for service worl~ers and the increase in the minimum wage rate are taking place 3 years later than originally promised, Moreover, a second round of increases in minimum wage rates originally promised for 1965 apparently has been shelved. As a result, workers and em- ployees will, receive only three-fourths of the wage increases envisioned in the Seven Year Plan (1959-65). Also, workers and employees appar- ently are to continue paying income taxes and working a 41-hour week, i.n spite of earlier promises to abolish the former and shorten the latter,. (,O11eCtlve farmers, too, may have reason to complain. Although their new pension system provides some much-needed security, their average pension will be only about one-half the size of the minimum pension for work.e:rs and employees. Approved For Rele~s~2~0~`%0~/~2~~A-rR~~19~1'01003A002200270001-7 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N-T-I-A-L The attitude of the new leaders in approving these increases in wages and pensions and at the same time rejecting Khrushchev's more ebullient welfare measures illustrates their general style of political and economic leadership. They have beers trying to restrain, to trim, to get under con- trol the various programs that have been pressing against Soviet resources. Thus the large investment program for agriculture, announced by Brezhnev on 24 March, apparently is to be accompanied by some cutback in Khru- shchev's "chernicalization" program, In addition, on 19 April, Kosygin announced that wage increases during the forthcoming Five Year Plan period (1966 -70) will be tied to increases in the productivity of labor. 1 / Yet, because commitments continue to multiply while rates of growth continue to decline, Khrushchev's legatees will continue to experience frustrations similar to those that bedeviled his decade of power. 1. Wage Increases for Workers and Employees On 15 July 1964 the Supreme Soviet approved legislation to put into effect the final phase of the wage reform recommended by the 21st Party Congress in January 1959. The new law provides wage increases during 1964-65 for 18 million service workers and a rise in the minimum annual wage to 480 to 540 rubles (40 to 45 rubles a month) for all workers and employees. Z/ The wage increase, amounting to 3. 3 billion rubles on an annual basis, will raise the average annual money earnings of service workers by 21 per- cent -- from 873 rubles to 1, 056 rubles. The average percentage increase for the various groups of service workers, however, will range from 15 to Z5 percent, as follows 3/: Average Annual Money Earnings (Rubles) Before Wage Reform After Wage Reform l ncx~ease (Percent) A11 service workers 873 1,056 21 Housing and communal economy 667 767 15 Health r ' 707 86y ~3 f rade and restaurants 728 859 18 Education 833 1,02 25 Other 1, i+99 1, 796 20 C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N- T-I-A-L Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 C-C~-1V-F-I-D-E-N-T-1-_~.-~~ The new earnings level for service workers ?-- l0 percent: below the average annual earnings of workers and employees in industry, con- struction, and other "productive" branches 4/ - -will restore them roughly to the relative income position they held at t~:e start of the wage reform in 1959? The comparative position of service workers, however, is distorted by the relatively high-income wo:r~kers included in the "other" category, which includes those in government adminis- tration and probably those in scientific rPse.a,rc:h. The present round o_f wage increases for service workers was originally scheduled for introduction in 19620 Postponement of these increases until 1964-65 -- long after v~age increases to other groups of workers and employees -- probably hampered recruitment in s ome of the higher skilled categories of service personnel, notably in education.> The minimum monthly wage of all urc~rkers and employees i.s to be raised in 1965 from 27 rubles in rural areas and 35 rubles in urban areas to 40 and 45 rubles, respectivelye This increase originally was scheduled for 1962, and a further increase to 50 to 60 rubles was to be made in 1965- Failure to increase the minimum monthly wage to 50 to 60 rubles in 1965 precludes fulfillment of the promised increase in the average wage of workers and. employees during th.e Seven Year Plan. According t.o th.e original plan, the average wage of workers and em- ployees wa.s to rise 26 percent 5/ -- from 943 rubles to 1, 188 rubles> Even with the 21 -percent increase in the pay to service workers, the average earnings of all workers and employees wi1?_ have increased by only 20 percent. b/ -- to 1, 136 rubles ayear -- by tl~;.e end of 1965. In an apparent effort to curry favor with the rank.-u.r~d--file popula- tion, Premier Kosygin announced in December 1964 that t:kxe wage in- creases originally scheduled for th.e last half of 1965 would take place instead during the first halfo 7/ This change twill raise the wages of approximately 9 million service workers and will ads' 9Q0 million rubles to the cost of the program in 1965? 2. Pension Increases for Workers and E~mpl.oyees The security status of workers and employee~~ h~:s been farther in- creased by a decree of 31 December 1.964, which ra.is ed the minimum levels of disability anal survivor pensions by an average of 35 percent,. 8/ Under the new law the size of minimum disability pensions, dep+ending on the degree of disablement and whether or not the disa.bil.ity is job- connected, will range between .16 and 50 rubles a. rnontha The former - 3 - C-O- -T-D-~u.- -T-l-~A_~L, Approved For Release 201/03/22 : ~GIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N-T-I-A-L minimum levels were 16 and 36 rubles. Failure to increase the mini- mum level of pensions for partial disability (16 rubles a month} is consistent with recent efforts to keep invalids in the labor force. Minimum survivor pensions have been raised from a range of 16 to 30 rubles a month, depending on the number of dependents, to a range of 21 to 50 rubles. 3. Pension Program for Collective Farmers The second major welfare program, approved by the Supreme Soviet on 15 July 1964, will bring 2.5 million to 30 million collective farmers and their families under a state social insurance system beginning in 1965. =~~ Until this program the establishment of pension programs a.t collective farms has been optional and entirely at the expense of the individual farm. As a result, many farms had no program at all, and those with a program usually failed to match the benefits received by workers at state enterprises. Under the new program for collective farmers, benefits are smaller and eligibility requirements more stringent than those under the program for workers and employees. The minimum old age pension for collective farmers is 12 rubles amonth -- for workers and employees, 30 rubles a month. Both the collective farmer and the worker and employee must work 25 years to be eligible for a full pension, but the worker a.nd em- ployee of retirement age can qualify for a partial pension after only 5 years whereas there is no provision for partial pensions for collective farmers, The retirement age for male collective farmers is 65 but for male workers and employees only 60 years. Nevertheless, collective farmers will benefit significantly from the new program. The new pen- sion law will increase the number of collective farm pensioners from 3 million to between 6. 5 million and 6. 8 million, 9/ and the average size of pensions will increase from approximately 6 rubles a month to about 17 rubles a month, 10/ Thus more than 1 billion rubles will be added to the money incomes of collective farmers during 1965. Funding provisions for the program, which is officially estimated to cost 1. 3 billion to 1.4 billion rubles in 1965, 11/ limit the cost to the ~= Excluded from coverage under this program are collective farm mem- bers who work only on private plots as well as chairmen and certain tech- nical workers who qualify for benefits under the program for workers and employees. Approved For Release ~0~1%~3~221: ~1~-F~~7~1'~1~03A002200270001-7 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 C-O-N-F'-I-D-E-N-T-I-A-L state by requiring mandatory deductions from the gross revenues of the farms. In 196.4, collective farms were required to contribute 2. 5 per- cent of their gross revenues to a centralized social insurance fund, and in 1965, the first year of the program, they are required to contribute 4 percent. 12/ In addition, besret u red toymeet th g e s 4mat dlco t o~bles a year during 1965-67, will q the program. 13/ Although the direct outlays of the :state are kept low by these funding provisions, the reaction of the relatively rich collective farms to subsidizing the pension programs of the poorer farms may create some headaches for the leadership. A decree of 20 July 1964 by the Council oc a'lrmen~sdeputydchairmenr social insurance coverage to collective farm chief accountants, machine operators, and other technical workers on collective farms by making them eligible for benefits under the social in- surance system for workers and employees.. 14/ Collective farm chair- men. and specialists with a higher or secondary specialized education have been eligible for a portion of state pension benefits since 1950, 15/ and MTS personnel who became collective farm members following the abolition of the MTS network in 1958 retained their eligibility for state social insurance benefits. The additional cost resulting from the improved pension program of collective farm chairmen and specialists and from the increased minimum rates for disability and sur hovw~ ernsthat state soc alrinsurancedpayments 1965 plan figures indicate, for the current year are expected to increase by 8. 7 percent, 16/ or about 200 million rubles, above the average annual rate of 6. 8 percent during the preceding 4 years. 17 / 4< Implications of the Welfare Program The wage and pension increases ultimately will add 4. 5 billion to 5. 0 billion rubles to the annual income of consumers. This addition to consumers' income, plus other sources of new income such as price reductions and increased procurement prices, will raise per capita income by a substantially greater percentage than the average annual increase achieved during 1959-64. 18/ The regime thus is faced with the task of increasing the supply of consumer goods in order to match increased money incomes. I-A-L Approved For Release-~11~3/~1~: ~I~R~P79T01003A002200270001-7 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 :CIA-RDP79T01003A002200270001-7 C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N- T-I-A-L 5. Unfulfilled Promises The current increases i.n welfare benefits represent only a partial fulfillment of promises made to people on the lower rungs of the eco- nomic ladder. Still unfulfilled are pledges originally made for imple- mentation by 1965 that would have added approximately 11 billion rubles more to consumers' annual income and would have cut the work- week from 41 to 35 hours. If workers and employees had been given wage increases of 26 percent during 1959-65 as originally planned in- stead of 20 percent as is now indicated, they would have received an additional 4 billion rubles in 1965. Much of this sum would have come from the promised increase in the minimum wage rate to 50 to 60 rubles per month. If the program to abolish the income tax on earn- ings of workers and employees had been pursued to completion as originally scheduled, they would have received another 7 billion rubles in 1965. According to the program announced at the 21st Party Congress in 1958, the level of tax-exempt income was to be raised in a series of steps until the tax was eliminated in 1965. The program proceeded on schedule in 1960 and 1961 when the exemption was raised to 60 rubles monthly. In September 1962 the tax reduction program was suspended because of other budgetary requirements, 19/ and to date no move has been made to reinstate the program. Unlike the recent welfare pro- grams, elimination of the income tax would have benefited the more highly taxed middle-income workers and would have done little to in- crease the disposable incomes of the low-income groups. Another stalled program is the planned reduction in the length of the workweek. The Seven Year Plan specified that the workweek would be cut from 4.1 to 40 hours in 1962 and that a shift to a 35-hou.r work- week would begin in 1964 and would be completed in 1968. The reduc- tion of the workweek was to take place without a reduction in average weekly wages and would provide increased "pay" in the form of leisure. The equivalent value of this leisure in rubles, however, would not be the proportional part of the industrial payroll, because workers would be expected to put forth the same effort in 35 hours that they did in 41. The scheduled shortening of the workweek by 1 hour did not take place in 1962. In spite of a comment by Khrushchev that it would be part of the welfare program announced at the Supreme Soviet in July 1964, it apparently was dropped at the last moment. 20/ No official explanation has been given for failure to carry out the reduction, but failure to achieve planned productivity goals during the Seven Year Plan undoubtedly was an important consideration. The new leaders have not brought up the subject of the 35-hour workweek. Approved For Release ~0~1%~3~~: ~fi~R~Tb1003A002200270001-7 Approved For Re~e~e~(~,0~/0~(~~C~p4~R~P79T01003A002200270001-7 1. New York Times, 20 Apr 65, p. I. U. 2~ Pravda, 14 Jul 64. U. 3. Ibid. 4. Sotsialisticheskiy trud, no 8, 1964, p. 6. U. 5. Pravda, 25 Nov 59. U. 6. Ibi.~l, ,10 Dec 64. U. 7. Ibid. 8. Vedomosti verkhovnogo soveta SSSR, no 1, 1965, p. 4~6. U. 9. Sotsial'noye obespecheniye, no 10, 1964, p. 58. U. Pravda, 10 Dec 64. U. 10. Sotsial'noye obespecheniye, no 12, 1964, p. 2. U? 11. Pravda, 14 Jul 64. U. - 12. Sotsial'noye obespecheniye, no 12, 1964, p. 2. U. 13. Ibid. ' 14 , State Committee on Labor and Wages. Byulleten USSR . , no 10, 1964, p. 40-45. U. 15. USSR. Direktivy KPSS i sovetskogo pravitel'stva po khozyaystvennym voprosam (Directives of the CPSU and the Soviet Government on Economic Problems), Moscow, 1958, vol 3, p. 521-28. U. 16. Pravda, 10 Dec 64. U. 17. USSR, Central Statistical Administration. Narodnoye khozyaystvo SSSR v 1962 godu (The National Economy of 18. the USSR in 1962), Moscow, 1963, p, 637. U. Ibid. 19. Tzvestiya, 25 Sep 62. U. 20. State, Moscow. 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