NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A031400190001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 6, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 22, 1979
• Content Type: REPORT

Director of
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Intelligence
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National Intelligence Daily
Tuesday
22 May 1979
Top Secret
State Dept. review completed Top Secret
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Copy
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Special Analyses
USSR: Signs of Support for Romanov
Overnight Reports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
The Overnight Reports, printed on yellow paper as the
final section of the DaiZy, will often contain materials
that update the Situation Reports and Briefs and Comments.
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USSR: Signs of Support for Romanov
Leningrad party chief Grigoriy Romanov, at 56 one
of the younger Soviet Leaders with some prospect of even-
tually securing the top party post, has strengthened his
support in the Central Committee through personnel changes
that probably required at Least tacit approval by senior
party secretaries KiriZenko and Suslov. As a candidate
for succession to General Secretary Brezhnev, Romanov,
Like other younger Politburo members, has serious handi-
caps, including his Location outside the center of power
in Moscow. His chances in the second phase of a two-stage
succession, however, have been enhanced by this broadened
base of support and by the apparent approval of the two
senior Leaders.
Since 1970, when Romanov became Leningrad party
chief, most of those who have been released from party
posts in his region have received either "lateral" as-
signments that left their Central Committee status un-
changed or promotions to positions that won them election
to the Central Committee. In addition to incumbent Lenin-
grad officials, whose Central Committee representation
increased at the last party congress in 1976, he now has
a number of former Leningrad associates on the Committee.
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The trend has continued since 1976, with several
Leningraders moving up to posts that should result in
election to the next Central Committee in 1981. The
group of potential Romanov supporters includes three
former Leningrad officials who were assigned to ambassa-
dors to East European countries--posts that traditional)
have called for Central Committee membership. 25X1
These personnel actions affecting associates of
Romanov apparently have had the support, perhaps actively
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sought, of Kirilenko and Suslov. As the senior cadres
secretary, Kirilenko had to give at least tacit approval
to the assignments
Ki.rilenko as also suppor e
Romanov s initiatives in economic management.
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(The items in the Overnight Reports section have not
been coordinated within the intelligence community.
They are prepared overnight by the Office of Current
Operations with analyst comment where possible from the
production offices of NFAC.)
China
Sunday's issue of People's Daily highlighted the
purge of two ranking officials in Hunan Province, one of
the few provinces whose leadership had not undergone a
major reorganization since the return to power of Vice
Premier Deng Xiaoping. The US Embassy in Beijing com-
mented yesterday that the form of, presentation in
People's Daily also had raised the possibility of new
pressure on Hunan party leader Mao Zhiyong, who reportedly
was under attack late last year for his alleged failure
to endorse Deng's empirical line. The Embassy noted that
significant changes in Hunan would inevitably raise ques-
tions about Chairman Hua Guofeng, who probably has re-
tained a power base there. It added, however, that the
treatment of the dismissals in People's Daily seemed to
be seeking to place some distance between Hua and the
troubles in Hunan.
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China-Vietnam
According to the New China News Agency, Chinese and
Vietnamese Red Cross delegations would meet this morning
on the Chinese side of the border "to discuss matters
relating to the release of all captives by both sides at 25X1
an earliest
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prisoners and 43 Chinese prisoners were exchanged at a
border crossing near the site of today's meeting.
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East Germany - West Berlin
The US Mission in West Berlin reports that yesterday
for the third time in less than a week--the seventh time
this month--an Allied military train bound for West
Berlin was delayed while crossing East Germany. The Mis-
sion adds that the evidence now "strongly suggests" the
delays are indeed deliberate, being staged by the East
German railway authority, the Reichsbahn, to remind the
Allies of its claim for payment of new tariffs for Allied
passenger trains. Last year, the Allies began paying
higher tariffs to the Reichsbahn on their freight cars
but refused to do so on passenger cars. The Mission is
seeking approval of a proposal it has worked out with
the other Allied missions in Berlin that would, it feels,
give the Reichsbahn the money it wants for pulling the
trains across East Germany without raising other issues
that might restrict the Allies' right of train access to
West Berlin.
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Angola - South Africa
The Angolan Government said yesterday that South
African forces on Saturday had attacked a town and border
outpost in southeast Angola. The announcement implied
that the attacks were continuing.
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COMMENT: Although we cannot rule out the possibil-
ity that the report is accurate, we have no evidence to
confirm it and suspect it may be an attempt to blame
South Africa for operations actually carried out by guer-
rillas of the National Union for the Total Independence
of Angola. The announced locations are in an area of
extensive UNITA activity, and the Angolan Government sev-
eral times has condemned South Africa for actual UNITA
military successes. When they occur, South African raids
into Angola are directed against Namibian nationalist
guerrilla camps, not Angolan military units; we are un-
aware of any significant Namibian guerrilla camps in the
areas mentioned. 25X1
El Salvador - US
The Farabundo Marti Popular Liberation Forces, a
terrorist group, has taken credit for strafing an IBM
installation on Sunday, and has termed it the beginning
of "war against Yankee imperialism and liberty for poli-
tical prisoners." The US Embassy in San Salvador com-
ments that, whereas a preceding document from the
Farabundo Marti group had only warned in general against
foreign collaboration with the military government, the
latest communique holds the US directly responsible for
the alleged killings, torturing, arrests, and disappear-
ances in El Salvador. The Embassy reports that all US
citizens and businesses in El Salvador are aware of the
terrorists' threats, which it describes as "becoming
increasingly credible."
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Ecuador-Cuba
The US Embassy in Quito reported yesterday that
President-elect Roldos has told an Embassy official he is
considering restoring Ecuadorean-Cuban relations--broken
since 1963--during his term of office. Roldos said he
would discuss the matter with President Carter during a
visit to Washington this summer. The Embassy noted that
during the recent election campaign, Roldos' advisers
had ridiculed the idea of establishing relations with
Cuba as a gratuitous provocation to the military--
Ecuador's current rulers--and to conservative elements
without any reciprocal benefit. Roldos' healthy elec-
toral mandate apparently has, the Embassy commented, per-
mitted him to consider a wider range of options.
Romania
The US Embassy in Bucharest reports that Romania at
midnight Saturday will institute daylight savings time
for the first time since 1945. The decision, announced
in the party newspaper Scinteia over the weekend, re-
portedly will save Romania about 190 million kilowatt
hours annually, around 9.3 percent of its total planned
consumption of electricity this year. The Embassy notes
that this step is not surprising and probably overdue
given Romania's energy problems, including rapidly in-
creasing oil imports and prices.
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