NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A031100060001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 1, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 7, 1979
• Content Type: REPORT

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Intelligence
for Release 2004/07/08 :CIA-RDP79T00975A03110
pp~$Kl'r~ of
National Intelligence Daily
Wednesday
7 February 1979
State Dept. review completed
Top Secret
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Overnight Reports . ... . 15
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(The items in the Overnight Reports section have not
been coordinated within the intelligence community.
They are prepared overnight by the Office of Current
Operations with analyst comment where possible from the
production offices of NFAC.}
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According to a late press report, Mehdi Bazargan,
Ayatollah Khomeini's desi nee to head a rovisional
government said in 25X1
an interview a e p ans o ou ine e s ape of his
government in a speech on Friday. Barzargan said he
probably would not announce a cabinet until next week.
One Tehran newspaper last ni ht ran a list of Bazargan's
supposed designees. 25X1
The US Embassy in Moscow reported yesterday that
Romanian Foreign Minister Andrei's visit to the USSR
last weelc did not seem to resolve the differences that
surfaced between the Romanians and Soviets after last
November's meeting of the Warsaw Pact Political Consul-
tative Committee. The Embassy noted a clear strain in
the luncheon speeches of Andrei and Foreign Minister
Gromyko but did find some evidence in the communique
that the Romanians may have bowed slightly toward closer
consultations, if not cooperation, within the Warsaw
Pact framework. The most notable aspect of the communi-
que, however, was its avoidance of troublesome subjects:
China, the Middle East, Vietnam-Kampuchea, relations
within CEMA, and pros ects for increased bilateral mili-
tary cooperation.
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Belgium-Zaire
Brussels radio last night reported that Foreign Min-
ister Simonet plans to send instructors, officers, and
paratroopers to Zaire to continue training Zairian
forces as provided for in bilateral military cooperation
agreements. Western wire service reports indicate the
Belgian troops are likely to be flown in early next week
and stationed near Kinshasa. According to a Paris radio
broadcast last night, French Foreign Minister Francois-
Poncet has acknowledged being consulted by Simonet on
the decision. A Zairian Government spokesman has as-
serted that Kinshasa is calm and has denied any relation-
ship between Brussels' decision and "alle ed disturb-
ances in Kinshasa." 25X1
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Namibia
The US UN Mission reported yesterday that Secretary 25X1
General Waldheim met Monday with ambassadors of the
five Western states in an attempt to arran e a eaceful
resolution of the Namibian situation
Waldheim, noting t e po itica ur es
s i to e surmounted, felt it would be impossible to
meet the target date of 26 February for formal deploy-
ment of the UN transitional assistance group in Namibia.
The Western ambassadors pledged to cooperate with Wald-
heim's suggestion to establish a symbolic UN presence
by extending and enlarging special representative Martti
Ahtisaari's mandate. Waldheim also reported that
Ahtisaari has received initial, negative responses from
Angola on the idea of UN monitoring of SWAPO bases there.
COMMENT: Waldheim did not indicate where or when
Ahtisaar2 received the preZim2;nark Angolan reaction.
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Italy
Ambassador Gardner has passed along the private
comments of Alberto Ronchey, the prominent political
columnist for the Corriere deZZa Sera, on the domestic
political situation. Ronchey believes that national
elections have become 80 to 90 percent certain and that
unless the Communists suffer an unlikely drop of at
least 5 percent they will have a good chance of attaining
cabinet posts. Once in, Ronchey contends, they would
prove hard to dislodge and would move Italian foreign
policy slowly but surely toward neutralism. Ronchey
adds, however, that if the Communists fail to enter the
government this year they might not for the indefinite
future, given the apparent electoral tide and changing
intellectual fashions. Ambassador Gardner is not pre-
pared at this time to endorse Ronchey's "gloomy" analysis
i
n
but concludes that it nonetheless is a useful rem
of the "dan Brous passage" Italy is now entering.
Spain
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The official 21-day campaign period for the general
election on 1 March began today. Opinion polls published
yesterday in Madrid newspapers gave the Socialists of,
Felipe Gonzalez a narrow lead over Prime Minister Suarez'
Union of the Democratic Center, but approximately 40 per-
cent of those polled said they were undecided or did not
intend to vote. The election is Spa'n' first under the
constitution approved in December. 25X1
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Bulgaria
The U5 Embassy in Sofia is scotching rumors and
speculation in Western media concerning possible con-
flicts within the Bulgarian leadership. The reports
have focused on absences of the Foreign Minister and
two other Politburo participants from ceremonial occasions,
such as the recent visits of Soviet President Brezhnev
and Polish party chief Gierek. The Embassy reports
the absences apparently resulted from physical rather
than political ailments; one official reportedly was suf-
fering from a bad cold acquired while serving as the of-
ficial greeter at Brezhnev's first stop in Bulgaria.
The Embassy has confirmed that the other two men recently
were seriously injured in separate road accidents. The
Foreign Minister visited his office briefly on Monday
and is said to be substantially recovered.
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