NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A031000190001-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 31, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 29, 1979
• Content Type: REPORT

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National Intelligence Daily
Monday
29 January 1979
State Department review completed. On file Commerce
release instructions apply.
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Overnight Reports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
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(The items in the Overnight Reports section have not
been coordinated within the intelligence community.
They are prepared overnight by the Office of Current
Operations with analyst comment where possible from
the production offices of NFAC.)
Saudi Arabia
The US Embassy in Jidda reported late yesterday that
Crown Prince Fahd had flatly denied to visiting US Com-
merce Secretary Kreps that his government had made any
decision either to raise its oil price or to reduce pro-
duction. Fahd specifically rejected any thought of pric-
ing incremental output at the rate for the fourth quarter.
The Embassy will cable a detailed report on the Fahd-
Kreps talk, and US Ambassador West expects to discuss
the Saudi stand on price and production with oil Minister
Yamani today.
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Japan
The US Embassy in Tokyo reports that Japanese
energy officials have become quite pessimistic over the
last month about oil supplies and have begun to indi-
cate publicly their concern--but not its depth. Those
officials believe serious shortages could develop with-
in the next two months; the key factor is the extent
to which the Iranian shortfall can be made up from in-
creased Saudi production. Ambassador Mansfield con-
cludes that while Japanese officials have not mentioned
Alaskan oil or the glut of oil on the US West Coast in
talks with the Embass this situation must bother the
Japanese seriously.
Libya-Chad
The US Embassy in Tripoli notes that Libyan broad-
casts on Thursday and yesterday have broken a nearly two-
month-long silence on the situation in Chad and are
calling for the ouster of President Malloum. The Embassy
comments that Libya had been engaged only in a tactical
standstill in its silence and that its alacrity in re-
porting Muslim street demonstrations in Ndjamena on
Saturday is further evidence that Tripoli is anxious
to reinforce domestic perceptions of the religious bat-
tle lines drawn in Chad's civil war. As of mid-Sunday,
the city
was calm, following us im demonstrations on Saturday
in the central market area, and that forces loyal to
President Malloum have been reinforced and appear ade-
quate to maintain public order over the near term. 11
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Spain-Iraq
The US Embassy in Madrid has learned that during
Defense Minister Gutierrez Mellado's recent visit to
Iraq, the Iraqis were unusually cordial and appeared
interested in buying Spanish-made armored personnel car-
riers and small landing craft. The Embassy notes that
Madrid is intent on wooing Arab states, even radical ones
such as Libya and Iraq--King Juan Carlos stopped in
Baghdad last year on his way to China. Spain has cul-
tural/historic ties to the Arab world, wants an assured
oil supply and Arab trade and investment capital, and
needs Arab diplomatic support in dampening interest with-
in the Organization of African Unity in independence for
the Canary Islands.
On the eve of tomorrow's white referendum in Rho-
desia, the US Embassy in Pretoria notes that emigration/
immigration figures for December show a net loss of
2,771, raising the total emigration for 1978 to 13,709.
Each number represents the highest such figure in Rho-
desia's history. The Embassy comments that the net loss
of whites during 1977-78 approximates 10 percent of Rho-
desia's white population. F7 I
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