NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A030900010060-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 12, 2005
• Sequence Number: 60
• Publication Date: November 6, 1978
• Content Type: REPORT

Agr
1
1
1
1
1
1
A rov1RGlease 2005/08/17: CI
TO:
NAME AND 42DRESS
DATE I
NITIALS
2
3
4
ACTION
DIRECT REPLY
PREPAR
E REPLY
APPROVAL
DISPATCH
RECOM
MENDATION
COMMENT
FILE
RETURN
CONCURRENCE
INFORMATION
SIGNATURE
REMARKS:
FROM:
NAME, ADDRESS, AND PHONE NO.
DATE
0 Secret `'-
(Security Classification)
Access to this document will be restricted to
those approved for the following specific activities:
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY CABLE 0
Monday 6 November 1978 CG NIDC 78/259
0
0
1
1
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
Top Secret 25
(Security Classification)
Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A030900010060-
 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO30900010060-2
Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO30900010060-2
 Approved For 9
National Intelligence Daily Cable for Monday, 7 November 1978
e NIV a
senior US officials.
EC: Membership Enlargement
ARAB STATES: Summit Meeting
AUSTRIA: Nuclear Referendum
Page 1
Page 2
Page 2
25X1
25X1
VIETNAM: Military-Economic Woes
Page 5
25X1
Page 6
25X1
Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AI30900010060-2
 Approved For Rel
EC: Membership Enlargement
//EC Foreign Ministers, at their semiannual retreat
late Last month, set a brisk pace for negotiations with Greece,
Portugal, and Spain on EC membership but also moved to protect
the present balance of power among the Nine and between them
and EC institutions.
I //The Ministers agreed that, when Greece joins the
EC, decisions in the Council of Ministers can still be vetoed
by any two of the four largest member states--the UK, France,
West Germany, and Italy. These four countries want a similar
arrangement even after Portugal and Spain enter the EC, but
some small EC states, as well as the Commission, resist this
kind of domination of the Community by a "directorate" of its
most powerful members.//
//French President Giscard has proposed that the
EC set up a committee to study the implications of enlargement
for the Community. Despite the fear in several quarters that
Giscard intended his plan to slow down the enlargement process,
to bring into question the powers of EC institutions, or to
muffle the voice of the smaller states, the Foreign Ministers
agreed that such a committee should be established by the Euro-
pean Council in December.//
//The Ministers stipulated that the committee
should review the whole range of EC institutional problems and
that its report should not appear before June 1979, when Greece's
membership negotiations should be formally complete. The EC
Commission expects Greece to enter the Community by January,
1981.//
//The EC Ministers reaffirmed their intent to com-
plete substantive membership negotiations with Greece by the
end of this year. The main obstacles to this goal are the Com-
mission's insistence on five- to 10-year transition periods be-
fore allowing free movement of Greek workers or of Greek agri-
cultural products into the Community.//
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975Ag30900010060-2
 Approved For Ro
//On Spain, contrary to rumors that the Community
would delay for some time its decision to open negotiations on
membership, the Ministers agreed to make that decision this
year following a Commission report late this month on Spain's
application.//
//The Community has already begun accession talks
with Portugal and is speeding up preparations for political
cooperation.
ARAB STATES: Summit Meeting
The final communique issued yesterday at the end of
the Arab summit in Baghdad noted the dangers of defection from
Arab ranks but stopped short of openly condemning Egyptian Pres-
ident Sadat.
The Arab leaders also apparently failed to agree to
hardliners' proposals to impose tough economic and political
sanctions against Egypt. The bland tone of the communique sug-
gests that, despite Sadat's rebuff of a delegation sent on Sat-
urday to woo him back to the Arab fold, Saudi Arabia and other
moderate states were able to ward off attacks by Sadat's critics.
I IThe summit spokesman announced that a number of resolu-
tions were passed during the conference, but these were not made
public.
Austrian Chancellor Kreisky's Socialist government
Lost yesterday's referendum on nuclear power by a narrow mar-
gin, but Kreisky seems to be waffling on his threat to resign.
Austrian voters turned down the government's plan to put the
5410 million Zwentendorf power plant into operation, partly be-
cause of still unresolved questions about the nuclear waste it
would have generated, and also because of growing sentiment
against nuclear energy.
25X1
25X1
Approved For R Iease 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0 0900010060-2
 Approved For Re ease 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975 030900010060-2 25X1
I I Although nuclear energy has been a contentious issue
for some time, it became even more so early this year because
of the government's maladroit handling of the power plant,
located some 70 kilometers northwest of Vienna. Kreisky at that
time flatly rejected a referendum as an unsuitable device to
decide the disposition of the plant.
I I The government's premature announcement about a spent
ue s orage site near the plant evoked strong protests from
the public, which had been led to believe that Austria's nu-
clear waste would be stored in the US. Kreisky then failed to
find an alternative foreign waste storage location, and the is-
sue became a key factor in the defeat of the referendum.
I I In May, Kreisky reversed his stand on holding a vote,
but the 'subsequent controversy in Parliament--with the opposi-
tion casting the matter as a general vote on nuclear power--
provoked bitter confrontations between pro- and antinuclear
factions.
I INow it appears that Kreisky, who threatened to resign
i the re erendum were defeated, is left with something of a
"white elephant" in Zwentendorf. The plant could conceivably be
converted to a fossil fuel power station, but only at great
cost and with considerable delay.
I lKreisky has already begun to back down on his threat,
stating yesterday that he would have to consult with Socialist
Party leaders before taking further steps. Nevertheless, the
issue is likely to remain controversial, and Kreisk will have
to face growing criticism if he stays in office.
25X1
Approved Fclr Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T009754030900010060-2
 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO30900010060-2
Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO30900010060-2
 Approved For
VIETNAM: Military-Economic Woes
//Sporadic fighting with the Cambodians and moves
to improve defensive capabilities along the northern border
with China are hampering Vietnam's postwar economic recovery.//
//The situation along both borders has diverted
troops from their reconstruction and development role. The
military was to provide much of the manpower, security, and
equipment to boost food production. Many important--but not
crucial--land reclamation, irrigation, and rail and road pro-
jects are being delayed.//
//The military situation is also occupying much
of the time of Vietnam's government leaders. Hanoi officials
have been unable to give full attention to decisions on foreign
economic relations and on domestic economic policies. Conse-
quently, implementation of foreign aid projects is lagging and
needed economic reforms are being delayed.//
//The heightened readiness along the border so
tar has required only small additional budgetary outlays for
military pay, food, and equipment. Deliveries of military aid
from the USSR this year are up slightly but are still well
below those during the Vietnam war-//
25X1
Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AOP0900010060-2
 Approved ~
25X1
China-Cambodia
A high-level Chinese party and government delegation
arrived in Phnom Penh yesterday on an "official and friendly"
visit to Cambodia. The delegation, which apparently was hastily
Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T009754 030900010060-2
 Approved Fq
arranged, is led by party Vice Chairman Wang Tung-hsing and
Vice Premier Yu Chiu-li, China's leading economic planner.
While we do not yet know the specific objectives of the mission,
it will serve as a demonstration of China's continuing support
for Phnom Penh in the wake of the signing last week of a Soviet-
Vietnamese treaty of friendship and cooperation.
I I The inclusion of Vice Premier Yu at the head of the
delegation suggests that Peking plans to focus on economic as-
sistance to the Cambodians, but the Chinese almost certainly
are pre pared to discuss increased militar support as well.
Chairman of the Soviet Council of Ministers Kosygin
broke no new ground in Saturday's annual speech celebrating the
anniversary of the October Revolution. Kosygin devoted consider-
able attention in the Moscow address to US-Soviet relations,
which he appraised somewhat more positively than did President
Brezhnev in a September speech in Baku. A strong advocate of
improved bilateral relations, Kosygin conveyed the hope that
the SALT talks would lead to a mutually acceptable solution and
expressed optimism that in the long run detente will prevail.
He mentioned but did not dwell on the subject of Western "in-
terference" in Soviet internal affairs, and passed up the op-
portunity to take a swipe at Eurocommunism.
I I
Kosygin gave explicit support to the "national patri-
ot is orces" of Namibia and Rhodesia--Nkomo was present for the
Moscow ceremonies--saluted the new Soviet-Vietnam treaty, and
employed standard formulations in a brief discussion of the Mid-
25X1
dle East. He did n
"
ot, however, stress the theme
of Soviet sup-
port for
national
liberation" movements_
25X1
A vote will probably be taken in the political com-
mittee o the UN General Assembly today on an Iraqi resolution
to condemn military and nuclear cooperation with Israel. The
25X1
Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0310900010060-2
 25X1
25X1
Approved Fo
resolution is identical to one introduced at the Special Ses-
sion on Disarmament last June and shelved because of its con-
tentious nature. Strong opposition to the draft exists among
the industrialized nations, and Israel opposes it as a first
step toward a possible call for Security Council sanctions.
items until the committee completes its work in December. The
Iraqis would like the vote to take place while the Arab Summit
is meeting in Baghdad.
committee chairman's effort to postpone voting on all agenda
Iraq is likely to obtain a vote today despite the
25X1 The resolution has 33 cosponsors, including the entire
25X1
Arab group. Several of these governments were irritated by Bagh-
dad's reintroduction of the resolution, without permission, in
their name, but evidently will openly oppose the measure.
25X1
Approved For (Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0$0900010060-2
 Ap roved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO30900010060-2
roved
0 Top Ap
(Security Classification)
0
i
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
Top Secret
(security tPORWl iRr Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO30900010060-2
Aw
J