NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A030700010076-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 18, 2005
• Sequence Number: 76
• Publication Date: June 26, 1978
• Content Type: REPORT

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NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY CABLE 0
Monday 26 June 1978 CG NIDC 78/148C
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NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
Top Secret
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National Intelligence Daily Cable for Monday, 26 June 1978
The NID Cable is for the purpose ot intorming
senior US officials.
USSR: Brezhnev Speaks at Minsk
NORTH YEMEN: After Assassination
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USSR: Brezhnev Speaks at Minsk
Soviet President Brezhnev, speaking in Minsk yester-
day, ca ed on the West European allies of the US not to Let
the "deteriorating" international situation affect their rela-
tions with Moscow. In appealing for the continuation of
"mutual trust" in Europe, Brezhnev made a strong pitch for
Moscow's recent proposals at the talks in Vienna on mutual and
balanced force reductions. He also criticized the US for making
a high-Level "cynical" effort to "play the Chinese card" against
the. USSR.
I Brezhnev's emphasis on the USSR's force reduction
proposals at Vienna, which he said "went farther than halfway,
suggests that the Soviets may intend to place more stress on
this arms control forum should the SALT negotiations remain
stalled. It may also reflect the Soviets' unhappiness at the
West's relatively restrained reception of their proposals.
The speech was notable for the absence of any refer-
ence to SALT, bilateral US-Soviet:relations, or Africa, subjects
of recent authoritative Soviet pronouncements. Brezhnev's
strongest words for the US were directed at US policy concern-
ing China; he characterized this as a "short-sighted and dan-
gerous" policy that the US may "bitterly regret." He stopped
short, however, of the harsh warning in the Pravda article of
17 June that this policy could, if it led to Sino-US alignment
against the USSR, affect future US-Soviet disarmament negotia-
tions.
In an effort to cast Soviet relations with the West
Europeans in the best possible light, Brezhnev ignored such
problems as Moscow's concern regarding possible West European
arms sales to the Chinese and its deteriorating relations with
France because of differences over Africa. He held up Soviet
relations with West Germany, which he recently visited, as an
example of a positive trend.
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I Brezhnev's attempt to be upbeat about Moscow's re-
a ions with Western Europe may in part reflect Soviet concern
about the direction of Sino-US relations--a concern that was
evident in the 17 June Pravda editorial. At the same time,
Moscow regards developments in Soviet relations with Western
P,urope as one of its greatest gains in the detente era. This
factor alone would probably be enough to motivate Brezhnev to
seek to insulate Soviet - West European relations from being
further hurt by developments in other arenas of East-West in-
terplay, such as Africa.
//North Yemen is calm following the assassina-
i.on on a ur a?i of President Ahmad aZ-Ghashmi. The new four-
man Presidential Council, selected from Ghashmi's entourage,
1s likely to continue his conservative policies.//
//North Yemeni officials appear convinced that
South Yemen is directly responsible for Ghashmi's death and
have broken off relations with Aden.//
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North Yemen's new four-man Presidential Council ap-
pears to ,be an interim arrangement for guiding the country
until a permanent successor can be agreed upon. The Chairman
of the Council, Abd al-Karim al-Arashi, is a conservative who
heads Yemen's constituent assembly. The other members of the
Council are Prime Minister Abd-al-Aziz Abd-al-Ghani, Chief of
Staff Lt. Col. Ali Shayba, and Military Commander of the Taiz
District, Major Ali Abdallah Salih. Ghashmi's permanent suc-
cessors could include at least some members of the current
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General Zia-ul-Haq, the head of Pakistan's martial
law regime, announced yesterday that he has given up plans to
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form a government based on political parties. Zia had been try-
ing to form such a government since March, but by early this
month it was apparent that few politicians were willing to
participate on his terms. They felt Zia's proposals could de-
lay a return to civilian rule..
I I Zia plans to announce a "federal" cabinet on 5 July,
the firs- anniversary of the coup that brought him to power.
Such a step would further formalize military rule. Zia made
clear that he will continue as Chief Martial Law Administrator,
presumably in reaction to speculation that he planned to ap-
point himself president or prime minister.
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