CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A030200010097-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 18, 2007
• Sequence Number: 97
• Publication Date: July 30, 1977
• Content Type: REPORT

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Saturday July 30, 1977 CG NIDC 77-176C
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National Intelligence Daily Cable for Saturday, July 30, 1977.
CONTENTS
SOUTH AFRICA: Trouble in Soweto
TURKEY: Government Domestic Programs
USSR: High-Bypass Aircraft Engines
Rhodesia.-Cuba.
Netherlands
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SOUTH AFRICA: Trouble in Soweto
Soweto, the black South African township outside Jo-
hannesburg that has been plagued by outbreaks of violence for
more than a year, is preparing for more trouble this weekend
as moderate leaders plan a mass rally demanding home rule.
A Committee of Ten, composed of some of Soweto's most
respected leaders, is planning a mass rally for tomorrow to
present a Blueprint for Soweto Self-Rule to the township resi-
dents. The South African government has already turned down a
request for a meeting with Prime Minister Vorster on the issue,
and even the deputy minister of Bantu affairs has indicated
that he probably will not meet with delegates of the committtee.
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The Soweto Blueprint apparently stems from the power
vacuum left when the Urban Bantu Councils, the South African
government advisory bodies for such townships as Soweto, were
forced out of existence last month by student militants. The
township of over 1 million has been virtually ungoverned since.
The government has no intention of allowing Soweto to
become detribalized and, in keeping with its divide-and-rule
policy, plans to replace the relatively innocuous Bantu Councils
with ethnically based community councils to run local administra-
tive affairs.
The Committee of Ten, feeling it has a mandate from
owe o residents, intends to press for the implementation of
its plan calling for the creation of an autonomous city govern-
ment with policymaking, management, and administrative powers
and the authority to make its own laws and control its own bud-
get.
The cost of creating such a modern city government
would be borne mainly by the central South African government,
although the plan stipulates that funding might come from other
sources, such as the organization of African Unity, interna-
tional monetary funds, and governments of other countries.
it is unlikely that the South African government will
give any serious consideration to the Blueprint and thus set a
precedent for all of the ethnicly diverse non-white townships
in the country, but several Africans, either on the committee
or close to it, have told the US Consul General in Johannesburg
that they will not retreat from the principle of immediate self-
rule. The government, they feel, will have to accept responsi-
bility for the consequences if it rejects the plan.
These consequences, it was clearly implied, would in-
clude continued tension in the township with perhaps an escala-
tion of crowd action and even terrorism. The Committee of Ten
appears to have enough widespread backing in Soweto that esti-
mates of renewed demonstrations and violence if its program is
rejected may be accurate.
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Tomorrow's mass rally will be held against the backdrop
of continuing student protest. Yesterday a student was shot and
killed when pupils in a Soweto high school stoned police using
dogs to break up a group of students who had gathered to join 25X1
the school boycott, which began near Pretoria six days ago and
spread to other black townships in the area. About 200 students
have been arrested, and most students have returned to class-
although sporadic unrest continues.
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TURKEY: Government Domestic Programs
The program of Turkish prime minister-designate
Demirel's coalition, which he introduced in the National As-
sembly and Senate on Wednesday, emphasizes domestic issues
and reflects the Islamic conservatism of National Salvation
Party leader Erbakan, a member of the coalition. The program
offers no new proposals for a Cyprus settlement and its foreign
policy pronouncements focus primarily on the need to bolster
ties with bordering states. The coalition is expected to win
the vote of confidence scheduled for next week.
In presenting the program to the National Assembly,
Demirel stressed Turkey's need to develop its industrial base,
build its defense industry, reduce its dependence upon imports,
and expand its industrial exports. The poor state of the econ-
omy forced Demirel's previous coalition government to seek
foreign credits in order to avoid a severe balance-of-payments
crisis.
Demirel also emphasized the need to eliminate internal.
vio ence, much of which he blamed upon foreign influences, par-
ticularly communism, and called for increased security measures.
In an obvious concession to Erbakan, Demirel spoke of the need
for greater recognition of Islam's importance and called for
classes in morality taught by religiously oriented instructors.
The coalition's departure from strict secularism is likely to
disturb many liberal members of the Turkish military, intelli-
gentsia, and bureaucracy.
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The foreign policy section of the program describes
Turkey's need to deepen and expand relations with its neighbors,
particularly the USSR, some Balkan countries, and Muslim states.
With regard to Cyprus, it goes no further than reiterating the
hope that the problem there can be resolved amicably between
the Turkish and Greek Cypriots and emphasizing that the Turkish
Cypriots must not lose their rights.
Turkish-US relations are characterized as beneficial
for both parties, and any improvement in these relations is
left to changes in US attitudes.
USSR: High-Bypass Aircraft Engines
//The USSR has renewed discussions with General
Electric to purchase 10 to 12 CF-6 advanced turbofan engines.
The Soviets may be considering them for use in a new Zong-
range variant of the IL-86 airbus or the technology could be
used for a Zong-range military aircraft. The engines are nearly
70 percent more powerful and 20 percent more fuel-efficient
than the largest Soviet subsonic engine.//
//The IL-86 is a four-engine, wide-body aircraft
designed to carry up to 350 passengers. The long-range variant
will have a larger wing and a range of 9,000 to 9,500 kilometers--
more than twice that of the IL-86. The CF-6 has more power than
needed for a plane of this size, and the Soviets probably plan
to use a model with lower thrust or to increase the plane's
gross weight and capacity.//
//The Soviets also may be considering CF-6 tech-
nology for use in a large strategic transport that some evidence
suggests they are now developing. Another possible application
would be a long-range bomber.//
//The Soviets have been trying for several years
to acquire engines of this type and related manufacturing tech-
niques from the West. Negotiations with Rolls-Royce for a sim-
ilar engine recently broke down because the Soviets refused to
purchase enough engines to make the deal attractive to Rolls-
Royce. The Soviets may have never intended to purchase engines,
but only to obtain information on manufacturing technology from
Rolls-Royce. If this was the case, they may plan to use the
same strategy with General Electric.
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Rhodesian nationalist leader Joshua Nkomo arrived in
Havana Thursday in response to an invitation from the Cuban
Communist Party. Nkomo probably regards the trip as a means of
maintaining pressure on the UK and the US to arrange a Rhode-
sian settlement. He is planning a trip to the US next month.
The Cubans are interested in expanding their influ-
ence in the Rhodesian situation and may offer Nkomo military
assistance. We have no reason to believe, however, that Nkomo
feels the need to accept anything beyond political support and
perhaps some small arms and modest Cuban training assistance
for his guerrillas in Zambia.
Caretaker Prime Minister den Uyl of the Netherlands
has again agreed to try to form a coalition government. During
the past two weeks, with the help of Dutch statesman Dr. Willem
Albeda, a compromise has been worked out on the contentious is-
sue of sharing excess profits, the cause of the previous dead-
lock.
Den Uyl, leader of the Labor Party, will now resume
negotiations with the Christian Democratic Appeal and the Demo-
crats '66 Party in what promises to be a lengthy bargaining
session over the programs of the next government.
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